first half results in line with expectations full year ... · source: rmg group, july 2013 source:...
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2013 Interim Results
First half results in line with expectations Full year outlook unchanged
London, 30 July 2013
HighlightsLord Smith of Kelvin
H1 in line with expectations in challenging markets
� 13% sequential order growth
� Growing aftermarket revenues in each division
� Book to bill 1.05: >1.0 in each division
� Value chain excellence underway: over £15m in savings
� Good first contribution from Mathena
� Comminution platform established
2
Continuing operations
Earnings per Share
66.4pdown 13%
Revenue
£1,198mdown 10%
Profit before tax1
£193mdown 14%1 Profit before tax adjusted to
exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation
Cash2
£183mup 29%2 Cash = cash generated
from operations
Interim dividend
8.8pup 10%
Financial reviewJon Stanton
Results summary1
£m H1 2013 H1 2012 Variance +/- LfL Variance +/-
Input (constant currency) 1,258 1,328 -5% -7%
Revenue 1,198 1,325 -10% -12%
Operating profit3 217 247 -12% -20%
Operating margin 18.1% 18.7% -60bps -170bps
Net finance costs3 (24) (22) -6%
Profit before tax3 193 225 -14%
Profit for the period3 142 160
Effective tax rate 26.6% 28.8% -220bps
EPS3 66.4p 75.9p -13%
Dividend per share 8.8p 8.0p +10%
ROCE2 25.2% 30.5% -530bps
1 Continuing operations as reported excluding exceptional items and intangibles amortisation2 2013: Continuing operations EBIT before exceptional items (excluding Seaboard, Novatech, Wales and Mathena) divided by average net assets (excluding Seaboard, Novatech, Wales and Mathena)
excluding net debt and pension deficit (net of deferred tax)2012: Continuing operations EBIT before exceptional items (excluding Seaboard and Novatech) divided by average net assets (excluding Seaboard and Novatech) excluding net debt and pension deficit (net of deferred tax)
3 2012 restated following adoption of IAS19 “Retirement benefits” (Revised)
Performance in line with expectations4
� Input increased sequentially quarter on quarter
> LfL aftermarket growth benefiting from growing installed base
> Localised de-stocking in Q2 in some geographies
� Emerging markets accounted for 47% of total input (2012: 50%)
> Orders from Africa up 10%
� Strong operating margins
> Strengthening aftermarket mix
> Continued procurement savings and cost control
23
12
189
16
22
N.America
Europe & FSU
Australia
Asia Pacific
Mid East & Africa
S.America
Minerals: Strong profit and margin performance£m 2012 H11 2012 H21 2013 H1 +/- LfL +/-
Input OE 314 221 266 -15% -15%
Input aftermarket 417 388 434 +4% +2%
Input Total 731 609 700 -4% -6%
Revenue OE 261 287 245 -6% -6%
Revenue aftermarket 407 396 414 +1% -
Revenue Total 668 683 659 -1% -3%
EBITA2 121 140 130 +7% +5%
Operating margins2 18.2% 20.4% 19.8% +160bps +150bps12012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates 2Adjusted to exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation
Input OE / Aftermarket %
Revenue OE / Aftermarket %
Input by geography %
61 58 63 62
39 42 37 38
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1 2013LfL
OE
Aftermarket
Emerging markets
5
57 64 62 61
43 36 38 39
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1 2013LfL
OE
Aftermarket
71
8
5
1321
N.America
Europe & FSU
Asia Pacific
Mid East & Africa
S. America
Australia
Oil & Gas: Progressive first half improvement£m 2012 H11 2012 H21 2013 H1 +/- LfL +/-
Input OE 162 113 106 -35% -35%
Input aftermarket 220 202 278 +27% +15%
Input Total 382 315 384 +1% -6%
Revenue OE 259 136 111 -57% -57%
Revenue aftermarket 244 228 270 +10% -
Revenue Total 503 364 381 -24% -29%
EBITA2 126 91 83 -34% -46%
Operating margins2 25.0% 25.0% 21.8% -320bps -590bps12012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates 2Adjusted to exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation
Revenue OE / Aftermarket %
Input by geography %
57 64 73 71
43 36 27 29
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1 2013LfL
OE
Aftermarket
4963 71 69
5137 29 31
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1 2013 LfL
OE
Aftermarket
Emerging markets
Input OE / Aftermarket %
6
� Input +1% year on year (LfL -6%) due to combination of
> Lower OE pressure pumping sales
> Positive first contribution from Mathena
> Progressive improvement in aftermarket activity
� Margins impacted by lower activity levels and higher one-off costs
