gcv presentation, 21 may 2013 charles searle 15 years of investing in the internet

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GCV Presentation, 21 May 2013 Charles Searle 15 Years of Investing in the Internet

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GCV Presentation, 21 May 2013

Charles Searle

15 Years of Investing in the Internet

2

Naspers group history

Naspers internet group

3

Going from here...

4

…to here

We operate in 133 countries across the world

5

Our history – growing organically…

1915 1985 1994 1997 2004

(listed)

listed

Embracing changes in technology along the way

6

…and through acquisitions

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

listed

etc.

etc.

etc.

etc.

2013

etc.

7

Some early strategic insights…

Transition to electronic media

Potential of internet identified

early

Emerging market opportunity

Term BRIC coined in 2001

* First Satellite TV operator ex-USA

* First internet investment in 1995

(Yahoo founded in 1994, AOL earlier…)

* MIH investing in China since 1996

Global platform operator

Pay-TV e-CommerceI-

Media

DTT DTH Classifieds e-Tail Payments

South Africa

Sub-Saharan

Africa

Central & EEU

Latam

Africa &

Middle East

South-east Asia

Type

Form

atGeo

graphy

8

9

Naspers group history

Naspers internet group

10

• Enter early, establish leadership, build barriers to entry

• Less competition from foreign multinationals – as focused on own domestic markets

• Ride the economic growth story

• But, emerging market competitive advantage is largely over….

Rationale for investing in emerging markets

11

MIH in SA MIH in China & SE Asia

• M-Web ISP -

1997

• China -

1998

• Thailand -

1999

• Indonesia -

2000

History of initial Naspers internet investing

12

Mistakes made and lessons learnt

• Expat management teams… • Expensive products…

• Big budget marketing strategies…

• Shareholder control issues…

• Just too early in some markets…

13

Investment in Tencent - 2001

• Change in MIH investment strategy

• Key strategic strengths identified early

- Outstanding local management team

- Instant Messaging always on

- could expand into many directions ?

- Solved certain needs at that time

- e.g. Mobile QQ acted as SMS interconnection gateway between rival mobile networks

- Technology, long-term focus

- Ability to bring in new talent to complement founders

Facts and figures

- US$32m initial investment (50%)

- US$69bn market

- 825m monthly active QQ users

- 32,000 staff; 65%

engineers

14

“Halo” effects …

• Tencent success created a “halo” effect…

• Series of investments in Mail.ru in Russia followed …another great story!

• But…

- Limited social media opportunities elsewhere

- “Halo” effects don’t last forever

- Where to now ???

- US$6bn market cap

- Naspers/MIH : 28%

15

e-Commerce to dominate the internet

Sources: Morgan Stanley, PWC

Billion US$

Global Total Asia Pac North America China EMEA Japan Lat Am0

100

200

300

400

500

600 Online Shopping

Online Advertising

Online Gaming

Movie Box Office Sales

13x19x

6x

16

(fashion, shoes, etc.)

e-Commerce: strategy pivot

Paymentplatforms

Portals

Instant messaging and e-mail

Social networking

Mobile value-addedservices

Online games

E-commerce

Community

Lead-generation

B2C

(price-comparison etc.)

Other

Vertical e-tail

Marketplace(facilitation)

Classifieds(free, paid)

Payments

e-Commerce

General e-tail

e-Commerce now our core focus

17

Growing through acquisitions: M&A activity

Total acquisition spend (US$m)

Mar 08 Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12 Sep 12 -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,110

214 517

754

260

Other

~US$5bn to date

377

Subsequent acquisitions

18

Growing through development spend

Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12 Sep 11 Sep 12 -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

272 268

575

1,725

550

1,031

Development spend (ZARm)

3yr C

AGR 85%

87%

19

e-Commerce: revenue growth

Revenue (ZARm)

Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12 Sep 11 Sep 12 -

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1,981 2,713

3,684

5,736

2,478

3,991

3yr C

AGR 42%

61%

20

e-Commerce: revenue breakdown

Revenue by type

Marketplace (34%)

e-Tail (35%)

Lead generation (11%)

CEEU (71%)

Latin America (18%)

Africa & Middle East (7%)

Revenue by geography

21

e-Commerce: value creation

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Revenue Cost

Time

Am

ount

e-Commerce value creation over time

Value creationValue

Losses

22

A few lessons learnt…

• Local entrepreneurs…

• Skin in the game…

• What problems being solved ?

• Focus long-term and build scale…

• Share experiences…

• Be prepared to pivot every decade or so….

23

Q & A