h:90 l:61 vis 3-5 fg lum: 98% aft 09c 5-7 hz sr:0700 nw-n 5-10 kt ss:1700 road warrior resolute 8...

H:90L:61VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98%Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700

ROAD WARRIOR “RESOLUTE” 8 APR 2005 SOUTHERN IRAQ

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

RECENT ACTIVITY1) No Activity to report

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

KeyBlue represents 7th Group attacks.

DUST


ROAD WARRIOR “RESOLUTE” 8 APR 2005 BAGHDAD

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

RECENT ACTIVITY1) 7April-1015, IED found and cleared by a

patrol in Baghdad MB 374 6242) 7April-1230, SAF attack on a TCP in

Baghdad MB 329 827

1

2

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

DUST


ROAD WARRIOR “RESOLUTE” 8 APR 2005 CENTRAL IRAQ

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

RECENT ACTIVITY1) 7April-1419, IED attack on a patrol MB

122 0302) 7April-1138, IED found and cleared by a

patrol MB 400 455 3) 7April-1015, IED found and cleared by a

patrol in Baghdad MB 407 577 4) 7April-1023, IED attack on a patrol in

Ramadi LB 387 3965) 7April-0743, IED attack on a patrol in

Baghdad MC 349 2286) 7April-1016, IED found and cleared by a

patrol in Ba’qubah MC 678 3247) 7April-0623, Indirect fire attack on a

base in Ba’qubah MC 655 397

5

76

1

2

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

3

4

DUST

RECENT ACTIVITY1) 7April-0616, Indirect fire attack on a base

in Bayji LD 557 6482) 7April-0750, IED attack on a patrol LE 373

0683) 7April-1133, IED found and cleared by a

patrol in Hawija LE 930 080 4) 7April-0953, Indirect fire attack in Kirkuk

ME 390 0705) 7April-1220, Indirect fire attack on a base

in Kirkuk ME 402 2506) 7April-1142, IED found and cleared by a

patrol in Kirkuk ME 486 2867) 7April-1105, SAF attack on a patrol in

Mosul LF 383 2028) 7April-1257, SVBIED attack on a patrol in

Mosul LF 376 2069) 7April-0947, VBIED attack on a patrol in

Tall Afar KF 723 29910) 7April-1343, Indirect fire attack on a base

in Tall Afar KF 726 290


UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

6

43

ROADWARRIOR “RESOLUTE” 8 APR 2005 NORTHERN IRAQ

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

10 89 7

2

5

1

HAZE


ROAD WARRIOR “RESOLUTE” 8 APR 2005 KUWAIT

FPCON:C+ARMING STANCE NTV:AMBER BUS:AMBER TACT:AMBER ALL HVT/BUS ESCORT=AMBER

RECENT ACTIVITY

1) No activity to report

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

Date08 Apr

FRI

09 Apr

SAT10 AprSUN

11 AprMON

NORTHNORTH

HIHI / LOLO 75 / 52

WESTWEST

HIHI / LOLO 84 / 55 88/ 55

EASTEAST

HI HI / LO/ LO 86 / 57

SOUTHSOUTH

HI HI / LO/ LO 90 / 61

C = Ceiling V = Visibility TS = Thunderstorm R = Rain W = Wind T = Temperature FZ = Freezing Precip

Baghdad

Mosul

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

4 Day Weather Forecast4 Day Weather Forecast 4 Day Weather Forecast4 Day Weather Forecast

72 / 50 72 / 50

91 / 59

86 / 59

93 / 61

84 / 54

90 / 57 89 / 57

85 / 54

89/ 55

72 / 50

Dust

Dust

Dust

Haze

Dust

Dust

Dust

Haze

Dust

Dust

Dust

Haze

Dust

Dust

Dust

Haze

REGIONAL ASSESSMENTS: (S//REL MCFI)

SOUTHERN IRAQ: With the Bridge on MSR Tampa closed until June ASR Circle will become more dangerous. Expect convoy harassment and criminal activity.

BAGHDAD: Craters caused by IED’s have restricted movement on ASR Sword. Check points 24-28 on MSR Tampa south of Baghdad have seen an increase in IED activity. Attack on Abu Ghurayb prison near ASR Sword/MSR Mobile intersection.

CENTRAL IRAQ: There will be an increase in civilians traveling on foot on ASR Jackson and ASR Miami due to their religious pilgrimage. Salman Pak is becoming more of a threat, ASR Detroit will become more dangerous because insurgents are becoming more aggressive in attacking convoys in the area with SAF and multiple IED’s.

NORTHERN IRAQ: Samarra, Mosul, Tikrit, and Kirkuk continue to be the focal points of insurgent attacks. Kurdish political groups were not happy about the election results and have been pushing for a separatist movement.

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

3 DAY ATTACK ROLLUP

SOUTHERN IRAQ: (First Map)Expect increased attacks on ASR Circle near Safwan.As you cross the border, you skirt the edge of the town of

Safwan. From Safwan to Scania mostly criminal activities and hijackings.

