erakv 1st jcc 1

-Explanation of Modified Project Components, Schedule, and Implementation Approach-

Ryoji Takahashi

Team Leader/Disaster Management Administration 1

JICA Project Team

The Project for Assessment of

Earthquake Disaster Risk

for the Kathmandu Valley in Nepal

1

Contents 1. Background and Necessity of the Project

2. Comparison between the 2015 Gorkha

Earthquake and the Risk Assessment Result

by JICA in 2002

3. Adaptation of Sendai Framework for DRR

4. Modified Project Components, Schedule,

and Implementation Policy

5. Project Organization and Involvement

6. Outcomes of the Project

2

1. Background and Necessity of the Project

3

1. Background

1934 Bihar-Earthquake

2002 JICA: The Study on Earthquake Disaster

Mitigation in the Kathmandu Valley kingdom

of Nepal

Increasing Risk

Lack of budget for actual implementation and Inter-

organizational collaboration

Result is not integrated, and not

utilized for DRR

Possibility of Massive Earthquake

Urban Sprawl, Urbanization

Issue

13 years has passed

Study from other Donors such as Disaster

Hazard Analysis

Other

Reasons

4

1. Background

2015 4.25 Gorkha Earthquake

Gorkha EQ

5

1. Background

The Team was dispatched from 6 May and surveyed in KV and Shindupalchok, and had series of discussions with stakeholders to find out needs and idea for modification of the Project.

9

1. Necessity of the Project

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessment contributing DRR with Newly Determined Scenarios

Practical BBB Reconstruction Plan and Regional Disaster Management Plan based on Assessment

Implementation of Action Plans

Capacity Development

Contribute to Build Back Better Recovery and Reconstruction, and decrease the damage from the Future Earthquake by

building Resilient KV 10

11

Project for Assessment of Earthquake Disaster Risk for KV • BBB Recovery and Reconstruction Plan for Pilot 3

Municipalities • Seismic Hazard Analysis for KV • Seismic Risk Assessment for KV

Urgent Development Study • Reconstruction Master Plan in Gorka and

Shindhupalchok • Comprehensive City Resilience Reconstruction

Master Plan (Mainly Focus on Urban area)

Coordination with other JICA’s Projects

Project Improvement of Urban Transport for KV • Transport MP in KV

Supplying the results of Risk Assessment

Coordinating in terms of Land Use Plan

2. Comparison between the 2015 Gorkha Earthquake and the Risk Assessment Result by JICA in 2002

By Mr. Fumio Kaneko

12

Risk Assessment by JICA during 2001-2002

• Name of the Project was “The Study on

Earthquake Disaster Mitigation in the

Kathmandu Valley” o Based on data, information, methods and knowledge at the time

of 2001-2002 <now methods to be version up>

o Population around1.4 million, & households around 260 thousand.

<now 2.5 million, 660 thousand: twice>

o For example, drilling data were 350 plus 5 new PS logging <now to

be increased>

• Contents of the Project were o Seismic Hazard Assessment

o Seismic Risk (Damage) Assessment

o Seismic Disaster Risk Management Planning for KV (Kathmandu

Valley)

13

14

Comparison with the 2015 Gorkha Earthquake with the Scenario Earthquakes for “The Study on Earthquake

Disaster Mitigation in the Kathmandu Valley”

KV local Eq. M5.7

North Bagmati Eq. M6.0

Mid Nepal Eq. M8.0

1934 Bihar Eq. M8.4

2005 Gorkha Eq. M7.8

KV

The 2015 Gorkha Earthquake is locating between central seismic gap and the 1934 Bihar Earthquake segments.

The main energy radiation was concentrated to the eastern portion of the fault.

Distribution of Seismic Intensity due to the Scenario Earthquakes

Mid Nepal earthquake

It is difficult to compare the results directly for the assessment and real damage, but is possible to examine the validity of the fragility curve. From this point of view, we found the Mid Nepal earthquake would cause a MMI VIII in the KV , which is more than VII of the 2015 Gorkha earthquake. According to the analysis by Prof. Koketsu and Prof. Yagi, the main contribution of strong ground motion to the KV is north of KV and similar area of the North Bagmati case.

