global capital market index returns as of june 30, …€¦ · • global capital market returns...

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0.5 -0.3 0.9 -0.2 0.1 4.3 1.0 1.7 -3.0 0.2 18.8 -0.4 -2.4 -6.5 0.5 Global Stocks Global Bonds Global Real Estate Commodities Cash 1 Month 3 Months 12 Months GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%) 0.5 0.3 0.1 -0.1 -0.3 4.3 3.4 2.5 1.7 0.8 18.8 13.7 8.7 4.0 -0.6 100% Global Stocks 75/25 50/50 25/75 100% Global Bonds 1 Month 3 Months 12 Months HYPOTHETICAL GLOBAL INDEX PORTFOLIO RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%) Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All returns represent total returns for the stated period. Asset allocations and the hypothetical index portfolio returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual performance. Index portfolio allocations rebalanced monthly. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Global Stocks (MSCI ACWI Index [net div.]), Global Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index [Hedged to USD]), Global Real Estate (S&P Global REIT Index [net div.]), Commodities (Bloomberg Commodity Index), Cash (Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Months US Treasury Bill Index). Index returns from Morningstar. Global capital market returns were mixed in June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns while returns on commodities and bonds were slightly negative. For the third quarter, global stocks, bonds and real estate earned positive returns while commodities lagged. As displayed below, hypothetical portfolio mixes with larger allocations to stocks, which are generally considered riskier, outperformed more conservative mixes over the last one, three, and 12 months. June 2017

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Page 1: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

0.5

-0.3

0.9

-0.2

0.14.3

1.0 1.7

-3.0

0.2

18.8

-0.4 -2.4

-6.5

0.5

Global Stocks Global Bonds Global Real Estate

Commodities Cash

1 Month 3 Months 12 Months

GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNSAS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%)

0.5

0.3

0.1

-0.1

-0.3

4.3

3.4

2.5

1.7

0.8

18.8

13.7

8.7

4.0

-0.6

100% Global Stocks

75/25

50/50

25/75

100% Global Bonds

1 Month 3 Months 12 Months

HYPOTHETICAL GLOBAL INDEX PORTFOLIO RETURNSAS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%)

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All returns represent total returns for the stated period. Asset allocations and the hypothetical index portfolio returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual performance. Index portfolio allocations rebalanced monthly. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Global Stocks (MSCI ACWI Index [net div.]), Global Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index [Hedged to USD]), Global Real Estate (S&P Global REIT Index [net div.]), Commodities (Bloomberg Commodity Index), Cash (Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Months US Treasury Bill Index). Index returns from Morningstar.

• Global capital market returns were mixed in June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns while returns on commodities and bonds were slightly negative.

• For the third quarter, global stocks, bonds and real estate earned positive returns while commodities lagged.

• As displayed below, hypothetical portfolio mixes with larger allocations to stocks, which are generally considered riskier, outperformed more conservative mixes over the last one, three, and 12 months.

June2017

Page 2: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

0.9

0.7

3.5

1.6

-0.3

3.5

3.4

3.0

3.1

2.5

1.3

4.7

0.7

4.4

18.5

18.0

24.6

15.5

20.4

24.9

24.4

US Marketwide

Large Cap

Small Cap

Large Value

Large Growth

Small Value

Small Growth

1 Month 3 Months 12 Months

US STOCK MARKET INDEX RETURNSAS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%)

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All returns represent total returns for the stated period. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Marketwide (Russell 3000 Index), Large Cap (Russell 1000 Index), Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), Large Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), Large Growth (Russell 1000 Growth Index), Small Value (Russell 2000 Value Index), and Small Growth (Russell 2000 Growth Index). Non-US Marketwide (MSCI ACWI ex USA Index), Developed Markets (MSCI World ex USA Index), Emerging Markets MSCI Emerging Markets Index), Non-US Value (MSCI ACWI ex USA Value Index), Non-US Growth (MSCI ACWI ex USA Growth Index), Non-US Large Cap (MSCI ACWI ex USA Large Cap Index) Non-US Small Cap (MSCI ACWI ex USA Small Cap Index). All index returns in USD. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Index returns from Morningstar.

