federal r&d budget: recent history and state of play matt hourihan december 2, 2014 for the mrs...

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Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http:// www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-an d-policy-program

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Page 1: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of PlayMatt HourihanDecember 2, 2014for the MRS Science Policy Forum

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-and-policy-program

Page 2: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 3: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 4: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 5: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 6: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 7: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 8: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

BCA takes effect: first year of caps

Page 9: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Sequestration kicks in (delayed and reduced by the American Taxpayer Relief Act)

Page 10: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Budget warfare resolved by Bipartisan Budget Act (restores some funding in FY14, FY15)

Page 11: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 12: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 13: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 14: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 15: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 16: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 17: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 18: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 19: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 20: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
Page 21: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

The Fiscal Context for FY 2015 Congress keeps (partially) restoring funding

FY15: 21% reduction in cuts

Discretionary spending cap is only 0.2% above FY14 before inflation Very little room for any sort of program growth… …reflected in the President’s budget

Page 22: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

Dept. ofDefense S&T

Commerce,Justice,Science

Energy &Water

Agriculture Interior andEnvironment

Labor, HHS,Education*

FY 2015 R&D Appropriations by Select Spending BillEstimated funding as a percent of FY 2012, in constant dollars

2012 2013 2014 2015 Request 2015 House 2015 Senate

*Not yet introduced in House. Source: AAAS analyses of agency budget documents and appropriations bills and reports. FY 2014 figures are current estimates. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. © 2014 AAAS

Page 23: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Looking ahead… Omnibus negotiations underway

Beyond FY 2015: back to sequester levels? Discretionary spending heading to

post-WW II lows as a share of GDP

Deficits have fallen, but big-picture fiscal challenges remain largely unchanged Debt limit, entitlement growth

Size and composition of the discretionary budget? Can R&D stay ahead of the curve?

Page 24: Federal R&D Budget: Recent History and State of Play Matt Hourihan December 2, 2014 for the MRS Science Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program