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Page 1: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHARMACY …...May 2017 Prepared by RSM Australia FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHARMACY REMUNERATION AND REGULATION Confidential information has been redacted from this

May 2017

Prepared by RSM Australia

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHARMACY REMUNERATION AND REGULATION

Confidential information has been redacted from this document

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CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................... 5

Data limitations and their implications .............................................................................................. 6

Distributional equity ......................................................................................................................... 6

Economic efficiency ....................................................................................................................... 11

Fiscal sustainability ....................................................................................................................... 13

INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................... 14

1.1 Purpose and structure of this report ..................................................................................... 14

1.2 Key sources of financial data ................................................................................................ 15

DISTRIBUTIONAL EQUITY .......................................................................................................... 17

2.1 Equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines ....................................................... 17

2.2 Equity of remuneration arrangements for pharmacies .......................................................... 43

ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY ............................................................................................................ 65

3.1 Consumption efficiency ........................................................................................................ 65

3.2 Production efficiency ............................................................................................................ 71

FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY ........................................................................................................... 78

4.1 Intended fiscal sustainability of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation ................... 78

4.2 Actual economic sustainability of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation ................ 83

4.3 Effects of proposed changes to current arrangements on fiscal sustainability ...................... 84

APPENDICES ........................................................................................................................................ 89

Appendix 1: Number and location of pharmacies and socio-economic status ............................. 90

Appendix 2: Summary of financial data ....................................................................................... 98

Appendix 3: Detailed financials for the different types of pharmacies ........................................ 106

Appendix 4: Benchmarking of micro pharmacies against other comparable businesses ........... 110

Appendix 5: Selected methodologies ........................................................................................ 111

Appendix 6: RPMA case studies ............................................................................................... 129

Appendix 7: Additional information ............................................................................................ 133

Appendix 8: Location of pharmacies and the total PBS remuneration they receive ................... 139

Appendix 9: Wholesale distribution of pharmaceuticals ............................................................. 140

Appendix 10: Glossary ............................................................................................................... 151

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LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Distribution of pharmacies across Australia .......................................................... 20Figure 2: Distribution of pharmacies across regional areas of Sydney ................................ 21Figure 3: Distances that different socio-economic groups have to travel to visit the nearest pharmacy ............................................................................................................................ 22Figure 4: Distances that different socio-economic groups have to travel to visit the nearest pharmacy (broken down by regional areas) ........................................................................ 22Figure 5: Distances that different socio-economic groups have to travel to visit the nearest pharmacy (broken down by regional areas) – magnified distance scale .............................. 23Figure 6: Location of the patient, prescriber and pharmacy ................................................. 25Figure 7: Postage times and shipping charges for medicines purchased from ePharmacy . 27Figure 8: Proportion of scripts that are discounted by remoteness of pharmacy (6 months ended June 2016) ............................................................................................................... 31Figure 9: Frequency distribution of the price paid by general patients in September 2016 for the each of the top 10 medicines – under co-payment scripts ............................................. 35Figure 10: Information required to determine the efficient cost of dispensing ...................... 45Figure 11: Parliamentary Budget Office projections of government pharmaceutical benefit expenditure per script.......................................................................................................... 80Figure 12: Distribution of pharmacies across Victoria and Southern NSW .......................... 90Figure 13: Distribution of pharmacies across Melbourne ..................................................... 91Figure 14: Distribution of pharmacies across Canberra ....................................................... 92Figure 15: Distribution of pharmacies across Darwin .......................................................... 93Figure 16: Distribution of pharmacies across Brisbane ........................................................ 94Figure 17: Distribution of pharmacies across Adelaide ........................................................ 95Figure 18: Distribution of pharmacies across Perth ............................................................. 96Figure 19: Distribution of pharmacies across Hobart ........................................................... 97Figure 20: The relationship between profit and sales mix .................................................... 99Figure 21: Price paid by patient (per pack) for top ten PBS medicine items (ranked by government contribution) in September 2016 for general non-safety patients (over co-payment scripts) ................................................................................................................ 113Figure 22: Boxplots for top ten PBS medicine items (ranked by government contribution) in September 2016 for general non-safety patients (over co-payment scripts) ...................... 114Figure 23: boxplot of price paid by patient (per pack) from top ten PBS medicine items (ranked by script volume) in September 2016 for general non-safety patients from under co-payment scripts ................................................................................................................. 118Figure 24: Pharmacies in Griffith locality (Postcode 2680) ................................................ 129Figure 25: Postcode area 2680 ......................................................................................... 129Figure 26: Pharmacies in Alice Springs locality (Postcode 0870) ...................................... 130Figure 27: Postcode area 0870 ......................................................................................... 130Figure 28: Average remuneration per script by pharmacy ................................................. 133Figure 29: Distribution of the value of high cost medicine sales expressed as a proportion of total PBS sales across pharmacies in different PhARIA .................................................... 134Figure 30: Distribution of proportion of high cost medicine sales across pharmacies in different PhARIA ............................................................................................................... 135Figure 31: Distribution of e-Scripts as a proportion of total scripts by pharmacies in different PhARIA ............................................................................................................................. 136Figure 32: Distribution of percentage of dangerous drug scripts by PhARIA ..................... 137Figure 33: Distribution of pharmacies across regional areas of Sydney and total PBS per pharmacy .......................................................................................................................... 139Figure 34: Distribution of pharmacies across regional areas of Melbourne and total PBS per pharmacy .......................................................................................................................... 139Figure 35: Distribution of CSO pharmaceutical wholesalers across Australia .................... 141Figure 36: Efficiencies gained from direct wholesaling ...................................................... 145

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Figure 37: Full line wholesaler costs for distributing high cost drugs ................................. 147Figure 38: Fiscal savings from price disclosure ................................................................. 150

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Location of patient, prescriber and pharmacy, by type of patient ........................... 26Table 2: Illustration of how general patient co-payments for different types of medicines provide the highest nominal rates of assistance to patients of the most expensive medicines ........................................................................................................................................... 29Table 3: Differences in the prices paid by general patients per pack for the top 10 over co-payment medicines (September 2016) ................................................................................ 32Table 4: Illustration of how the quantity of medicines prescribed per script affects the price that patients pay per pack of medicines for over co-payment scripts ................................... 32Table 5: Differences in the prices paid by general patients per pack for the top 10 under co-payment medicines (September 2016) ................................................................................ 34Table 6: Illustration of how the quantity of medicines prescribed per script affects the price that patients pay per pack of medicines for under co-payment scripts ................................. 34Table 7: Effect of price variations on the prices of medicines to patients by location of pharmacy (general under co-payment scripts only) ............................................................. 39Table 8: Effect of price variations* on the prices of medicines to patients by pharmacy size and location (general under co-payment scripts only) ......................................................... 39Table 9: Effect of price variations* on the nominal rates of assistance** provided to patients by pharmacy type and location (general under co-payment scripts only)............................. 40Table 10: Overall combined effect of price variations and the $1 discount on the prices paid by patients by type of patient (2016 calendar year) ............................................................. 41Table 11: Geographic distribution of applications to establish new, and relocate existing, pharmacies (financial year 2015-16) ................................................................................... 42Table 12: Summary of pharmacy financial data available .................................................... 49Table 13: Pharmacy profitability and rates of return on capital ............................................ 52Table 14: Proportion of pharmacies in each category.......................................................... 52Table 15: Illustration of the effect that paying pharmacies the same fee for performing different types of activities has on effective rates of assistance provided to pharmacies ..... 58Table 16: Current effective rates of assistance provided to different types of pharmacies ... 59Table 17: Geographic distribution of micro pharmacies ....................................................... 61Table 18: Effective rates of assistance provided to different types of pharmacies following the introduction of a $10 flat fee for dispensing ................................................................... 63Table 19: Effect of introducing an illustrative $10 flat fee for dispensing on the effective rates of assistance afforded different types of pharmacies ........................................................... 64Table 20: Actual and projected fiscal costs of pharmaceutical benefits and services expenses ............................................................................................................................ 79Table 21: Total PBS expenditure 2015-16 ........................................................................... 81Table 22: Average PBS expenditure per pharmacy 2015-16 ............................................... 81Table 23: Average PBS expenditure per script 2015-16 ...................................................... 82Table 24: Actual and projected economic costs of pharmaceutical benefits and services expenses ............................................................................................................................ 84Table 25: Fiscal and economic cost savings from a $10 flat fee per script .......................... 84Table 26: Average PBS expenditure per script 2015/16 ...................................................... 88Table 27: Summary of financial data available for micro pharmacies ($0 - $2m annual turnover) ........................................................................................................................... 101Table 28: Summary of financial data available for small pharmacies ($2 - $10m annual turnover) ........................................................................................................................... 102Table 29: Summary of financial data available for medium pharmacies ($10 - $20m annual turnover) ........................................................................................................................... 103

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Table 30: Summary of financial data available for large pharmacies ($20 - $40m annual turnover) ........................................................................................................................... 104Table 31: Summary of financial data available for very large pharmacies ($40m and over annual turnover) ................................................................................................................ 105Table 32: Financial summary for profitable and taxable pharmacies ................................. 107Table 33: Financial summary for profitable and non-taxable pharmacies .......................... 108Table 34: Financial summary for non-profitable pharmacies ............................................. 109Table 35: Benchmarking of micro pharmacies against other comparable businesses ....... 110Table 36: RPMA postcode case study: summary of pharmacies within postcodes receiving RPMA ............................................................................................................................... 131Table 37: Total RPMA payments paid to PhARIA 2 to 6 pharmacies for the 2014-15 and 2015-16 financial years ..................................................................................................... 132Table 38: RPMA payment matrix 2016-17 ......................................................................... 132Table 39: Trends in script volumes and PBS revenue for community and hospital pharmacies 2012-13 to 2015-16 ....................................................................................... 138Table 40: Additional fees paid to TGA licensed chemo compounding facilities .................. 138Table 41: Summary of financial information available on pharmaceutical wholesaling ...... 143Table 42: Illustration of how the current wholesaler remuneration arrangements affect the nominal rates of assistance provided to the wholesale distribution of medicines with different prices ................................................................................................................................ 147

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report presents the key results of the financial analysis of the current pharmacy remuneration

and regulation, as well as the effects of several potential options for reform identified in the Panel’s

Interim Report. The analysis has been conducted in accordance with the statement of requirement

issued by the Department of Health. In cases where the results of the analysis directly related to any

of the options developed by the Panel, they were referenced in the relevant section of the report.

These options include the following:

Option 2.1: Pricing Variations. The payment made by any particular customer for a PBS listed

medicine should be the co-payment set by the government for that customer, or the dispensed

price for that medicine, whichever is the lower. The community pharmacy should have no

discretion to either raise or lower this price;

Option 2.2: $1 Discount. The government should abolish the $1 discount on the PBS patient co-

payment;

Option 2.7: Electronic Prescriptions. The government should initiate an appropriate system for

integrated electronic prescriptions and medicine records as a matter of urgency. Under this

system, the electronic record should become the legal record. Participation in the system should

be required for any prescriber of a PBS listed medicine, pharmacist wishing to dispense a PBS

listed medicine, and any patient who is seeking to fill a PBS prescription;

Option 4.3: Benchmark for an Efficient Dispense. On the basis of the information that has been

made available to the Panel, and given the data limitations, the Panel considers that the current

benchmark for a best practice dispense be within a range of $9.00 to $11.50. This should be

reflected in the average compensation paid to a pharmacy for a dispense; and

Option 5.1: Location Rules – Removal and Replacement. The government should remove the

location rules for community pharmacies. It should replace the location rules with one of the

alternatives presented below (as outlined in Option 5.2 and Option 5.3).

Given the relevance of the Review to patients, pharmacies, wholesalers, government and others, the

approach adopted in this report seeks to analyse the effects that the current pharmacy remuneration

and regulation, and the potential options for reform, have on the welfare of the nation as a whole. To

that extent, this report presents the analysis from different perspectives and care should be taken to

interpret it accordingly. The different perspectives may present results that appear contradictory or

repetitive in some cases. However, this report highlights the relevant matters from the different

perspectives and does not seek to form opinions or recommendations. The welfare of the nation as a

whole can be assessed using the following perspectives:

distributional equity – the extent to which current arrangements, and any proposed changes to

those arrangements, achieve the government’s objective of ensuring that:

Australians have equitable access to affordable medicines, regardless of their location and

wealth; and

pharmacies receive equitable remuneration to compensate them for the efficient costs of

supplying medicines on behalf of the government;

economic efficiency – the extent to which current arrangements and any proposed changes to

those arrangements encourage the:

efficient use of medicines, as well as other goods and services (“consumption efficiency”); and

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efficient supply of medicines, as well as other related goods and services (“production

efficiency”);

fiscal sustainability – the extent to which the current remuneration arrangements and any

proposed changes to those arrangements are sustainable in the medium to longer term.

Data limitations and their implications

It is important to have detailed, up to date, information on the efficient marginal costs that pharmacies

would incur in the provision of medicines on behalf of the government. This enables an assessment of

the effects of the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, as well as any of the Panel’s

proposed changes, on distributional equity, economic efficiency, and the financial sustainability of

those arrangements.

Given the absence of such information, the analysis in this report has had to rely instead on the

limited information available to the Review on the actual average revenues and costs that different

types of pharmacies derive and incur. That information is outlined in section 1.2, summarised in Table

12 and is set out in greater detail in Appendix 2 of this report.

These data limitations have significant implications for the:

approach adopted in this report to assess the effects of the current arrangements and any

proposed changes to those arrangements on distributional equity, economic efficiency and fiscal

sustainability. In general, this involves identifying the:

intended effects of the current arrangements, drawing from the National Medicines Policy;

actual effects of those arrangements, which involves assessing both the intended and

unintended effects of the current arrangements; and

effects that any proposed changes to the current arrangements may have on the extent to

which the arrangements achieve their intended objectives;

interpretation of the results of the analysis set out in this report. It means that the results of the

analysis in this report should be interpreted with caution, particularly the financial reports

developed for each type of pharmacy and their estimated effective rates of assistance in section

2.2.

Throughout this report, where pharmacy or wholesaler remuneration is referred to in relation to PBS

data, it is referring to the estimated remuneration and not necessarily the actual remuneration entities

receive. This is due to the fact that trading terms, discounts and rebates etc. between manufacturers,

wholesalers and pharmacies are not known.

Distributional equity

Equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines

As discussed in section 2.1, consistent with the National Medicines Policy, a key objective of the

current pharmacy remuneration and regulation is to increase the welfare of the nation as a whole by

improving the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines, regardless of their location and

wealth.

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In order to assist the Review to determine how the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation

have affected “physical” access to medicines, a Geospatial Information System (GIS) model was

developed that provides information on the:

number, location and PBS revenue received by each of pharmacy; and

number, socio-economic status and location of the surrounding population of Australians that

each of these pharmacies serve.

Like previous studies, the results of the analysis suggest that:

the largest number of pharmacies are located in those areas of Australia where the highest

number of people live (e.g. see Figure 1 for an indication of the distribution of pharmacies across

Australia); and

the residents of Australia’s major cities do not have to travel very far to visit their nearest

pharmacy, including the residents of those regions with the highest socio-economic disadvantage

(e.g. see Figure 2 for an indication of the distribution of pharmacies in Sydney as well as

Appendix 1 which sets out similar figures for other capital cities).

Unlike previous studies, however, the results of the analysis also suggest that:

the further Australians live outside major cities, the further they have to travel to visit their nearest

pharmacy. This includes the residents of those regional areas with the highest levels of socio-

economic disadvantage (e.g. see Figure 3, Figure 4 and Figure 5); and

residents of very remote areas of Australia have to travel the furthest to visit their nearest

pharmacy, including the residents of those regional areas with the highest levels of socio-

economic disadvantage (e.g. see Figure 4).

In addition to analysing the physical access that Australians have to the medicines they need, the

affordability of those medicines have also been examined. This affordability is influenced by a range

of factors, some of which are outside the scope of the Review, such as the patient co-payments set

by the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS), and some of which are within the scope of the Review

(e.g. the ability of pharmacies to discount the co-payment by up to $1 for over co-payment scripts and

to charge different prices for under co-payment scripts). The results of the analysis indicate that:

the PBS has the effect of providing higher levels of assistance to those patients who require

greater quantities of higher priced medicines (e.g. as indicated in Table 2, the nominal rate of

assistance that is provided to patients increases with the cost of the medicine prescribed).

Specifically, the required co-payments ($38.80 for general patients and $6.30 for concessional

patients):

do not provide a subsidy to patients whose scripts are under their relevant co-payment.

Although this may be considered to be inequitable, this is an inevitable consequence of the

government’s decision to limit the fiscal costs of the PBS;

provide a subsidy to those patients whose scripts are over the relevant co-payment. These

patients are provided with a level of assistance that increases as the cost of the script

increases. This has the intended effect of providing higher levels of assistance to those

patients who require greater quantities of medicines, and/or higher priced medicines, to meet

their particular health needs. However, it may provide patients with higher levels of assistance

when they use higher cost medicines that might not be more effective, or only marginally

more effective, than other lower cost medicines. There are a number of strategies to help to

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reduce or remove this effect, including the requirement that PBS medicines have to go

through thorough independent clinical and cost effectiveness assessments prior to listing1.

the ability of pharmacists to charge patients prices that differ from the dispensed price for under

co-payment medicines and apply the $1 discount to over co-payment scripts has the intended

effect of improving the affordability of medicines to some patients. However:

as a result of differences in the levels of competition between pharmacies across Australia,

the ability of pharmacies to charge different prices for medicines does not appear to have

resulted in lower medicine prices for all Australians. Rather, it appears to have resulted in

lower prices of medicines for some patients, but higher prices of medicines for other patients.

For example, Table 7 suggests that these price variations provide general under co-payment

patients that purchase their medicines from PhARIA 1 pharmacies with a 9% rate of

assistance, whereas those who purchase their medicines from PhARIA 3 to PhARIA 6

pharmacies actually have to pay progressively more for their medicines (they receive

progressively more negative nominal rates of assistance as a result of those price variations);

“micro” pharmacies with an annual turnover of less than $2m appear to charge their patients

more as a result of their ability to vary the prices they charge for medicines. Table 9 suggests

that price variations result in patients who purchase their medicines from micro PhARIA 1

pharmacies paying 6% more for their medicines. This negative rate of assistance becomes

even more negative as the micro pharmacies become more remote. Those patients who

purchase their medicines from micro PhARIA 6 pharmacies appear to have paid 32% more

for their medicines;

medium sized PhARIA 1 pharmacies appear to provide the highest assistance to their

patients as a result of the ability of pharmacies to vary their prices (pharmacies with an annual

turnover of $10m to less than $20m);

PhARIA 1 pharmacies appear to apply the $1 discount to the highest proportion of scripts and

the major beneficiaries of those discounts are concessional non-safety net patients. As

pharmacies become more remote, however, the proportion of scripts they discount appears to

decrease significantly (e.g. see Figure 8);

the combined effect of these price differences and the $1 discount appear to provide the

highest levels of assistance to “general under co-payment” patients and “concessional”

patients ($97.8m to “general under co-payment” patients and $49.9m to “concessional”

patients, as indicated in Table 10);

the pharmacy location rules appear to have the intended effect of spreading pharmacies across

those areas where most of Australia’s population lives. However, in so doing, they may also have

the unintended effect of potentially restricting the density of pharmacies in those areas where

there is a much greater density of population during the day, for example, areas where

Australians work, visit health centres, shop and use public transport. As indicated in Figure 6, only

54 per cent of all scripts are purchased from pharmacies located in the same postcode as where

the patient resides, whereas 45 per cent of all scripts are purchased from pharmacies in another

postcode. A more detailed breakdown of where different types of patients purchase their

medicines is provided in Table 1;

many Australians currently have the ability to purchase their medicines online which has the

potential, in theory, to increase their equity of access to affordable medicines, particularly those

1 The Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme, http://www.pbs.gov.au/info/about-the-pbs, accessed 9 May 2017

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Equity of pharmacy remuneration arrangements

As discussed in section 2.2, current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are also intended to

ensure that pharmacies receive sufficient remuneration to enable them to cover the efficient costs of

supplying medicines on behalf of the government.

However, the current pharmacy remuneration is not the result of the same rigorous process that is

used to estimate the fees paid by the government to suppliers of other essential services (they are not

the result of “building block” models that are used to estimate the efficient costs of supplying other

essential government services, such as electricity, gas, water, telecommunications and some

transport services). Rather, those current fees are more a reflection of historical precedent, as

modified by successive rounds of negotiation between the Pharmacy Guild and the government.

As a result, there is very little information available at the moment on the efficient marginal costs of

supplying medicines. Rather, most of the information that has been provided to the Review relates to

the average revenue and costs that pharmacies actually derive and incur from supplying all of the

goods and services they sell, as opposed to the efficient marginal costs of supplying medicines on

behalf of the government. Table 12 suggests the extent to which the various sources of data currently

available on pharmacy revenues and costs differ across different types of pharmacies. In particular, it

suggests that the average cost per script varies from $6.66 to $12.33. A more detailed outline and

comparison of these various sources of financial data is provided in Appendix 2.

The analysis of the limited pharmacy financial data available suggests that:

there is little evidence from the data that pharmacies are earning economic rents, as

indicated in Table 13. Rather, it appears that there is enough competition between pharmacists

looking to purchase an existing pharmacy or establish a new pharmacy under the location rules,

to capitalise the value of any short term economic rents into asset values in the longer term (e.g.

into the higher prices that pharmacists must pay for the rental of their premises and the goodwill

of the businesses they purchase). This creates long term inefficiencies in the use of the nation’s

scarce resources; and

the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation may also have the unintended effect of

providing those pharmacies that add the least economic value to their inputs or make the most

inefficient use of their resources, with the highest effective rates of assistance (as illustrated in the

hypothetical example provided in Table 15).

In addition, the results of the analysis of the effects of potential reforms to the current pharmacy

remuneration and regulation identified in the Review’s Interim Report suggest that:

paying pharmacies a flat dispensing fee in the range from $9.00 to $11.50 per script (Option 4.3)

would potentially improve the equity of current pharmacy remuneration arrangements by reducing

unintended differences in the effective rates of assistance afforded different types of pharmacies

(as indicated in Table 18 and Table 19, which consider the effects of implementing an illustrative

flat fee of $10 per script). Any reference in this report to a $10 flat fee represents a hypothetical

fee for dispense that was selected from within the range proposed by the panel in option 4.3 and

is merely illustrative.

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the removal of current location rules (Option 5.1) has the potential to improve the equity of current

pharmacy remuneration arrangements by reducing the extent to which those rules:

prevent pharmacies from locating in those areas where there is the highest demand for the

particular types of medicines and services they supply; and

provide less efficient pharmacies with higher levels of assistance than more efficient

pharmacies. For example, by potentially preventing new, more efficient, pharmacies from

locating nearby existing pharmacies supplying similar medicines).

Economic efficiency

Consumption efficiency

As discussed in section 3.1, although the National Medicines Policy notes that cost should not

constitute a substantial barrier to people’s access to the medicines they need, it also notes the

importance of ensuring that the arrangements used to promote that improved access are consistent

with the “rational” use of those medicines.

In seeking to improve the equity of access to affordable medicines across patients with different

health needs and incomes, however, the PBS in conjunction with the current pharmacy remuneration

and regulation also have the potential to unintentionally alter the decisions that individual patients and

particularly their medical practitioners make regarding the types and quantities of medicines that they

should use in order to meet their specific health needs.

In particular:

Table 2 illustrates how by setting the co-payment for general patients at $38.80 per script, the

PBS reduces the relative prices of higher cost medicines to general patients in relation to lower

cost medicines by providing the patient with a higher “nominal rate of assistance” when they use a

higher cost medicine. This has the potential to result in the use of less cost effective medicines.

However, there are stringent measures in place to reduce or eliminate this effect such as the

requirement for medicines to be subjected to stringent cost effectiveness assessments before

being listed on the PBS.

Table 5 in section 2.1.2 suggests that the ability of pharmacies to vary the prices they charge for

general under co-payment scripts alters the relative prices that general patients paid for the top

10 medicines.

The results of the analysis of the effects of implementing a uniform price across all patients for each

type of medicine (Option 2.1 and Option 2.2) suggest that such a reform has the potential to improve

consumption efficiency to the extent that it succeeds in reducing differences in the relative prices that

patients are charged for each particular type of medicine they use.

Production efficiency

The current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are also intended to improve the efficiency with

which those medicines are supplied (“production efficiency”) and deliver “value for money”, which is

an important objective identified by the National Medicines Policy.

However, in the course of increasing the quantities and types of medicines available to Australians

and the ease of access that Australians have to community pharmacies, the current pharmacy

remuneration and regulation also have the potential to impose a net economic cost on the nation as a

whole by unintentionally encouraging less efficient levels and patterns of production, investment, and

resource use (“production inefficiencies”).

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In particular, the current ownership and location rules may also have adverse effects on production

efficiency by reducing the level of competition and altering the nature of competition between

pharmacies and other businesses. Specifically, the:

pharmacy location rules may have encouraged the emergence of large numbers of very small

pharmacies and provided a competitive advantage to existing pharmacies in the markets for their

outputs, inputs and factors of production (land, labour and capital); and

pharmacy ownership rules may have the effect of reducing the competition that pharmacies face

in the markets for their outputs, inputs and factors of production from much larger retailers.

In addition, the current remuneration arrangements do not pay pharmacies different fees for all of the

different value adding activities they perform. Rather, they often pay pharmacies the same fee for

performing a range of different value adding activities. Dispensing, for example, which can involve

activities that add little economic value, such as labelling pre-packaged medicines, through to higher

economic value adding activities that involve much more complex activities by the pharmacist,

including consulting prescribers for particular scripts).

This has the unintended effect of providing the highest effective rates of assistance to those activities

that add the least economic value to the inputs used by those activities. As outlined in Table 15, low

economic value adding activities are provided with higher effective rates of assistance than higher

economic value adding activities.

The analysis of the effects of alternative options for reforming the current pharmacy remuneration and

regulation identified in the Review’s Interim Report suggests that:

paying pharmacies a flat dispensing fee in the range from $9.00 to $11.50 per script (Option 4.3)

has the potential to improve production efficiency by:

reducing the effective rates of assistance currently provided to each type of pharmacy. The

implementation of an illustrative flat fee of $10 per script would reduce the effective rate of

assistance provided to micro, profitable, pharmacies from 32% to 17%, a 46% reduction;

reducing the differences in the effective rates of assistance afforded the different types of

pharmacies. Prior to the introduction of the illustrative $10 flat fee for dispensing, the effective

rates of assistance afforded profitable, taxable, pharmacies range from 32% to 108% for

profitable, taxable pharmacies. By contrast, after the introduction of the $10 flat dispensing

fee, the effective rates of assistance would range from 7% to 53% for profitable and taxable

pharmacies; and

removing the current location rules (Option 5.1) has the potential to improve production efficiency

by:

enabling pharmacies to locate in those areas where there is the highest demand for the

particular types of medicines and services they supply;

reducing the extent to which the current location rules shield pharmacies from increased

competition from other pharmacies. Although the current location rules might have improved

economic efficiency to some extent by reducing rent seeking activity, those rules appear to

have done little to constrain the emergence of a large number of very small pharmacies that

are clustered around major population centres;

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facilitating the increased use of electronic prescriptions (Option 2.7) has the potential to improve

not only the equity of access of Australians in the more remote regions of Australia to affordable

medicines, but may also improve the efficiency with which medicines are produced by pharmacies

by:

reducing the administrative costs that pharmacies currently incur in order to process paper

scripts;

reducing the extent to which the current ownership and location rules reduce the competition

faced by less efficient pharmacies, since it is likely that all pharmacies would face increased

competition from online pharmacies, thereby increasing the incentive to improve their

efficiency; and

enabling pharmacies to utilise any spare capacity they might have to supply additional

medicines online.