North Bagmati earthquake

KV local earthqauke 1934 Bihar earthquake 15

Comparison of the Damage Estimated in 2002 Project with the Damage of 2015 Gorkha

Earthquake

Heavily Partly Death Injury

50,984 40,166 1,713 9,024

8.3% 6.5% 0.1% 0.4%

53,465 74,941 17,695 146,874

20.9% 29.3% 1.3% 10.6%

17796 28345 2616 21913

6.9% 11.1% 0.2% 1.6%

46,596 68,882 14,333 119,066

18.2% 26.9% 1.0% 8.6%

58,701 77,773 19,523 162,041

22.9% 30.4% 1.4% 11.7%

Assessment / Damage

(in percentage)0.84 1.69 2.77 4.40

Casualty No. of

BuildingsPopulation

Damage of 2015 Gorkha Earthquake

Scenario earthquakes and damage assessment of 2002 project

2015 Gorkha (Ms7.8)

Earthquakes

Comparison of the 2015 damage with North Bagmati scenario

Mid Nepal (M8.0)

North Bagmati (M6.0)

KV Local (M5.7)

1934 Bihar (M8.4)

Current

614,777 2,517,023

At the time of 2002

256,203 1,387,826

Damage to Buildings

16

Deaths and Deaths Rate

More than 1%: Sindhupalchok, Rasuwa More than 0.1%: Gorkha, Nuwakot, Dhading, Bhaktapur （Kathmandu: 0.07％）

Kathmandu

17

Source Model of 2015 Gorkha

Earthquake

Precise source model by Prof. Yagi (Tsukuba Univ.) 1) Slip distribution: Slip distribution by source inversion analysis is shown by contour map. Main slip distributes near Kathmandu Valley. Slip is comparatively small near epicenter.

2) High frequency radiation area: High frequency (1Hz) radiation area by hybrid back-projection analysis is read from Yagi’s analysis and shown by pink colored square region above. The area is north of Kathmandu Valley and near North Bagmati scenario earthquake model.

18 18

Source Modelling of 2015 Gorkha Earthquake

1) M7.8 earthquake model:

Magnitude is 7.8 in total and rupture area by Prof. Yagi’s analysis is modelled.

2) High Frequency Radiation Area model:

The slip distribution based on the world wide record is shown by many researchers. Prof. Yagi studied the high frequency (1Hz) radiation area.

As the period range that affects to the building damage in Nepal is shorter period around 1 sec, the source model is set based on the shorter period radiation area by Prof. Yagi.

The estimated magnitude is 6, around 2 smaller than total magnitude, considering the similarity of the North Bagmati Earthquake.

19 19

Recalculation of the Damage Using the Parameter of 2015 Gorkha Earthquake

Most area are MMI X Death toll about 110,000 (2015 earthquake 1,713)

House damage around 240,000 (2015 earthquake 50,984)

Calculation of the damage by M7.8

According to the attenuation equation, the M7.8 earthquake, located under the KV, will result in a intensity of X for most of the area, which leads to a much more damage estimation comparing with the real damage.

20

Recalculation of the Damage Using the Adjusted Parameter for 2015 Gorkha Earthquake

Based on Dr. Yagi’s “shorter period component radiation region” locating at the north of KV as the source model, seismic motion and damage to buildings and casualties are estimated. Magnitude is estimated around 2 lower than the whole Magnitude, similarity with North Bagmati. The PGA recorded at KV (164 gal) and seimsic intensity VII are corresponding to the above recalculation model used here.

Most area are MMI VII Death toll about 2,100

(2015 earthquake 1,713) House damage around 38,000

(2015 earthquake 50,984)

If the Yagi’s model which is corresponding to the actual seismic intensity is used as the input for the damage assessment, rather than the whole magnitude based estimation, the estimated damage gets much closer to the real damage. This indicates the methodology used was acceptable.

21

Conclusions and Recommendations The ground motion of 2015 Gorkha earthquake is relatively small comparing with

the other events having the similar magnitude and has a extreme long dominant period around 4 seconds which could be derived from main slip portion or effect of deep basin sediment used be a lake. This should be made clear that this characteristics is only for this event or is common for the event around the area (for example, central seismic gap)

This longer period motion might effect chimneys/towers and higher rising buildings. On the other hand, the damage to many masonry and other buildings should be affected by shorter period ground motion derived from north of KV.

