futures thinking - palestra na escola sustentare

24
1 DANIEL EGGER

Upload: daniel-egger

Post on 28-Nov-2014

110 views

Category:

Presentations & Public Speaking


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Presentação de Futures Thinking na Escola de Negócios Sustentare em Agosto 2014

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

1

DANIEL EGGER

Page 2: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

2

“The real voyage

consist not in seeking

new lands, but in

seeing with new eyes.”

Marcel Proust

Page 3: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

3

Page 4: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

4(Alvin Toffler)

Page 5: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

5

Page 6: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

61938

1928

1910

1950

1905

1923

Page 7: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

7

Page 8: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

8

Page 9: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

9

CONTEXTCIRCUNSTÂNCIA

FUTURO PROVÁVEL

FUTURO PREFERIDO

FUTUROS POSSÍVEIS

FUTUROS PLAUSÍVEL

Page 10: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

10

Page 11: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

11

Page 12: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

12Jean Laherrère, John Howe

4.7 barrels in 2012

81 Singapore

43 United Arab Emirates

39 Saudi Arabia

24 Canada

22 United States

17 Australia

22 Belgium

9.7 France

8.8 United Kingdom

2.8 China

1.2 Africa

1 India

1 CPF

1.5 CPF

2 CPF

2 CPF

1 CPF

Page 13: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

13

Page 14: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

14

Page 15: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

15

Novalis (1772-1801, aka Friedrich von Hardenberg)

My goal is to turn the familiar strange

and the strange familiar.

So what is my goal?

Page 16: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

16

1 Existem muitos futuros

2 Os futuros não podem ser previstos

3 O Futuro é neutro

4 O amanhã é complexo

5 Gerando Valor Futuro

Page 17: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

17

• are about human (and AI in the future)• are about using your BRAIN• are about a mindset• are about complexity• are about uncertainty• are about patterns• are about research• are about concepts• are about Storytelling• are about creating choices

DESIGN THINKING ANDFUTURES THINKING…

Page 18: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

18

• is about a problem• It is about context and creating

empathy• Is about “real persons”• is about experiences, meaning,

delight• is about Insights• is about solutions• is about volume• is about a (physical) prototype

DESIGN THINKING…

Page 19: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

19

• is about future contexts, understanding, possibilities and creating empathy

• is about Value.• is about the changes in value• is about implications• is about Insights.• is about the hidden question • is about context relevancy • is about society + individual• is about real and average persons• is about prototyping strategic options

FUTURES THINKING…

Page 20: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

20

VALOR FUTURO

EXPLORARDEFINIR

GERAÇÃO

FAZER

Page 21: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

21

Page 22: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

22

Strategic Planning

Strategic Management

Strategic Planning

Strategic Planning

Futuring Futuring

Strategic Management

Innovation

Business Intelligence

Strategic Planning

Futuring

Futuring

Innovation

Provável Preferido

Possível Plausível

Page 23: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

23

Page 24: Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare

24