Graduation Rate Process(Grade 9 Students)

Anthony TranDepartment of Research & Evaluation

12/01/2011

Demographics

2

• 53,104 enrolled in K-12– 36 Elementary, 9 Intermediate, 10 High

School– 95.4% Hispanic– 58.3% English Learner– 77.3% Socio-Eco Disadv.– 9.1% Special Education– 95.0% API School Mobility– 99.0% API District Mobility

Different Graduation Rate Formulas

3

• Number of graduates/number enrolled

• Greene Method (Manhattan Institute)

• Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR)

• Cumulative Promotion Index (CPI)

• Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Ohio, Virginia,…

• National Center for Education Statistics definition (NCES)

• Cohort Outcome (CDE)

What’s Missing?

4

• In-depth view of student movement, within and in-and-out of district, throughout their high school career and its effect on who graduates.

• Critical Questions– How much movement is there really?– Where do students go when they leave?– How many students leave & do they come back?– What is our procedure for students leaving school?

Necessary Clarifications

5

Non-graduates are not the same as dropouts

Graduate Non-Graduate DropoutDefinition:

Students who completed all graduation requirements and earned a high school diploma

Example:Student earned 220 credits,

passed CAHSEE and completed all other

graduation requirements

Definition: Students who earned a

special education certificate; earned a GED or passed the

CHSPE; etc.

Example:Student who passed away, exited school for medical issues, or transferred to

another school

Definition:Students who left prior to

completing the year AND is not enrolled in another

program leading toward a diploma OR grade 12 and did

not complete Grad requirements (w/ exceptions)

Example:Student who did not pass CAHSEE, transferred, but

never enrolled, expelled and not enrolled at another school

Important CALPADS Codes

6

High School Graduates and Completers

Exit Reason

Completion Status Description Graduate Completer

E230 100 Graduated and received a standard high school diploma

Yes Yes

E230 250 Left school and obtained high school diploma through Adult Ed

Yes Yes

E230 106 Graduated with CAHSEE waiver No Yes

E230 108 Graduated with CAHSEE exemption

No Yes

E230 330 Left after passing the California High School Proficiency Exam

No Yes

E230 320 Left school and completed GED No Yes

E230 120 Student with an IEP left with a certificate of completion

No Yes

Important CALPADS Codes

7

Exits counted as dropoutsfor grades 7-12 and Ungraded Secondary (US)

Exit Reason Completion Status Description

E140 No known enrollment, identified as truant

E300 Expelled with no known enrollment

E400 Other or unknown

N420 Student completed prior school year but did not return next year

T270 Transfer to Adult Ed and then dropped out

T380 Transfer to a non-academic institution and not in a program to get a HS diploma

T460 Transfer to a home school program not affiliated with a private school or independent study program at a public school

E230 104 Completed HS graduation requirements, but did not pass CAHSEE

E230 360 Completed, but did not complete grad requirements

T160* Transfer to another California school

T165* Disciplinary transfer within California

T167* Non-disciplinary referral to adult alternative or independent study

* Counts as a dropout if not subsequently enrolled at another school as of Census DaySee CALPADS Code Sets for more detailed exit code and completion status descriptions

See CALPADS Data Guide (Section 3.7, pp. 143-151) for detailed dropout definition

Our Cheat Sheet

8

Attendance Exit Code

Grad Code

Name Definition

Accountability: GRAD/NON-

GRAD/ DROPOUT

Transfers (sending

school must follow-up )

Acceptable Evidence

230 110 Graduated, standard HS diploma

The student left school after meeting all state and local high school graduation requirements and received a standard high school diploma.

Graduate •Transcript • Graduation Date on SIS

230 104 Completed all local and state graduation requirements, failed CAHSEE

Has all requirements for graduation, but failed CAHSEE

Dropout • Documentation of Parent/Guardian contact attempts on SIS •date •staff name • who they spoke to • type of contact

230 106 Grad,CAHSEE mods & waiver

Special Education student who passes CAHSEE with 350 or higher using a modification and receives a board waiver.

