eu meat markets: current issues and perspectives
DESCRIPTION
EU meat markets: current issues and perspectives. Luis Carazo Jiménez Head of Unit "Animal Products" DG Agriculture and Rural Development, European Commission UECBV, Brussels 4 th April 2014. Surge of feed prices. EU meat production. BEEF PRODUCTION. % E V O L U T I O N T O N N E S. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
EU meat markets:current issues and perspectives
Luis Carazo JiménezHead of Unit "Animal Products"
DG Agriculture and Rural Development, European Commission
UECBV, Brussels 4th April 2014
2
Surge of feed pricesSurge of feed prices
50
150
250
350
450
Juil Oct Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul
Euro
/ ton
ne
Price of Basic Ingredients 2011 - 2014
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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160
180
200
220
240
260
| 2013 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun |
€/To
nn
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2013 - 2014)
Nearby
2014 Mar
2014 Jun
2014 Aug
Delivery:
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
4
135
165
195
225
|Jan 2013| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2014| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June |
€u
ro/
Ton
n
Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2013 & 2014)
01 Nearby
2014 Mar
2014 Jul
2014 Nov
Delivery:
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
5
1 100
1 200
1 300
1 400
1 500
1 600
1 700
|Jan 2013| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2014| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2013 & 2014)
01 Nearby
2014 May
2014 Jul
2014 Sep
Delivery:
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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EU meat productionEU meat production
Pig 21 100 21 400 22 858 22 596 21 416 22 133 22 437 21 990 21 989Poultry 10 610 11 145 11 507 11 722 11 926 12 245 12 430 12 458 12 622Beef 7 854 7 915 8 203 8 082 7 720 7 918 7 847 7 531 7 293Sheep 985 970 1 024 949 748 717 730 706 712Goat 73 68 72 78 60 59 59 54 47Horse 64 70 56 71 71 69 68 68 68
Total 40 686 41 569 43 720 43 499 41 941 43 141 43 571 42 807 42 731Change prev. Year -0.3% 2.2% 5.2% -0.5% -3.6% 2.9% 1.0% -1.8% -0.2%
Graph based on monthly Cronos official slaughter data. 2012 based on change in GIP forecastProduction of poultry DG AGRI & MSs Experts
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
in 1
00
0 T
on
ns
EU - Production of meats 2005 - 2013from 2004 = EU 25 from 2007 = EU 27as from 2009 new slaughter series.
Pig poultry Beef Sheep Goat Horse
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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BEEF PRODUCTION BEEF PRODUCTION % E V O L U T I O N
T O N N E S
% E V O L U T I O N
T O N N E S
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
<1y Of wh forSlaughter
>1y<2y Of wh forSlaughter
>2j of wh Cows of wh Dairy Buff
Provisional results of the Bovine Nov/ Dec Survey 2013 (2 MSs Missing) total 88,0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
8
B E E F P R O D U C T I O N B E E F P R O D U C T I O N FORECASTFORECAST
2010S1 2011S1 2012S1 2013S1 2014S1 2015S1 2010S2 2011S2 2012S2 2013S2 2014S2 2015S2Calf &Y.C 3 565 3 693 3 539 3 500 3 461 0 3 768 3 911 3 600 3 621 3 421Heifers 2 177 2 169 2 039 1 985 1 970 1 951 2 258 2 101 2 045 1 950 1 999Cows 3 717 3 845 3 761 3 711 3 765 3 764 4 198 4 192 4 062 3 968 3 974B&B 5 029 5 020 4 593 4 567 4 566 4 561 5 449 5 120 4 814 4 669 4 767
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Production forecast of meat of Bovine animalsin 1000 Heads Missing: ES (1st h/y 2015)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
9
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