The methodology used in the 2002 project is basically appropriate. It can be modified with the damage of 2015 earthquake. It should be noted that the damage of the 2015 earthquake should not be the excessive emphasized without explicating the mechanism of the earthquake, otherwise it could lead to a underestimation in the future.

The un-reinforced masonry building should be banned for BBB recovery. The retrofitting and rebuilding of old masonry buildings should be promoted

through subsidy. It is recommended to put rebar inside the wall for RC frame structure and proper

construction manner to avoid the collapse of the wall both in out-plane and in-plane. A complete GIS database for buildings, including its structure type, height,

construction year, etc., is necessary for the future risk assessment and the promotion of the retrofitting and reconstruction of the old buildings.

Strengthening could be introduced for high-rise buildings and the public critical buildings. 22

3. Adaptation of Sendai Framework for DRR

23

Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 -The Seven Global Targets -

3. Reduce direct disaster economic loss

in relation to global gross domestic

product (GDP) by 2030

1.2. Substantially reduce global disaster

mortality and number of affected people

by 2030, aiming to lower average per

100,000 global mortality between 2020-

2030 compared to 2005-2015.

The Seven Global Targets in Sendai

Framework for DRR

4. Substantially reduce disaster

damage to critical infrastructure and

disruption of basic services, among

them health and educational facilities,

including through developing their

resilience by 2030.

Set the Target Value in Regional

Disaster Management Plan based on

the Result of Earthquake Risk

Assessment (Economic and Social

Damage assessment)

Set the Seismic resilient

countermeasure in Regional Disaster

Management Plan based on the Result

of Earthquake Risk Assessment

(Hospital, School, Infrastructure,

Lifeline）

Contribution by this Project

24

Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 -The Seven Global Targets – (continued)

5. Substantially increase the number of

countries with national and local

disaster risk reduction strategies by

2020.

6. Substantially enhance international

cooperation to developing countries

through adequate and sustainable

support to complement their national

actions for implementation of this

framework by 2030.

7. Substantially increase the availability

of and access to multi-hazard early

warning systems and disaster risk

information and assessments to the

people by 2030.

Publicize and share result of

earthquake risk assessment. Indicate

in Regional disaster management

plan.

Contribute by Implementation of the

project

The Seven Global Targets in Sendai

Framework for DRR Contribution by this Project

25

Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 - Priority for Action -

1) Understanding disaster risk Development of Database and Hazard

analysis and Risk Assessment with

Scientific Basis

Priority action in Sendai Framework for DRR Contribution by this Project

2) Strengthening disaster risk

governance to manage disaster risk

3) Investing in disaster risk reduction

for resilience

4) Enhancing disaster preparedness

for effective response, and to “Build

Back Better” in recovery,

rehabilitation and reconstruction

Consensus building with WG,

Capacity development for Governance

Promoting public and private investment to

both structural and un-structural measures

by formulating Regional disaster

management plan

Directly contribute by formulating BBB

Recovery and Reconstruction Plan

26

4. Modified Project Components, Schedule, and Implementation Approach

27

28

4. Modified Project Components

Output1: Earthquake hazard analysis based on scenario earthquakes and detail ground model for the Kathmandu Valley. Output2: Earthquake risk assessment based on the result of Output 1. Several cases of the earthquake occurrence in different time will be considered in the assessment. Output3: Enhanced Governance for updating risk assessment result corresponding to the change of social situation. Output4: The model of activity utilizing the result of risk assessment by local governments.

Original Components

Hazard Analysis

Risk Assessment

Capacity to Update RA

Formulate RDMP

Output1: Earthquake hazard analysis based on scenario earthquakes and detail ground model for the Kathmandu Valley. Output2: Earthquake risk assessment based on the result of Output 1. Several cases of the earthquake occurrence in different time will be considered in the assessment. Output3: Enhanced Governance for updating risk assessment result corresponding to the change of social situation. Output4: The model of activity utilizing the result of risk assessment by local governments. Output5: Integrated recovery and reconstruction plan based on the concept of BBB for pilot municipalizes.

Modified Components

Hazard Analysis

Risk Assessment

Capacity to Update RA

Formulate RDMP and SOP

Formulate Reconstruction Plan

Same

Same

Same

Added

Added

4. Modified Project Components and Schedule

Monitoring and Evaluation

Urgent Activities

Seismic Risk Analysis DM Model Plan for Pilot Municipality

From BBB to Seismic Resilient City

Seismic hazard analysis

Capacity Development (through CP Trainings in Japan, Working Groups (WG1: Geological, Seismic Group, WG2: Risk Assessment Group, WG3: Policy and Institutional, WG4: Pilot activities))

Note: Timeframe showed in this diagram does not correspond exactly and

schedule must be decided to synchronize with needs of Nepalese side.

