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Investment Forum 30 November 2017 1.30pm – 3.00pm Melbourne Convention & Exhibition Centre
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May 2017 Investment Forum – stock performance
Charities
Stream of annual donations
Fund managers Unique opportunity to
make a positive difference to
Australia’s future generations
Shareholders
Exposure to the best Australian and
global fund managers without
paying management or
performance fees
Fund Fund manager Company Code Logo Annualised total return
Wilson Asset Management Geoff Wilson Afterpay Holdings ASX: AFY 207.5%
Sandon Capital Gabriel Radzyminski
Mineral Deposits Limited
ASX: MDL 133.9%
Eley Griffiths Ben Griffiths Noni B Limited ASX: NBL 48.3%
Eley Griffiths Ben Griffiths PWR Holdings Limited
ASX: PWH 48.0%
Morphic Asset Management Jack Lowenstein Haseko Corporation 1808 JP 45.9%
Avenir Capital Adrian Warner Nexstar Media NXST US 28.4%
Cooper Investors Chris Dixon DiaSorin DIA IM 25.2%
Neuberger Berman Michael Dyer Whole Foods Market Inc WFM US 24.3%
Sandon Capital Gabriel Radzyminski Iluka Resources ASX: ILU 23.2%
Magellan Asset Management Nikki Thomas Apple AAPL US 20.5%
Average 60.5%
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Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared for use in conjunction with a verbal presentation and should be read in that context. The information in this presentation is
only intended for Australian residents. The purpose of this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation does not purport to
provide investment advice. We strongly suggest that investors read the Prospectus and consult a financial adviser prior to making any investment decision. The
presentation does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person and should not be used as the basis for
making investment, financial or other decisions. The information is selective and may not be complete or accurate for your particular purposes and should not be
construed as a recommendation to invest in Future Generation Investment Company Limited, Future Generation Global Investment Company Limited, Magellan
Asset Management Limited, Watermark Funds Management, Aveo Group, VGI Partners Limited, WD-40 Company Australia, Lanyon Asset Management Limited,
Global Construction Services, Antipodes Global Investment Partners, KT Corporation, Centennial Asset Management, HRL Holdings, Capitol Health Limited,
Morphic Asset Management, Bofl Federal Bank, ARCO Investment Management, Brain Resource Company, L1 Capital, NewsCorp, Wilson Asset Management
Limited and Origin Energy Limited. The information provided in the presentation is given in good faith and is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation.
Neither Future Generation Investment Company Limited, Future Generation Global Investment Company Limited nor its directors or employees make any
representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of the information. To the extent permissible by law, Future Generation
Investment Company Limited, Future Generation Global Investment Company Limited and its directors and employees disclaim all liability (whether arising in
contract, tort, negligence or otherwise) for any error, omission, loss or damage (whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise). Neither Future Generation
Investment Company Limited, Future Generation Global Investment Company Limited nor its directors or employees guarantee or make any representation as to
the performance of Future Generation Investment Company Limited, Future Generation Global Investment Company Limited, the maintenance or repayment of
capital, the price at which shares may trade or any particular rate of return.
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Magellan|6
“China is going to be bigger, stronger and more robust than any market in the world…” – Shultz, Apr 2017
Source: Company disclosures & Census data. Image: www.bizjournals.com. Notes: Consuming Class is defined as the entire population for Australia and the US (24M and 301M). For China it is defined as 600M people, v the 1.1Bn population.
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KFCAustralia McDonaldsUS StarbucksUS KFCChina StarbucksChina
Restaurants/Mill' Consuming Class
• Habitual• Delicious• Growingpenetrationofbeverageoccasions• Alittleaddictive• Social
RP044
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AveoGroup• AveoGroup(ASX:AOG)istheonlyASX200listedcompanyfocussedsolely
onretirement.Thecompanydevelopsandoperatesretirementvillagesandagedcarefacilities
• Investmentopportunity:– Shareshavemateriallyde-ratedsinceJune2017negativeFourCorners/Fairfax
Mediacoverageofretirementchargingmodel– Businessmodelappearsundisrupted,salesratesarerecovering
• Targetprice:>$4.1pershareorc.60%upside– Shareshistoricallytradedabovetangible-NAVwhichtodayis$3.3pershareand
willbe>$4.1pershareintwoyearstime– Returnoncapitalisimprovingthereforebookvaluetargetpricemaybe
conservative– SimilarLeadLeaseretirementportfoliosoldtoDutchpensionfundinOctober
2017ata“smallpremiumtocarryingvalue”– Thecompanywillre-startbuying-backsharesinnext6monthsfollowing
Brisbaneofficebuildingsale• Risks:
– Unitsalesratesmaynotrecoverto1H17levels– Lowerhouseprices– Regulatorychange– Furthernegativepress
12,43311,222
9,478
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LendLease Aveo Stockland RetireAustralia
Ingenia
RetirementVillageOperatorsbyUnitsManaged
