global hydrocarbon reserves (2009)

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    CCHAIR OFHAIR OF PPETROLEUMETROLEUM

    PPRODUCTION ANDRODUCTION AND PPROCESSINGROCESSING

    Univ. Prof. Dipl. Ing. Dr. Herbert Hofsttter

    Vienna, November 2009

    GlobalGlobal HydrocarbonHydrocarbon

    ReservesReserves

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    WORLD GLOBAL ENERGY SUPPLY

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    World oil production by source in million barrels per day

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    History:

    1920 US Geological Survey announced peak oil

    1939 US Department of Interior: Oil reserves for 13 more years

    1972 Club of Rome: Limits of growth

    1977 US President Jimmy Carter: We are running out of oil

    Reserves = f ( Price, world economics, availability , cost, salaries,technical or fiscal measures, political boundaries, speculations etc.)

    RESERVE ESTIMATION

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    Reserves:

    Reserves are the estimated quantities of hydrocarbons that areclaimed to be recoverable under existing economic and operatingconditions.The total estimated amount of hydrocarbons in an reservoir,including both producible and non-producible hydrocarbons, iscalled oil/gas in place.

    Resources:

    Resources are those quantities of hydrocarbons estimated, as of a

    given date, to be potentially recoverable from accumulations, butthe applied project(s) are not yet considered mature enough forcommercial development.

    DEFINITIONS

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    SANDSTONE RESERVOIR ROCK

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    WORLD GLOBAL ENERGY SUPPLY

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    LARGEST OIL RESERVES

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    World proven reserves of natural gas in trillion cubic metres

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    Oil

    Gas

    Years

    OIL AND GAS RESERVES

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    WORLD OIL SPARE CAPACITY

    million b/d12

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    0

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    Source International Energy Agency; SWP

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    FROM A WOODEN PIPELINE .

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    IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGY ON NORTH SEA PRODUCTION

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    CONVENTIONAL vs. EXPANDABLE TECHNOLOGY

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    EXPANDABLE TECHNOLOGY

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    EVOLUTION OF DEEPWATER TECHNOLOGY

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    FUTURE OIL AND GAS DEEPWATER POTENTIAL UN THE WORLD

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    EVOLUTION OF DRILLING TECHNOLOGY

    Vertical wells

    Deviated wells

    Horizontal wells

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    3 D SEISMIC

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    RESERVOIR SIMULATION - BYPASSED OIL

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    HEAVY OIL

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    HEAVY OIL - RESOURCES

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    SCHEMATIC OF SAGD

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    Figure 4.2

    US CBM RESOURCES

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    DISTRIBUTION OF OIL SHALES

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    GAS HYDRATES

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    MAP OF CONFIRMED METHANE HYDRATE PRESENCE

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    WORLD HYDROCARBON RESOURCES

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    OIL PRICES

    www.tecson.com

    C O O S

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    CRUDE OIL IMPORT AUSTRIA 2007

    Venezuela; 2,2%

    Tunesia; 1,7%

    Russia; 3,2%

    Nigeria; 3,5%

    Turkmenistan; 0,9%

    AZ, SK, CZ, D, F;

    1,0%

    Algeria; 5,8%

    Iran; 6,9%

    Saudi-Arabia; 7,5%

    Syria; 8,8%

    Irak; 12,0%

    Kasachstan; 24,0%

    Libya; 22,6%

    Import: 7.60 Mio to

    Domestic: 0.85 Mio to

    Total: 8.45 Mio to

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    NATURAL GAS IMPORT 2006

    Domestic; 18,0%

    Germany; 5,0%

    Russia; 71,0%

    Norway; 6,0%

    Import: 7.0 Mrd. Nm

    Domestic: 1.8 Mrd. Nm

    Total: 8.8 Mrd. Nm

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    GAS FROM RUSSIA FOR EU 2008

    Athen

    Kopenhagen

    Stockholm

    Berlin

    London

    Lissabon

    Algier

    Brssel

    Madrid

    Paris

    Bern

    Rom

    Dublin

    Belfast

    Oslo

    Helsinki

    Wien

    Warschau

    BelgradBukarest

    Prag

    Bratislava

    Budapest

    Sofia

    Ljubljana

    Tunis

    Kiew

    Tbris

    Astrachan

    Istanbul

    Ankara

    Baku

    Erzurum

    Moskau

    Uchta

    St. Petersburg

    MinskOrenburg

    Jamburg

    Taschkent

    Akmola

    Urengoy

    Aschchabad

    existing

    under construction

    Liquefied Natural Gas

    Terminal

    Under constructionexisting

    Gas pipelines

    Stand: 2008

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    OIL FLOWS

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    More than 50% of the work forcewill leave the Industry within 10years. and then it gets awfully quiet

    THE BIG CREW CHANGE

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    Legal/Fin

    ProductionDrilling

    Geoscience Reservoir

    Surfacefacilities

    Others

    THE PETROLEUM FAMILY

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    The problems with hydrocarbons is nowadays rather capacitythan reserves.

    Geopolitical development is the highest risk for security ofsupply with hydrocarbons.

    European security of supply with fossile energy is a big

    issue.

    Lack of skilled engineers and geoscientists (outrunning onresources).

    High potential in usage of new technologies to increase therecovery factor.

    CONCLUSION