2015 EQ

Verification of 2002

Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation

Boring Investigation,

Micro Tremor Survey,

Geomorphic Map

Preparation

Built Back Better (BBB) Recovery and Reconstruction Master Plan

for Pilot Municipality

Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings

Development of Building GIS Database

DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk

Assessment with Scenarios

DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage

Seismic Hazard Analysis

Intensity Distribution

Landslide Risk Area Distribution

Liquefaction Potential Area Distribution

Standard Operation Procedures

(SOP) for Emergency Response

Microzonation

Soil Amplification Characteristics Map, (SATREPS)-Idea Only

Mechanism of Gorkha EQ 2015

Next Potential Earthquakes

2 or 3 Dimensional Seismic Motion

Response Analyses

Revision of Building Fragility Curve

Bridge Vulnerability Analysis

Lifeline Vulnerability Analysis

Urgent Resilient and Safe Kathmandu Campaign

On Site Socialization Campaign for Obtaining Proper Knowledge of Earthquake and Safety Buildings (For Citizens)

Original Components

and Schedule

(Draft) Modification of Components of the EQ Risk Assessment Project for Kathmandu Valley

Preliminary Seismic Hazard Analysis

29

30


Draft Plan of Operation (PO): Major Activities

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2

4

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

Approval of inception report

Time Schedule

　　　　　　　　Activities

2015 2016 2017 2018

JCC

WG1 (Geological and seismic group)

WG2 (Risk assessment group)

WG3 (Pilot activities group)

Preparation of inception report

Seminar of related organizations on disaster risk management plan

(No. 3)

Seminar of related organizations on project contents (No. 1)

Urgent res i l ient and safe Kathmandu campaign

Emergency response chronicle survey

Recovery and reconstruction master plan for pi lot municipa l i ties

Veri fication of 2002 project results

Col lection and analys is of exis ting data

Bui lding damage and bui lding inventory survey

Seminar of related organizations on BBB M/P (No. 2)

Seismic hazard analys is

Seismic ri sk assessment

Tra ining in Japan focus on disaster management plan (No. 2)

Tra ining in Japan focus on community based DRR (No. 3)

Development of disaster management plan guidel ine for

municipa l i ty

Development of standard operation procedures (SOP) for emergency

response

Development of disaster management plan for pi lot municipa l i ty

Soi l survey and updating soi l model of 2002

Micro zonation

Capaci ty development

Tra ining in Japan focus on BBB (No. 1)

Data col lection for seismic ri sk assessment



Urgent Activities







2015 EQ


Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation



Geomorphic Map

Preparation



Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings


DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk


DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage







Microzonation





Response Analyses






Original Components

and Schedule



Urgent Activities

31

Urgent Activities

Urgent Resilient and Safe Kathmandu Campaign (July-August 2015) 1.



32

33

Urgent Activities

Emergency Response Chronicle Survey (August-October 2015) 2.

In order to grasp the gaps for Emergency Response Activities in all stakeholders, emergency response chronicle survey will be carried out


Urgent Activities

Building Damage and Inventory Survey (June-December 2015) 3.

Building Damage and Inventory Survey will be conducted to 1) Revise Building Fragility Curve, 2) Develop Database of Buildings to be utilized for BBB Reconstruction Plan and Future Earthquake Risk Assessment.


Explain Later 34

Urgent Activities

Soil Investigation (June-December 2015) 4.

In order to grasp more detail soil condition to be utilized for risk sensitive land use, utilization of existing geotechnical information and soil investigation will be conducted.


35


Urgent Activities







2015 EQ


Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation



Geomorphic Map

Preparation



Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings


DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk


DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage







Microzonation





Response Analyses






Original Components

and Schedule



BBB Reconstruction Plan

4Modified Project Components and Schedule

36

37

BBB Reconstruction Plan

BBB Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Master Plan (June-April 2016) 5.

