global trends in industrial · pdf file · 2014-04-23forecasted evolution : ... no...
TRANSCRIPT
GLOBAL TRENDS IN INDUSTRIAL MARKETS
Gilles DUSSART 2012 ITA Conference
October 8, 2012
DISCLAIMER
The information, estimates and projections contained in this presentation constitute the current
judgment of Valtimet as of the date of this report. They are believed to be reliable, but Valtimet
makes no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy, completeness or reliability. You
rely on these projections and other information in this presentation at your own risk, and
Valtimet assumes no duty to update any of this information should expectations change.
PTA District Cooling
Segment 3
PROCESS
Chemical Oil & Gas
LNG Pool Heater
Segment 2
DESALINATION
Thermal MSF/MED
Segment 1
POWERGEN
Nuclear Power Plant Thermal Power Plant
TITANIUM IN THE INDUSTRY
Gilles Dussart, COO
0,162
0,051 0,036
0
HYDRO, WIND, SOLAR SINGLE CYCLE NUCLEAR COAL
COMBINED CYCLE
Ti tu
bes k
g/M
W
Segment 1: TI USE IN POWER GENERATION MARKET
Gilles Dussart, COO
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
-
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Base
100
in 2
011
MW
Energy Demand Forecast – New connections to the grid
Nuclear Coal Combined Cycle Single Cycle
Hydro Solar Biomass & Waste Wind
Other Renew Titanium Consumption
Segment 1: ENERGY DEMAND OUTLOOK
Gilles Dussart, COO
60+ nuclear reactors under construction
160+ nuclear reactors planned
36
17 14
6
20
51
17 Nafta
ROW
Europe
Korea
Russia CIS
India
China
Corresponding to over 40 000MT of Ti tubes over the coming 20 years
Segment 1: NUCLEAR ENERGY
Gilles Dussart, COO
1
8
6
12
7
26
4
No Ti Ti from
3.5 to 6 kg/(m³/d)
Ti from
0 to 1.2 kg/(m³/d)
MARKET TREND
Thinner tubes generating feasibility and cost questions No growing sustainable volume for Ti MSF design Potential not to be neglected: China & Retubing
Segment 2: DESALINATION
Gilles Dussart, COO
3 TECHNOLOGIES
Thermal MSF Thermal MED Forecasted Evolution : 60 65% Forecasted Evolution: 30 20%
No tubing required Ti versus Copper Alloy Ti versus Stainless Steel or Al Brass
Reverse Osmosis Forecasted Evolution: 10 15%
Huge range of sizes depending on applications and projects
Ti tu
bes M
T/pr
ojec
t
PTA Crystallization LNG District Cooling Refinery
Up to 180 MT
Up to 150 MT
Up to 60 MT 5 to 40 MT
1 to 10 MT
MARKET TREND
Ti still has to be promoted as a Material of Reference with variations comparable to Ni or Cu Room for added value products with improved heat exchange, mechanical or corrosion resistance
Gilles Dussart, COO
Segment 3: PROCESS
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MT
Industrial Titanium Demand
Power Gen Process Desalination
Gilles Dussart, COO
INDUSTRIAL TITANIUM MARKET TREND
Industrial applications are high-risk applications
In the industry, the main driver has always been Improving durability of materials Increasing efficiency
The recent tendency of the industry towards decontenting is dangerous
We do believe high quality products are essential to the industry
Gilles Dussart, COO
INDUSTRIAL TITANIUM TECHNOLOGY TREND
Fukushima Power Plant Doel Power Plant Sayano-Shushenskaya Power Plant
THANK YOU
www.valtimet.com
Gilles Dussart, COO