from valuing nature to policies and decision making: co ... · with esi • presentation to defra...
TRANSCRIPT
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From valuing nature to
policies and decision making:
Co-developing and implementing
a 25 year planning tool for
the natural environment
Dr Amy Binner
Land, Environment, Economics and Policy
Institute (LEEP)
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RecreationGHGsBiodiversity
Water SupplyTimber Food
Agriculture
Woodland
Urban
Land Use: Market Goods:
Non- Market Goods:
Drivers:
Environment(inc. climate)
Policy
Market Forces
Technology
Water Quality
Natural Capital Models
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The Placement: Aims
• Compile a detailed assessment of user
needs around spatial decision support
tools (like TIM) across the entire
Defra network
• Assess co-development options for the
tool to enhance usability and the
decision making context in which it
can be best applied
• Facilitate understanding and uptake of
the tool in a different institutional
setting
• Learn key concepts in policy analysis,
development and decision making
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Towards an Integrated Approach
What questions could integrated models help to answer?
What is missing from existing Natural Capital models?
How could these models be made more accessible?
What skills are needed to use the models?
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Detailed Assessment of User Needs
Ministers
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Methods
Exploring potential use
and uptake of tools in
different institutional
settings
Individual interviewsGroup discussions and workshops
Shadowing senior
staff at Defra
Developing a cross-
disciplinary dialogue
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Timeline
Feb March April May
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Identifying Key Themes
3 months
51 meetings
23,000 words
2 workshops
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Testing User Interfaces
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Exploring policy applications
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Cumbria catchment boundariesTree planting on uplands: Market valueTree planting on uplands: Social valueTree planting on agricultural land: Social valueUpland areas
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Working with the Carbon Fund
for Tree Planting
• £19.4 m over 5 years
• Spent on tree planting costs
• Scheme in England
• Carbon pricing: DECC C3
• Discount rate: 3.5%
• Calculate value for money
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User Needs
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Identifying Extensions
Extensions
Drivers of change
Land management
Ecosystem services
Flood risk
Linking ESI/GeoSmart's national map of natural flood defence options to TIM
Linking FC's national map of natural flood defence options to TIM
Working in collaboration with Stanford university to calibrate their water yield model or seasonal water
yield model for the UK and link to TIM
Co-development of flood risk and natural solutions opportunity maps to identify priority areas for
managing flood risk which can be integrated into TIM as location constraints or data layers for comparing
model outputs against
Extending ESI/GeoSmart or FC (or both) natural flood solution maps to include economic costs
related to expected reductions in flood damage e.g. multiplying the quantity of water by the anticipated frequency of affected flood events to evaluate the
impact on damages (property damage, infrastructure damage, delays and diversions etc.)
Analysis
User interfaces
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41 Potential Extensions
• Menu of extension
options
• Categorised by type
• Short, medium and long
term options
• Identifies resources
needed
• Outlines investment
pathways
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Extensions to Meet User Needs
Tree species User Interfaces Natural Capital Tools
Biodiversity
Air qualityLand management
options
Flooding
Risk and uncertainty
Land use
options
Urban development
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Outputs
• Assessment of User
Needs
• Progress report
• Key learning
report for Valuing
Nature community
• Co-developed tool
specification
• Co-developed
demonstration
interfaces
• Developed EAU
dashboard
examples
• Analysis for
Carbon Fund
• Collaboration
with ESI
• Presentation to
Defra
• Presentation at
envecon
• Presentation at
NatCap
Symposium
• Video and
written
blog for
VNP web
(more to
come…)