gdp and the price level in the short run chapter 18 lipsey & chrystal economics 12e

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GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

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Page 1: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run

Chapter 18

LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL

ECONOMICS 12e

Page 2: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Learning Outcomes

• Aggregate demand is the level of desired real domestic spending at each price level.

• The aggregate demand curve plots the negative relationship between GDP and the price level.

• An exogenous change in autonomous spending (a demand shock) shifts the aggregate demand curve horizontally by the multiplier times the initial change in spending.

Page 3: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Learning Outcomes

• The aggregate supply curve reflects a positive relationship between output and the price level, for given input prices.

• An exogenous change in input prices or technology (a supply shock) shifts the short-run aggregate supply curve.

• The equilibrium level of GDP and the price level are determined where aggregate demand and supply are equal.

Page 4: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

AE1

Real National Income [GDP] 0

45o

Y1 Y0

E1

E0

AE0AE = Y

Des

ired

Exp

end

itu

re

Aggregate Spending and the Price Level

Page 5: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

• Changes in the price level cause the AE curve to shift and equilibrium GDP to change.

• The initial AE curve is AE0 and GDP is at Y1.

• An increase in the price level reduces desired expenditure and thus causes the AE curve to shift down to AE1.

• As a result GDP falls to Y1.The reverse happens for a fall in the price level.

Aggregate Spending and the Price Level

Page 6: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The AD Curve and the AE Curve

AE1

Des

ired

Exp

end

itu

re

045o

AE0

Y2 Y1

E2

E1

E0

AE2

Y0

AE = Y

Real National Income [GDP]

[i]. Aggregate expenditure

Page 7: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The AD Curve and the AE Curve

0 Y2 Y1 Y0

P2

P1

P0

AD

Pri

ce L

evel

E0

E1

E2

Real National Income (GDP)

[ii]. Aggregate Demand

Page 8: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The AD Curve and the AE Curve

AE1

Des

ired

Exp

end

itu

re

0

45o

AE0

Y2 Y1

E2

E1

E0

AE2

Y0

AE = Y

Real National Income [GDP]

[i]. Aggregate expenditure

E2

E1E0

AD

P2

P1

P0

[ii]. Aggregate Demand

Real National Income [GDP]

Pri

ce L

evel

Page 9: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The AD curve and the AE curve

• Equilibrium GDP is determined by the AE curve for each given price level.

• The level of GDP and its associated price level are then plotted to yield a point on the AD curve.

• When the price level is P0 the AE curve is AE0 and GDP is Y0. Plotting Y0 against P0 yields the point E0 on the AD curve.

• An increase in the price level to P1 shifts the AE curve down to AE1, producing GDP of Y1 and this is represented by point E1 on the AD curve.

Page 10: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Relationship between AE and AD curves

Real GDP

Real GDP

Des

ired

spe

ndin

gP

rice

leve

l

45o

AE

AE=Y

E0

e2

e0

e1

Y1 Y0 Y2

AE

Y1 Y0 Y2

P0

0

0

X E0 Z

ADDesired spending less than output

Desired spending equal output

Desired spending exceeds output

Page 11: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

AE = Y

The Simple Multiplier and Shifts in the AD Curve

Real GDP

[i]. Aggregate Expenditure

Des

ired

Exp

end

itu

re

0

45o

AE0

Y1

E0

Y0

AE1

A

E1

Y1

Page 12: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The Simple Multiplier and Shifts in the AD Curve

0 Y1Y0

P0

AD0

Pri

ce L

evel

E0 E1

AD1Y

Real GDP

[i]. Aggregate Demand

Page 13: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The simple multiplier and shifts in the AD curve

• A change in autonomous expenditure changes equilibrium GDP for any given price level, and the simple multiplier measures the resulting horizontal shift in the aggregate demand curve.

Page 14: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The simple multiplier and shifts in the AD curve

• The original AE curve is at AE0 with equilibrium at E0, GDP=Y0 and Price level=P0; the yield point E0 on AD0.

• AE0 shifts to AE1 because of an autonomous expenditure increase A, and GDP increases to Y1.

• With given price level P0, the AD curve shifts rightward to E1.

Page 15: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Y

SRAS

A Short-run Aggregate Supply Curve

Real GDP

Page 16: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Y0

P0

SRAS

Real GDP

A Short-run Aggregate Supply Curve

Page 17: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Y0 Y1

P0

P1

SRAS

Real GDP

A Short-run Aggregate Supply Curve

Page 18: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The short-run aggregate supply curve

• The SRAS curve is positively sloped.

• The positive slope shows that with prices of labour and other inputs given, total desired output and the price level will be positively associated.

• A rise in the price level from P0 to P1 will be associated with a rise in output supplied from Y0 to Y1.

• The slope of the SRAS curve is fairly flat at low levels of output and very steep at higher levels.

