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JULY 2010 Contents UK Asking Prices Stall As Property Floods The Market ........................ 1 Property Prices ...................................................................................... 3 First-Time Buyer Affordability................................................................. 4 Regional Property Price Analysis .......................................................... 5 Regional First-Time Buyer Affordability ................................................. 6 London Boroughs .................................................................................. 7 Supply Vs. Asking Price......................................................................... 8

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Page 1: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

ContentsUK Asking Prices Stall As Property Floods The Market ........................1Property Prices ......................................................................................3First-Time Buyer Affordability.................................................................4Regional Property Price Analysis ..........................................................5Regional First-Time Buyer Affordability .................................................6London Boroughs ..................................................................................7Supply Vs. Asking Price.........................................................................8

Page 2: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 1 ]

National Property PricesAverage asking prices across the UK remained stable

in July at £220,231. Annually, prices are 1.1% higher than in July 2009 (£217,821) despite this month’s slow down.

First-Time Buyer HomesAsking prices for first-time buyer properties reflected

the wider national trend with 0% growth month on month and currently stand at £155,994.The annual growth rate remains unchanged from last month with prices up 1.3% compared to July 2009 (£153,974)

First-Time Buyer affordabilityFirst-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite

average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to find an effective deposit of £55,171 in order to fill the affordability gap. This represents 1.7 times the average gross annual income of a first-time buyer.

Home Mover PricesThe average asking prices of larger properties fell in

July. Average prices are now 0.2% lower at £281,294 than in June when the average asking price was £281,830. On an annual basis larger properties have fallen into negative growth with the average price now standing 0.3% below prices in July 2009 (£282,115).

Differences Between Flats And Houses

Houses outperformed flats in July. But growth remained slight. The average asking price of a house now stands at £242,188, 0.1% higher than June (£242,066). Year on year, the average asking price for a house is 1.3% above asking prices in July 2009.

In contrast the average asking price for flats fell 0.3% in July. Prices are now nearly £500 lower than June and cur-rently stand at £174,945. On an annual basis price growth remains positive for flats with the average price standing 0.5% higher than in July 2009 (£174,047).

Prices By Property Size Smaller houses and flats have outperformed larger

properties (3 bed, 4 bed, 5+ bed houses and 3+ bed flats) in terms of average price in July. Large 5+ bedroom houses saw asking prices fall 0.2% in July to £553,838.

The biggest monthly fall was in the 3+ bedroom flat market. These properties saw average prices drop 0.8% to £298,838. Asking prices of 2 bed flats also fell, the average asking price for these properties is now £177,976, 0.3% lower than in June.

The average asking price for studio flats and smaller houses fell by 1.1% in July.

UK Asking Prices Stall As Property Floods The Market

Jul-10 Jun-10Av. Property Price £220,231 £220,308

% Change (month) 0.0% 0.3%% Change (year) 1.1% 1.8%

£220K

£231K

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A v erage UK A s king Pr ic e

Property Asking Price Data

£156K£176K

£281K

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UK FTB A s king Pr ic e UK Home Mov er A s king Pr ic e

Jul-10 Jun-10Av. FTB Property Price £155,994 £156,065

% Change (month) 0.0% 0.2%% Change (year) 1.3% 1.3%

Av. Home Mover Price £281,294 £281,830

% Change (month) -0.2% 0.4%% Change (year) -0.3% 1.3%

First-Time Buyer and Home Mover Prices

First-Time Buyer Property Price / Income Ratio

4.9

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Page 3: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 2 ]

SupplyOverall, the stock of properties for sale in the UK grew

6% in July from June. This takes UK stock to its highest level since January 2008 and the start of the index. The supply of property onto the market has increased by 43% since January 2010.

The number of first-time buyer properties is also in-creasing. Supply rose 7% in July from June and is now 45% higher than the start of the year.

The number of larger properties on the market has also increased month on month with a 6% rise in July. There are now 43% more properties of this type on the market compared to January 2010.

Page 4: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 3 ]

Property Prices

-2 .5-2

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A ll Proper ties A s king Pr ic e Month ly Change3 per . Mov . A v g. (A ll Proper ties A s king Pr ic e Month ly Change)

Jul-10 Jun-10Average Property Price £220,231 £220,308

% Change (month) 0.0% 0.3%% Change (year) 1.1% 1.8%

Asking Prices (All)

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Hous es Month ly Pr ic e Change3 per . Mov . A v g. (Hous es Month ly Pr ic e Change)

Jul-10 Jun-10Average House Price £242,188 £242,066

% Change (month) 0.1% 0.3%% Change (year) 1.3% 1.7%

Asking Prices (Houses)

Jul-10 Jun-10Average Flat Price £174,945 £175,433

% Change (month) -0.5% 0.2%% Change (year) 0.5% 1.8%

Asking Prices (Flats)

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Flats Month ly Pr ic e Change3 per . Mov . A v g. (Flats Month ly Pr ic e Change)