BG DE EI EL ES FR HR IT CY LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SK SE UK
EU Sheep and Goat flock Dec. 20132012 and 2013 (missing 3 MSs)
Live goats
Dairy sheep
Non Dairy
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
10
985
985
971
1 0
21
949
748
717
730
706
712
716
179
139 144135 135 135
75 73 6872
7860
59 5954 47 47
278
256
263 226
226
222
175
130
83
69
69
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Sh
ee
p C
arc
as
e w
eig
ht
in K
G
in 1
00
0 T
on
ne
s
Sheep and Goat meat supply in the EU2003 = EU 15 2004 = EU 25 2007 = EU 27
2014 = EU 28
Sheep Non official Goat Imp - Exp (Pw) Heavy light
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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0
100
200
300
400
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Lamb production in the UK and Spain compaired to "Other" in 1000 Tonns
Other UK ES
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
12
PIG PRODUCTION
Piglets Y. Pigs Sows mated Sows 1st time matedsows
2010 38 539.6 33 392.8 12 684.2 8 602.4 1 510.82011 38 688.3 32 024.6 12 288.9 8 287.4 1 464.62012 38 012.1 31 147.0 11 727.0 8 005.7 1 475.42013 38 140.1 30 304.5 11 538.1 7 799.4 1 446.312/11 -1.7% -2.7% -4.6% -3.4% 0.7%13/12 0.3% -2.7% -1.6% -2.6% -2.0%
0.0
5 000.0
10 000.0
15 000.0
20 000.0
25 000.0
30 000.0
35 000.0
Prel. Results of the Nov -Dec pig survey 201392,7% available (2 MSs missing)
of
of which
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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PIG PRODUCTION FORECASTFORECAST
2012 2013 2014
Q1 -0.9% -3.8% 0.1%
Q2 -1.7% -1.8% 0.0%
Q3 -0.8% -3.1% -0.6%
Q4 -3.2% -1.5% -1.5%
Ann -1.7% -2.6% -0.5%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
Quarterly change in GIP compared to the same period in the previous year (GIP Data only) last update: 7.3.2014 (22 MSs =
80,2%)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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0
3 000
6 000
9 000
12 000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1000
T
EU Poultry production on basis of available slaughter data and calculated estimations
March 2014 forecast poultry production by experts 2014: +1,2%
other
ducks
turkeys
chickens
2014Broiler +1,2% 10,3 MioTTurkey -0,1% 1,9 MioTDuck+3,7% 0,5 MioTTotal Poultry+1,0% 12,9 MioT
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
POULTRY PRODUCTION POULTRY PRODUCTION FORECASTFORECAST
15
FORECASTFORECASTPOULTRY PRODUCTION
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
Qty
in
1000 t
on
nes
Experts EU production forecast of Poultry Meat: 2013 : 12.622 MioT (+1.3%) & 2014: 12.747 MioT (+1.0%)
2011 2012 2013 2014
DE : 0.3%
HU : 5.6%
ES : 0.5%
UK : 2.5%
NL : 0.6%
BE : 0.0%
DK : 4.2%
PT : 0.0%
RO : 6.1%
FI : 2.7%
CZ : -0.5%
BG : 4.2%
IT : 0.2%
IE : 0.0%
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
Qty
in
1000 t
on
nes
Experts production forecast of Broiler MeatForecast Broiler production:
2013: 9.639 MioT (+1.5%) & 2014: 9.751 MioT (+1.2%)
2011 2012 2013 2014
ES : 0.7%
UK : 2.7%
HU : 8.4%
DE : 0.0%
NL : 0.9%
BE : 0.0%
FI : 3.4%
DK : 4.2%
PT : 0.0%
RO : 5.7%CZ : -0.6%
BG : 2.8%
IT : 0.2%
IE : 1.3%
POULTRY PRODUCTION FORECASTFORECAST
17
Meat prices and producer's margins
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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50
150
250
350
450
550
650
I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I
Euro
/ 1
00kg C
arc
ase
Monthly evolution of the market price for different meats
Cows O3 bovine R3 PigsBroiler 65% Slaughterhouse Lamb heavy lamblight lamb
Beef
Cows
Broiler
Pigs
Lamb
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Y O U N G B U L L – A.R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Y O U N G B U L L – A.R3EU beef pricesEU beef prices
A - R 3 > Wk.10-2014
