from apples to augmented cognition (current and future trends in mobile)

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1 Copyright Paul Golding, 2011 http://wirelesswanders.com “From Apples to Augmented Cognition” Current & Future Mobile Trends May 2011 Friday, 13 May 2011

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There were over 1 Trillion text messages sent across the globe last year. In more than 60 countries, there are more connected mobiles than there are people. We usually notice that our mobile is missing before we notice a missing wallet or keys. Mobiles have become one of the most important electronic devices in our lives, enabling unprecedentedlevels of communication and entirely new business opportunities that drive a trillion-dollar industry. Since the Apple iPhone, we have entered yet another wave of mobile innovation that is rapidly headed to a world where nearly every task in our lives, including thinking, will be augmented by mobiles. Paul Golding is one of the world's prominent experts in this exciting field, with over 20 years of experience. He has 16 patents in the core technology and has worked for major companies and brands all over the world. He is a leading author and speaker and advises many companies at the board level.

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Page 1: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

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Copyright Paul Golding, 2011http://wirelesswanders.com

“From Apples to Augmented Cognition”Current & Future Mobile Trends

May 2011

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 2: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

2

Some numbers:21 years in mobile16 patents (mobile chip design)5 continents4 books1st mobile apps co. in Europe1st mobile internet portal1st push email solution

*connFu is a cloud-telephony platform

Why listen to this guy?

Paul GRoles:Mobile Product StrategyDeveloperChief Apps Architect MotorolaAdvisor to corps !10k - !10BFounded the O2 IncubatorMentor at Springboard IncubatorconnFu* Master at O2

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 3: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

3Written a few books...

Innovationis for

Everyone

31 innovationhabits

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 4: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

4

I shouldcall Bob

Not so long ago we didn’t “need” mobiles...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 5: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

5From Islington to Iran

Mobiles are everywhere

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 6: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

6Indoors and outdoors, they consume attention...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 7: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

7

“fish don’t know water exists... until beached”

Marshall McLuhan

ImmersiveAnd we need them like a fish needs water...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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8

In 59 countries:

>

A device most of us have most of the time...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 9: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

9

Global textmessages

200,000per second

Six Trillion

A global communication phenomenon

Friday, 13 May 2011

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The average teensends or receives

text messagesevery month

A lot of communications power...

Source: comScore

Friday, 13 May 2011

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10

The average teensends or receives

text messagesevery month

3,33915 s per text ~ 14 hours of attention

(15-24 yrs average 9 hours per month SN sites)

A lot of communications power...

Source: comScore

Friday, 13 May 2011

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11

Things we carry...The carry principle...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 13: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

11

Things we carry...The carry principle...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 14: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

12The “pre-history” of mobile...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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13

A is for...The mobile is dead...long live the...

2007...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 16: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

14There’s an app for that...

2009...

A is for...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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15

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

Texting, talking

Mobiles are “everyware”

A new era of mobile...

Doing

(Voice + Text + Data)

Organise lunchDetect offersFind a popular placeShare video clipsHail a taxiLocate “friend of a friend”Compare shopping pricesScan & Share the billPin feedback in mid-airSwap stuffDo everything?

Friday, 13 May 2011

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16

Source: comScore

The trend is apps...

40% UK 35% UK

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 19: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

17Visitors from Planet Google...

A is for...Friday, 13 May 2011

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18

Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

The consumerization of smartphones...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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18

Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

AndroidsThe consumerization of smartphones...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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18

Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

Androids

Dec 2010 - 50.3% devices sold = smartphones ~35% penetration (UK)

~70% growth

The consumerization of smartphones...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 23: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

18

Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

Androids

Dec 2010 - 50.3% devices sold = smartphones ~35% penetration (UK)

~70% growth

“everyware”

The consumerization of smartphones...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 24: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

19

+951% EU5

+115% EU5

Source:Asymco

(via VisionMobile, Tomi Ahonen)Source:

comScore

“platform wars”And now mostly a 2-horse race...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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20

...of the revolution

Millions of transistors!

Moore’s Law...

1 GHz

Hidden engine...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 26: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

What we really carry...21

A computer!

We carry a computer all day long...

Some metal...

Some leather...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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22

Inert

COMPUTER#two

COMPUTER#one

Actually, we carry two of them...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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23

!"#$%&'()*+(,

!-./0&1"2+-3$-/*,

4-.2$&56',

7"+*2%"-/&'-)3(88,

4-.2$&4*)3*+(%.+*,

1-%"-/&922*:*+-)*%*+,

;*)-%*<8*/8"/#&=:.*%--%$,

But it’s more than just a computer...

A computer with senses...Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 29: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

24

!"#$%&'()*+,,-./

!

"

#

$

Augmented Reality

We can surf the real world...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 30: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

25Real-world connectivity

Money

Access

Body

Engines

Metering

Control

Security

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 31: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

25Real-world connectivity

Money

Access

Body

Engines

Metering

Control

Security

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 32: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

26Today we carry these...

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 33: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

27Tomorrow we carry this...

Friday, 13 May 2011

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28

!""#$%%#&'()*+"',,%-&.%/0112003/20/

%45"&(+%!6&."***

%7&"-!%"68#6.&"'.6%**

%!986%75:;97+%**

%".&5:6.+%76&.%**

There’s a URI for that...

Internet of Things

Friday, 13 May 2011

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28

!""#$%%#&'()*+"',,%-&.%/0112003/20/

%45"&(+%!6&."***

%7&"-!%"68#6.&"'.6%**

%!986%75:;97+%**

%".&5:6.+%76&.%**

There’s a URI for that...

Internet of Things

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 36: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

29

!"#$%&'"

(%)!#*"

!"#$%&'"

+!),"((&-*

!"#$%&'").%+.%

/&(%!&0.%"12("-()!2*!&1(

“Sensor Net”

Streaming sensor data to the cloud...

Big Data!

Creating value from unthinkably large amounts of data

Friday, 13 May 2011

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30

Inert

!"#$%&'()*+(,

!-./0&1"2+-3$-/*,

4-.2$&56',

7"+*2%"-/&'-)3(88,

4-.2$&4*)3*+(%.+*,

1-%"-/&922*:*+-)*%*+,

;*)-%*<8*/8"/#&=:.*%--%$,

TheCloud

Which is smarter?

Friday, 13 May 2011

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31

“Real Right time”Right-time Web

Social stream

Information stream

Entertainment stream

Event stream

Sensor stream

Friday, 13 May 2011

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32

!"#$%&'()*+(,

!-./0&1"2+-3$-/*,

4-.2$&56',

7"+*2%"-/&'-)3(88,

4-.2$&4*)3*+(%.+*,

1-%"-/&922*:*+-)*%*+,

;*)-%*<8*/8"/#&=:.*%--%$,

Connected to streams in the cloud...

TheCloud

Social stream

Information stream

Entertainment stream

Event stream

Sensor stream

Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 40: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

What is smart?

Friday, 13 May 2011

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34

Augmented cognition:

Person + right-time computer ! personalized computing

= new person!

The augmented human...

Smartphone = smarter peopleFriday, 13 May 2011

Page 42: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

35Where are we headed?

100 GHz100 Mbps100 TB

The not-so-distant future...

Just imagine the possibilities...Friday, 13 May 2011

Page 43: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

[email protected]

@pgolding

(C) Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

36

Thank You

Friday, 13 May 2011