Eurasian Trade, Prosperity, Transport, and the Challenges ahead

José Viegas, Secretary-General ASEM Symposium on Eurasia Transport & Logistics NetworkSeoul, 9-11 Sept. 2015

Intergovernmental Organisation 57 member countries

(23 non-OECD)

Politically autonomous, administratively integrated at the OECD

Council of Ministers of Transport, rotating annual presidency

Legal instruments: European Multilateral Quota System (Road Freight)

Global freight volumes and CO2 emissions by corridor (Baseline Scenario)

Intra-North America

South Pacificroute

Intra-South

America

North Atlantic route

Intra-Europe

Intra-Asia

North Pacificroute North Pacific

route

OceaniaSouth Atlanticroute

Indian Ocean route

Intra-Africa

Mediterranean and Caspian Sea

Freight volume in billion tonne-km

CO2 Emissions in million tonnes

+270%

+280%

+374%

+403%

+191%

+332%

+273%

+195%

+344%+263%

2010 2050

2010 20502010 2050

2010 2050

2010 20502010 2050

2010 2050

2010 2050

2010 2050

2010 2050

+216%+174%

+258%+142%

+400%+309%

+316%+225%

+269%+194%

2010 2050

2010 2050

+406%+715%+689%

+315%

Big problems at border crossings (inc. Ports)

4

Network model

Infrastructure and routes

a) Road (highways or main roads)

b) Rail (station, network)

c) Sea (ports, routes)

d) Air (airports, commercial flights)

– Differential speeds by mode, infrastructure and continent

Routable O-D network

Links between modes and to centroids

Includes dwelling times between modes

Port capacitySource: ITF International Freight model

OpenStreetMap, OpenFlights, Sea Project, UCL

Formulation

Two main routes were tested with two potential transfer links in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan

Assumptions:

Improve the links to solve interoperability (gauge) and border crossing issues

Reduce 50% lost time

Improve average commercial speed of the network to 60 km/h

Travel time: Munich->Shanghai

Reduce from 4 to 2 weeks

Eurasian rail corridors

6

7

Ministerial Meeting and Declaration from Ministers

Ministers’ Roundtables

Panel discussions with Ministers, industry, research, civil society

Bilaterals and networking

Exhibition

1100 participants from 66 countries (2015)

Annual Summit

Thank youJosé ViegasT +33 (0)1 45 24 97 10E jose.viegas@oecd.org

Postal address 2 rue Andre Pascal75775 Paris Cedex 16