from the nexus of forces to digital business – it trends in brasil – 2015-2016 donald feinberg...
TRANSCRIPT
From the Nexus of Forces to Digital Business – IT Trends In Brasil – 2015-2016
Donald FeinbergVP, Distinguished AnalystGartner do BrasilTwitter: @Brazingo
The NEXUS … Biggest Information Technology Inflection Point in 35 Years!
This time the challenges include the variety and velocity of data in social systems and mobility platforms.The answers are Information Management and Cloud.
• What happened the last time?- From accounting and finance to
operations management and market analysis
• What were the answers?- Client/server- Relational data- Operating systems- Server technology- Business Intelligence & DW- Not "unstructured" but different
structure
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Digital BusinessThe creation ofnew business designsby blurringthe digital and physical worlds
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Digital Business
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Key Technology Families
■ Social Tools■ Mobility■ Internet of Things■ Information■ Cloud
■A collection of services and a representation of everybody's digital life.
Personal
Fam
ily
Community
Pro
fess
ion
al
Searchenginejournal.com
■Social tools support from individual interaction to modern collaborative work patterns and can, in principle, go all the way up to "direct democracy."
Key Technology Families:Social Tools
■ The experience flows to where you are and what you are doing in context.
■ Mobile devices become "always-on" extensions of our senses and of our mental processes
Key Technology Families:Mobility
■ The IoT opens infinite new digitalization opportunities, requiring new scenarios and the understanding of new possibilities.
■ In 2020, we will have over 50 billion things connected, and over 200 billion intermittent things connected.
Key Technology Families:The Internet of Things
■ What “things” do: sense, communicate, analyze, act
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
At the end of the day, it is all
about information,
where it is, how it flows, and what you do
with it.
bits.blogs.nytimes.com
■ The new digital information domain (big data plus new analytics) grows by orders of magnitude in volume, velocity, variety – and value.
■ The new domain completely changes the rules of how to manage information – in both physical and logical senses.
Key Technology Families:Information
■ Cloud changes the economics and the logic of IT acquisition, with strong business implications over organizations and enterprises in all industries.
Isanetworks.net
■ Organizations in the future will have a hybrid architecture. Private and public cloud services will definitely be part of it.
Key Technology Families:Cloud
Enterprise’s initiatives toward digitalizationhave to cope with an
"undisciplined environment”,where too many threats and opportunities,coming too fast, from too many directions,
compete for management attention.
Let’s understand where we are.
We’re past IT as craftsmanship, focused on technology.
We are past IT industrialization, focused on processes.
We definitely move toward a new Digital Era, focused on
Business Models.
The IT organizationmust adopt new organization and management practices,
creating new modes to deliver effective solutions and
business value
This requires shared objectives, clear directions
and continuous focus.
Part of the solution is the creation of a Bimodal IT
Bimodal IT means:Two modes of delivering IT solutions, designed to address different business goals, each using
people, process and technology in different ways
Mode 1Sequential
Stable Predictable
Efficient
Mode 2ExploratoryAdaptable
FlexibleEffective
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the Virtual World
Computing Everywhere
Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
Cloud/Client Computing
The Internet of Things
3D Printing
1
2
3
Context-Rich Systems
Smart Machines
4
5
6
Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure
Web-Scale IT
Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
7
8
9
10
The Internet of Things Links to Everything
Internet of Things25B Things by 2020
Internet of Information30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013
Internet of Places3B Foursquare Check-Ins,
January 2013
Manage
Monetize
Operate
Extend
Internet of People1.11B People on Facebook,
March 2013
Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical Architectures for the Internet of Things
Cloud/"Internet"Enterprise/
On-PremisesThing Gateway
AnalyticsDataApplication Logic and Rules
User Interface
101010010101001101010101001010110101011
3D Printing — An Emerging, Growth and Mature Technology
Innovation Trigger
Peak ofInflated
Expectations
Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment
Plateau of Productivity
time
expectations
Plateau will be reached in:less than 2 years 2 to 5 years 5 to 10 years more than 10 years
obsoletebefore plateau
As of July 2014
3D Bioprinting Systems
Consumer 3D Printing
Enterprise 3D Printing
… but Is Newly Strategic Reaching An Inflection Point for the Enterprise Market
Enterprise Consumer
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
7,000,000,000
Axis Title
Billions of Dollars
81.9%CAGR
Look for Innovation Opportunities From the Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical
Airbus A320Redesigned Nacelle
Hinge Bracket
Injection MoldsCut Tooling Costs
by Up to 97%
M1 Abrams Tank EngineMaterial Added to Worn Components
Not Impossible Labs"Project Daniel" Prosthetic Limbs
Courtesy of EOS
Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs
Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions
ResponsiveWill we be able to focus more on our customers' needs and less on our manufacturing processes?
Knowledge Do we need to develop our staff's additive manufacturing skills?
Agile Will we make our product development and production processes more nimble?
CostHow much can we reduce product development, operating and support costs?
Will we be able to create items that were difficult or impossible to produce before?Innovation
Managed
Transformed
Filtered
Secured (Somewhat)
Portable
Potable (Fit for Consumption)
Data Lake … … or Reservoir?
Unmanaged
Original
Raw
Natural Security
Not Portable
Consumption Fitness Uncertain
Processdata
But Not All Information Requires a Big Data Approach
Gen
eric
val
ue,
pers
iste
nce
Information of record
Informationof differentiation
Informationof innovation
Fluidity, rate of change, number of systems
Financialconsolidation
data
Masterdata
Managementinformation
Customerinteraction
Masterdata
Social mediadata
Emerging Analytic Linkages
Analysis
Information
Structured ContentHybrid
PrescriptivePredictive
What Should I Do About It?
What Is Likely to Happen?
Why Did It Happen?
What Is Happening?
Descriptive Diagnostic
The Data and DBMS Explosion — How Do We Manage Data in the Digital
Business?
Big Data
Observational Data
Interaction Data
Unstructured Data
Streaming Data
IoT Data
Columnar
In-MemoryFlash
Disk (HDD)
NoSQL
Hadoop
Streaming
IMDG
Relational
Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies:Cloud/Client Computing
• The application is in the cloud.
• Cloud is the coordination point and system of record.
• Clients can be anything with varying levels of data and logic.
• Applications can span multiple clients.
• Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions.
• The experience flows to the user in context.
• Mobile is not about devices … it is about people.
UX logic
Business logic
UX logic
Business logic
Data
Data
Shift From Application Migration, to the Cloud, to Cloud "Native" Application Development
http://www.flickr.com/photos/wscullin/3770015203
Conventional Pattern Cloud "Native" Pattern
Adapted From Cloud Architecture Tutorial by Adrian Cockcroft (Netflix)
Central SQL Database
Sticky In-Memory Session
Chatty Protocols
Tangled Service Interfaces
Polled Information
Fat Complex Objects
Components as Jar Files
Distributed Key/Value NoSQL
Latency Tolerant Protocols
Event-Driven
Lightweight Serializable Objects
Components as Services
Layered Service Interfaces
Shared Memcached/Redis Session
Java, .NET JavaScript, Python, Ruby, Node.js
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the
Virtual World
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and create a vision of the future technology landscape
Link trend analysis to the impact on people (employees and customers), the business and IT
Establish strategic decision models to take action on disruptive impacts
Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT andthe business
From the Nexus of Forces to Digital Business – IT Trends In Brasil – 2015-2016
Donald Feinberg
VP, Distinguished Analyst
Gartner do Brasil
Twitter: @Brazingo