final project (fin435)
TRANSCRIPT
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Executive Summary
This is an investment simulation, where we have invested tk10,00,000 in the DSE by valuing
different stocks and then we measured the portfolio performance using our theoretical knowledge
of investment. We managed our portfolio by dividing the time horizon into 3 phases. At first we
have analyzed the market situation and allocated our investment assets using the analysis. Next 2
phases were prepared using investment knowledge and theories. We have gained a good amount
of profit, tk 2,95,615 by investing in the DSE from 28th October to 2nd December. Then we have
measured our portfolio performance and discussed about it. We also have observed the market
factors and tried to figure out how our portfolio has been affected by those factors.
Introduction
Being relevant in today’s business world without knowledge is not possible. As part of our
course fin435- “investment analysis and portfolio management” requirement, we got a fictitious
portfolio of TK 1,000,000 in our disposal to invest in the stocks of DSE (Dhaka Stock Exchange)
for our investment simulation project on September 30, 2010 to enrich our practical knowledge.
Our investment time horizon started at September, 2010 and ended at December 02, 2010.
During this time horizon we got the three phases to change our investment. In first phase with the
amount of TK 1,000,000 we invest in 14 different companies’ stock which is mainly based on
P/E ratio, EPS. In the first phase we make some mistakes because of our lacking knowledge in
stock investment. And in the second and third phase of our simulation project we able to judge
firm specific risk, systematic risk, return, sharp ratio, trey nor ratio which helps us to chose better
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stock for investment. And by learning from our investment course, we are able to invest in more
stable stocks in Dhaka Stock Exchange.
OBJECTIVE
Our objective of this project is to build our knowledge and ability to make our own investment
decision in the stock market and maximize our after tax wealth in the portfolio through trading of
our selected stocks. We know that the market return is uncertain but to some extent it is
predictable. The gap between forecasted values and actual values always exists. Our objective is
to make predictions and choose stocks so that we get a minimum risky portfolio with healthy
returns.
Asset allocation
As per our course instructor advised us, we tried to spread our investment over different industry.
Also we cannot invest too much in one stock. Keeping this into mind and with constrains of
market lot each stock, we tried to weight our stocks according to utility value in the 2nd phase
and we weighted the stocks according to treynor ratio. Sometimes it was not possible to weight
the stocks exactly according to the utility value or the treynor value, for example, while we
calculated utility value during the second portfolio, we found that Dhaka insurance has the
highest utility value(6.25) and it has a market lot of 50, 1577tk each stock. If we had bought 2 lot
of Dhaka insurance, then too much weight would have been given, which is not a good
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diversification strategy. So we had to give less weight to this stock. Also we tried to weight the
portfolio in such a way so that the portfolio beta is less than 1.
During the 3rd phase stock weight selection, treynor ratio was our main tool. Also we chose
stocks with very low beta, such as Padma oil, to keep portfolio beta less than 1. So while
allocating our asset, our target was to allocate assets in such a way so that our portfolio is
diversified and gives a fair return for taking some risks.
Macroeconomic and industry scene
Top down investing tends to lead to good diversification. We have used this strategy which
begins with a look at the overall economic picture and then narrows it down to sectors, industries
and companies that are expected to perform well. So at the beginning, we need to consider the
fact like macroeconomic factors of our country.
Macroeconomic factors showed significant impacts on the share market-Dhaka stock exchange.
Because of this, our portfolio has also faced the impact of it. They had a significant influence
over the share market directly and indirectly both. Various macroeconomic factors as well as
political factors caused fluctuations and disturbances also in the market.
Macro economic variables such as the country’s economy and country statistics such as national
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth, inflation, interest rates, trends, trade balances, currency
movements, export and import, remittances receipts are used to determine where to invest and in
what types of assets. Recession- the economic meltdown throughout the world may be also a
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considerable factor here .Our portfolio was influenced by these trends and they affected on our
investment strategies.
Market index is sharply increasing day by day as liquidity in DSE is increasing and there is a low
supply but high demand in the market; they are controlling the low profile stocks when it is
increasing unexpectedly. So SEC (Security Exchange Commission) is taking various steps to
control it or to stop it. Like, they recommending decreasing the amount of loan to invest in a
stock. They are imposing restrictions for it and want investment on cash basis. DSE is also
halting some of the stocks trading due to it. For example, on 23rd November, DSE halted trading
of 13 shares to control the unusual price hike. The shares were- Sonali Ansh, Tallu Spinning,
Miracle industry, United airways etc.DSE revolution has also increased as some IPOs and new
stocks are entering at the market.