Fiscal sustainability

In addition to improving the equity of access to affordable medicines and reducing any perverse

effects that pharmacy remuneration and regulation arrangements might have on economic efficiency,

the National Medicines Policy also stresses the need for those arrangements to be financially

sustainable:

However, in the course of seeking to raise a sufficient and sustainable source of revenue to fund the

provision of subsidised medicines, the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, in conjunction

with the tax system, also have a range of potentially adverse effects on economic efficiency.

In particular, as illustrated in Table 24, each dollar that is raised by the government through the tax

system to fund the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation comes at a real economic cost to

the community equal to the sum of the:

opportunity cost of each dollar invested in remunerating pharmacies and administering pharmacy

regulations ($1 plus an assumed 7% real rate of return that could be earned on that dollar if it was

invested in the next best investment); and

additional “deadweight cost” of raising that dollar through the tax system (which is assumed to be

20% of that investment).

Accordingly, the economic cost of each dollar spent by the government on pharmacy remuneration

and regulations is around $1.27. This means that significant benefits can be generated for the nation

as a whole by reducing any inefficient expenditure on pharmacy remuneration and regulation that is

not generating a social rate of return of at least 27 per cent.

In particular, as set out in Table 25, it is estimated that the introduction of a flat fee for dispensing

(Option 4.3) would potentially save $1.5b of fiscal costs over the period 2015-16 to 2019-20 if the flat

dispensing fee was set at $10 per script.

These fiscal cost savings, however, underestimate the potential savings in economic costs that would

arise from the implementation of such a measure, which are estimated to be $1.9b of economic costs

over the period 2015-16 to 2019-20 if the flat dispensing fee was set at $10 per script.

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INTRODUCTION

1.1 Purpose and structure of this report

In effect, the Terms of Reference for the Review raise two key questions:

To what extent are the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation achieving their intended

objectives?; and

To what extent would the welfare of Australians be improved by any proposed changes to those

current arrangements?

This report summarises the results of the financial analysis that has been conducted in order to help

the Review answer these two key questions. Specifically, this report presents the key results of the

analysis of the effects that both the current arrangements, and potential changes to those

arrangements identified in the Review’s Interim Report, have on the key factors that influence the

welfare of Australians, namely:

distributional equity (section 2) – that is, the extent to which current arrangements, and any

proposed changes to those arrangements, achieve the government’s objective of ensuring that:

Australians have equitable access to affordable medicines, regardless of their location and

wealth; and

pharmacies receive equitable remuneration to compensate them for the efficient costs of

supplying medicines they supply on behalf of the government;

economic efficiency (section 3) – that is, the extent to which current arrangements and any

proposed changes to those arrangements encourage the:

efficient use of those medicines, as well as other goods and services (consumption

efficiency); and

efficient supply of medicines, as well as other goods and services (production efficiency);

fiscal sustainability (section 4) – that is, the extent to which the current remuneration

arrangements and any proposed changes to those arrangements are sustainable in the medium

to longer term.

The appendices to this report provide:

information on the equity of access that the residents of Australia’s capital cities have to

community pharmacies (Appendix 1);

summary of the various sources of pharmacy financial data provided to the Review, which are

outlined further in section 1.2 below (Appendix 2);

detailed profit and loss statements for each of the key types of pharmacies that have been

identified for the purposes of this report, which have been developed from the key sources of

financial data outlined in section 1.2 below (Appendix 3);

a comparison of the financials for micro pharmacies against comparable businesses (Appendix

4);

details regarding a range of selected methodologies that have been used for the purposes of the

analysis in this report (Appendix 5);

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case studies on Rural Pharmacy Maintenance Allowance payable to pharmacies (Appendix 6);

additional detailed information regarding a range of issues of interest to the Review, including

average revenue per script, high cost medicines, electronic prescriptions and dangerous drugs,

trends in dispensing by hospital pharmacies, and Additional fees paid to TGA licensed

chemotherapy compounding facilities (Appendix 7); and

commercial in confidence information presented to the Review (Appendix 8 and Appendix 9).

1.2 Key sources of financial data

In order to conduct a rigorous analysis of the effects that the current pharmacy remuneration

arrangements have on distributional equity, economic efficiency, and the fiscal sustainability, it is

essential to have detailed information on the efficient marginal costs that pharmacies would have to

incur to supply medicines on behalf of the government.

In view of the lack of such information, the analysis conducted in this report has had to rely instead on

the limited information that was available to the Review on the average revenues and costs incurred

by different types of pharmacies, which includes the:

data provided by . This provides the most comprehensive, consistently derived and

independent data on total revenues and expenses derived and incurred by pharmacies for

2013/14;

PBS data on the amount of remuneration that each pharmacy received from the government and

patients, as well as the cost of the pharmaceuticals they purchase (valued using ex-

manufacturer’s prices, rather than actual prices paid);

data, which provides information on the value of capital that pharmacies of

different sizes typically invest in their businesses;

Pharmacy Guild Digest survey data on independent pharmacy operations in Australia for the

2014-15 financial year, which presents financial data obtained from a sample of 313 pharmacies

weighted according to their prescription volumes;

data, provides financial information for a sample of 205 pharmacies

across Australia in the 2016 financial year and 371 pharmacies in the 2015 financial year;

data sourced from Benchmarking.com.au, which provides financial benchmarking data for the

2016 financial year on:

pharmacies, obtained from a sample of 132 pharmacies;

a range of other similar retail businesses (e.g. corner stores, health food retailers, medical

practices and supermarkets);

data sourced from the financial survey conducted by the Review, that provides financial data for

the pharmacies that responded to that survey.

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Rather than rely on just one of these sources of data, a financial model has been constructed that

makes the best possible use of all of these existing sources of financial information. For example:

data has been used as a primary source of information on the total revenue incurred by

different types of pharmacies;

PBS data has been used as the primary source of information on the revenue that pharmacies

derive from the supply of PBS medicines;

data has been used to estimate the cost of capital that is incurred by pharmacies

of different sizes;

Pharmacy Guild survey data, data and financial performance

benchmarking data for pharmacies have been used as the primary sources of information on the

composition of the total financial costs incurred by pharmacies and the manner in which those

costs vary depending on the ratio of revenue that pharmacies derive from PBS and non PBS

sources;

financial benchmarking data for comparable businesses has been used to benchmark pharmacy

data; and

responses received to the financial survey conducted by the Review have been used to “reality

check” the results of the financial analysis.

It is essential to note that this approach has important implications for the interpretation of the results

of the analysis using that data.

In particular, it means that considerable caution needs to be exercised when interpreting the results of

the analysis, particularly the:

financial statements that have been developed for each type of pharmacy; and

estimates of the effective rates of assistance that the current pharmacy remuneration and

regulation provide to these different types of pharmacies.

At best, the results are indicative and highlight the need for more rigorous analysis using accurate

estimates of the efficient costs of pharmacies supplying medicines on behalf of the government.

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DISTRIBUTIONAL EQUITY

A key objective of the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, which is reflected in the

National Medicines Policy, is to increase the welfare of the nation as a whole by improving

“distributional equity”, namely the:

equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines; and

equity of access of pharmacies and wholesalers to sufficient revenue to compensate them for the

efficient costs of supplying those medicines on behalf of the government.

However, as discussed further below, in the course of seeking to achieve these intended equity

objectives, the PBS in conjunction with the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation also

potentially impose real economic costs on the nation as a whole by introducing:

additional inequities in the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines; and

additional inequities in the remuneration that pharmacies and wholesalers receive for the

medicines they supply on behalf of the government.

This section:

identifies the intended effects of the current PBS and pharmacy remuneration and regulation on

distributional equity;

outlines available information on the actual effects of these current regulatory and remuneration

arrangements, which include both their intended and unintended effects on distributional equity;

and

discusses the extent to which proposed changes to those current arrangements are expected to

improve their intended equity objectives.

2.1 Equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines

2.1.1 Intended effects on the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines

The fundamental objective of the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation is to improve the

equity of access that Australians have to the types and quantities of affordable medicines that they

need to meet their health needs, regardless of where they live in Australia and their wealth. This

equity of access objective is central to the objectives of the National Medicines Policy, which are:

timely access to the medicines that Australians need, at a cost individuals and the community can

afford;

medicines meeting appropriate standards of quality, safety and efficacy;

quality use of medicines; and

maintaining a responsible and viable medicines industry.2

2 Department of Health and Ageing (2000). National Medicines Policy, p1.http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/B2FFBF72029EEAC8CA257BF0001BAF3F/$File/NMP2000.pdf

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In particular, the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation arrangements are intended to

address the concern that, in the absence of such government interventions, the operation of the

market will fail to supply Australians with:

sufficient information on the various types of medicines that are available to meet the specific

health needs of the individual and the relative efficacy of each of those alternatives (e.g. due to

“information asymmetries” between pharmacists and patients of medicines, as well as the “public

good” nature of information on medicines, which are discussed further in section 3);

sufficient quantities of the various types of medicines that they need to meet their health needs

due to the:

high prices of many medicines. In view of the high fixed costs involved in the production of

pharmaceuticals, manufacturers often need to charge prices that significantly exceed the

economically efficient marginal costs of supplying those pharmaceuticals; and

limited incomes that many Australians have to purchase the medicines they need.

The current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are intended to improve the equity of access to

affordable medicines by addressing these sources of “market failure”. Specifically, the current:

pharmacy ownership regulations, which are imposed by each State and Territory government and

are outside the Terms of Reference of the Review, are intended to ensure that Australians receive

high quality advice on the types and quantities of medicines they need to meet their specific

health needs. The concern is that, in the absence of such rules, the advice provided by

pharmacies would be driven more by commercial considerations rather than by the health needs

of their customers;

pharmacy location rules are intended to improve the physical access that Australians have to the

medicines they need. Since the government has restricted the supply of certain medicines to

pharmacies for public safety reasons (“prescription” and “pharmacy only” medicines), there is a

concern that in the absence of such pharmacy location rules, pharmacies would cluster around

the most profitable locations, rather than incur the additional costs required to provide services to

meet the health needs of those Australians who live in more remote locations; and

pharmacy and wholesaler remuneration arrangements, in conjunction with the Pharmaceutical

Benefits Scheme (PBS), are intended to reduce the prices that Australians would otherwise have

to pay for the medicines they need to meet their health needs by equitably compensating

pharmacies and wholesalers for the efficient costs of supplying medicines on behalf of the

government.

2.1.2 Actual effects on the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines

In order to assist the Review to determine how the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation

have affected the equity of access of Australians to the medicines they need (their “physical” access

to those medicines), a Geospatial Information System (GIS) model has been developed that provides

information on the:

number, location and PBS revenue received by each of pharmacy; and

number, socio-economic status and location of the surrounding population of Australians that

each of these pharmacies serve.

This model provides the user with the ability to assess the:

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actual effects of the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation on the equity of access of

Australians who are resident in different regional areas to the medicines they need; and

extent to which proposed changes to the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are likely

to:

improve the equity of access of Australians to the medicines they need; and

alter the profitability of pharmacies. As discussed further in section 3, the geospatial analysis

of the location of pharmacies has been linked the financial analysis of the profitability of

pharmacies in order to help identify how any proposed changes to current pharmacy

remuneration arrangements are likely to alter the profitability of pharmacies across Australia

(e.g. by identifying the locations of those pharmacies that are most likely to be adversely

affected by any reduction in current remuneration arrangements).

How equitable is the access of Australians to medicines?

Some indication of the existing equity of access of Australians to medicines provided by pharmacies

is provided by:

Figure 1 which indicates the number of pharmacies in each regional area of Australia as well as

the relative index of socio-economic disadvantage (SEIFA index – the darker red indicates areas

of greater socio-economic disadvantage). This suggests that:

since most pharmacies in Australia are located in the major capital city and regional

population centres, the residents of those cities have the best access to the medicines

provided by pharmacies; and

by contrast, those Australians that live in the more remote regions of Australia have less

equitable access to the medicines provided by pharmacies;

Figure 2, which indicates the number and location of pharmacies in the Sydney regional area,

which includes the CBD and surrounding regions. Similar figures are provided for all other capital

cities in Appendix 1 of this report. In addition, Appendix 8 also provides confidential data on the

amount of total PBS remuneration received by each pharmacy in Sydney and Melbourne. This

suggests that:

once again, most pharmacies in Sydney and its surrounding regions are located in where

most of the population lives; and

there is also a good coverage of pharmacies across the most socially disadvantaged areas of

Sydney (as indicated by the dark red regions);

Figure 3 which indicates the distance to the closest pharmacy against the SEIFA index for that

region. Separate graphs for each of these regional areas are provided in Figure 4. Figure 3 and

Figure 4 suggests that:

the residents of the wealthiest areas of Australia (those with the highest SEIFA indexes) have

the best access to community pharmacies (they have a community pharmacy located

nearby);

although the residents of those regional areas of Australia with average indexes of socio-

economic disadvantage (a SEIFA index of around 1) also have good access to community

pharmacies, there are still some of these regional areas where residents have to travel

significant differences to visit their closest pharmacy; and

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the residents of those regional areas of Australia with the greatest socio-economic

disadvantage (with the lowest SEIFA indexes) also have to travel significant distances to visit

their nearest pharmacy;

Figure 5, which is the same as Figure 4, except the vertical distance to the nearest pharmacy

scale has been magnified so that it only goes up to 25km. This indicates the existence of a similar

trend across all regional areas of Australia, namely the need for the residents of many regions

with SEIFA indexes ranging from around 750 to 1100 to travel up to 25km to visit their nearest

pharmacy.

Figure 1: Distribution of pharmacies across Australia

Source: PBS data

Notes: The yellow circles represent the number and geographical distribution of pharmacies. The numbers inside

the circles show the number of pharmacies.

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Figure 2: Distribution of pharmacies across regional areas of Sydney

Source: PBS data

Notes: The yellow circles represent the number and geographical distribution of pharmacies. The numbers inside

the circles show the number of pharmacies.

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Figure 3: Distances that different socio-economic groups have to travel to visit the nearest pharmacy

Source: PBS data

Figure 4: Distances that different socio-economic groups have to travel to visit the nearest pharmacy (broken down by regional areas)

Source: PBS data

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Figure 5: Distances that different socio-economic groups have to travel to visit the nearest pharmacy (broken down by regional areas) – magnified distance scale

Source: PBS data

When assessing the equity of access that Australians have to affordable medicines, however, it is

important to note that a significant proportion of Australians are not located at their principal places of

residence for the entire day (e.g. people of working age). Rather, each day, they typically visit a wide

range of other locations to work, shop and visit their health professionals to purchase the goods

services they need. This means that the normal place of residence of an individual does not

necessarily provide an accurate indication of the locations where people will seek to purchase their

medicines.

Some plausible explanations include:

older, non-working age people who are less mobile are more likely to be seeking to purchase their

medicines from medical practitioners and pharmacies that are located near the location in which

they reside (e.g. their local shopping centres);.

working age people who are not able to attend work may seek to purchase their medicines from

pharmacies located near to their medical practitioners who prescribe their medicines, local

shopping centres or their principal place of residence; and

working age people whose medical needs are such that they can continue working, or people who

are purchasing medicines on behalf of their partners or dependents, may seek to visit doctors and

purchase their medicines from pharmacies located in the other locations where they work, shop or

travel;

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As illustrated in Figure 6, an analysis of PBS data on the place of residence of the patient, the location

of the medical practitioner who prescribes those medicines, and the location of that pharmacy that

supplies those medicines confirm these trends to some extent:

54 per cent of all scripts are purchased from pharmacies located in the same postcode as the

patient resides:

34 per cent of all scripts are prescribed by medical practitioners, and filled by pharmacies, in

the same postcode as the patient resides (e.g. as would be the case if the patient visits a

doctor in their local shopping centre and then gets their script filled by a pharmacy located in

the same shopping centre);

20 per cent of all scripts are filled by pharmacies in the same postcode as the patient is

located, but are prescribed by medical practitioners in another postcode (e.g. as would be the

case if the patient has to travel to another postcode to visit their medical practitioner, but has

their prescription filled by a pharmacy located their local shopping centre that is located in the

same postcode where they reside);

45 per cent of all scripts are purchased from pharmacies in another postcode:

29 per cent of all scripts are filled by pharmacies located in a postcode that differs from the

postcode where the patient resides and the postcode where the medical practitioner that

prescribes the medicine is located (e.g. as would be the case if the patient has to leave their

postcode to visit their medical practitioner and then travel to another different postcode to visit

their pharmacy). Only 10 per cent of the people who have to travel to another postcode to

have their script filled come from a postcode in which there is no pharmacy. In order to have

these scripts filled:

− 25 per cent of these scripts filled require the patient to travel up to 4.7km to visit the

pharmacy;

− 50 per cent of these scripts require the patient to travel up to 9.8km to visit the

pharmacy;

− 75 per cent of these scripts require the patient to travel up to 26.5km to visit the

pharmacy; and

17 per cent of all scripts are prescribed by medical practitioners who are located in the same

postcode as the location as the pharmacy that fills that script, but in a different postcode than

where the patient resides (e.g. as would be the case if the patient travelled to another location

to visit their medical practitioner and then get their script filled by a pharmacy located near

that medical practitioner, as would be the case if they visited a health clinic, or a doctor in a

shopping centre that also has a pharmacy).

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Figure 6: Location of the patient, prescriber and pharmacy

Source: PBS data

Notes: See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used

A more detailed breakdown of the respective locations of the patient, prescriber and pharmacy for

different types of patients (e.g. general and concessional patients) is provided in Table 1 below. The

results of this analysis by type of patient are broadly consistent with those outlined above. That is:

concessional patients tend to have their scripts prescribed by medical practitioners, and filled by

pharmacies, that are located in the same postcode in which they reside, which may be a reflection

of their lower regional mobility. For example:

“concessional safety net patients” tend to have the highest proportion (40%) of their

prescriptions prescribed and filled by medical practitioners and pharmacies that are located in

the same postcode in which they reside;

“concessional non-safety net patients” have a slightly lower proportion of their scripts (37%)

prescribed and filled by medical practitioners and pharmacies located in the same postcode

as they reside;

general patients tend to have lower proportions of their scripts prescribed and dispensed by

medical practitioners and pharmacies that are located in the same postcode as they reside, which

may reflect their greater regional mobility and hence lower generalised costs of visiting those

more remote pharmacies. For example:

“general safety net patients” have a slightly lower proportion of their scripts (32%) prescribed

and filled by medical practitioners and pharmacies located in the same postcode as they

reside; and

“general patients” have the lowest proportion of their scripts (23% for over co-payment scripts

and 28% for under co-payment scripts) prescribed and filled by medical practitioners and

pharmacies located in the same postcode as they reside.

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Table 1: Location of patient, prescriber and pharmacy, by type of patient

Source: PBS data

Notes:

1. Includes community pharmacy and hospital pharmacy data for 2015-16

This means that the current pharmacy regulations, which tend to focus on where patients reside, may have the unintended effect of creating an:

undersupply of pharmacies in those areas where there is high population density during the day

(e.g. those locations where there are high levels of foot traffic, such as the retail and transport

hubs of central business districts where relatively few people live, but large numbers of people

come to work each day and are looking for a convenient place to purchase their medicines); and

oversupply of pharmacies in those areas where most of the people that reside in that area spend

a significant proportion of their time each week in another regional area (e.g. those regions where

the resident are of working age and travel each day to another region to work).

This also highlights the need to consider the range of medicines supplied by pharmacies, the range

and quantity of stocks of medicines held by the pharmacy, and their hours of operation when

assessing the equity of access to the medicines they need. In particular, the existence of a pharmacy

in the same postcode as a patient is unlikely to improve that patient’s access to the medicines they

need if the pharmacy:

does not supply the medicine needed by that patient;

is capable of providing the medicine supplied by the patient but does not hold sufficient stocks of

that medicine to meet the patient’s needs (granted that under the CSO arrangements the

pharmacy would be able to have the medicine on hand within 24 hours);

is not open when the patient wants to visit that pharmacy (e.g. as would be case if the patient is of

working age and travels to another postcode to work); or

is not known to the patient (e.g. although the extent of this may be limited, patients living in, or

visiting, some of the more remote regions of Australia might not be aware of the locations of the

162 remote area health services around Australia and their ability to obtain medicines from those

services).

Location of consumer, prescriber and pharmacy

Consumer

and

pharmacy in

same

postcode

Prescriber

and

pharmacy in

same

postcode

Consumer,

prescriber

and

pharmacy in

same

postcode

Consumer,

prescriber

and

pharmacy in

different

postcodes

Concessional non-safety net 145,061,002 49% 58% 53% 37% 26%

Conessional safety net 43,712,612 15% 63% 53% 40% 24%

General non-safety net (over co-payment) 14,486,038 5% 45% 41% 23% 37%

General non-safety net (under co-payment) 80,762,096 27% 46% 47% 28% 34%

General safety net 3,192,802 1% 58% 46% 32% 28%

RPBS non-safety net 7,408,118 2% 59% 53% 39% 27%

PRBS safety net 2,936,671 1% 47% 53% 31% 31%

Prescriber Bag 382,285 0% 0% 72% 0% 27%

ALL 297,941,624 100% 55% 51% 34% 29%

Patient typeNumber of

scripts

Percentage

of total

scripts

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In addition, when assessing the equity of access to medicines, it is also important to note that all

Australians are able to purchase their medicines on-line if they so desire. In theory, this option should

be particularly attractive for those individuals who:

are located in the more remote regions of Australia where the patient would otherwise have to

travel long distances to visit their nearest pharmacy;

have mobility problems (e.g. older age and disabled individuals); and

have a high opportunity cost of time (e.g. high income individuals who lack the time necessary to

visit pharmacies in person to have their scripts filled); and

do not require their medicines urgently, thereby allowing for postage times; and

do not require medicines that have particular freight requirements, such as ‘cold chain’.

have access to internet and are computer literate.

Figure 7: Postage times and shipping charges for medicines purchased from ePharmacy

Source: ePharmacy.com.au

How affordable is the access of Australians to medicines?

In addition to improving the equity of access of Australians to the medicines they need (their

“physical” access), the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, in conjunction with the

Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS), are also intended to improve the affordability of those

medicines (their ability to pay for those medicines).

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As noted by the National Medicines Policy:

“Cost should not constitute a substantial barrier to people’s access to medicines they need.

Therefore normal market mechanisms may be tempered in access arrangements, to increase the

affordability of important medicines. For example, the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS)

facilitates access to certain prescribed medicines by subsidising costs, and subsidies also occur

when hospitals supply medicines to patients. Such subsidies are not costless, and the community

as a whole must bear them.”3

It is important to note that the affordability of medicines to Australians is influenced by a range of

factors, not all of which are within the scope of the Review which focuses on the current pharmacy

remuneration and regulation.

In particular, the cost of medicines to Australians is influenced by both the:

PBS which sets the :

co-payments;

annual safety nets;

costs that patients have to incur in order to compensate pharmacists for the actual costs they

incur in order to fill each script, which are influenced by the:

actual prices that pharmacists charge patients for each script they supply, which can differ

from the dispensed price as a result of pharmacists:

− applying the $1 discount; and/or

− charging prices that are either below, or above, the dispensed price for under co-

payment medicines; and

quantities of medicines prescribed per script by the medical practitioner, which are influenced

by a range of factors outside the scope of the Review, including the:

− health needs of the patient; and

− limits imposed on the total quantities of medicines that can be prescribed by medical

practitioners per script, which are set by the PBS, as well as medical practitioner

prescribing standards.

What effect does the PBS have on the affordability of access to medicines?

As noted above, the PBS is the key instrument that the government has to improve the affordability of

medicines, by:

setting co-payments for different patient categories; and

applying annual safety nets for different patient categories.

As illustrated in Table 2, setting co-payments (e.g. general co-payment of $38.80 on the contributions

required by general patients), tend to provide a higher “nominal rate of assistance” to those patients

that use higher cost medicines. These nominal rates of assistance reflect the extent to which subsidy

3 Department of Health and Ageing (2000). National Medicines Policy, p2.

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provided by the government proportionally reduces the cost of that medicine to the patient. That is,

the nominal rate of assistance provided to the patients of each medicine is equal to the:

subsidy provided to patients of that medicine, which is equal to the:

cost of the medicine to patients in the absence of a subsidy from the government;

less the relevant co-payment paid by the patient;

divided by the cost of the medicine to patients in the absence of a subsidy from the government.

Table 2: Illustration of how general patient co-payments for different types of medicines provide the highest nominal rates of assistance to patients of the most expensive medicines

This provision of a nominal rate of assistance to patients that increases with the cost of the medicine

prescribed has the intended effect of providing higher levels of assistance to those Australians who:

hold an Australian government concession card, which includes those on lower incomes (the

amount of subsidy provided to those individuals is greater as a result of the lower concessional

co-payment that applies); and

have a greater need for medicines to meet their health needs. In particular, a higher level of

assistance is provided to those patients who have to use:

greater quantities of medicines to meet their health needs (the amount of subsidy increases

as the quantity of medicines they need increases); and

higher priced medicines to meet their health needs (the amount of subsidy increases as the

price of those medicines increases).

Specifically, the PBS does not provide any assistance to those patients who purchase under co-payment scripts (e.g. medicines 1 and 2). Although the patients whose use of medicines consists

predominantly of such medicines might consider this to be inequitable, it is important to note that:

those inequities are the inevitable consequence of the complex trade-offs that need to made in

the course of designing the PBS. These include the trade-offs between the conflicting objectives

of:

equity of access to affordable medicines and fiscal sustainability. Once the government has

decided that it would not be fiscally sustainable to provide all medicines to all Australians free

of charge, it is necessary to reduce the fiscal cost of the PBS by limiting its application to a

Medicine

prescribed on

the script

Cost to

general

consumer

before

government

subsidy

Cost to

general

consumer

after

government

subsidy

Nominal rate

of assistance

to general

consumers

Medicine 1 $20.00 $20.00 0.0%

Medicine 2 $30.00 $30.00 0.0%

Medicine 3 $40.00 $38.80 3.0%

Medicine 4 $50.00 $38.80 22.0%

Medicine 5 $60.00 $38.80 35.0%

Medicine 6 $70.00 $38.80 45.0%

Medicine 7 $80.00 $38.80 52.0%

Medicine 8 $90.00 $38.80 57.0%

Medicine 9 $100.00 $38.80 61.0%

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specified range of medicines (those listed on the PBS) that have prices in excess of a

particular patient co-payment. Inevitably, this means that although this approach reduces the

fiscal cost of the PBS, that reduction in fiscal cost comes at the expense of introducing

differences into the levels of assistance provided to patients (it means that some Australians

who consume medicines that are either not listed on the PBS, or are under co-payment

medicines, will not receive any government assistance);

equity of access to affordable medicines and economic efficiency. Even if the government

could afford to fully subsidise the cost of all medicines to all Australians, it still might be

desirable to require patients to pay for at least some of the costs of the medicines they use in

order to improve the economic efficiency with which those medicines are used. It is noted that

the prescriber plays an integral part in reducing such inefficient use of prescription PBS

medicines (e.g. to reduce the excessive use of medicines and the “moral hazard” that would

otherwise arise if patients were able to obtain their medicines free of charge. In effect, patient

co-payments for medicines perform much the same role as do the “excess” payments that the

insurers of other goods and services require patients to pay when they make a claim on their

insurance policy);

those inequities are reduced to some extent by the operation of the annual safety net which

decreases the co-payment that is payable by the patient to the next lowest applicable co-payment

(e.g. once a general patient hits the annual safety net limit of $1,494.90 of total co-payments

within a year, their co-payment per script reduces from $38.80 to $6.30).