0 IED attacks 1 Direct Fire attack 0 Indirect Fire attacks .

BAGHDAD: (Second Map)Expect attacks to increase near Salman Pak.This is a HOT SPOT. 4 IED attacks 2 Direct Fire attacks 0 Indirect Fire attacks

CENTRAL: (Third Map)Expect to see an increase in VBIED’s in RamadiHOT SPOTS: Taji, Balad, Fallujah, Ar Ramadi and Ba’Qubah 8 IED attacks0 Direct fire attacks1 Indirect fire attacks

NORTHERN IRAQ: (Fourth Map)Expect increased attacks in Mosul, and Samarra. HOT SPOTS: Tikrit, Kirkuk, Samarra, and Mosul.This is a NEW HOT SPOT. 14 IED attacks8 Direct fire attacks 8 Indirect fire attacks

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

• AT LEAST 300 INSURGENTS INTEND TO ATTACK AGIF BETWEEN 07 APRIL 2005 AND 09 APRIL 2005. THE INSURGENTS GROUP CONDUCTING THE ATTACK IS PRIMARILY SAUDI. IT IS UNKNOWN WHO IS SPONSORING THE ATTACK. THE INSURGENTS WILL MOVE INTO KHANDARI AT THE EARLIEST POSSIBLE OPPORTUNITY. IF UNABLE TO MOVE INTO THE TOWN BEFORE THE DEMONSTRATION TAKES PLACE, THE INSURGENTS WILL TRAVEL TO AGIF BYCONCEALING THEMSELVES WITHIN THE DEMONSTRATION.

• EXPECT THE INSURGENTS TO ATTACK WITH SMALL ARMS, RPG'S, GRENADES, AND MORTARS. THE INSURGENTS WOULD ALSO LIKE TO USE VEHICLES TO CONSTRUCT VBIEDS.

Current threat advisory

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

Current enemy TTP’s

• Booby trapping dead bodies • Suicide bombers with ball bearing filled vests.• Using road crews to emplace IEDs, poss along major routes used by MNF.• Rocket attacks including 57mm, 107mm, and 122mm improvised firings. • AIF utilizing vehicles as mobile caches to avoid MNF C&S/Raids and possibly to establish pre-arranged

munitions and weapons for planned operations.• AIF increasingly using complex attacks against MNF incorporating various methods of attack.• AIF resorting to drive-by shooting, sniper attacks and use SAF suppressors to conceal flash-to-bang noise

and decrease delectability.• AIF using concrete encased IEDs to blend in with natural surroundings.• Rapid emplacement of firing mechanisms into IEDs IOT allow the IED to be in place while unarmed.• Use of multiple IEDs placed in the same vicinity designed to be detonated simultaneously or separately to

attack convoys based on estimated spacing intervals between CF vehicles.• Use of command wire detonated mobile rocket platforms in the form of donkey carts. The rockets are being

stored on top of and below the cart.• Insurgents continuing to target specially trained personnel (EOD) with stacked IEDs, secondary explosions, or

SAF.• Distribution of DVDs and video-CDs of beheadings to both recruit and threaten the Mosul populace.• Using part of the Warlock antenna (perhaps other military equipment) as an IED. The AIF has taken a piece

of the Warlock antenna and attached it to the explosive which is buried. The two are attached with wire and when a soldier picks up the equipment the wires detonate the explosive.

• VBIED attacks on camps followed by mortar fire and small arms fire.• General increase in VBIED activity in the last 30 days.

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

MSR/ASR BREAKDOWN• TAMPA 21• DOVER 6• DETROIT 7• VANESSA 1• CHERRY 5• PEPPER 2• MILTON 1• CHEYENNE 3• TACO 3• CLEMSON 2• GOLDEN 1• DENI 3• HERSHEY 1

• GRAPE 1• HEATHER 1• LINDA 1• TRANS AM 2• MANDY 1• GINGER 1• PRUNE 1

Information for this analysis came from MNF-I database of SIGACT’s

TOTAL: 234DETONATIONS: 112 DISCOVERIES: 122

64 IED EVENTS ON MSRs/ASRs

30 DAY IED BREAKDOWN on MSR’s/ASR’s

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

CONCEALED IN• 5 GARBAGE BAGS • 2 DIRT MOUND• 1 CONCRETE • 1 SAND BAGS • 1 ANIMAL CARCASS • 1 METAL BOX• 1 EMBEDDED IN ROAD

LOCATION OF DETONATION

• 2 FIRST VEHICLE • 2 SECOND VEHICLE • 2 THIRD VEHICLE • 1 TRAIL VEHICLE • 1 DETONATED AFTER CONVOY

PASSED

COMPLEX ATTACKS• 14 SAF WITH IED (1using RPG)• 11 SECOND IED FOUND• 9 DAISY CHAIN IED • 3 THIRD IED FOUND • 3 THROWN FROM VEHICLE• 2 BAIT IED

RECAP OF TTP’s

IED EMPLACEMENT• 9 SHOULDER OF ROAD• 6 TRAFFIC CIRCLE• 2 MEDIAN • 1 CULVERT • 2 DITCH • 2 SURFACE LAID• 2 BRIDGE• 1 BURRIED

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

MUNITIONS USED• 155MM 40• 152MM 9• 130MM 7• 125MM 2• 122MM 2• 120MM 18• 105MM 5• 100MM 0• 80MM 1• 82MM 7• 76MM 1• 60MM 2• 57MM 0

• LAND MINE 5• PROPELLENT 3• ROCKET 3• PE-4 2• RPG 2• GRENADE 1• SMOKE ROUND 1• FIRE EXT 1• TNT 1• HE (10-15LBS) 1

IED BREAKDOWN

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

MNF-W VBIED Activity

9 VBIEDS Jan-Present

MNB-NW VBIED Activity 58 VBIEDS Jan-Present

MND-NC VBIED Activity


MND-Baghdad VBIED Activity


MND-CS VBIED Activity


MND-SE VBIED Activity


UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

Significant dates:

• 08 April Foundation of Iraqi Ba’ath Party

• 09 April Anniversary of Baghdad falling to MNF (Declared a National Holiday)

• 28 April Saddam Hussein’s birthday

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

h:90 l:61 vis 3-5 fg lum: 98% aft 09c 5-7 hz sr:0700 nw-n 5-10 kt ss:1700 road warrior resolute 8...

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