Page 19: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Y0

P0

SRAS

Macroeconomic Equilibrium

AD

E0

Pri

ce L

evel

0 Real GDP

Page 20: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Y0

P0

SRASAD

E0

Pri

ce L

evel

Y2Y1

P1

0 Real GDP

Macroeconomic Equilibrium

Page 21: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Macroeconomic Equilibrium

• Macroeconomic equilibrium occurs at the intersection of the AD and SRAS curves and determines the equilibrium values for GDP and the price level.

• Equilibrium occurs at E0 with GDP equal to Y0 and the price level P0.

Page 22: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Macroeconomic Equilibrium

• If the price level were P1, below P0, the desired output of firms would be Y1 but desired demand would be Y2, so desired spending would exceed desired production.

• Only at E0 are desired plans of producers and consumers consistent.

Page 23: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

AE=Y

AE0

Des

ired

Exp

endi

ture

[i]. Aggregate expenditure

45o

E0

Y0

SARS

AD0

Real GDP

Real GDP

Pri

ce L

evel

[i]. Aggregate demand

P0

Y0

The AE Curve and the Multiplier When the Price Level Varies

Page 24: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

AE=Y

AE0

Des

ired

Exp

endi

ture

[i]. Aggregate expenditure

45o

E0

Y0

SARS

AD0

Real GDP

Real GDP

Pri

ce L

evel

[i]. Aggregate demand

P0

Y0

The AE Curve and the Multiplier When the Price Level Varies

AE’1

A

E’1

Y’1

E’1E0

Y’1

Page 25: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

AE=Y

AE0

Des

ired

Exp

endi

ture

[i]. Aggregate expenditure

45o

E0

Y0

SARS

AD0

Real GDP

Real GDP

Pri

ce L

evel

[i]. Aggregate demand

P1

P0

Y0

The AE Curve and the Multiplier When the Price Level Varies

AE’1

A

E’1

Y’1

E’1E0

Y’1

AE1

E1

Y1

Y

E1

Y1

AD1

Page 26: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The AE curve and the multiplier when the price level varies

• An upward shift in AE is partly offset by the resulting rise in prices, so the multiplier is smaller than when prices are constant.

• There is an increase in autonomous expenditure A creating the initial shift 1.

• But prices then rise so the AE curves shifts part of the way back down as shown by 2.

• The economy moves from point E0 to E1.

Page 27: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

The effects of increases in AD

Page 28: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Demand shocks when the SRAS curve is vertical

Page 29: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Aggregate supply shocks

Page 30: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Annual % change in input and output prices for UK manufacturing

Page 31: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Producer prices and unit wages – annual % change for UK

manufacturing

Page 32: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN

Aggregate Demand• A change in the price level shifts the AE curve upward

when the price level falls and downward when the price level rises.

• A new equilibrium level of GDP that results would be the equilibrium level if it were solely demand-determined.

• The AD curve plots the equilibrium level of GDP that corresponds to each possible price level.

Page 33: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN

Aggregate Demand• A change in equilibrium GDP following a change in the

price level is shown by a movement along the AD curve. • A rise in the price level lowers exports and lowers private

consumption spending [because it decreases consumer’s wealth].

• Both of these changes lower equilibrium GDP and cause the aggregate demand curve to have a negative slope.

Page 34: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN

• The AD curve shifts when any element of autonomous expenditure changes, and the simple multiplier measures the magnitude of the shift.

• This multiplier also measures the size of the change in equilibrium GDP when the price level remains constant and firms produce everything that is demanded at the price level.

Page 35: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Aggregate Supply and Macroeconomic Equilibrium• The short-run aggregate supply [SRAS] curve, drawn for

given input prices, is positively sloped because unit costs rise with increasing output and because rising product prices make it profitable to increase output.

• An increase in productivity or a decrease in input prices shifts the curve to the right.

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN

Page 36: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Aggregate Supply and Macroeconomic Equilibrium• A decrease in productivity or an increase in input prices

has the opposite effect. • Macroeconomic equilibrium refers to equilibrium values of

real GDP and the price level, as determined by the intersection of the AD and SRAS curves.

• Shifts in the AD and SRAS curves, called aggregate demand shocks and aggregate supply shocks, change the equilibrium values of real GDP and the price level.

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN

Page 37: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

Changes in GDP and the Price Level• When the SRAS curve is positively sloped, an aggregate

demand shock causes the price level and real GDP to move in the same direction, the division between these effects depending on the shape of the SRAS curve.

• The main effect is on real GDP when the SRAS curve is flat and on the price level when it is steep.

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN

Page 38: GDP and the Price Level in the Short Run Chapter 18 LIPSEY & CHRYSTAL ECONOMICS 12e

• An aggregate supply shock moves equilibrium real GDP along the AD curve, causing the price level and output to move in opposite directions.

• A leftward shift in the SRAS curve causes a stagflation - rising prices and falling output.

• A rightward shift causes an increase in real GDP and a fall in the price level.

• The division of the effects of a shift in SRAS between a change in real GDP and a change in the price level depends on the shape of the AD curve.

GDP AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE SHORT RUN