Our country’s capital market showed a robust performance in 2010. Stock prices showed
significant upturn during the year. Different monthly average price indexes at Dhaka stock
exchange (DSE) was increasing as well as the daily average turnover improved showing some
fluctuations in 2010. Our country has been identified to be least affected one although economic
meltdown occurs around the world. It’s because our banking sector is not that much affected by
the global situation and the share market is not related with the international market.
However, the economy is facing some major challenges that require identification and remedy
through policy measures. Underinvestment over the years has resulted in acute deficiencies,
especially in power and gas sector.
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Remittances receipts during july-october,2010, decreased by 0.90 percent from the previous year
which means decrease of foreign currency reserve. It indirectly may affect the share market.
Due to power crisis and gas crisis, industrialization became slow, that’s why, people are looking
for alternative investment in real estate and share trading. So in share market, the prices are
increasing as the demand is getting higher than the supply.
Bangladesh bank also has increased the reserve ratio recently to squeeze the money supply from
market.
Although there is no statistical measure of political stability, it is just as important a factor in
determining the risks involved in a country. For example when the opposing party called the
strike, DSE index went down on 28th and 29th November, influencing more or less all the stocks.
Market sentiment is also another variable.
During the year, a good number of mutual funds and companies were listed in DSE and investing
in mutual funds is less risky.
The annual average rate of inflation also increased resulting in increase of the price of food
grains. Inflation increase made the money circulation high.
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Trading strategies
Our investment horizon started from September,30, 2010 and ended at December, 2, 2010.
During this period we have seen the market situation, analyzed different company stocks and
selected our optimum portfolio using different theories. We looked at not only the profitability
but also at the reliability and stability of stocks. Our investment period was divided into three
time phases and we had to select different portfolios at different phases.
“Top down” investment approach looks at the big picture. The idea in a top down approach is to
weigh broad macro variables and then shift investments accordingly i.e. to make money by
shifting assets rather than by analyzing companies. Picking individual securities is the last step in
this strategy. We have focused on company’s financial situation as well as forecasting of future
financial price movements and trends based on market various activity.
Stock selection(phase 1):
At the first phase we had very little knowledge on theoretical stock selection process, still we
selected the stocks based on the industry stability, low P/E ratio and previous company dividend
payout trend of different stocks.
Square Pharmaceuticals Ltd.: We have selected it based on its performance and expected
future growth. It’s not making profit also but its P/E ratio is somewhat lower among the
pharmaceutical and chemical industry so we have taken this.
Bangas and British American Tobacco Bangladesh Company(BATBC): The percentage of
dividend of Bangas is very high and its percentage of dividends is almost constant over the years
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and dividend yield is good over the years which made us take this share. Its earnings per share
(EPS) have increased compared to the last quarters. BATBC has been maintaining consistency
on prices over the years. Its basic EPS has increased greatly over the years and in the previous
quarters if this years as well.
Padma Oil and Titas Gas: Fuel and power sector is a very strong sector. It’s a necessary
commodity in our country so we have chosen it for our portfolio. Though the prices for Padma
oil share have been decreased over the previous days but we guessed that in future, the prices of
it will again go up highly. On the other hand, though market price of Titas gas throughout the
recent days is not satisfactory but it has earned a good margin of profit in last year. Its EPS has
increased moreover its P/E ratio is very lower compared to the industry which was the reason for
us to take it.
Beximco: Their bonus issue is increasing year after year. Their earning per share (EPS) is
increasing compared to the previous years. The P/E ratio is very low. The net profit after tax has
also increased greatly in the last two quarters.
Dhaka Insurance Limited: Its profit has been increased in the recent years and its EPS is also
increasing throughout the year which is satisfactory. We have taken only one insurance company
from the insurance sector to bring diversity in our portfolio. And we also know that nowadays,
insurance companies are have high price increase. It is relatively a new stock and has a good
growth factor in near future.
Prime Bank, Export Import (EXIM) Bank of Bangladesh, AB Bank Limited and Dutch-
Bangla Bank : Banking sector is considered to be the safest sector for investment as their market
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risk is lower and we will get a return though the return may be low but their dividend growth rate
is always satisfactory and their profitability growth is always visible and stable.
