embu county (mbeere) 2020 short rains food and …

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I EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY ASSESSMENT REPORT A Joint Report by the Kenya Food Security Steering Group (KFSSG) 1 and Embu (Mbeere) County Steering Group (CSG) February 2021 1 Joseph Kamau Swala (Department of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries) and Hellen Avisa (State Department of Education)

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Page 1: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

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EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE)

2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY ASSESSMENT REPORT

A Joint Report by the Kenya Food Security Steering Group (KFSSG)1 and

Embu (Mbeere) County Steering Group (CSG)

February 2021

1 Joseph Kamau Swala (Department of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries) and Hellen Avisa (State Department of

Education)

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The short rains food and nutritional security assessment is a bi-annual assessment conducted by

multi-agency and multi-sector representatives from the Kenya Food Security Steering Group

(KFSSG); the County Steering Group (CSG) drawn from agriculture, livestock, water, health and

nutrition as well as education as key sectors and various non-state actors. The assessment was

aimed at achieving an objective, evidence-based, transparent food and nutritional security

situational analysis in Mbeere sub-counties following the performance of short rains season in

2020 and taking into account the cumulative effects of previous seasons, to provide

recommendations for possible response options based on the situation analysis. The assessment

covered the two main livelihood zones. The main food security threats were below average short

rains performance, high food prices, livestock diseases and COVID 19 pandemic safety measures

and restrictions. The performance of short rains was below average with the region receiving 51-

90 percent of the normal which were 43 percent of the average rainfall of 256.05 mm by uneven

distribution in space and poor distribution in time. Production of maize, beans and green grams is

expected to decline by 28, 47 and 42 percent respectively compared to the long term averages. The

production of tomatoes and watermelons under irrigation increased by 25 and 50 percent

respectively compared to the long term averages. Maize stocks held by farmers were 19 percent

below the long term average. Stocks of maize held by traders were 27 percent below the long term

average as traders disposed of their previous old stock. Milk production was near normal across

all livelihood zones. In the Mixed Farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zones,

consumption of milk was one and 2.5 litres respectively. All markets functioned normally without

any disruptions. The average maize prices in January 2021 was Ksh. 35 per kilogram, which was

stable compared to the long term average of Ksh.36for the same period. The average price of a

goat was Ksh. 5,545 for a medium-size goat. The terms of trade was 158 kilograms of maize from

the sale of a medium-size goat compared to the long term average of 127 kilograms. The distance

for domestic water in Mixed Farming livelihood ranged between 1-3 kilometers, which was within

the normal of 0.5-3 kilometers. While in Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the distance to

domestic water ranged between 2-8 kilometers compared to the normal of less than five kilometers.

In the Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the cost of water was Ksh. 2-5 per 20-litre Jerrycan, which

was normal for the time of the year while in the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the cost

of water was Ksh. 5-10 per 20-litre Jerrycan, which was also normal for the time of the year. Water

consumption in the Mixed Farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zones declined by 17

and 33 percent respectively compared to the normal. In the Mixed Farming livelihood zone,

consumption of water declined from 60 litres per person per day to 50 litres per person per day. In

the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, water consumption declined from 30 litres per

person per day to 20 litres per person per day. The proportions of households with borderline and

acceptable food consumption score was 20 and 80 percent respectively. In the Mixed Farming

livelihood zone, households with acceptable food consumption remained above 90 percent in the

January 2021 and same period in 2020. The proportion of households in the Marginal Mixed

Farming livelihood zone with borderline food consumption score in January 2020 slightly

increased from 35 percent to 37 percent in same period in 2021. In January 2021, the coping

strategy index in the mixed farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zones was 1.8 and

5.7 respectively. The proportion of children under-fives with Mid Upper Arm Circumference with

colour categories measurement was normal (green) across the livelihood zones. The crude

mortality and mortality are below the normal threshold. Mbeere Sub Counties was classified as

‘Stressed’ (IPC Phase ).