Rather, the patient co-payments:

only provide a subsidy to the patient when the cost of the script exceeds the co-payment payable

by the patient as illustrated by medicines 3 to 9 in Table 2); and

provide higher levels of assistance to those patients who require higher quantities of medicine or

have higher cost scripts (e.g. patients of the highest cost medicine 9 receive a higher levels of

assistance than patients of lower cost medicines 3 to 8).

What effect do pharmacy discounts have on the affordability of access to medicines?

The equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines is also influenced by the extent to which

pharmacies choose to discount the prices that they charge patients for those medicines.

Under current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, pharmacists are able to:

reduce the patient co-payment by up to $1 for over co-payment scripts (they can apply the “$1

discount”); and

charge patients prices that are above or below the dispensed price per script for under co-

payment scripts.

The effect that the application of the $1 discount by pharmacies has on the equity of access of

different types of patients located in different regions of Australia to affordable medicines is outlined in

Figure 8. This suggests that:

pharmacies located in urban regions of Australia (PhARIA 1) apply the $1 discount to the highest

proportions of the scripts they fill;

the more remote a pharmacy is, the lower the proportion of the scripts that it discounts using the

$1 discount; and

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This suggests that there are significant variations in the prices that general patients actually paid per

pack of medicine in September 2016 for each of the top ten medicines by script volume.

As illustrated in Table 6, however, it is important to note that these observed differences in the prices

that patients are paying per script of medicines can come from two potential sources:

variations in the prices that pharmacies charge patients per pack for their medicines; and/or

variations in the quantities of medicine that medical practitioners prescribe per script to meet the

health needs of their patients.

Once again, this means that it is necessary to determine the extent to which these observed

differences in the prices of these top 10 medicines are due to the variations in the prices that

pharmacies are charging per pack for medicines for under co-payment scripts, as opposed to

differences in the quantities of medicine that are prescribed per script. As set out in greater detail in

Appendix 5, this involves adjusting those observed price differences for differences in the quantities of

medicines prescribed per script.

Once this correction has been made, it is apparent that 96 per cent of this observed variation in the

prices charged general patients per pack for each of these top 10 medicines in September 2016 is

due to variations in the prices that pharmacies charged for those medicines.

The frequency distributions of the prices per pack for each of these top ten medicines are provided in

Figure 9.

At this point in time, however, it is far from clear to what extent patients and their medical practitioners

are aware of these significant differences in the prices that patients actually have to pay for their

medicines. Once again, these differences in prices have potential effects on both the equity of access

of different patients to different types of medicines and the efficient use of those medicines.

It is also important to note that, since the price of generic medicines have been falling significantly

over time, it is now possible for a PBS medicine that is above the general co-payment level to be

supplied by a pharmacy through a private script at a price that is less than that co-payment. This

typically would only apply to medicines that are only priced slightly over the general co-payment level.

As a result, it is now possible for patients to have their prescriptions for certain PBS medicines filled

through private scripts at pharmacies, but it remains a business decision at pharmacy level. However,

there is currently no evidence that captures the extent to which this is occurring. It is noted that only

PBS scripts are counted towards a patient’s safety net.

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Figure 9: Frequency distribution of the price paid by general patients in September 2016 for the each of the top 10 medicines – under co-payment scripts

Source: PBS data

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What effect does pharmacy location have on the affordability of access to medicines?

It is also important to note that the “generalised cost” that Australians have to incur in order to access

the medicines they need does not just include the price they have to pay the pharmacist for those

medicines.

Rather the “generalised cost” that Australians have to incur also includes a range of other costs

including the:

cost of travelling to and from the pharmacy, which is estimated to be around $0.28 per km (the

Australian Transport Assessment and Planning Guidelines estimate of the vehicle operating costs

for a medium sized car operating at uninterrupted free flow speed); and

opportunity cost of time that they spend:

travelling to and from the pharmacy, which is assumed to be around $15 per hour; and

waiting for the script to be filled by the pharmacist, which is assumed to be around $2.50

(assuming an average wait of around 10 minutes and an opportunity cost of private time of

$15 per hour).

As a result, if two hypothetical patients with similar incomes and health needs face similar co-

payments for the medicines they need, the generalised costs that they incur can differ significantly

depending on how far they have to travel to visit a pharmacy. Generally, the further they have to

travel, the greater these generalised costs.

These additional generalised costs are reduced to the extent that:

pharmacies are located in those locations where Australians live, visit the medical practitioners

who prescribe their medicines, or travel to work and shop;

are open at times of the day when patients want to purchase their medicines; and

hold sufficient stocks of medicines to meet the needs of those patients who seek to purchase their

medicines from those pharmacies. It is noted that pharmacies are able to obtain medicines within

24 hours under the CSO arrangements, but this may result in additional generalised cost of

access being incurred by the patient if the patient has to visit the pharmacy again to collect the

medicine.

Despite the restrictive and complex nature of the current location rules, it is interesting to note that

pharmacies are not subject to the same types of performance contracts that Australian governments

apply to the other agents that they appoint to exclusively supply essential services on their behalf

(e.g. the providers that supply electricity, gas, water, telecommunications and some public transport

services). Those performance contracts typically outline the:

types, quantities and qualities of services that are expected to be delivered by providers to

patients over the term of the contract;

key performance indicators against which the performance of providers is assessed over the term

of the contract;

reporting requirements with which providers must comply to ensure that the government has the

information it needs to assess their performance (e.g. financial information as well as information

on types and quantities of services supplied);

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formula that is to be used to determine the amount of remuneration that is to be paid to each

provider in return for supplying goods and services on behalf of the government;

risk sharing arrangements, which outline how financial risks and the risk of loss of continuity of

service provision are to be allocated between the government and providers, mitigated and

managed;

incentives that are to be used to encourage providers to improve their cost efficiency over time.

As a result, there is no guarantee that the pharmacy location rules will result in the establishment of a

pharmacy at a particular location that will efficiently meet the needs of those patients who might want

to purchase their medicines from that pharmacy. The size of the pharmacy that is established at a

particular location, its hours of operation, the quantity of stocks that are to be held by the pharmacy,

the efficiency with which pharmacy uses the government’s significant investment of taxpayers’ funds

is largely left up to the pharmacist to determine.

As previously noted, many Australians in theory have the option to reduce the generalised costs of

accessing the medicines they need through the use of online pharmacies. However, this is currently

constrained particularly by the need to obtain a paper script and post it to the online pharmacy.

In addition, some Australians can also reduce these generalised costs by visiting pharmacies that are

located near where they travel regularly to work or shop. However, this ability to defray those

additional costs is unlikely to be uniform across Australians. Rather, it is likely to be:

greater for those Australians who are relatively geographically mobile (e.g. younger, higher

income, working age, people who travel regularly to other regional areas to work and shop); and

lower for those Australians who are less mobile (e.g. older, unemployed, lower income, disabled,

individuals).

2.1.3 Effects of proposed changes to current arrangements on equity of access to affordable medicines and services

What effect would the removal of the ability of pharmacies to charge patients different prices for medicines have on the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines?

The Review’s Interim Report outlines two potential options for reform that would remove the ability of

pharmacies to charge patients different prices for the medicines they supply by:

removing the ability of pharmacies to charge prices that are either below or above the dispensed

price for under co-payment scripts through the implementation Option 2.1, which states that:

Option 2.1: Pricing Variations. The payment made by any particular customer for a PBS listed

medicine should be the co-payment set by the government for that customer, or the

dispensed price for that medicine, whichever is the lower. The community pharmacy should

have no discretion to either raise or lower this price;

removing the ability of pharmacies to discount the co-payment for over co-payment scripts by up

to $1 per script through the implementation of Option 2.2, which states that:

Option 2.2: $1 Discount. The government should abolish the $1 discount on the PBS patient co-

payment.

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The implementation of these options for reform would shift the responsibility for setting the prices that

patients are charged for their PBS medicines from pharmacies to the government.

At first sight, it might appear that such a reform would reduce the equity of access that all Australians

currently have to affordable medicines if all patients are currently receiving a net benefit from these

price variations and discounts, regardless of their location.

On closer inspection, however, an analysis of PBS data suggests that the major beneficiaries of the

current variations in the prices that pharmacies charge are those patients who purchase their

medicines from urban pharmacies (PhARIA 1), since those pharmacies:

discount the highest proportions of the scripts they fill, whereas the more remote pharmacies

discount lower proportions of the scripts they fill, as indicated in Figure 8; and

provide the highest nominal rates of assistance (reduce the prices charged by the highest

proportion). As indicated in Table 7, general under co-payment patients who purchase their

medicines from pharmacies in the urban regions of Australia (PhARIA 1) receive a nominal rate of

assistance of 9 per cent as a result of the different prices charged by pharmacies (their prices are

9 per cent lower than the dispensed price). By contrast, general under co-payment patients who

purchase their medicines from pharmacies in the more remote regions of Australia (PhARIA 3 to

6) actually have to pay more for their medicines than the dispensed price (they receive negative

nominal rates of assistance). The more remote the location of the pharmacy, the greater the

extent to which patients have to pay prices that exceed the dispensed price.

In particular, the major beneficiaries of current variations in the prices that pharmacies charge for

medicines are those patients who purchase their medicines from small and medium pharmacies

located in the urban regions of Australia (PhARIA 1), since those pharmacies provide patients with

the:

highest subsidies in dollar terms. As indicated in Table 8, general under co-payment patients who

purchase their medicines from small pharmacies located in the least remote regions of Australia

(PhARIA 1) derive a benefit of about $101m from the variations in prices charged by pharmacies.

By contrast, general under co-payment patients who purchase their medicines from pharmacies in

more remote regions of Australia (PhARIA 3 to 6) actually pay more for their medicines as a result

of the different prices charged by those pharmacies; and

highest nominal rates of assistance. As indicated in Table 9, general under co-payment patients

who purchase their medicines from small and medium pharmacies located in the urban regions of

Australia (PhARIA 1) receive nominal rates of assistance of 13 per cent and 18 per cent

respectively as a result of the variations in prices charged by those pharmacies. By contrast,

general under co-payment patients who purchase their medicines from pharmacies in more

remote regions of Australia (PhARIA 3 to 6) actually have to pay more for their medicines as a

result of the variations in the prices charged by these pharmacies.

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Table 7: Effect of price variations on the prices of medicines to patients by location of pharmacy (general under co-payment scripts only)

Source: PBS data Notes:

* Equals the sum of the dispensed price for scripts filled. ** Excludes price differences caused by Brand premiums, Therapeutic group premiums, Special patient contributions and the $1 discount. *** Positive nominal rates of assistance indicate the patients paid less than the dispensed price and vice versa for the negative nominal rate of assistance. 1. Only pharmacies with approval number as at March 2015 are included, see note 5 of Table 8 below. 2. Price variation and PBS Patient Contribution are extracted from PBS data from 01/01/2016 to 31/12/2016.

3. Chemotherapy drugs are excluded. 4. Includes general non-safety net under co-payment patients only. 5. The data may contain minor unadjusted price variations that are not attributable to pricing discretion at

pharmacy level. 6. See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used.

Table 8: Effect of price variations* on the prices of medicines to patients by pharmacy size and location (general under co-payment scripts only)

Source: PBS data Notes:

* Excludes price differences caused by Brand premiums, Therapeutic group premiums, Special patient contributions and the $1 discount. 1. Pharmacies have been classified into the various categories of pharmacies using their PBS revenue with

the assumption that this comprises 80% of their revenue. 2. Negative price variation means patients have paid less.

3. Chemotherapy drugs are excluded. 4. Includes general non-safety net under co-payment patients only. 5. Includes only pharmacies that traded for the full 2016 calendar year to avoid larger pharmacies trading part

year to be included in smaller pharmacy size categories. 6. The data may contain minor unadjusted price variations that are not attributable to pricing discretion at

pharmacy level, such as differences in the quantities of medicines dispensed. 7. See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used.

1 $1,063,669,635 -$94,080,686 9%

2 $34,769,640 $192,196 -1%

3 $45,443,307 $5,851,184 -13%

4 $14,932,988 $2,606,211 -17%

5 $16,820,761 $3,917,202 -23%

6 $7,561,046 $2,368,720 -31%

PhARIA

Accumulated

consumer

contribution*

Accumulated price

variation**

Nominal rate of

assistance*** to

consumers

(arising from price

variations)

Micro Small Medium Large Very Large

1 12,993,129 -100,888,490 -3,936,770 495,187 -166,934 -91,503,878

2 777,035 -646,831 130,204

3 2,086,603 3,672,055 5,758,658

4 1,317,681 1,264,183 2,581,864

5 1,929,921 1,951,371 3,881,292

6 1,900,114 453,932 2,354,046

Total 21,004,483 -94,193,780 -3,936,770 495,187 -166,934 -76,797,814

PhARIAPharmacy size

Total

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Table 9: Effect of price variations* on the nominal rates of assistance** provided to patients by pharmacy type and location (general under co-payment scripts only)

Source: PBS data Notes:

* Excludes price differences caused by Brand premiums, Therapeutic group premiums, Special patient contributions and the $1 discount.

** Positive nominal rates of assistance indicate the patients paid less than the dispensed price and vice versa for the negative nominal rate of assistance. 1. Pharmacies have been classified into the various categories of pharmacies using their PBS revenue with

the assumption that this comprises 80% of their revenue. See appendix 2 for the methodology used. 2. Includes general non-safety net under co-payment patients only. 3. The data may contain minor unadjusted price variations that are not attributable to pricing discretion at

pharmacy level. 4. See appendix 5 for outline of methodology used.

Table 10 provides information on the types of patients that derive the greatest net benefits from

variations in the prices charged by pharmacies and the application of the $1 discount. In particular, it

suggests that overall:

“general under co-payment patients” receive the greatest net savings from differences in the

prices that pharmacists charge patients for their medicines;

“concessional patients” receive the greatest benefit from the $1 discount.

This suggests that rather than improve the equity of access that Australians resident in the more

remote regions of Australia have to affordable medicines, the current differences in the prices charged

by pharmacies and the $1 discount arrangements actually have the unintended effect of reducing the

overall equity of access by further improving the relative equity of access that those Australians

resident in metropolitan areas have to affordable medicines.

As a result, the removal of these price variations and the $1 discount has the potential to improve the

overall equity of access to affordable medicines across Australia, albeit by making medicines more

expensive in metropolitan areas. Such a reform is, in effect, equivalent to a decision to improve the

overall equity of access to affordable medicines by removing the additional benefits that residents of

metropolitan regions of Australia derive from the current discounts.

As indicated in Table 10, assuming all else being equal, the removal of existing price variations and

the $1 discount would cost Australian patients around $153m per annum with around:

$97.8m of that cost being born by “general under co-payment” patients; and

$49.9m of that cost being born by “concessional” patients.

If the premise of holding all else equal is continued it may be assumed that the cost to patients above

would translate to benefits to pharmacies.

Micro Small Medium Large Very Large

1 -6% 13% 18% -10% 8%

2 -12% 2%

3 -17% -12%

4 -18% -18%

5 -23% -26%

6 -32% -31%

PhARIAPharmacy size

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Table 10: Overall combined effect of price variations and the $1 discount on the prices paid by patients by type of patient (2016 calendar year)

Source: PBS data Notes:

* Excludes price differences caused by brand premiums, therapeutic group premiums, special patient contributions and the $1 discount. Positive variation means the patients paid more than the dispensed price or co-payment and negative price variation means the patients paid less. ** Negative saving means that patients paid more than they would have paid in the absence if price variation. 1. Negative price variation and positive dollar discount means patients have paid less.

2. Negative price variation comes in the form of discount on the dispensed price and does not include the $1 discount.

3. Chemotherapy drugs excluded. 4. Discussions around costs or savings to patients if pricing variation or the $1 discount is removed assumes

that pricing will be kept at current dispensed price or co-payment levels and all else being held equal. 5. Although price variations are not expected for concessional, general safety net and general over co-payment

scripts, some variations were found that are likely to be due to quantity variations at script level rather than pharmacy discretionary pricing. These observations do not alter the results of the analysis.

6. See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used.

What effect would the removal of pharmacy location regulations have on the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines?

Another potential option for the reform of current pharmacy regulations identified in the Review’s

Interim Report is the removal of the current regulations governing pharmacy location through the

implementation of Option 5.1 which states that:

Option 5.1: Location Rules – Removal and Replacement. The government should remove the

location rules for community pharmacies. It should replace the location rules with one of the

alternatives presented below (as outlined in Option 5.2 and Option 5.3).

Some indication of the potential effect that this is likely to have on the equity of access of Australians

to affordable medicines can be obtained from an analysis of

data on rejections of applications for new and relocated pharmacies. It has been assumed that

following the removal of the location rules, rejected applicants would proceed with those

developments.

Using the application rejection rate data set out in Table 11, the removal of the current constraints

imposed on pharmacy location are likely to generate the greatest improvements in the equity of

access to affordable medicines for the residents of the:

major cities, inner and outer regional areas of Australia, which have experienced the highest

rejection rates for new pharmacy applications ( ); and

outer regional areas of Australia, which have the highest rejection rates for relocated pharmacies

( ).

Sum of positive

variation

Sum of negative

variation

Concessional Safety Net $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Concessional $1,959,664 -$3,687,005 $1,727,341 $48,178,138 $49,905,479

General Safety net $81,053 -$5,502 -$75,551 $501,024 $425,473

General (over co-payment) $291,157 -$1,728,403 $1,437,246 $3,287,724 $4,724,970

General (under co-payment) $143,238,137 -$241,123,864 $97,885,727 $0 $97,885,727

Grand Total $145,570,011 -$246,544,774 $100,974,763 $51,966,886 $152,941,649

Consumer Type

Variation in actual price paid from

Commonwealth dispensed price or co-payment, Net saving to

consumers from

price variation**

Sum of $1 Discount

Combined impact

of price variations

and $1 discount

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Table 11: Geographic distribution of applications to establish new, and relocate existing, pharmacies (financial year 2015-16)

Source:

What effect would the greater use of electronic prescriptions have on the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines?

Another potential option for reform identified in the Review’s Interim Report is to facilitate the

increased, integrated, use of electronic prescriptions in order to replace the current, less efficient,

paper based scripts through the implementation of Option 2.7, which states that:

Option 2.7: Electronic Prescriptions. The government should initiate an appropriate system for

integrated electronic prescriptions and medicine records as a matter of urgency. Under this

system the electronic record should become the legal record. Participation in the system

should be required for any prescriber of a PBS listed medicine, pharmacist wishing to

dispense a PBS listed medicine, and any patient who is seeking to fill a PBS prescription;

As noted in section 2.1.2, the current predominantly paper based system of prescriptions potentially:

inhibits the increased use of online pharmacies;

increases the generalised cost that patients have to incur in order to access the medicines they

need; and

thereby reduces the equity of access of the more remote regions of Australia to the medicines

they need, particularly the less mobile residents of those regions who do not have to travel into

cities to work or to shop.

As a result, facilitating the increased use of electronic prescriptions has the potential to improve the

equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines, particularly the less mobile residents of those

more remote regions of Australians who would otherwise have to travel relatively long distances to

visit their nearest pharmacy. For example, if a patient would otherwise have to travel 100 km (50km

each way) to visit the nearest pharmacy to have a script filled, their ability to order their medicines

online would result in a:

$28 reduction in road transport costs (for a 100km round trip that costs $0.28 per km);

$15 reduction in travel time (assuming an average speed of 100km per hour); and

Approved RejectedRejection

rate

Major Cities of Australia

Inner Regional Australia

Outer Regional Australia

Remote Australia

Very Remote Australia

Total New Australia

Major Cities of Australia

Inner Regional Australia

Outer Regional Australia

N/A

Total Relocated Australia

Total Application Australia

Type of application Remoteness of proposed pharmacy

Total number

of

applications

Outcome of application

New

Relocated

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$2.50 reduction in time waiting for the script to be filled (assuming a wait time of 10 minutes that

has an opportunity cost of $15 per hour of private time).

These total cost reductions of $45.50 would, of course be offset by the:

opportunity cost of the time that the patient spends ordering the medicine online, which is

assumed to be around $2.50 (it is assumed for the purposes of this simple example that the

patient spends 10 minutes of their private time, which has an opportunity cost of $15 per hour);

shipping costs charged by the online pharmacy for the delivery of the medicine, which are

assumed to be $8.95; and

opportunity cost of having to wait for the medicines to be delivered by the online pharmacy. For

the purposes of this simple example, it is assumed that these costs are zero (it is assumed that

these medicines are not urgent, are not heat sensitive and little value is lost having to wait for the

delivery of these medicines).

Overall, in this case, the cost to the patient would be reduced by around $34.05 for each script they

purchase online, which is around 88 per cent of the price they have to pay for that medicine

(assuming that they pay the general co-payment of $38.80 for that medicine).

This highlights the significant magnitude of the cost reductions that patients could derive from

purchasing their medicines online, rather than incurring the additional costs associated with visiting

the pharmacy in person.

2.2 Equity of remuneration arrangements for pharmacies

2.2.1 Intended effects of the current remuneration arrangements

Another key objective of the current remuneration arrangements is to ensure that pharmacies and

wholesalers receive equitable access to sufficient remuneration to compensate them for the costs of

supplying medicines on behalf of the government.

If pharmacies and wholesalers are not equitably compensated for the cost of supplying medicines on

behalf of the government, there is a risk that this will reduce the access that some Australians in

particular regional areas have to affordable medicines.

It is important to note, however, that this does not mean that all existing pharmacies and wholesalers

should be compensated for the actual average costs that they incur in order to supply medicines on

behalf of the government. The current pharmacy and wholesaler remuneration arrangements are not

intended to ensure the profitability of existing suppliers.

Rather, it means that pharmacies and wholesalers need to receive sufficient remuneration to

compensate them for the efficient long run marginal costs of supplying those medicines.

2.2.2 Actual effects of current remuneration arrangements

What information is available on the efficient costs of supplying medicines?

In order to be able to assess the extent to which the current remuneration arrangements are

achieving their intended objective of compensating pharmacies for the efficient costs of supplying

those medicines, it is necessary to have information on the efficient costs of supplying those

medicines.

As illustrated in Figure 10, this requires the government to obtain detailed information on the:

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types and quantities of medicines that pharmacies are expected to supply on behalf of the

government;

types and quantities of inputs that pharmacists need to purchase to supply medicines and

services on behalf of the government, which also requires detailed information on the way in

which pharmacists will combine these inputs to supply their outputs of medicines (the “business

model” or “production technology” employed by the pharmacist). These key inputs include:

pharmaceuticals purchased from wholesalers;

buildings and other capital equipment; and

a wide range of other inputs;

efficient costs of purchasing those inputs, which requires detailed information on the “arms-length”

prices of those inputs (the market prices of those inputs that prevail in markets where those inputs

are traded in large volumes in competitive markets between unrelated parties);

types and quantities of capital that pharmacists invest in their businesses, which include:

injections of equity by the owners of the business;

buildings, fit out and other capital equipment owned by the business;

trading stock; and

goodwill;

efficient cost of that capital, which is the rate of return that is sufficient to compensate pharmacies

for the efficient cost of the capital they use to supply medicines on behalf of the government,

which includes both a:

return on investment (ROI) that is sufficient to compensate the owners of that capital for the

“opportunity cost” of that capital (the rate of return they could have earned by investing that

capital in the next best investment). Typically, this required ROI is estimated by calculating the

weighted average cost of capital for the business (WACC) using a capital asset pricing model

(CAPM); and

return of capital (ROC) that is sufficient to compensate the owners of that capital for any

capital that is used up in the course of supplying medicines on behalf of the government (to

compensate them for the annual economic depreciation in value of the assets they use to

supply those medicines);

This information is then used to calculate the efficient long run marginal costs of supplying each of the

goods and services that pharmacies are contracted to supply on behalf of the government (the

“incremental” efficient costs that pharmacies would incur in order to supply those medicines).

This is the same rigorous approach that is used extensively by the government to determine the

amount of revenue that should be provided to the suppliers of other essential services (e.g. public

transport, electricity, gas and telecommunication services) to compensate them for the efficient costs

of supplying those services.

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Figure 10: Information required to determine the efficient cost of dispensing

Source: RSM

However, this is not the approach that has been used to date to determine the remuneration that

should be provided to pharmacies to compensate them for the efficient costs of supplying medicines

on behalf of the government. Although pharmacies are currently paid different fees for supplying

different types of medicines, those fees have not been estimating using information on the efficient

costs of supplying those medicines. Rather, those current fees are more a reflection of historical

precedent, as modified by successive rounds of negotiation between the Pharmacy Guild and the

government.

As a result, there is relatively little information available on the efficient costs of a pharmacy supplying

medicines on behalf of the government. Indeed, the only information that has been provided to the

Review on the efficient costs of pharmacies supplying medicines is that supplied by Mr Bruce

Annabel, which seeks to identify the costs incurred by a “best practice” pharmacy. The Department

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would like to thank Mr Annabel for his advice regarding the revenues and costs incurred by

pharmacies in Australia.

Most of the information that has been provided to the Review relates to the average revenue and

costs that pharmacies actually derive and incur from supplying all of the goods and services they sell,

as opposed to the efficient marginal costs of supplying medicines and related costs on behalf of the

government.

In particular, it is important to note that the available average cost data covers pharmacies that differ

significantly in their:

size (total sales revenue);

proportion of total sales revenue that they derive from the supply of PBS medicines, as opposed

to non-PBS goods and services;

different business models used by pharmacies to combine their inputs to produce the medicines

they supply on behalf of the government (differences in the “production technologies” employed

by pharmacies with different business models, such as discount pharmacies as opposed to more

traditional pharmacy models);

business structure (sole trader, company, partnership, trust, friendly society);

taxable status (e.g. taxable entities as opposed to non-taxable entities, such as non-taxable

companies that are set up as friendly societies); and

profitability (profitable and non-profitable pharmacies).

As a result, simple averages across all pharmacies of the costs that pharmacies incur in order to

supply all of the goods and services they supply are unlikely to provide an accurate indication of either

the:

actual average costs incurred by different types of pharmacies; or

efficient long run marginal costs of supplying those medicines on behalf of the government.

