gil 2012 africa: mega trends africa telecoms and iit by chantel lindeman
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Frost & Sullivan Information and
Communication Technologies
Individual voices in Africa
Next billion mobile subscribers
Africa – the dark continent?
Africa – The Summary
Unified Comms:
2012 - $3 billion
2020 - $8 billion
Unified communications
hardware, software and
services spend
Contact Centres:
2012 - $3 billion
2020 - $10 billion
Contact centre and
BPO markets
Broadband
2012 - $12 billion
2020 - $30 billion Bandwidth and
broadband spend
Cloud and Virtualisation:
2012 - $2 billion
2020 - $10 billion Internal and external cloud spend
Mobile and Wireless :
2012 - $180 billion
2020 - $300 billion
Mobile and wireless telephony
spend
Data Centre:
2012 - $ 2 billion
2020 - $ 6 billion
Data Centre hardware and
services spend
Data Centre
Mobile & Wireless
BPO /
Contact Centres Broadband
Communications
Cloud and
Virtualisation
Unified
Communications
ICT Major Opportunities
4
The penetration in the mobile broadband and internet
users is still in nascent phase
Fixed TelephoneLines*
Mobile CellularSubscriptions*
Active mobilebroadband
subscriptions*Internet users*
Fixed (wired)broadband
subscriptions*
Households withInternet access at
home*
Africa 1.4 53 3.8 12.8 0.2 5.7
The Americas 28.5 103.3 30.5 56.3 15.5 49.7
Asia and Pacific 13 73.9 10.7 27.2 6.2 24.9
Europe 39.1 119.5 54.1 74.4 25.8 72.2
Arab States 9.7 96.7 13.3 29.1 2.2 26.1
CIS 26.3 143 14.9 47.6 9.6 38.5
0
75
150
225
300
375
450
525
600
Nu
mb
er
of
* p
er
10
0 in
hab
itan
ts
Telecommunication Penetration in Africa vs. the World in 2011
Source: ITU
5
The Mobile broadband will be the key internet services growth driver in Africa, however this hinges on operator commitment to advanced technology platforms. Fixed access services to be revived through convergence strategies
Mobile broadband is the key driver for growth into the
region
Stage of Development
Ad
op
tio
n R
ate
Low
High
Introduction Growth Maturity Decline
Mobile broadband
VoIP/mobile VoIP
Fixed Broadband
Technology Adoption Trends (2011 to 2015)
Satellite DSL access
Ethernet
WiMAx
Microwave
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Bubble size represents adoption rates
Convergence
Technology Status 2014
M576-65
Wireless technology will remain the primary driver for telecommunications services in Sub Saharan
Africa
Mobile Phone Subscriptions • In 2010, African mobile penetration
is just less than 50 per cent • That said, several countries have
reached saturation • By 2020 we expect a 90 per cent
mobile penetration rate
By 2020, over 1 bn people are expected to invest in a
mobile device
80–100%
60–80%
40–60%
20–40%
<20%
Mobile Telephony Penetration Rate, Africa, 2010
500 million
$80 billion investment in networks
Low cost mobile phones
Value-added Services
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011
1,170 million
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011
South Africa
50 milion
Angola 16.1
million
Nigeria 150 million
Senegal 10.5
million
Algeria 36 million
Libya 4.5
million
Egypt 76
million
Namibia 2.1 million
Mozambique 18.6 million
Tanzania 30.5 million
Kenya 32 million
Cameroon 13 million
Dem. Republic Congo
35 million
Uganda 23 million
Morocco 31.5 million
Sudan 34
million
Mobile Telephony Penetration Rate, Africa, 2020
Ghana 23 million
Blackberry has the highest penetration in Africa and is
considered a status symbol in a number of countries
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
A number of local manufactured tablets are entering the
African market such as Inye and Wise Touch
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
With the increase of connectivity, data centres across
Africa is becoming paramount
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011
Data Centre Market, Africa, 2011
South Africa $250 million
Kenya $5 million
Tanzania $3 million
Nigeria $21 million
Ghana $3 million
Uganda $3 million
Data Centre Market, Africa, 2020
South Africa $420 million
Kenya $25 million
Tanzania $12 million
Nigeria $45 million
Ghana $6 million
Uganda $8 million
Expansion into new regions
Virtualisation options
Lack of infrastructure is an opportunity
$2 Billion $6 Billion
The changing eco system?
Communication Service Providers
Enterprises Consumers
System Integrators/Internet
Service Providers
New players representing potential threats to telcos
Over-the-top Providers Application and Content Providers
Public Entities
IBM
BCX
Didata
T-Systems
Skype
Amazon
DSTV
IBM
Webstorm
MWEB
EThekwini Municipality
Johannesburg City
Cape Town City
En
d-U
se
rs
Se
rvic
e P
rovid
ers
K
ey P
laye
rs