For Prime bank, the market price has suddenly fallen greatly but we can say that it will be
increased quickly in the market as per our analysis. EXIM bank is going to provide right shares
to its stock holders, which will bring large profit for our portfolio. AB Bank has a good
reputation in the market and their P/E (price/earnings ratio) ratio is low among the banking
industry. The net profit after tax is increasing also. Dutch-Bangla bank is a more risky stock but
we are buying the stock because its basic EPS, based on continuing operations in the last quarters
is also highly increasing.
Heidelberg Cement Bd.: In the cement industry, Heidelberg cement’s price/earnings ratio or
P/E ratio is lower compared to the other cement companies. We also know that the demand for
cement is good in our country as the construction sector is booming.
ICB AMCL Second Mutual Fund: We have chosen one mutual funds for our portfolio to
diversify our business. As the prices of it have fallen in the recent days; in the coming days, it
will go higher as per our market trend analysis.
Industry Development Leasing Company Bangladesh LTD. : The most important thing for
which we have selected it is that, we have viewed its last one month’s market trend and have
seen that the market price is increasing rapidly. The price is just going higher and higher. So we
have taken this stock.
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2 nd phase:
In this phase, we sold off 9 of the stocks and bought up 8 new stocks after viewing favorable
reasons. We have chosen 13 stocks from 9 different industry sectors.
Asset pairs with negative correlation always give excellent diversification benefit. We managed
to combine assets which were negatively correlated with each. Such as- BEXTEX vs. DSE, AB
Bank vs. BATBC, Dhaka insurance vs. Heidelberg, Bank Asia, summit power. This strategy
helps to minimize risk while maximizing returns; so that, if one asset comes out as risky, then the
other will be regarded as less risky than that. Or, if the price of a particular stock of a particular
industry falls down on a day, then the price of the opposite type of stock of an industry will go
up. Also we have used utility value to select stocks. Our risk aversion= 3, which means we are
moderate risk taker.
Berger paints (utility- 1.6) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with BASF
Bangladesh Limited on June 21, 2010. Under this MOU, BASF will provide technical support to
Berger Paints for development of construction chemicals. We hoped that it will result in a
tremendous scope as well as better performance for Berger which may increase the profit of its
share business so we bought it.
Board of Directors of the Bextex( utility- 1.3) has purchased 35,00,000 shares of Tk. 100.00 each
for an aggregate amount of Tk. 35.00 crore of Northern Power Solution Ltd. (NPSL) which
represents 50% of the total shares of NPSL. NPSL has been awarded a 50 MW rental power
plant project in Katakhali, Rajshahi by the Government of Bangladesh. So we purchased the
stock thinking of the future prospects for the company. (August 26,2010, BEXTEX)
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The Board of Directors of Keya cosmetics (utility- 2.03) has recommended cash dividend @
15% for the year ended on June 30, 2010. We bought the shares of this company to take
advantage of this decision.
Our next choice was engineering sector as the stable growth in this sector was taking place. To
bring diversification, we added stocks of Goldenson(utility- 1.98) and summit power(utility- .51)
after calculating utility and examining its relative performance.
Construction works are increasing day by day in Bangladesh so the demand for cement will
never diminish. Therefore we expected a higher return from the cement industry- (Heidelberg
cement- utility .6) in future and we hold the stock.
As we know that bank sector is the most stable and reliable sector of all, so we decided to keep
the stocks of banks (Dutch bangla and AB bank) in our portfolio. We sold off the Prime bank’s
share as it was not that much satisfactory according to our analysis calculation.
We sold out the shares of Squarepharma(Utility: -.55), Titas gas(-.86), EXIM bank(.62) and
ICB(-1.4)AMCL Second Mutual Fund mainly because of the negative or low utility value. We
sold EXIM bank as it has given the right share; we predict that its price will go down now.
3 rd phase:
In this phase, we sold off 9 stocks after evaluating the portfolio performance and bought up 7
new stocks. For the second portfolio’s stock selection, we have looked for the beta values. Also,
we have calculated the treynor ratio for each stock which was our significant criteria in this
phase. After obtaining the treynor ratio values, we have given higher weights to that stock which
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contains higher value treynor value, but we had constrain of market lot and tried to keep the
investment in each stock within 10,00,000tk.
We sold off the BATBC’s stock because, according to a news release on ‘The Daily Star’
newspaper, we came to know that Anti-tobacco law is going to be toughened. The government is
moving to amend the tobacco control act and introduce powerful pictorial warnings on cigarette
packets and other tobacco items in a bid to reduce tobacco consumption drastically. The fine for
smoking in public place will also be increased to 300tk from 50tk. So there are possibilities that
smokers will cut off the daily consumption of cigarette packets. And hence, there is a chance that
BATBC’s stock will not go well as the act will affect its share market as well.