Another major challenge regarding the data currently available to the Review is that it is not available

from a single, consistent, source. Rather, it is spread across a range of different sources, including

the:

data provided ;

PBS data on the amount of remuneration that each pharmacy received from the government for

their supplies of medicines;

data on the capital that pharmacies invest in their businesses;

Pharmacy Guild Digest survey data on independent pharmacy operations in Australia;

data;

data sourced from Benchmarking.com.au, which provides financial benchmarking data for the

2016 financial year on pharmacies and a range of other similar retail businesses (e.g. corner

stores, health food retailers, medical practices and supermarkets); and

data sourced from the financial survey conducted by the Review.

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As a result, in order to assist the Review to determine the equity of current remuneration

arrangements, a financial model has been developed that seeks to make the best possible use of

these available data sources in order to provide a more comprehensive overview than is currently

provided by any one of these current data sources.

In particular, since there are significant differences between the size, financial performance and

taxable status of pharmacies, those pharmacies have been classified into a number of different

categories based on their:

total sales revenue and composition of sales revenue (the financial model enables us to alter the

proportion of revenue that type of pharmacy derives from the supply of PBS medicines on behalf

of the government in relation to the revenue they derive from the sale of other non-PBS goods

and services. The five different sizes of pharmacies have been selected for detailed financial

analysis are:

“micro” pharmacies, which have an annual turnover of less than $2m;

“small” pharmacies, which have an annual turnover between $2m and less than $10m;

“medium” pharmacies, which have an annual turnover between $10m and less than $20m;

“large” pharmacies, which has an annual turnover between $20m and less than $40m; and

“very large” pharmacies, which have an annual turnover of $40m or more;

profitability:

“profitable” pharmacies (pharmacies reporting a tax profit);

“not profitable” pharmacies (pharmacies reporting a tax loss);

taxable status:

taxable pharmacies; and

“non-taxable” pharmacies (e.g. pharmacies operating as non-taxable friendly societies);.

This taxonomy produces up to 15 different categories of pharmacies for detailed financial analysis:

5 different sizes of profitable, taxable pharmacies, which includes all pharmacies operating as

taxable sole traders, companies, partnerships and trusts;

5 different sizes of profitable, non-taxable pharmacies; and

5 different sizes of non-profitable pharmacies.

Having identified these different classes of pharmacies:

was used to determine the average total revenue that pharmacies in each of these

categories derive; and

data was used to determine the capital that each of these categories of

pharmacies have invested to produce the goods and services they supply;

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Benchmarking and Pharmacy Guild data was used to determine the:

average proportion of total revenue that each of these categories of pharmacies derive from

the supply of PBS and non-PBS goods and services;

composition of costs incurred by pharmacies; and

manner in which costs change in response to changes in the sales mix of pharmacies (as the

ratio of the value PBS to non-PBS sales changes);

PBS data was used to determine the:

total PBS revenue derived by each pharmacy in each of those categories;

total number of pharmacies in each of the categories; and

location of each of the pharmacies in each of those categories. As discussed further in section

3.2 below, this then enables us to estimate the impact of changes in the current pharmacy

remuneration structure and fees on these categories of pharmacy by regional area of

Australia.

A summary of the various sources of financial data is provided in Table 12 below, which shows the

extent to which the estimated revenues and costs differ across the various sources of data as

indicated by the maximum and minimum values.

A more detailed outline and comparison of these various sources of financial data is provided in

Appendix 2.

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Table 12: Summary of pharmacy financial data available

Source: Data outlined in Appendix 2

Notes:

1. AOS: After owners’ salary.2. Return on capital includes $0.1 for working capital and a 10% margin to allow for a return on capital. 3. Blank fields indicate areas where no data was available. 4. Excludes data from financial survey responses due to range extremities.

Range

Min

Range

Max

Model

Profitable

Range

Min

Range

Max

Model

Profitable

Range

Min

Range

Max

Model

Profitable

Range

Min

Range

Max

Model

Profitable

Range

Min

Range

Max

Model

Profitable

SALES

COST OF GOODS SOLD 55% 67% 61% 58% 64% 62% 66% 80% 80% 86% 87% 86% 88% 88% 88%

GROSS MARGIN 33% 45% 39% 36% 41% 38% 20% 34% 20% 13% 14% 14% 12% 12% 12%

Less owners salary 8% 18% 9% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%

TOTAL EXPENSES (aos*) 26% 57% 26% 27% 44% 27% 14% 36% 14% 6% 7% 7% 5% 5% 5%

NET PROFIT/LOSS (aos*) -21% 13% 13% -4% 9% 11% -2% 6% 6% -7% 7% 7% 2% 2% 2%

EBITDA (aos*) -17% 16% 17% -1% 14% 13% 0% 8% 8% -5% 9% 9% 4% 4% 4%

SALES ANALYSIS

Prescriptions 66% 77% 73% 61% 77%

Other Sales 23% 27% 30% 39%

STATISTICSDISPENSING REVENUE/SCRIPT 10.00 28.03 11.25 10.00 28.03 11.28 10.00 28.03 11.63 10.00 28.03 13.63

COST PER DISPENSE 5.96 - 11.12 7.67 9.00 5.96 - 11.12 5.96 - 11.12 5.96 - 11.12

COST PER DISPENSE

(INCLUDING RETURN ON

CAPITAL)

6.66 - 12.33 8.57 10.00 6.66 - 12.33 6.66 - 12.33 6.66 - 12.33

NET ASSETS 85% 85% 85% 79% 85% 82% 79% 79% 79% 59% 59% 59% 50% 50% 50%

Very Large ($40m+)

Item

Micro ($0-$2m) Small ($2-$10m) Medium ($10-$20m) Large ($20-$40m)

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Are pharmacies earning economic rents?

A potential misconception regarding pharmacies is that they are earning economic rents due to the

regulatory constraints that are imposed on the ownership and location of pharmacies.

As previously noted, the most comprehensive data currently available on the profitability of

pharmacies is that provided .

As illustrated in Table 13, the data provides little evidence to suggest that these 15

categories of pharmacies are, on average, earning economic rents.

Rather, as indicated in Table 14, it suggests that 15.4 per cent of all pharmacies are not generating

taxable profits. Specifically:

11 per cent of all pharmacies are micro pharmacies and are not earning taxable profits. This is

explained to some extent by the effect of the significant small business tax concessions provided

to such businesses, which would be more than sufficient to turn any relatively small pre-tax profit

they derive into a post-tax loss;

4 per cent of all pharmacies are small pharmacies and are not earning taxable profits;

0.3 per cent of all pharmacies are medium pharmacies and are not earning taxable profits; and

0.1 per cent of all pharmacies are large pharmacies and are not earning taxable profits.

Of the 84.6 percent of pharmacies generating profits, profits increase as the size of the business

increases as follows:

“very large” pharmacies which comprise 0.1 per cent of all pharmacies, derived $1m net profit on

average in 2013-14. These are the largest pharmacies, which generate $40m and over of annual

turnover and are non-taxable, since they operate as friendly societies;

“large” pharmacies, which comprise 3.6 per cent of all pharmacies derived $1.8m net profit on

average in 2013-14. These are the second largest pharmacies, which generate between $20m

and less than $40m of annual turnover;

“medium” pharmacies, which comprise 0.2 per cent of all pharmacies derived $0.9m net profit on

average in 2013-14. These are the third largest pharmacies, which generate between $10m and

less than $20m of annual turnover;

“small” pharmacies, which comprise 33.9 per cent of all pharmacies derived $0.4m (for profitable

taxable pharmacies) and $0.1m (for profitable non-taxable pharmacies) net profit in 2013-14.

These are the fourth largest pharmacies, which generate between $2m and less than $10m of

annual turnover;

“micro” pharmacies, which comprise 46.8 per cent of all pharmacies derived $0.09m (for profitable

taxable pharmacies) and $0.03m (for profitable non-taxable pharmacies). These are the smallest

pharmacies, which generate less than $2m of annual turnover.

In addition, there is little evidence to suggest that pharmacies are, on average, earning economic

rents (rates of return higher than normal rates of return on their capital). On the contrary, as indicated

in Table 13, the return that profitable pharmacies are earning on their capital ranges up to 15 per cent.

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The profitable pharmacies that are earning the highest rates of return on their capital investments are,

in declining order:

“micro” pharmacies which are earning an average nominal rate of return on capital of 15 per cent

per annum;

“large” pharmacies, which are earning an average nominal rate of return of 13 per cent per

annum; and

“small” pharmacies which are earning an average nominal rate of return on capital of 10 per cent

per annum;

“medium” pharmacies, which are earning an average nominal rate of return of 8 per cent per

annum.

At first sight, these results might seem to be counter intuitive. If current pharmacy location and

ownership regulations are restricting the competition faced by pharmacies in the markets for their

outputs, inputs and factors of production, why aren’t they earning economic rents?

On closer inspection, it appears that there is enough competition between pharmacists looking to

purchase an existing pharmacy or establish a new pharmacy under the location rules, to capitalise the

value of any short term economic rents into asset values in the longer term (e.g. into the higher prices

that pharmacists must pay for the rental of their premises and the goodwill of the businesses they

purchase). This creates long term inefficiencies in the use of the nation’s scarce resources and is

further outlined in section 3.2.

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Table 13: Pharmacy profitability and rates of return on capital

Source: data and data

Table 14: Proportion of pharmacies in each category

Source:

Micro

Small

Medium

Large

Very Large

Total Profitable

Micro

Small

Medium

Large

Total Not Profitable

TOTAL Total Pharmacies

Not Profitable

Profitability status Pharmacy size Proportion

Profitable

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How equitable are the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements?

Ideally, the way in which pharmacies are remunerated should be equitable across pharmacies.

Pharmacies supplying exactly the same types and quantities of medicines should receive the same

level of remuneration from the government for the efficient costs of supplying those medicines.

It is important to note that the actual equity with which pharmacies are remunerated for the costs of

supplying medicines on behalf of the government is affected by a wide range of factors, not all of

which are within the scope of the Review. These factors include the:

prices that pharmaceutical manufacturers charge for the pharmaceuticals they supply, which are

influenced by the outcome of negotiations between the government and manufacturers, or market

discounting behaviour in the case of generics; These factors and are outside the scope of the

Review;

prices that wholesalers charge for the pharmaceuticals they supply, which are within the scope of

the Review;

co-payments that patients are required to pay to pharmacies for the medicines they purchase,

which are set by the PBS and are outside the scope of the Review; and

remuneration that is provided to pharmacies to compensate them for the costs of purchasing,

storing and dispensing those medicines, which are the central focus of the Review.

What effect do the PBS co-payment limits have on the equity of pharmacy remuneration?

As noted in section 2.1.2, the caps that are currently imposed by the PBS on patient co-payments are

achieving their intended objectives of improving the equity of access to affordable medicines to the

extent that they provide greater levels of assistance to patients with lower incomes and greater health

needs.

It is important to note, however, that the subsidies provided to patients do not have a uniform effect on

pharmacies. Rather, patient subsidies may favour those pharmacies that supply greater quantities of

medicines to patients that receive the highest subsidies. For example, the current PBS arrangements

may tend to favour those pharmacies that supply a greater proportion of their medicines to

concessional safety net patients, as opposed to general patients. It is noted that prescribers play a

vital role in the levels of demand for PBS medicines.

Although some pharmacists might consider this to be inequitable (for example, those who have not

been able to locate their pharmacy in an area that is frequented by large numbers of highly subsidised

patients), this effect is an inevitable consequence of the government’s decisions to:

provide assistance only to particular types of patients and medicines; and

restrict the location of pharmacies.

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What effect does the payment of a single dispensing fee have on the equity of pharmacy

remuneration?

Since the current remuneration arrangements for pharmacies are not based on the results of a

rigorous analysis of the efficient costs of supplying those medicines, it is likely that those

remuneration arrangements may either over-remunerate or under-remunerate pharmacies for those

efficient costs.

To illustrate this point, Table 15 presents a hypothetical example showing how the current pharmacy

remuneration arrangements may have an adverse effect on the equity with which pharmacies are

remunerated if pharmacists are paid the same fee of $11.50 per script for performing a range of

different dispensing activities. Activities 1 to 9 each represent a different medicine of the same value

being dispensed but each dispense requires a different level of effort by the pharmacist. Specifically

activities 1 to 9 range from:

relatively high economic value adding activities, such as Activity 1, which involves the pharmacist

adding the highest value ($11.50 per script) to the cost of the medicines and other inputs they use

(e.g. dispensing activities that require the pharmacist to perform more complex and time

consuming tasks, including consultation with the prescriber, and the provision of more complex

advice to the patient on the appropriate use of the medicines);

through to relatively low economic value adding activities, such as Activity 9, which involves the

pharmacist adding the lowest amount of value to the cost of the medicines and other inputs they

use (e.g. dispensing activities such as labelling pre-packaged medicines, which may require less

skill by the pharmacist compared to the more complex dispensing activities outline above).

This appears to have the effect of reducing the equity of pharmacy remuneration arrangements by

providing:

lower rates of assistance to the more efficient pharmacies that add greater value to the inputs

they purchase to supply medicines and services on behalf of the government. In particular, the

payment of a single dispensing fee per script:

provides pharmacists with a level of assistance that decreases as the value added by the

pharmacist increases (e.g. activity 1, which involves the pharmacist adding the most value to

the costs of the inputs used, receives the lowest effective rate of assistance. This effective

rate of assistance measures the extent to which the remuneration arrangements for

dispensing proportionally change the returns that the pharmacist receives to compensate

them for that value adding activity. A negative effective rate of assistance indicates that the

pharmacist is under-remunerated for the efficient costs of performing that value adding

activity);

provides negative effective rates of assistance to those activities that involve the pharmacist

incurring efficient costs that are higher than the dispensing fee they are paid by the

government (e.g. activities 1 to 4 receive a negative effective rate of assistance, which

indicates that pharmacists are under-remunerated for the efficient costs of performing those

activities. That is, the remuneration arrangements, in effect, impose a tax of those

pharmacists that perform those activities and the magnitude of that tax increases the greater

the value they add to the cost of their inputs);

higher rates of assistance to less efficient pharmacies that add less value to the inputs they

purchase to perform their activities on behalf of the government. In particular, the payment of a

single dispensing fee per script:

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provides pharmacists with a level of assistance that increases as the value added by the

pharmacist decreases (e.g. activity 9, which involves the pharmacist adding the least value to

the costs of the inputs used, receives the highest effective rate of assistance. A positive

effective rate of assistance indicates that the pharmacist is over-remunerated for the efficient

costs of performing that value adding activity);

provides positive effective rates of assistance to those activities that involve the pharmacist

incurring efficient costs that are lower than the dispensing fee they are paid by the

government (e.g. activities 6 to 9 receive a positive effective rate of assistance, which

indicates that pharmacists are over-remunerated for the efficient costs of performing those

activities. That is, the remuneration arrangements, in effect, provide a subsidy to those

pharmacists that perform those activities and the magnitude of that subsidy is greater the

lower the value they add to the cost of their inputs).

This is the reason why the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements seek to identify the different

value adding activities performed by pharmacies on behalf of the government and pay them different

fees for each of those activities that reflect the efficient costs of performing those activities. However,

it is inevitable that:

pharmacies will be over-remunerated for the efficient costs of performing some activities and

under-compensated for the efficient costs of performing other activities; and

pharmacies will have to use the additional revenue they derive from performing their most

profitable activities to cross subsidise the costs of having to perform their less profitable activities.

However, the ability of pharmacies to cross subsidise their activities is unlikely to be uniform

across all types of pharmacies. In particular, the smallest, micro pharmacies are likely to have the

least scope to cross subsidise their activities in the face of mounting competition and price

pressures; and

these cross subsidisation activities of pharmacies are unlikely to have a uniform effect on the

prices that they charge patients for the medicines they supply. Rather, they are likely to have

complex effects on the relative prices that they charge patients for the PBS and non-PBS goods

and services they supply, that in turn, may have adverse effects on the:

equity of funding received by different types of pharmacies;

affordability of access that some Australians have to particular types of medicines; and

efficiency with which medicines are used, which is discussed further in section 3.1.

What is the overall effect of current arrangements on the equity of pharmacy remuneration?

As previously noted, it is difficult to assess the equity of current pharmacy remuneration arrangements

in the absence of detailed information on the efficient costs of pharmacies suppling medicines on

behalf of the government.

Rather, in the absence of that information, it is necessary to rely instead on the limited information

that is currently available on the average costs that pharmacies are currently incurring in order to

supply medicines on behalf of the government.

Some indication of the overall effect of the PBS and current remuneration arrangements for

pharmaceutical manufacturers, wholesalers, and pharmacies on the financial position of pharmacies

is provided in Table 16, which provides estimates of the “effective rates of assistance” provided to

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each of the different types of pharmacies considered by the current pharmacy remuneration and

regulation.

The “effective rate of assistance” measures the net effect of:

assistance provided to the goods and services supplied by pharmacy (e.g. the subsidies that are

provided by the PBS to patients of the medicines supplied by pharmacies); and

assistance provided to the inputs used by pharmacies to supply medicines (e.g. the remuneration

provided by the government to compensate pharmacies for the costs of purchasing the

pharmaceuticals and other inputs they need to supply medicines on behalf of the government).

As noted by the Industry Commission, there are several alternative, but equivalent, methodologies

that can be employed in order to estimate the effective rates of assistance that particular forms of

government intervention provide to the performance of economic activities.4

For the purposes of this report, the effective rate of assistance provided to different types of

pharmacies have been estimated by:

estimating the extent to which the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements changes the

amount of value added by each pharmacy to the cost of their inputs. This change in value added

is estimated by taking the difference between the:

assisted value added by each type of pharmacy in the presence of government assistance,

which is estimated by taking the difference between the:

− assisted value of output of each type of pharmacy (in the presence of government

assistance);

− assisted value of inputs of each type of pharmacy (in the presence of government

assistance;

assisted value added by each type of pharmacy in the absence of government assistance,

which is estimated by taking the difference between the:

− unassisted value of output of each type of pharmacy (in the absence of government

assistance); and

− unassisted value of inputs of each type of pharmacy (in the absence of government

assistance. As noted above, this is equal to the assisted value of inputs, since the key

focus of the analysis is on estimating the extent to which the combined effects of the

subsidy to patients and the current remuneration arrangements have on the level of

assistance provided to the dispensing activities of pharmacies;

expressing that change in value added as a proportion of the unassisted value added by the

pharmacy.

The resultant “effective rate of assistance” indicates the extent to which government assistance to

pharmacies increases or decreases the returns that the pharmacy derives from performing their value

adding activities:

a positive effective rate of assistance indicates that government assistance has increased the rate

of return that the pharmacy has derived from its value adding activities (it has over-compensated

the pharmacy for the costs of performing those value adding activities);

4 Industry Commission (1992). The Measurement of Effective Rates of Assistance in Australia, Industry Commission Working Paper No.4 , http://www.pc.gov.au/research/supporting/measurement-effective-rates-assistance

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a negative effective rate of assistance indicates that government assistance has reduced the

return that the pharmacy has derived from its value adding activities (it has under-compensated

the pharmacy for the costs of performing its value adding activities); and

a zero effective rate of assistance indicates that government assistance has had no effect on the

rate of return that the pharmacy has derived from its value adding activities (it has compensated

the pharmacist for the costs of supplying medicines).

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Table 15: Illustration of the effect that paying pharmacies the same fee for performing different types of activities has on effective rates of assistance provided to pharmacies

Source: RSM

Notes:

1. The content of this table is hypothetical and is used to illustrate the effect that paying a single flat fee for dispensing may have on the equity of pharmacy remuneration. 2. All values in this table are notional except the co-payment value of $38.80. 3. Unassisted value added (UVA) is equal to the unassisted value of output (UVO) less the unassisted value of inputs (cost of medicine and other inputs).

4. Assisted value added (AVA) is equal to the assisted value of output (AVO) less the assisted value of inputs, which is assumed to be the same as the unassisted value of inputs.

5. Unassisted value of outputs (UVO) is the value of outputs before government subsidy. 6. Assisted value of outputs (AVO) is the value of outputs after government subsidy. 7. Activity 1 represents a high value adding activity, for example, a complex dispense. 8. Activity 9 represents a low value adding activity, such as a simple dispense.

Cost of

medicine to

pharmacy

Cost of

other

inputs

Unassisted

value added

by

dispensing

(UVA)

Unassisted

value of

output

(UVO)

Government

remuneration

for cost of

medicine

Co-payment by

consumer

Financial

profit (loss)

Cost of

medicine to

pharmacy

Cost of

other inputs

Unassisted

value added

by

dispensing

(UVA)

Government

remuneration

for cost of

medicine

Co-payment by

consumer

Dispensing

fee from

Government

Assisted

value added

by

dispensing

(AVA)

Assisted

value of

output (AVO)

Financial

gain (loss)

(AVA-UVA)

ERA with a $11.50

dispensing fee (AVA-

UVA)/UVA

ERA with a $10.00

dispensing fee (AVA-

UVA)/UVA

Activity 1 $100.00 $2.00 $11.50 $113.50 $61.20 $38.80 -$13.50 $100.00 $2.00 $11.50 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 -$2.00 -17.3% -30.4%

Activity 2 $100.00 $2.00 $11.00 $113.00 $61.20 $38.80 -$13.00 $100.00 $2.00 $11.00 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 -$1.50 -13.5% -27.3%

Activity 3 $100.00 $2.00 $10.50 $112.50 $61.20 $38.80 -$12.50 $100.00 $2.00 $10.50 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 -$1.00 -9.4% -23.8%

Activity 4 $100.00 $2.00 $10.00 $112.00 $61.20 $38.80 -$12.00 $100.00 $2.00 $10.00 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 -$0.50 -4.9% -20.0%

Activity 5 $100.00 $2.00 $9.51 $111.51 $61.20 $38.80 -$11.51 $100.00 $2.00 $9.51 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 -$0.01 0.00% -15.9%

Activity 6 $100.00 $2.00 $9.00 $111.00 $61.20 $38.80 -$11.00 $100.00 $2.00 $9.00 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 $0.50 5.67% -11.1%

Activity 7 $100.00 $2.00 $8.50 $110.50 $61.20 $38.80 -$10.50 $100.00 $2.00 $8.50 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 $1.00 11.88% -5.9%

Activity 8 $100.00 $2.00 $8.00 $110.00 $61.20 $38.80 -$10.00 $100.00 $2.00 $8.00 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 $1.50 18.88% 0.0%

Activity 9 $100.00 $2.00 $7.50 $109.50 $61.20 $38.80 -$9.50 $100.00 $2.00 $7.50 $61.20 $38.80 $11.50 $9.50 $111.50 $2.00 26.8% 6.7%

Activity

UNASSISTED VALUE OF OUTPUTS, INPUTS AND VALUE ADDED ASSISTED VALUE OF OUTPUTS, INPUTS AND VALUE ADDED

EFFECTIVE RATE OF ASSISTANCE

PROVIDED TO DISPENSING ACTIVITY

(ERA)

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Table 16: Current effective rates of assistance provided to different types of pharmacies

Source: Data outlined in Appendix 2 and Appendix 3

Notes:

1. Excludes community pharmacies that prepare chemotherapy drugs 2. The effective rate of assistance represents the government assistance related to dispensing activities only. 3. Pharmacy remuneration for dispensing from both under co-payment and over co-payment prescriptions have been included in assisted value added (AVA) and excluded in

unassisted value added (UVA) for the calculation of the effective rate of assistance. This assumption is based on the regulated nature of dispensing remuneration. 4. AVA and UVA is calculated on a per script basis. AVA equals revenue per dispense times the number of scripts. UVA equals cost per dispense times the number of scripts. 5. Pharmacy cost per script has been increased by 10% to compensate for a return on investment for the purposes of the UVA and effective rate of assistance calculations. This

was done instead of using the user cost of capital above because it is not measured on a per script basis. 6. Government assistance towards the cost of the medicine included in both AVA and UVA. 7. User cost of capital equals return on investment and return of capital. 8. The cost per script is a proxy for the actual average cost per script for pharmacies and includes potential inefficiencies as well as efficiencies. These costs per script are not

reflective necessarily of the efficient cost per script.

CURRENT STATE

Pharmacy Financial Summary Micro Small Medium Large Micro Small Medium Large Micro Small Medium LargeAverage Script Volume 22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493 22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493 22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493

REVENUE PBS PBS SCR PT REVENUE 790,927 2,844,232 10,003,291 21,408,276 790,927 2,844,232 10,003,291 21,408,276 790,927 2,844,232 10,003,291 21,408,276

Average remuneration per script 11.25 11.28 11.63 13.63 11.25 11.28 11 63 13.63 11.25 11 28 11 63 13 63

NON-PBS NON-PBS REVENUE 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069

Sales mix (PBS %) 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

TOTAL REVENUE 988,659 3,555,290 12,504,114 26,760,344 988,659 3,555,290 12,504,114 26,760,344 988,659 3,555,290 12,504,114 26,760,344

GROSS PROFIT Absolute Value 346,567 1,202,625 2,500,823 3,746,448 346,567 1,202,625 Not Available Not Available 346,567 1,202,625 2,500,823 3,746,448

Percentage % 39% 38% 20% 14% 39% 38% Not Available Not Available 39% 38% 20% 14%

EXPENSES PBS ATTR BUTABLE TO PBS (aos) 177,777 665,263 1,215,271 759,772 213,145 869,781 Not Available Not Available 347,012 1,024,698 1,915,498 2,384,272

PBS cost allocation per script 7.77 8.50 7.56 5.96 9.31 11.12 Not Available Not Available 15.16 13.10 11 92 18.70

NON-PBS ATTR BUTABLE TO NON-PBS (aos 61,410 241,170 410,855 878,816 73,627 315,312 Not available Not available 119,869 371,472 647,585 2,757,851

TOTAL EXPENSES aos 255,424 967,964 1,736,512 1,749,819 306,239 1,265,540 Not Available Not Available 498,575 1,490,945 2,737,070 5,491,182

NET PROFIT (aos) Absolute Value 91,143 234,661 764,311 1,996,629 40,329 (62,915) Not Available Not Available (152,007) (288,320) (236,248) (1,744,734)

Percentage % 9 22% 6 60% 6.11% 7.46% 4.08% -1.77% Not Available Not Available -15.38% -8.11% -1.89% -6.52%

NET PROFIT (bos) Percentage % 17.79% 9 23% 7.11% 8.26% 12.65% 0.86% Not Available Not Available -6.80% -5.48% -0.89% -5.72%

NET ASSETS NET ASSETS 835,949 2,923,634 9,878,250 15,788,603 835,949 2,923,634 Not available Not available 835,949 2,923,634 9,878,250 15,788,603

13% 10% 9% 13% 7% 1% Not Available Not Available -14% -7% -1% -9%

ASSISTED VALUE ADDED 257,588 882,649 1,868,968 1,737,133 257,588 882,649 Not Available Not Available 257,588 882,649 1,868,968 1,737,133

UNASSISTED VALUE ADDED 195,555 731,789 1,336,799 835,749 234,459 956,760 Not Available Not Available 381,714 1,127,168 2,107,047 2,622,699

EFFECTIVE RATE OF ASSISTANCE 32% 21% 40% 108% 10% -8% Not Available Not Available -33% -22% -11% -34%

Profitable Non-TaxableProfitable Taxable Not Profitable

USER COST OF CAPITAL

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2.2.3 Effects of proposed changes to current arrangements on equity of remuneration

What effect would paying pharmacies a flat dispensing fee per script have on the equity of pharmacy remuneration arrangements?

