foreign agricultural service production wap...
TRANSCRIPT
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign
Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP 11-12
Argentina Sunflowers: Planting Slows with Rains in the Pampas Plains
Argentina sunseed production for 2012/13 is forecast at 3.6 million tons, down 10 percent from last month but up 8 percent from last year. Heavy autumn rain, particularly in Buenos Aires province, hampered sunflower planting and contributed to an estimated 10-percent reduction from last month’s area forecast. Sown area is estimated at 1.8 million hectares, down 1 percent from last year. The cool, wet weather has also increased the likelihood of disease. With th e arrival of dry, sunny weather, some farmers may elect to plant warmer-season summer crops like corn or soybeans rather than sunflower. (For additional information, contact Dr. Denise McWilliams, at 202-720-0107.)
World Agricultural Production
Ukraine Sunseed: Higher Estimated Output for 2011/12 Based on Reported Meal Exports
The USDA forecasts Ukraine sunflowerseed output for 2011/12 at a record 10.5 million tons, up 1.0 million or 11 percent from last month. The increase is based chiefly on reported exports of sunflowerseed and meal. The revised production estimate reflects the estimated amount of sunflowerseed required for exports and domestic consumption of seed, and the amount of crush required to satisfy the demand for exports and domestic consumption of meal. According to data from the Ukrainian customs service, 3.84 million tons of meal and 0.28 million tons of seed were exported for marketing year 2011/12. (For more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at 202-690-0143.) Australia Wheat: Continued Dry Growing Conditions Lower Production
Australia wheat production for 2012/13 is forecast at 21.0 million tons, down 2.0 million or 9 percent from last month, and down 8.5 million or 29 percent from last year. The area forecast is 13.3 million hectares, unchanged from last month and down 0.8 million or 5 percent from last year. Since major sowing operations commenced in May, periods of dryness have plagued the Australian wheat producing states at varying times. Yield is forecast below the 5-year average. Nationwide, the wheat crop faces mixed prospects heading into spring, reflecting below-average September through October winter rainfall and soil moisture conditions. (For more information, please contact Jim Crutchfield at 202-690-0135.)
November 2012
Indonesia Palm Oil: Production Growth to Continue for 2012/13 Indonesia’s 2011/12 palm oil production is forecast at 25.9 million tons, up 0.5 million or 2 percent from last month. Yields were higher than previously expected, leading to increased exports and domestic ending stocks. The USDA also increased the 2012/13 forecast to a record 28.0 million tons, up 1.0 million or 4 percent from last month. Indonesia has recorded consistently strong annual trend yield growth, and the revised 2012/13
estimate reflects expected continued growth. It is estimated that approximately 50 percent of all land sown to oil palm in the country is less than 8 years of age. Yield of oil palm plantings increase steadily up to 8 years of age, plateau from 10 to 20 years and then decline after that. The large population of young trees with strongly growing output potential is expected to underpin continued future national yield growth. (For more information, contact Michael Shean at 202-720-7366).
European Union Corn: Estimated Corn Output Down 1.0 Million Tons with Harvest Underway European Union (EU) corn production for 2012/13 is estimated at 54.6 million tons, down 1.0 million or 1.7 percent from last month and down 11.5 million or 17 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 9.0 million hectares, virtually unchanged from last month, but up 0.2 million or 1.7 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 6.10 tons per hectare (t/ha) compared to 6.18 t/ha last month, and down 19 percent from 7.51 t/ha last year. Corn production and yield in the EU are estimated to be the lowest since the 2007/08 drought year. As harvest continues, more data are becoming available. Romania’s production is estimated down 0.3 million tons to 6.0 million. Romania’s corn decrease is the result of a 0.1-million-hectare drop in harvested area, created by drought-abandoned land. The country’s corn crop has suffered from both extreme heat and drought. Hungary and Italy’s estimates have also been revised down by another 0.3 million and 0.2 million tons, respectively, due to summer heat and dryness. Poland’s corn crop however, is estimated to be 0.5 million tons higher than last month’s estimate because of favorable summer weather and adequate rainfall. Other significant EU corn changes for 2012/13 include 0.2-million-ton drops in both Spain and Austria, as well as a 0.3-million-ton drop in the Czech Republic, based on official statistics.(For additional information please contact Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138.)
November 2012
World Agricultural Production U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051
http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/ Telephone: (202) 720-1157 Fax: (202) 720-1158
This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Branch, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-512), November 09, 2012. Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068. The FAS International Production Assessment Branch prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time, December 11, 2012.
Conversion Table
Metric tons to bushels
Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437 Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825 Barley = MT * 45.929625 Oats = MT * 68.894438
Metric tons to 480-lb bales
Cotton = MT * 4.592917
Metric tons to hundredweight
Rice = MT * 22.04622
Area & weight
1 hectare = 2.471044 acres 1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds
November 2012
For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service Office of Global Analysis
International Production Assessment Division Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
Telephone: (202) 720-1157 Fax: (202) 720-1158 GENERAL INFORMATION Director Derrick Williams III 202-690-0131 [email protected] Deputy Director Paul Provance 202-720-0873 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/SIA Manager Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sr. Agricultural Economist Vacant Program Analyst Mary Jackson 202-720-0886 [email protected] GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South America, Argentina and Columbia Denise McWilliams, PhD 202-720-0107 [email protected] Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] and North Africa Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] and other FSU-12 countries
Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka, Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] and Bangladesh
East Asia, China, and Japan Paulette Sandene 202-690-0133 [email protected] India, Pakistan and Nepal Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sub-Saharan Africa, Mexico Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Nigeria and South Africa S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Cambodia and Vietnam Brazil, Venezuela and Central America Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Australia, New Zealand, Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands Middle East, Afghanistan, Iraq, Bill Baker, PhD 202-260-8109 [email protected] Iran and Syria Western United States Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] Eastern United States Paul Provance 202-720-0873 [email protected] Crop Analyst/ Vacant Global Special Projects Manager
Crop Analyst Vacant
November 2012
Million Metric Tons
Table 01 World Crop Production Summary
World
-
Total
Foreign
North
America
North
America
North
America
EU-27
-
Former
Soviet
Former
Soviet
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
South
America
South
America
Selected
Other
Selected
Other
Selected
Other
All
Others
none
-
none
-
United
States
Mexico
-
Canada
-
none
-
Russia
-
Ukraine
-
China
-
India
-
Indo-
nesia
Paki-
stan
Thai-
land
Argen-
tina
Brazil
-
South
Africa
Turkey
-
none
-
Aus-
tralia
Commodity
---Million metric tons---
Wheat
2010/11 82.017.01.427.45.917.2nr23.9nr80.8115.216.841.5136.03.723.260.1592.1652.1
2011/12 prel. 96.318.82.029.55.815.5nr25.0nr86.9117.422.156.2137.23.625.354.4641.6696.1
2012/13 proj.
Oct 84.315.81.823.05.011.5nr23.0nr93.9118.015.538.0131.63.326.761.8591.3653.0
Nov 84.415.51.821.05.011.5nr23.3nr93.9118.015.538.0131.83.326.761.8589.7651.4
Coarse Grains
2010/11 169.810.211.311.560.433.34.33.66.843.4183.421.416.4140.529.222.3330.2767.71,097.9
2011/12 prel. 165.411.312.512.975.930.14.43.68.942.1199.733.332.8147.125.721.8323.7827.51,151.2
2012/13 proj.
Oct 165.910.214.011.473.539.14.63.68.537.6207.029.127.9141.029.023.6284.2825.91,110.1
Nov 166.510.614.011.473.539.44.63.68.937.6207.029.128.4140.327.823.6284.8826.21,111.0
Rice, Milled
2010/11 133.40.5nr0.59.31.120.35.035.596.0137.00.10.72.20.1nr7.6441.7449.3
2011/12 prel. 137.30.5nr0.77.91.020.56.536.5104.3140.70.10.72.10.1nr5.9458.9464.8
2012/13 proj.
Oct 139.10.5nr0.87.80.921.16.736.999.0143.00.10.72.00.2nr6.3458.8465.1
Nov 138.90.5nr0.87.80.920.56.736.999.0143.00.10.72.10.1nr6.3458.0464.3
Total Grains
2010/11 385.227.712.839.475.651.624.532.542.3220.2435.638.458.6278.733.045.4397.91,801.52,199.4
2011/12 prel. 399.130.614.543.189.646.624.835.145.4233.3457.855.689.7286.529.447.1384.01,928.12,312.1
2012/13 proj.
Oct 389.426.415.735.286.351.525.633.345.4230.5468.044.766.5274.632.450.3352.31,875.92,228.3
Nov 389.826.615.733.286.351.825.133.645.8230.5468.044.767.1274.231.250.3352.91,873.82,226.7
Oilseeds
2010/11 41.91.91.73.879.054.20.64.89.634.858.111.67.229.20.717.2100.4356.3456.7
2011/12 prel. 37.92.11.34.770.245.70.75.810.235.559.014.312.429.20.918.892.3348.7441.1
2012/13 proj.
Oct 42.52.11.64.283.760.50.75.510.534.955.811.99.427.40.917.888.2369.5457.7
Nov 42.92.11.64.283.760.10.75.510.835.155.812.69.427.30.917.891.4370.7462.1
Cotton
2010/11 14.12.10.14.29.01.40.08.60.026.430.5nrnr1.20.7nr18.198.3116.4
2011/12 prel. 15.93.40.15.58.71.00.010.60.027.533.1nrnr1.61.2nr15.6108.7124.3
2012/13 proj.
Oct 15.32.80.14.36.50.80.010.00.025.531.5nrnr1.50.9nr17.399.0116.3
Nov 15.72.80.14.36.50.80.010.00.025.531.5nrnr1.40.9nr17.499.4116.8
1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.
