RISK management of natural disturbance

cyclones a case study on karachi.

Abstract:

We also discuss the Karachi is a disaster prone city. Global warming related hydro- meteorological hazards tend to occur with increasing frequency in the shape of sustained rains and strong winds. Cyclones have made landfall in the adjoining districts of Thatta and Badin.

Karachi is also located dangerously close to numerous fault-lines that can trigger a devastating earthquake, Storms and Cyclones though it has experienced milder versions. The City has also grown phenomenally in size over the past decades but the development of Infrastructure has occurred to very poor standards.

Flood water drainage system tends to get chocked even in moderate rains bringing parts of the City to a standstill. High rise buildings have proliferated with scant regards to relevant safety codes.Historical records substantiate occurrence of such a scenario, though in 2007 cyclones Gonu and Yemyin went past south of the City to impact coast of Oman and Baluchistan respectively.

Strong wind and rains generated by Cyclone Yemyin caused about 150 deaths in the City mainly due to felling of bill boards, electrocution and collapse of flimsily developed infrastructure.

It may also be noted that in all probability cyclone impact would spread much beyond Karachi to impact the adjoining districts of Thatta, Badin and Hyderabad City or even beyond.

Acknowledgements:

Starting with the name of Allah almighty who is most beneficent and most merciful.

In this final project of BBA(Hons) Insurance and Risk Management my Honorable Teacher help me and provide me full guidance and support on every instance where I encountered any ambiguity and problem.I wish to thank Sir Fida Hussain Bukhari for his tremendous contribution and support in this project. I had an idea in mind but there I didnt have a path or solution to get refine and clear the idea. My Teacher Sir Fida Hussain Bukhari motivated me and provided me courage and guidance to convert a dream into reality.

TABLE OF CONTENT:

risk management of Natural disturbance INTRODUCTION. 01LITERATURE REVIEW. 03Case studies-Major Cyclones. 06BASIC TERMS & DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLONE . 08CLASSIFICATION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE REGION. 11HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE- CYCLONE OCCURRENCES IN PAKISTAN. 14GENERAL INFORMATION- KARACHI. 16DATA ANALYSIS 17Scenario 1 (Cyclone Category III or ABOVE) 17Scenario 2 (Cyclone Category I / II) 23 Interpretation/Results 25Mitigation Efforts for an Atmospheric Disturbance Risk 27Recommendations with Contingency Planning: 31Transferring the Risk (Insurance Coverage) 33