evaluation of wrf-sfire performance with field...

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Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux experiment Mary Ann Jenkins 1,4 , Adam K. Kochanski 1 , Jan Mandel 2 , Jonathan D. Beezley 2 , Craig B. Clements 3 , Steven Krueger 1 1 1 Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 2 Department of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO, USA 3 Department of Meteorology and Climate Science, San José State University, San José, CA 4 Department of Earth and Space Science, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada 1 accepted for publication by Atmospheric chemistry and physics (ACP)

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Page 1: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFluxexperiment

Mary Ann Jenkins1,4,

Adam K. Kochanski1, Jan Mandel2, Jonathan D. Beezley2, Craig B. Clements3, Steven Krueger1

11Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT2Department of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO,USA3Department of Meteorology and Climate Science, San José State University, San José, CA4Department of Earth and Space Science, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada

1

accepted for publication by Atmosphericchemistry and physics (ACP)

Page 2: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

WRF-SFIRE’s performance?

Pretty good.

Page 3: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Examples of impact ofwildfire-atmosphere coupling on

wildfire behavior

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Two ExamplesImpact of the background wind field

Page 4: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

An illustration of the importance ofvertical wind shear in the upstream

flowProof of Concept

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Page 5: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

ByMary Ann Jenkins, York University,

Toronto, Canada(Adjunct UofU)

Adam Kochanski, Steven Krueger,

University of Utah

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Page 6: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Clark et al 1996 IJWF. Schematic of SurfaceConditions at Head of Fire

“kinematic” explanation.

But it is completeand correct?

where δ = ∇⋅V is

convergence,

moving apart of

fluid particles.

V is velocity.6

Page 7: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

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kinematicexplanation too simple?

Two counter-rotatingvorticies

produce fire front (solidblack line)

Also simulated& observed

Page 8: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

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Idealized (no surface friction) WRF-Sfire simulations of propagatinggrass fire lines in environments

without or with vertical wind shear

all with identical upstream surfacewind speed (5 m/s)

Page 9: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

TextWRF-Fire

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tsurface windspeed 5 m/s

Page 10: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 18000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

X po

sitio

n of

the

fire

front

(m)

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 18000

0.5

1

1.5

x 1010

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 18000

1

2

x 1010

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 18000

2

x 1010

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 18000

1

2

x 1010

Time (s)

Tota

l Fire

Hea

t (W

)

CONTROLSHEARLOGTANHdata5

tPropagation of Fire Front

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Page 11: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

tTANH

tLOG

tCONTROL

11

tSHEAR

Page 12: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Z-vorticity, CONST

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Page 13: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Z-vorticity, CONST

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Page 14: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Z-vorticity,LOG

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Page 15: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Z-vorticity,LOG

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Page 16: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

where ω = ∇×V is vorticity,

rotation of fluid particles, ∇ is

gradient operator,

V is 3D velocity, and p is

pressure.

p∝−|ω2|

tVVortices and propagation of thefront

tThese low pressures (perturbations) are NOThydrostatic, they are DYNAMICAL

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Page 17: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

tLookingdown on

the surfacefire . . .

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Page 18: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

tLookingdown onthe LOG

surface fire. . .

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Page 19: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Z-vorticity,TANH

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Page 20: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Control Run No Background Shear

Z-vorticity,TANH

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Page 21: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

tLookingdown on

the TANHsurface fire

. . .

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Page 22: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

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Page 23: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Steady state fires exist in constant or shearedbackground wind profiles . . . that are not unstableto perturbations in the background flow.

Non steady-state fires occur in a backgroundwind profiles that are unstable to perturbations(supplied by surface heating, and in this case bythe fire).

Because it contains an inflection point, theTANH background wind profile is known to beunstable to perturbations in the wind field.

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Page 24: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

tX-Z crosssection of the LOG

fire . . .

tFirefront/backposition

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Page 25: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

tX-Z crosssection of

the TANHfire . . .

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Page 26: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Background wind profiles can be inherentlystable or inherently unstable to perturbationsintroduced by surface and plume convection.

Fire front propagation (and plume behavior) isdependent on low pressures associated with thedevelopment of vorticity.

Vorticity and vortices are a natural part of thebasic fluid dynamics of fire convection and willalways be part of the fire perimeter and front.

Discussion

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Page 27: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

ConclusionsThe background wind field does matter! Based on

this study, fire/atmosphere interactions can be responsible for a lot of severe and/or erratic firebehavior that is observed.

Coupled atmosphere/fire simulators such as WFDSmust be given proper flow boundary conditions.

ABANDON the prescribed simple near-surface log-linear wind profile --- it does not work!

The most promising candidate to supply these BCs(either by one-way coupling or two-way coupling) isWRF and/or WRF-Sfire.

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Page 28: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

Realistic Experiment

WRF-SFIRE validated using Fireflux I•

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Page 29: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

29E−W distance (m)

N−S dista

nce (m)

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

400

800

1200

1600

2000

2400

2800

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Page 30: Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field ...forefire.univ-corse.fr/cargese2013/ven/jenkins.pdf · Evaluation of WRF-Sfire Performance with Field Observations from the FireFlux

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