378.59 380.98% change y/y : - 4.2% % change y/y : - 3.3%
Price in week 10 : Average price in February 2014 :
300
320
340
360
380
400
300
320
340
360
380
400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013 2014
Source : Member States A - R 3 > Wk.10-2014
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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E.U. E V O L U T I O N
All CAT GLOBAL VIEW
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
All CAT GLOBAL VIEW
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
200
250
300
350
400
450
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
A R3
C R3
D O3
E R3
Source : Member StatesLast Update : Week 10 - 2014
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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BEEF M A R G I N ON
FATTENING
BEEF M A R G I N ON
FATTENINGE.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013
€uro
/ h
ead
Remainder of: Selling price AR 3, minus costs for calf purchased and feedcost for grain fattening
Remainder Young Bulls A.R 3 Extra gain of FCR between 7- 6 Calf price when purchased
average remainder incl. extra gain Intensive Feedcost x*6
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
22
EU sheep pricesEU sheep prices E.U. E V O L U T I O N
H E A V Y L A M B
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
H E A V Y L A M B
350
400
450
500
550
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€u
ro/1
00
kg
Heavy Lamb prices in the EU2011 - 2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
23
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
L I G H T L A M B
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
L I G H T L A M B
500
550
600
650
700
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€u
ro/1
00
kg
Light Lamb prices in the EU2011 - 2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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Heavy Lamb: >13 kg cwt, average of 13 Member States Light Lamb: <13 kg cwt, average of 8 Member States
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
LIGHT/ HEAVY L A M B
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
LIGHT/ HEAVY L A M B
250
350
450
550
650
750
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Development of the EU average market price for Heavy and Light Lamb carcass
Light L 28 AverageEU Heavy Lamb AverageLight L 28 AverageEU Heavy Lamb Average
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
25
EU pig pricesEU pig prices
115
130
145
160
175
190
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
€/1
00
kg
Evolution of the EU average pig carcass priceClass E & S prices from 1/1/2014
5 yr Avg (09-13) 2011 DE 2011 2013 2014Class E
2014Class S
Germany's lowest price in 2011118,32€/100kg
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
26
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
53
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
€/p
iece
Evolution of the EU average piglet prices
5 yr avg (09 - 13) 2013 2014
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
EU piglet pricesEU piglet prices
27
PIGMEAT MARGINS
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
€uro
/ T (Cere
al &
Soja
mix
/ Com
pound f
eed)
Euro
/ 10
0kg (
pig
carc
ase
)
Development of producer margins (pig price over feed costs)
Margin/ Comp. Feed (4.4 > 3.9)
Carcase price
average Margin 2008 - 2012 (45,21€/100kg)
Cereals and Soja mix
Compound feed
NB:Comp. Feed 2013 = Forecast as from NovemberCereal mix and Pig carcase price: 2013. = forecast as from January 2014)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
28
EU poultry pricesEU poultry prices
170
180
190
200
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€u
ro/
10
0k
g
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler
Moy.09-13 2011 2012 2013 2014
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
29
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
Eu
ro/ T
(fe
ed
)
Eu
ro/ 1
00
kg
(B
roil
er)
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2008 - 2012
NB. Comp. Feed 2013 =Forecast as from DecemberCereal mix and Poultry 2013 = Forecast as from February 2014
30
International Markets & Trade
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
31
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
Adult Male Bovine PRICESAdult Male Bovine PRICES
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
| Year2009
| Year2010
| Year2011
| Year2012
| Year2013
| Year2014
|
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Market prices for Adult Male Bovine in Brazil (Pecuaria.com.br), Argentina (abc Consort), USA and EU
EU Beef A/C R3 AVG Arroba do Boi (6 St) (Pecuària.com.br)
US Beef Omaha Carc (USDA) (abc-consort) Argentina Novillo
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
32
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
Weekly STEER PRICES
US & EU
Weekly STEER PRICES
US & EU
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
weekly US & EU Steer prices in €uro/100kg carcase
Steers 550-700lb Omaha (Nebraska) Feeder Steer 600-700lb Oklahoma CityEU Beef C R3 Steers 1050 - 1200lb Okla/ TexCanada: All Steers (agr,gc,ca) Australia: All SteersNew Zeal. Avg steers T2 NI & SI
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
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EU exports of beef and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
DestinationsDestinations 2010 2011 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 13
Russia 135 991 28.7% 138 910 22.3% 97 829 19.2% 72 299 15.9% 5 338 15.9% + 8.6%
Turkey 71 029 15.0% 166 776 26.7% 101 474 20.0% 5 151 1.1% 319 0.9% - 65.3%
Ghana 11 561 2.4% 21 979 3.5% 28 693 5.6% 40 793 9.0% 2 913 8.7% + 12.1%
Hong Kong 12 292 2.6% 19 449 3.1% 17 895 3.5% 28 536 6.3% 3 345 9.9% + 91.3%
Bosnia-Herz. 17 082 3.6% 21 423 3.4% 19 715 3.9% 26 844 5.9% 2 333 6.9% + 46.2%
Lebanon 35 814 7.6% 25 200 4.0% 27 474 5.4% 26 367 5.8% 2 045 6.1% - 2.7%
Switzerland 22 619 4.8% 26 720 4.3% 19 911 3.9% 26 574 5.9% 1 996 5.9% + 35.5%
Ivory Coast 14 831 3.1% 18 177 2.9% 15 929 3.1% 21 620 4.8% 1 861 5.5% + 36.9%
Algeria 16 259 3.4% 17 970 2.9% 17 324 3.4% 25 935 5.7% 658 2.0% - 64.5%
Norway 1 636 0.3% 7 115 1.1% 14 621 2.9% 10 247 2.3% 246 0.7% - 81.8%
Uzbekistan 419 0.1% 4 271 0.7% 4 196 0.8% 7 729 1.7% 1 155 3.4% - 0.6%
Israel 9 234 2.0% 8 720 1.4% 8 435 1.7% 9 378 2.1% 709 2.1% - 50.5%
2012 Jan-Jan 142013
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
34
EU exports of beef and live animals:Trade figures (COMEXT)
13 989 11 391 11 254
25 442
68 49063 814
116 130
96 12990 299
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
1,00
0 E
UR
EU EXPORTS of Beef & Veal (1000 EUR)
Russia Turkey Ghana Hong Kong Turkey Other destinations
5 363 4 917
8 416
918 319
10 631
21 638 21 400
36 595
32 737 33 633
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
Tonn
es c
w
EU EXPORTS of Beef & Veal (Tonnes cwe)
Russia Turkey Ghana Hong Kong Turkey Other destinations
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
35
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in Tonnes cwe
EU-28 Exports of BEEF products
LIVE ANIMALS FRESH FROZEN PREPARED OTHERS
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
36
EU imports of beef and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
OriginsOrigins2010 2011 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 13
Brazil 32 0.0% 48 0.0% 51 0.0% 22 0.0% 13 263 48.9% + 5.7%
Uruguay 67 160 17.7% 51 936 16.1% 52 579 17.1% 51 612 15.4% 3 435 12.7% - 30.0%
Argentina 80 186 21.1% 62 705 19.4% 51 697 16.8% 47 935 14.3% 3 041 11.2% - 20.4%
