future energy scenarios 2017 marcus stewart head of energy...
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Future Energy Scenarios 2017
Marcus Stewart
Head of Energy Insights
Our Engagement
Sensitivities
Decarbonised Gas
High Electrification
Consumer Renewables
High EV
Key messages
An energy system with
high levels of distributed
and renewable generation
has become a reality. This
growth is set to continue,
increasing the complexity
of operating a secure and
cost effective energy
system.
1 67GW Potential increase in distributed generation capacity by 2050.
New technologies and evolving business models
are rapidly transforming the energy sector. Market and
regulatory arrangements
need to adapt swiftly to
support a flexible energy
system with an increasing
number of participants.
2 6GW Potential amount of electricity storage by 2020.
Electricity demand has the potential to increase
significantly and the shape of demand will also change.
This is driven initially by
electric vehicles and later on
by heat demand. It will require
a range of solutions to deliver
best value for consumers, including a coordinated approach
across the whole system; investment in smart technologies,
transmission and distribution
infrastructure; and commercial
approaches such as consumer
behaviour change.
3 9m Potential number of electric cars by 2030.
Gas is critical to security of supply now and as
Britain continues the transition to a low-carbon
future. It will have a long-
term role as a flexible,
reliable and cost-effective
energy source favoured
by many consumers.
4 Gas Provides twice as much energy as electricity.
Key messages
COMPLEX ADAPT CONSUMER GAS