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Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................................. ii

1.0 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 1

1.1 County Background ............................................................................................................................. 1

1.2 Methodology and Approach ............................................................................................................... 1

2.0 DRIVERS OF FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY IN THE COUNTY ............................................................ 2

2.1 Rainfall Performance ........................................................................................................................... 2

2.2 COVID 19 Pandemic ............................................................................................................................ 2

2.3 Other Shocks and Hazards .................................................................................................................. 3

3.0 IMPACTS OF DRIVERS ON FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY ................................................................. 3

3.1 Availability ........................................................................................................................................... 3

3.1.1 Crop Production ........................................................................................................................... 3

3.1.2 Cereals Stocks .............................................................................................................................. 4

3.1.3 Livestock Production .................................................................................................................... 5

3.1.4 Impact on availability ................................................................................................................... 7

3.2 Access .................................................................................................................................................. 7

3.2.1 Markets ........................................................................................................................................ 8

3.2.2 Terms of Trade (ToT) .................................................................................................................... 9

3.2.3 Income Sources ............................................................................................................................ 9

3.2.4 Water Access and Availability .................................................................................................... 10

3.2.5 Food Consumption ..................................................................................................................... 13

3.2.6 Coping Strategy .......................................................................................................................... 13

3.3 Utilization .......................................................................................................................................... 13

3.3.1 Morbidity and Mortality Patterns .............................................................................................. 14

3.3.2 Immunization and Vitamin A Supplementation......................................................................... 15

3.3.3 Nutritional Status and Dietary Diversity .................................................................................... 15

3.3.4 Health and Nutrition Sector in COVID -19 Pandemic ................................................................. 16

3.3.5 Public Interventions, Risk Communication and Community Level Actions ............................... 17

3.3.6 Coordination and Leadership in COVID-19 Pandemic Preparedness and Response ................. 17

3.4 Trends of Key Food Security Indicators ............................................................................................ 18

3.5 Education .......................................................................................................................................... 19

3.5.1 Enrolment .................................................................................................................................. 19

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3.5.2 Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Schools ................................................................................. 19

3.5.3 Effects of Short Rains on Schools ............................................................................................... 20

3.5.4 School Feeding ........................................................................................................................... 21

4.0 FOOD SECURITY PROGNOSIS ................................................................................................................ 22

4.1 Prognosis Assumptions ..................................................................................................................... 22

4.2 Food Security Outlook....................................................................................................................... 22

4.2.1 Food Security Outlook (February – April 2021) ......................................................................... 22

4.2.2 Food Security Outlook (May - July) ............................................................................................ 22

5.0 CONCLUSION AND INTERVENTIONS ..................................................................................................... 23

5.1 Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................... 23

5.1.1 Phase Classification .................................................................................................................... 23

5.1.2 Summary of Findings .................................................................................................................. 23

5.1.3 Sub-County Ranking ................................................................................................................... 23

5.2 Ongoing Interventions ...................................................................................................................... 23

5.2.1 Food Interventions ..................................................................................................................... 23

5.2.2 Non-Food Interventions ............................................................................................................. 24

5.3 Recommended Interventions ........................................................................................................... 26

5.3.1 Food Interventions ..................................................................................................................... 26

5.3.2 Non-Food Interventions ............................................................................................................. 26

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1.0 INTRODUCTION

1.1 County Background

Embu County is located to the north-east of Nairobi, southeastern side of Mount Kenya covering

an area of 2,818 km2. It borders Kirinyaga

County to the west, Kitui County to the east,

Machakos County to the south, Murang’a County

to the south-west, Tharaka Nithi County to the

north and Meru to the north-west. The county is

divided into four constituencies, namely;

Runyenjes, Manyatta, Mbeere South and Mbeere

North. The county has a population of 608,599

persons (Kenya National Bureau of Statistics,

2019 Population Census). The food and

nutritional security assessment was carried out in

Mbeere region. Mbeere region has two sub-

counties namely: Mbeere North and Mbeere

South both covering 2,095.7 km2 with a

population of 272,351 persons (KNBS 2019 Population Census). The sub-counties have two main

livelihood zones namely: Mixed Farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zones with

population proportions of 49 and 51 percent respectively (Figure 1). The main sources of cash

income in the Mixed Farming livelihood zone are cash crop production contributing 30 percent of

cash income; food crop production at 20 percent; livestock production at 18 percent and formal

waged labour at 10 percent. In the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, food crop production

is the major source of income accounting for 40 percent followed by livestock production at 23

percent and finally cash crop production at 10 percent.