One of the potential options for reform identified in the Review’s Interim Report would involve

replacing the different fees that are currently paid to pharmacies for dispensing with a single fee per

script in the range from $9.00 to $11.50 per script, which would be achieved through the

implementation of Option 4.3 which states that:

Option 4.3: Benchmark for an efficient dispense. On the basis of the information that has

been made available to the Panel, and the given data limitations, the Panel considers that the

current benchmark for a best practice dispense be set within a range of $9.00 to $11.50. This

should be reflected in the average compensation paid to a pharmacy for a dispense.

For the purposes of this report, it has been assumed for illustrative purposes that the flat fee for

dispensing would be set at $10 per script. It is estimated that this would:

reduce the weighted average remuneration received by pharmacists for each script they fill from:

$11.25 per script to $10.00 per script for micro pharmacies;

$11.28 per script to $10.00 per script for small pharmacies;

$11.69 per script to $10.00 per script for medium pharmacies;

$13.03 per script to $10.00 per script for large pharmacies; and

$18.08 per script to $10.00 per script for very large pharmacies;

potentially improve the equity of current pharmacy remuneration arrangements by reducing

unintended differences in the effective rates of assistance afforded different types of pharmacies.

As indicated in Table 15, Table 18 and Table 19. It is estimated that the introduction of a flat

dispensing fee of $10 per script would result in lower and more uniform effective rates of

assistance across the different types of pharmacies;

reduce the effective rates of assistance afforded micro pharmacies by 46 per cent; and

significantly reduce the effective rates of assistance that are afforded higher value adding

pharmacies.

The implications of these reductions in effective rates of assistance for the remuneration received by

different types of pharmacies is discussed further below.

Consider first the implications of reducing the effective rates of assistance afforded micro pharmacies.

If, as data suggests, the smallest pharmacies are the least profitable (in dollar terms),

then it follows that the immediate effect of any reduction in the amount of remuneration provided to

pharmacies would be to further reduce the profitability of those pharmacies and potentially force their

closure.

This raises a key question regarding the geographic distribution of the smallest and least efficient

pharmacies across Australia. Are these micro pharmacies uniformly spread across regional areas of

Australia, or is there a greater proportion of those pharmacies located in either metropolitan or more

rural and remote areas? As indicated in Table 17:

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Australia’s major cities and inner regional areas have the largest numbers of micro pharmacies

(1,808 and 410 micro pharmacies respectively), but those micro pharmacies comprise the

smallest proportion of existing pharmacies in those regions (55% and 45% respectively). This

means that although there are a large number of micro pharmacies in major cities that would

potentially be adversely affected by any reduction in the amount of remuneration provided by the

government, the residents of those regions of Australia would still have access to a large number

of other pharmacies in those regions; and

Australia’s most remote regions have the highest proportions of micro pharmacies. For example,

98 per cent of pharmacies in very remote regions, as well as 84 per cent of pharmacies in remote

regions, are micro pharmacies. This means that although there are only a small number of micro

pharmacies that are likely to be adversely affected by a reduction in the amount of remuneration

provided by the government, the closure of those pharmacies would have a disproportionally

greater adverse impact on the access that the residents of those regions to affordable medicines

due to the small numbers of other potentially more profitable pharmacies in those regions. This

highlights both the:

significant risk that a reduction in pharmacy remuneration could compromise the continuity of

supplies of affordable medicines to the populations in the more remote regions of Australia;

and

consequent need to:

− monitor the financial viability of micro pharmacies, particularly those located in the

more remote regions of Australia, in order to identify any potential threats to the

continuity of supply of affordable medicines to their catchment populations (e.g. by

requiring pharmacies to supply the government with copies of their income tax

returns, as is the approach that is adopted for suppliers of other essential services,

such as public bus transport services in NSW and Queensland); and/or

− consider the need to either increase funding to more remote pharmacies (e.g. through

increases in the RPMA, provide transitional assistance pending the entry of more

efficient pharmacies in those regions, or increase the use of online pharmacy services

to those regions).

Table 17: Geographic distribution of micro pharmacies

Source: PBS data

Notes:

* Revenue based on the financial year 2015-16.

** Only pharmacies that traded the full financial year and have PhARIA assigned as at March 2015 are

included.

Number of micro

pharmacies

(PBS revenue* <

1.6 million)

Total number of

pharmacy**

Percentage of

total pharmacies

Major Cities of Australia 1,808 3,270 55%

Inner Regional Australia 410 911 45%

Outer Regional Australia 278 490 57%

Remote Australia 62 74 84%

Very Remote Australia 40 41 98%

Total 2,598 4,786 54%

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Now consider the effects of reducing the effective rates of assistance that are provided to those

pharmacies that are adding greater value to their inputs. It appears from the data that some of the

largest pharmacies are involved in the performance of relatively high value adding activities (e.g.

supply of high cost medicine). This raises the issue as to whether additional assistance should be

provided to the performance of those activities if a flat dispensing fee was to be introduced (e.g. one

set at $10 per script).

Just as it may be necessary to consider increasing the amount of remuneration provided to more

remote pharmacies if a flat dispensing fee was to be introduced, it may also be necessary to consider

the extent to which it is necessary to increase the amount of remuneration that is provided to

pharmacists for the performance of higher value adding activities such as the dispensing of high cost

medicines that require the pharmacist to perform more complex services that add greater economic

value to the costs of their inputs.

What effect would the removal of the pharmacy location rules have on the equity of current pharmacy remuneration arrangements?

As noted in section 2.1.3, another potential option for reform identified in the Review’s Interim Report

is the removal of current restrictions on the location of new pharmacies and the relocation of existing

pharmacies (Option 5.1).

In addition to potentially improving the equity of access of Australians to the medicines they need,

such a reform also has the potential to improve the equity of current pharmacy remuneration

arrangements by reducing the extent to which those rules:

prevent pharmacies from locating in those areas where there is the highest demand for the

particular types of medicines and services they supply. As indicated in Table 11, current location

rules are still resulting in the rejection of per cent of new pharmacy applications

as well as per cent of applications to relocate pharmacies

; and

provide less efficient pharmacies with higher levels of assistance (higher effective rates of

assistance) than more efficient pharmacies (e.g. by preventing new, more efficient, pharmacies

from locating nearby existing pharmacies supplying similar medicines).

As discussed further in section 3.2.3, the removal of existing restrictions on pharmacy location may

also increase the welfare of the nation as a whole by reducing the extent to which those location rules

distort the level, pattern and location of pharmacy production, investment and resource use.

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Table 18: Effective rates of assistance provided to different types of pharmacies following the introduction of a $10 flat fee for dispensing

Source: Data outlined in Appendix 2 and Appendix 3.

Notes: 1. Excludes community pharmacies that prepare chemotherapy drugs 2. The effective rate of assistance represents the government assistance related to dispensing activities only. 3. Pharmacy remuneration for dispensing from both under co-payment and over co-payment prescriptions have been included in assisted value added (AVA) and excluded in

unassisted value added (UVA) for the calculation of the effective rate of assistance. This assumption is based on the regulated nature of dispensing remuneration. 4. AVA and UVA calculated on a per script basis. AVA equals revenue per dispense times the number of scripts. UVA equals cost per dispense times the number of scripts. 5. Pharmacy cost per script has been increased by 10% to compensate for a return on investment for the purposes of the UVA and effective rate of assistance calculations. This

was done instead of using the user cost of capital above because it is not measured on a per script basis. 6. Government assistance towards the cost of the medicine included in both AVA and UVA. 7. User cost of capital equals return on investment and return of capital.

8. The cost per script is a proxy for the actual cost per script for pharmacies and includes potential inefficiencies as well as efficiencies. These costs per script are not reflective necessarily of the efficient cost per script.

PROPOSED CHANGES

Pharmacy Financial Summary Micro Small Medium Large Micro Small Medium Large Micro Small Medium Large22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493 22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493 22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493

REVENUE PBS PBS SCR PT REVENUE 762,252 2,743,871 9,741,380 20,946,068 762,252 2,743,871 9,741,380 20,946,068 762,252 2,743,871 9,741,380 20,946,068

Proposed remuneration per script 10.00 10 00 10.00 10 00 10 00 10.00 10 00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00

NON-PBS NON-PBS REVENUE 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069

Sales mix (PBS %) 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

TOTAL REVENUE 959,984 3,454,929 12,242,203 26,298,137 959,984 3,454,929 12,242,203 26,298,137 959,984 3,454,929 12,242,203 26,298,137

GROSS PROFIT Absolute Value 317,892 1,102,263 2,238,912 3,284,240 317,892 1,102,263 Not Available Not Available 317,892 1,102,263 2,238,912 3,284,240

Percentage % 39% 38% 20% 14% 39% 38% Not Available Not Available 39% 38% 20% 14%

EXPENSES PBS ATTR BUTABLE TO PBS (aos) 177,777 665,263 1,215,271 759,772 213,145 869,781 Not Available Not Available 347,012 1,024,698 1,915,498 2,384,272

PBS cost allocation per script 7.77 8 50 7.56 5 96 9 31 11.12 Not Available Not Available 15.16 13.10 11.92 18.70

NON-PBS ATTR BUTABLE TO NON-PBS (aos 61,410 241,170 410,855 878,816 73,627 315,312 Not available Not available 119,869 371,472 647,585 2,757,851

TOTAL EXPENSES aos 255,424 967,964 1,736,512 1,749,819 306,239 1,265,540 Not Available Not Available 498,575 1,490,945 2,737,070 5,491,182

NET PROFIT (aos) Absolute Value 62,468 134,300 502,401 1,534,421 11,653 (163,276) Not Available Not Available (180,683) (388,682) (498,158) (2,206,942)

Percentage % 6.51% 3.89% 4.10% 5.83% 1 21% -4.73% Not Available Not Available -18.82% -11.25% -4.07% -8.39%

NET PROFIT (bos) Percentage % 15.33% 6.59% 5.13% 6.65% 10 04% -2.02% Not Available Not Available -9.99% -8.55% -3.05% -7.58%

NET ASSETS NET ASSETS 811,703 2,841,104 9,671,340 15,515,901 811,703 2,841,104 Not available Not available 811,703 2,841,104 9,671,340 15,515,901

10% 7% 6% 11% 4% -3% Not Available Not Available -18% -10% -3% -12%

ASSISTED VALUE ADDED 228,912.66 782,287 24 1,607,057.78 1,274,925 00 228,912 66 782,287.24 Not Available Not Available 228,912.66 782,287.24 1,607,057.78 1,274,925.00

UNASSISTED VALUE ADDED 177,777.46 665,263.10 1,215,271.49 759,771 63 213,144 81 869,781.37 Not Available Not Available 347,012.50 1,024,698.10 1,915,497.61 2,384,271.86

EFFECTIVE RATE OF ASSISTANCE 17% 7% 20% 53% -2% -18% Not Available Not Available -40% -31% -24% -51%

Profitable Taxable Profitable Non-Taxable Not Profitable

Average Script Volume

USER COST OF CAPITAL (ROI & ROC) aos

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Table 19: Effect of introducing an illustrative $10 flat fee for dispensing on the effective rates of assistance afforded different types of pharmacies

Source: Data outlined in Appendix 2 and Appendix 3.

Current $10 flat fee % Change Current $10 flat fee % Change Current $10 flat fee % Change Current $10 flat fee % Change

Micro 11.25 10 -11% 18% 15% -14% 23% 20% -12% 32% 17% -46.2%

Small 11.28 10 -11% 9% 7% -29% 13% 10% -24% 21% 7% -66.5%

Medium 11.63 10 -14% 7% 5% -28% 10% 8% -25% 40% 20% -49.2%

Large 13.63 10 -27% 8% 7% -20% 15% 12% -18% 108% 53% -51.3%

Very large

Micro 11.25 10 -11% 13% 10% -21% 17% 14% -17% 10% -2% -124.0%

Small 11.28 10 -11% 1% -2% -336% 4% 0% -90% -8% -18% -135.4%

Medium

Large

Very large

Micro 11.25 10 -11% -7% -10% -47% -4% -8% -86% -33% -40% -23.1%

Small 11.28 10 -11% -5% -9% -56% -3% -7% -106% -22% -31% -41.0%

Medium 11.63 10 -14% -1% -3% -243% 1% -2% -424% -11% -24% -110.0%

Large 13.63 10 -27% -6% -8% -32% -7% -11% -42% -34% -51% -52.2%

Very large Not AvailableNo

t P

rofi

tab

le

Category

Fee Structure

Not Available

Not Available

Not Available

Not Available

Net Profit User Cost of Capital Effective Rates of Assistance

Pro

fita

ble

Tax

able

Pro

fita

ble

No

n-T

axab

le

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ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY

In addition to improving distributional equity, the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are

also intended to improve the welfare of Australians by increasing the economic efficiency with which

the nation’s scarce resources are used.

In particular, the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are intended to:

improve the efficiency with which medicines are used (“consumption efficiency”); and

improve the efficiency with which medicines, as well as other goods and services, are supplied

(“production efficiency”).

However, in the course of seeking to improve the access of Australians to affordable medicines and

the efficient use of those medicines, the PBS in conjunction with the current pharmacy remuneration

and regulation also have the potential to impose real economic costs on the nation as a whole by:

reducing consumption efficiency by altering the relative prices that Australians pay for alternative

medicines; and

reducing production efficiency by distorting the relative rates of return that pharmacies earn from

supplying medicines on behalf of the government.

Further reductions in consumption and production efficiency can also arise as a result of the:

adverse effects that the inequities in the access of Australians to affordable medicines, as well as

the inequities in pharmacy remuneration, can have on economic efficiency, which are discussed

further below; and

adverse effects that attempts to improve the fiscal sustainability of current pharmacy

remuneration arrangements have on economic efficiency, which are discussed further in section

3.

This section:

seeks to identify the intended effects of the PBS and the current pharmacy remuneration and

regulation on economic efficiency;

outlines available information on the actual effects of these current regulatory and remuneration

arrangements, which include both their intended and potentially unintended effects on economic

efficiency; and

discusses the extent to which proposed changes to those current arrangements are expected to

improve their intended efficiency objectives.

3.1 Consumption efficiency

3.1.1 Intended effects on consumption efficiency

Although the National Medicines Policy notes that cost should not constitute a substantial barrier to

people’s access to the medicines they need, it also notes the importance of ensuring that the

arrangements used to promote that improved access are consistent with the “rational” use of those

medicines (the efficient and cost effective use of medicines in treating a particular health condition):

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“However, access to medicines should support the rational use of those medicines. Users should

be encouraged to understand the costs, benefits and risks of medicines, and wherever possible

the public benefit of provision of medicines should be achieved through the regulated marketplace

in which medicines are placed.

... In the context of the ongoing development and release of new medicines which are often

relatively expensive, it can be difficult to meet the community’s expectations regarding subsidised

access to all available treatments. Both the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the treatments

need to be considered in making decisions about subsidisation.” 5

This is the reason why the 1996 COAG agreement on the provision of health and community

services, on which the National Medicines Policy is based, stresses the importance of “cost effective

care” and delivering “better value for taxpayers dollars”.

In particular, underlying the design of the National Medicines Policy, the PBS and the current

pharmacy remuneration and regulation is a concern that in the absence of such government

interventions, Australians would:

not purchase sufficient types and quantities of medicines as a result of:

high prices charged by manufacturers for medicines which can exceed the marginal cost of

supplying those medicines (the manufacturers of medicines often have to charge prices in

excess of the efficient marginal costs of supplying those medicines in order to earn additional

revenue to recover the high fixed costs of supplying those medicines). This is the reason why

the PBS arrangements have been designed to provide the highest levels of assistance to

those patients who have to use the highest cost medicines to meet their particular health

needs;

insufficient income to afford to purchase the types and quantities they need to meet their

health needs. This is the reason why the PBS includes arrangements which have been

designed to provide the highest levels of assistance to those patients on the lowest incomes

(e.g. those “concessional” patients who hold an Australian government concession card);

not have sufficient information on the types of medicines available and the relative efficacy of

those medicines to determine the appropriate types and quantities of medicines that they should

purchase.

In addition, it appears that the:

current patient co-payments are also intended to reduce the extent to which, in the absence of

those co-payments, patients would consume excessive quantities of those medicines (these co-

payments are intended to perform much the same function as does an “excess” payment required

under most other insurance contracts. It is intended to reduce the “moral hazard” that would

otherwise arise if patients were not required to meet part of the costs of their medicines).

However, it is important to note that the “moral hazard” is reduced in the first instance by the

gatekeeper role of prescribers;

pharmacy location rules are intended to improve the access that patients have to affordable

medicines by reducing the generalised costs that patients would otherwise have to incur in order

to visit a pharmacy;

5 Department of Health and Ageing (2000). National Medicines Policy, p2.

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pharmacy ownership rules are intended to improve the quality of advice that Australians would

otherwise have received from pharmacists in the absence of those rules; and

pharmacy and wholesale remuneration arrangements are intended to increase the types and

quantities of medicines that would otherwise have been available to Australians at the prices they

currently pay for those medicines; and

3.1.2 Actual effects on consumption efficiency

What effect does the PBS have on the efficiency with which medicines are used?

The PBS provides a significant level of financial assistance for Australians that use PBS medicines.

This has the intended effect of significantly increasing the ability of Australians to afford the quantities

and types of medicines they need.

The gross benefit that Australians derive from the use of medicines (the gross “value in use” of those

medicines to Australians) exceeds the sum of what they and the government pay for those medicines

(their “value in exchange”) by an amount that is equal to the net benefit they derive from using those

medicines (the “patient surplus” they derive from using those medicines, which is equal to the

difference between what they would have been willing to pay to use those medicines and services

less what they actually had to pay).

In particular, as outlined in section 2.1.2, the patient co-payments have the intended effect of

providing higher levels of assistance to those Australians who have:

lower incomes (the amount of subsidy provided to individuals on lower incomes is greater as a

result of the concessional co-payment that applies to concessional patients); and

greater need for medicines to meet their health needs. In particular, a higher level of assistance is

provided to those patients who have to use:

greater quantities of medicines to meet their health needs (the amount of subsidy increases

as the quantity of medicines they need increases); and

higher priced medicines to meet their health needs (the amount of subsidy increases as the

price of those medicines increases).

In seeking to improve the equity of access to affordable medicines across patients with different

health needs and incomes, the PBS has the potential to unintentionally alter the decisions that

prescribers make regarding the types and quantities of medicines that they should prescribe to meet

the specific health needs of their patients.

The effects that the current co-payments have on the relative prices of medicines to patients are

illustrated in Table 2 in section 2.1.2. This indicates the extent to which setting the co-payments for

general patients at $38.80 per script proportionally reduces the prices of different medicines to

patients (as measured by the “nominal rate of assistance” that is provided to the patients of each type

of medicine, which is equal to the unassisted price of the medicine, less the assisted price of the

medicine, divided by the unassisted price of the medicine).

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As illustrated in Table 2, the general co-payment potentially:

alters the relative prices of medicines priced under the general co-payment (medicines 1 and 2) in

relation to over co-payment medicines (medicines 3 to 9). (it provides higher nominal rates of

assistance to the use of medicines 3 to 9 than it does to medicines 1 and 2); and

alters the relative prices of over co-payment medicines (the relative prices of medicines 3 to 9).

Specifically, it reduces the relative prices of higher priced over co-payment medicines in relation

to lower priced over co-payment medicines (the nominal rate of assistance provided medicines 3

to 9 increases as the cost of those medicines increase).

As a result, although the co-payments have the intended effect of enabling Australians to gain access

to a wide range of affordable medicines, in so doing, it has the potential to encourage the use of more

expensive medicines listed on the PBS by providing the highest nominal rates of assistance to the

use of those medicines. This is because the co-payments and safety net thresholds in effect provide

patients with a lump sum subsidy per script (a “volume based” subsidy), rather than a subsidy based

on the value of those scripts (a “value based” or “ad valorem” subsidy). This does not suggest that a

“value based” subsidy would be more appropriate, because it would significantly alter the ability of

many Australians to afford PBS medicines, but simply highlights some of the potential impacts of a

“volume based” subsidy in the absence or failure of the measures listed below.

There are measures in place that are intended to increase consumption efficiency. Specifically,

all medicines listed on the PBS have undergone a rigorous cost effectiveness assessment;

therapeutic group policy ensures that the government only subsidises medicines up to the level of

the lowest priced medicine in a group of medicine with similar safety and efficacy 6;

the role of prescribers as gatekeepers to PBS medicines and their duty to prescribe according to

clinical need.

In addition to potentially altering the relative prices of medicines, the current pharmacy regulations

also have the potential to alter the relative prices of other goods supplied by pharmacies. By requiring

Australians to physically visit pharmacies, or an online pharmacy website, in order to purchase their

medicines, current pharmacy regulation appears to have the unintended effect of providing patients

the opportunity to purchase other goods that they may otherwise have purchased at lower prices from

other suppliers (e.g. supermarkets).

While patients are free to make this choice and derive benefit from the convenience of being able to

purchase a range of other goods from the pharmacies they visit, this comes at the cost of them

potentially paying higher prices for those goods than they would have if they had not been required to

visit the pharmacy to fill their prescription. In this regard, it is important to note that different

pharmacies often charge very different prices for the non-PBS goods they sell.

In general, the magnitude of the potential economic costs that the nation bears as a result of any

remaining alteration in relative prices of medicines will be greater the:

greater the alteration in the relative prices of medicines (the greater the difference in the nominal

rates of assistance afforded medicines);

more sensitive decisions regarding the use of medicines are to the relative prices of those

medicines, which depends on both the:

6 The Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme, https://www.pbs.gov.au/browse/therapeutic-group, accessed 4 May 2017.

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degree of interchangeability in consumption between medicines whose relative prices have

been altered; and

extent to which medical practitioners actually take into account the relative prices of

medicines when making their decisions regarding the types of medicines to prescribe their

patients.;

greater the quantity of that medicine consumed. Even if the current measures to improve

consumption efficiency, as outlined above, only result in a relatively small alteration in the relative

prices of medicines, they can still impose a significant economic cost on the nation as a whole if

those medicines are consumed in large quantities.

What effect does the ability of pharmacies to discount the prices they charge for medicines have on consumption efficiency?

As noted in section 2.1.2, the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation enable pharmacists to:

reduce the patient co-payment by up to $1 for over co-payment scripts; and

charge patients prices that are above or below the dispensed price per script for under co-

payment scripts.

The ability of businesses to vary the prices that they charge for the goods and services they supply is

an important requirement to ensure the efficient operation of the market for those goods and services.

In competitive markets, it ensures that the prevailing market prices for those goods and services

reflect both the:

marginal benefits that patients derive from their use of those goods and services; and

marginal costs of supplying those goods and services (the efficient costs of supplying those

services).

By contrast, however, in less competitive markets, there is a risk that suppliers could choose to

charge prices that differ from efficient market prices. For example, suppliers could choose to use their

market power to charge higher prices for certain goods and services in order to cross subsidise the

cost of supplying other goods and services for which they are under-remunerated.

As indicated in:

Table 5 in section 2.1.2, the ability of pharmacies to vary the prices they charge for under co-

payment scripts alters the relative prices that general patients have to pay for the top 10

medicines. In particular, Table 5 suggests that such price variations can generate significant

differences in both the:

relative prices that patients pay for the same medicine (e.g. bio-equivalent medicines); and

relative prices that patients pay for different, but potentially interchangeable, medicines (e.g.

medicines within the same therapeutic group);

Table 7 in section 2.1.3, although the ability of pharmacies to vary the prices they charge for

under co-payment scripts has reduced the prices that general patients paid for the medicines in

the urban regions of Australia (PhARIA 1), it has increased the prices that patients paid for the

medicines in the more remote regions of Australia (PhARIA 3 to 6).

If the dispensed price is considered to be a reasonable proxy for the efficient cost of dispensing each

medicine, then allowing pharmacies to charge different prices for those medicines not only has the

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potential to reduce the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines in the more remote

regions of Australia, but also has the potential to affect the consumption patterns of PBS medicine by

further altering its relevant prices.

3.1.3 Effects of proposed changes to pharmacy remuneration and regulation arrangements on consumption efficiency

What effect would the removal of the ability of pharmacies to charge patients different prices for medicines have on consumption efficiency?

As noted in section 2.1.3, one of the potential options for reform identified in the preliminary report

would involve removing the ability that pharmacies currently have to charge patients different prices

for their medicines they supply through the implementation of:

Option 2.1, which would remove the ability of pharmacies to charge prices that are either below or

above the dispensed price; and

Option 2.2, which would remove the ability of pharmacies to discount the amount that patients

have to pay for over co-payment scripts by up to $1 per script.

At first sight, it might seem that such a proposed reform is more likely to reduce, rather than improve,

the economic efficiency with which those different types of medicines are used by Australians

(reduce, rather than increase, consumption efficiency).

In theory, this would be the case if the prevailing market prices that patients currently pay for their

medicines accurately reflected both the:

marginal benefits that patients derive from the use of those medicines (their willingness to pay for

those medicines); and

efficient marginal costs of supplying those services.

In practice, however, this is not the case since the:

patient co-payments have the effect of altering the relative prices that patients are charged for

their medicines; and

fees that pharmacists are paid for supplying different types of medicines on behalf of the

government do not reflect the efficient costs of supplying those medicines. Rather, they are more

the result of historical precedent, as amended multiple rounds of negotiation between the

government and the Pharmacy Guild; and

existence of information asymmetries affect the transparency of the prices of PBS medicines at

multiple levels in the pharmaceutical supply chain, including at the pharmacy level.

As a result:

it is inevitable that the market prices that patients currently pay for their medicines will differ from

the efficient market prices of those medicines. Even if some of the current market prices that

pharmacies charge for their medicines might accurately reflect the efficient market prices of those

medicines, it is reasonable to assume that there will be many medicines whose prices to patients

differ significantly from the efficient market prices of those medicines; and

the economic costs that patients and the nation as a whole incur when the current market prices

of medicines differ from their efficient market prices will significantly exceed the economic benefits

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that arise when the prevailing market price accurately reflect the efficient market price of those

medicines.

This means that rather than reducing consumption efficiency, the implementation a uniform price for

each type of medicine and patient category has the potential to improve consumption efficiency by:

reducing unintended differences in the relative prices that patients are charged:

reducing the extent to which these differences in relative prices affect consumption patterns.

3.2 Production efficiency

3.2.1 Intended effects on production efficiency

In addition to improving the efficiency with which Australians use medicines (“consumption

efficiency”), the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation are also intended to improve the

efficiency with which those medicines are supplied (“production efficiency”) and deliver “value for

money”, which is an important objective identified by the National Medicines Policy.