Australia 13 810 3.6% 18 278 5.7% 21 311 6.9% 28 108 8.4% 2 796 10.3% + 32.4%
USA 15 308 4.0% 22 999 7.1% 21 097 6.9% 22 298 6.7% 1 892 7.0% + 3.7%
New Zealand 13 712 3.6% 15 471 4.8% 15 377 5.0% 13 958 4.2% 1 264 4.7% + 23.8%
Namibia 13 571 3.6% 9 005 2.8% 8 848 2.9% 11 113 3.3% 557 2.1% - 43.0%
Switzerland 4 461 1.2% 5 661 1.8% 4 948 1.6% 4 286 1.3% 510 1.9% + 37.9%
Botswana 15 763 4.1% 980 0.3% 474 0.2% 6 280 1.9% 235 0.9% +++
Canada 716 0.2% 917 0.3% 826 0.3% 975 0.3% 51 0.2% - 54.4%
Serbia 1 127 0.3% 789 0.2% 742 0.2% 618 0.2% 32 0.1% - 26.1%
Chile 2 441 0.6% 2 254 0.7% 1 710 0.6% 538 0.2% 19 0.1% - 78.8%
Norway 293 0.1% 263 0.1% 150 0.0% 201 0.1% 6 0.0% + 61.6%
2012 Jan-Jan 142013
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
37
EU imports of beef and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)
8 96912 544 13 263
3 884
4 908 3 4354 170
3 8203 041
2 363
2 6532 681
22 921
27 86127 108
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
InTonnes
cwe
IMPORTS of Beef & Veal into EU (Tonnes cwe)
Brazil Uruguay Argentina Australia USA Other origins
39 87650 648 52 753
22 306
25 150 20 073
34 492
30 70725 810
9 570
10 81813 685
14 018
14 02713 280
133 712
145 233139 009
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
in 1000EUR
IMPORTS of Beef & Veal into EU (1000 EUR)
Brazil Uruguay Argentina Australia USA Other origins
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
38
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in Tonnes cwe
EU-28 Imports of BEEF products
FRESH FROZEN PREPARED OTHERS
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
E.U. I M P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
39
452403
446401
436 429398
491 513 529565
513556
395431
380323 307
334
27
1 263
1 1711 120
825
1 028
736
598 598
481455
352292
248292
249
473
624
508454
34
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Jan14
1000 Tonne
IMPORTS EXPORTS
Trade balance on beef and live animals
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. T R A D E B A L A N C E
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. T R A D E B A L A N C E
Beef & Live Animals
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
40
150
250
350
450
550
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
€uro
/ 1
00
kg
Community average and international market prices for Heavy Lamb carcases
EU Heavy Lamb Average N. Zealand (avg N&S island)
Uruguay AUS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
41
EU exports of sheep & goat and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
DestinationsDestinations
2010 2011tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
Hong Kong 1 350 5.3% 4 404 10.9% 14 014 25.2% 23 125 31.1% 1 973 36.1%
Libya 674 2.7% 1 707 4.2% 13 628 24.5% 23 389 31.4% 1 808 33.1%
Ghana 2 530 10.0% 1 813 4.5% 2 271 4.1% 3 139 4.2% 233 4.3%
Switzerland 2 213 8.8% 2 661 6.6% 2 846 5.1% 3 239 4.4% 214 3.9%
Lebanon 2 418 9.6% 2 774 6.8% 2 336 4.2% 2 403 3.2% 157 2.9%
Jordan 4 408 17.5% 5 235 12.9% 5 836 10.5% 7 032 9.4% 147 2.7%
Algeria 102 0.4% 0 0.0% 276 0.5% 1 355 1.8% 132 2.4%
Thailand 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 399 0.5% 102 1.9%
2012 Jan-Jan 142013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
42
EU imports of sheep & goat and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
OriginsOrigins2010 2011
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
New Zealand 211 450 82.7% 192 989 82.2% 170 113 84.7% 178 696 84.4% 12 663 83.6%
Australia 22 046 8.6% 21 098 9.0% 17 632 8.8% 19 645 9.3% 1 851 12.2%
Uruguay 4 533 1.8% 4 975 2.1% 3 505 1.7% 3 265 1.5% 419 2.8%
Chile 5 856 2.3% 5 317 2.3% 3 225 1.6% 3 984 1.9% 118 0.8%
Iceland 2 382 0.9% 2 073 0.9% 1 102 0.5% 1 441 0.7% 35 0.2%
For.JRep.Mac 2 663 1.0% 3 055 1.3% 2 527 1.3% 2 666 1.3% 32 0.2%