Bextex has provided a lower return which was a reason to sell it. Berger pbl gave us a negative
expected return so we eliminated this stock. Though there was a remaining demand for the
engineering sector, Summit power’s performance was that much satisfactory; so we sold it off.
We observed very high increase in the Dhaka insurance stock price and we also got very good
treynor ratio of this stock. Still, we decided to sell the stock as the stock price has increased so
high and there was no relevant news available in tha market which supports the high rise in the
price. Also DSE continued to give warning against the unexpected increase in the stock. So we
are now pessimistic about its future growth and found this is the best time to sell it.
Bata shoe has declared interim dividend @ 145% (Tk. 14.50 per share of Tk. 10.00 each) for the
year ending on December 31, 2010 after reviewing the company's half yearly profit from 1st
January to 30th June 2010 and retained earnings up to 31st December 2009. (November 11,2010
BATASHOE). By observing its dividend policy and better performance, we decided to purchase
stocks of it as it may provide us with higher return.
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When we calculated the treynor ratio of SquareTex, we found negative value- -5. Still we
selected the stock because it has negative Beta= -.22. Bangas performed well also, we got higher
treynor ratio value= 3098.93 for it and we purchased it again for our portfolio. We also know
that food and allied sector has always a demand and it rarely decreases, so keep this industry to
diversify our portfolio.
We partially sold off the stock of bank asia in order to invest in other stocks promising higher
returns such as, Prime bank (trynor= 1. 28) . Though we previously sold these stocks in the
previous phase, but as we know that investing in a banking sector is not risky, we observed its
performance and took these again.
We considered the tannery industries, textile industries and leasing companies to our portfolio
after dissecting its performance. We replaced BOC by Padma oil after analyzing the calculations
as we expected it to provide us with a higher return and seeing a very low beta(0.0000925).
Moreover, Government is currently investing highly in the power sector.
Overall, our aim throughout the trading period was to increase diversification and minimize the
volatility of the portfolio. We found negative beta of Exim bank, Prime bank, Squaretex, Bata
shoe. Which means their price trend will be negative to the DSE index. So we selected these
stocks to diversify portfolio. Gradually our abilities and strategies improved and we made profit
from increased diversification.
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Diversification
Diversification has been a great importance for our stock selection. From our 1st phase we
focused on diversifying the stocks. Initially we did not know about any diversification tool. Still
we tried to diversify by investing in 9 different industry sectors. Next in second phase we
selected stocks that are negatively correlated into the stock exchange. Such as- BEXTEX vs.
DSE, AB Bank vs. BATBC, Dhaka insurance vs. Heidelberg, Bank Asia, Summit power etc.
also we bought stocks from 9 different sectors in 2nd phase. At the 3rd phase we had shares from 7
different industry sectors. Here we selected some stocks that has negative beta. Such as- Exim
bank (beta= -1,8,)Prime bank( beta=-.33), Squaretex( beta= -.22), Bata shoe( beta= -.35). Which
means the return of the stocks will move in opposite direction to the DSE to some extent.
Economic rationale for picking or selling stocks
We choose stocks based on some calculation and market available news. During 1st phase we
completely based our decision on market news and the basic information such as P/E ratio.
During 2nd phase, we had calculated utility value of stocks, taking risk aversion=3. and selected
stocks with high utility value and sold stocks with low or negative utility value. Also we kept
some of stocks of our first portfolio to minimize a great loss. At 3rd phase we used Treynor ratio
to get help in selected stocks. Trynor ratio shows us the market excess return to volatility ratio.
We selected stocks with good trynor ratio to get healthy return for taking systematic risks.
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Portfolio performance
As we give importance in overall portfolio rather than individual stock, portfolio performance is
vital for the project. Our main objective is not only the capital gain maximization but also
implement the theoretical knowledge on the portfolio selection. We had three phases where we
got opportunity to change the stocks in the portfolio. We mainly tried to diversify our portfolio to
minimize the risk.
In the first phase we did not have enough knowledge about investment theory. So we have used
our little learning from the course and previous course. We mainly used Top to bottom system in
security selection and financial ratios. As the after tax profit from the portfolio was 95,894, these
phase the portfolio performance was successful enough. We give preference on banking and
investment industry for stable positive return. The stock return was positive and less volatile
from these sectors compare to other stock in our portfolio. In addition to banking industry we
also look for other promising industry like fuel and energy, pharmaceuticals, foods and alliance
which volatility is high. We get higher return from this industry and also have negative return.