Non-Graduate •IEP•Waiver Paperwork

sample.....

Grade 9 Cohort, pt 1

9

2007 Grade 9 Cohort

Newly enrolled

Enrollment124 Re-enrolled in 2008:

4,837 -- 4,837 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate

0 Graduated -- --

605 School transfer 116 School transfer

88 Out of state 10 Out of state

76 Out of country 31 Out of country

0 GED/CHSPE/military 0 GED/CHSPE/military

0 Illness/deceased 0 Illness/deceased

11 Dropout 0 Dropout

4,057 Expected to enroll in 2008 -33 No Shows

2007 Grade 9 Cohort

Newly enrolled

Enrollment189 Re-enrolled in 2009:

4,181 266 4,447 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate

0 Graduated +43 Re-enrolled from 2007

328 School transfer 85 School transfer

70 Out of state 22 Out of state

127 Out of country 26 Out of country

0 GED/CHSPE/military 0 GED/CHSPE/military

4 Illness/deceased 2 Illness/deceased

49 Dropout 20 Dropout

3,603 Expected to enroll in 2009 -9 No Shows

(124 re-enrolled) 4,057 + 124 =

4,181

2007 thru 2010 Enrollments 2007 Grade 9 Cohort Status (End of Year)

2007 Grade 9

4,837

2008 Grade

10

4,181

Grade 9 Cohort, pt 2

10

2007 Grade 9 Cohort

Newly enrolled

Enrollment3 No Shows in 2010:

3,789 369 4,158 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate

26 Graduated +19 Re-enrolled from 2007

484 School transfer 23 School transfer

52 Out of state 10 Out of state

99 Out of country 3 Out of country

12 GED/CHSPE/military 1 GED/CHSPE/military

34 Adult Ed/ISUS 0 Adult Ed/ISUS

8 Illness/deceased 2 Illness/deceased

108 Dropout 30 Dropout

2,966 Expected to enroll in 2010 -91 No Shows

2007 Grade 9 Cohort

Newly enrolled

Enrollment

2,963 430 3,393 40 Spec Ed w/ certificate 29 Not Pass CAHSEE

2,522 Graduated 92 Did not meet Grad Req's

183 School transfer 1 Adult Ed dropout

2 Out of state 1 No show

2 Out of country 62 No known enroll

0 GED/CHSPE/military4 Home schooled

24 Adult Ed, non-dropout 260 Graduates

1 Illness/deceased 3 Spec Ed w/ certificates

185 Dropout 136 Dropouts

1 home school

10 adult ed

2 school transfers

18 incorrectly coded as exits

Dropout Reasons

(3 No Show s) 2,966 - 3 = 2,963

2009 Grade

11

3,789

(189 re-enrolled) 3,603 + 189 =

3,789

2010 Grade

12

2,963

Grad rate for grade 9 students in 2007 is 52% (2,522/4,837)

Grad rate for students that stay until grade 12 is 85% (2,522/2,963)

Cumulative

Graduates: 2,782/3,393 = 82%

So what do the different rates mean?but our dropout rate was not 48%

What We Learned

11

• We didn’t have as many dropouts as people perceived

• Roughly 38% (1,874) of grade 9 students from 2007 didn’t make it to senior year as a result of transfers to another CA school, move out of state, move out of US, etc.

• 52% of grade 9 students from 2007 graduated, but it doesn’t mean we have a 48% dropout rate

• Passing CAHSEE is not the biggest obstacle to graduating, credit completion is

• There is a lot of confusion on appropriate use of exit codes & their definitions

What We Did & Continue to Do

12

• Hired district-level registrar• Monthly meetings/trainings for Registrars and

Assistant Principals of Guidance• Continuing to assist with correct use of CALPADS exit

codes• Reemphasis and training on credit completion• Monitoring credit completion at all grade levels• Credit recovery beginning in grade 9

Contact Information

13

Department of Research and Evaluation

Anthony Tran

714-558-5793

anthony.tran@sausd.us