0.3

0.1

1.0

0.4

0.4

0.6

0.1

5.8

5.6

6.3

5.6

6.2

4.1

7.6

20.5

19.5

23.8

20.7

20.3

23.6

17.4

Marketwide

Developed Markets

Emerging Markets

Non-US Large Cap

Non-US Small Cap

Non-US Value

Non-US Growth

1 Month 3 Months 12 Months

NON-US STOCK MARKET INDEX RETURNSAS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%)

• The broad US equity market was modestly positive in June, finishing the month up approximately 1%; US stocks finished the second quarter up 3% and are up nearly 19% over the last year.

• Small caps reversed their recent trend of underperformance relative to large caps in June but finished the quarter slightly behind.

• Similarly, value stocks reversed trend in June by outperforming growth stocks; however, they finished the quarter slightly behind growth stocks across the capitalization spectrum.

• Over the last year, the size premium was noticeably positive; meantime, the value premia was mixed.

• In US dollar terms, non-US stock markets slightly trailed US markets in June; however, they outperformed for the second quarter and over the last year.

• Performance in developed and emerging markets was relatively similar for the month and quarter; emerging markets noticeably outperformed over the last year, however.

• Foreign small and large caps performed similarly over the last one, three, and 12 months.

• Value stocks incrementally outperformed in June; however, they trailed for the quarter.

Page 3: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

0

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1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years

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2.0

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1.2

2.4

2.2

-0.4

-0.3

-0.7

-0.5

0.5

-7.2

-2.3

1.8

12.7

-0.6

US Bonds

Non-US Bonds

Municipal Bonds

Short Bonds

Long Bonds

Treasury Bonds

Credit Bonds

High Yield Bonds

TIPS

1 Month 3 Months 12 Months

US TREASURY YIELD CURVE

FIXED INCOME INDEX RETURNSAS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%)

6/30/175/30/17

3/31/17

6/30/16

One basis point equals 0.01%. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All returns represent total returns for the stated period. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate index), Non-US Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate ex USD [USD Hedged]), Municipal Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Index), Short Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays US Short Treasury Index), Long Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays US Long Treasury Index), Treasury Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Index), Credit Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays US Credit Index), High Yield Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index), TIPS (Bloomberg Barclays US TIPS Index). Yield curve data from Federal Reserve. Index returns data from Morningstar.

• The US Treasury yield curve, which charts interest rates on US Treasury bonds with different maturity dates, shifted modestly upwards in June as rates rates incrementally increased by approximately 10 basis points across most of the yield curve.

• For the second quarter, the curve flattened as short-term rates modestly increased (owing largely the recent Fed rate hike) while longer-term rates declined (due to slowing inflation and reduced expectations for fiscal stimulus in the US).

• As a reminder, the primary driver of returns on high-quality, investment-grade bonds is changes in interest rates which are inversely related to bond prices (i.e., when rates go up, bond prices go down and vice versa).

• Investment grade taxable US and non-US bonds (USD-hedged) posted slightly negative performance in June; however, they finished the second quarter in positive territory.

• For the one- and three-month periods, long-term bonds outperformed short-term bonds owing to the flattening yield curve.

• The credit premium was positive in June, the second quarter and the last year as investment-grade and high-yield credit bonds outperformed US Treasury bonds.

• US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) modestly lagged nominal Treasury bonds during the month and for the full quarter as a result of tightening break-even inflation spreads amid declining inflation expectations.

Page 4: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS INDEX RETURNSAS OF JUNE 30, 2017 (%)

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All returns represent total returns for the stated period. See previous pages for market segment index representations. Index returns from Morningstar.

Global Asset Classes1 Month 3 Months 12 Months 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years

Global Stocks 0.5 4.3 18.8 4.8 10.5 3.7Global Bonds -0.3 1.0 -0.4 3.3 3.3 4.5Global Real Estate 0.9 1.7 -2.4 4.6 7.6 2.6Commodities -0.2 -3.0 -6.5 -14.8 -9.3 -6.5Cash 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5

Hypothetical Global Index Portfolios1 Month 3 Months 12 Months 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years

Global Portfolios_MMM 100% Global Stocks 0.5 4.3 18.8 4.8 10.5 3.7Global Portfolios_MMM 75/25 0.3 3.4 13.7 4.5 8.8 4.2Global Portfolios_MMM 50/50 0.1 2.5 8.7 4.2 7.0 4.5Global Portfolios_MMM 25/75 -0.1 1.7 4.0 3.7 5.2 4.6Global Portfolios_MMM 100% Global Bonds -0.3 0.8 -0.6 3.2 3.3 4.5

