epidemiology of periodontal diseases new 4

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    Epidemiology of PeriodontalDiseases

    Dr Khansa Ababneh

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    What is Epidemiology? The study of the distribution and

    determinants of health-related states in

    populations, and the application of thisstudy to control health problems

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    ImplicationsDefinition implies

    1. Determining amount & distribution of disease2. Investigation of causes of disease

    3. Applying this knowledge for control of disease

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    Distribution of diseases Distribution of diseases/periodontal

    diseases in populations is not random

    Some members or subgroups of thepopulation are more susceptible

    Physical, biologic, behavioral, culturaland social factors

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    Epidemiology in periodonticsshould provide information about:

    1. Prevalence & severity

    2. Risk factors3. Effectiveness of preventive &

    therapeutic measures

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    Classification of Periodontal

    DiseasesNumerous Classifications existed in thepast

    World workshop in periodontics 1989

    AAP classification 1999

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    Periodontal Diagnosis Great importance

    Distinguishing between Normal &Abnormal is based on thresholds

    Thresholdsare derived fromepidemiological studies

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    Study Designs Cross-sectional studies

    Prevalence

    Case-control studies Risk Indicators (rare diseases)

    Cohort studies Incidence

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    Definitions Prevalence

    Incidence

    Sensitivity

    Specificity

    Positive predictive value Negative predictive value

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    Prevalence Proportion of persons in a population who

    have the disease at a given point or period

    of time

    Prevalence = No of persons with diseaseNo of persons in the

    population

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    Incidence Average percentage of unaffected

    persons who will develop the disease of

    interest during a given period of time

    Incidence = No of new casesNo of persons at risk

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    Incidence ofperiodontal

    diseases in a strict sense isalmost impossible at thepresent level of knowledge.

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    Sensitivity Proportion of subjects with the disease

    who test positive

    Sensitivity = No of subjects who test positiveNo of subjects with disease

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    Specificity Proportion of subjects without the disease

    who test negative

    Specificity = No of subjects who test negativeNo of subjects without disease

    Sensitivity and specificity are useful in choosing the test

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    Predictive Value Once the result of a test is ready: what

    are the chances that it is right or wrong?

    Predictive value

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    Predictive Value

    Positive predictive value of a test:Probability that a person with a positive

    test has the disease

    Negative Predictive Value:

    probability that a person with anegative test does not have the disease

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    True Disease Status

    Test Result Disease No Disease

    Positive A

    True +ve

    B

    False +ve

    Negative C

    False -ve

    D

    True -ve

    Sensitivity A/(A+C)

    Specificity B/(B+D)

    Positive predictive value A/(A+B)

    Negative predictive value D/(C+D)

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    Periodontal Indices Techniques employed in periodontal

    epidemiology to quantitate clinicalconditions on a graduated scale to

    facilitate comparison among populations

    Complete periodontal examination is

    Superior BUT

    Time consuming Does not translate clinical conditions into

    numerical data

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    Periodontal Indices

    Indices measuring the degree of gingivalinflammation

    Example:

    Gingival index(GI; Le & Silness; 1967)

    Modified Gingival Index(Lobene et al, 1986)

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    Periodontal Indices

    Indices used to measure periodontaldestruction

    Example:

    Periodontal Index (PI, Russel; 1956)

    Periodontal Disease Index ( Ramfjord, 1959)

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    Periodontal Indices

    Indices used to measure plaqueaccumulation

    Example:

    Plaque Index(Silness & Le, 1964)

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    Periodontal Indices

    Indices used to measure calculus

    Example:

    Calculus component of the PDI

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    Periodontal Indices

    Indices used to assess treatment needs

    Example:

    Community Periodontal IndexOf Treatment Needs (CPITN)

    Ainamo et al, 1977

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    Changing Concepts

    Old concept in WHO (1961) has changed:

    Gingivitis does not inevitably progress into

    periodontitis

    Universal susceptibility

    Models for periodontal diseases

    Models for pathogenesis

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    Prevalence of Periodontal Diseases

    National Health & Nutrition Examination Survey

    NHANES I (1971-1974)

    NHANES III (1988-1994)

    NIDR (1985-1986)

    Difficult to compare results

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    Prevalence of Periodontal Diseases

    Geographic distribution

    More than 70% of adults have some

    degree of gingivitis or periodontitis Gingivitis and calculus are more

    prevalent and severe in developing

    countries

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    Gingivitis

    At the population level

    Found in early childhood

    Prevalence & severity in adolescence

    Prevalence of gingivitis in USA amongpopulation aged 13 and older= 54%

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    Gingival BleedingNHANES III

    Highest among 13-17 yr old (63%)

    Declined through 35- to 44-yr-old group

    Increased in 45- to 54- yr old group

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    Gingivitis

    In Adults First national survey in US (1962):

    85% of men &79% of women

    had gingivitis

    ??Gingivitis has declined indeveloped countries??