The fluctuation of Bangas, Square textile and Padma oil etc were high. We also use the price
earnings ratio in security selection. We find that stocks with low price earnings ratio gives higher
return. Our 1st phase gained such a high profit mostly because of the high investment in the
Dhaka insurance stock(23%). Our calculated expected rate of return was 2.1 % and the actual
holding period return was 5%. The portfolio beta was .725 which is less than the market beta 1
which indicates that this portfolio fluctuation is moderately related with the market fluctuation.
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1st phase portfolio sharpe ratio=13.56, which is the reward to volatility. And we also calculate
treyner ratio=1.02 which refers to the excess return per unit of systematic risk. And the Jensen
alpha of this phase = 2.41, so average return was above CAPM.
In second phase we calculated the expected return of the individual stocks and overall portfolio
and compared it to the index expected return. The after tax profit was tk.38, 999 which is low
compared to first phase profit. Our calculated expected rate of return was 2.1 % and the actual
holding period return was 5%. The portfolio beta was .725 which is less than the market beta 1
which indicates that this portfolio fluctuation is moderately related with the market fluctuation.
In this phase we calculated sharpe ratio 5.6 ,which is the reward for taking one unit of
unsystematic risk. And we also calculate treyner ratio 0.03 which refers to the excess return per
unit of systematic risk. And the Jensen alpha of this phase 0.013, so average return was above
CAPM.
In the third phase of our project, we are able to select more stable stocks from the Dhaka Stock
Exchange. Our portfolio expected return of this phase was 1.989 but our portfolio holding period
return 13%. In this time DSI Index rise in point7325.907 from point 6792.2 which indicates that
market was boosting. Because of this our portfolio was also able to increase it’s after tax wealth.
We gain the highest after tax profit of TK102486 among three phases of simulation project. The
sharp ratio of this phase was 10.97, which is the reward to volatility. The treynor ratio was 0.14
that refers to the excess return per unit of risk. Jensen alpha of this phase is 0.09, so average
return was above CAPM.
Over the portfolio horizon, when we look at daily market excess return, we can see similar trend
between our portfolio and the DSE(appendix-I). This trend is more similar during 1st phase and
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3rd phase, this is because of some stock which we had selected both in the 1st portfolio and 3rd
portfolio, such as- IDLC, Dutch-Bangla bank, Prime bank, Padma oil etc(appendix-M).
On 10th October, we can see a large decrease in the DSE and portfolio return. On that say,
Security Stock and Exchange commission had given the decision to control the marginal loan on
low profile stocks. This news led to a decrease in the market and our portfolio as well. This was
the highest decrease in our daily portfolio return(-2.33).
Another high decrease in our daily portfolio return was on 29th October. On 30th October, the
opposing political party had called a strike and that political tension led to decrease in DSE
index. Our portfolio return was -1.48 on that day.
Return and risk of portfolio
Return: During last 2-3 months, Dhaka stock exchange index has broken high records for
several times. People are investing more into the DSE and most of the share prices have been
increasing more or less during this time. This is a very good time to make profit out of the
market. We also experienced very high profit by investing in the DSE. All the 3 phases we got
positive return, which is good sign. Our expected portfolio return, average portfolio excess return
and holding period return is given below:
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Expected
portfolio return
Average portfolio
return
Required rate
of return
Holding period
return
Phase 1 1.682% 2.486% 6.86% 15%
Phase 2 2.102% 1.913% 3.37% 5%
Phase 3 1.989% 2.880% 3.70% 13%
Over the 3 phase, our average portfolio excess return was less than the required rate of return,
this is why all portfolio jenson value is negative.
Risk: Portfolio risk is measured by calculating Standard deviation of all the stocks and using
those values, we calculated portfolio risk. Standard deviation shows how much the expected
return can deviate from its average expected return. Our portfolio standard deviation during 1st,
2nd and 3rd phase was 0.009, 0.004 and 0.009. So our portfolio Standard deviation was
within .04%-.09%.
We can also measure the risk of the portfolio by using the Beta value. Beta is the slope of the
portfolio with the market return. It determines how much the market return will affect the
portfolio return. If beta is more close to 1 then it will move more similarly with the market trend.
