exit ticket packet - deer valley unified school district · 2016-06-07 · exit ticket decide where...
TRANSCRIPT
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10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Eureka Math™
Grade 7, Module 5
Student File_BContains Exit Ticket,
and Assessment Materials
A Story of Ratios®
Exit Ticket Packet
7 Lesson 1
Lesson 1: Chance Experiments
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 1: Chance Experiments
Exit Ticket
Decide where each of the following events would be located on the scale below. Place the letter for each event on the
appropriate place on the probability scale.
The numbers from 1 to 10 are written on small pieces of paper and placed in a bag. A piece of paper will be drawn from
the bag.
A. A piece of paper with a 5 is drawn from the bag.
B. A piece of paper with an even number is drawn.
C. A piece of paper with a 12 is drawn.
D. A piece of paper with a number other than 1 is drawn.
E. A piece of paper with a number divisible by 5 is drawn.
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Lesson 2
Lesson 2: Estimating Probabilities by Collecting Data
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 2: Estimating Probabilities by Collecting Data
Exit Ticket
In the following problems, round all of your decimal answers to three decimal places. Round all of your percents to the
nearest tenth of a percent.
A student randomly selected crayons from a large bag of crayons. The table below shows the number of each color
crayon in a bag. Now, suppose the student were to randomly select one crayon from the bag.
Color Number
Brown 10
Blue 5
Yellow 3
Green 3
Orange 3
Red 6
1. What is the estimate for the probability of selecting a blue crayon from the bag? Express your answer as a fraction,
decimal, or percent.
2. What is the estimate for the probability of selecting a brown crayon from the bag?
3. What is the estimate for the probability of selecting a red crayon or a yellow crayon from the bag?
4. What is the estimate for the probability of selecting a pink crayon from the bag?
5. Which color is most likely to be selected?
6. If there are 300 crayons in the bag, how many red crayons would you estimate are in the bag? Justify your answer.
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Lesson 3
Lesson 3: Chance Experiments with Equally Likely Outcomes
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 3: Chance Experiments with Equally Likely Outcomes
Exit Ticket
The numbers 1–10 are written on note cards and placed in a bag. One card will be drawn from the bag at random.
1. List the sample space for this experiment.
2. Are the events selecting an even number and selecting an odd number equally likely? Explain your answer.
3. Are the events selecting a number divisible by 3 and selecting a number divisible by 5 equally likely?
Explain your answer.
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Lesson 4: Calculating Probabilities for Chance Experiments with Equally Likely
Outcomes
7 Lesson 4
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 4: Calculating Probabilities for Chance Experiments with
Equally Likely Outcomes
Exit Ticket
An experiment consists of randomly drawing a cube from a bag containing three red and two blue cubes.
1. What is the sample space of this experiment?
2. List the probability of each outcome in the sample space.
3. Is the probability of selecting a red cube equal to the probability of selecting a blue cube? Explain.
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Lesson 5: Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not Equally Likely
7 Lesson 5
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 5: Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not
Equally Likely
Exit Ticket
Carol is sitting on the bus on the way home from school and is thinking about the fact that she has three homework
assignments to do tonight. The table below shows her estimated probabilities of completing 0, 1, 2, or all 3 of the
assignments.
Number of Homework Assignments Completed 0 1 2 3
Probability 1
6
2
9
5
18
1
3
1. Writing your answers as fractions in lowest terms, find the probability that Carol completes
a. Exactly one assignment
b. More than one assignment
c. At least one assignment
2. Find the probability that the number of homework assignments Carol completes is not exactly 2.
3. Carol has a bag containing 3 red chips, 10 blue chips, and 7 green chips. Estimate the probability (as a fraction or
decimal) of Carol reaching into her bag and pulling out a green chip.
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Lesson 6: Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and to Calculate
Probabilities
7 Lesson 6
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 6: Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and
to Calculate Probabilities
Exit Ticket
In a laboratory experiment, two mice will be placed in a simple maze with one decision point where a mouse can turn
either left (L) or right (R). When the first mouse arrives at the decision point, the direction it chooses is recorded. Then,
the process is repeated for the second mouse.
1. Draw a tree diagram where the first stage represents the decision made by the first mouse and the second stage
represents the decision made by the second mouse. Determine all four possible decision outcomes for the two
mice.
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Lesson 6: Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and to Calculate
Probabilities
7 Lesson 6
2. If the probability of turning left is 0.5 and the probability of turning right is 0.5 for each mouse, what is the
probability that only one of the two mice will turn left?
3. If the researchers add food in the simple maze such that the probability of each mouse turning left is now 0.7, what
is the probability that only one of the two mice will turn left?
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Lesson 7: Calculating Probabilities of Compound Events
7 Lesson 7
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 7: Calculating Probabilities of Compound Events
Exit Ticket
In a laboratory experiment, three mice will be placed in a simple maze that has just one decision point where a mouse
can turn either left (L) or right (R). When the first mouse arrives at the decision point, the direction he chooses is
recorded. The same is done for the second and the third mouse.
