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Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry

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Page 1: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry

Page 2: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing

• 30 years experience• With our partners:

» Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today» Arun 6.2 MTA, Qatar 14.3 MTA

• Qatar primary growth vehicle• Financial Strength; Excellence in

Technology; Mega-Project Skills

• 30 years experience• With our partners:

» Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today» Arun 6.2 MTA, Qatar 14.3 MTA

• Qatar primary growth vehicle• Financial Strength; Excellence in

Technology; Mega-Project Skills

Active development Producing or under construction

North America

Europe

QatarQatarAsia

Arun

Gorgon

Nigeria

Angola

Page 3: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

3

LNG Value Chain

• All links of the chain are capital intensive businesses

• Chain is defined by interdependence of projects (shared risks), held together by the commercial structure

~ $0.5-1.0bn ~ $3 bn~$0.1s bn~ $0.5bn~ $2 bn

LNG

ReceivingTerminal

Buying & Receiving

GasLNG

GasDistribution

Distribution

Shipping

Shipping

GasField

Development

Gas

Liquefaction

Upstream Projects

PowerGeneration

TownGas

End-Users

Page 4: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

4

Characteristics of Asian LNG Industry

• Japan, Korea and Taiwan are historic major LNG importers

• Durable long-term contracts secured competitive supply and supported investments and commitments

• High credit-rating buyers / sellers; financing available

• Importers control own infrastructure

• Sales predominantly on CIF basis

Page 5: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

5

LNG Business in Transition

• Worldwide growing LNG demand

• Increasingly remote and technically challenging supply sources; increased scale

• Financial strength important throughout value chain

• Long-term contracts remain crucial to underpin upstream investments

Page 6: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

6

LNG Demand

0

50

100

150

200

250

1990 1995 2001 2005 2010 2015

Japan, Korea, Taiwan

China, India

Rest of World

MT

Source: PFC Energy

Page 7: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

7

Changes in LNG Market

• Deregulation, interfuel competition, and economic growth in core markets impacting:

» Volume flexibility

» Contract term

• Spot/short-term sales increasing

• FOB sales becoming more common

• ‘Liquid’ market access in U.K. and U.S.

Page 8: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

8

Regulation and Deregulation

• Legislative/regulatory principles important to investors:

» Stability of legal and fiscal frameworks

» Equitable laws, regulations and dispute resolution

» No artificial infrastructure obstacles

» No import restrictions

» Sanctity of contracts

» Freedom of commercial arrangements and structures

» Market-based, non-subsidized commodity pricing

Page 9: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

9

Changes in LNG Technology

• Increased capital intensity developers need:» Large project development capability» Financial strength and capital market access» Long-term investment certainty

Liquefaction

Shipping / Receiving

FieldDevelopment Production technology advances

Increasing train size

Larger ships andterminals

Page 10: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

10

New LNG ImportTerminal Developmentsand Proposals

2001 LNG Demand

2010 LNG Demand

Global Integration of LNG Markets

Page 11: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

11

Requirements for Continued Growth

• Economic growth

• Balanced transition to liberalized market environment

» Preserve ‘success factors’

» Consultation through Value Chain

• Stable framework to foster commercial freedom

» International competitive fiscal regimes

» Proper regulatory environment

» Free market based pricing and contract terms

Page 12: Evolution of the Asian LNG Industry. ExxonMobil Gas & Power Marketing 30 years experience With our partners: »Supply about 20% of world’s LNG today »Arun

12

Summary

• Significant LNG demand growth can be met by development of competitive supplies

• Long-term investment certainty and risk reflective returns are required

• Preserve ‘success factors’ and carefully implement change

• Regulatory environment and successful track record are important