In particular, these current arrangements are intended to address the concern that, in the absence of

such government interventions, the operation of the market would fail to supply Australians with

sufficient quantities of the types of medicines they need to meet their health needs in view of the

existence of:

inadequate and incomplete information regarding the efficacy and appropriate use of medicines.

In the absence of government intervention, there is a risk that there would be an undersupply of

information regarding the efficacy of medicines and their appropriate use in view of the “public

good” features of that information, namely:

the benefits that any Australian or their agent (e.g. medical practitioner) derives from their use

of information on the efficacy and appropriate use of pharmaceuticals does not reduce the

quantity of such information that is available for use by other Australians (such information

exhibits “non – rivalry”, or “jointness” in consumption); and

it is difficult, and undesirable, to prevent those individuals who have not paid for the supply of

information on pharmaceuticals from enjoying the benefits arising from the use of that

information (the benefits arising from the use of such information are “non-excludable”). Not

all of the benefits arising from the use of certain medicines are enjoyed by the patients of

those medicines. Rather, some of those benefits “spill over” onto other sections of the

community (e.g. the community derives external benefits from the appropriate use of

medicines that reduce the risk of communicable diseases);

economies of scale in the production of pharmaceuticals. The supply of pharmaceuticals is

characterised by significant economies of scale in view of the high fixed costs (e.g. the high costs

of research and development) and the relatively low marginal costs associated with supplying

additional quantities of pharmaceuticals. This means that in order to recover their fixed costs,

pharmaceutical manufacturers need to charge prices that exceed the efficient marginal costs of

supplying those pharmaceuticals; and

imperfect competition. The existence of significant economies of scale in the production of

pharmaceuticals means that the industry is dominated by a small number of large companies that

supply most of the world’s pharmaceuticals. This not only reduces the level of competition

between those manufacturers, but it also alters the nature of that competition (e.g. it increases the

use of non-price competition).

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Specifically, the current:

pharmacy ownership rules are intended to improve the quantity and quality of information

supplied to Australians regarding the types of medicines available to meet their particular health

needs, their relative efficacy, appropriate use and potential side effects;

pharmacy location rules are intended to reduce the economic costs that the nation would

otherwise incur in the absence of those regulations (they are intended to reduce the economic

costs that the nation would otherwise incur as a result of unrestricted competition between

pharmacies for the economic rents arising from the regulations imposed on pharmacy ownership

– that is, from unrestricted “rent seeking” activity); and

incentives provided to pharmacies to encourage them to substitute cheaper generic medicines,

where available, are intended to improve the extent to which the medicines used by Australians

are the most cost effective ones (these incentives are intended to improve the extent to which the

level and pattern of demand for medicines reflects the level and pattern of supply of those

medicines – that is, the incentives are intended to improve “efficiency in exchange”). By setting

the co-payment that Australians are required to pay for their medicines, the PBS has the effect of

reducing the incentive that pharmacists would otherwise have had to provide cheaper medicines

to their customers where they are available. The current incentive provided to pharmacists to

encourage them to substitute cheaper generics is intended to reduce that adverse effect to some

extent. Similarly, the government’s practice of listing only cost effective pharmaceuticals on the

PBS is also intended to improve efficiency in exchange to some extent by increasing the supply of

the cheaper PBS medicines where they are available.

3.2.2 Actual effects on production efficiency

The current pharmacy remuneration and regulation provide significant levels of assistance to

pharmacies which encourages the provision of much higher quantities and types of medicines to

Australians than would have occurred in the absence of such assistance.

The gross benefit that pharmacies derive from supplying medicines on behalf of the government is

equal to the gross revenue that they receive from government and patients for those medicines and

services (the “value in exchange” of those medicines and services). This gross benefit exceeds the

costs that they actually incur in order to supply each unit of those goods and services by an amount

that is equal to the net benefit that pharmacists derive from supplying medicines on behalf of the

government (the “produce surplus” they derive from the supply of those medicines and services,

which is equal to the market value of those goods and services less the cost of supplying those

medicines – that is, the amount of revenue that they would have been willing to receive in return for

supplying those goods and services).

However, in the course of increasing the quantities and types of medicines supplied to Australians

and the ease of access that Australians have to community pharmacies, the current pharmacy

remuneration and regulation also have the potential to impose a net economic cost on the nation as a

whole by unintentionally encouraging less efficient levels and patterns of production, investment, and

resource use (“production inefficiencies”).

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In particular, the current regulatory constraints that are imposed on the location and ownership of

pharmacies have the potential to adversely affect production efficiency by reducing the level of

competition and altering the nature of competition between pharmacies and other businesses.

Specifically, the current:

pharmacy location rules have the potential to:

encourage the emergence of large numbers of very small pharmacies. Even the largest and

most profitable pharmacies in Australia are relatively small in relation to other major retailers

of goods and services. As indicated in Table 14 , data indicates that:

− per cent of pharmacies are micro pharmacies with an annual turnover of less than

$2m; and

− per cent of pharmacies are micro and small pharmacies with an annual turnover of

less than $10m per annum;

Although this proliferation of very small pharmacies provides the residents of Australia’s major

cities with much better physical access to community pharmacies than other goods and

services (e.g. suburban shopping centres and banks), this comes at an increased cost to both

the government and the nation as a whole by reducing the efficiency with which those

medicines are supplied. There are real economic reasons why suburban shopping centres are

being increasingly replaced by a fewer number of much larger, strategically located, and more

efficient shopping centres, complemented by online shopping facilities for those individuals

who have greater difficulty visiting those facilities in person. It is simply not economic to

attempt to locate pharmacies in close proximity to Australia’s geographically dispersed

population unless patients, or the government, are willing to pay higher prices to cover the

additional economic cost of that convenience; and

provide a competitive advantage to existing pharmacies in the markets for their outputs,

inputs and factors of production (land, labour and capital). Since the government has

restricted the supply of prescription medicines and pharmacy only medicines to pharmacies

for public safety reasons, Australians have to either visit a pharmacy in person, or the website

operated by a pharmacy, in order to obtain their supplies of those restricted medicines. This

places pharmacies at a competitive advantage in the markets for their outputs, inputs and

factors of production in relation to other Australian businesses. In particular, by locating the

dispensing desk at the rear of their premises, pharmacies may be able to use the market

power they have in the supply of highly subsidised prescription medicines and pharmacy only

medicines to gain an competitive advantage over more efficient suppliers of the other non-

PBS goods and services they sell (it enables them to increase their supplies of other goods

and services that would be more efficiently supplied by other businesses). These marketing

techniques are not unique to community pharmacies. They are also employed by:

− supermarkets, which locate their supplies of highly subsidised perishable goods (e.g.

milk) at the rear of their stores in order to divert high volumes of repeat customers

past their displays of other goods, and use “shopper dockets”(“inter-temporal

bundling” techniques) to extend their significant oligopoly market power into the

provision of a range of other goods and services not typically found at supermarkets

(e.g. petrol and insurance); and

− airports and other transport hubs (e.g. railway stations and bus interchanges) use

their market power in the provision of transportation services to generate additional

profits by directing the flow of their passengers past the businesses that lease retail

space from them;

pharmacy ownership rules have the potential to reduce the extent of competition that pharmacies

face in the markets for their outputs, inputs and factors of production from much larger, and more

efficient, retailers. Although pharmacists might be experts in the provision of advice on the

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efficacy of different types of pharmaceuticals in meeting the health needs of Australians, this does

not necessarily mean that they are experts in the marketing and distribution of the medicines they

supply on behalf of the government. It is noted that medical practices and law firms do not have to

be owned and controlled by medical practitioners and lawyers respectively, even though the

quality of advice they provide to their clients can have a significant impact on the welfare of their

clients and the nation as a whole. There is little evidence that this absence of ownership

restrictions for private hospitals, medical practices and law firms compromises the quality of the

services they provide and the welfare of their clients and the nation as a whole. As a result,

although pharmacy ownership rules might succeed in ensuring that Australians are provided with

high quality advice on the types of medicines that best meet their health needs, in so doing, those

regulations have the potential to impose an economic cost on the patients of pharmaceuticals, the

government, as well as the nation as a whole by potentially:

protecting pharmacies, particularly the larger and more profitable pharmacies, from increased

competition in the markets for their outputs, inputs and factors of production, from much larger

retailers; and.

reducing the incentive pharmacies have to increase their efficiency and reduce the economic

costs that their customers, the government and the nation as a whole incur in order to supply

Australians with the appropriate types and quantities of medicines they need to meet their

health needs.

In addition, the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements also have the potential to distort

production, investment and resource use decisions thereby imposing additional economic costs on

the nation as a whole. In particular, by paying pharmacies the same fee for performing a range of

value adding activities, the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements provide the highest

effective rates of assistance to those activities that add the least value to the inputs used. This may

have the unintended effect of distorting the relative rates of return that pharmacies derive from the

various activities they perform, thereby distorting their levels and patterns of production, investment

and resource use, and imposing a real economic cost on the nation as a whole by reducing the

efficiency with which the nation’s resources are used.

These intended and unintended effects of current pharmacy remuneration arrangements are

illustrated in Table 15 in section 2.2.2, which illustrates how paying pharmacies a single fee ($11.51)

per script to perform a range of different value adding services on behalf of the government has the

unintended effect of distorting the effective rates of assistance afforded those activities.

Specifically, it has the potential unintended effect of providing the highest effective rates of assistance

to those activities that add the least value to the inputs used by those activities. Low value adding

activities (e.g. activity 9 in Table 15) are provided with higher effective rates of assistance than higher

value adding activities (e.g. activity 1 in Table 15). This is because the current remuneration

arrangements do not pay pharmacies different fees for all of the different value adding activities they

perform.

As a result, although the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements have the intended effect of

enabling pharmacies to supply Australians with greater quantities and a wider range of medicines at

more affordable prices, in so doing, they also have the potential effect of reducing production

efficiency by providing the highest effective rates of assistance to those pharmacies that add the least

value to their inputs and are less efficient in producing their outputs.

For example, consider first the case where the value adding activities are all different and the

differences in the amount of value added are due solely to differences in the types and values of the

inputs used and outputs produced by those activities. In this case, paying pharmacies the same fee

for performing these activities may have the unintended effect of providing the lowest value adding

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activities with the highest effective rates of assistance and encouraging pharmacies to increase the

quantities of those medicines they supply as well as their investment in those activities.

Now consider the case where the type of value adding activities performed by each of the pharmacies

are identical and the differences in the amount of value added by each activity are due solely to

differences in the efficiency with which each pharmacy performs those activities. In this case, the

effect of paying these pharmacies the same fee for performing the same activity may have the

unintended effect of providing the highest effective rates of assistance to those pharmacies that are

the least efficient in performing those activities.

Finally, consider the more realistic case where the difference in value added by each of the activities

is due to a combination of both differences in the types of activities performed by pharmacies and

differences in the efficiency with which they perform those activities. In this case, the payment of a flat

fee for the performance of those activities may unintentionally afford the highest effective rates of

assistance to those pharmacies that:

perform those activities that add the least value to the inputs they use; and

are the least efficient in performing those activities.

3.2.3 Effects of proposed changes to pharmacy remuneration and regulation on production efficiency

What effect would paying pharmacies a flat dispensing fee per script have on production efficiency?

As noted in section 2.2.3, one of the potential options for the reform of current pharmacy

remuneration arrangements identified in the Review’s Interim Report would involve replacing the

different fees that are currently paid to pharmacies for the supply of a range of different medicines

with a flat dispensing fee in the range from $9.00 to $11.50 per script (Option 4.3).

At first sight, it might seem that such a reform is more likely to reduce, rather than improve, the

economic efficiency with which those different types of medicines are supplied (reduce, rather than

increase, production efficiency). This would be the case if the current fees charged for the provision of

different types of medicines accurately reflected the actual efficient long run marginal costs of

supplying those medicines.

As outlined previously, however, considerable uncertainty currently surrounds the actual efficient long

run marginal cost associated with supplying the different types of medicines that are currently

supplied by pharmacies on behalf of the government. The current fees that are paid by the

government to pharmacies are more a reflection of historical precedent, as amended by numerous

rounds of negotiation between the government and the Pharmacy Guild. They are not the result of a

rigorous process of analysis designed to accurately estimate the efficient marginal costs of supplying

those medicines. As a result:

it is highly unlikely that the fees that the government currently pays pharmacies for these different

types of medicines will accurately reflect the efficient long run marginal costs of supplying those

medicines. Although it is possible that some of the fees paid to some pharmacies might

accurately reflect the efficient marginal costs of supplying medicines, it is more likely that most of

those fees will differ from the efficient marginal costs of supplying those medicines on behalf of

the government; and

the economic costs arising from these differences between the fees that pharmacists are paid to

supply medicines on behalf of the government and the actual efficient marginal costs of

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performing those activities will be many times higher than the economic benefits that the nation

would derive if those differences did not exist.

This means that rather than reducing production efficiency, the implementation of a flat fee for

dispensing has the potential to improve production efficiency by:

reducing unintended differences in the effective rates of assistance provided to different types of

pharmacies. Specifically, as indicated in Table 19, the introduction of an illustrative flat dispensing

fee of $10 per script has the potential to:

reduce the effective rates of assistance currently provided to each type of pharmacy (e.g. it

would reduce the effective rate of assistance provided to micro, profitable, pharmacies from

32% to 17%, a reduction of around 46%);

reduce the differences in the effective marginal rates of assistance afforded the different types

of pharmacies (e.g. prior to the introduction of the $10 flat fee for dispensing, the effective

marginal rates of assistance afforded profitable, taxable, pharmacies range from 32% to

108% for profitable, taxable pharmacies. By contrast, after the introduction of the $10 flat

dispensing fee, the effective rates of assistance would range from 7% to 53% for profitable

and taxable pharmacies); and

reduce the extent to which the current pharmacy remuneration and regulation arrangements may

encourage inefficient levels and patterns of production, investment and resource use, by

Australian pharmacies (e.g. by reducing the extent to which the current remuneration and

regulation may encourage pharmacies to engage in lower value adding and less efficient

activities, including the supply of goods and services that would be more efficiently supplied by

other Australian businesses).

What effect would removing current pharmacy location rules have on production efficiency?

As noted in section 2.2.3, another potential option for reform identified in the Review’s Interim Report

is the removal of the current pharmacy location rules (Option 5.1).

In addition to potentially improving the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines, and

improving the equity of current pharmacy remuneration arrangements, such a reform would also have

the potential to improve production efficiency by:

enabling pharmacies to locate in those areas where there is the highest demand for the particular

types of medicines and services they supply, rather than being forced to locate in other areas that

are located a specified distance from the nearest existing pharmacy. As indicated in Table 11 in

2.1.3, the current location rules are still continuing to prevent per cent of new pharmacies in

major cities and inner regional areas, as well as per cent of relocating existing pharmacies in

outer regions of Australia, from locating in their preferred locations; and

reducing the extent to which the current location rules potentially shield less efficient pharmacies

from increased competition from other pharmacies that are able to supply those medicines in a

more efficient manner (by providing less efficient pharmacies with higher effective rates of

assistance than more efficient pharmacies). Although the current location rules might have

improved economic efficiency to some extent by reducing rent seeking activity, it appears that

those rules have done little to constrain the emergence of a large number of very small, less

efficient, pharmacies that are clustered around major population centres.

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What effect would the greater use of electronic prescriptions have on production efficiency?

As noted in section 2.1.3, another potential option for reform identified in the Review’s Interim Report

is to facilitate the increased, integrated, use of electronic prescriptions in order to replace the current,

less efficient, paper based scripts (Option 2.7).

As noted in section 2.1.1, although most Australians are currently able to order their medicines online,

there are several factors that constrain the extent to which this occurs in practice including the:

lack of awareness of this option and doubts regarding the legitimacy of such online supplies;

high administrative costs patients have to incur in order to use this option, particularly the

additional compliance costs they have to incur and time they have to wait for their medicines as a

result of the need to send a paper script to the online pharmacy; and

additional administrative costs that online pharmacies have to incur in order to process paper scripts.

Facilitating the increased use of electronic prescriptions has the potential to improve not only the

equity of access of Australians in the more remote regions of Australia to affordable medicines, but

also to improve the efficiency with which medicines are produced by pharmacies (increase production

efficiency) by:

reducing the administrative costs that pharmacies currently incur in order to process paper

scripts;

reducing the extent to which the current pharmacy location rules and ownership regulations

reduce the competition faced by less efficient pharmacies (since all pharmacies would face

increased competition from online pharmacies, thereby increasing the incentive to improve their

efficiency); and

increasing the extent to which all pharmacies can better utilise any spare capacity they might

have to supply additional medicines online (e.g. by increasing the ability of pharmacists to utilise

any of their spare capacity, or the capacity of their employees, capital equipment to provide

additional medicines and services to online customers).

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FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY

In addition to improving distributional equity and economic efficiency, the current pharmacy

remuneration and regulation are also intended to be fiscally sustainable over time.

This section:

identifies the intended fiscal sustainability of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation (the

projected fiscal cost of those arrangements and how the current arrangements are intended to

reduce those costs);

outlines available information on the actual economic sustainability of those arrangements (the

actual economic costs of funding current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, as opposed to

their fiscal costs); and

discusses the extent to which proposed changes to those current regulators and remuneration

arrangements are intended to improve both the fiscal sustainability and fundamental economic

sustainability of those arrangements.

4.1 Intended fiscal sustainability of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation

In addition to improving the equity of access to affordable medicines and reducing any perverse

effects that pharmacy remuneration and regulation arrangements might have on economic efficiency,

the National Medicines Policy also stresses the need for those arrangements to be financially

sustainable:

In attempting to balance health needs and responsible fiscal discipline, the partners will need to

address the following issues; that:

financing and supply arrangements for medicines optimise health outcomes and represent value

for money;

all partners take adequate responsibility for achieving value for money;

access to necessary medicines occurs at a cost the community as a whole can afford, particularly

in the context of pressures such as the development of new high cost medicines and Australia’s

ageing population;

access processes are made as simple and streamlined as possible, so that subsidisation of

medicines is timely, mechanisms are understood, and unnecessary administrative barriers and

expenses are avoided;

financing arrangements for medicines avoid incentives for cost-shifting between levels of

government or other funders, or other perverse incentives;

efficient and effective distribution and supply networks (distributors, hospital, and retail) exist; and

a fair distribution of costs and savings between the partners is achieved.7

7 Department of Health and Ageing (2000). National Medicines Policy, p2.

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The key instruments that the government uses to control the fiscal cost of the current pharmacy

remuneration arrangements are the:

negotiations that occur between pharmaceutical manufacturers and the government regarding the

pharmaceuticals to be listed on the PBS (the “price conditional subsidy” negotiations which

enable the government to list the more cost effective pharmaceuticals on the PBS);

Community Pharmacy Agreements that are negotiated between the Pharmacy Guild and the

government, which set the fees to be paid to pharmacists for supplying medicines on the

government’s behalf; and

regulations governing the location of pharmacies.

As indicated in Table 20, expenditure on pharmaceutical benefits and services is projected to

decrease in real terms by 0.1 per cent over the period 2016-17 to 2019-20 as a result of the

successful application of pricing policies that have reduced the cost of medicines listed on the PBS.

Table 20: Actual and projected fiscal costs of pharmaceutical benefits and services expenses

Source: Table 8.2, Commonwealth Budget 2016-17, Budget Paper No. 1, Statement 5: Expenses and Net

Capital Investment

Notes: The pharmaceutical benefits and services subfunction is expected to increase by 2.5 per cent in real

terms between 2015-16 and 2016-17 due largely to new and amended listings on the Pharmaceutical Benefits

Scheme (PBS), and growth in the use of exiting listings. Expenses are expected to decrease by 0.1 per cent in

real terms over the period 2016-17 to 2019-20 as a result of the successful application of pricing policies that

have reduced the cost of medicines listed on the PBS. Estimates for the PBS do not include the potential listing

of new medicines or unknown future price adjustments to existing listings, which typically result in net spending

above the original estimates.

2015-16 $10,362

2016-17 $10,800

2017-18 $10,989

2018-19 $11,322

2019-20 $11,722

TOTAL $55,195

YearFiscal cost

($m)

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Further information on:

total PBS expenditure by type of pharmacy is provided in Table 21;

average PBS expenditure by type of pharmacy is provided in Table 22; and

average PBS expenditure per script by type of pharmacy is provided in Table 23.

In addition, as noted in the submission to the Review from the Pharmacy Guild and illustrated in

Figure 11, PBS expenditure per script has been declining over time since 2009-10 and further

declines are projected over the period 2015-16 to 2019-20.

Figure 11: Parliamentary Budget Office projections of government pharmaceutical benefit expenditure per script

Source: Chart 4, p 36, Pharmacy Guild of Australia, Submission to Review of Pharmacy Remuneration and

Regulation

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4.2 Actual economic sustainability of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation

It is important to note, however, that these projected trends in the fiscal costs do not mean that the

current pharmacy remuneration arrangements are sustainable in the medium to longer term.

This is because the actual sustainability of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation, and the

extent to which they ultimately achieve their objectives of improving distributional equity and economic

efficiency, depends on the economic sustainability of those arrangements, not just their fiscal

sustainability.

The fiscal cost of current pharmacy remuneration and regulation is not the actual economic cost of

those arrangements to the nation as a whole.

Rather, this fiscal cost is a measure of the amount of income that has to be transferred from the

government to pharmacies each year to subsidise the provision of medicines to Australians (it is a

transfer of income from one section of the community to another).

The actual economic cost of raising that revenue is equal to the sum of the:

“opportunity cost” of the real value of resources that is invested in the supply of subsidised

medicines to Australians (the social rate of return that the national as a whole could have derived

if those funds had been invested instead in the next best investment from the nation’s point of

view); and

“deadweight cost” of raising the revenue required to fund that investment through increased

taxation or government borrowing (which is, in effect, just deferred taxation to the extent that

higher levels of taxation are required to repay the principal and interest on that debt). In the

course of raising revenue, the tax system does not just redistribute revenue from one section of

the community (taxpayers) to another (the government). Rather, it imposes a real economic cost

on the nation as a whole by unintentionally altering consumption, production, investment and

resource use decisions, thereby encouraging a less efficient use of the nation’s resources. That

is, the economic cost of raising each dollar of revenue (e.g. through the tax system, or through

government borrowing) exceeds the amount of revenue raised by an amount referred to as the

“excess burden” or “deadweight cost” of taxation.

The opportunity cost of the real resources that are invested by the government are typically taken into

account in cost benefit analyses of those investments through the use of a real discount rate that

takes into account the social opportunity cost of government expenditure (e.g. a 7% real rate of return

is often used to evaluate the opportunity cost of State infrastructure investments). By contrast, the

deadweight costs of raising the revenue are often overlooked when evaluating the economic costs of

government projects and programs. This report uses the approach adopted by the NZ Treasury to

evaluate government projects and programs funded using taxation revenue, which assumes that the

deadweight costs are 20 per cent of the amount of that investment.

Table 24 presents estimates of the actual and projected economic costs of pharmaceutical benefits

and services expenses using this approach.

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Table 24: Actual and projected economic costs of pharmaceutical benefits and services expenses

Source: Commonwealth Budget 2016-17 data

4.3 Effects of proposed changes to current arrangements on fiscal sustainability

4.3.1 Effects of introducing a flat fee for dispensing on the fiscal costs of remunerating pharmacies

The potential savings in fiscal costs of remunerating pharmacies arising from the introduction of a flat

dispensing fee in the range from $9.00 to $11.50 per script (e.g. set at an illustrative level of $10 per

script) are set out in Table 25.

Specifically, Table 25 suggests that the introduction of a $10 flat fee for dispensing could potentially

save:

$1.5b of fiscal costs over the period 2015-16 to 2019-20; or

$1.9b of economic costs over the period 2015-16 to 2019-20.

Table 25: Fiscal and economic cost savings from a $10 flat fee per script

Source: PBS and Commonwealth Budget 2016-17 data

Notes:

1. A $10 flat fee was selected for illustrative purposes from within the proposed range as set out in Option 4.3 2. Fiscal cost savings based on 2016 PBS data and excludes chemotherapy remuneration 3. See Table 26 for fiscal cost savings for 2015-16

As indicated in Table 26, most of the savings in fiscal costs would come from:

small pharmacies ($189.2m in 2015-16); and

micro pharmacies ($73.8m in 2015-16).

Opportunity cost

($m at 7%)

Deadweight cost

($m at 20%)

Total economic cost

($m)

2015-16 $10,362 $725 $2,072 $13,160

2016-17 $10,800 $756 $2,160 $13,716

2017-18 $10,989 $769 $2,198 $13,956

2018-19 $11,322 $793 $2,264 $14,379

2019-20 $11,722 $821 $2,344 $14,887

TOTAL $55,195 $3,864 $11,039 $70,098

YearFiscal cost

($m)

Economic cost

Opportunity cost

(7%)

Deadweight cost

(20%)

Total economic

cost saving

2015-16 $277,693,429 $19,438,540 $55,538,686 $352,670,655

2016-17 $290,328,480 $20,322,994 $58,065,696 $368,717,170

2017-18 $296,564,010 $20,759,481 $59,312,802 $376,636,293

2018-19 $303,674,132 $21,257,189 $60,734,826 $385,666,148

2019-20 $310,954,719 $21,766,830 $62,190,944 $394,912,493

TOTAL $1,479,214,770 $103,545,034 $295,842,954 $1,878,602,758

Year Fiscal cost savings

Economic cost savings

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4.3.2 Effects of introducing a flat fee for dispensing on the economic costs of remunerating pharmacies

It is important to note that the fiscal cost savings outlined above underestimate the savings in

economic costs that the nation as a whole would derive from the introduction of a flat dispending fee

(e.g. set at $10 per script), which are also set out in Table 25. Specifically, Table 25 suggests that the

introduction of a $10 flat fee for dispensing could:

save $352.7m economic costs in 2015-16, which would comprise a:

$19.4m saving in the opportunity cost of the ability of the government to invest the fiscal cost

savings of $277.7m and earn a 7 per cent real rate of return on that investment; and

$55.5m saving in the deadweight costs as a result of not having to raise the fiscal cost

savings of $277.7m through taxation;

save $1.9b of economic costs over the period 2015-16 to 2019-20, which would comprise a:

$103.5m saving in the opportunity cost of the ability of the government to invest the fiscal cost

savings of $1.48b and earn a 7 per cent real rate of return on that investment; and

$295.8m saving in the deadweight costs as a result of not having to raise the fiscal cost

savings of $1.48b through taxation.

4.3.3 Other potential approaches to mitigating and managing fiscal and economic costs arising from the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements

Providing pharmacies with a flat fee for dispensing is not the only potential reform that could be used

to improve the financial sustainability of the current pharmacy remuneration arrangements.

Another potential option for reform would be to develop and implement a detailed “performance based

contract” between government and pharmacies along the lines of existing contracts for other essential

services.