November 2012
Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
218.27World -6.41-44.63-0.25-1.62651.43222.11 217.41 217.67 2.99 3.13 3.00 2.99 652.13 696.06 653.05
19.27United States 13.497.340.000.0061.7618.50 19.83 19.83 3.12 2.94 3.11 3.11 60.06 54.41 61.76
199.00Total Foreign -8.10-51.97-0.27-1.62589.67203.61 197.58 197.84 2.98 3.15 2.99 2.98 592.07 641.64 591.29
none
24.26China 0.510.600.000.00118.0024.27 24.30 24.30 4.75 4.84 4.86 4.86 115.18 117.40 118.00
South Asia
28.46 India 8.097.030.000.0093.9029.40 29.69 29.69 2.84 2.95 3.16 3.16 80.80 86.87 93.90
9.03 Pakistan -6.80-1.701.300.3023.308.90 8.66 8.66 2.65 2.81 2.66 2.69 23.90 25.00 23.00
2.30 Afghanistan 66.001.650.000.004.152.10 2.51 2.51 1.61 1.19 1.65 1.65 3.70 2.50 4.15
Former Soviet Union - 12
21.75 Russia -32.42-18.230.000.0038.0024.90 21.80 21.80 1.91 2.26 1.74 1.74 41.51 56.23 38.00
6.28 Ukraine -29.94-6.620.000.0015.506.66 5.70 5.70 2.68 3.32 2.72 2.72 16.84 22.12 15.50
14.26 Kazakhstan -53.81-12.230.000.0010.5013.85 13.50 13.50 0.68 1.64 0.78 0.78 9.64 22.73 10.50
1.40 Uzbekistan 6.350.400.000.006.701.40 1.40 1.40 4.64 4.50 4.79 4.79 6.50 6.30 6.70
25.88EU-27 -3.94-5.400.190.25131.8225.70 25.17 25.50 5.26 5.34 5.23 5.17 136.02 137.23 131.58
5.43 France 6.252.25-0.67-0.2638.245.41 5.05 5.31 7.05 6.66 7.62 7.20 38.26 35.99 38.50
3.23 Germany -1.55-0.35-1.62-0.3722.433.25 3.08 3.06 7.37 7.01 7.40 7.33 23.78 22.78 22.80
1.94 United Kingdom -11.52-1.76-3.57-0.5013.501.97 2.01 2.00 7.67 7.75 6.97 6.75 14.88 15.26 14.00
2.14 Poland -8.99-0.849.680.758.502.26 2.20 2.10 4.39 4.14 3.52 4.05 9.41 9.34 7.75
1.95 Spain -25.91-1.790.240.015.111.99 2.07 2.17 3.05 3.46 2.46 2.36 5.94 6.90 5.10
1.81 Italy 16.831.030.000.007.151.65 1.85 1.85 3.59 3.71 3.86 3.86 6.49 6.12 7.15
0.77 Denmark -7.04-0.344.650.204.500.74 0.62 0.62 6.61 6.59 6.94 7.26 5.06 4.84 4.30
1.01 Hungary -4.88-0.20-1.81-0.073.900.98 1.06 1.08 3.76 4.18 3.74 3.61 3.80 4.10 3.97
2.15 Romania -30.28-2.151.020.054.951.95 1.83 1.83 2.69 3.65 2.68 2.70 5.78 7.10 4.90
1.13 Bulgaria -4.67-0.214.940.204.251.14 1.09 1.09 3.62 3.92 3.72 3.91 4.09 4.46 4.05
8.27Canada 5.701.440.000.0026.708.54 9.35 9.35 2.80 2.96 2.86 2.86 23.17 25.26 26.70
13.50Australia -28.85-8.52-8.70-2.0021.0014.06 13.30 13.30 2.03 2.10 1.73 1.58 27.41 29.52 23.00
Middle East
8.00 Turkey -17.55-3.30-1.59-0.2515.507.70 7.80 7.80 2.13 2.44 2.02 1.99 17.00 18.80 15.75
7.04 Iran 3.700.500.000.0014.006.80 7.00 7.00 2.14 1.99 2.00 2.00 15.03 13.50 14.00
1.35 Syria -3.90-0.150.000.003.701.60 1.60 1.60 2.67 2.41 2.31 2.31 3.60 3.85 3.70
North Africa
1.26 Egypt 1.190.100.000.008.501.28 1.35 1.35 5.71 6.56 6.30 6.30 7.20 8.40 8.50
2.85 Morocco -41.38-2.400.000.003.403.04 3.14 3.14 1.71 1.91 1.08 1.08 4.89 5.80 3.40
4.85Argentina -25.81-4.000.000.0011.505.17 3.80 3.80 3.55 3.00 3.03 3.03 17.20 15.50 11.50
18.27Others -2.54-1.130.200.0943.5018.24 17.50 17.44 2.33 2.45 2.48 2.49 42.49 44.63 43.42
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
303.69World -3.49-40.230.080.881,111.01311.54 316.68 316.01 3.62 3.70 3.51 3.52 1,097.93 1,151.24 1,110.13
36.52United States -12.00-38.860.210.60284.8436.96 39.37 39.37 9.04 8.76 7.22 7.24 330.24 323.70 284.24
267.16Total Foreign -0.17-1.370.030.28826.17274.58 277.32 276.65 2.87 3.01 2.98 2.99 767.69 827.54 825.89
none
34.58China 3.687.350.000.00207.0135.71 36.52 36.52 5.30 5.59 5.67 5.67 183.40 199.66 207.01
South America
14.86 Brazil -3.15-2.390.000.0073.4916.23 17.26 17.26 4.06 4.68 4.26 4.26 60.38 75.88 73.49
5.81 Argentina 30.729.250.770.3039.356.02 6.58 6.68 5.72 5.00 5.93 5.89 33.26 30.11 39.05
29.77EU-27 -4.67-6.87-0.51-0.72140.2829.82 30.66 30.48 4.72 4.93 4.60 4.60 140.50 147.15 141.00
3.77 France 8.722.39-0.010.0029.793.68 3.99 3.94 7.23 7.44 7.48 7.57 27.24 27.40 29.79
3.29 Germany 19.413.725.311.1522.853.24 3.40 3.45 6.16 5.90 6.39 6.62 20.26 19.14 21.70
5.49 Poland 10.161.762.570.4819.055.46 5.61 5.54 3.21 3.17 3.31 3.44 17.63 17.29 18.57
3.92 Spain -25.49-3.61-6.28-0.7110.563.80 3.73 3.77 3.30 3.73 3.02 2.80 12.94 14.17 11.26
1.38 Italy -14.07-1.52-1.59-0.159.261.39 1.41 1.45 7.31 7.73 6.66 6.40 10.09 10.77 9.41
1.56 Hungary -40.22-3.88-4.97-0.305.761.65 1.53 1.52 5.46 5.85 3.97 3.78 8.54 9.64 6.06
1.07 United Kingdom 1.090.070.240.026.321.11 1.13 1.13 5.65 5.65 5.58 5.59 6.07 6.25 6.31
3.03 Romania -39.53-4.89-3.80-0.307.493.22 3.27 3.15 3.46 3.84 2.38 2.38 10.46 12.38 7.78
Former Soviet Union - 12
9.78 Russia -13.56-4.451.800.5028.3514.33 14.15 14.15 1.68 2.29 1.97 2.00 16.42 32.80 27.85
7.64 Ukraine -12.83-4.280.000.0029.067.97 8.55 8.45 2.81 4.18 3.40 3.44 21.44 33.34 29.06
1.94 Kazakhstan -33.02-1.120.000.002.281.86 1.95 1.95 1.02 1.83 1.17 1.17 1.97 3.40 2.28
79.63Africa 4.765.02-0.05-0.05110.4980.20 79.93 79.93 1.38 1.32 1.38 1.38 110.27 105.47 110.54
16.25 Nigeria 0.880.210.000.0024.0116.50 16.60 16.60 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.45 23.25 23.80 24.01
3.73 South Africa 11.811.480.000.0013.974.00 4.16 4.16 3.03 3.13 3.36 3.36 11.32 12.50 13.97
5.19 Ethiopia -0.92-0.110.000.0011.335.47 5.34 5.34 2.02 2.09 2.12 2.12 10.47 11.44 11.33
1.06 Egypt 4.570.300.000.006.860.91 0.96 0.96 7.13 7.21 7.15 7.15 7.56 6.56 6.86
27.43India -10.58-4.450.000.0037.6126.58 24.07 24.07 1.58 1.58 1.56 1.56 43.37 42.06 37.61
Southeast Asia
2.85 Indonesia 0.000.004.710.408.903.14 3.15 3.15 2.39 2.83 2.70 2.83 6.80 8.90 8.50
2.63 Philippines 3.090.222.080.157.352.56 2.59 2.62 2.76 2.79 2.79 2.81 7.27 7.13 7.20
1.03 Thailand 4.600.200.000.004.551.04 1.08 1.08 4.14 4.18 4.21 4.21 4.25 4.35 4.55
9.28Mexico 8.062.07-4.14-1.2027.788.04 9.05 8.38 3.15 3.20 3.20 3.31 29.23 25.71 28.98
4.67Canada 8.261.800.000.0023.644.74 5.31 5.31 4.77 4.61 4.45 4.45 22.26 21.83 23.64
5.27Australia -11.49-1.480.000.0011.425.71 5.55 5.55 2.18 2.26 2.06 2.06 11.47 12.91 11.42
4.17Turkey -6.21-0.703.930.4010.583.99 4.14 4.16 2.44 2.83 2.46 2.54 10.19 11.28 10.18
25.82Others -2.36-1.550.790.5064.0426.66 26.81 26.92 2.53 2.46 2.37 2.38 65.22 65.58 63.54
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
163.83World -4.63-40.790.080.68839.70169.46 175.23 174.68 5.07 5.20 4.79 4.81 830.95 880.49 839.02
32.96United States -13.22-41.490.180.49272.4333.99 35.50 35.50 9.59 9.24 7.66 7.67 316.17 313.92 271.94
130.87Total Foreign 0.120.700.030.19567.27135.47 139.73 139.18 3.93 4.18 4.06 4.08 514.79 566.57 567.08
none
32.50China 3.757.220.000.00200.0033.54 34.30 34.30 5.45 5.75 5.83 5.83 177.25 192.78 200.00
South America
13.80 Brazil -4.11-3.000.000.0070.0015.20 16.00 16.00 4.16 4.80 4.38 4.38 57.40 73.00 70.00
3.75 Argentina 33.337.000.000.0028.003.60 3.80 3.80 6.72 5.83 7.37 7.37 25.20 21.00 28.00
7.02Mexico 10.812.02-3.72-0.8020.706.07 7.10 6.50 3.00 3.08 3.03 3.18 21.06 18.68 21.50
8.02EU-27 -17.41-11.52-1.73-0.9654.658.81 8.99 8.96 7.00 7.51 6.18 6.10 56.17 66.17 55.61
1.53 France -3.54-0.560.990.1515.351.60 1.62 1.69 9.00 9.97 9.38 9.10 13.79 15.91 15.20
0.92 Italy -17.57-1.62-2.56-0.207.600.97 0.94 0.97 9.29 9.51 8.30 7.84 8.50 9.22 7.80