1. Draw a tree diagram where the first stage represents the decision made by the first mouse, the second stage
represents the decision made by the second mouse, and so on. Determine all eight possible outcomes of the
decisions for the three mice.
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Lesson 7: Calculating Probabilities of Compound Events
7 Lesson 7
2. Use the tree diagram from Problem 1 to help answer the following question. If, for each mouse, the probability of
turning left is 0.5 and the probability of turning right is 0.5, what is the probability that only one of the three mice
will turn left?
3. If the researchers conducting the experiment add food in the simple maze such that the probability of each mouse
turning left is now 0.7, what is the probability that only one of the three mice will turn left? To answer the question,
use the tree diagram from Problem 1.
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Lesson 8: The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated
Probabilities
7 Lesson 8
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 8: The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and
Estimated Probabilities
Exit Ticket
1. Which of the following graphs would not represent the relative frequencies of heads when tossing 1 penny? Explain
your answer.
Graph A Graph B
2. Jerry indicated that after tossing a penny 30 times, the relative frequency of heads was 0.47 (to the nearest
hundredth). He indicated that after 31 times, the relative frequency of heads was 0.55. Are Jerry’s summaries
correct? Why or why not?
3. Jerry observed 5 heads in 100 tosses of his coin. Do you think this was a fair coin? Why or why not?
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7 Lesson 10
Lesson 10: Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 10: Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of
an Event
Exit Ticket
1. Nathan is your school’s star soccer player. When he takes a shot on goal, he typically scores half of the time.
Suppose that he takes six shots in a game. To estimate the probability of the number of goals Nathan makes, use
simulation with a number cube. One roll of a number cube represents one shot.
a. Specify what outcome of a number cube you want to represent a goal scored by Nathan in one shot.
b. For this problem, what represents a trial of taking six shots?
c. Perform and list the results of ten trials of this simulation.
d. Identify the number of goals Nathan made in each of the ten trials you did in part (c).
e. Based on your ten trials, what is your estimate of the probability that Nathan scores three goals if he takes six
shots in a game?
2. Suppose that Pat scores 40% of the shots he takes in a soccer game. If he takes six shots in a game, what would one
simulated trial look like using a number cube in your simulation?
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Lesson 11: Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event
7 Lesson 11
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 11: Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of
an Event
Exit Ticket
Liang wants to form a chess club. His principal says that he can do that if Liang can find six players, including himself.
How would you conduct a simulated model that estimates the probability that Liang will find at least five other players to
join the club if he asks eight players who have a 70% chance of agreeing to join the club? Suggest a simulation model
for Liang by describing how you would do the following parts.
a. Specify the device you want to use to simulate one person being asked.
b. What outcome(s) of the device would represent the person agreeing to be a member?
c. What constitutes a trial using your device in this problem?
d. What constitutes a success using your device in this problem?
e. Based on 50 trials, using the method you have suggested, how would you calculate the estimate for the
probability that Liang will be able to form a chess club?
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Lesson 12: Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions
7 Lesson 12
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 12: Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions
Exit Ticket
There are four pieces of bubble gum left in a quarter machine. Two are red, and two are yellow. Chandra puts two
quarters in the machine. One piece is for her, and one is for her friend, Kay. If the two pieces are the same color, she is
happy because they will not have to decide who gets what color. Chandra claims that they are equally likely to get the
same color because the colors are either the same or they are different. Check her claim by doing a simulation.
a. Name a device that can be used to simulate getting a piece of bubble gum. Specify what outcome of the
device represents a red piece and what outcome represents yellow.
b. Define what a trial is for your simulation.
c. Define what constitutes a success in a trial of your simulation.
d. Perform and list 50 simulated trials. Based on your results, is Chandra’s equally likely model correct?
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7 Lesson 13
Lesson 13: Populations, Samples, and Generalizing from a Sample to a Population
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 13: Populations, Samples, and Generalizing from a
Sample to a Population
Exit Ticket
What is the difference between a population characteristic and a sample statistic? Give an example to support your
answer. Clearly identify the population and sample in your example.
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7 Lesson 14
Lesson 14: Selecting a Sample
Name ___________________________________________________ Date____________________
Lesson 14: Selecting a Sample
Exit Ticket
Write down three things you learned about taking a sample from the work we have done today.
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7
: Random Sampling
Name Date
Identify each as true or false. Explain your reasoning in each case.
1. The values of a sample statistic for different random samples of the same size from the same population will be the
same.
2. Random samples from the same population will vary from sample to sample.
3. If a random sample is chosen from a population that has a large cluster of points at the maximum, the sample is
likely to have at least one element near the maximum.
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7 Lesson 16
Lesson 16: Methods for Selecting a Random Sample
Name Date
Lesson 16: Methods for Selecting a Random Sample
Exit Ticket
1. Name two things to consider when you are planning how to select a random sample.
2. Consider a population consisting of the 200 seventh graders at a particular middle school. Describe how you might
select a random sample of 20 students from a list of the students in this population.