2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5+ Bed

Average House Price £149,182 £193,549 £331,835 £553,838

% Change (month) 0.0 0.2 0.1 -0.2% Change (year) 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.2

House – Prices By Size

£149K£162K

£194K£207K

£332K£337K

£554K£503K

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2 Bed Hous e 3 Bed Hous e 4 Bed Hous e 5+ Bed Hous e

Studio &1 Bed 2 Bed 3+ Bed

Average Flat Price £132,035 £177,976 £298,838

% Change (month) 0.1 -0.3 -0.8% Change (year) 2.1 0.8 -2.6

Flat – Prices By Size

£149K £132K

£201K£178K

£307K £299K

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S tud io & 1 Bed Flats 2 Bed Flat 3+ Bed Flat

Page 5: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 4 ]

First-Time Buyer Affordability

Asking Prices – First-Time BuyerThe average price of first time buyer properties on the market (national)

First-Time Buyer Property Price / Income Ratio Vs First-Time Buyer Mortgage ValueChart shows first-time buyer property prices in relation to average household incomes – and how much borrowers need to raise once they have secured a typical mortgage (based on latest CML income multiples) – the affordability gap.

Affordability Gap As Multiple Of First-Time Buyer Gross Annual IncomeChart shows the multiple of gross annual household income first-time buyers will have to raise once they have secured their mortgage.

Affordability Gap (£ Deposit Required)Chart shows the affordability gap in cash terms.

Asking Prices (First-Time Buyer)

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FTB Proper ty Pr ic e/Inc ome Ratio

FTB Mortgage V alue/Inc ome V alue

FT B A FFORDA BIL IT Y GA P

First-Time Buyer Property Price / Income Ratio vs First-Time Buyer Mortgage Value

FTB Property Price / Income Ratio vs CML FTB Mortgage Value / Income Ratio (multiple of income which lenders are lending to FTBs)

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First-Time Buyer Affordability Gap (multiple of First-Time Buyer gross annual income)

Amount of Deposit required expressed as multiple of FTB average household income, sufficient to buy typical FTB home after obtaining

mortgage achievable with FTB income

£55K

£71K

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Amount of Deposit required sufficient to buy typical FTB home after obtaining mortgage achievable with FTB average household income

Page 6: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 5 ]

Regional Property Price Analysis

Scotland Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £152,967 £152,283

% change (month) 0.4 1.0% change (year) 1.7 -0.6

North East Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £153,430 £153,420

% change (month) 0.0 0.0% change (year) -0.7 0.1

North West Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £160,513 £160,034

% change (month) 0.3 0.1% change (year) -1.0 -1.6

Yorkshire & Humber Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £160,897 £160,665

% change (month) 0.1 0.5% change (year) -2.8 -3.6

West Midlands Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £176,758 £177,076

% change (month) -0.2 0.4% change (year) 3.1 3.3

East Midlands Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £173,110 £172,963

% change (month) 0.1 0.4% change (year) 1.0 0.4

Wales Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £171,589 £171,772

% change (month) -0.1 0.7% change (year) -4.3 -3.7

South West Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £241,348 £241,515

% change (month) -0.1 0.0% change (year) 0.3 0.7

South East Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £280,393 £279,793

% change (month) 0.2 0.2% change (year) 3.1 3.9

UK TOTAL Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £220,231 £220,308

% change (month) 0.0 0.3% change (year) 1.1 1.8

East of England Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £217,616 £216,668

% change (month) 0.4 -0.5% change (year) 0.7 0.6

London Jul-10 Jun-10Average property price £435,110 £440,136

% change (month) -1.1 0.3% change (year) 1.7 6.2

Page 7: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 6 ]

Regional First-Time Buyer Affordability

Scotland Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £110,132 £110,220

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.3 4.3

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £28,576 £27,112

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 1.1 1.1

North East Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £110,671 £110,782

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.0 4.0

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £23,183 £21,630

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 0.8 0.8

North West Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £115,663 £115,634

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.3 4.3

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £31,633 £30,004

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 1.2 1.1

Yorkshire & Humber Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £116,907 £116,801

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.3 4.3

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £30,978 £29,237

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 1.1 1.1

West Midlands Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £119,392 £119,006

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 3.8 3.8

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £20,345 £18,075

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 0.6 0.6

East Midlands Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £117,119 £117,079

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 3.5 3.5

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £11,995 £9,956

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 0.4 0.3

Wales Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £123,250 £123,221

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.4 4.4

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £34,217 £32,497

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 1.2 1.2

East of England Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £141,252 £141,080

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.1 4.1

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £32,551 £30,315

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 0.9 0.9

South West Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £158,159 £158,933

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 5.3 5.4

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £64,642 £63,641

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 2.2 2.2

London Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £257,841 £256,144

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 7.8 7.8

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £154,035 £150,367

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 4.7 4.6

South East Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £186,737 £186,835

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.9 4.9

Affordability Gap (Effective Deposit Required) £65,390 £63,184

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 1.7 1.6

UK TOTAL Jul-10 Jun-10Average FTB price £155,994 £156,065

FTB Property Price/FTB Income 4.9 4.9 Affordability Gap (Effective

Deposit Required) £55,171 £53,327

Affordability Gap as multiple of FTB income 1.7 1.7

Page 8: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

Media Enquiries:

James Craig | The Wriglesworth Consultancy | Tel: 020 7427 1405 | Email: [email protected]

© 2010 FindaProperty.com[ 7 ]

London Boroughs

London Borough House Prices

Rank Borough AVG Property Price ALL

% Monthly Change ALL

% Annual Change ALL

Greater London £435,110 -1.1% 1.7%1 Kensington & Chelsea £1,091,476 -0.7% 10.3%2 City of Westminster £957,481 -1.3% 0.5%3 Camden £697,082 -4.1% 11.6%4 Hammersmith & Fulham £659,401 -0.8% 7.9%5 City of London £543,650 2.2% 12.4%6 Barnet £500,821 -0.8% 9.0%7 Richmond upon Thames £495,096 1.0% 2.1%8 Wandsworth £474,757 -2.1% 6.3%9 Islington £448,701 0.9% 4.9%

10 Haringey £441,529 -4.4% -3.9%11 Merton £429,134 -0.5% 8.8%12 Ealing £403,430 0.9% 5.5%13 Kingston upon Thames £388,542 0.3% 2.1%14 Hackney £354,930 -1.2% 8.7%15 Brent £351,980 -1.0% 3.7%16 Tower Hamlets £351,483 -0.5% 0.9%17 Bromley £350,651 0.4% 6.8%18 Lambeth £348,114 -0.3% 1.2%19 Southwark £347,579 -1.0% 9.3%20 Hounslow £344,737 -0.4% 0.3%21 Harrow £332,192 -2.4% 4.5%22 Hillingdon £315,808 0.1% 2.2%23 Enfield £300,135 -1.1% 3.0%24 Redbridge £293,419 -0.2% 4.3%25 Lewisham £284,938 0.0% 6.2%26 Greenwich £279,315 0.7% 5.9%27 Havering £278,862 0.6% 2.3%28 Sutton £276,534 -0.6% 2.5%29 Croydon £258,201 0.3% 3.4%30 Bexley £237,482 0.6% 7.2%31 Waltham Forest £237,224 -0.5% 7.5%32 Newham £229,723 -0.6% 7.2%33 Barking & Dagenham £181,385 0.5% 5.0%

Page 9: FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index ... · First-time buyer affordability worsened in July despite average prices remaining stable. First-time buyers now need to

JULY 2010

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Supply Vs. Asking Price

Supply Vs Asking Price

Date UK Average Asking Price UK Average Asking Price Property Count Index Property Count Index Jan-2008 £230,714 £175,912 100.0 100.0

Feb-2008 £229,410 £174,685 117.2 115.0

Mar-2008 £229,648 £174,328 136.6 132.6

Apr-2008 £227,438 £172,485 168.6 158.4

May-2008 £222,893 £168,736 185.3 170.9

Jun-2008 £221,683 £167,021 200.8 182.9

Jul-2008 £220,886 £165,166 231.0 205.6

Aug-2008 £218,912 £163,143 236.6 208.7

Sep-2008 £217,622 £161,644 236.1 206.4

Oct-2008 £218,439 £161,160 229.3 197.5

Nov-2008 £220,014 £161,564 226.7 194.6

Dec-2008 £219,397 £160,985 222.4 189.7

Jan-2009 £218,784 £160,174 212.5 181.8

Feb-2009 £215,036 £156,385 242.5 206.6

Mar-2009 £213,478 £154,684 232.8 198.9

Apr-2009 £213,594 £153,643 221.6 187.9

May-2009 £215,761 £153,880 210.9 177.9

Jun-2009 £216,496 £153,460 200.9 168.8

Jul-2009 £217,821 £153,974 189.8 160.4

Aug-2009 £217,737 £153,719 187.2 159.1

Sep-2009 £218,134 £154,205 189.0 161.6

Oct-2009 £219,658 £154,613 189.3 161.0

Nov-2009 £218,654 £154,309 186.6 160.7

Dec-2009 £217,710 £154,133 184.1 159.8

Jan-2010 £216,801 £153,988 181.9 158.9

Feb-2010 £216,821 £154,036 188.4 165.7

Mar-2010 £217,006 £154,720 199.0 175.9

Apr-2010 £218,475 £155,242 207.5 182.2

May-2010 £219,748 £155,677 224.2 195.9

Jun-2010 £220,308 £156,065 245.2 215.7

Jul-2010 £220,231 £155,994 260.8 230.2

Supply Vs Asking Price All Properties

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A v g A s king Pr ic e UK Proper ty Count Index A LL

Supply Vs Asking Price First-Time Buyer

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A v g A s king Pr ic e FTB Proper ty Count Index FTB

MethodologyThe FindaProperty.com House Prices and Affordability Index was created using a statistical methodology developed by Calnea Analytics.