1.07 Hungary -47.53-3.85-5.56-0.254.251.20 1.05 1.05 6.55 6.75 4.29 4.05 7.00 8.10 4.50
2.25 Romania -42.86-4.50-4.76-0.306.002.55 2.60 2.50 3.87 4.12 2.42 2.40 8.70 10.50 6.30
0.33 Poland 50.501.2114.290.453.600.33 0.48 0.54 5.97 7.18 6.56 6.67 1.99 2.39 3.15
8.60India -7.28-1.570.000.0020.008.67 8.50 8.50 2.53 2.49 2.35 2.35 21.73 21.57 20.00
1.20Canada 8.520.910.000.0011.601.20 1.40 1.40 9.74 8.89 8.29 8.29 11.71 10.69 11.60
2.85Indonesia 0.000.004.710.408.903.14 3.15 3.15 2.39 2.83 2.70 2.83 6.80 8.90 8.50
2.65Ukraine -8.05-1.840.000.0021.003.54 4.50 4.40 4.50 6.44 4.67 4.77 11.92 22.84 21.00
1.23Serbia -38.10-2.400.000.003.901.26 1.25 1.25 5.53 5.00 3.12 3.12 6.80 6.30 3.90
0.85Egypt 5.450.300.000.005.800.70 0.75 0.75 7.65 7.86 7.73 7.73 6.50 5.50 5.80
2.63Philippines 3.090.222.080.157.352.56 2.59 2.62 2.76 2.79 2.79 2.81 7.27 7.13 7.20
1.08Vietnam 7.070.350.000.005.301.10 1.15 1.15 4.30 4.50 4.61 4.61 4.65 4.95 5.30
1.00Thailand 4.650.200.000.004.501.01 1.05 1.05 4.20 4.26 4.29 4.29 4.20 4.30 4.50
1.02Russia 12.280.827.140.507.501.55 1.90 1.90 3.01 4.31 3.68 3.95 3.08 6.68 7.00
Sub-Saharan Africa
2.86 South Africa 12.501.500.000.0013.503.15 3.30 3.30 3.82 3.81 4.09 4.09 10.92 12.00 13.50
5.00 Nigeria 1.730.160.000.009.415.15 5.20 5.20 1.76 1.80 1.81 1.81 8.80 9.25 9.41
1.96 Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.005.402.15 2.10 2.10 2.49 2.51 2.57 2.57 4.90 5.40 5.40
1.35 Zimbabwe -33.45-0.490.000.000.971.60 0.96 0.96 0.74 0.91 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.45 0.97
0.49Turkey 22.220.8010.000.404.400.45 0.50 0.53 7.35 8.00 8.00 8.38 3.60 3.60 4.00
31.00Others 0.020.010.780.5064.3931.02 31.24 31.36 2.06 2.08 2.04 2.05 63.85 64.38 63.89
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
47.49World -2.63-3.530.040.06130.8150.03 50.98 51.01 2.58 2.69 2.56 2.56 122.67 134.34 130.75
1.00United States 41.391.400.000.004.800.91 1.31 1.31 3.93 3.74 3.65 3.65 3.93 3.39 4.80
46.49Total Foreign -3.77-4.930.050.06126.0149.12 49.67 49.70 2.55 2.67 2.54 2.54 118.74 130.94 125.95
none
4.97Russia -17.33-2.940.000.0014.007.70 7.70 7.70 1.68 2.20 1.82 1.82 8.35 16.94 14.00
12.48EU-27 5.853.010.380.2154.4611.94 12.54 12.58 4.29 4.31 4.33 4.33 53.51 51.45 54.25
1.64 Germany 19.561.712.370.2410.441.60 1.65 1.68 6.29 5.47 6.18 6.20 10.33 8.73 10.20
1.59 France 29.132.56-1.29-0.1511.331.55 1.70 1.68 6.42 5.68 6.75 6.73 10.18 8.78 11.48
2.89 Spain -30.36-2.53-3.33-0.205.802.70 2.70 2.69 2.83 3.09 2.22 2.16 8.15 8.33 6.00
0.92 United Kingdom 0.110.010.000.005.500.97 0.98 0.98 5.70 5.68 5.61 5.61 5.25 5.49 5.50
0.59 Denmark 22.550.740.000.004.000.60 0.71 0.71 5.04 5.43 5.63 5.63 2.99 3.26 4.00
1.12 Poland 19.900.666.670.254.001.02 1.15 1.15 3.16 3.27 3.26 3.48 3.53 3.34 3.75
0.39 Czech Republic -8.60-0.162.350.041.660.37 0.37 0.38 4.08 4.88 4.38 4.34 1.58 1.81 1.62
0.41 Finland 8.810.130.000.001.660.41 0.47 0.47 3.28 3.71 3.51 3.51 1.34 1.52 1.66
0.32 Sweden 25.180.350.000.001.740.32 0.38 0.38 3.86 4.29 4.63 4.63 1.23 1.39 1.74
0.27 Italy 16.670.155.000.051.050.25 0.29 0.30 3.47 3.64 3.45 3.56 0.94 0.90 1.00
0.29 Hungary -3.94-0.04-4.62-0.050.950.26 0.28 0.27 3.37 3.79 3.61 3.52 0.97 0.99 1.00
0.17 Austria -3.96-0.0317.860.130.830.15 0.15 0.15 4.60 5.61 4.67 5.50 0.78 0.86 0.70
4.32Ukraine -26.36-2.400.000.006.703.68 3.30 3.30 1.97 2.47 2.03 2.03 8.48 9.10 6.70
2.39Canada 10.880.840.000.008.602.37 2.73 2.73 3.19 3.28 3.15 3.15 7.61 7.76 8.60
3.68Australia -18.34-1.570.000.007.004.04 3.88 3.88 2.17 2.12 1.81 1.81 8.00 8.57 7.00
3.35Turkey -21.43-1.500.000.005.503.20 3.30 3.30 1.76 2.19 1.67 1.67 5.90 7.00 5.50
0.58China 4.000.100.000.002.600.65 0.68 0.68 3.40 3.85 3.82 3.82 1.97 2.50 2.60
1.58Iran 17.240.500.000.003.401.60 1.68 1.68 2.03 1.81 2.03 2.03 3.21 2.90 3.40
1.92Morocco -52.99-1.240.000.001.102.03 1.85 1.85 1.34 1.16 0.59 0.59 2.57 2.34 1.10
1.58Kazakhstan -42.15-1.090.000.001.501.55 1.60 1.60 0.83 1.67 0.94 0.94 1.31 2.59 1.50
1.05Ethiopia -0.75-0.010.000.001.581.01 1.02 1.02 1.46 1.57 1.55 1.55 1.53 1.59 1.58
0.69Belarus -0.65-0.010.000.002.000.70 0.65 0.65 2.85 2.87 3.08 3.08 1.97 2.01 2.00
0.62India -3.01-0.050.000.001.610.78 0.77 0.77 2.18 2.13 2.09 2.09 1.35 1.66 1.61
0.75Argentina 26.671.20-1.72-0.105.701.16 1.50 1.50 3.93 3.88 3.87 3.80 2.95 4.50 5.80
0.27Mexico 15.610.080.000.000.560.22 0.21 0.21 2.51 2.23 2.67 2.67 0.67 0.49 0.56
1.25Iraq -50.00-0.500.000.000.501.13 0.60 0.60 0.92 0.88 0.83 0.83 1.15 1.00 0.50
1.00Algeria 25.930.35-2.86-0.051.701.00 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.35 1.75 1.70 1.50 1.35 1.75
4.02Others 4.140.300.000.007.504.36 4.66 4.66 1.67 1.65 1.61 1.61 6.72 7.20 7.50
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
9.87World -7.04-1.60-1.57-0.3421.1210.47 10.27 10.27 2.01 2.17 2.09 2.06 19.85 22.71 21.45
0.51United States 19.260.150.000.000.930.38 0.42 0.42 2.31 2.05 2.20 2.20 1.18 0.78 0.93
9.36Total Foreign -7.97-1.75-1.64-0.3420.1910.09 9.84 9.85 1.99 2.17 2.09 2.05 18.67 21.93 20.52
none
2.24Russia -25.01-1.330.000.004.002.93 2.80 2.80 1.44 1.82 1.43 1.43 3.22 5.33 4.00
0.91Canada -1.57-0.050.000.002.951.03 1.00 1.00 2.74 2.91 2.95 2.95 2.48 3.00 2.95
2.71EU-27 -3.12-0.25-4.24-0.347.612.68 2.66 2.66 2.75 2.93 2.99 2.86 7.45 7.86 7.95
0.54 Poland -2.44-0.030.000.001.320.55 0.50 0.55 2.47 2.46 2.64 2.40 1.34 1.35 1.32
0.28 Finland -0.180.000.000.001.100.32 0.32 0.32 2.91 3.42 3.44 3.44 0.81 1.10 1.10
0.51 Spain -38.68-0.42-25.06-0.220.660.49 0.44 0.45 2.00 2.20 2.00 1.48 1.02 1.08 0.88
0.14 Germany 21.210.138.570.060.760.14 0.16 0.15 4.24 4.38 4.43 5.21 0.60 0.63 0.70
0.17 Sweden 0.290.00-22.65-0.210.700.18 0.20 0.18 3.37 3.84 4.53 3.89 0.56 0.70 0.91
0.12 United Kingdom 10.110.062.270.020.680.11 0.12 0.12 5.52 5.62 5.50 5.63 0.69 0.61 0.66
0.10 France 20.060.061.590.010.380.08 0.11 0.08 4.57 4.09 3.43 4.79 0.45 0.32 0.38
0.13 Italy 10.490.030.000.000.300.11 0.12 0.12 2.22 2.43 2.38 2.38 0.29 0.27 0.30
0.05 Denmark 0.000.000.000.000.240.05 0.05 0.05 5.83 4.80 4.80 4.80 0.27 0.24 0.24
0.19 Romania -7.14-0.038.330.030.330.18 0.20 0.18 1.71 1.94 1.50 1.81 0.33 0.35 0.30
0.05 Czech Republic 7.930.014.730.010.180.05 0.05 0.05 2.65 3.64 3.76 3.93 0.14 0.16 0.17
0.05 Hungary 0.000.00-7.14-0.010.130.05 0.05 0.06 2.41 2.45 2.64 2.36 0.12 0.13 0.14
0.03 Austria 0.000.000.000.000.110.03 0.03 0.03 3.63 4.40 4.40 4.40 0.10 0.11 0.11
0.02 Ireland -14.29-0.02-0.690.000.140.02 0.02 0.02 7.63 8.00 7.25 7.20 0.15 0.17 0.15
0.07 Lithuania 0.000.000.000.000.130.07 0.07 0.07 1.34 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.09 0.13 0.13
0.83Australia -17.94-0.270.000.001.240.90 0.82 0.82 1.37 1.69 1.51 1.51 1.13 1.51 1.24
0.31Ukraine 0.000.000.000.000.550.29 0.30 0.30 1.47 1.90 1.83 1.83 0.46 0.55 0.55
0.20China -3.33-0.020.000.000.580.20 0.20 0.20 2.69 3.00 2.90 2.90 0.53 0.60 0.58
0.18Belarus 33.930.150.000.000.600.17 0.20 0.20 2.40 2.70 3.00 3.00 0.44 0.45 0.60