1.2 Methodology and Approach

The main aim of the short rains food security assessment was to conduct an objective, evidence-

based and transparent food and nutrition security situation analysis taking into account the

performance of short rains in 2020, as well as taking cumulative effect of previous seasons and to

provide recommendations for possible response options. The assessment adopted a multi-sectoral

and multi-agency approach with representatives from KFSSG, CSG and other non-state actors in

the county. The assessment in the county was conducted from 25th to 29th February 2021. The

assessment began with the initial CSG briefing of the objectives of the assessment together with

sector presentations and later a review of the sector checklists. Field teams were constituted with

the aim of fact-finding mission or confirming the data in selected sample areas across all livelihood

zones. The data were triangulated with the information provided in the checklists with the actual

situation in the field. The exercise involved an in-depth analysis of primary data collected through

key informant interviews, community focus group discussions, market surveys while secondary

data was collected through the sectoral checklists. In the transect drives, visual inspection

techniques and observations were employed in the collection of information. During the field

exercise, teams adhered to COVID-19 containment protocols and standards. Secondary

information was analyzed from the National Drought Management Authority (NDMA) monthly

drought early warning bulletins and also from SMART Surveys. Data analysis was carried out at

the sub-county and livelihood zone levels and sectoral county reports prepared. The team later

compiled and drafted the county report whose preliminary findings were presented to the CSG on

49%51%

Mixed Farming(MF) Marginal Mixed Farming

Figure 1: County population by livelihood zones

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29th January 2021 for adoption and ownership. Further analysis was done using the Integrated

Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) reference tools.

2.0 DRIVERS OF FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY IN THE COUNTY

2.1 Rainfall Performance

The onset of the short rains season was timely in the third dekad of October for the Mixed Farming

zones and fourth week for the Marginal

Mixed Farming zones. In the upper part of

Mbeere South and parts of the North

received 76-90 percent of the normal rainfall

according to the Rainfall Estimate. In the

lower region of Mbeere South and North,

the sub-counties received 51-71 percent of

the normal rainfall (Figure 2). The county

received 146. 55 mm of rains, that was 43

percent of the normal rainfall of 256.05 mm.

The rains were uneven in space and

characterized by poor distribution in time

across the livelihood zones. Rainfall

cessation was timely but in some parts, there

was an early cessation in the second dekad

of December compared to the normal of

cessation at the third dekad of December.

2.2 COVID 19 Pandemic

Despite the gradual and partial easing of COVID 19 restrictions, poor households continue to face

income deficits and constrained access to food due to decreased labor demand and income

opportunities coupled with higher than normal food prices of some key staples... Stocks at the

household level were dwindling as more households increasingly depend on market supplies.

There has been a shortage of nutrition commodities required in the management of both severe

acute malnutrition and moderate acute malnutrition due to importation restrictions occasioned by

the COVID-19 pandemic. Poor healthcare-seeking behaviour due to COVID-19 stigma affected

the uptake of services, especially in public health facilities. Reduced community health services

were reported due to COVID-19. The pandemic affected nutritional screening coverage as fewer

cases were screened due to lack of growth monitoring services for children less than five years in

most health facilities due to the stigma caused by COVID-19 pandemic among both the caregivers

and health workers coupled by inadequate personal protective equipment (PPEs). However,

communities continue to adhere to social distancing, hand washing and use of facemasks. The

Ministry of Health continues to provide restrictions and safety measure towards controlling the

spread of COVID-19 pandemic. The impact of the pandemic amidst other shocks will likely cause

significant deterioration and erosion of livelihoods and productive assets, food security and

nutrition of populations.

Figure 2: Rainfall Performance

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2.3 Other Shocks and Hazards

Foot and Mouth Disease was reported in Kabaci, Kune and Kui. Contagious Caprine

Pleuropneumonia (CCPP) and Newcastle Disease (NCD) was also reported across the livelihood

zones.

3.0 IMPACTS OF DRIVERS ON FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY

3.1 Availability

Maize stocks held by farmers were below the long term average because harvesting has not

commenced. Maize stocks held by traders were below the long term average as traders disposed

of their previous old stock. Pasture conditions were fair to poor across the livelihood zones while

browse condition was fair to good.

3.1.1 Crop Production

In the Mbeere sub-counties, the main crops grown were maize, beans and green grams. Maize and

beans were majorly planted in the Mixed Farming livelihood zone while in the Marginal Mixed

Farming livelihood zone; cowpeas, maize and green grams were largely grown. In Marginal Mixed

Farming livelihood zone, maize contributes 50 percent to food and 10 percent to cash income while

it contributes 38 percent to food and 25 percent to cash income in the Mixed Farming livelihood

zone (Table 1).