For example, the contracts between the NSW government and the suppliers of rural and regional bus

services illustrate many of the key features that you would expect to see outlined in the contract

between pharmacies in Australia and the Commonwealth government8, including:

a clear outline of the types, quantities and quality of services that are expected to be supplied on

behalf of the government;

detailed key performance indicators that are to be used in order to assess the extent to which

each provider is achieving the government’s objectives;

a detailed formula that is to be used to calculate the level of remuneration that is to be paid to

each provider to compensate them for the efficient long run marginal costs of supplying services

on behalf of the government. This includes:

the identification of benchmarks that are to be used for the purposes of estimating the efficient

cost of service delivery; and

8 See for example Rural & Regional Bus Service Contract, Contract A, http://www.transport.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/b2b/bus/rural-and-regional-contract-a.pdf and Contract B http://www.transport.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/b2b/bus/rural-and-regional-contract-b.pdf

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appropriate indexes that are to be used each year to adjust for the effects of inflation;

detailed financial reporting requirements, which include the requirement for providers to supply

the government with copies of their tax returns each year in order to enable the government to:

identify those providers that might be in financial difficulties, which could leave the industry

and cause problems with the continuity of supply of services in the more remote regions of

Australia; and

identify those providers that might be deriving economic rents under the current remuneration

arrangements (rates of return that are greater than normal rates of return;

profit and risk sharing arrangements between providers and the government.

Indeed, as noted by Mellish and MacDonald (2009)9, the NSW Rural and Regional Reforms of bus

funding provide a good example of how government and industry can move from a position of

adversarial negotiations to the development of a trusted partnership.

The implementation of a number of the options for reform set out in the Interim Report would help

establish the foundations for such a performance based contract between the government and

pharmacies, including the implementation of the following options:

Option 3.1: Community Pharmacies – Minimum Services. The government should establish a

process to determine the set of minimum requirements that a community pharmacy must meet in

order to receive remuneration for dispensing. The government should initiate procedures to

enforce these requirements and to have them updated at regular intervals. These requirements

should be promoted by being incorporated within the Community Pharmacy Service Charter;

Option 4.1: Accounting Information. 4.1. As soon as possible following the completion of this

Review, the government in consultation with the Guild and other stakeholders should:

Determine a set of accounting principles that will apply for community pharmacies in order to

provide the relevant information needed to determine the best practice benchmark cost of a

dispense (as these terms are defined in this report).

Require community pharmacy (as a condition of being approved to dispense PBS medicines)

to provide the necessary accounting information to inform consideration in the development of

each CPA (including as a basis for the determination of a best practice pharmacy). The

relevant accounting information should be provided for each financial year, and no later than

December 31 of the following financial year (beginning with December 31, 2018).

Designate a body within the government (although potentially an existing independent

statutory authority with the relevant expertise such as the Pharmaceutical Benefits

Remuneration Tribunal, or, more broadly, the ACCC) to provide a recommendation to the

government on the best practice benchmark cost of a dispense as required over time by the

government. The first such advice is to be provided as soon as practical and certainly before

9 Mellish, D. and MacDonald I, (2009). A study of a trusting partnership between government and industry, Working Paper,

Board of Advice ITLS-BoA-WP-09-02 September 2009.

http://sydney.edu.au/business/ data/assets/pdf file/0004/46363/ITLS-BoA-WP-09-02.pdf. See also Mellish, MacDonald,

Dwyer, (2008). A journey from adversary to partnership bus reform in NSW

http://isiarticles.com/bundles/Article/pre/pdf/3447.pdf

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the end of 2019. The timing of later determinations will depend on the process used in the

future by the government to set the remuneration for dispensing PBS medicines.

The information and advice submitted to the government should form the basis for the

average remuneration for a ‘dispense’ to community pharmacy in the future and certainly from

the expiration of the 6 CPA. The provision of appropriate accounting information should be an

ongoing requirement to support the development of each CPA.

Option 4.2: Remuneration to be Based on Efficient Cost of Dispensing. The remuneration for

dispensing paid by government and patient co-payments to community pharmacy should be

based on the costs of dispensing for an efficient pharmacy; and

Option 4.4: Remuneration for Dispensing – Formula. The remuneration for dispensing should be a

simple dispense fee based on the efficient, average, long-run incremental cost of a dispense in a

community pharmacy.

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Table 26: Average PBS expenditure per script 2015/16

Notes:

1. Based on 2015-16 PBS data

2. Excludes chemotherapy fees

3. Includes pharmacies operating part-year

4. Includes all patient categories

5. Includes community pharmacy only

6. Pharmacy remuneration = dispensing fee + AHI + dangerous drug fee + electronic prescription fee + other fees

Total Pharmacy

Remuneration

Average

Pharmacy

Remuneration

Average

Pharmacy

Remuneration

per Script

Proposed

Fee per

Dispense

per Script

Proposed Total

Pharmacy

Revenue

Proposed

Average

Pharmacy

Revenue

Total Impact on

Pharmacy

Revenue

Average Impact

on Pharmacy

Revenue per

Pharmacy

Fiscal Impact

(Government

Saving)

Micro - 1,600,000 901,318,789 258,110 11.25 10.00 801,103,940 229,411 100,214,849 28,698 73,842,940

Small 1,600,000 8,000,000 2,301,055,674 880,955 11.28 10.00 2,039,070,770 780,655 261,984,904 100,300 189,175,504

Medium 8,000,000 16,000,000 62,809,171 1,427,481 11.69 10.00 53,734,370 1,221,236 9,074,801 206,245 6,780,728

Large 16,000,000 32,000,000 25,816,304 1,290,815 13.03 10.00 19,809,750 990,488 6,006,554 300,328 4,949,720

Very Large 32,000,000 999,999,999 8,024,459 1,604,892 18.08 10.00 4,439,320 887,864 3,585,139 717,028 2,944,537

3,299,024,397 534,428$ 11.31$ 10.00$ 2,918,158,150 472,729 380,866,247$ 61,699$ 277,693,429

Annual saving 3.17%

CURRENT PROPOSED

Pharmacy Size

by PBS RevenueMin Max

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APPENDICES

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Appendix 1: Number and location of pharmacies and the socio-economic status of the regions they serve

Figure 12: Distribution of pharmacies across Victoria and Southern NSW

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 13: Distribution of pharmacies across Melbourne

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 14: Distribution of pharmacies across Canberra

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 15: Distribution of pharmacies across Darwin

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 16: Distribution of pharmacies across Brisbane

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 17: Distribution of pharmacies across Adelaide

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 18: Distribution of pharmacies across Perth

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Figure 19: Distribution of pharmacies across Hobart

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of higher socio-economic status.

The yellow circles indicate the number of pharmacies in the relevant area.

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Appendix 2: Summary of financial data

This appendix summarises the pharmacy financial data that was available to the Review at the time

this report was prepared.

In order to make data as comparable as possible, it has been presented using the same format. As a

result, it has been necessary to make some adjustments to that data. In isolated cases, ranges within

the data sets were presented for illustrative purposes. For the purposes of the financial model

presented in Appendix 3, data were selected from within the data ranges to represent a profitable

pharmacy.

In general, the availability of data decreased as the size of the pharmacies increased. While this may

be due to a number of reasons, the majority of pharmacies fall into the micro and small categories. It

is also important to note that all data sources are at an aggregated level except for the financial

survey responses, which is evident in the vast range of data contained in the survey fields. A small

number of the responses from the financial survey were excluded from the data comparison tables

due to what appeared to be data entry errors.

The various data sources were used to construct a model that sought to link the various financial data

sources at an aggregate level with PBS data. The reason for this is that there is little information

available on script volume, remuneration per script, cost per script, type of medicines, PBS and non-

PBS activities and how each of these interrelate and contribute to total revenue and costs (profit). For

example, a specialist pharmacy that dispenses a larger proportion of high cost drugs might have

similar total revenue to a pharmacy that dispenses high volumes of low cost medicine, but their

revenue and cost structures may be quite different. The model, in conjunction with other sections of

the report sought to highlight some of these aspects. However, the data limitations provide significant

barriers to the visibility of these and other differences.

The tables are set out according to pharmacy size by total revenue as follows:

Micro: $0 - $2m;

Small: $2m - $10m;

Medium: $10m – $20m;

Large: $20m - $40m;

Very Large: $40m +.

PBS data:

Where PBS data was required to be classified into each of the above categories, it was assumed for

simplicity that PBS revenue comprised 80% of total revenue (sales mix). The PBS revenue of

pharmacies was therefore classified as follows:

Micro: $0 - $1.6m;

Small: $1.6m - $8m;

Medium: $8m – $16m;

Large: $16m - $32m;

Very Large: $32m +

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PBS data and sales mix:

A consistent sales mix percentage was required to avoid overlap or gaps in the categories used to

classify the PBS data. This also allowed the results to be easily reconciled back to the aggregated

PBS dataset. Although the industry average sales mix is around 70% (PBS revenue comprises

70% of total revenue), the percentage was chosen that best aligns the total number of

pharmacies in each category to the PBS dataset to the data set. This percentage was

80%. While there is some evidence apparent from the data available that sales mix decreases as

pharmacy size increases the model has maintained a sales mix of 80% across all pharmacy sizes

for simplicity and comparability. In particular, the data sources available primarily related to micro

and small pharmacies, which made an accurate study of the relationship between pharmacy size

and sales mix across all pharmacy sizes unlikely.

Figure 20: The relationship between profit and sales mix

Source: Guild Digest 2016, , Benchmarking.com.au

Accordingly, it was of interest to understand the interdependency of sales mix and profitability. In

this regard there were conflicting data sources (see Figure 20). These conflicts may be

attributable to a number of reasons, including sample size and unrepresentative samples. In this

regard the certain data sources seemed to suggest that profitability decreased as sales mix

increased, while others showed the opposite. The results of any sensitivity analysis performed

around sales mix is dependent on which data source is used in the assumptions of the model.

This inconsistency was overcome in the financial model by using the data to determine

the gross profit for each model category. The result is that the appropriate sales mix is indirectly

built into the gross profit inputs and is less sensitive to manual changes to sales mix changes.

The PBS data section in the data comparison tables represents the average remuneration per script

at a pharmacy level across all pharmacies. The upper limit of $28.03 indicates that there is at least

one pharmacy that on average receives $28.03 remuneration per script. Importantly, there is only a

very limited number of pharmacies with an average remuneration per dispense of above $12, with the

majority of pharmacies receiving between $11 and $12 per script. High revenue per script is driven

primarily by sales of high cost medicines, indicating that a limited number of pharmacies dispense a

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relatively high proportion of high cost scripts. Figure 28 in Appendix 7 illustrates how the range of

average remuneration per pharmacy changes over the years 2012-13 to 2016-17.

Notes to tables in this appendix:

1. AOS: After owners’ salary

2. BOS: Before owners’ salary3. Field colour: Imputed from other data sources or calculated

4. Field colour: Estimate5. total expenses and net income assumed to be after owners’ salaries6. The PBS data ranges for remuneration per script are averages per pharmacy. It excludes

remuneration for chemotherapy.7. Net assets includes goodwill

8. Data sources and relevant financial years included are: data on pharmacy assets 2015-16 ( )

Guild Digest (Guild) 2014-15

Benchmarking.com.au 2015-16 Bruce Annabel (spans multiple periods)

Interim report (draft options at time if writing) PBS data 2015-16 Financial survey 2015-16

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Appendix 3: Detailed financials for the different types of pharmacies

.

This appendix outlines the detailed financial model that has been developed for each of the key types

of pharmacies using the available pharmacy financial data outlined in Appendix 2.

It contains key items of interest for both PBS and non-PBS pharmacy activities and aims to provide

some insight as to how these activities interrelate and contribute to pharmacy revenue, costs and

profitability.

Notes to tables in this appendix:

1. AOS: After owners’ salary

2. BOS: Before owners’ salary 3. Includes pharmacies with active approval numbers for the full 2015-16 financial year only 4. Excludes pharmacies that supply chemotherapy drugs

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Table 32: Financial summary for profitable and taxable pharmacies

Source: Pharmacy financial data outlined in Appendix 2

CURRENT STATE

Pharmacy Financial Summary Micro Small Medium Large22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493

REVENUE PBS PBS SCRIPT REVENUE 790,927 2,844,232 10,003,291 21,408,276

Average remuneration per script 11.25 11.28 11.63 13.63

PBS GROSS PROFIT Value 257,588 882,649 1,868,968 1,737,133

Percentage % 0.33 0.31 0.19 0.08

NON-PBS NON-PBS REVENUE 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069

Sales mix (PBS %) 80% 80% 80% 80%

NON-PBS GROSS PROFITValue 88,979 319,976 631,855 2,009,315

Percentage % 45% 45% 25% 38%

TOTAL REVEN 988,659 3,555,290 12,504,114 26,760,344

GROSS PROFIT Value 346,567 1,202,625 2,500,823 3,746,448

Percentage % 39% 38% 20% 14%

EXPENSES PBS Salaries and Wages 77,407 289,667 529,150 330,818

Superannuation 7,148 26,750 48,866 30,551

Rent Paid 24,438 91,451 167,059 104,443

Total Other Expenses 68,783 257,395 470,196 293,961

ATTRIBUTABLE TO PBS (aos) 177,777 665,263 1,215,271 759,772

PBS cost allocation per script 7.77 8.50 7.56 5.96

NON-PBS Salaries and Wages 26,739 105,010 178,893 382,652

Superannuation 2,469 9,698 16,521 35,337

Rent Paid 8,442 33,153 56,479 120,807

Total Other Expenses 23,760 93,310 158,962 340,020

ATTRIBUTABLE TO NON-PBS (aos) 61,410 241,170 410,855 878,816

PBS & NON-PBSInterest Paid 8,848 33,530 60,152 60,613

Depreciation 7,389 28,000 50,232 50,617

OTHER PROPRIETOR'S SALARY 84,739 93,362 125,041 214,083

170,686 874,601 1,611,470 1,535,736

255,424 967,964 1,736,512 1,749,819

NET PROFIT (bos) Value 175,882 328,023 889,352 2,210,712

Percentage % 17.79% 9.23% 7.11% 8.26%

NET PROFIT (aos) Value 91,143 234,661 764,311 1,996,629

Percentage % 9.22% 6.60% 6.11% 7.46%

192,118 389,553 999,736 2,321,941

107,380 296,191 874,695 2,107,858

NET ASSETS 835,949 2,923,634 9,878,250 15,788,603

23% 13% 10% 15%

13% 10% 9% 13%

EFFECTIVE RATE OF ASSISTANCE 32% 21% 40% 108%

Profitable Taxable

Average Script Volume

USER COST OF CAPITAL (aos)

TOTAL EXPENSES bos

TOTAL EXPENSES aos

EBITDA (bos)

EBITDA (aos)

USER COST OF CAPITAL (bos)

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Table 33: Financial summary for profitable and non-taxable pharmacies

Source: Pharmacy financial data available to the Review

CURRENT STATE

Pharmacy Financial Summary Micro Small Medium Large22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493

REVENUE PBS PBS SCRIPT REVENUE 790,927 2,844,232 10,003,291 21,408,276

Average remuneration per script 11.25 11.28 11.63 13.63

PBS GROSS PROFIT Value 257,588 882,649 1,868,968 1,737,133

Percentage % 0.33 0.31 0.19 0.08

NON-PBS NON-PBS REVENUE 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069

Sales mix (PBS %) 80% 80% 80% 80%

NON-PBS GROSS PROFITValue 88,979 319,976 Not available Not available

Percentage % 45% 45% Not available Not available

TOTAL REVEN 988,659 3,555,290 12,504,114 26,760,344

GROSS PROFIT Value 346,567 1,202,625 Not Available Not Available

Percentage % 39% 38% Not Available Not Available

EXPENSES PBS Salaries and Wages 92,807 378,718 Not available Not available

Superannuation 8,571 34,974 Not available Not available

Rent Paid 29,300 119,565 Not available Not available

Total Other Expenses 82,467 336,524 Not available Not available

ATTRIBUTABLE TO PBS (aos) 213,145 869,781 Not Available Not Available

PBS cost allocation per script 9.31 11.12 Not Available Not Available

NON-PBS Salaries and Wages 32,059 137,292 Not available Not available

Superannuation 2,961 12,679 Not available Not available

Rent Paid 10,121 43,345 Not available Not available

Total Other Expenses 28,487 121,996 Not available Not available

ATTRIBUTABLE TO NON-PBS (aos) 73,627 315,312 Not available Not available

PBS & NON-PBSInterest Paid 10,608 43,837 Not available Not available

Depreciation 8,859 36,608 Not available Not available

OTHER PROPRIETOR'S SALARY 84,739 93,362 Not available Not available

221,500 1,172,177 Not available Not available

306,239 1,265,540 Not Available Not Available

NET PROFIT (bos) Value 125,067 30,447 Not available Not available

Percentage % 12.65% 0.86% Not available Not available

NET PROFIT (aos) Value 40,329 (62,915) Not Available Not Available

Percentage % 4.08% -1.77% Not Available Not Available

144,534 110,893 Not available Not available

59,795 17,530 Not available Not available

NET ASSETS 835,949 2,923,634 Not available Not available

17% 4% Not available Not available

7% 1% Not Available Not Available

EFFECTIVE RATE OF ASSISTANCE 10% -8% Not Available Not Available

Profitable Non-Taxable

Average Script Volume

USER COST OF CAPITAL (aos)

TOTAL EXPENSES bos

TOTAL EXPENSES aos

EBITDA (bos)

EBITDA (aos)

USER COST OF CAPITAL (bos)

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Table 34: Financial summary for non-profitable pharmacies

Source: Pharmacy financial data available to the Review

CURRENT STATE

Pharmacy Financial Summary Micro Small Medium Large22,891 78,229 160,706 127,493

REVENUE PBS PBS SCRIPT REVENUE 790,927 2,844,232 10,003,291 21,408,276

Average remuneration per script 11.25 11.28 11.63 13.63

PBS GROSS PROFIT Value 257,588 882,649 1,868,968 1,737,133

Percentage % 0.33 0.31 0.19 0.08

NON-PBS NON-PBS REVENUE 197,732 711,058 2,500,823 5,352,069

Sales mix (PBS %) 80% 80% 80% 80%

NON-PBS GROSS PROFITValue 88,979 319,976 631,855 2,009,315

Percentage % 45% 45% 25% 38%

TOTAL REVEN 988,659 3,555,290 12,504,114 26,760,344

GROSS PROFIT Value 346,567 1,202,625 2,500,823 3,746,448

Percentage % 39% 38% 20% 14%

EXPENSES PBS Salaries and Wages 151,095 446,171 834,040 1,038,153

Superannuation 13,953 41,203 77,023 95,872

Rent Paid 47,702 140,861 263,316 327,756

Total Other Expenses 134,261 396,462 741,119 922,490

ATTRIBUTABLE TO PBS (aos) 347,012 1,024,698 1,915,498 2,384,272

PBS cost allocation per script 15.16 13.10 11.92 18.70

NON-PBS Salaries and Wages 52,193 161,745 281,970 1,200,816

Superannuation 4,820 14,937 26,040 110,894

Rent Paid 16,478 51,065 89,021 379,111

Total Other Expenses 46,378 143,725 250,555 1,067,031

ATTRIBUTABLE TO NON-PBS (aos) 119,869 371,472 647,585 2,757,851

PBS & NON-PBSInterest Paid 17,270 51,645 94,810 190,211

Depreciation 14,422 43,128 79,175 158,842

OTHER PROPRIETOR'S SALARY 84,739 93,362 125,041 214,083

413,836 1,397,583 2,612,029 5,277,099

498,575 1,490,945 2,737,070 5,491,182

NET PROFIT (bos) Value (67,269) (194,958) (111,207) (1,530,651)

Percentage % -6.80% -5.48% -0.89% -5.72%

NET PROFIT (aos) Value (152,007) (288,320) (236,248) (1,744,734)

Percentage % -15.38% -8.11% -1.89% -6.52%

(35,576) (100,184) 62,778 (1,181,598)

(120,315) (193,547) (62,263) (1,395,681)

NET ASSETS 835,949 2,923,634 9,878,250 15,788,603

-4% -3% 1% -7%

-14% -7% -1% -9%

EFFECTIVE RATE OF ASSISTANCE -33% -22% -11% -34%

Not Profitable

Average Script Volume

USER COST OF CAPITAL (aos)

TOTAL EXPENSES bos

TOTAL EXPENSES aos

EBITDA (bos)

EBITDA (aos)

USER COST OF CAPITAL (bos)

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Appendix 4: Benchmarking of micro pharmacies against other comparable businesses

Table 35 below outlines how key profit and loss items, inventory and trading hours for micro community pharmacies

compare against other similarly sized business. The businesses chosen as benchmarks resemble characteristics that

make them reasonable for use as benchmarks.

It can be seen that with the exception of general practitioners, profitable micro pharmacies appear to earn higher net

profit margins than the benchmark businesses. Gross profit also tend to be higher for pharmacies than the

benchmarks, this may be due to higher gross margins on non-PBS products than on normal grocery items that would

be supplied by corner stores and supermarkets. Another interesting observation is that pharmacies have high stock

levels and low stock turn rates compared with its benchmarks. In this regard it is important to note that this cannot

simply be attributed to PBS stock as pharmacies carry varying levels of non-PBS stock and it is not possible to isolate

PBS from non-PBS from the data available.

Table 35: Benchmarking of micro pharmacies against other comparable businesses

Source: Pharmacy financial data available to the Review and Benchmarking.com.au

Pharmacy

Range Min

Pharmacy

Range

Max

RSM

Profitable

BM.com.au

Cornerstore

≥$600k

BM.com.au

Health Food

Retailers

≥$650k

BM.com.au

General

Practitioners

$750k to $1.5m

BM.com.au

Supermarkets

< $1.5m

SALES, EXPENSES &

PROFITABILITY

SALES 1,431,537 1,323,803 1,097,108 787,537

COST OF GOODS SOLD 50% 82% 61% 67% 55% N/A 68%

GROSS MARGIN 18% 50% 39% 33% 45% 32%

TOTAL REVENUE

EXPENSES

Salaries and Wages 0.5% 108.7% 11.4% 12.1% 37.6% 9.1%

Rent Paid 0.2% 29.0% 3.2% 5.7% 6.2% 3.2%

TOTAL EXPENSES (bos) 17.3% 41.9% 17.3%

TOTAL INCOME (bos) -3.6% 21.6% 21.6% 9.6% 9.5% 38.1% 8.9%

EBITDA (bos) 0.5% 34.7% 25.2% 11.7% 13.0% 41.7% 12.6%

INVENTORY ANALYSIS

STOCK CARRIED 7.2% 14.8% 3% 10.8% N/A 5%

STOCK TURN 4.37 8.61 26 5 N/A 14

STATISTICS

TOTAL HOURS OPEN per WEEK 37 81 81 46 50 55

Item

Micro ($0-$2m)

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Appendix 5: Selected methodologies

The PBS database is large and complex. Accordingly, there is considerable complexity involved in extracting the

correct information from the PBS database.

This appendix section outlines the methodologies used for some of the key PBS data analyses that this report

contains. These include the methodologies that are relevant to the:

analysis of locations of patients, pharmacies and prescribers;

analysis of top 10 over co-payment medicines;

analysis of top 10 under co-payment medicines;

nominal rate of assistance to patients from price variations;

effect of price variation by pharmacy type and PhARIA;

patient gain or loss from price variation and $1 discount;

distribution of e-script uptake and dangerous drug dispensing in pharmacies; and

distribution of high cost medicine in pharmacies.

These methodologies were developed working in collaboration with the Department of Health’s data team.

Analysis of locations of patients, pharmacies and prescriber

Table 1: Location of patient, prescriber and pharmacy by type of patient Location of consumer, prescriber and pharmacy

Consumer

and

pharmacy in

same

postcode

Prescriber

and

pharmacy in

same

postcode

Consumer,

prescriber

and

pharmacy in

same

postcode

Consumer,

prescriber

and

pharmacy in

different

postcodes

Concessional non-safety net 145,061,002 49% 58% 53% 37% 26%

Conessional safety net 43,712,612 15% 63% 53% 40% 24%

General non-safety net (over co-payment) 14,486,038 5% 45% 41% 23% 37%

General non-safety net (under co-payment) 80,762,096 27% 46% 47% 28% 34%

General safety net 3,192,802 1% 58% 46% 32% 28%

RPBS non-safety net 7,408,118 2% 59% 53% 39% 27%

PRBS safety net 2,936,671 1% 47% 53% 31% 31%

Prescriber Bag 382,285 0% 0% 72% 0% 27%

ALL 297,941,624 100% 55% 51% 34% 29%

Patient typeNumber of

scripts

Percentage

of total

scripts

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Analysis of top ten under co-payment medicines

Table 5: Differences in the prices paid by general patients per pack for the top 10 under co-payment medicines (September 2016)

Figure 9: Frequency distribution of the price paid by general patients in September 2016 for the top 10 under co-payment medicines

01215Y PARACETAMOL + CODEINE $11.36 86 $11.41 $4.78

01394J LEVONORGESTREL + ETHINYLOESTRADIOL $18.28 101 $16.08 $5.2401889K AMOXYCILLIN $11.89 176 $12.01 $4.8803119E CEPHALEXIN $12.13 158 $12.66 $4.9508008L PANTOPRAZOLE $14.05 99 $11.81 $4.9908215J ATORVASTATIN $15.85 74 $13.06 $5.9908254K AMOXYCILLIN + CLAVULANIC ACID $13.33 186 $13.66 $5.4508600P ESOMEPRAZOLE $24.09 112 $21.00 $6.3008700X ESCITALOPRAM $13.50 74 $12.46 $5.8009043Y ROSUVASTATIN $21.39 202 $17.22 $6.46

Standard

deviation of

actual price

to

consumer

per pack

Average

actual price

paid by

consumer

per pack

Scripts

('000)Item Code Drug Name

Dispensed

Price at

Maximum

Quantity

(DPMQ)

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Distribution of pharmacies’ e-script uptakes and distribution of pharmacies dangerous drug proportion of total PBS scripts

Figure 31: Scatter plots – percentage of e-scripts vs percentage of dangerous drug scripts

Each dot represents a pharmacy.

There is a very large variance in

the proportion of e-scripts over

all PBS scripts, ranging from 0%

to 80%.

The variance in proportion of

dangerous scripts are much

smaller from 0% to 10% for the

majority of pharmacies.

Figure 32: Distribution of percentage of dangerous drug scripts by PhARIA

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Distribution of pharmacies high cost medicine proportion of total PBS scripts

Figure 30: Distribution of proportion of high cost medicine sales across pharmacies in different PhARIA

Each dot represents a pharmacy.

Figure 29: Distribution of the value of high cost medicine sales expressed as a proportion of total PBS sales across pharmacies

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Appendix 6: RPMA case studies

Postcode 2680

In the locality of Griffith, NSW, 6 pharmacies have received RPMA payments for the 2015-16 financial year with

a total value of $47,021. All pharmacies in this locality are classified as PhARIA 2 pharmacies. It appears that

not all pharmacies in the locality are receiving RPMA payments. The reason for this is not clear, but could be

due to the following factors:

Pharmacies are required to apply and not all eligible pharmacies may have applied for RPMA payments

Eligibility for RPMA reduces as script volume increases, for the relevant PhARIA rating of the pharmacy

Figure 24: Pharmacies in Griffith locality (Postcode 2680)

Source: Publicly available on Google Maps

Figure 25: Postcode area 2680

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Postcode 0870

In the locality of Alice Springs, NT, pharmacies have received RPMA payments for the 2015-16 financial year

with a total value of $ . All pharmacies in this locality are classified as PhARIA 5 pharmacies.