0.15Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.370.15 0.15 0.15 2.46 2.40 2.40 2.40 0.38 0.37 0.37
0.29Argentina 15.940.060.000.000.400.22 0.20 0.20 2.32 1.57 2.00 2.00 0.66 0.35 0.40
0.11Chile 10.890.060.000.000.560.10 0.11 0.11 5.32 5.00 5.33 5.33 0.56 0.51 0.56
0.08Norway 0.000.000.000.000.220.07 0.07 0.07 3.93 3.10 3.10 3.10 0.30 0.22 0.22
0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.10 0.10 0.10 2.34 2.21 2.21 2.21 0.20 0.21 0.21
0.17Kazakhstan -22.48-0.060.000.000.200.15 0.15 0.15 0.77 1.78 1.33 1.33 0.13 0.26 0.20
0.07Serbia -29.17-0.040.000.000.090.07 0.05 0.05 1.85 1.85 1.70 1.70 0.12 0.12 0.09
1.04Others 0.000.000.000.000.611.04 1.04 1.04 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.61 0.61 0.61
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
4.85World 16.101.961.940.2714.114.90 5.23 5.17 2.35 2.48 2.65 2.73 11.42 12.15 13.84
0.11United States 9.320.020.000.000.180.10 0.10 0.10 1.77 1.64 1.76 1.76 0.19 0.16 0.18
4.74Total Foreign 16.201.941.970.2713.934.80 5.13 5.07 2.37 2.50 2.66 2.75 11.23 11.99 13.66
none
2.32EU-27 21.581.493.300.278.412.28 2.34 2.28 3.26 3.03 3.48 3.69 7.57 6.92 8.14
1.06 Poland 10.230.270.600.022.871.09 1.08 1.00 2.68 2.40 2.64 2.87 2.85 2.60 2.85
0.63 Germany 54.421.3714.500.493.890.61 0.67 0.71 4.63 4.11 5.07 5.48 2.90 2.52 3.40
0.14 Spain -31.06-0.11-24.93-0.080.250.15 0.15 0.16 1.90 2.46 2.23 1.57 0.26 0.37 0.34
0.08 Lithuania 49.430.040.000.000.130.05 0.05 0.05 2.54 1.67 2.50 2.50 0.21 0.09 0.13
0.06 Latvia 10.530.010.000.000.110.04 0.04 0.04 2.75 2.50 2.76 2.76 0.16 0.10 0.11
0.03 France 28.230.040.630.000.160.03 0.03 0.03 5.21 4.43 5.45 4.97 0.15 0.12 0.16
0.05 Denmark -48.98-0.14-50.00-0.150.150.06 0.06 0.03 4.90 5.07 5.00 4.84 0.26 0.29 0.30
0.03 Czech Republic 23.730.039.770.010.150.03 0.03 0.03 3.93 4.72 4.43 4.87 0.12 0.12 0.13
0.05 Austria -0.990.000.000.000.200.05 0.05 0.05 3.50 4.39 4.35 4.35 0.16 0.20 0.20
0.03 Sweden -1.520.004.000.010.130.03 0.02 0.03 4.72 5.08 5.68 5.20 0.12 0.13 0.13
0.04 Hungary 1.320.00-1.280.000.080.03 0.04 0.04 2.08 2.30 2.23 2.20 0.08 0.08 0.08
0.02 Slovakia 6.980.006.980.000.050.01 0.01 0.02 2.12 3.31 3.31 2.71 0.04 0.04 0.04
0.03 Finland -14.29-0.01-3.230.000.060.03 0.02 0.02 2.72 2.80 2.95 3.00 0.07 0.07 0.06
0.01 United Kingdom 0.000.000.000.000.040.01 0.01 0.01 6.20 7.00 7.00 7.00 0.03 0.04 0.04
0.02 Romania -10.710.00-45.65-0.020.030.01 0.02 0.01 2.27 2.55 2.71 2.27 0.03 0.03 0.05
0.02 Greece 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.03 0.03 0.03
0.02 Portugal -16.670.00-25.00-0.010.020.02 0.02 0.02 0.90 0.86 0.95 0.79 0.02 0.02 0.02
1.38Russia -15.80-0.470.000.002.501.52 1.45 1.45 1.19 1.95 1.72 1.72 1.64 2.97 2.50
0.35Belarus 86.570.700.000.001.500.34 0.60 0.60 2.09 2.39 2.50 2.50 0.74 0.80 1.50
0.28Ukraine 18.180.100.000.000.650.29 0.30 0.30 1.66 1.93 2.17 2.17 0.46 0.55 0.65
0.10Canada 50.000.110.000.000.320.08 0.13 0.13 2.44 2.66 2.52 2.52 0.23 0.21 0.32
0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.60 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.37 0.35 0.35
0.02Argentina -11.11-0.010.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.67 1.41 1.60 1.60 0.04 0.05 0.04
0.05Kazakhstan 78.570.020.000.000.050.03 0.05 0.05 0.82 1.12 1.00 1.00 0.04 0.03 0.05
0.04Australia 0.000.000.000.000.020.04 0.04 0.04 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.02 0.02 0.02
0.00Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.020.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 0.02 0.02 0.02
0.06Others 0.000.000.000.000.080.06 0.06 0.06 1.50 1.21 1.21 1.21 0.09 0.08 0.08
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
38.83World 10.055.440.200.1259.6037.83 38.75 38.78 1.61 1.43 1.54 1.54 62.48 54.15 59.48
1.95United States 19.461.061.660.116.511.59 2.03 2.03 4.51 3.43 3.15 3.21 8.78 5.45 6.40
36.88Total Foreign 9.004.380.020.0153.0936.24 36.72 36.75 1.46 1.34 1.45 1.44 53.70 48.71 53.08
none
Sub-Saharan Africa
5.40 Nigeria 0.730.050.000.006.905.50 5.55 5.55 1.25 1.25 1.24 1.24 6.75 6.85 6.90
6.20 Sudan 81.911.710.000.003.805.60 5.60 5.60 0.74 0.37 0.68 0.68 4.61 2.09 3.80
1.78 Ethiopia -2.14-0.080.000.003.701.87 1.80 1.80 1.95 2.02 2.06 2.06 3.47 3.78 3.70
1.62 Burkina 12.500.200.000.001.801.62 1.62 1.62 1.20 0.99 1.11 1.11 1.95 1.60 1.80
0.62 Tanzania -3.55-0.030.000.000.760.88 0.90 0.90 1.29 0.90 0.84 0.84 0.80 0.79 0.76
1.50 Niger 42.860.300.000.001.001.50 1.50 1.50 0.87 0.47 0.67 0.67 1.30 0.70 1.00
0.31 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.500.31 0.31 0.31 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 0.50 0.50 0.50
0.62 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.410.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.38 0.41 0.41
0.34 Ghana 7.690.030.000.000.350.34 0.34 0.34 1.06 0.96 1.03 1.03 0.36 0.33 0.35
0.07 South Africa -8.76-0.010.000.000.130.05 0.05 0.05 2.25 2.80 2.50 2.50 0.16 0.14 0.13
South Asia
7.06 India -0.50-0.030.000.006.006.33 6.30 6.30 0.99 0.95 0.95 0.95 7.00 6.03 6.00
0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.24 0.24 0.24 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.15 0.15
South America
1.00 Argentina 23.811.008.330.405.201.00 1.05 1.15 4.40 4.20 4.57 4.52 4.40 4.20 4.80
0.82 Brazil 26.980.600.000.002.800.79 1.00 1.00 2.83 2.81 2.80 2.80 2.31 2.21 2.80
1.92Mexico -0.39-0.03-5.88-0.406.401.68 1.67 1.60 3.84 3.82 4.07 4.00 7.39 6.43 6.80
0.55China 1.920.050.000.002.650.58 0.60 0.60 4.48 4.48 4.42 4.42 2.46 2.60 2.65
0.63Australia 15.240.360.000.002.700.63 0.70 0.70 3.06 3.71 3.86 3.86 1.94 2.34 2.70
0.16Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.900.16 0.16 0.16 5.63 5.63 5.63 5.63 0.90 0.90 0.90
0.11EU-27 -16.79-0.112.000.010.560.11 0.10 0.10 5.57 6.06 5.49 5.49 0.63 0.67 0.55
0.05 France -15.60-0.04-1.650.000.240.04 0.04 0.04 5.50 6.41 5.90 5.80 0.29 0.28 0.24
0.04 Italy -24.75-0.070.000.000.230.04 0.03 0.03 6.88 7.12 6.62 6.62 0.28 0.30 0.23
5.93Others 6.380.380.000.006.396.44 6.61 6.61 1.06 0.93 0.97 0.97 6.26 6.01 6.39
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
World and Selected Countries and Regions
Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
157.60World -0.10-0.48-0.17-0.79464.31158.91 158.70 158.42 4.25 4.36 4.37 4.37 449.30 464.79 465.10
1.46United States 7.820.46-0.16-0.016.331.06 1.08 1.08 7.54 7.92 8.33 8.32 7.59 5.87 6.34
156.14Total Foreign -0.20-0.93-0.17-0.78457.98157.85 157.62 157.34 4.22 4.34 4.34 4.34 441.71 458.92 458.76
none
East Asia
29.87 China 1.632.300.000.00143.0030.06 30.50 30.50 6.55 6.69 6.70 6.70 137.00 140.70 143.00
1.63 Japan -1.91-0.150.000.007.501.58 1.55 1.55 6.51 6.66 6.65 6.65 7.72 7.65 7.50
0.89 Korea, South -2.94-0.12-4.65-0.204.100.85 0.87 0.85 6.51 6.58 6.69 6.52 4.30 4.22 4.30
0.58 Korea, North -6.25-0.100.000.001.500.57 0.57 0.57 4.24 4.32 4.08 4.08 1.60 1.60 1.50
South Asia
42.86 India -5.10-5.320.000.0099.0044.10 43.00 43.00 3.36 3.55 3.45 3.45 95.98 104.32 99.00
11.70 Bangladesh 0.300.10-0.88-0.3033.8011.72 11.80 11.65 4.06 4.31 4.34 4.35 31.70 33.70 34.10