Table 1: Proportion of Income and Food Livelihood zone Crop Percentage contribution

% to food % to Cash

Mixed Farming Maize 38 25

Beans 23 15

Marginal Mixed Farming Maize 50 10

Beans 17 6

Green grams 10 30

Rain Fed Crop Production

The area under maize, beans and green grams decreased by 24, 16 and 18 percent respectively

compared to the long term average. Production of maize, beans and green grams declined by 28,

47 and 42 percent respectively compared to the long term averages (Table 2). The decline was

attributed to below average short rains forecasted that lead to farmers abandoning expansion of

their land sizes, poor distribution in space and time of short rains, increase acreage on Muguka

crop in Mbeere North sub-county due to financial attachment to the crop. COVID-19 pandemic

restrictions resulted in increased prices in farm inputs such as fertilizers and certified seeds. Lack

of income through loss of job opportunities resulted in limited access to farm inputs due to declined

purchasing power.

Table 2: Rain Fed Crop Production

Crop Area planted

during 2020

short rains

season (Ha)

Long term average

(5 year) area

planted during the

short rains season

(Ha)

2020 Short rains

season

production

(90 kg bags)

Projected

Long term average (5

year) production

during the short rains

season (90 kg bags)

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1. Maize 8,700 11,380 93,620 130,500

2. Beans 5,200 6,200 23,500 44,500

3.Green grams 7,250 8,800 28,750 49,750

Irrigated Crop Production

Tomatoes, watermelons and kales are the main crops grown under irrigation in Muringari (Kathiga

Gaceru), Ishiara, Riandu, Mbeti South, Makima, Mwea, Mavuria and Kiambere in Mbeere South

along Thiba River and Tana River. The area under tomatoes and watermelons increased by 23 and

20 percent respectively compared to the long term averages (Table 3). The area under kales

remained stable compared to the long term averages, however, production of kales was 20 percent

below the long term average. The production of tomatoes and watermelons increased by 25 and

50 percent respectively compared to the long term averages. The above average production of

tomatoes and watermelons was associated with below average rainfall performance that limited

swelling of rivers in Mbeere South thereby allowing irrigation. In the Marginal Mixed Farming

livelihood zone in Evurore in Mbeere North, farmers adopted irrigation due to available water.

Horticultural irrigated farming was embraced in the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone of

Shiara, Ndurumori and Muringari locations of Evurore ward due to regular supply of piped water

from the community irrigation schemes.

Table 3: Irrigated Crop Production

Crop Area planted

during the

2020 short

rains season

(Ha)

Long term average (3

years)

area planted during

short rains season (Ha)

2020 short rains

season production

(MT) Projected

Long term average

(3 years) production

during the short

rains season (MT)

1. Tomatoes 190 155 1,080 865

2. Watermelons 180 150 3,600 2,400

3. Kales 65 65 82 103

3.1.2 Cereals Stocks

Maize stocks held by farmers were 19 percent below the long term average since the harvesting of

maize has not commenced (Table 4). The farmers' stocks in Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood

zone were below the long term average due to reduced crop production due to below average

rainfall performance. Stocks of maize held by traders were 27 percent below the long term average

as traders disposed of their old stocks. Household stocks reduced significantly in the pasts six

months as a result of high consumption of staple food commodities at home. However, some

farmers sold their stocks to get income for other non-food items. The available maize stocks at

household level would last less than a month, however, the maize stocks at the household level

projected last for about 3–4 months once harvesting commences.

Table 4: Cereal Stocks in the County Cereal/

Stocks

Held

Maize Beans Sorghum Green gram TOTAL

Current LTA Current LTA Current LTA Current LTA Current LTA

Farmers 15,060 18,500 10,250 12,250 500 750 26,750 29,000 52,560 60,500

Traders 5,500 7,500 3,800 6,000 1,700 2,100 8,000 11,000 19,000 26,600

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3.1.3 Livestock Production

The main livestock reared in Mbeere region are goats, sheep, cattle and local poultry. In the Mixed

Farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zones, livestock production (including

beekeeping) contributed 20 and 45 percent of income respectively. In the Mixed Farming

livelihood zone, cattle contributed 40 and 35 percent to cash and food respectively while in the

Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, goats contributed 40 and 15 percent to cash income and

food respectively.

