encuesta de newlink research us hispanics, political preference and immigration reform

US Hispanics and

Immigration Reform

The Survey

• This survey was conducted by Newlink Research in conjunction

with the Miami Herald.

• These findings are based on a national telephone survey of 587

Hispanic registered voters. The survey was conducted September

1-5, 2010.

• (MoE: +/- 4.2 percentage points)

In your opinion, is the United States headed in the right direction or

wrong direction?

Party Identification

TOTAL Republican Democrat Others

Right direction 33.7% 17.5% 42.9% 24.9%

Wrong direction 57.2% 73.8% 49.0% 64.6%

Don’t know 9.0% 8.8% 8.1% 10.6%

In your opinion, is the United States headed in the right direction or wrong

direction?

Gender Age

TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+

Right Direction

33.7% 38.4% 30.1% 46.4% 32.2% 35.1% 31.8%

Wrong Direction

57.2% 53.7% 59.9% 35.7% 60.9% 55.2% 63.6%

Don’t Know9.0% 7.8% 9.9% 17.9% 6.9% 9.7% 4.5%

In general and in comparison with last year, is your personal situation

much better, better, worse, or much worse?





Much better 7.2% 7.5% 8.4% 5.3%

Better 23.0% 15.0% 26.4% 21.2%

The same 30.5% 15.0% 35.1% 29.6%

Worse 33.4% 51.3% 26.0% 37.6%

Much worse 5.8% 11.3% 4.1% 5.8%

Don’t Know 0.2% 0.5%



Gender Age


Much Better7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 3.6% 8.0% 6.5% 10.7%

Better23.0% 26.3% 20.5% 46.4% 22.6% 21.8% 17.9%

Same30.5% 26.3% 33.7% 17.9% 26.1% 34.7% 42.9%

Worse33.4% 34.9% 32.2% 25.0% 35.2% 33.5% 17.9%

Much Worse5.8% 4.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 3.6% 10.7%

Don’t Know0.2% 0.4% 0.4%

Also in general, do you believe that your personal situation a year

from now will be much better, better, worse, or much worse?

Also in general, do you believe that your personal situation a year

from now will be much better, better, worse, or much worse?



Much better 11.2% 10.0% 12.2% 10.6%

Better 40.9% 28.8% 45.6% 38.6%

The same 25.2% 22.5% 26.4% 24.9%

Worse 17.5% 27.5% 13.9% 19.0%

Much worse 4.6% 11.3% 1.7% 6.3%

Don’t Know 0.5% 0.3% 0.5%

Also in general, do you believe that your personal situation a year from

now will be much better, better, the same, worse, or much worse?

Gender Age


Much Better11.2% 14.1% 9.0% 17.9% 11.1% 10.9% 14.3%

Better40.9% 42.4% 39.8% 60.7% 41.4% 39.5% 25.0%

Same25.2% 20.8% 28.6% 14.3% 24.9% 25.4% 35.7%

Worse17.5% 17.3% 17.8% 7.1% 18.0% 17.3% 21.4%

Much Worse4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 3.6%

Don’t Know0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8%

Thinking about the future of your children, do you think that they will

have better opportunities, the same opportunities, or fewer opportunities

than you have had in the United States?

Thinking about the future of your children, do you think that they will have

better opportunities, the same opportunities, or fewer opportunities than

you have had in the United States?



Better opportunities 54.7% 35.0% 61.5% 52.9%

Same opportunities 13.8% 18.8% 12.5% 13.2%

Fewer opportunities 22.8% 33.8% 18.9% 24.9%

No opportunities 1.9% 5.0% 0.3% 3.2%

Don’t Know 6.8% 7.5% 6.8% 5.8%

Thinking about the future of your children, do you think that they will have

better opportunities, the same opportunities, or fewer opportunities than

you have had in the United States?

Gender Age


Better Opportunities54.7% 56.1% 53.6% 67.9% 55.2% 54.4% 42.9%

Same13.8% 13.3% 14.2% 3.6% 13.0% 16.1% 17.9%

Fewer Opportunities22.8% 22.4% 23.2% 21.4% 24.5% 20.6% 21.4%

No Opportunities1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0%

Don’t Know6.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 17.9%

Thinking about the future, do you believe that your children will be very

affected, somewhat affected, or not affected by discrimination and

prejudice?



prejudice?



Very affected 12.6% 17.5% 11.1% 12.2%

Somewhat affected 34.1% 23.8% 37.2% 33.3%

Not affected 45.3% 53.8% 42.9% 47.1%

Don´t know 8.0% 5.0% 8.8% 7.4%



prejudice?