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WD-40 Company
A brand management company: “buy a commodity – sell a brand”
Source: Bloomberg, VGI Partners
Household brand
Consistent organic growth
High return on capital
High cash flow generation
Strong balance sheet
Asset light business model
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Future Generation Investment Forum
Global Construction Services (ASX: GCS)
$-
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
ExchangeTicker
Currentshareprice52weekhigh/lowMarketCapitalisationNetCash(2018F)EnterpriseValue
$32m$139m
ASXGCS.ASX
0.81$0.48/$0.90
$171m
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Confidential/14
KT Corporation– Korean Broadband Leader Korea’s fixed line Telco can become a cash machine
Irrational extrapolation
• Government and regulatory concerns
• 5G capex spend is a big risk
• Korea is an ex Growth telco market
Multiple ways of winning
• Low fiber capex risk: Near completed fiber network capex, returns to follow
• Low 5G capex risk: Korea already has a highly densified cell site network
• Hidden value in real estate now being developed, potentially worth KRW~7tn or 100% of market capitalisation
Margin of safety
• Telco sector historically very cheap
• 2.5x EV/EBITDA, 0.6x EV/Sales, 16% FCF Yield
Correlation cluster
• Chinese Telco’s, Telecom Italia, Bharti Airtel Source: Factset
EV/Sales vs sector: KT de-rated materially
% Fiber connections of total broadband
Long example
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Price (L) Relative EV/SALES (R)
Source: OECD December 2016 “Broadband Statistics” report 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Greece
Ireland
Austria
Germany
Italy
France
Canada
USA
Netherlands
Mexico
Australia
OECD
Spain
Norway
Sweden
Korea
Japan
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HRL Holdings (HRL.AX)
FY17 FY18EHRL Analytica Combined HRL Analytica Combined
Revenue 21.2 8.7 29.9 22.2 11.0 33.2
GrossProfit 10.6 4.4 15.1 11.4 5.6 17.0%margin 50% 51% 50% 51% 51% 51%
EBITDA 2.7 3.2 5.9 3.2 4.0 7.3%margin 13% 37% 20% 15% 37% 22%
• ExpansionofAnalyticaoperationsinAustralia
• Blue-skyinvestment–26%interestinCAIQTest
• Soundbalancesheet
CurrentValuation*
No.ofShares 496.3M
CurrentPrice $0.10
MarketCap 49.6
EnterpriseValue 53.5
FY18EEV/EBITDA 7.3*Includesallnewscripissuedandearnoutspostacquisition
Source:HRLPresentation17/10/17–pro-formaearningsforecast,$mAUD
HRLHoldingsisadiversifiedenvironmentalandgeotechnicalserviceproviderwithofficesandlaboratoryfacilitiesacrossAustraliaandNewZealand.
Capitol Health (CAJ.AX)
FY17 FY18Guidance FY19CentennialEst.
Revenue 165.0 123.5 157.0
EBITDA 22.2 22.5 30.0%margin 13% 18% 19%
• DiagnosticImagingmarketimprovement(c.5%growth)• Acquisitionpipeline(35-40mnetcash,EV/EBITDAmultiple5.5x)• Managementexecutingonstrategy
CurrentValuation
No.ofShares 804M
CurrentPrice $0.305
MarketCap 245
EnterpriseValue 206
FY19EEV/EBITDA 8.2
FY19EPE 15.1
Source:CAJAGMPresentation
CapitolHealthisaleadingproviderofdiagnosticimagingservicestotheAustralianhealthcaremarket.
CAJFY17 CAJFY18E IDXFY18E CombinedFY18E CombinedFY19ERevenue 165.0 115.0 187.0 302.0 317.1EBITDAUnderlying 22.2 22.0 37.0 64.0 67.2
margin 13% 19% 20% 21% 21%NPATUnderlying 4.8 9.5 16.8 30.1 31.7MC($M) 154.6 245.2 274.1 550.5 550.5EV($M) 196.1 206.4 323.1 620.5 620.5PE 32.5 25.9 16.3 18.2 17.3EV/EBITDA 8.8 9.4 8.7 9.7 9.2
Post-announcementofIntegralDiagnostic(IDX.AX)takeover:
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Focussed | Vigilant | Agile 19
Short squeeze?
ü Cheap ü Fast growing ü Innovative & Hated?
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Brain Resource Company (BRC)
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Marketandproductneed–Mentalhealthillnessisepidemic.BRC’sIPassets(whichincludetheworld’slargestbrainfunctiondatabase)directlyaddressthementalhealthfault-line,whichcosts>US$200bnannuallyintheUS,andwhichisruiningtheeconomicsoftheAustralianinsuranceindustry(APRAdata).
Failure=>restructure–BRChaslong,deepandverycostly(c$70mR&D)rootsinbrainscience.EnjoyedearlysuccesswithiSPOT,andadoptionofMBSinUSAbyfiveinsurersand28blue-chipcorporates.Morerecently,commercialisationofIPassetshasfailed–leadingtoafundamentalrestructureofthecompany.New,newBRC–all-newmanagement:fourexecsex-Amazon,Yodle,Monster,andPrivateEquity,withdeepdigitalbusiness(SaaS)andmarketingcredentials.BRCnowhasaclearandmuchnarrowergo-to-marketstrategycentredondrivingadoption/pricingwithinexistingcustomersininsurance(196millionlivescovered)andcorporatewellness.Recapitalised,incentivised–$10mequityraiseandsimplifiedcapitalstructure,viaconversionof$14mof(senior)CBsecurities.Managementhavebeenhugelyincentivised,viaanESOP(primarily“atrisk”grants)overc20%ofdilutedcapital.Executioniskey–MBShasahardsciencebaselackingincompetitorofferings,asendorsedbyitsqualitycustomerbase.Nowhavetoreinvest(MBSmobile2.0/UX/CRMandsales)todrivepenetrationandyield.HighlyscalableSaaSmodel,capableofsupportingahighEV/salesmultipleasgrowthaccelerates.
BRC: pro-forma capitalisation(A$ millions) 30/09/2017 Pro-forma (1)
Cash 0.7 10.2 CB debt 14.0- - Net cash (debt) 13.3- 10.2
Equity capitalisation - primary 11.7 35.6 Equity capitalisation - diluted 16.9 53.2 Enterprise value - diluted 30.2 43.0 (1) Pro-forma for $10m capital raise; conversion of CB's
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AFSL 314 302
NewsCorp (NWS)
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ASX: ORG
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