2.10 Pakistan 3.080.200.000.006.702.75 2.60 2.60 3.57 3.55 3.87 3.87 5.00 6.50 6.70
Southeast Asia
12.08 Indonesia 1.100.400.000.0036.9012.16 12.15 12.15 4.67 4.73 4.78 4.78 35.50 36.50 36.90
7.61 Vietnam 0.860.230.840.2327.107.67 7.62 7.66 5.55 5.61 5.65 5.66 26.37 26.87 26.88
10.67 Thailand 0.200.04-2.61-0.5520.5011.00 11.12 10.94 2.88 2.82 2.87 2.84 20.26 20.46 21.05
7.00 Burma -0.61-0.070.000.0010.756.50 6.35 6.35 2.35 2.60 2.65 2.65 10.53 10.82 10.75
4.53 Philippines 2.800.300.000.0011.004.58 4.66 4.66 3.69 3.71 3.75 3.75 10.54 10.70 11.00
2.78 Cambodia 5.440.230.000.004.502.77 2.85 2.85 2.38 2.41 2.47 2.47 4.23 4.27 4.50
0.87 Laos 6.100.090.000.001.530.82 0.88 0.88 2.54 2.79 2.78 2.78 1.39 1.44 1.53
0.67 Malaysia 0.590.010.000.001.700.68 0.68 0.68 3.76 3.85 3.86 3.86 1.64 1.69 1.70
South America
2.83 Brazil -0.86-0.070.000.007.822.43 2.40 2.40 4.83 4.78 4.79 4.79 9.30 7.89 7.82
0.39 Peru 20.110.340.000.002.000.34 0.40 0.40 7.28 7.10 7.25 7.25 1.94 1.67 2.00
Sub-Saharan Africa
2.15 Nigeria 5.200.140.000.002.852.17 2.25 2.25 1.93 1.98 2.01 2.01 2.62 2.71 2.85
1.34 Madagascar -6.98-0.190.000.002.561.34 1.34 1.34 3.57 3.21 2.99 2.99 3.06 2.75 2.56
0.48EU-27 -1.72-0.040.490.012.050.48 0.47 0.47 6.49 6.23 6.32 6.36 2.17 2.09 2.04
0.25 Italy 0.400.000.000.001.010.25 0.24 0.24 6.40 5.82 6.06 6.06 1.11 1.01 1.01
0.12 Spain -6.21-0.040.000.000.600.12 0.11 0.11 7.53 7.54 7.57 7.57 0.65 0.64 0.60
0.45Egypt 10.590.450.000.004.700.70 0.74 0.74 9.98 8.80 9.21 9.21 3.10 4.25 4.70
0.56Iran 0.000.000.000.001.550.56 0.56 0.56 4.06 4.19 4.19 4.19 1.51 1.55 1.55
12.10Others 1.190.290.140.0424.8712.03 12.29 12.31 3.03 3.08 3.05 3.05 24.25 24.58 24.83
Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process
Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process
November 2012
World and Selected Countries and Regions
Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
--World Total 4.7721.040.964.40462.10-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 456.66 441.07 457.70
--Total Foreign 6.3021.980.321.18370.70-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 356.28 348.72 369.52
--Oilseed, Copra 2.150.120.000.005.66-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 6.02 5.54 5.66
--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 6.320.842.540.3514.15-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 12.55 13.31 13.80
none
213.83Major OilSeeds 4.7520.080.924.05442.29217.23 221.36 221.76 2.05 1.94 1.98 1.99 438.09 422.22 438.25
37.18United States -1.03-0.953.653.2291.4035.14 36.94 36.94 2.70 2.63 2.39 2.47 100.38 92.35 88.18
none
176.65Foreign Oilseeds 6.3721.020.240.83350.90182.09 184.42 184.82 1.91 1.81 1.90 1.90 337.71 329.87 350.06
51.81South America 26.0732.48-0.16-0.25157.0351.98 56.53 56.36 2.82 2.40 2.78 2.79 146.01 124.56 157.28
25.75 Brazil 19.2713.520.000.0083.6526.58 28.63 28.63 3.07 2.64 2.92 2.92 78.96 70.13 83.65
20.91 Argentina 31.5714.43-0.66-0.4060.1120.26 22.41 22.21 2.59 2.25 2.70 2.71 54.22 45.69 60.51
2.97 Paraguay 94.684.040.000.008.302.83 3.12 3.12 2.88 1.51 2.66 2.66 8.54 4.27 8.30
1.17 Bolivia 4.330.113.920.102.651.25 1.24 1.26 2.10 2.03 2.06 2.10 2.45 2.54 2.55
26.55China -5.48-3.230.000.0055.8026.34 24.88 24.88 2.19 2.24 2.24 2.24 58.10 59.03 55.80
38.50South Asia -1.58-0.650.500.2040.1839.72 39.19 39.39 1.01 1.03 1.02 1.02 39.06 40.83 39.98
34.45 India -1.12-0.390.590.2034.3835.21 34.90 35.10 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 34.03 34.77 34.18
3.73 Pakistan -4.42-0.260.000.005.544.18 3.96 3.96 1.28 1.39 1.40 1.40 4.77 5.79 5.54
11.40EU-27 -6.60-1.93-0.56-0.1527.2611.69 10.99 11.04 2.56 2.50 2.50 2.47 29.18 29.19 27.42
2.21 France -1.70-0.13-3.98-0.307.242.33 2.32 2.34 2.98 3.16 3.26 3.09 6.59 7.37 7.54
1.51 Germany 28.861.130.000.005.061.36 1.38 1.38 3.84 2.89 3.67 3.67 5.80 3.92 5.06
0.86 Poland -3.31-0.060.000.001.810.84 0.71 0.71 2.62 2.24 2.57 2.57 2.24 1.87 1.81
1.44 Romania -37.99-1.020.000.001.661.45 1.24 1.24 1.70 1.85 1.34 1.34 2.45 2.68 1.66
0.80 Hungary -20.74-0.410.000.001.560.85 0.74 0.74 2.05 2.33 2.11 2.11 1.64 1.97 1.56
0.64 United Kingdom -6.09-0.174.020.102.590.71 0.74 0.76 3.47 3.91 3.38 3.40 2.23 2.76 2.49
18.43Former Soviet Union - 12 -14.85-4.563.870.9826.1520.97 19.85 20.07 1.23 1.46 1.27 1.30 22.65 30.71 25.18
7.20 Russia -24.35-3.030.000.009.409.22 8.10 8.10 1.01 1.35 1.16 1.16 7.24 12.43 9.40
7.30 Ukraine -11.67-1.665.880.7012.607.76 7.88 7.98 1.58 1.84 1.51 1.58 11.55 14.26 11.90
1.33 Uzbekistan 2.120.044.660.081.691.31 1.29 1.29 1.20 1.26 1.25 1.31 1.60 1.65 1.61
8.04Canada -5.25-0.990.000.0017.779.03 10.17 10.17 2.14 2.08 1.75 1.75 17.19 18.76 17.77
12.53Africa 5.260.590.350.0411.7712.98 13.15 13.20 0.94 0.86 0.89 0.89 11.73 11.18 11.73
2.10 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.002.142.01 1.99 1.99 1.05 1.06 1.08 1.08 2.21 2.14 2.14
4.03Southeast Asia 0.940.050.000.005.404.05 4.07 4.07 1.27 1.32 1.33 1.33 5.10 5.35 5.40
1.23 Indonesia -1.11-0.020.000.001.781.16 1.14 1.14 1.56 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.91 1.80 1.78
2.75Australia -9.27-0.430.000.004.252.41 2.79 2.79 1.38 1.94 1.52 1.52 3.78 4.68 4.25
2.61Others -5.46-0.310.340.025.292.94 2.81 2.85 1.88 1.90 1.88 1.85 4.91 5.59 5.27
World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)
Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed)
November 2012
Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
102.91World 11.8628.381.253.31267.60102.56 108.55 108.69 2.57 2.33 2.43 2.46 264.68 239.22 264.28
31.00United States -3.96-3.333.873.0180.8629.86 30.63 30.63 2.92 2.82 2.54 2.64 90.61 84.19 77.84
71.91Total Foreign 20.4631.720.160.30186.7472.71 77.91 78.06 2.42 2.13 2.39 2.39 174.07 155.02 186.44
none
South America
24.20 Brazil 21.8014.500.000.0081.0025.00 27.50 27.50 3.11 2.66 2.95 2.95 75.30 66.50 81.00
18.30 Argentina 34.1514.000.000.0055.0017.60 19.70 19.70 2.68 2.33 2.79 2.79 49.00 41.00 55.00
2.81 Paraguay 102.504.100.000.008.102.60 2.95 2.95 2.96 1.54 2.75 2.75 8.31 4.00 8.10
1.03 Bolivia 3.450.084.350.102.401.09 1.07 1.09 2.24 2.13 2.15 2.20 2.30 2.32 2.30
0.87 Uruguay 18.750.300.000.001.900.90 0.95 0.95 1.79 1.78 2.00 2.00 1.55 1.60 1.90
East Asia
8.52 China -12.98-1.880.000.0012.607.89 7.20 7.20 1.77 1.84 1.75 1.75 15.10 14.48 12.60
0.07 Korea, South 0.000.000.000.000.130.08 0.08 0.08 1.48 1.65 1.68 1.68 0.11 0.13 0.13
0.14 Korea, North -8.57-0.020.000.000.160.14 0.14 0.14 1.19 1.25 1.14 1.14 0.16 0.18 0.16
0.14 Japan 0.000.000.000.000.220.14 0.14 0.14 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.63 0.22 0.22 0.22
9.30India 4.550.500.000.0011.5010.27 10.80 10.80 1.05 1.07 1.06 1.06 9.80 11.00 11.50
1.48Canada 1.270.050.000.004.301.54 1.73 1.73 2.94 2.75 2.49 2.49 4.35 4.25 4.30
Former Soviet Union - 12
1.04 Ukraine 6.010.149.090.202.401.11 1.30 1.40 1.62 2.04 1.69 1.71 1.68 2.26 2.20
1.04 Russia 2.920.050.000.001.801.18 1.20 1.20 1.18 1.48 1.50 1.50 1.22 1.75 1.80
Southeast Asia