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    Prevalence of Chronic Periodontitis

    Depends on: Population &

    Threshold definition

    NHANES III: > 1mm prevalence=99%: > 3mm AL in at least one site of the

    mouth= 53%

    : > 7mm =7%

    In Jordan: Prepared

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    Prevalence of AggressivePeriodontitis

    Differs with populations

    In the US: 0.13%, 0.53% and 1%prevalence has been reported

    In Jordan: Prepared

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    Confusion

    Confusion in interpreting data fromolder studies, due to differences in

    measurement Severity of periodontitis according

    to AAP

    CAL (PAL; LPA)

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    Incidence of Periodontitis

    Longitudinal study of periodontitis on480 tea workers in Sri Lanka(Le et al 1986)

    Revealed natural history of disease

    Parallel Study in Norway

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    Results

    8% rapid progression

    81% moderate progression

    11% no progression beyond gingivitis GR progresses on all surfaces

    In Norway; upper SES: GR buccally

    Reason for CAL in both groups

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    RISK

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    EnvironmentalSmoking

    HostSusceptibility

    GeneticAcquired

    Periodontal Diseases

    BacteriaColonisationInvasion

    Destruction

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    Aetiology

    Risk Factors

    Susceptibilityfactors

    Severity factors

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    RiskIdentified in terms of:

    Risk Factors

    Risk Indicators

    Risk predictors

    (Pihlstrom, 2001)

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    Risk Factors for Periodontitis Sociodemographic

    characteristics

    Dental Plaque

    Oral hygiene

    Local Factors

    Systemic factors

    Smoking

    Nutrition

    Genetic predisposition

    Dental visits

    BOP

    Previous periodontaldisease

    Stress

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    Demographic risk factors

    Gender and Race

    Age

    Socioeconomic status

    Education

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    Gender & Race Men have poorer periodontal health

    than women, in terms ofLPA, pocketsand subgingival calculus

    Women have better oral hygiene

    No established differences in

    susceptibility to chronic periodontitis

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    GenderAggressive Periodontitis

    Studies on Europeans show higher prevalenceof aggressive periodontitis in

    FEMALES > MALES

    Studies on Africans or African Americans:MALES > FEMALES

    Gender is related to race(risk factors)

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    Age

    Cross-sectionalstudies: Greater prevalence & severity of LPA with

    age

    Does not mean greater susceptibility

    Cumulative progression of lesions overtime

    Sri Lankan study: 3 groups

    Increased LPA with age (cumulative effect)

    Increased susceptibility

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    Age

    Conclusion

    Susceptibility determines age of onset

    LPA (CAL or attachment loss)increases with age in the groupsusceptible to aggressive periodontitis

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    Socioeconomic Status (SES)

    Gingivitis & poor OH Low SES

    Subgingival calculus Low SES

    Relationship between periodontitis

    & SES is less direct

    Higher prevalence of attachment &

    alveolar bone loss with lower SES

    O l

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    Oral Hygiene

    Classic studies (Le et al, 1965) Plaque Gingivitis

    Plaque & calculus correlate poorly with severe

    periodontitis

    Quantity of plaque correlates poorly withperiodontitis

    Sensitive aetiologic factor insusceptible individuals

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    Local Factors

    Example: overhangs

    Epidemiologically:

    Of minor importance in

    aetiology of periodontal diseases

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    Nutrition

    Insufficient studies

    Vitamin C deficiency

    Vitamin B6 & B12 deficiency

    Iron deficiency

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    Smoking

    NHANES I: 1971-1975

    Smoking Periodontal Diseaseclear association

    Independent of OH, age & otherfactors

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    Smoking

    Higher prevalence of periodontitis amongsmokers

    Smoking suppresses vascular reaction to

    plaque Twice as many smokers require dentures

    after age 50

    93%-97% of patients with refractory sitesare smokers

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    Smoking is a major

    Risk Factor forPeriodontitis

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    Systemic Diseases

    Diabetes Mellitus

    HIV infection

    CVS diseases

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    Diabetes Mellitus

    Known risk factor for periodontitis

    Periodontitis: classic complication of DM

    Both types I ( IDDM) & and II (NIDDM)

    IDDM patients: more gingivitis & pockets

    IDDM: poorer glycemic control

    greater LPA and bone loss

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    Diabetes Mellitus

    Periodontitis progresses more rapidly inpoorly controlled diabetics

    Studies on Gila River community in Arizona :

    NIDDM: Greater LPA, bone &tooth loss

    Risk for periodontitis in NIDDM: 2.81

    Risk for alveolar bone loss in NIDDM: 3.43

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    HIV Infection

    Not many controlled studies

    Controversial results

    High risk for LPA, bone & tooth lossAlarming signs: NUG, NUP

    (not statistically)

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