Pasture and Browse Condition

In the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, forage condition was fair to poor compared to

good at this time of the year. In the Mixed Farming livelihood zone, pasture condition was good

to fair compared to good at this time of the year (Table 5). The browse in the Mixed Farming

livelihood zone was good which was normal at this time of the year. Some rains received in

December rejuvenated forage resources. In Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, pasture and

browse are expected to last between 1-1.5 months. In the Mixed Farming livelihood zones, pastures

and browse are expected to last for 1.5-2 months compared to three months normally. There is a

looming second wave of invasion by Desert Locusts that may lead to destruction of forage

resources. Bean straws were being used as feed in Mixed Farming livelihood zone. In

Mugwanjogu, Karerema, Kamarandi in Evurore Ward, Kyenire, Kigwambiti, Kauraciri in

Muminji Ward, Kamwiyendie, Nthingini, Wango, Koma in Mwea, Muthiru, Ndune, Mbondoni in

Makima Ward, Karura in Kiambere Ward, Machanga in Mavuria Ward and Maviani in Makima

Ward, forage conditions were poor. Crop residues are expected to supplement pastures in the next

one month which was normal for this period.

Table 5: Pasture and Browse Condition

Livelihoo

d zone

Pasture Browse

Condition How long to Last Factors

Limitin

g

Access

Condition How long to Last Factors

Limitin

g

Access

Curre

nt

Norm

al

Curre

nt

Norm

al

Curre

nt

Norm

al

Curre

nt

Norm

al

Marginal

mixed

farming

Fair-

poor

Good 0.5 1.5 None Fair Good 1.5 2 None

Mixed

farming

Good-

Fair

Good 1.5 3 None Good Good 2 3 None

There are 1,005 hay stores holding 12,380 bales held by farmers, however bailing of hay was done

at individual level with the majority of farmers having hay barns that can store 500 bales (Table

6). About 90 percent of the hay stores are owned by individual farmers. In Nthawa ward, farmers

used grain store to conserve their hay as well as haystacks across the livelihood zones. NDMA

supported the construction of hay barns in Kiambere ward in Mbeere South which can store up to

100 hays bales each. Conserved hay was normally used as feed supplement as pasture deteriorates.

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Table 6: Hay Stores in the County Sub-

county

No. of

Hay

Stores

Storage

Capacity

(Total no.

of bales)

No. of

Bales

currently

being held

Average

Weight per

bale (in

Kgs)

Average

price per

bale (Ksh.)

Comments – E.g. percentage

held by farmers and other

Institutions

Mbeere

North

5 50,400 380 12 220 All the hay is held by farmers in

their individual and group stores

as well as haystacks

Mbeere

South

1,000 500 12000 15 200 90% by individual farmers, 10%

other institutions

Total 1,005

Livestock Productivity

Livestock Body Condition

The body condition for cattle was good to fair in the Mixed Farming livelihood zones compared

to good at this time of the year while in Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, livestock body

condition was fair for cattle which was normal for the time of the year (Table 7). The livestock

body condition for sheep in both livelihood zones was fair compared to good normally at this time

of the year. The body condition for goats was good across the livelihood zones which was normal

at this time. The body condition of cattle is expected to deteriorate with declining forage resources

and increased distances to water sources. Goats are expected to maintain good body condition.

Table 7: Livestock Body Condition

Livelihood

zone

Cattle Sheep Goat

Current Normal Current Normal Current Normal

Marginal

Mixed

Farming

Fair Fair Fair Good Good Good

Mixed

Farming

Good to fair Good Fair Good Good Good

Tropical Livestock Units (TLUs) and Birth Rates

The tropical livestock units remained stable across the livelihood zones compared to the long term

average (Table 8). There has been a 10 percent reduction in the number of households keeping

livestock, mainly due to increased acreage of miraa farming. Births are normal across all livestock

types in the county but with a marginal increase in kidding and lambing for goats and sheep

respectively.

Table 8: Tropical Livestock Units Livelihood zone Poor Income Households Medium Income Households

Current Normal Current Normal

Marginal mixed farming 1.25 1.5 4 4

Mixed farming 1 1 2 2

Milk Production and Consumption

In Marginal Mixed Farming and Mixed Farming livelihood zone, production of milk was stable

compared to the long term average. There were minimal variations in consumption of milk at the

household level across the livelihood zones. In Marginal Mixed Farming and Mixed Farming

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livelihood zone, the cost of milk ranged between Ksh. 50-60 per litre which was normal at this

time of the year (Table 9).