0.47 Indonesia 0.000.000.000.000.620.45 0.45 0.45 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.65 0.62 0.62
0.17 Vietnam 16.670.050.000.000.350.20 0.23 0.23 1.46 1.50 1.52 1.52 0.25 0.30 0.35
0.12 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.180.12 0.12 0.12 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.18 0.18 0.18
0.17 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.200.17 0.17 0.17 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 0.20 0.20 0.20
0.38EU-27 -14.60-0.190.000.001.100.45 0.40 0.40 2.87 2.86 2.75 2.75 1.09 1.29 1.10
0.17 Italy -21.88-0.180.000.000.630.24 0.18 0.18 3.53 3.33 3.40 3.40 0.60 0.80 0.63
0.05 France -3.230.000.000.000.120.04 0.04 0.04 2.71 2.95 3.00 3.00 0.14 0.12 0.12
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.42 South Africa 19.720.140.000.000.850.47 0.50 0.50 1.70 1.50 1.70 1.70 0.71 0.71 0.85
0.44 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.44 0.44 0.44 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.45 0.45 0.45
0.15 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.170.15 0.15 0.15 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.17 0.17 0.17
0.15Serbia -32.53-0.140.000.000.280.17 0.17 0.17 2.41 2.52 1.70 1.70 0.35 0.42 0.28
0.15Mexico -2.44-0.010.000.000.200.16 0.13 0.16 1.09 1.31 1.50 1.25 0.17 0.21 0.20
0.08Iran 0.000.000.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.14 2.44 2.44 2.44 0.16 0.20 0.20
0.31Others 4.410.030.000.000.640.32 0.33 0.33 1.94 1.91 1.95 1.95 0.60 0.61 0.64
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
32.69World -5.68-2.650.700.3043.9834.80 32.94 33.20 1.33 1.34 1.33 1.32 43.56 46.63 43.68
4.33United States 10.100.490.770.045.363.83 4.23 4.23 1.28 1.27 1.26 1.27 5.53 4.87 5.32
28.36Total Foreign -7.52-3.140.690.2638.6230.97 28.72 28.97 1.34 1.35 1.34 1.33 38.03 41.76 38.35
none
5.15China -4.83-0.630.000.0012.355.50 5.00 5.00 2.32 2.36 2.47 2.47 11.95 12.97 12.35
South Asia
11.14 India -4.42-0.501.890.2010.8012.20 11.50 11.70 0.97 0.93 0.92 0.92 10.80 11.30 10.60
2.90 Pakistan -4.68-0.220.000.004.403.20 3.00 3.00 1.30 1.44 1.47 1.47 3.76 4.62 4.40
Former Soviet Union - 12
1.33 Uzbekistan 2.120.044.660.081.691.31 1.29 1.29 1.20 1.26 1.25 1.31 1.60 1.65 1.61
0.64 Turkmenistan 0.000.000.000.000.550.58 0.58 0.58 1.07 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.69 0.55 0.55
0.16 Tajikistan -2.26-0.010.000.000.220.20 0.20 0.20 0.99 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.16 0.22 0.22
0.14 Kazakhstan -8.19-0.010.000.000.160.16 0.15 0.15 1.20 1.06 1.05 1.05 0.16 0.17 0.16
South America
1.40 Brazil -29.89-0.970.000.002.271.40 0.95 0.95 2.39 2.31 2.39 2.39 3.35 3.24 2.27
0.61 Argentina -26.76-0.100.000.000.260.53 0.36 0.36 0.83 0.67 0.72 0.72 0.50 0.36 0.26
Middle East
0.32 Turkey -14.29-0.150.000.000.900.49 0.40 0.40 2.16 2.14 2.25 2.25 0.69 1.05 0.90
0.13 Syria -17.07-0.070.000.000.340.15 0.13 0.13 2.75 2.73 2.72 2.72 0.34 0.41 0.34
0.12 Iran -11.11-0.020.000.000.120.14 0.12 0.12 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.12 0.14 0.12
0.59Australia -23.53-0.400.000.001.300.58 0.48 0.48 2.20 2.93 2.74 2.74 1.30 1.70 1.30
0.31EU-27 -15.79-0.09-10.25-0.050.460.35 0.36 0.36 1.30 1.56 1.46 1.31 0.40 0.55 0.52
0.24 Greece -17.33-0.08-12.47-0.050.370.29 0.29 0.29 1.33 1.58 1.49 1.31 0.32 0.45 0.43
0.06 Spain -9.00-0.010.000.000.090.07 0.07 0.07 1.19 1.49 1.34 1.34 0.08 0.10 0.09
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.40 Burkina 32.640.062.810.010.260.40 0.48 0.48 0.45 0.48 0.52 0.54 0.18 0.19 0.25
0.26 Mali 5.810.010.000.000.260.48 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.13 0.24 0.26
0.14 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.160.18 0.18 0.18 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.14 0.16 0.16
0.04 Sudan -5.83-0.010.000.000.100.10 0.10 0.10 1.21 1.03 1.02 1.02 0.05 0.10 0.10
0.40 Zimbabwe -21.05-0.050.000.000.180.47 0.43 0.43 0.48 0.49 0.42 0.42 0.19 0.23 0.18
0.41 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.140.33 0.30 0.30 0.50 0.43 0.47 0.47 0.21 0.14 0.14
0.18 Benin 13.790.020.000.000.130.20 0.20 0.20 0.55 0.58 0.66 0.66 0.10 0.12 0.13
0.10 Uganda -12.08-0.020.000.000.130.10 0.13 0.13 1.09 1.49 1.05 1.05 0.11 0.15 0.13
0.16Egypt -42.92-0.100.000.000.140.22 0.13 0.13 1.13 1.09 1.05 1.05 0.18 0.24 0.14
0.12Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.410.19 0.19 0.19 2.15 2.14 2.14 2.14 0.25 0.41 0.41
0.30Burma 0.000.000.000.000.190.30 0.30 0.30 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.19 0.19 0.19
0.93Others 8.080.054.940.030.721.22 1.31 1.36 0.52 0.55 0.53 0.53 0.48 0.67 0.69
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
21.45World 3.771.330.490.1836.6620.86 20.84 20.86 1.68 1.69 1.75 1.76 36.00 35.33 36.48
0.51United States 76.751.275.880.162.930.44 0.65 0.65 3.71 3.80 4.30 4.55 1.89 1.66 2.77
20.94Total Foreign 0.170.060.040.0233.7320.42 20.20 20.21 1.63 1.65 1.67 1.67 34.11 33.67 33.71
none
4.53China 0.000.000.000.0016.004.65 4.70 4.70 3.46 3.44 3.40 3.40 15.64 16.00 16.00
South Asia
6.00 India -9.09-0.500.000.005.005.30 5.00 5.00 0.98 1.04 1.00 1.00 5.85 5.50 5.00
0.11 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.10
7.80Sub-Saharan Africa 4.780.330.000.007.297.79 7.80 7.80 0.97 0.89 0.93 0.93 7.57 6.96 7.29
1.25 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.001.551.25 1.25 1.25 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.55 1.55 1.55
1.00 Senegal 42.860.300.000.001.001.00 1.00 1.00 1.29 0.70 1.00 1.00 1.29 0.70 1.00
0.35 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.470.35 0.35 0.35 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 0.47 0.47 0.47
0.47 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.47 0.47 0.47 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.44 0.44 0.44
1.00 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.851.00 1.00 1.00 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85
0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37
0.35 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.350.35 0.35 0.35 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.35 0.35 0.35
0.21 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.26 0.26 0.26
0.31 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.240.31 0.31 0.31 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.24 0.24 0.24
0.25 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.280.25 0.25 0.25 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.28 0.28 0.28
0.22 Malawi 0.000.000.000.000.270.22 0.22 0.22 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.27 0.27 0.27
0.15 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.150.15 0.15 0.15 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.15 0.15 0.15
0.21 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.150.21 0.21 0.21 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.15 0.15 0.15