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Lesson 17: Sampling Variability
7 Lesson 17
Name Date
Lesson 17: Sampling Variability
Exit Ticket
Suppose that you want to estimate the mean time per evening students at your school spend doing homework. You will
do this using a random sample of 30 students.
1. Suppose that you have a list of all the students at your school. The students are numbered 1, 2, 3, …. One way to
select the random sample of students is to use the random digit table from today’s class, taking three digits at a
time. If you start at the third digit of Row 9, what is the number of the first student you would include in your
sample?
2. Suppose that you have now selected your random sample and that you have asked the students how long they
spend doing homework each evening. How will you use these results to estimate the mean time spent doing
homework for all students?
3. Explain what is meant by sampling variability in this context.
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Lesson 18: Sampling Variability and the Effect of Sample Size
7 5 Lesson 18
Name Date
Lesson 18: Sampling Variability and the Effect of Sample Size
Exit Ticket
Suppose that you wanted to estimate the mean time per evening spent doing homework for students at your school.
You decide to do this by taking a random sample of students from your school. You will calculate the mean time spent
doing homework for your sample. You will then use your sample mean as an estimate of the population mean.
1. The sample mean has sampling variability. Explain what this means.
2. When you are using a sample statistic to estimate a population characteristic, do you want the sampling variability
of the sample statistic to be large or small? Explain why.
3. Think about your estimate of the mean time spent doing homework for students at your school. Given a choice of
using a sample of size 20 or a sample of size 40, which should you choose? Explain your answer.
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Lesson 19
Lesson 19: Understanding Variability When Estimating a Population Proportion
Name Date
Lesson 19: Understanding Variability When Estimating a
Population Proportion
Exit Ticket
A group of seventh graders took repeated samples of size 20 from a bag of colored cubes. The dot plot below shows the
sampling distribution of the sample proportion of blue cubes in the bag.
1. Describe the shape of the distribution.
2. Describe the variability of the distribution.
3. Predict how the dot plot would look differently if the sample sizes had been 40 instead of 20.
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Lesson 20: Estimating a Population Proportion
7 Lesson 20
Name Date
Lesson 20: Estimating a Population Proportion
Exit Ticket
Thirty seventh graders each took a random sample of 10 middle school students and asked each student whether or not
he likes pop music. Then, they calculated the proportion of students who like pop music for each sample. The dot plot
below shows the distribution of the sample proportions.
1. There are three dots above 0.2. What does each dot represent in terms of this scenario?
2. Based on the dot plot, do you think the proportion of the middle school students at this school who like pop music is
0.6? Explain why or why not.
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7 Lesson 21
Lesson 21: Why Worry About Sampling Variability?
Name Date
Lesson 21: Why Worry About Sampling Variability?
Exit Ticket
How is a meaningful difference in sample means different from a non-meaningful difference in sample means? You may
use what you saw in the dot plots of this lesson to help you answer this question.
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Lesson 22: Using Sample Data to Compare the Means of Two or More Populations
7 Lesson 22
Name Date
Lesson 22: Using Sample Data to Compare the Means of Two or
More Populations
Exit Ticket
Suppose that Brett randomly sampled 12 tenth-grade girls and boys in his school district and asked them for the number
of minutes per day that they text. The data and summary measures follow.
Gender Number of Minutes of Texting Mean MAD
Girls 98 104 95 101 98 107 86 92 96 107 88 95 97.3 5.3
Boys 66 72 65 60 78 82 63 56 85 79 68 77 70.9 7.9
1. Draw dot plots for the two data sets using the same numerical scales. Discuss the amount of overlap between the
two dot plots that you drew and what it may mean in the context of the problem.
2. Compare the variability in the two data sets using the MAD. Interpret the result in the context of the problem.
3. From 1 and 2, does the difference in the two means appear to be meaningful? Explain.
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Lesson 23: Using Sample Data to Compare the Means of Two or More Populations
7 Lesson 23
Name Date
Lesson 23: Using Sample Data to Compare the Means of Two or
More Populations
Exit Ticket
1. Do eleventh-grade males text more per day than eleventh-grade females do? To answer this question, two
randomly selected samples were obtained from the Excel data file used in this lesson. Indicate how 20 randomly
selected eleventh-grade females would be chosen for this study. Indicate how 20 randomly selected eleventh-grade
males would be chosen.
2. Two randomly selected samples (one of eleventh-grade females and one of eleventh-grade males) were obtained
from the database. The results are indicated below:
Mean Number of Minutes
per Day Texting MAD (minutes)
Eleventh-Grade Females 102.55 1.31
Eleventh-Grade Males 100.32 1.12
Is there a meaningful difference in the number of minutes per day that eleventh-grade females and males text?
Explain your answer.
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