> Some pricing pressure on legacy fluid ends and OE pumps
> Pressure pumping margins otherwise in line with expectations
31
33
26
8 2N.America
Europe & FSU
Asia Pacific
Mid East & Africa
S. America
Power & Industrial: Building for second half growth
£m 2012 H11 2012 H21 2013 H1 +/-
Input OE 101 97 87 -14%
Input aftermarket 98 72 87 -11%
Input Total 199 169 174 -13%
Revenue OE 88 87 84 -4%
Revenue aftermarket 69 86 74 +8%
Revenue Total 157 173 158 +1%
EBITA2 12 20 12 -1%
Operating margins2 7.6% 11.8% 7.5% -10bps
12012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates 2Adjusted to exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation
Revenue OE / Aftermarket %
Input by geography %
49 43 50
51 57 50
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
OE
Aftermarket
44 50 47
56 50 53
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
OE
Aftermarket
Input OE / Aftermarket %
7
Emerging markets
� Input down 13% year on year
> H1 2012 inc. one-off nuclear valves & hydro refurb contracts
> Underlying valves input broadly flat year on year
� Broadly flat operating profit and margin
> Investment in operational capability to support H2 revenue growth
> Offsetting insurance proceeds on settlement of prior claim
Cash flow
Free cash inflow of £8m in the period
2013 H1£m
2012H1£m
Operating cash flows – pre working capital 246 268
Working capital (63) (127)
Operating cash flows 183 141
Net interest (21) (8)
Tax (38) (66)
Net capex (40) (53)
Other cash flows (12) 1
Free cash flow pre dividends 72 15
Dividends paid (64) (55)
Free cash inflow/(outflow) 8 (40)
8
� Interest cash flow impacted by timing of payments on Private Placement debt (H2 2012 outflow £20m)
� Capex related to investment in further capacity in Minerals and spend in Oil & Gas to enable consolidation of operations into Fort Worth
� Other cashflows include settlement of derivative financial instruments of £10m
3.3 3.1 2.8
0
1
2
3
4
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
� Working capital increased from £519m to £605m over H1> £9m from FX / other> £14m from acquisitions> £63m cash outflow
� Debtors: cash outflow of £18m in H1 2013> Cash collection impacted by period end pre month end> OE shipment delays in Minerals
� Inventory: cash outflow of £4m in H1 2013 > Absolute reduction achieved in Pressure Pumping> Investment in P&I to support increased revenue in H2> OE shipment delays in Minerals
� Payables: cash outflow of £41m in H1 2013> Creditor days broadly consistent across all periods> Project shifts in Minerals impacting purchasing levels> Reduced levels of advance payments
Working capital
Expecting strong cash inflow in second half
Working capital as % of revenue1
Debtor days1
Inventory turns1
19.0 20.624.6
10
15
20
25
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
58 59 66
0
15
30
45
60
75
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
9
1 2013 excluding Mathena & Wales, H1 2012 excluding Seaboard & Novatech; 2012 restated at 2013 exchange rates
Finance costs & net debt
Flexible funding structure in place
� Finance costs of £24m (2012: £22m)
> Reflects increased net debt
� Refinanced RCF (US$800m) in July; initial drawdown 25 July
> New 5 year facility
> Additional fee amortisation on existing facility of £1.6m in H2
� Range of short, medium and long-term financing in place
> Attractive rates
> Diverse lending base
£m
Net debt at 28 December 2012 689
Free cash inflow (8)
Acquisitions 214
FX 55
Net debt at 28 June 2013 950
10
1 Including full year pro forma for acquisitions2 Including Mathena pro forma ratio of 1.5
Key debt metrics
2012H1
2012H2
2013H1
Net debt / EBITDA1 1.6 1.32 1.8
Interest cover 16.5 11.8 11.1
Covenant 3.5 3.5 3.5
2010
PP 5 Yr
2010
PP 8yr
NEW
RCF
2012
PP 7yr
PP
10 yr
2012
PP 11 yr
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan-15 Jan-18 Jul-18 Feb-19 Feb-22 Feb-23
Maturity
£'m
Other matters
11
Acquisitions & intangibles amortisation
� Mathena acquired 31 Dec 12
> Upfront consideration $247m (£153m)
> Maximum future payment $145m
> Contingent consideration liability assumes maximum payout
� Others – total consideration £55m
> R Wales, Canada
> Cheong foundry, Malaysia
> Xmeco foundry, South Africa
> Aspir, Australia
� Intangibles amortisation increased by £4m to £22m
Exceptional items
� Full £5.8m relates to unwind of discount on contingent consideration
> Weir International £1.2m