BBB Recovery and Reconstruction Plan will be formulated for 3 Pilot Municipalities 1. Lalitpur Sub-Metropolitan City 2. Bhaktapur Municipality 3. Gokarneshwor Municipality


Explain Later

Basic Policy

Action ContentsResponsible Org

Costestimation

Implementation Schedule

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

XXX A

B

C

Life Economy

Safety Description and Image

Action Plan

Formulation of Basic Policy

Formulation of Vision

Formulation of Action plan Explain Later


Urgent Activities







2015 EQ


Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation



Geomorphic Map

Preparation



Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings


DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk


DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage







Microzonation





Response Analyses






Original Components

and Schedule





38


Seismic Hazard Analysis (June-June 2016) 6.

1. Determination of Scenario Earthquake (in cooperation with SATREPS Project): August 2015 2. Preliminary Hazard Analysis: August 2015 and January 2016 3. Hazard Analysis (Intensity, Liquefaction, and Landslide): June 2016


39


Urgent Activities







2015 EQ


Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation



Geomorphic Map

Preparation



Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings


DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk


DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage







Microzonation





Response Analyses






Original Components

and Schedule



Future Seismic Risk Assessment


40

41


Future Seismic Risk Assessment (January 2016-Feb 2017) 7.

Seismic Risk will be reassessed by utilizing Newly determined Scenario Earthquakes • Human Casualties • Building Damage • Lifeline and Infrastructure Damage • Economic Impact, etc


Explain Later


Urgent Activities







2015 EQ


Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation



Geomorphic Map

Preparation



Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings


DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk


DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage







Microzonation





Response Analyses






Original Components

and Schedule



Formulation of Standard Operation Procedures (SOP)


42



(June-June 2016)

8.

Standard Operation Procedures (SOP) for pilot Municipalities will be formulated


Earthquake occurrence

Dis

aste

rD

amag

e si

tuat

ion

Res

iden

ts a

ctio

n

Disaster expans ion period Emergency Response Emergency Recovery Rehabi l i tation and Reconstruction

●EQ occurred in the citywide(Seismic intensity 6 lower )

a few min. later 1 hour later 6 hours later 12 hours later 1 day later 2, 3 days later 1 week later 2 weeks later 1 month later

●Landslide occurs in landslides dangerous place .)

●Bui lding damage by aftershock

Aftershocks occur continuously

●Bui lding damage by EQ and Landslide( completely destroyed 528 buildings )

●16 Death and 1,076 people injured by.

and by buried under houses and landslides

●Closesd in elevator (63 units)

●Medical facilities damage

●Need to evacuation of hospitalized patients

●15 Fi re

●Fire spread

●11,500 Bui ldings have burned.

●55 people were killed , 493 injured occurs by buiding burned

●Power facility : power failure in the area of about 9.5%

●Communication facility : Interruption in the area of about 8.9%

●Water supply facility : Cutoff in the area of about 22%

●Sewerage facility : Damaged in the sewer pipe of about 30.2%

●Gas facility : No damage

●Debris of about 300,000 tons by the building damage)

●Evacuees that can not be living in the home by burned down, total

col lapse and partial collapse (50,000 people)

●Pharmaceuticals in

hospital begins to lack ●Patients will not receive a

treatment occurs

●EQ occurred

●Recognize EQ

●Casualties occurred (Death and injured)

●Many res idents are self-escape

difficult due to collapsed builldings

●Many res idents are self-escape difficult due to closed elevator

●Li feline damage

●Many res idents are self-escape difficult due to Fire

●Many injuries rushed to

medical institutions

●Patients who do not receive the treatment

begins to request the start of a temporaryl clinic

●take the time to response by fi re brigade or supplier

●Evacuees feel anxious about aftershocks

●By interruption of distribution , Foods disappears from the convenience store and retail s tore .

●Food and daily necessities can be bought gradually

●looking for opening financial institution bydamage or closure of Bank

●Casualties occurred due to

fi re

●Medical institution closed begins

to restart .

●Fire fighting and Rescue ●Ask for help to the fire department or fire brigade .

