[global hr forum 2014] aging workforce and productivity

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José Luis Cordeiro The Millennium Project Director, Venezuela Node Singularity University NASA, Silicon Valley, California Institute of Developing Economies, IDE-JETRO Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology Aging Workforce and Productivity: The “Singularity” and “Immortality”

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Korea is now one of the most fast-aging societies in the world. The retirement age of private sector employees will be raised up to 60 as the new Minimum Retirement Age Bill passed the National Assembly last year, and the number of executive-levels in Korean companies has increased a lot recently. This social phenomenon changes the individuals’ perspectives on their job, and a large number of Korean companies try to cope with the aging work population with strategies such as upgrading work training system, improving work environment, and encouraging flexible work hours. Speakers and Discussants in this session will talk about ways to maximize the use of the elderly human resources at workplace, maintain their work-related skills and qualities, and adopt appropriate evaluation/reward methods in order to motivate them.

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Page 1: [Global HR Forum 2014] Aging Workforce and Productivity

José Luis Cordeiro

The Millennium Project

Director, Venezuela Node

Singularity University

NASA, Silicon Valley, California

Institute of Developing Economies, IDE-JETRO

Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology

Aging Workforce and Productivity:

The “Singularity” and “Immortality”

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The Millennium Project

Global futurist think-tank with 50 nodes

around the world

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José = 荷西 = ホセ (世生) = 호세

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From the Pacific… to the Mediterranean..to the Atlantic... To the Pacific...

500 years 5000 years

50 years ???

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Korean books co-written by Jose Cordeiro

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Singularity University

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Ray Kurzweil (MIT):The Singularity is Near

• www.singularity.com

• Bill Gates

• Ley de Moore

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Sequencing the genome: cost and time

Year Cost (US$) Time

2003 1,000,000.000 13 years

2007 100,000,000 4 years

2008 1,000,000 2 months

2010 10,000 4 weeks

2015 1,000 5 days

2020 100 1 hour

2025 10 1 min

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Stress & Opportunity

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Development is faster and faster

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

UK: 1780-1838

USA: 1839-1886

Japan: 1885-1919

Italy: 1890-1911

Spain: 1950-1968

South Korea: 1978-

1987

China: 1987-1994

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-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

400%

11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th 19th 20th

Economy: the growth of growth

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Time, Lifespan and Education

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4

Education

Other

Work

Sleep

1 AD 1900 2000 2050

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•Passive (ostrich) Suffer the future

•Reactive (fire fighter) Respond

•Preactive (insurer) Prepare

•Proactive (builder) Create

Attitudes towards the future

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Sir Arthur C. Clarke with Jose Cordeiro

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The Three Laws of Sir Arthur C. Clarke

• First Law: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.

• Second Law: The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into the impossible.

• Third Law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

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Technologies of the “past”

• 30 years ago

Personal computers

• 20 years ago

Cell phones

• 10 years ago

Google

• What will happen in 10 years? In 20 years? In 30 years?

Immortal (ageless) cells!

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Aging as a disease? And curable?

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Life extension results: today, now!

x 3 times

x 4 times

x 6 times

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Physical Immortality: Death of Death

1. Germinal cells (good)

2. Cancer cells (bad)

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Sábado

4 de mayo

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NBIC (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno)

National Science Foundation

Department of Commerce

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Neurons

Cogno

NBIC

Bio

Info

Cells

Technological Convergence NBIC

Nano

Bits

Atoms

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Synthetic biology is born• Variola virus (smallpox)

Genes: 197

Base pairs: 185,000

• Mycoplasma genitalium (bacteria)

Genes: 485

Base pairs: 580,000

• Homo sapiens sapiens

Genes: ~25,000

Base pairs: ~3,000,000,000

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• 1 brain

• 1011 neurones

• 1014 synapsis

• 1017 computations

(per second)

• And the mind?

• And the spirit?

• And the soul?

What is a brain?

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Robots in Japan and Korea

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Asimo (Honda) evolution

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Robots are good in Japan

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Humans or machines!

Humans AND machines?

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Oscar Pistorius: “Blade runner” in London 2012 Olympic Games

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Football World Cup in Brazil: 2014

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Transhumanism is S&T for humans: transcending human limitations

www.TransHumanism.org

Are humans trans-monkeys?

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Transhumanism, yes...but carefully

Homo sapiens sapiens

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Superman?

ChristopherReeve

(paraplegic)

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Stephen Hawking

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Michael J. Fox: Back to the Future

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Ronald Reagan:Alzheimer’s

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Yin-yang 阴阳 (and more yin-yang)

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Light up the world

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Visiting North Korea

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The world is one

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Guru Cordeiro meditating in India (Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)

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감사합니다!www.cordeiro.org