Table 9: Milk Production, Consumption and Cost Livelihood zone

Milk Production

Litres)/Household

Milk consumption (Litres)/

Household

Prices (Ksh)/Litre

Current LTA Current LTA Current LTA

Marginal Mixed

Farming

4.5 5 2.5 3 50 50

Mixed Farming 1.0 1.5 1 1 60 60

Livestock Migration, Diseases and Mortalities

There were no livestock migrations into or out of the county at this time of the year. Foot and

Mouth Disease (FMD) was reported in the Mixed Farming livelihood zone of Nthawa ward

(Kabaci, Kune, and Kui) in Mbeere North where 20 cases were confirmed. Farmers, in response

to the FMD cases, organized for the vaccination of their livestock. Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD)

was also reported in the Mixed Farming livelihood zone of Mwea ward in Mbeere South.

Contagious Caprine Pleuropneumonia (CCPP) and Newcastle Disease (NCD) remained endemic

to goat and poultry respectively. Livestock mortalities were normal across the livestock types.

Water for Livestock

The main sources of water for livestock in both livelihood zones were boreholes, piped schemes,

irrigation water, rivers and shallow wells. In the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the

returned distance to water sources for livestock ranged between 5-6 kilometers compared to the

normal of 3-10 kilometers (Table 10). However, increased return distances are expected in the

Marginal Mixed Farming areas in Mugwanjogu, Karerema, Kamarandi in Evurore Ward, Kyenire,

Kigwambiti, Kauraciri in Muminji Ward, Kamwiyendie, Nthingini, Wango, Koma in Mwea,

Muthiru, Ndune, Mbondoni in Makima Ward, Karura in Kiambere Ward, Machanga in Mavuria

Ward and Maviani in Makima Ward, all within Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, where

livestock trekked for more than 10 kilometers in search of water. In the Mixed Farming livelihood

zone, the distance was stable and less than two kilometers. Currently, livestock are watered daily

across the livelihood zones. Watering frequencies are expected to decrease with increasing

distances and declining water points.

Table 10: Livestock Return Distance Livelihood zone Return distances (km) Expected duration to last (months)

Current Normal Current Normal

Marginal Mixed Farming 4-10 3-10 1-2 2-4

Mixed Farming 1-2 0.5-2 2-3 3-4

3.1.4 Impact on availability

The performance of short rains resulted to average food availability. Harvests are likely to increase

once harvesting is done which will result to improve household stocks. Livestock productivity has

been near normal providing household with food and incomes.

3.2 Access

The traded volumes in the market were low across the major markets. The terms of trade were

above the long term average and 2019, however, the terms of trade is expected to remain

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persistently above the long term average due to declining maize prices which is expected to decline

further when harvesting starts. Water consumption in the mixed farming and Marginal Mixed

Farming livelihood zones declined by compared to the normal. Food consumption score improved

across the livelihood zones compared with a similar period. However, coping strategies improved

implying that households did not use more severe consumption-based coping strategies.

3.2.1 Markets

Market Operations

The main markets in the two sub-counties are Makutano, Siakago, Kiritiri, Ngiiri, Makima, Ishiara

and Mutuobare. The markets were functioning normally without disruptions across the two

livelihood zones. The markets were well provisioned with food commodities and livestock from

within the county and as well as from outside the county. Food commodities available in the market

were cereals, pulses, vegetables, bananas, tomatoes, potatoes among others. The food commodities

were supplied from within the county. The main livestock types in the market were cattle, sheep,

goats and poultry. Livestock in the market came from Kitui, Mwingi, Garissa and Tharaka-Nithi

counties and from within the county. The traded volumes for both crop and livestock were near

normal across the markets though the prices remained high as households relied on supplies from

the markets.

Market Prices

Maize Prices

The average maize prices in

the county in January 2021,

was Ksh. 35 per kilogram

which was stable compared to

long term average Ksh.36 in

the same period (Figure 3).