Gender Age


Very Affected12.6% 10.6% 14.2% 67.9% 55.2% 54.4% 54.7%

Somewhat Affected34.1% 35.3% 33.1% 21.4% 24.5% 20.6% 22.8%

Not Affected45.3% 47.1% 44.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9%

Don’t Know8.0% 7.1% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 6.8%

In the past, were you or any member of your family discriminated against

for being Hispanic/Latino?

5.3%

16.7%

7.0%

70.7%

0.3%

Always

Sometimes

Rarely

Never

Don’t know





Always 5.3% 5.1% 7.9%

Sometimes 16.7% 8.8% 18.9% 14.8%

Rarely 7.0% 2.5% 8.1% 7.4%

Never 70.7% 87.5% 67.9% 69.3%

Don’t know 0.3% 1.3% 0.5%



Gender Age


Always5.3% 6.3% 4.5% 7.1% 6.9% 4.0% 3.6%

Sometimes16.7% 15.3% 17.8% 17.9% 18.8% 14.9% 14.3%

Rarely7.0% 6.7% 7.2% 10.7% 7.7% 6.0% 7.1%

Never70.7% 71.4% 70.2% 64.3% 65.9% 75.0% 75.0%

Don’t Know0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8%

During this past year until today, have you or any member of your family

been discriminated against for being Hispanic/Latino?





Always 4.6% 2.5% 3.7% 7.4%

Sometimes 6.6% 6.3% 8.8% 3.7%

Once 7.8% 5.0% 7.1% 9.0%

Never 79.9% 83.8% 79.7% 78.8%

Don’t know 1.0% 2.5% 0.7% 1.1%



Gender Age


Always4.6% 5.9% 3.6% 7.1% 6.5% 2.8% 3.6%

Sometimes6.6% 7.5% 6.0% 3.6% 7.3% 6.0% 3.6%

Once7.8% 5.5% 9.6% 17.9% 6.9% 8.1% 3.6%

Never79.9% 80.4% 79.5% 71.4% 78.2% 81.9% 89.3%

Don’t Know1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2%

Of the following issues, which do you believe is the most serious

problem?

Of the following issues, which do you believe is the most serious

problem?



The economy 40.5% 35.0% 39.9% 43.9%

Unemployment 18.2% 18.8% 20.6% 15.3%

Education 4.3% 2.5% 4.7% 4.8%

Healthcare 3.2% 5.0% 3.0% 2.6%

Crime 9.2% 12.5% 7.4% 9.0%

Terrorism 3.9% 7.5% 4.1% 2.6%

Global Warming 3.2% 3.7% 4.2%

Illegal immigration 7.2% 10.0% 6.1% 7.9%

Discrimination 7.7% 5.0% 8.1% 7.4%

Other 0.3% 0.3% 0.5%

Don’t know 2.2% 3.8% 2.0% 1.6%

Very good GoodNeither good

not badBad Very Bad Don’t Know

The economy 7.8% 38.5% 19.3% 24.5% 9.9% 0.0%

Unemployment 3.7% 22.0% 14.8% 38.8% 20.1% 0.5%

Immigration

Reform3.1% 14.5% 22.7% 38.8% 20.4% 0.5%

Education 8.7% 41.9% 21.0% 19.3% 8.2% 1.0%

Healthcare 11.2% 39.7% 17.7% 21.0% 10.2% 0.2%

Discrimination 6.1% 28.3% 24.5% 27.3% 13.3% 0.5%

In general, how would you evaluate President Obama’s performance

in handling:



The economy 5.0% 12.5% 11.3% 40.0% 31.3% 0.0%

Unemployment 1.3% 8.8% 10.0% 41.3% 38.8% 0.0%

Immigration

Reform1.3% 11.3% 15.0% 36.3% 36.3% 0.0%

Education 3.8% 40.0% 16.3% 22.5% 15.0% 2.5%

Healthcare 6.3% 23.8% 22.5% 28.8% 18.8% 0.0%

Discrimination 8.8% 17.5% 28.8% 21.3% 23.8% 0.0%


in handling: {Republicans}



The economy 10.5% 48.0% 21.3% 16.6% 3.7% 0.0%

Unemployment 5.4% 28.7% 14.5% 36.5% 14.2% 0.7%

Immigration

Reform3.4% 17.2% 26.0% 37.5% 14.9% 1.0%

Education 11.5% 43.2% 23.3% 14.2% 6.4% 1.4%

Healthcare 15.5% 44.6% 16.2% 18.6% 5.1% 0.0%

Discrimination 6.8% 32.1% 23.3% 27.0% 10.1% 0.7%


in handling: {Democrats}



The economy 5.8% 33.9% 18.0% 31.2% 11.1% 0.0%

Unemployment 2.6% 16.4% 17.5% 41.8% 21.2% 0.5%

Immigration

Reform2.6% 12.2% 20.1% 42.9% 22.2% 0.0%

Education 5.8% 40.7% 18.5% 26.5% 8.5% 0.0%

Healthcare 5.8% 39.7% 18.0% 21.2% 14.8% 0.5%

Discrimination 4.8% 27.5% 22.8% 31.2% 13.2% 0.5%


in handling: {Independents}

Completely

AgreeAgree Disagree

Completely

DisagreeDon’t Know

A pathway to citizenship for

those who have lived in the

United States for at least ten

years and have not been

convicted of a crime.

19.9% 65.8% 12.1% 1.9% 0.3%

The undocumented parents of US

citizens should be granted a

pathway to citizenship.11.4% 65.8% 19.1% 3.1% 0.7%

Undocumented aliens should be

fined, granted a resident visa,

and should be forced to wait ten

years before being allowed to

become citizens.

9.0% 39.2% 41.1% 10.2% 0.5%

If an alien entered the country

illegally, no pathway to

citizenship should be granted. 6.3% 25.9% 52.0% 14.8% 1.0%

Immigration reform has been debated in the US Congress and in the

press. Please state if you: completely agree, agree, disagree or

completely disagree with each of the following options

Completely

AgreeAgree Disagree

Completely

disagreeDon’t Know

Improved border

control 18.2% 60.5% 18.1% 2.7% 0.5%

Temporary worker’s

program 17.5% 68.0% 11.4% 2.2% 0.9%

Deportation of those

who committed crimes

and completed their

sentence.

19.1% 51.4% 23.5% 3.7% 2.2%

Fines for those who hire

undocumented workers. 10.7% 32.7% 43.8% 11.8% 1.0%

Return undocumented

migrants to their

countries, where they

would be allowed to

apply for a visa to

reenter the United

States legally.

11.6% 61.7% 21.0% 4.1% 1.7%

Today a number of immigration reform options are being debated.

Please state if you: completely agree, agree, disagree or completely

disagree with each of the following options.

Have you heard of Law 1070 that is currently being enforced in the state

of Arizona?

Political Preferences


Yes 88.8% 92.5% 87.8% 89.4%

No 11.2% 7.5% 12.2% 10.6%

Have you heard of Law 1070 that is currently being enforced in the state

of Arizona?

Gender Age


Yes88.8% 88.6% 88.9% 78.6% 90.8% 86.7% 96.4%

No11.2% 11.4% 11.1% 21.4% 9.2% 13.3% 3.6%

Do you agree or disagree with Law 1070?



Agree 16.7% 39.2% 8.5% 21.3%

Disagree 80.0% 56.8% 88.8% 74.6%

Don’t Know 3.3% 4.1% 2.7% 4.1%

17%

80%

3%

Agree Disagree Don't Know

Do you agree or disagree with Law 1070?

Gender Age


Agree16.7% 21.2% 13.2% 13.6% 16.9% 17.7% 14.8%

Disagree80.0% 76.5% 82.7% 86.4% 79.7% 79.1% 81.5%

Don’t Know3.3% 2.2% 4.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7%

Of the following reasons, what do you believe is the principal reason

that Arizona passed Law 1070?

Of the following reasons, what do you believe is the principal reason that

Arizona passed Law 1070?



To contain threats to the national security of

the United States. 5.4% 8.1% 4.6% 5.3%

To control drug trafficking15.5% 21.6% 12.7% 17.8%

To end the uncontrollable flow of illegal

aliens19.4% 28.4% 17.3% 20.1%

Racism42.8% 27.0% 50.0% 38.5%

To prevent the spillover of violence from

Mexico. 11.5% 9.5% 10.4% 13.6%

None of the above. 5.0% 5.4% 4.6% 4.7%

Don’t know0.4% 0.4%

Of the following reasons, what do you believe is the principal reason that

Arizona passed Law 1070?

Sex Age


To contain threats to the

national security of the

United States.