Figure 26: Pharmacies in Alice Springs locality (Postcode 0870)

Source: Publicly available on Google Maps

Figure 27: Postcode area 0870

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Postcode data

Table 36: RPMA postcode case study: summary of pharmacies within postcodes receiving RPMA

Source: The Department of Health

Notes:

1. RPMA payments analysed for 2015-162. PhARIA and postcode data have been obtained from de-identified and cleansed $1 discount and prescription data sets

provided by the Department of health. These data sets contains 2014-15 PhARIA values. 3. Some discrepancies have been noted in the provided data and note that further work is required to provide an accurate

representation of RPMA payments as a whole. The case studies are not materially affected by these discrepancies. 4. PhARIA ratings for pharmacies can vary considerably within some postcodes, e.g. postcode 4702 contains pharmacies

that range from PhARIA 1 to PhARIA 6.

Conclusion

It appears that there are pharmacies within close vicinity of each other that are receiving RPMA payments.

According to The Department of Health the purpose of the RPMA is as follows: “The Rural Pharmacy

Maintenance Allowance (RPMA), available from 1 January 2001, provides ongoing support to pharmacies in

rural and remote communities. In recognition of the additional financial burden of maintaining a pharmacy in rural

and remote locations this monthly allowance assists these pharmacies to continue to provide quality

pharmaceutical services.

Payments are structured to provide an increased level of assistance to areas of greater need, taking into

account the relative remoteness of the pharmacy according to the Pharmacy ARIA, and the level of that

pharmacy's PBS and RPBS claimable processed prescriptions paid by the Medicare.” 10

The 6 CPA outlines its purpose as “... to support improved access to PBS medicines and pharmacy services for

people in rural and remote regions of Australia, through the provision of a support allowance which recognises

the additional financial burden of maintaining a pharmacy in these areas.”11

This raises the question as to whether the existence of clustered RPMA recipients aligns with the intended

purpose of the RPMA program. For example, in the case study above on postcode 2680 (Griffith locality), not all

of the pharmacies receive RPMA payments. However, firstly there are a large number of pharmacies in this

locality and secondly, not all of these pharmacies are receiving RPMA payments. Without being privy to the

financial information of each of the pharmacies in this locality, it appears as though some pharmacies are viable

in this locality without the RPMA. The high number of pharmacies could potentially also indicate that setting up a

pharmacy in this locality is not RPMA dependent.

10 The Department of Health, http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/health-pbs- general-pharmacy.htm, accessed 24 March 2017

11 6 CPA, http://6cpa.com.au/rural-support-programmes/rural-pharmacy-maintenance-allowance, accessed 24 March 2017

Financial

Year

Pharmacy

PostcodeLocality

TOTAL

NUMBER

OF

PHARMACIES

Number of

pharmacies

claiming

RPMA

Total

PresciptionsRPMA

2680 Griffith 10 6 47,021$

2015-16

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Interestingly, the stated objective of the RPMA (as per The Department of Health above) is not to incentivise the

establishment of pharmacies in rural and remote areas, but rather to provide financial assistance towards

maintaining pharmacies in rural and remote areas of Australia. The 6CPA reference above appears to place

more emphasis on improved access, implying that the purpose of the RPMA is intended also as an incentive for

pharmacists to establish pharmacies in rural and remote areas. Both references above do, however, refer to the

intended recipients as pharmacies servicing people in rural and remote regions of Australia. On that note, the

RPMA payment matrix in Table 38 refers to pharmacies PhARIA 2 and PhARIA 3 as accessible, yet they are

eligible for RPMA payments even up to moderate script volumes. It is not clear to what extent the RPMA serves

its purpose as stated in 6CPA of improving access to PBS medicines and pharmacy services to people in rural

and remote regions of Australia. It appears that it would be beneficial to revisit the appropriateness of the RPMA

program and the RPMA payment matrix.

Table 37: Total RPMA payments paid to PhARIA 2 to 6 pharmacies for the 2014-15 and 2015-16 financial years

Source: The Department of Health

Table 38: RPMA payment matrix 2016-17

Source: 6th Community Pharmacy Agreement

Financial Year

Total RPMA

Payments to

pharmacies

2015 13,959,446$

2016 13,452,312$

27,411,758$

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Appendix 7: Additional information

Average remuneration per script by pharmacy

Figure 28 indicates the average remuneration per script for each pharmacy (each black dot) over the period

2012-13 to 2016-217. Note that pharmacy remuneration is estimated from PBS data and does not reflect trading

terms, discounts, etc. This applies to all findings in this report.

In particular, it indicates that:

over the fifth Community Pharmacy Agreement period (2012-13 to 2014-15), the average remuneration per

script for each pharmacy was around $10 (and ranged from around $7 to $32 per script);

over the fifth Community Pharmacy Agreement period (2012-13 to 2014-15), the average remuneration per

script for each pharmacy was around $10 (and ranged from around $7 to $32 per script);

over the sixth Community Pharmacy Agreement period (2015-16 to 2016-17), the average remuneration per

script has increased to around $11.30 (and ranges from around $8 to $37 per script).

Holding all else equal, this means that if a $10 flat fee was introduced for dispensing, most pharmacies would

lose at least $1.30 per script, with some pharmacies losing up to $27 per script (e.g. specialist pharmacies

dispensing high cost medicines). This raises questions as to whether the $10 flat fee should apply to those

limited numbers of specialist pharmacies.

Figure 28: Average remuneration per script by pharmacy

Source: PBS data

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High cost medicines

The figures outlined below provide information on the distribution of the high cost medicine sales over PhARIA.

This is intended to provide the Review with some empirical information on the potential impact of a capped ex-

manufacturer’s price. The high cost medicine is defined as medicine with a per pack price above $700.

As illustrated in the figures below, for the vast majority of the pharmacies:

the sales of high cost medicine accounts for around 5% to 10% of the total PBS sales; and

in general, there is no significant difference across PhARIA, with the exception of a few pharmacies

specialised in high cost medicine in PhARIA 1.

As a result, the financial impact of introducing a capped ex-manufacturer’s price is likely to be very small for

most pharmacies other than the few specialised ones.

For example, assuming a medicine cost $1,000, with ex-manufacturer’s price capped at $700, a pharmacy will

need $300 less for holding the inventory or a saving of $15 (assuming an interest rate at 5%). This is equivalent

to 1.5% of the medicine cost ($1000). As high cost medicine accounts for 5% to 10% of the total PBS Sales, the

net impact on profit will be around 0.075% to 0.15%.

Figure 29: Distribution of the value of high cost medicine sales expressed as a proportion of total PBS sales across pharmacies in different PhARIA

Source: PBS data

Notes: See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used

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Figure 30: Distribution of proportion of high cost medicine sales across pharmacies in different PhARIA

Source: PBS data

Notes:

1. The PBS sales data extracted from PBS dataset for FY15/16, while the PhARIA data are as at March 2015. As a

consequence, the new and relocated pharmacies in FY15/16 will not have a corresponding PhARIA and are classified

as N/A.

2. Scripts includes broken pack are excluded in the calculation of the total sales of medicine over $700. However, those

are included in the calculation of total pack.

3. Chemotherapy drugs are excluded in the calculation of high cost (>$700) medicine, but included in the calculation of

total.

4. See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used

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Electronic prescriptions and dangerous drugs

The two figures below show the distribution of e-Scripts and dangerous drugs respectively as a percentage of

total scripts.

In general:

the up-take for e-script (Figure 31) appears to be:

quite uniformly distributed from 0% to 75% (except the spike at 0%); and

independent of the PhARIA in which the pharmacy is located;

dangerous drugs account for 0% to 8% of the total scripts, with the median around 3% to 4% (Figure 32).

The distribution across all PhARIA appears to be quite similar.

Figure 31: Distribution of e-Scripts as a proportion of total scripts by pharmacies in different PhARIA

Source: PBS data

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Figure 32: Distribution of percentage of dangerous drug scripts by PhARIA

Source: PBS data

Notes:

1. The PBS sales data extracted from PBS dataset for FY15/16, while the PhARIA data are as at March 2015. As a consequence, the new and relocated pharmacies in FY15/16 will not have a corresponding PhARIA and are classified as N/A and is not show in the graph above.

2. See Appendix 5 for outline of methodology used

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Trends in dispensing by hospital pharmacies

As indicated in the table below, over the period 2012-13 to 2015-16:

there has been little change in the proportion of total scripts dispensed by hospital pharmacies;

by contrast, the proportion of total PBS revenue paid to hospital pharmacies has almost doubled (from 8.4%

to 16.43%).

This suggests that the cost of medicines dispensed by hospitals is increasing over time (they are dispensing

more expensive medicines each year).

Table 39: Trends in script volumes and PBS revenue for community and hospital pharmacies 2012-13 to 2015-16

Source: PBS data

Additional fees paid to TGA licensed chemotherapy compounding facilities

Table 40: Additional fees paid to TGA licensed chemo compounding facilities

Source: Department of Health data

Community

Pharmacy

Hospital

Pharmacy

Community

Pharmacy

Hospital

Pharmacy

Community

Pharmacy

Hospital

Pharmacy

Community

Pharmacy

Hospital

Pharmacy

2012-13 272,651,887 4,666,891 98.32% 1.68% 10,514,627,073 964,064,058 91.60% 8.40%

2013-14 281,896,725 5,239,335 98.18% 1.82% 10,520,641,901 1,431,369,662 88.02% 11.98%

2014-15 288,820,853 5,511,341 98.13% 1.87% 10,231,074,832 1,592,363,263 86.53% 13.47%

2015-16 292,294,016 5,553,957 98.14% 1.86% 11,561,458,206 2,272,226,301 83.57% 16.43%

Year

Script Count PBS Revenue ($)

Total % Total %

Total Payments Doses Payment per Dose

12,742,800.00$ 637,140 20.00$

CCPS $20 compound fee summary:

TGA licensed facilities

1 July 2015 to 30 June 2016

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COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

Appendix 8: Location of pharmacies and the total PBS remuneration they receive

Figure 33: Distribution of pharmacies across regional areas of Sydney and total PBS per pharmacy

Source: PBS data

Notes: The areas shaded in red indicate areas of lower socio economic status and the blue shaded areas indicate areas of

higher socio-economic status.

The yellow vertical bars indicate the total PBS remuneration received by each pharmacy.

Figure 34: Distribution of pharmacies across regional areas of Melbourne and total PBS per pharmacy

Source: PBS data

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Appendix 9: Wholesale distribution of pharmaceuticals

This appendix presents the key results of the analysis of the effects that current pharmaceutical wholesale

remuneration and regulation have on:

distributional equity – that is, the extent to which current arrangements achieve the government’s objective

of ensuring that:

pharmacies have equitable access to affordable wholesale supplies of the pharmaceuticals they need to

provide Australians with the medicines they need to meet their health needs; and

pharmaceutical wholesalers receive equitable remuneration to compensate them for the efficient costs of

purchasing, storing and distributing pharmaceuticals on behalf of the government;

economic efficiency – that is, the extent to which the current arrangements encourage the:

efficient purchasing and use of pharmaceutical inputs, as well as other inputs, by wholesalers,

pharmacies and Australians (“consumption efficiency”); and

efficient supply of pharmaceuticals, as well as other related inputs, by wholesalers to pharmacies

(“production efficiency”);

fiscal sustainability – that is, the extent to which the current wholesale remuneration arrangements are

sustainable in the medium to longer term.

This analysis has been set out in a separate appendix in view of the commercially sensitive nature of some of

the key financial information provided to the Review on the wholesale distribution of pharmaceuticals.

A9.1 Distributional Equity

A9.1.1 Equity of access of pharmacies to affordable pharmaceuticals

The equity of access that Australians have to the medicines they need to meet their health needs does not just

depend on their proximity to the nearest pharmacy. Rather, it also depends on the equity of access that

pharmacies have to affordable supplies of pharmaceuticals required to supply those medicines to patients.

Currently, there are three main types of pharmaceutical wholesaling in Australia:

short-line wholesaling, which involves the wholesaler purchasing a limited range of products from the

manufacturers and distributing those products to pharmacies (e.g. high volume medicines to metropolitan

pharmacies);

full-line wholesaling, which involves the wholesaler purchasing the full range of products from the

manufacturers and distributing those products to all pharmacies (Community Service Obligation, or CSO,

wholesaling). CSO wholesalers are subject to the CSO Service Standards and CSO Compliance

Requirements which define the minimum services, standards and operating arrangements. The Standards

include a requirement to stock the full range of available PBS items (as defined under the CSO) and to

deliver them to any pharmacy in Australia (except a few very remote locations) generally within 24 hours of

regular order cut-off time. At the moment, there four national CSO wholesalers and one State based

wholesaler:

Sigma Pharmaceuticals Limited (national distributer);

Ebos Group Limited, also known as Symbion Pharmacy Services Pty Ltd (national distributer);

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A9.1.2 Equity of wholesale remuneration arrangements

In order to ensure that Australians have equitable access to affordable medicines, it is also important to ensure

that the wholesalers that distribute pharmaceuticals to pharmacies also receive sufficient compensation for the

efficient costs of the services they provide on behalf of the government, which include the:

procurement of pharmaceuticals from manufacturers;

storage of those pharmaceuticals; and

distribution of those pharmaceuticals to pharmacies.

What information is available on the efficient costs of pharmaceutical wholesaling?

In order to assess the extent to which the current remuneration arrangements are achieving their intended

objective of compensating pharmaceutical wholesalers for the efficient costs of purchasing, storing and

distributing pharmaceuticals on behalf of the government, it is necessary to have information on the efficient

costs of performing those activities.

Once again, however, there is very little information currently available on efficient costs that pharmaceutical

wholesalers incur in order to purchase, store and distribute pharmaceuticals on behalf of the government. The

remuneration that is currently provided to pharmaceutical wholesalers is not the result of a rigorous process that

is focused on estimating the efficient costs of performing those activities. Rather, that remuneration is more a

reflection of historical precedent, as modified by successive rounds of negotiation between the Pharmacy Guild

and the government.

As a result, most of the information that is currently available to the Review relates to the average revenue and

costs that pharmaceutical wholesalers actually derive and incur from the purchase, storage and distribution of

pharmaceuticals on behalf of the government, as opposed to the efficient marginal costs of preforming those

services. This requires information on the “arms-length” marginal costs of performing those services, not the

average costs that wholesalers currently incur in order to supply those services, or estimates of the long run

marginal costs incurred, on average, by wholesalers.

Table 41 summarises the main sources of financial data currently available to the Review on the wholesaling of

pharmaceuticals in Australia, which include:

Pfizer’s submission to the Review (23 September 2016);

DHL’s submission to the Review, Sustainable distribution of PBS,DHL SUMMARY for Pharmacy

Remuneration review (February 2016);

IBISWorld’s Industry Report F3721 on Pharmaceuticals Wholesaling in Australia (August 2016); and

.

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It is important to note, however, that:

there are significant practical difficulties associated with estimating the incremental operating and capital

costs incurred by CSO wholesalers (e.g. due to the difficulties associated with allocating costs across CSO

wholesaling and other activities performed by the CSO wholesalers, as well as determining the extent to

which those costs would not have been incurred if they had not performed CSO wholesaling activities on

behalf of the government); and

Although there is little information available on the profits being derived by the wholesaling activities of those

pharmaceutical manufacturers that supply direct to pharmacies, it is reasonable to expect that those profits

would be greater than those derived by CSO wholesalers in view of the:

significant cost savings to be derived from direct marketing of pharmaceuticals to pharmacies.

ability of major pharmaceutical manufacturers to use their significant market power to negotiate more

favourable contracts with pharmacies.

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Figure 36: Efficiencies gained from direct wholesaling

How equitable are the current pharmaceutical wholesaler remuneration arrangements?

Currently, short-line and direct wholesalers are remunerated at a rate of 7.52 per cent of the ex-manufacturer’s

price of the pharmaceuticals they distribute on behalf of the government (the price negotiated between the

pharmaceutical manufacturers and the government), which is capped at a mark-up of $69.94.

Full-line wholesalers (CSO wholesalers), receive the same remuneration as short-line wholesalers, plus

additional remuneration to cover the additional costs associated with distributing the full range of

pharmaceuticals to all Australian pharmacies and fill orders within 24 hours of regular order cut-off time. This

additional CSO funding, which is currently around per script on average for national distributers, is

determined by:

spreading the annual capped amount of government funding that is available to fund CSO wholesaling

($195.22m) by twelve to determine the total amount of remuneration available each month; and

apportioning this monthly amount of remuneration across each of the CSO wholesalers in accordance with

their unit volume sales for that month (the amount of remuneration received by each CSO wholesaler is

determined in monthly arrears by their share of total sales).

Table 42 illustrates the effects that the current base remuneration arrangements for all wholesalers have on the:

amount of remuneration provided to wholesalers, which increases significantly with the ex-manufacturer’s

price of the medicine; and

nominal rate of assistance that a wholesaler receives from distributing different priced medicines, which

remains at 7.52 per cent of the ex-manufacturer’s price of the medicine up to the point where the mark up

cap of $69.94 is reached, after which it declines as the ex-manufacturer’s price increases.

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This has the intended effect of providing wholesalers with a level of remuneration that increases with the ex-

manufacturer’s cost of the medicine to compensate them for the higher costs associated with:

financing the purchase and maintenance of sufficient stocks of medicines to meet demand, which requires

higher levels of working capital, the higher the cost of those medicines;

storing medicines, which once again can increase with the cost of those medicines (e.g. due to need for

specialised facilities to store those medicines at a controlled temperature);

replacing spoiled stock, which can also increase with the cost of the medicine (e.g. due to the shorter shelf

life of those medicines);

insuring the stocks of medicines, which also increase with the cost of the stocks stored and distributed;

financing bad debts, which also increase with the cost of medicines supplied.

It is important to note, however, that current wholesaler remuneration arrangements are not based on estimates

of the efficient costs of purchasing, storing, and distributing pharmaceuticals to pharmacies. Rather, like the

remuneration arrangements for pharmacies, they are the result of historical precedent as amended by an

ongoing process of negotiation. As a result, it is inevitable that those remuneration arrangements will over-

remunerate wholesalers for some of the pharmaceuticals they supply and under-remunerates them for others.

For example, the current remuneration arrangements for all wholesalers have the potential to:

over-remunerate those wholesalers that purchase and store either high volumes of low cost medicines, or

low volumes of high cost medicines and distribute those medicines relatively short distances to pharmacies

(it tends to provide relatively high effective rates of assistance to short line wholesalers that supply nearby

pharmacies); and

under-remunerate those wholesalers that purchase, store and distribute to the more remote regions of

Australia. This is, of course, the key reason why a Community Service Order (CSO) funding pool was

created in order to provide wholesalers with additional remuneration to cover the additional costs of

delivering pharmaceuticals to those more remote communities. In particular, under the standard

remuneration arrangements, there is a risk of under-funding those wholesalers that purchase, store and

distribute:

low cost pharmaceuticals in relatively low volumes to the more remote regions of Australia (e.g. full-line

CSO wholesalers); and

high cost medicines to the more remote regions of Australia (e.g. full-line CSO wholesalers). For

example, as illustrated in Figure 37, the NPSA submission to the Review argues that under the current

funding arrangements, CSO wholesalers are distributing high cost medicines with a price in excess of

$5,000 at a loss (they argue that the current cap of $69.94 is insufficient to cover the costs that full-line

wholesalers have to incur in order to distribute high cost medicines costing more than $5,000).

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Table 42: Illustration of how the current wholesaler remuneration arrangements affect the nominal rates of assistance provided to the wholesale distribution of medicines with different prices

Source: Review Team

Notes:

1. Wholesaler remuneration is an estimate because trading terms etc. between pharmacies and wholesalers are largely unknown.

Figure 37: Full line wholesaler costs for distributing high cost drugs

MedicineEx manufacturer's

price

Remuneration

to wholesaler

Nominal rate

of assistance

to wholesaler

Medicine 1 $10 $0.752 7.5%

Medicine 2 $30 $2.256 7.5%

Medicine 3 $70 $5.264 7.5%

Medicine 4 $100 $7.520 7.5%

Medicine 5 $400 $30.080 7.5%

Medicine 6 $930 $69.936 7.5%

Medicine 7 $1,000 $69.936 7.0%

Medicine 8 $1,500 $69.936 4.7%

Medicine 9 $2,000 $69.936 3.5%

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A9.2 Economic Efficiency

A9.2.1 Consumption efficiency

In addition to improving the equity of access of Australians to affordable medicines and equitably compensating

wholesalers for the purchase, storage and distribution of pharmaceuticals, it is also important to reduce any

unintended adverse effects that the remuneration arrangements for wholesalers have on the economic efficiency

with which pharmaceuticals are purchased and used by wholesalers, pharmacies and by Australians.

The current remuneration arrangements provide a significant level of financial assistance to the wholesalers that

supply the pharmaceuticals that pharmacies dispense. This has the intended effect of significantly increasing

both the quantity and range of pharmaceuticals supplied to pharmacies and the individuals who purchase their

medicines from those pharmacies.

In addition, as indicated in Table 42, the current remuneration arrangements also provide wholesalers with the

same nominal rate of assistance for supplying pharmaceuticals that have ex-manufacturer’s prices of up to

$930. This means that if all wholesalers incurred the same costs, these remuneration arrangements would not

unintentionally distort the decisions that wholesalers make regarding the types and quantities of pharmaceuticals

to purchase and store, or the pharmacies to supply.

As discussed further in section A6.2.2, however, since wholesalers incur different costs, this potentially has the

unintended effect of providing the highest effective rates of assistance to those wholesalers that purchase

relatively high cost medicines to supply to nearby pharmacies.

In addition, although the $69.94 cap that is imposed on the level of remuneration provided to all wholesalers

might reduce fiscal costs and reduce the extent to which the remuneration arrangements potentially

unintentionally encourage wholesalers to supply higher cost pharmaceuticals to nearby pharmacies, it can also

have the unintended effect of discouraging short line wholesalers from purchasing, storing and supplying high

cost medicines with ex-manufacturer’s prices in excess of $930 since wholesalers receive lower nominal rates of

assistance for distributing those pharmaceuticals.

A9.2.1 Production efficiency

As noted in section A6.2, however, since the current remuneration arrangements for all pharmacies wholesalers

are not based on estimates of the efficient costs of purchasing, storing and distributing pharmaceuticals to

pharmacies, it is inevitable that those arrangements will over-fund the supply some wholesalers for some of the

pharmaceuticals they supply, and under-fund others.

These potentially unintended effects not only reduce the equity with which wholesalers are remunerated, but

also potentially distort the decisions of wholesalers regarding the:

types and quantities of pharmaceuticals to purchase and store;

as well as the location of pharmacies to supply.

In particular, the current remuneration arrangements for all wholesalers have the potentially unintended effects

of providing the highest effective rates of assistance for those wholesalers that:

purchase and store pharmaceuticals with an ex-manufacturer’s price of less than $930; and

distribute those pharmaceuticals to nearby pharmacies.

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This is one of the reasons why the wholesale mark up has been reduced in the past and a separate CSO

funding pool was introduced.

In the first, second and third Community Pharmacy Agreements (CPAs), wholesalers received a markup or 11.1

per cent on the cost of the pharmaceutical and there was no obligation to supply pharmaceuticals to the more

remote regions of Australia.

This had the unintended effect of providing the highest effective rates of assistance to those wholesalers who

distributed the highest values of pharmaceuticals (e.g. high volumes of low value pharmaceuticals, or low

volumes of very high cost pharmaceuticals) the shortest distances, which encouraged the growth in market

share of short-line wholesalers.

In an effort to reduce those unintended adverse effects on both the equity of access of Australians to affordable

medicines and the economic efficiency of pharmacy wholesaling, the fourth CPA:

reduced the wholesale mark up from 11.1 per cent to 7.52 per cent;

placed a ceiling on the mark up of $69.94; and

created a Community Service Order (CSO) funding pool to fund the additional costs associated with

supplying a full range of pharmaceuticals within 24 hours to all areas of Australia, particularly the more

remote regions.

A9.3 Fiscal Sustainability

The main instruments that the government has at its disposal to control the fiscal costs of the current

remuneration arrangements for pharmaceutical wholesalers include the:

“price conditional subsidy” negotiations that occur between the government and pharmaceutical

manufacturers that set the maximum prices that manufacturers agree to charge in return for listing of the

pharmaceuticals they supply, which results in the subsidisation of the prices that wholesalers, pharmacies

and patients have to pay for those pharmaceuticals. Although those negotiations are beyond the scope of

the Review, it is important to note that their outcome has important implications for both the fiscal and

economic costs of the current pharmaceutical wholesale remuneration arrangements since the amount of

remuneration paid to wholesalers is a percentage of the ex-manufacturer’s price of those pharmaceuticals;

price disclosure arrangements that require pharmaceutical manufacturers to disclose the prices that they

charge for the pharmaceuticals they supply that are listed on the PBS. This constrains the extent to which

those manufacturers can charge the government higher prices for pharmaceuticals than they charge

wholesalers and pharmacies for those pharmaceuticals (it reduces the extent to which manufacturers are

able to “discount” the prices of the pharmaceuticals they supply). Estimates of the fiscal savings from those

price disclosure arrangements are set out in Figure 38.

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Appendix 10: Glossary

Term Definition

Co-payment Refers to the upper limit of the price to a patient for a script for a patient

category ($38.80 for general patients or $6.30 for concessional patients)

Deadweight Cost The harm caused to economic efficiency and production by taxation.

Dispensed price Commonwealth dispensed price for maximum quantity (DPMQ). If

quantities other than maximum quantity are dispensed it refers to the

DPMQ of the script adjusted for quantity differences.

Distributional Equity The extent to which the current arrangements, and any proposed changes

to those arrangements, achieve the government’s objective of ensuring

that:

Australians have equitable access to affordable medicines,

regardless of their location and wealth; and

pharmacies receive equitable remuneration to compensate them

for the efficient costs of supplying medicines on behalf of the

government.

Economic Efficiency The extent to which current arrangements and any proposed changes to

those arrangements encourage the:

efficient use of medicines as well as other goods and services

(consumption efficiency); and

efficient supply of medicines, as well as other related goods and

services and the efficient use of resources by those activities

(production efficiency).

Economic rents “Monopoly” or “super normal” profits and rates of return that exceed normal

rates of return

Effective rate of

assistance

The change in value added before and after government assistance (e.g.

subsidy), expressed as a proportion of value added before government

assistance

Generalised cost In transport economics, the generalised cost is the sum of monetary and

non-monetary costs of a journey.

Nominal Rate of

assistance

The percentage by which government policies have raised or lowered gross

revenue or costs above what they would be without the government's

intervention

Value added Returns to factors of production (land, labour, capital and enterprise) the

difference between the total sales revenue and the total cost of materials,

and services purchased from other firms. The use of high and low value

adding activities in the report refers to its meaning in an economic context

rather than a health outcome context.

Assisted value

added (AVA)

AVA is equal to the value of outputs less the value of inputs in the presence

of government subsidy

Unassisted value

added (UVA)

UVA is equal to the value of outputs less the value of inputs in the absence

of government subsidy