0.13 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.140.13 0.13 0.13 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.14 0.14 0.14
0.16 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.130.16 0.16 0.16 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.13 0.13 0.13
0.29 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11
0.26 Niger 0.000.000.000.000.110.26 0.26 0.26 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.11 0.11 0.11
0.06 South Africa 37.930.030.000.000.120.05 0.06 0.06 2.09 1.93 2.18 2.18 0.12 0.09 0.12
Southeast Asia
0.75 Indonesia -1.72-0.020.000.001.150.70 0.68 0.68 1.67 1.66 1.68 1.68 1.25 1.17 1.15
0.83 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.300.85 0.85 0.85 1.38 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.14 1.30 1.30
0.21 Vietnam 3.770.020.000.000.550.24 0.25 0.25 2.10 2.21 2.20 2.20 0.44 0.53 0.55
0.07 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.120.07 0.07 0.07 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 0.12 0.12 0.12
South America
0.27 Argentina 26.260.260.000.001.250.31 0.35 0.35 3.97 3.22 3.57 3.57 1.05 0.99 1.25
0.09 Brazil -11.86-0.040.000.000.260.10 0.10 0.10 2.67 2.95 2.60 2.60 0.23 0.30 0.26
0.06Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 0.19 0.19 0.19
0.05Mexico 6.250.0121.430.020.090.06 0.05 0.06 1.53 1.31 1.56 1.42 0.08 0.08 0.07
0.19Others -1.33-0.010.000.000.450.19 0.19 0.19 2.39 2.39 2.37 2.37 0.46 0.45 0.45
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
23.21World -13.33-5.35-0.14-0.0534.7625.72 24.76 24.52 1.44 1.56 1.41 1.42 33.33 40.11 34.81
0.76United States 20.540.190.000.001.120.59 0.74 0.74 1.64 1.57 1.52 1.52 1.24 0.93 1.12
22.45Total Foreign -14.13-5.54-0.14-0.0533.6425.13 24.03 23.78 1.43 1.56 1.40 1.41 32.09 39.18 33.69
none
Former Soviet Union - 12
5.55 Russia -30.40-2.930.000.006.707.20 6.00 6.00 0.96 1.34 1.12 1.12 5.35 9.63 6.70
5.40 Ukraine -14.29-1.505.880.509.005.80 6.00 6.00 1.56 1.81 1.42 1.50 8.40 10.50 8.50
0.25 Moldova -25.00-0.100.000.000.300.25 0.25 0.25 1.51 1.60 1.20 1.20 0.38 0.40 0.30
0.74 Kazakhstan -14.43-0.060.000.000.350.95 0.82 0.82 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.33 0.41 0.35
South America
1.74 Argentina 7.780.26-10.00-0.403.601.82 2.00 1.80 2.11 1.83 2.00 2.00 3.67 3.34 4.00
0.00 Uruguay 166.670.030.000.000.040.01 0.03 0.03 1.33 1.50 1.60 1.60 0.00 0.02 0.04
0.14 Bolivia 13.640.030.000.000.250.16 0.17 0.17 1.07 1.38 1.47 1.47 0.15 0.22 0.25
0.98China 4.650.100.000.002.250.95 0.98 0.98 2.34 2.26 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.15 2.25
3.73EU-27 -17.27-1.43-2.14-0.156.854.24 4.13 4.08 1.86 1.95 1.69 1.68 6.94 8.28 7.00
0.70 France -11.41-0.22-10.70-0.201.670.74 0.74 0.69 2.36 2.55 2.53 2.42 1.64 1.89 1.87
0.50 Hungary -12.28-0.170.000.001.200.57 0.55 0.55 1.98 2.38 2.18 2.18 0.99 1.37 1.20
0.70 Spain -44.65-0.480.000.000.600.86 0.74 0.74 1.27 1.26 0.81 0.81 0.89 1.08 0.60
0.11 Italy -12.59-0.040.000.000.250.13 0.11 0.11 2.27 2.17 2.23 2.23 0.25 0.29 0.25
0.08 Slovakia 0.000.000.000.000.190.09 0.09 0.09 1.81 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.15 0.19 0.19
South Asia
0.76 India -19.15-0.090.000.000.380.74 0.60 0.60 0.63 0.64 0.63 0.63 0.48 0.47 0.38
0.45 Pakistan -6.67-0.050.000.000.700.50 0.47 0.47 1.52 1.50 1.49 1.49 0.69 0.75 0.70
0.49Turkey 13.510.130.000.001.050.49 0.53 0.53 2.06 1.89 2.00 2.00 1.00 0.93 1.05
0.64South Africa 21.360.110.000.000.630.45 0.50 0.50 1.34 1.14 1.25 1.25 0.86 0.52 0.63
0.91Burma 0.000.000.000.000.700.92 0.92 0.92 0.70 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.64 0.70 0.70
0.17Serbia -15.66-0.070.000.000.350.18 0.18 0.18 2.35 2.37 2.00 2.00 0.40 0.42 0.35
0.05Canada 270.000.050.000.000.070.01 0.04 0.04 1.33 1.43 1.72 1.72 0.07 0.02 0.07
0.04Australia 48.940.020.000.000.070.04 0.05 0.05 1.16 1.18 1.32 1.32 0.04 0.05 0.07
0.40Others -11.03-0.040.850.000.360.42 0.37 0.37 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.95 0.39 0.40 0.35
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
33.57World -2.69-1.640.510.3059.3033.29 34.27 34.50 1.80 1.83 1.72 1.72 60.53 60.94 59.00
0.58United States 61.370.430.000.001.130.42 0.70 0.70 1.92 1.65 1.60 1.60 1.11 0.70 1.13
32.99Total Foreign -3.44-2.070.520.3058.1732.86 33.57 33.80 1.80 1.83 1.72 1.72 59.42 60.24 57.87
none
6.99EU-27 -1.16-0.220.270.0518.856.64 6.10 6.20 2.97 2.87 3.08 3.04 20.75 19.07 18.80
1.49 Germany 29.201.130.000.005.001.33 1.35 1.35 3.87 2.91 3.70 3.70 5.75 3.87 5.00
1.47 France 1.750.09-1.80-0.105.451.55 1.54 1.61 3.29 3.46 3.62 3.39 4.82 5.36 5.55
0.64 United Kingdom -6.09-0.174.020.102.590.71 0.74 0.76 3.47 3.91 3.38 3.40 2.23 2.76 2.49
0.85 Poland -3.33-0.060.000.001.800.83 0.70 0.70 2.62 2.24 2.57 2.57 2.23 1.86 1.80
0.37 Czech Republic 7.360.084.660.051.120.37 0.42 0.42 2.82 2.80 2.59 2.71 1.04 1.05 1.07
0.17 Denmark -21.26-0.110.000.000.400.15 0.10 0.10 3.46 3.41 4.00 4.00 0.58 0.51 0.40
0.26 Hungary -46.87-0.250.000.000.280.23 0.15 0.15 2.15 2.26 1.87 1.87 0.56 0.53 0.28
0.58 Romania -81.33-0.610.000.000.140.38 0.09 0.09 1.81 1.96 1.65 1.65 1.05 0.75 0.14
0.16 Slovakia -4.13-0.010.000.000.330.15 0.16 0.16 1.96 2.22 2.03 2.03 0.32 0.34 0.33
0.11 Sweden 12.000.030.000.000.280.10 0.11 0.11 2.56 2.50 2.55 2.55 0.28 0.25 0.28
0.20 Lithuania 0.000.000.000.000.420.20 0.20 0.20 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 0.42 0.42 0.42
0.09 Latvia 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.31 2.28 2.28 2.28 0.22 0.21 0.21
0.05 Austria -27.37-0.050.000.000.130.05 0.06 0.06 3.15 3.38 2.36 2.36 0.17 0.18 0.13
0.16 Finland 11.110.010.000.000.130.09 0.10 0.10 1.29 1.29 1.30 1.30 0.21 0.12 0.13
0.10 Estonia 0.000.000.000.000.140.09 0.09 0.09 1.34 1.52 1.52 1.52 0.13 0.14 0.14
7.37China -6.15-0.830.000.0012.607.35 7.00 7.00 1.78 1.83 1.80 1.80 13.10 13.43 12.60
South Asia
7.25 India 3.080.200.000.006.706.70 7.00 7.00 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.96 7.10 6.50 6.70
0.27 Pakistan 3.030.010.000.000.340.37 0.38 0.38 0.85 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.23 0.33 0.34
0.30 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.31 0.31 0.31 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.23 0.23 0.23
6.51Canada -7.54-1.090.000.0013.407.47 8.40 8.40 1.96 1.94 1.60 1.60 12.77 14.49 13.40
2.08Australia -1.92-0.050.000.002.761.73 2.21 2.21 1.14 1.63 1.25 1.25 2.36 2.82 2.76
Former Soviet Union - 12
0.86 Ukraine -20.00-0.300.000.001.200.85 0.58 0.58 1.70 1.76 2.07 2.07 1.47 1.50 1.20
0.61 Russia -14.29-0.150.000.000.900.84 0.90 0.90 1.09 1.25 1.00 1.00 0.67 1.05 0.90
0.31 Belarus 84.700.3240.000.200.700.30 0.30 0.42 1.22 1.28 1.67 1.67 0.37 0.38 0.50
0.06Paraguay 16.000.020.000.000.120.08 0.08 0.08 1.60 1.32 1.45 1.45 0.10 0.10 0.12
0.37Others 8.190.0315.630.050.370.24 0.31 0.32 0.70 1.44 1.04 1.15 0.26 0.34 0.32
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production
Country / Region
Production
(Million metric tons)
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12
2012/13 Proj.