5.4% 7.1% 4.1% 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 7.4%

To control drug trafficking15.5% 16.4% 14.9% 9.1% 14.8% 18.1% 7.4%

To end the uncontrollable

flow of illegal aliens19.4% 20.4% 18.6% 21.1% 17.7% 22.2%

Racism42.8% 38.5% 46.1% 63.6% 42.2% 41.9% 44.4%

To prevent the spillover of

violence from Mexico. 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 22.7% 11.8% 11.2% 7.4%

None of the above. 5.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 4.7% 11.1%

Don’t know0.4% 0.9% 0.9%

Have your heard of the August 2010 murder of 72 migrant workers from

several countries allegedly by the so-called Zetas Cartel, when trying to

cross the border?



Yes 80.7% 92.5% 87.8% 89.4%

No 19.3% 7.5% 12.2% 10.6%

And, are you familiar with how the Mexican government has responded

to the murder of these migrants?



Yes 44.3% 54.8% 46.8% 38.1%

No 55.7% 45.2% 53.2% 61.9%

If yes, do you agree with the way in which the Mexican government has

responded to this case?

Agree

Disagree

Neither one nor the other

Don't Know

21.9%

64.8%

12.9%

0.5%

If yes, do you agree with the way in which the Mexican government has

responded to this case?



Agree 21.9% 17.6% 25.5% 18.0%

Disagreement 64.8% 76.5% 59.1% 67.2%

Neither one or the other 12.9% 5.9% 14.5% 14.8%

Don´t know 0.5% 0.9%

In your opinion, what can the United States do to prevent similar

situations in the future?

In your opinion, what can the United States do to prevent similar

situations in the future?


TOTAL Republican Democrat Others Don’t Know

The US should give more support to

the Mexican military and police forces. 34.3% 23.5% 38.2% 36.1%

The US should pressure more the

Mexican government to dismantle drug

cartels like the Zetas.

20.5% 29.4% 23.6% 11.5%

The US should militarize its border to

help Mexico fight against drug cartels. 20.0% 26.5% 15.5% 21.3% 60.0%

The US shouldn’t do anything, this is a

Mexican problem. 10.0% 5.9% 11.8% 9.8%

The US should convoke other

countries in the hemisphere to fight

against these cartels because Mexico

is incapable of conducting this battle

on its own.

14.3% 11.8% 10.0% 21.3% 40.0%

Don’t know 1.0% 2.9% 0.9%

Politically speaking, do you consider yourself a:

N = 587

Did you vote in the 2008 presidential elections?



Yes 95.2% 96.1% 97.2% 92.7%

No 4.8% 3.9% 2.8% 7.3%

Did you vote in the 2008 Presidential Elections?

Sex Age


Yes 95.2% 94.5% 95.8% 72.2% 95.1% 96.2% 100.0%

No 4.8% 5.5% 4.2% 27.8% 4.9% 3.8%

If you voted, for whom did you vote?




Barack Obama 61.8% 17.6% 86.9% 39.3%

John McCain 19.5% 78.4% 4.7% 18.6%

Other 12.5% 1.4% 6.5% 30.7%

Don’t know 6.2% 2.7% 1.8% 11.4%


Sex Age


Barack Obama 61.8% 61.7% 61.8% 61.5% 62.1% 63.1% 50.0%

John McCain 19.5% 19.8% 19.3% 7.7% 19.2% 20.0% 19.2%

Other 12.5% 13.5% 11.6% 15.4% 11.2% 11.6% 26.9%

Don’t know 6.2% 5.0% 7.3% 15.4% 7.5% 5.3% 3.8%

How certain are you that you will vote in the November congressional

elections?


elections?



Very certain 53.8% 67.5% 56.4% 47.6%

Certain 17.9% 16.3% 21.6% 14.3%

I don’t know yet 12.4% 11.3% 13.5% 11.6%

Very uncertain 2.0% 1.3% 1.4% 3.7%

I won’t vote 9.0% 2.5% 5.1% 17.5%

Don’t know 4.8% 1.3% 2.0% 5.3%


elections?

Sex Age


Very certain 53.8% 58.4% 50.3% 17.9% 54.0% 56.5% 64.3%

Certain 17.9% 19.2% 16.9% 28.6% 14.9% 20.6% 21.4%

I don’t know yet 12.4% 9.4% 14.8% 28.6% 11.5% 12.1% 7.1%

Very uncertain 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 1.2% 3.6%

I won’t vote 9.0% 7.5% 10.2% 14.3% 11.1% 7.3% 3.6%

Don’t know 4.8% 3.9% 5.4% 10.7% 6.1% 2.4%

In what country were you born?

29.8%

0.7%2.6%

0.3%1.2%1.2%0.2%0.5%0.9%0.9%0.5%1.7%

3.9%

0.9%

34.1%

3.4% 4.8%

11.6%

encuesta de newlink research us hispanics, political preference and immigration reform

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