Argentina 5 982 2.3% 4 301 1.8% 1 943 1.0% 1 115 0.5% 24 0.2%
Brazil 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 90 0.0% 0 0.0% 12 0.1%
Other Origins 786 0.3% 890 0.4% 894 0.4% 902 0.4% 12 0.1%
EXTRA EU 255 697 234 697 200 940 211 714 15 154
2012 Jan-Jan 142013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
43
EU Sheep and Goat Meat Trade Balance, tonnes cwe
271
034
282
624
280
884
279
774
281
728
292
804
298
057
296
239
307
025
289
855
297
381
302
577
284
927
284
778
288
621
255
697
234
697
200
940
211
714
15 1
54
6 98
3
7 99
3
4 19
8
4 23
2
4 79
4
5 61
0
6 20
7
6 75
3
6 55
0
6 68
3
7 12
7
6 09
7
10 8
24
9 95
1
14 0
32
25 2
47 40 5
79 55 5
63 74 4
67
5 46
3
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Jan14
IMPORTS EXPORTS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
44
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
0
40 000
80 000
120 000
160 000
200 000
240 000
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014
Export of live sheep, in headsexcluding pure-bred breeding
A = LIVE LAMBS "SHEEP UP TO A YEAR OLD"
B = LIVE SHEEP excl. A
2010 = 652 933 heads2011 = 1 467 049heads2012 = 1 625 062heads2013 = 1 863 071heads
45
55.0
75.0
95.0
115.0
135.0
155.0
175.0
195.0
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
Weekly average Pigprices 2009 - 2014 in Euro/ 100kg carcase
EU, Brazil and the US
EU
US
Braz. avg
CDN Ontario
EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meatUS = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lbBR = avg of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br)CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
46
EU exports of selected PIG products:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
DestinationsDestinations Compared to
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % Jan-Jan 13
Russia 808 663 30.8% 847 498 27.0% 745 014 24.2% 747 233 24.1% 42 300 17.0% - 21%
Hong Kong 426 697 16.2% 539 363 17.2% 381 069 12.4% 387 126 12.5% 31 408 12.6% + 1%
China 207 352 7.9% 393 819 12.6% 586 441 19.1% 665 495 21.5% 62 868 25.3% + 0%
Japan 223 637 8.5% 231 282 7.4% 230 792 7.5% 231 601 7.5% 24 844 10.0% + 36%
Ukraine 137 736 5.2% 113 962 3.6% 161 599 5.3% 122 679 4.0% 5 463 2.2% - 40%
South Korea 100 790 3.8% 193 909 6.2% 137 220 4.5% 103 055 3.3% 14 260 5.7% + 91%
Belarus 80 331 3.1% 103 830 3.3% 123 229 4.0% 87 585 2.8% 4 341 1.7% - 9%
Philippines 89 407 3.4% 96 880 3.1% 73 412 2.4% 101 167 3.3% 10 967 4.4% + 42%
USA 58 736 2.2% 59 548 1.9% 60 824 2.0% 60 260 1.9% 5 313 2.1%
Angola 44 399 1.7% 61 559 2.0% 59 210 1.9% 61 273 2.0% 4 574 1.8% - 8%
Australia 50 373 1.9% 44 340 1.4% 47 270 1.5% 44 509 1.4% 3 918 1.6% - 15%
Singapore 26 049 1.0% 32 575 1.0% 34 828 1.1% 28 654 0.9% 2 605 1.0% + 54%
Other 373 450 14.2% 415 006 14.5% 431 550 13.7% 460 248 14.4% 35 516 14.3%
Extra EU28 2 627 621 3 133 570 3 072 457 3 100 884 248 375
% change + 19% - 2% + 1% + 2.0%
2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jan 142013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
47
Russian pigmeat supply 2013domestic production 2.190.000 t, imports 995.546 t,
self sufficiency 69%
Russ prod (Rabo)
EU
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Ukraine
USA
Paraguay
otherSource:Rabobank and GTA
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
48
Russian meat imports by origin 2013995.546 T
EU 744,206
Brazil 124,580
Canada 85,799
Chile 21,563
Ukraine 5,986
USA 9,879
Paraguay 2,542
other 1,009
Source: GTA
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
49
EU exports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
63 426 53 652 42 300
40 55231 131
31 408
34 777 62 81862 868
17 35618 222 24 844
85 460 68 530 81 493
249 716 243 419 248 375
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
Tons (pw) .