Oct Nov MMT Percent MMT Percent
Change in Production
From last month From last year
Oilseed, Copra
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Philippines 2.80 2.302.302.30
0.00 0.00 0.12 8.11 Indonesia 1.46 1.601.601.48
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.74 0.740.740.74
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.24 0.240.240.24
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.23 0.230.230.23
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mozambique 0.05 0.050.050.05
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.05 0.050.050.05
0.00 0.00 0.12 2.17 World 6.02 5.665.665.54
Oilseed, Palm Kernel
0.35 4.93 0.55 7.97 Indonesia 6.20 7.457.106.90
0.00 0.00 0.25 5.56 Malaysia 4.52 4.754.754.50
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.67 0.670.670.67
0.00 0.00 0.03 9.68 Thailand 0.26 0.340.340.31
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.14 0.140.140.14
0.00 0.00 0.01 9.09 Colombia 0.09 0.120.120.11
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.08 0.080.080.08
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brazil 0.07 0.070.070.07
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.07 0.070.070.07
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ecuador 0.06 0.060.060.06
0.35 2.54 0.84 6.31 World 12.55 14.1513.8013.31
Oil, Palm
1.00 3.70 2.10 8.11 Indonesia 23.60 28.0027.0025.90
0.00 0.00 0.30 1.65 Malaysia 18.21 18.5018.5018.20
0.00 0.00 0.15 9.68 Thailand 1.29 1.701.701.55
0.00 0.00 0.04 4.35 Colombia 0.75 0.960.960.92
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.85 0.850.850.85
0.00 0.00 0.02 3.92 Papua New Guinea 0.50 0.530.530.51
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ecuador 0.46 0.510.510.50
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.30 0.300.300.30
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brazil 0.27 0.280.280.28
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Honduras 0.25 0.250.250.25
1.00 1.91 2.63 5.19 World 47.92 53.3352.3350.70
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MBalesPercent
Yield
(Kilograms per hectare)
Nov 2010/11 MBales
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million 480 lb. bales)
Change in Production
2010/11
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Oct
Prel.
2011/12 Nov
Prel.
2011/12 Oct Nov Percent
2012/13 Proj.2012/13 Proj. 2012/13 Proj.
2010/11
33.47World -5.99-7.450.440.51116.8335.74 34.10 34.15 757 757 743 745 116.40 124.28 116.32
4.33United States 12.031.870.930.1617.453.83 4.23 4.23 910 886 891 899 18.10 15.57 17.29
29.14Total Foreign -8.58-9.320.350.3599.3931.91 29.87 29.93 734 742 722 723 98.29 108.71 99.04
none
5.25China -4.83-1.600.000.0031.505.40 5.00 5.00 1,265 1,335 1,372 1,372 30.50 33.10 31.50
14.03South Asia -6.76-2.590.000.0035.6815.49 14.80 14.80 546 538 525 525 35.19 38.27 35.68
11.14 India -7.27-2.000.000.0025.5012.20 11.70 11.70 516 491 475 475 26.40 27.50 25.50
2.80 Pakistan -5.66-0.600.000.0010.003.20 3.00 3.00 672 721 726 726 8.64 10.60 10.00
2.32Former Soviet Union - 12 1.230.082.970.206.942.33 2.30 2.30 640 641 639 658 6.83 6.86 6.74
1.33 Uzbekistan 2.380.104.880.204.301.31 1.29 1.29 671 698 695 729 4.10 4.20 4.10
0.64 Turkmenistan 7.140.100.000.001.500.58 0.60 0.60 595 530 544 544 1.75 1.40 1.50
0.16 Tajikistan -5.17-0.030.000.000.550.20 0.20 0.20 550 619 599 599 0.41 0.58 0.55
0.14 Kazakhstan -8.26-0.040.000.000.400.16 0.15 0.15 664 590 581 581 0.42 0.44 0.40
3.29Sub-Saharan Africa 4.250.252.560.156.014.02 4.09 4.15 296 313 312 315 4.47 5.77 5.86
0.40 Burkina 32.140.232.780.030.930.40 0.48 0.48 354 381 413 424 0.65 0.70 0.90
0.26 Mali 5.880.050.000.000.900.48 0.50 0.50 398 386 392 392 0.48 0.85 0.90
0.40 Zimbabwe -20.83-0.130.000.000.480.47 0.43 0.43 272 278 243 243 0.50 0.60 0.48
0.18 Benin 14.290.050.000.000.400.20 0.20 0.20 363 381 435 435 0.30 0.35 0.40
0.20 Cote d'Ivoire 33.330.1526.320.130.600.25 0.27 0.33 370 392 383 402 0.34 0.45 0.48
0.14 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.330.18 0.18 0.18 428 404 404 404 0.28 0.33 0.33
0.41 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.330.33 0.30 0.30 252 218 236 236 0.48 0.33 0.33
0.04 Sudan -5.00-0.010.000.000.190.10 0.10 0.10 518 435 435 435 0.10 0.20 0.19
2.17South America -23.96-2.490.000.007.892.15 1.55 1.55 1,098 1,048 1,108 1,108 10.92 10.37 7.89
1.40 Brazil -25.29-2.200.000.006.501.40 1.00 1.00 1,400 1,353 1,415 1,415 9.00 8.70 6.50
0.61 Argentina -20.00-0.200.000.000.800.53 0.36 0.36 486 411 484 484 1.35 1.00 0.80
0.03 Paraguay -24.00-0.030.000.000.100.08 0.06 0.06 399 340 345 345 0.06 0.13 0.10
0.61Middle East -18.84-0.911.290.053.910.80 0.68 0.68 1,190 1,305 1,242 1,258 3.32 4.82 3.86
0.12 Iran -8.06-0.030.000.000.290.12 0.11 0.11 635 587 591 591 0.35 0.31 0.29
0.13 Syria -19.44-0.187.410.050.730.15 0.13 0.13 1,280 1,306 1,176 1,263 0.74 0.90 0.68
0.32 Turkey -20.06-0.690.000.002.750.49 0.40 0.40 1,436 1,529 1,497 1,497 2.11 3.44 2.75
0.54Australia -22.73-1.250.000.004.250.58 0.48 0.48 1,681 2,065 1,948 1,948 4.20 5.50 4.25
0.30EU-27 -12.75-0.21-3.42-0.051.410.35 0.33 0.33 854 994 963 930 1.16 1.62 1.46
0.23 Greece -13.53-0.18-4.17-0.051.150.29 0.26 0.26 890 1,016 1,005 963 0.94 1.33 1.20
0.06 Spain -9.42-0.030.000.000.250.07 0.07 0.07 715 897 800 800 0.21 0.28 0.25
0.16Egypt -39.60-0.300.000.000.450.22 0.13 0.13 763 737 754 754 0.55 0.75 0.45
0.11Mexico -25.99-0.320.000.000.920.19 0.15 0.15 1,436 1,410 1,335 1,335 0.73 1.24 0.92
0.37Others -0.230.000.000.000.430.37 0.37 0.37 248 251 250 250 0.42 0.43 0.43
World and Selected Countries and Regions
November 2012
TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the differences between the November projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.1 percent. The average difference between the November projection and the final estimate is 5.5 million tons, ranging from 0.1 million to 18.1 million tons. The November projection has been below the estimate 22 times and above 9 times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
COMMODITY AND
REGION
Root mean
square error
90 percent
confidence
interval
Difference between forecast and final estimate
Average Smallest Largest
Years
Below
final
Above
final
Percent ---Million metric tons---
WHEAT
World 1.3 2.1 5.5 0.1 18.1 22 9
U.S. 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 14 11
Foreign 1.4 2.4 5.5 0.0 18.2 22 9
COARSE GRAINS 2/
World 1.5 2.5 10.8 0.2
29.0 24 7
U.S. 1.4 2.4 2.4 0.0 7.5 17 14
Foreign 2.0 3.4 10.6 0.2 26.9 24 7
RICE (Milled)
World 2.3 3.9 6.1 0.1 16.8 26 5
U.S. 3.0 5.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 16 14
Foreign 2.3 3.9 6.1 0.2 16.9 26 5
SOYBEANS
World 4.2 7.2 5.7 0.1 25.1 18 13
U.S. 2.0 3.4 1.0 0.1 2.7 13 18
Foreign 7.1 12.0 5.7 0.0 26.4 18 13
COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---
World 3.4 5.8 2.4 0.1 8.7 20 11
U.S. 3.0 5.1 0.4 0.0 0.9 17 13
Foreign 4.0 6.8 2.3 0.1 8.0 20 11
UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------
CORN 1.4 2.4 88 0 250 17 13
SORGHUM 4.2 7.1 15 1 53 15 16
BARLEY 1.5 2.6 4 0 24 11 10
OATS 1.2 2.0 2 0 18 7 8
1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2011/12. Final is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2010/11, and for 2011/12 last month’s estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
November 2012 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA
November 2012