> Mathena £4.6m
Pensions
� Deficit reflects current market conditions
� Reduction due to increase in gilt yields
10490
69
0
25
50
75
100
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
Pension deficit
Contingent consideration $120m
Management remuneration $25m
Total maximum earnout $145m
Business overview & outlookKeith Cochrane
Coherent and complementary Group
� Divisions with shared characteristics
> Serving structural growth markets
> Highly engineered equipment
> Extreme and remote environments
> Intensive aftermarket demand
� Portfolio benefit
> Complementary technologies and footprint
> Diversified end markets
> Exposure to different capex cycles
> Underpins earnings sustainability
13
Delivering sustainable growth through the cycle
Minerals
Oil & GasPower & Industrial
Minerals: Strong performance
� Challenging OE environment, aftermarket growth
> Continuing switch from greenfield to brownfield
> Miners cautious on projects – some delays
> Ore production volumes growing
> Oil & Gas opportunities supporting division
> Africa (ex-S.Africa) remains strong
> Greenfield activity down in Australia & S. America
� Medium term growth drivers remain intact
> Structural demand drivers unchanged
> Supply constraints require continued investment
> Capex to remain above 2010 levels
> Brownfield and plant optimisation spend to grow
> c.3% p.a. growth in ore production forecast
> Greenfield aftermarket benefit spread over extended period
14
Commodity spot prices rebased to Jan 2012
Mining capex forecasts ($m)
Mined ore production (Million tonnes)
Source: RMG Group, July 2013
Source: Bloomberg, July 2013
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2010 2011 2012 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f
Thermal coal Metallurgical coal Iron Ore Copper Gold Others
60
80
100
120
Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13
Iron Ore Copper Gold
Source: RMG Group, July 2013
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2010 2011 2012 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f
Minerals: Strategic progress
15
Extending product
leadership and market
reach
2013 progress
� Comminution platform established, extending reach
> c. £3bn market
� Increasing market share for ancillary product range
> Screens, dewatering pumps
� Capacity extended to meet future aftermarket demand
> Foundry acquisitions
� Leveraging Minerals technology in oil & gas markets
Oil & Gas: Encouraging aftermarket trends
� Sequential improvement in upstream markets
> Strong oil prices, US gas price below incentive levels
> Extended Canadian spring break; floods impact
> Frac fleet overcapacity continues
> Aftermarket growing as inventories normalise
> Strong international markets (including Saudi, Iraq)
� Medium term unconventional outlook positive
> Drilling efficiencies lowering breakeven costs
> Gas demand growth in N. America
> Strong international growth
16
Drilling and completion expenditure(US$ billion, exc. China, Russia & Cent Asia)
US Rig count estimates vs wells drilled
0
100
200
300
400
500
2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
US Canada & International
0
10
20
30
40
2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
N.America International
Source: PacWest, May 2013
Source: Spears, June 2013
Global frac fleet (MM HHP)
Source: PacWest
5500
6000
6500
7000
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Wells drilled Rig count
Oil & Gas: Strategic progress
17
Capitalising on broader end market
opportunities
2013 progress
� New products and product lines launched
> Frac flow back, zipper manifold
� New product pipeline progressing
� Leveraging broader pressure pumping portfolio
� Capturing international growth opportunities
> International wellhead expansion
� Mathena integration progressing well
Power & Industrial: Positive book to bill performance
18
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Services(incl. wind
O&M)
Ind. pumps Hydro Valves
-
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
1990 2010 2015 2020
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear
Hydro Bioenergy Wind Geothermal
Solar PV CSP Marine
Total Electricity Generation (Twh)
Industrial Production Forecast
Addressable Market (CAGR 2012-2017)
Source: IEA
Source: GS, April 2013 -5%
0%
5%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Euro area USA World
Source: Weir
� Mixed end market conditions
