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1 FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi June 2015

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Page 1: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi June 2015

Page 2: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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What are the major investment trends?What’s the IP landscape look like?What’s coming next?

Page 3: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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Where’s the money going?

Page 4: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

4 Source: Capital IQ, Quid, i f t f

Funding—where are we?Private investment growing rapidly, M&A peaked in 2012

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Past five years of funding into artificial intelligence ($mn)

M&A

Private Investment

Page 5: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

5 Source: Capital IQ, Quid, i f t f

How’s the market shaping up?Key investment areas since 2010

Cybersecurity !

Medical 10%

MapReduce 9%

NLP 9%

Ads 8%

ERP 8%

Robotics 7%

Shopping 7%

Computer Vision 6%

Market Composition

MapReduce !

Natural Language !Processing !

Medical !

Cancer diagnostics !Recruiting !

Robotics !

Computer Vision !

Music !

Personal Assistant !

News Analysis !

Ads !

Shopping !

Financial services !

Enterprise Resource !Planning !

Page 6: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

6 Source: Capital IQ, Quid, i f t f

Where’s it going?Notable private investments and M&A deals since 2010

Quid, Inc.ColdLight Solutions, LLCDatabricks, Inc.

Bright Media Corp.Antuit Pte. Ltd.

Equivio, Ltd.Sentient Technologies, LLCDeep Mind Technologies, Ltd.

$49mn —— $105mn

$54mn —— $120mn

$59mn —— $200mn

$104mn —$400mn

Private M&A

Page 7: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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But what are they doing with all this money?

Page 8: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

8 Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

Patent development is taking offOver 7x growth in IP development from 2004 - 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Previous ten years of patent filings

Machine Learning Patents

Page 9: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

The IP ecosystem is diverseMachine Learning patents across use cases

Text Classification !

Text Classification 11%

Customer Analytics 11%

Querying Methods 8%

Medical Diagnostics 7%

Data Mining 7%

Cybersecurity 6%

MRI Analysis 6%

Facial Recognition 4%

IP Deconstruction

Social Network !Analysis !

Natural Language !Processing !

Video Analysis!

Molecular Analysis ! Querying Method !

Querying Method !

Personal Assistant !

Customer Analytics !

Cybersecurity !

Data Protection !

Semiconductors !

Data Mining !

Neural Network !

9

Page 10: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

10 Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

…But held by only a few playersIntellectual property not predominantly held by start-ups

MicrosoftIBMYahoo

GoogleNippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp

Hewlett-PackardBehavioral Recognition Systems, Inc.Qualcomm

Patents held %140 9%90 6%59 4%49 3%34 2%28 2%24 1.5%20 1%

Page 11: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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What’s next?

Page 12: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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Combinatorial InnovationWon’t be just single technology or use case that changes game

Page 13: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

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Combinatorial InnovationWon’t be just single technology or use case that changes game

Page 14: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

14 Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

Revisiting our patent analysisOver 7x growth in IP development from 2004 - 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Previous ten years of patent filings

Machine Learning Patents

Page 15: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

15 Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

It’s really a much bigger story…IP development across use cases 2004 - 2013

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Previous ten years of patent filings

Automated Judgement Patents

Machine Learning Patents

Page 16: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

16 Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

Innovations build on top of each otherIP development across use cases 2004 - 2013

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Previous ten years of patent filings

Computer Vision Patents

Automated Judgement Patents

Machine Learning Patents

Page 17: FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - Fujitsu Global · ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Andrew Trabulsi ... How’s the market shaping up? ... Machine Learning patents across use cases

17 Source: Thomson Reuters, Quid, i f t f

To create a wide range of opportunitiesIP development across use cases 2004 - 2013

0200400600800

100012001400160018002000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Previous ten years of patent filings

Neural Network Patents

Computer Vision Patents

Automated Judgement Patents

Machine Learning Patents

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Innovations overlap with one another. It won’t just be advances in a single field that change the world or imp-act our daily lives. It will be combinations of advances,

across fields, that do. Understanding this, helps put to-day’s innovations into perspective for tomorrow.

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Thank you!