●Impossible to obtain accurate information by damaged of the communications

faci lities and power facilities

●Lack of evacuation

information , medical

information

●Lack of Living information (Water, Food, Li feline)

●Use emergency light and s tockpile water due to water outage and power failure

●Request for the variety of information to ci ty office

●Provide damage information from ci tizens

●Request for Food and daily necessaries to ci ty office

EQ

Break down in detail

43


Urgent Activities







2015 EQ


Project

Emergency

Response Chronicle

Survey

Soil Investigation



Geomorphic Map

Preparation



Building Damage

and Inventory

Survey for All

Buildings


DM for Pilot

Municipality

Future Seismic Risk


DM Plan Guideline

Investigation for

Road, Bridge,

Lifeline Damage







Microzonation





Response Analyses






Original Components

and Schedule



Disaster Management Plan


44

45

Disaster Management Plan

Disaster Management Plan (June 2015 - June 2016) 9.

Disaster Management Plan for building Resilient Municipality will be formulated in 3 Pilot Municipality, and before the formulation guideline will be formulated.


Kronolojik Olarak Gerçekleştirilen Yardım Faaliyetleri

Afet Yönetimi 1 Saat 24 Saat 72 Saat

○Komuta Merkezi Kurulması ○1'nci Komuta Merkez Toplantısı（Daha Sonraki Toplantılara Merkez Karar Verir）

○Sorumluların Toplanması

○Ordu'ya vb. İstek Yollanması○Diğer Eyaletlere İstek Yollanması

○Afet Yardım Yasasına Göre Hareketin Başlanılması

○Trafik Kontrolü（Polis Birimi） ○Zarar Dur. Analz. ○Yol Durum Analz. Top.（Daha Sonraki Toplantılara Merkez Karar Verir）

○Acil Durum Yol Temizleme İşlemleri

○Acil Durum Yol Kullanımının Kararı

○İtfaiye Faaliyetlerine Başlanılması

○İtfaiye'ye İstek Yollanması

○Tokyo DMAT Faaliyetleri ○Su ve Güvenlik Ekiplerinin İntikali

○Hastanelere vb. İstek Yollanması ○Yiyecek Denetleme Ekibinin İntikali

○Şehir Medikal Yardım Timinin Harekete Geçmesi

○Yaralıların Taşınması Konusunda İstek

○Geniş Çapta Medikal Malzeme Dağıtımı

○Toplanma Alanının Açılması ve İşletilmesi (Eyalet, Şehir, Kasaba, Köy)

○Yabancı Uyruklu Kişlilere Yönelik Bilgi Merkezi Açılması○Gönüllülerin Kabul Edilmesi (Eyalet, Şehir, Kasaba, Köy)

○Geniş Çapta Gönüllü Faaliyetleri ve Denetimi

○Tren İstasyonu vb. İçinde Bilgi Dağıtımı, Sığınanlara Yardım

○Afet Acil Durum Hattının Açılması ve İşletilmesi

○Eve Dönüş Yardım İstasyonlarının Kuruluşu

○Geçici Toplanma Alanlarının Belirlenmesi

○Acil Durum Kasalarının Zarar Durum Kontrolü ○Acil Durum Su Sutoğunun Aktivasyonu

○Ana Afet Yardım Malzeme Kasalarındaki Malların Sevki

○Diğer Bölgelerden Yardım Kabulu

○Büyük Çaplı Ulaştırma Merkezi Açılışı○Stockyard Kurulumu

○Eyaletlerden Mali Yardımın Kabulü.

Çöp ve Diğer Atıklar ○Atıkların Toplanması Yok Edilmesi

○Bedenlerin Bulunması

○Otopsi Takımının İntikali ○Geniş Çaplı Kremasyon İşlemi

○Otopsi İşlemleri（Polis、Doktorlar vb.）

Hayat Hattı (Elektrik, Su vb.) ○Acil Durum İyileştirme Çalışmaları

İtfaiye Faaliyetleri

Cesetlerle İlgilenilmesi

Yiyecek, İçecek vb. Gıda

Dışarı Çıkan Kişilerle İlgili İşlemler

Sığınan Kişilere Yönelik İş İşlem

ve Önlemler

Medikal Yardım vb.