> Low gas price impacting N. American power markets
> New build nuclear activity picking up in India & China
> Subdued industrial activity in developed markets
> Emerging markets offering best opportunities
� Strong medium term opportunities
> Increasing demand for energy, power and efficiency
> New build power opportunities in emerging markets
> Gas driven power generation taking share
> Good mid/downstream oil & gas opportunities
Power & Industrial: Strategic progress
19
Delivering sustainable
growth
2013 progress
� Operational capability enhanced
� 24% growth in emerging markets
� Successfully targeting valve aftermarket opportunities
� Geographic expansion continued
2013 Group outlook unchanged
Minerals Oil & Gas Power & Industrial
� Project activity continuing at H1 levels
� No further project slippages assumed
� Sequential growth in both OE and AM sales
� Revenues lower than prior guidance
� Margin ahead - in line with first half
� Profit expectations unchanged
� Modest sequential well count growth
� Continued recovery in upstream markets
� Higher Press. Pumping revenue expectations
� Sequential margin improvement
� Full year margin slightly lower than 2012
� Profit expectations unchanged
� Strong opening order book
� Market conditions to remain mixed
� Emerging market project opportunities
� Strong sequential sales & margin growth
� Full year revenues in line with prior guidance
� Profit expectations unchanged
Low single digit revenue growth and broadly stable margins in 201320
Structural growth markets
� Emerging market growth and urbanisation
� Resource scarcity, and industrialisation
� Aligned to higher growth commodities
Process critical products
� Technological leadership
� Exposed to high wear, high temperature, and abrasion
� Specialist service requirements
Increasing market share
� Leading global service network, growing installed base
� Expanding into adjacent markets
� Cross-selling opportunities
Differentiated technology
� Unique materials and flow control expertise
� Growing investment in R & D and engineering
� Robust technology development organisation
Leveraging the platform
� Cost reduction and best-cost sourcing
� Value Chain Excellence
� Strategic acquisitions
A platform for profitable growth
21
Leveraging the platform – strategic progress
22
LEVERAGING THE PLATFORM
� >£15m procurement savings
� M&A activity establishing comminutionplatform
� Mathena leveraging O&G service network
� P&I leveraging Group presence in South Africa and Australia
� Cross-divisional technology transfers
Process critical products
Structural growth markets
Increasing market share
Differentiated technology
Leveraging the platform
A platform for profitable growth
23
Positioned to continue to deliver superior returns across the cycle
THE WEIR GROUP MODEL
� 5%-10% organic revenue growth over the cycle> Growing faster than our end markets (4%-7%)
� Top-quartile margins and returns> Sustainable competitive advantage, value
chain excellence> Large aftermarket provides sustainable platform
� Continued investment to support growth> Capacity, technology
� Leveraging returns through acquisitions> Track record of value enhancing acquisitions
� Strong dividend growth> 30-year track record
Process critical products
Structural growth markets
Increasing market share
Differentiated technology
Leveraging the platform
A sustained period of growth
24
Revenue£0.7bn
Revenue£2.5bn
EPS22.6p
EPS150.1p
FY dividend12p
FY dividend38p
Market cap£0.6bn1
Market cap£4.6bn2
2002 2012
+979%
+581%
+117%
Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13
Weir FTSE 350 FTSE 350 Ind Engineers
Total shareholder return
1 As at 1st July 20022 As at 1st July 2013
Appendices
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
2012 (constantcurrency)
Minerals P&I O&G AcquisitionsDisposals
2013
Appendix 1: Order input1
Input OE / Aftermarket %
55 60 64
45 40 36
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
OE
Aftermarket
39 39
14 1410 1012 10
11 14
14 13
2012 2013
S. America
Mid East & Africa
Asia Pacific
Australia
Europe & FSU
N. America
1 2012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates
1,328(40)-6% (25)
-13% (25)-6% 20 1,258
Like for Like
Emergingmarkets
£m
26
43 40
34 37
11 118 8
2012 2013
Other
Industrial
Power
Oil & Gas
Minerals
4 4
Input by sector %
Input by geography %
Appendix 2: Revenue
Revenue OE / Aftermarket %
Revenue by sector %