EU-28 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (Tonnes prod. weight)
Russia Hong Kong China Japan Ukraine Other destinations
114 173 98 280 80 981
45 67945 914
60 970 67 99386 038
196 271 158 794 175 564
483 719466 015 468 671
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
in 1,000 EUR .
EU-28 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (1000 EUR)
Russia Hong Kong China Japan Ukraine Other destinations
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
50
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
|Jan 07
2007 |Jan 08
2008 |Jan 09
2009 |Jan 10
2010 |Jan 11
2011 |Jan 12
2012 |Jan 13
2013 |Jan 14
in Tonnes (product weight)Exports of selected PIG products
FRESH FROZEN FAT LIVE ANIMALS OTHERS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
51
EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
OriginsOrigins
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to J an- J an 13
Switzerland 17 480 39.6% 18 723 51.9% 19 491 52.5% 17 495 51.7% 1 706 59% -3%
Chile 11 724 27% 7 734 21% 7 467 20% 5 398 16% 214 7% -61%
Serbia 859 2% 2 397 7% 2 391 6% 3 094 9% 405 14% 105%
Norway 1 911 4% 1 530 4% 1 986 5% 1 995 6% 172 6% 59%
USA 6 639 15% 1 436 4% 1 148 3% 1 409 4% 99 3%
Canada 656 1% 42 0% 67 0% 91 0% 0 0% +++
Other 4 921 11% 4 225 12% 4 567 12% 4 364 13% 315 11%
EXTRA EU 25/27 44 191 36 087 37 118 33 845 2 911
% change - 18% + 3% - 9% - 6.9%
2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jan 142013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
52
EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
1 811 1 760 1 706
659 548214
356406
316
3 2953 127
2 911
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-28(Tonnes prod. weight)
Switzerland Chile Serbia Norway USA Other or igins
1 2521 696
1 234
2 0051 684
791
1 027 936
923
5 6175 411
4 433
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-28 (1000 EUR)
Switzerland Chile Serbia Norway USA Other origins
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
53
0
1 500
3 000
4 500
6 000
|Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in Tonnes (product weight)
Imports of selected PIG products
FRESH FROZEN FAT OTHERS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
54
EU trade of PIG products
46 1
35
59 7
20
71 9
37
51 6
41
63 8
00
55 9
18
56 0
77
54 4
99
72 2
76
22 6
12
21 7
30
32 3
68
43 1
79
59 8
38
51 7
89
44 1
91
36 0
87
37 1
18
33 8
45
2 9
11
881 0
11
943 4
05
1 0
83 2
30
1 2
38 1
38
1 5
56 9
61
1 5
45 9
07
1 3
31 8
08
1 5
26 5
63
1 5
09 3
02
1 7
80 5
68
1 9
38 4
55
2 0
89 3
63
1 9
10 9
08
2 5
69 0
87
2 3
86 2
45
2 6
27 6
21
3 1
33 5
70
3 0
72 4
57
3 1
00 8
84
248 3
75
0
250 000
500 000
750 000
1 000 000
1 250 000
1 500 000
1 750 000
2 000 000
2 250 000
2 500 000
2 750 000
3 000 000
3 250 000
3 500 000
3 750 000
4 000 000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Jan-Jan 14
To
nn
es p
rod
uct
weig
ht
.