US Stocks1 Month 3 Months 12 Months 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years

Marketwide 0.9 3.0 18.5 9.1 14.6 7.3Large Cap 0.7 3.1 18.0 9.3 14.7 7.3Small Cap 3.5 2.5 24.6 7.4 13.7 6.9Large Value 1.6 1.3 15.5 7.4 13.9 5.6Large Growth -0.3 4.7 20.4 11.1 15.3 8.9Small Value 3.5 0.7 24.9 7.0 13.4 5.9Small Growth 3.4 4.4 24.4 7.6 14.0 7.8

Non-US Stocks1 Month 3 Months 12 Months 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years

Marketwide 0.3 5.8 20.5 0.8 7.2 1.1Developed Markets 0.1 5.6 19.5 0.7 8.2 1.0Emerging Markets 1.0 6.3 23.8 1.1 4.0 1.9Non-US Large Cap 0.4 5.6 20.7 0.4 6.9 1.0Non-US Small Cap 0.4 6.2 20.3 3.3 10.0 2.9Non-US Value 0.6 4.1 23.6 -1.0 6.4 0.3Non-US Growth 0.1 7.6 17.4 2.6 8.0 1.9

Fixed Income1 Month 3 Months 12 Months 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years

US Bonds -0.1 1.5 -0.3 2.5 2.2 4.5Non-US Bonds -0.4 0.6 -0.7 3.8 4.0 4.5Municipal Bonds -0.4 2.0 -0.5 3.3 3.3 4.6Short Bonds 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8Long Bonds 0.4 4.0 -7.2 5.6 2.8 7.3Treasury Bonds -0.2 1.2 -2.3 2.0 1.3 4.1Credit Bonds 0.3 2.4 1.8 3.4 3.7 5.6High Yield Bonds 0.1 2.2 12.7 4.5 6.9 7.7TIPS -1.0 -0.4 -0.6 0.6 0.3 4.3

Page 5: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing.

There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not ensure against market risk.

Stock Investment Risk

Stock investing may involve risk including loss of principal.

Investing in stock includes numerous specific risks including: the fluctuation of dividend, loss of principal and potential illiquidity of the investment in a falling market.

Investing in foreign and emerging markets securities involves special additional risks. These risks include, but are not limitedto, currency risk, geopolitical risk, and risk associated with varying accounting standards. Investing in emerging markets may accentuate these risks.

Currency risk is a form of risk that arises from the change in price of one currency against another. Whenever investors or companies have assets or business operations across national borders, they face currency risk if their positions are not hedged.

Bond Investment Risk

Bonds are subject to market and interest rate risk if sold prior to maturity. Bond and bond mutual fund values and yields will decline as interest rates rise and bonds are subject to availability and change in price.

Government bonds and Treasury bills are guaranteed by the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. However, the value of fund shares is not guaranteed and will fluctuate.

High-yield/junk bonds are not investment-grade securities, involve substantial risks, and generally should be part of the diversified portfolio of sophisticated investors.

Municipal bonds are subject to availability, price, and to market and interest rate risk if sold prior to maturity. Bond values will decline as interest rate rise. Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. Federally tax-free but other stateand local taxes may apply.

Investing in foreign and emerging markets debt securities involves special additional risks. These risks include, but are notlimited to, currency risk, geopolitical and regulatory risk, and risk associated with varying settlement standards.

Alternative Investments Risk

Alternative strategies may not be suitable for all investors and should be considered as an investment for the risk capital portion of the investor's portfolio. The strategies employed in the management of alternative investments may accelerate the velocity of potential losses.

Investing in real estate/REITs involves special risks such as potential illiquidity and may not be suitable for all investors. There is no assurance that the investment objectives of this program will be attained.

