horizon scanning and future trends
TRANSCRIPT
Horizon scanning & future trendsMartin Hamilton
Photo credit: CC-BY-NC-ND Flickr user sigurdrHorizon scanning & future trends
Horizon scanning & future trends
1. Horizon scanning in context– Jisc’s vision and mission– Building on the Janet network & cloud brokerage
2. Future of cloud computing– Open questions from Jisc’s cloud survey – Horizon scan report: Potential R&D actions– Feedback from cloud think tank– Next steps: Jisc cloud strategy
3. What’s next?– Other trends and technologies we’re looking at
Horizon scanning & future trends
1. Horizon scanning in context
1. Context
What Jisc does:›Delivers shared digital infrastructure and services for universities and colleges
›Brokers sector-wide deals with IT vendors and commercial publishers
›Provides expert and trusted advice and practical assistance
1. Context
MissionTo enable people in higher education, further education and skills in the UK to perform at the forefront of international practice by exploiting fully the possibilities of modern digital empowerment, content and connectivity
VisionTo make the UK the most digitally advanced education and research nation in the world
1. Context
› Jisc’s annualfunding
1. Context
› Janet network
1. ContextNetflix
VoicenetAkamai
Virgin Radio
Bogons
Logicalis UKPipex / GXN
BBC
Datahop
InTechnology
INUK
Simplecall
LINX multicast
Gamma
Simplecall Redstone
Updata
aql
Voicenet
Limelight
Limelight
AkamaiBTnet
Init7
Amazon
Microsoft EU (via TN)
Telekom Malaysia
Globelynx
10Gbit/s 1Gbit/s
100Gbit/
s
GÉANT
GÉANT+
LINX
Microsoft EU (via TW)
Total external connectivity ≈ 1 Tbit/s
Leeds
Akamai
VM for LGfLInTechnology
NHS N3
Exa Networks
Synetrix BBC (HD 4K pilots)
One Connect
Glasgow&
Edinburgh
HEAnet
BBC (Pacific Quay)
Gamma
BBC (HD 4K pilots)
NHS N3
SWAN (Glas)
SWAN (Edin)
Manchester
Telecity
Harbour
Exch.
Telehouse
North & West
VM for LGfLRM for
Schools
VM for LGfL
RM for Schools
Global Transit
Tata IXManchester
IXLeeds
Global Transit Level3
Global Transit Level3
1. ContextJisc brokered cloud deals: Google Apps for Education» The University of Westminster estimates that it saved £1m by moving to
Google Apps for Education for email and other online collaboration facilities. They also state that “an additional benefit has been the reduced time spent in systems and user support with a minimal number of calls for support for such a significant system”, and that moving to the cloud has “liberated staff and students from the smaller storage limits of the previous in-house solution.”
http://services.google.com/fh/files/misc/univofwestminster.pdf
» Ealing, Hammersmith and West London College have also migrated to Google Apps. They observe that “each year, 20,000 new accounts are created providing 600 terabytes (around 150,000 DVDs worth) of storage in less than five minutes.” Subsequently to this article being written, Google moved to offering free unlimited storage.
http://www.wlc.ac.uk/college/news/article.asp?newsID=4228
1. ContextJisc brokered cloud deals: Microsoft Office365» The University of the West of London moved its 14,000 students to Office365, and
observes that once a student graduates “they can maintain that Office365 account through the University for life. We can continue to supply them with information about the University, help them find their second job, their third job and so on. This isn’t just about collaboration while studying, it’s about creating a life-long connection between the students and the University.”
http://www.slideshare.net/Microsofteduk/university-of-west-london-case-study-office-365
» The University of Dundee migrated all of its 22,000 student accounts to Microsoft’s Office365 for Education service over a week. They note that this was achieved with zero down time, and estimate that Office365 “will save us at least £500,000 in infrastructure and staffing over five years.”
http://www.slideshare.net/Microsofteduk/university-of-dundee-case-study-office-365
» Now over 100 UK universities using Office365
1. ContextDogfooding› We moved
our own core infrastructure to AWS
› Estimate that this saved >£100K p.a.