IMPORTS EXPORTS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
55
50.00
75.00
100.00
125.00
150.00
175.00
200.00
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
56
Import of Poultry meat from selected originsCompared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 13
Brazil 599 759 73.1% 615 837 71.9% 583 450 67.3% 513 537 63.2% 44 705 60.9% + 12%
Thailand 149 876 18.3% 155 790 18.2% 197 964 22.8% 228 243 28.1% 22 315 30.4% + 11%
Chile 34 403 4.2% 44 434 5.2% 42 192 4.9% 30 516 3.8% 2 521 3.4% - 32%
China 9 863 1.2% 13 875 1.6% 15 697 1.8% 18 184 2.2% 2 002 2.7% + 4%
Argentina 15 795 1.9% 15 700 1.8% 13 766 1.6% 10 783 1.3% 974 1.3% + 46%
Switzerland 673 0.1% 1 253 0.1% 3 817 0.4% 3 814 0.5% 472 0.6% + 86%
Israel 7 219 0.9% 7 144 0.8% 6 076 0.7% 6 306 0.8% 273 0.4% - 73%
Norway 595 0.1% 700 0.1% 674 0.1% 737 0.1% 101 0.1% - 25%
Others 2 817 0.3% 2 368 0.3% 3 573 0.4% 924 0.1% 77 0.1% #N/A
EXTRA EU 28 820 999 857 100 867 209 813 044 73 438
% change + 4% + 1% - 6% + 8.5%
2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jan 142013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
57
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in Tonnes cwe
Imports of selected Poultry products
FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
58
EU Poultry meat Import
43 538 39 846 44 705
13 657 20 13422 315
65 279 67 69273 438
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
Tonn
es cw
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe)
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins
91 608 78 950 91 266
60 63366 299
80 900
175 007 168 945
191 440
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
1000 EUR
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1000 EUR)
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
59
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected DestinationsCompared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 13
Benin 115 066 9.1% 126 215 8.9% 139 820 9.8% 139 415 9.8% 14 773 13.9% + 113%
Hong Kong 151 729 12.0% 189 154 13.4% 126 074 8.8% 117 107 8.2% 12 760 12.0% + 25%
Saudi Arabia 118 019 9.3% 151 520 10.7% 149 310 10.4% 154 775 10.9% 9 526 8.9% - 30%
South Africa 22 007 1.7% 94 084 6.7% 131 832 9.2% 158 481 11.1% 8 776 8.2% + 8%
Russia 245 478 19.4% 115 138 8.1% 113 133 7.9% 95 183 6.7% 5 536 5.2% - 8%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 27 749 2.2% 29 973 2.1% 34 232 2.4% 28 600 2.0% 4 938 4.6% + 1270%
Ghana 41 066 3.2% 68 979 4.9% 69 157 4.8% 75 125 5.3% 4 922 4.6% - 1%
Ukraine 86 009 6.8% 81 690 5.8% 103 429 7.2% 76 015 5.3% 3 491 3.3% - 46%
Philippines 15 087 1.2% 30 341 2.1% 30 765 2.2% 35 674 2.5% 2 776 2.6% + 40%
For.JRep.Mac 14 323 1.1% 24 792 1.8% 32 748 2.3% 36 531 2.6% 2 573 2.4% + 2%
Malaysia 25 900 2.0% 20 965 1.5% 24 387 1.7% 28 701 2.0% 2 507 2.4% + 19%
Other Destinations 402 423 31.8% 480 807 34.0% 475 671 33.3% 480 864 33.7% 33 904 31.8%
Extra-EU 28 1 264 856 1 413 657 1 430 558 1 426 472 106 482
% change + 12% + 1% - 0% + 6.0%
2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jan 142013
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
60
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in
Tonnes
cwe
Exports of selected Poultry products
FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
61
EU Poultry meat Export
15 056 10 202 12 7608 776
13 659 9 526
11 6076 923 14 773
5 871
5 9975 536
59 608
55 52655 111
116 994
100 439106 482
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
Tonn
es cw
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 5 000 Tons
17 123 11 266 14 162
16 790 24 283 13 478
15 379 10 109 19 070
84 344 92 544 88 770
157 692 156 628 151 364
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14
1000
EUR
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 12 000 ('000 EUR)
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
62
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
302277 292 310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891 876
821857 867
813
73
1 017
1 101 1 1161 153
1 114
1 275
1 063 1 046997 997
867
9821 016
1 265
1 414 1 431 1 426
106
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Jan14
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
IMPORTS EXPORTS
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014
63
Meat production: to face changing needs
MEAT
MARKETGLOBALIZATION
ENVIRONMENTTRADE
QUALITY -Market niche
-Origin labelling
ECONOMIC CRISIS
Consomption
ChallengesChallenges
European Meat Network, Brussels 20th Mars 2014