Commodity-linked investments may be more volatile and less liquid than the underlying instruments or measures, and their value may be affected by the performance of the overall commodities baskets as well as weather, geopolitical events, and regulatory developments.

~~~~~~~~~~Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Private Advisor Group, a Registered Investment Advisor. Private Advisor Group and Kathmere Capital Management are separate entities from LPL Financial.

Page 6: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

INDEX DESCRIPTIONS

Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Months US Treasury Bill Index includes all publicly issued zero-coupon U.S. Treasury Bills that have a remaining maturity of less than 3 months and more than 1 month, are rated investment grade, and have $250 million or more of outstanding face value. In addition, the securities must be denominated in U.S. dollars and must be fixed rate andnon convertible.

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index measures the performance of global investment-grade debt from twenty-four local currency markets. This multi-currency benchmark includes treasury, government-related, corporate and securitized fixed-rate bonds from both developed and emerging markets issuers.

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate ex USD Index (USD-Hedged) measures the performance of all global investment-grade debt from the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index excluding securities issues in US dollars. Returns are hedged to the US dollar.

Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Index covers the USD-denominated long-term tax-exempt bond market. The index has four main sectors: state and local general obligation bonds, revenue bonds, insured bonds, and pre-refunded bonds.

Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index is a broad-based benchmark that measures the investment-grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate and hybrid ARM pass-throughs), ABS, and CMBS (agency and non-agency).

Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index measures the USD-denominated, high yield, fixed-rate corporate bond market. Securities are classified as high yield if the middle rating of Moody’s, Fitch and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or below.

Bloomberg Barclays US Credit Index measures the investment-grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate, taxable corporate and government-related bond markets.

Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Index measures US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate, nominal debt issued by the US Treasury. Treasury bills are excluded by the maturity constraint, but are part of a separate Short Treasury Index.

Bloomberg Barclays US Short Treasury Index includes aged U.S. Treasury bills, notes and bonds with a remaining maturity from 1 up to (but not including) 12 months.

Bloomberg Barclays US Long Treasury Index measures the performance of US dollar-denominated, fixe—rate, nominal debt issued by the US Treasury with a maturity greater than 10 years.

Bloomberg Barclays US TIPS Index is a rules-based, market value-weighted index that tracks inflation-protected securities issued by the U.S. Treasury.

Bloomberg Commodity Index is calculated on an excess return basis and composed of futures contracts on 22 physical commodities. It reflects the return of underlying commodity futures price movements.

Page 7: GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET INDEX RETURNS AS OF JUNE 30, …€¦ · • Global capital market returns were mixedin June as global stocks and real estate posted modestly positive returns

INDEX DESCRIPTIONS

MSCI ACWI Index is a free-float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed and emerging markets. The MSCI ACWI consists of 46 country indexes comprising 23 developed and 23 emerging markets country indexes.

MSCI ACWI ex USA Index captures large and mid cap representation across 22 of 23 Developed Markets (DM) countries (excluding the US) and 23 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. With 1,854 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the global equity opportunity set outside the US

MSCI ACWI ex USA Growth Index captures large and mid cap securities exhibiting overall growth style characteristics across 22 Developed Markets (DM) countries and 23 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. The growth investment style characteristics for index construction are defined using five variables: long-term forward EPS growth rate, short-term forward EPS growth rate, current internal growth rate and long-term historical EPS growth trend and long-term historical sales per share growth trend.

MSCI ACWI ex USA Value Index captures large and mid cap securities exhibiting overall value style characteristics across 22 Developed and 23 Emerging Markets countries. The value investment style characteristics for index construction are defined using three variables: book value to price, 12-month forward earnings to price and dividend yield.

MSCI ACWI Ex USA Small Cap Index captures small cap representation across 22 of 23 Developed Markets (DM) countries (excluding the US) and 23 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. The index covers approximately 15% of the global equity opportunity set outside the US.

MSCI ACWI Ex USA Large Index captures large cap representation across 22 of 23 Developed Markets (DM) countries (excluding the US) and 21 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. The index covers approximately 70% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country.

MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free-float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of emerging markets. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index consists of 23 emerging markets country indexes.

MSCI World ex USA Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of 22 of the 23 developed markets included the MSCI World Index (excluding the US).

Russell 1000 Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000® Index, which represents approximately 90% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index.

Russell 1000 Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with higher price/book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.

Russell 1000 Value Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price/book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.

Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000® Index, which represents approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index.

Russell 2000 Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with higher price/book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.

Russell 2000 Value Index measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with lower price/book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.

Russell 3000 Index measures the performance of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies based on total market capitalization, which represents approximately 98% of the investable U.S. equity market.

S&P Global REIT Index is a comprehensive benchmark of publicly traded equity REITs listed in both developed and emerging markets.