İyileştirme Çalışmaları

Acil Durum Rotası

İlk Müdahale Düzeni

BaşlıklarKronolojik Olarak Müdahaleİlk Müdahalenin Oluşması

Contents should be included in this chapter

Source of Data →Hint

Example of Description →To be able to image

the actual contents

Role & Responsibility of Each department,

Agency

4. Implementation Approach

Technical Transfer by

1) Working Group

2) OJT

3) Counterpart Training in Japan

We emphasize importance in the process of implementation of the Project, by discuss and working together and expect your involvement to ensure sustainability of the Project

46

5. Project Organization and your Involvement -JICA Project Team Member

-JCC

-Working Group

47

5. Project Organization and your Involvement

Overall Organization of the Project

JCC Advice for the Project

Support Sharing information and data with NRRC, UNDP, etc. Deliberation of Scenario Earthquake, Result of Earthquake Hazard Analysis

and Risk Assessment, Regional Disaster Management Plan, etc.

WG 2 Risk

Assessment

WG 4 Pilot

Activities

WG 1 Geological,

Seismic

WG 3 Policy and

Institutional

48

49


JICA Project Team Member

Assignment Name

1. Team Leader / Disaster Management Administration

Ryoji TAKAHASHI

2. Deputy Team Leader / Disaster Management Administration/ Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment / DRR Planning

Kenpei KOJIKA

3. Seismic Hazard Assessment(Earthquake) Fumio KANEKO

4. Seismic Hazard Assessment(Ground modeling) Jun MATSUO

5. Soil Survey Toshio DOI

6. Seismic Hazard Assessment(Ground motion)

Koichi HASEGAWA

1. 2.

3. 4.

5. 6.

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Assignment Name

7. Regional Disaster Management Planning Katsu KATO

8. Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment (Building) Akira INOUE

9. Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment (Infrastructure) Akio HAYASHI

10. Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment (Economic and Social Analysis)

Hiroshi IMAIZUMI

11. Community/Social Analysis Keisuke HATTORI

12. Community Based Disaster Risk Management Miki KODAMA

7. 8.

9. 10.

11. 12.

51



Assignment Name

13. GIS and Mapping Akihiro FURUTA

14. Project Coordinator / Assistant for Regional Disaster Management Planning

Yasuhiro KAWASOE

15.Damage Survey Abilash POKHREL

16. Urban Design and Planning Junya UMEMURA

17. Building Construction Supervision Yujiro IMAZAWA

18. Seismic Resistant Building Yukio HONDA

19. Assistant for Seismic Resistant Building

Masahiro WATANABE

Model Housing Team

13. 14.

15. 16.


JCC

JICA Project Team Counterparts

Project Team

Technology Transfer

Joint Coordinating Committee (JCC)

MoUD, MoHA, MoFALD JICA

GOJ GON

52


The Joint Coordinating Committee (JCC) will be established in order to

facilitate inter-organizational coordination.

JCC will be held whenever deems it necessary.

1) Chair Secretary MoUD 2) Member Secretary: Joint Secretary (JS), Housing and Building Division , MoUD 3) Members • Development Commissioner, Kathmandu Valley Development

Authority(KDVA) • JS, Office of the Prime Minister and Council of Ministers • JS, Disaster Management Division, MoHA • JS, Ministry of Finance • JS, Municipality Management Division, MoFALD • JS. Ministry of Physical Infrastructure and Transport • JS, NPC secretariat • JS, Ministry of Health and Population • JS, Ministry of Education

53


3) Members(Continued) • DG, Department of Urban Development & Building Construction (DUDBC) • DG, Department of Mines and Geology • Dean, Institute of Engineering • President, FNCCI • NRRC coordinator • Representative, JICA

54


WG1

Geological, Seismic Group

Output: Result of Earthquake hazard analysis WG2

Risk Assessment Group

Output: Result of Earthquake Risk Assessment

WG3 Policy and Institutional Group

Output: Proposal Policy and System WG4

Pilot Activities Group

Output: Regional Disaster Management Plan

Utilize the result

Utilize the result

Utilize the result

Adapt the Policy

Feedback

JCC

Working Group

Expert in Japan

Capacity Development

55


Working Group 1: Geological, Seismic Group

Seismic Hazard Assessment(Earthquake)

• Seismic Hazard Assessment (Ground modeling) • Seismic Hazard Assessment (Ground motion) • GIS and Mapping

DG, Department of Mines and Geology

• Prof. Geology/Seismology, IoST • Prof. Earthquake engineering. IoE • US, Disaster Management Section,

MoUD • US, Building Code Section, DUDBC • President, Nepal Structural

Engineering Society

Nepal Side JICA Project Team

Team Leader

Member Chief, National Seismology Center

Chair

Member

Member Secretary

56


Working Group 2: Risk Assessment Group

Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment / DRR Planning

• Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment (Building)

• Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment (Infrastructure)

• Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment (Economic and Social Analysis)

• GIS and Mapping

JS, Housing and Building Division, MoUD

• DDG, Building Construction Division, DUDBC • DDG, DoR • Division Chief, School Building Construction Division,

Department of Education • US, Ministry of Health and Population • ED, KVWSMB • Chair person, Nepal Telecommunication Authority • ED, Nepal Electricity Authority • Deputy Development Commissioner, KVDA • Project Chiefs, Kathmandu Valley Level Projects

Nepal Side JICA Project Team Team Leader

Member US, Disaster Management Section,

MoUD

Chair

Member

Member Secretary

57


Working Group 3: Policy and Institutional Group

Team Leader / Disaster Management Administration

• Regional Disaster Management Planning

• Community/Social Analysis • Community Based Disaster Risk

Management • Project Coordinator / Assistant for

Regional Disaster Management Planning

JS, Disaster Management Division, MoHA

• JS, Hosuing and Building Division, MoUD • Development Commissioner, KVDA • JS, Municipal Management Division,

MoFALD • JS, NPC Secretariat • DG, DUDBC • Coordinator, Flagship 5, NRRC


Team Leader

Member US, Disaster Management Division,

MoHA

Chair

Member

Member Secretary

Original Plan

58


Working Group 4 Working Group 4: Pilot Activities Group

• Team Leader /Disaster Management Administration





JS, Municipal Management Division, MoFALD

• JS, Housing and Building Division, MoUD • Development Commissioner, KVDA

• JS, Disaster Management Dividion • JS, NPC Secretariat • DG, DUDBC • Coordinator, Flagship 5, NRRC • Municipality staff of Pilot Project


Team Leader

Member

US, Disaster Management Section, MoFALD

Chair

Member

Member Secretary

Original Plan

59

60



• Community/Social Analysis• Community Disaster Preparation• Project Coordinator / Assistant for


• Capacity Development

JS, Municipal Management Division, MoFALD

• JS, Housing and Building Division, MoUD

• JS, Disaster Management Dividion• JS, NPC Secretariat• DG, DUDBC• Development Commissioner, KVDA• Coordinator, Flagship 5, NRRC• Municipality staff of Pilot Project

Nepal SideJICA Project Team

Team Leader

Member

US, Disaster Management Section, MoFALD

Chair

Member

Member Secretary


Working Group 4: Pilot Activities Group

Team Leader /Disaster Management Administration


• Community/Social Analysis• Community Disaster Preparation• Project Coordinator / Assistant for


• Capacity Development

JS, Disaster Management Division, MoHA

• JS, Hosuing and Building Division, MoUD• JS, Municipal Management Division,

MoFALD• JS, NPC Secretariat• DG, DUDBC• Development Commissioner, KVDA• Coordinator, Flagship 5, NRRC

Nepal SideJICA Project Team

Team Leader

MemberUS, Disaster Management Division,

MoHA

Chair

Member

Member Secretary

Working Group 3:Policy and Institutional Group






JS, Municipal Management

Division, MoFALD

• JS, Housing and Building Division, MoUD • JS, NPC Secretariat • DG, DUDBC • Development Commissioner, KVDA • Coordinator, Flagship 5, NRRC • Municipality staff of Pilot Project

Nepal Side JICA Project Team Team Leader

Member US, Disaster

Management Section, MoFALD

Working Group 3: Pilot Activities Group

JS, Disaster Management

Division, MoHA

Integration

BBB Reconstruction Plan & DM Plan

SOP

US, Disaster Management

Division, MoHA

Chair

Member

Member Secretary

Our Proposal


Working Group Schedule

Time Schedule

Activities

2015 2016 2017 2018

(Phae I) (Phase II)

May

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

JCC

WG1 (Geological and seismic group)

WG2 (Risk assessment group)

WG3 (Pilot activities group)

61

6. Outcome of the Project

62

6. Outcome of the Project

BBB Recovery and Reconstruction Plan for Pilot 3 Municipalities 1.

Future Seismic Risk Assessment with newly determined Scenarios for KV 2.

Disaster Management Plan Guideline 3.

DM Plan for Pilot 3 Municipalities 4.

Standard Operation Procedures for 3 Pilot Municipalities 5.

63