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
2012 Published FX Minerals P&I O&G AcquisitionsDisposals
2013
1,325 16(17)-3%
1+1%
(148)-29%
21 1,198
Like for Like
54 57 63
46 43 37
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
OE
Aftermarket
46 39
1114
10 10
9 9
12 14
12 14
2012 2013
S. America
Mid East & Africa
Asia Pacific
Australia
Europe & FSU
N. America
Emergingmarkets
£m
39 43
41 38
10 97 7
2012 2013
Other
Industrial
Power
Oil & Gas
Minerals
Revenue by geography %
3 3
27
1 Excludes exceptional items and intangibles amortisation2 Continuing operations EBIT before exceptional items (excluding Seaboard, Novatech, Wales and Mathena) divided by average net
assets (excluding Seaboard, Novatech, Wales and Mathena) excluding net debt and pension deficit (net of deferred tax)3 Includes FX of £5m and movement in unallocated expenses of (£1m); summation impacted by roundings
30.5 29.1 25.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
0
50
100
150
200
250
2012 Published FX/Other Minerals P&I O&G AcquisitionsDisposals
2013
247
0-1%
Appendix 3: Operating profit1
Like for Like
Operating profit1
Operating margin%
LfL ROCE%2
247 238 217
0
100
200
300
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
18.7 19.6 18.1
0
5
10
15
20
2012H1 2012H2 2013H1
£m
28
5
7+5%
(59)-46%
17 217
3
29
Total Like for Like2
2013£m
20121
£mVariance
+/-2013
£m20121
£mVariance
+/-
Minerals 700 731 -4% 691 731 -6%
Oil & Gas 384 382 1% 357 382 -6%
Power & Industrial 174 199 -13% 174 199 -13%
Group Companies - 16 -100% - - -
Order Input 1,258 1,328 -5% 1,222 1,3113 -7%
1 2012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates2 Excludes Mathena, Wales, LGE3 Summation impacted by roundings
Appendix 4: Order input by division
30
End Markets Minerals Oil & GasPower &
Industrial2013Total
20121
Total
Minerals 72% - 1% 40% 43%
Oil & Gas 10% 99% 10% 37% 34%
Power 5% - 55% 11% 11%
General Industrial 9% 1% 18% 8% 8%
Other 4% - 16% 4% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Divisions
1 2012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates
Appendix 5: 2013 order input by end market
31
Total Like for Like2
2013£m
20121
£mVariance
+/-2013
£m20121
£mVariance
+/-
Minerals 659 668 -1% 651 668 -3%
Oil & Gas 381 503 -24% 355 503 -29%
Power & Industrial 158 157 1% 158 157 1%
Group Companies - 13 -100% - - -
1,198 1,341 -11% 1,164 1,328 -12%
Foreign Exchange - (16) - - (16) -
1,198 1,325 -10% 1,164 1,312 -11%
1 2012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates2 Excludes Mathena, Wales, LGE
Appendix 6: Revenue by division
32
Total Like for Like4
2013£m
20122
£m2013
£m20122
£m
Minerals 130 121 128 121
Oil & Gas3 83 126 70 129
Power & Industrial 12 12 12 12
Group Companies - 1 - -
Central Costs (8) (9) (8) (9)
217 2525 202 2545
Foreign Exchange - (5) - (5)
Operating profits 217 247 202 249
Operating Margin
Minerals 19.8% 18.2% 19.7% 18.2%
Oil & Gas3 21.8% 25.0% 19.7% 25.6%
Power & Industrial 7.5% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6%
Group3 18.1% 18.8% 17.4% 19.1%
1 Continuing operations adjusted to exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation2 2012 restated at 2013 average exchange rates and to reflect acquisition fair value accounting3 Including share of results of joint ventures4 Like for like excludes the impact of acquisitions and disposals and related transaction and integration costs5 Summation impacted by roundings
Appendix 7: Operating profit1 by division
33
2012 Revenue 2012 Operating Profit1
Published£m
FX£m
Restated£m
Published£m
FX£m
Restated£m
Minerals 665 3 668 120 1 121
Oil & Gas 492 11 503 123 3 126
Power & Industrial 155 2 157 12 - 12
Group Companies 13 - 13 1 - 1
Central Costs - - - (9) - (9)
1,325 16 1,341 247 52 2522
1 Adjusted to exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation
2 Summation impacted by roundings
Appendix 8: Foreign exchange by division
34
2012 Revenue 2012 Operating Profit1
At 2012 rates
£m
FX£m
At 2013 rates
£m
At 2012 rates
£m
FX£m
At 2013 rates
£m
US$ 595 14 609 166 4 170
Canadian $ 104 1 105 18 - 18
Australian $ 160 1 161 31 - 31
Euro € 126 4 130 16 1 17
Brazilian Real 34 (2) 32 4 - 4
Chilean Peso 72 4 76 16 1 17
South African Rand 58 (6) 52 5 (1) 4
Other 176 - 176 (9) - (9)
1,325 16 1,341 247 5 252
1 Adjusted to exclude exceptional items and intangibles amortisation and to reflect acquisition fair value accounting
Appendix 9: Foreign exchange by currency