hard drive research at nsic · national storage industry consortium thic 1/26/96 hard drive...
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National Storage Industry ConsortiumTHIC 1/26/96
Hard Drive Research at NSIC
Barry H. SchechtmanExecutive Director
National Storage Industry Consortium
THIC MeetingDel Mar, CaliforniaJanuary 24, 1996
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NSICMISS.DOC
NSICNSIC
INCORPORATED:
APRIL, 1991
MISSION:
INCREASE THE WORLDWIDECOMPETITIVENESS OF THE U.S.INFORMATION STORAGE INDUSTRY
STRATEGIC ELEMENTS:
• JOINT RESEARCH ON HIGH-RISK ADVANCEDSTORAGE TECHNOLOGIES
• OBTAIN GOVERNMENT FUNDING • TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS • MAXIMIZE VALUE OF UNIVERSITY RESEARCH • SPOKESBODY FOR INDUSTRY
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National Storage Industry Consortium 1/1/96
Corporate Members
APPLIED MAGNETICS
CENSTOR
COMMONWEALTH SCIENTIFIC
CONNER PERIPHERALS
DATATAPE
DIGITAL INSTRUMENTS
EASTMAN KODAK
GTE GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS
HEADWAY TECHNOLOGIES
HEWLETT-PACKARD
HUGHES
HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY
IBM
INTEVAC VACUUM SYSTEMS
KLA INSTRUMENTS
KOMAG
MAXTOR
NONVOLATILE ELECTRONICS
ONTRACK COMPUTER SYSTEMS
OPTITEK
PACIFIC SIERRA RESEARCH
QUANTUM
READ-RITE
ROCHESTER PHOTONICS
ROCKWELL
ST-GOBAIN ADV MATERIALS
SDL
SEAGATE
STORAGETEK
STORMEDIA
TERABANK SYSTEMS
UNIPHASE
VEECO INSTRUMENTS
WESTERN DIGITAL
ZYGO
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National Storage Industry Consortium 1/1/96
Associate Members
ALABAMAARIZONACAL TECH
CARNEGIE MELLONDAYTON
GEORGE WASHINGTONGEORGIA TECH
IDEMALAWRENCE LIVERMORE NAT’L LAB
LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LABMIT
MINNESOTANAT’L INST OF STDS & TECHNOLOGY
NATIONAL MEDIA LAB
NORTHWESTERNNEBRASKAOHIO STATEPENN STATEPITTSBURGH
RICESANTA CLARA
STANFORDSRI INTERNATIONAL
UC BERKELEYUCLA
UC SAN DIEGOUC SANTA BARBARAWASHINGTON UNIV
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National Storage Industry Consortium IEEE-1/16/96
NSIC Research Projects
CURRENTSWAT: Compact Blue Laser Source
ATP (1991-96): 3 companies, 2 universities
HEADS: GMR Heads for 10 Gb/in 2
ATP (1992-97): 9 companies, 7 universities
UHDR: 10 Gb/in 2 Magnetic Disk Recording 1 TB/in3 Magnetic Tape Recording 2.5 Gb/in2 Optical Media
ARPA (1993-96): 14 companies, 16 universities
PRISM: Holographic Storage MaterialsARPA (1994-96): 6 companies, 1 university
HDSS: Holographic Storage SystemsARPA (1995-99): 7 companies, 4 universities
UCOD: 1 Terabyte Optical DiskATP (1995-99): 2 companies, 1 university
PENDINGEHDR: 40 Gbit/in 2 Magnetic Disk RecordingNASD: Network Attached Storage Devices
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National Storage Industry Consortium
RDMPR1PM
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National Storage Industry Consortium
Industry AD
Trend
(27% CAGR)
IBM 500
Mbit/sqin
demo
IBM
1Gb/sqin
demo
IBM
3Gb/sqin
demo
NSIC
10Gb/sqin
demo
NSIC
40Gb/sqin
demo
HG95_ALL.WR1
HG95ADR1
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View.doc
P L E A S E T A K E N O T E :
60% CGR
Means
10
Every 5 Years
T h i s I s N o t E a s y ! !
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National Storage Industry Consortium NIST8/95- 3
Overall Product Parameters
1995 2000 2005 Units
Areal Density 1 10 40 Gb/sq.in
Bit Density 100 K 400 K 800 K bits/in
Track Density 6 K 25 K 50 K tracks/in
Physical Spacing 50 15 < 5 nm
Data Rate(65 mm disk)
30-60 150-300 300-600 Mb/sec
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THIC10.doc
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THIC11.doc
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THIC12.doc
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THIC13.doc
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THIC14.doc
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THIC15.doc
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THIC16.doc
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THIC17.doc
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THIC18.doc
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National Storage Industry Consortium NIST8/95- 11
More Paradigm Changes Likely
Heads: Inductive → MR → GMR → CMR?Ferrite → Plated Film → Thin Film/Laminate?
Media: Particles → Continuous → Discrete?Binder → Overcoat → Bare?
Head-Disk: Flying → Near-Contact → Contact?
Tracking: Sector → Continuous → Two-stage?
Channel: Analog → Digital → Enhanced Digital?
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THIC20.doc
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NSIC Report - “The Terabyte Wedge” TBW-6© 1995 National Storage Industry Consortium
Forecasting Future Terabyte Distribution
Scenarios for Terabyte Distribution by Segment
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%19
95
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Entertainment
Analog to Digital
Image in Business
Alphanumeric
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NSIC Report - “The Terabyte Wedge” TBW-8© 1995 National Storage Industry Consortium
Home "Alpha"
Computing
On-line "Alpha"
Computing
Medical Imaging
Business "Alpha"
Computing
Motion Picture and Commercial Photography
Virtual Prototype
and TestingBusiness
Multimedia
Digital Libraries
Document Conversion
Consumer Photography
Video on Demand
Consumer Video
Games
Extreme Cost Sensitvity
High
Modest Cost Sensitivity
Low
Perform ance Requirements - F ile Size / Reso lution - Data Rates - Time t o First Data - Reliability - Dist ribution In frastructure
Cost Requi rements - HDD Cost - S ystems Cost - Distribut ion Costs - E tc.
Alphanumeric Computing
Analog to Dig ital Conversion
Entertainment
Segments
Note : S ize of the B ubb le = NS IC view of re lat ive sto rage m arke t opportun ity
Storage Industry - Application Market Segments
Images & Soundin Business
Target Market Segments