futures thinking & personal development @ uitm
TRANSCRIPT
“However good our
futures research may be,
we shall never be able to
escape from the ultimate
dilemma that all our
knowledge is about the
past,
and all our decision are
about the future”
Ian Wilson
“Looking at the future should
disturb the present”
Gaston Berger
“The best way to predict the
future is to invent it”
Alan Curtis Kay
2007 World Economic Forum/Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Future is not necessarily continuation of the past
FORESIGHT & FUTURES THINKING
“There is no reason anyone would want
a computer in their home.” Ken Olson, 1977
President, chairman and founder of
Digital Equipment Corp. (DEC)
“Heavier-than-air flying machines are
impossible.” Lord Kelvin, 1895
British mathematician and physicist,
President of the British Royal Society.
“The Americans have need of the
telephone, but we do not. We have
plenty of messenger boys.” Sir William Preece, 1878
Chief Engineer, British Post Office,
predictions that gone wrong
discontinuous change: past disruptions
• 9/11 disrupts air travel
• Small, fuel efficient vehicles disrupts the auto industry
• Digitisation/ Google disrupts media, library
• iPhone disrupts Motorola, Nokia, RIM
• Laptops disrupt desktops…. (tablets to disrupt laptops)
• MOOC disrupting higher education
2007 World Economic Forum/Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Future is not necessarily continuation of the past
FORESIGHT & FUTURES THINKING
SystematicallyLooking at the Future
Engaging
Trans-DisciplinaryStakeholders
Deploying
VariousMethodologies
Organizing a
Long TermThinking Process
2007 World Economic Forum/Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Future is not necessarily continuation of the
past
FORESIGHT & FUTURES THINKING
UnderstandingFuture Needs
Drivers Of Change
AnticipatingChanges & Disruption
Identifying Uncertainties
FUTURES THINKING & TRANSFORMATION
ChangeOf Mindset
ExploringFuture Scenarios
ProvocateurMobilizing
Actions
• Gender
• Age
• Relationship
• Working status
• Health condition
• Education level
• State of Mind
• Needs
• Wants
PRESENT
• Gender
• Age
• Relationship
• Working status
• Health condition
• Education level
• Gender
• Age
• Needs
• Relationship
• Working status
• Health condition
• Education level
• Wants
PRESENT FUTURE
certain
uncertain
• Gender
• Age
• Married
• Working MNC
• Healthy
• Degree
• Stress• It’s Complicated
• Entrepreneur
• Slight Overweight
• Diploma
• Mood Swing
• Relationship
• Part Time
• Healthy
• PhD Candidate
• Happy
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
DESIRED SCENARIOS
Sustainable Food & Water
ThrivingLivelihood
Clean Energy
Good Governance
Healthy & Productive
Eco-System