We tried to keep our beta lower than 1, as we were moderate risk averse. Portfolio beta during
1st, 2nd and 3rd phase was 2.52, 0.72 and 0.74. During 1st phase we had no idea about the beta, so
that time our portfolio beat was really high. This high beta is mainly caused by the high beta of
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Dhaka Insurance stock (Beta= 1.8), where we invested a large portion of our portfolio. During
2nd portfolio and 3rd portfolio we tried to reduce the risk, as the result our portfolio beta also
decreased.
Regression: We had run the regression analysis, taking the daily return during the investment
horizon, for each phase of portfolio and we have found following results.
1st Phase: The correlation of the portfolio with DSE index is .82, which is a high correlation,
which means the DSE index return has high effect on the portfolio. The R-square is 68%,
meaning the DSE excess return explains about 68% of the portfolio excess return. We can see
the relationship of the portfolio excess return and DSE excess return in the excess return graph.
The SS or sum of square is the variance of the portfolio, which is 0.0015 or .15%. MS for
residual value tells us the variance of the unexplained portion of portfolio return, which is
0.00003.
2nd Phase: 2nd phase portfolio has correlation with DSE index of 0.49. So during second
portfolio, the correlation is less than the 1st phase. The R-square is .24, meaning the DSE excess
return explains about 24% of the portfolio excess return. We can see the relationship of the
portfolio excess return and DSE excess return in the excess return graph. The SS or sum of
square is the variance of the portfolio, which is 0.0001 or .01%. MS for residual value tells us the
variance of the unexplained portion of portfolio return, which is 0.000046.
3rd Phase: 3rd phase portfolio has correlation with DSE index of 0.88. So during second
portfolio, the correlation is again higher than 2nd portfolio. The R-square is .78, meaning the DSE
excess return explains about 78% of the portfolio excess return. We can see the relationship of
the portfolio excess return and DSE excess return in the excess return graph. The SS or sum of
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square is the variance of the portfolio, which is 0.0011 or .11%. MS for residual value tells us the
variance of the unexplained portion of portfolio return, which is 0.000032.
Over the portfolio horizon, when we look at daily market excess return, we can see similar trend
between our portfolio and the DSE. This trend is more similar during 1st phase and 3rd phase, this
is because of some stock which we had selected both in the 1st portfolio and 3rd portfolio, such as-
IDLC, Dutch-Bangla bank, Prime bank, Padma oil etc.
Lessons learned from trading
From the trading, we have gained practical knowledge on stock investment. This knowledge has
given us confidence to trade in real life as well. We have learned few other points from the
trading:
Portfolio return is influenced by the market news and trend. We can use our forecasting ability to
know how an event will affect the market and portfolio return. For example if DSE now declares
a new policy to restrict investment on risky stocks, we can predict, using specified tools, that
how the market will react to the news.
During our 1st phase of the portfolio, we gained a huge profit from investing in Dhaka stock
exchange. We bought the stock at tk1,187 and sold after 22nd phase at tk2,373. Dhaka insurance
stock is actually a new stock. It entered into the stock exchange on 18th February, 2010. Then it is
having a high growth. So we have learned that newly issued stocks provide high growth
opportunities. But this growth also depends on the company type, performance, future
expectations etc.
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Most of the banks declare their net profits and dividends of the respective year at the end of the
year. So lot of expectation arises during the last quarter of the year. These expectations also
influence the bank sector stock prices. Our investment was highly involved in the banking sector
stocks, i.e.- EXIM banks, Dutch- Bangla bank, Prime bank, Bank Asia, AB Bank etc. These
banks had very high return during this time period.
One should not always hear for the rumors which randomly spread. Most of the people do this
but one should follow the market trend rather than go by the rumors. We must keep an eye on
what’s happening and what fluctuations and news are coming out during the trading day; what
are the turning points out there.
Only investing in the share business is very risky and should be avoided. One should diversify
his investment in share market, bank investments, fixed deposits, government bonds etc. so that,
if he loses the money in the market then he has at least some saving amount in his hand. We
diversified our portfolio to reduce the risk. When entering the share business, we should look for
the risks and profit as well. We have learned how the market works.
Conclusion
Initially we started with very little knowledge about investment and gradually we applied
theoretical knowledge. We saw that we can earn profits while investing in a secured way by
analyzing the stocks properly. It is also possible to maximize the profit using wise judgmental
decisions with stock analysis. We hope that in future we will be able to use our knowledge from
this report and become successful investors in the stock market.
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