› Cloud first / mobile first for new stuff
[Image credit:Mike Jones]
1. ContextJisc’s Amazon cloud portal› Monthly invoicing - credit cards are no
longer required for payment› Itemized billing - consolidated across
users/departments› Billing in GBP, not dollars› Setting of budget limits for individual
user accounts or departments› The retrieval of service usage
information within own areas of responsibility
› Volume-discounts through aggregation across multiple educational institutions
1. ContextOpen questions from Jisc’s recent cloud survey:
› 29% of the CIOs responding to our survey told us that they had no plans to use public cloud to support research at their institutions
› 31% indicated that they were reluctant to move business systems to the cloud
› 61% of respondents said that financial aspects of cloud computing were a major concern
Need to address these in Jisc’s Cloud Strategy (under development)
Horizon scanning & future trends
2. Future of cloud computing(report & think tank)
2. Future of cloud computing
Photo CC-BY Jisc, from an original by Phil Wolff
2. Future of cloud computing
https://community.jisc.ac.uk/blogs/regulatory-developments
2. Future of cloud computing
https://community.jisc.ac.uk/blogs/regulatory-developments
2. Future of cloud computing
https://community.jisc.ac.uk/blogs/regulatory-developments
2. Future of cloud computingThink tank feedback:› Actual and perceived cost issues
around public cloud, e.g. egresscharging versus anecdotal evidencearound “credit card professors”
› Institutions and funders strugglingwith shift from capex to opex – RCUKCloud WG will look at research view
› Need to raise awareness of sharedresponsibility for security, role of ITdepartment to facilitate
Amazon, Microsoft and Google at the cloud think tank
2. Future of cloud computing
Three big ideas in our future of cloud report:
›Cloud as a utility›App as a Service›Building capability
Read the report: bit.ly/jisccloudfutures
›Cloud as a utility“Our key recommendation is that Jisc should work with the sector and public cloud providers to make it easier for institutions to switch between cloud providers and to migrate workloads between the public and private clouds – leveraging public investment in the Janet network.”
2. Future of cloud computing
2. Future of cloud computing
http://science.energy.gov/~/media/ascr/pdf/program-documents/docs/Magellan_Final_Report.pdf
›Cloud as a utility
›Cloud as a utility
2. Future of cloud computing
http://science.energy.gov/~/media/ascr/pdf/program-documents/docs/Magellan_Final_Report.pdf
› App as a Service“Smartphones and tablets have established a culture of ‘package once, install a billion times’, but our colleges and universities still commonly package common applications separately and independently for distribution to users. This is inefficient and it diverts highly skilled IT staff from activities that could genuinely add value.”
2. Future of cloud computing
See http://blog.martinh.net/2011/11/post-pc-manifesto.html
2. Future of cloud computing
›App as a Service
2. Future of cloud computing
›App as a Service
2. Future of cloud computing
›App as a Service
2. Future of cloud computing
http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2014/11/07/cerns-openstack-cloud-to-reach-150000-cores-by-2015/
›Building capability“It is clear from the results of the Jisc cloud survey that practice with established cloud technologies is still quite variable. We believe that there is a need to come together to share our experiences of what works, building capability at institutions and identifying areas where further intervention would be helpful.”
2. Future of cloud computing
http://www.datanami.com/2013/09/23/cern_turns_to_google_for_datacenter_direction/
›Building capability
2. Future of cloud computingThink tank feedback:› Our efforts would be best focussed on
particular domains and use cases, e.g.cloud HPC orchestration, cannedworkflows, Windows apps
› Lots of interest in OpenStack forprivate/community clouds andDocker for app portability
› Feeling that cloud could potentially freeup significant amounts of IT staff time to work witheducators and researchers
Amazon, Microsoft and Google at the cloud think tank
Horizon scanning & future trends
3. What’s next?
3. What’s next?
Upcoming topics›Data-driven decision making›The digital institution›Open by default›Personalised learning›Research in a connected era
3. What’s next?
Photo CC-BY Flickruser codep8
Data-driven decision making›How do we move from business intelligence to the sort of data-led culture that internet-native firms like Google and Amazon have built their decision-making processes around?–How can we improve our approach to
data gathering and sharing both internally and externally?
Horizon scanning & future trends
That’s all folks…
Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under CC-BY
Martin HamiltonFuturist, Jisc, London