The maize prices was 20

percent below compared to

Ksh. 44 per kilogram in same

period in 2020. The stability

in maize prices was attributed

with available maize stocks

especially in Mixed Farming

livelihood zone as well as on

going harvesting. Maize

prices are expected to remain

below the long term averages

as harvesting commences. In Karaba market, maize prices were the highest at Ksh.37 per kilogram

while in Ishiara market, maize prices was lowest at Ksh.33 per kilogram.

Goat Prices

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Pri

ce (

Ksh

. /

kg)

Average (2016-2020) 2019 2020 2021

Figure 3: Maize Prices

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In January 2021, the average

price of a goat was Ksh.

5,545 for a medium sized

goat compared to the long

term averages of Ksh.4,595

(Figure 4). The price of goat

was 21 percent above

compared to the long term

averages. The prices was

stable compared to 2020

prices. The above goat

prices was attributed to good

body condition across the

livelihood zones. The prices

is expected to remain

consistently above the long

term averages. As at January

2021, highest goat prices were reported in Mbeere South at Ksh. 5,000 compared to Ksh.4,500 in

Mbeere North.

3.2.2 Terms of Trade (ToT)

In January 2021, the

terms of trade were 158

kilograms of maize as

result of sale of a goat

compared to the long

term average of 127

kilograms (Figure 5).

The terms of trade in

the same period was 25

and 29 percent above

the long term average

and 2020. The terms of

trade were associated

with increased goat

prices and declining

maize prices. The term

of trade are expected to

remain persistently

above the long term average due to declining maize prices which is expected to decline further

when harvesting starts

3.2.3 Income Sources

The main sources of income in the county are mainly food crop production, cash crop production

and livestock production. The sources of income and their contributions to household income by

livelihood zones are provided in Table 11.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Pri

ce (

Ksh

.)

Average (2016-2020) 2019 2020 2021

Figure 4: Goat Prices

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Kilo

gra

ms

of

maiz

e

exch

an

ged

fo

r a g

oat

Average (2016-2020) 2019 2020 2021

Figure 5: Terms of Trade

Page 14: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

10

Table 11: Proportion of Contribution to Cash Income by Livelihood Sources of Income Proportion of contribution to cash income by livelihood

Mixed Farming Marginal Mixed Farming

Livestock Production 18 23

Food Crop Production 20 40

Cash Crop Production 30 10

Formal Waged Labour 10 5

Small Business 5 5

Petty Trading 5 3

Casual Waged Labour 3 4

3.2.4 Water Access and Availability

Major Water Sources

The major water sources for domestic use are rivers, boreholes, shallow wells and water pans.

According to the NDMA, Monthly Bulletins, rivers, boreholes and traditional rivers were 64.7,

11.8 and 17.6 percent respectively sources used for domestic (Figure 6). Rivers were the major

sources of water for domestic use, however some rivers had dried up. There was an increased

proportion over the reliance to

rivers from 53.3 to 64.7 percent.

While boreholes reliance increased

to 11.8 percent from 6.7 percent in

the previous month. The

proportion of households using

traditional river wells water

reduced from 20 percent to 17.6

percent. The average water

recharge was 60-70 percent in open

water sources. In Kiambere ward

in Mbeere South, lower Evurore

and Muminji wards in Mbeere

North, recharge was less than 50

percent due to poor and uneven distribution of short rains. The current water sources are normal at

this time of the year; however, the sources declined by 25 percent of normal sources due to non-

operational (Table 12). Rivers are flowing normally occasioned by the off-season rains being

recorded in the upper areas of Embu County while earth dams are 40-60 percent full and projected

to last between 2 to 3 months in both livelihoods. The water sources were non-operational due to

design deficits for boreholes and silting of dams/pans thereby lowering the capacity. Earth dams

such as Mugwanjogu, Gwakigumba and Kirigara were destroyed during the 2020 long rains, they

are currently with water after rehabilitation. In Ciarugaga dam in Mbeti south ward, Wango dam

in Mwea ward, Makima dam, Nguguni in Kiambere ward remain dry due to high silt loads.

Table 12: Current Operational Sources of Water

Ward/

Livelihoo

d zone

Water

Source

(Three (3)

major

sources)

No. of

Normal

Operation

al

No. of

Current

Operation

al Sources

Projected

Duration in

months

(Operation

al Sources)

Normal

Duratio

n that

water

lasts in

months

% of full

Capacity

Recharge

d by the

Rains

Locality of

Non-

operational

Water

Sources

5.9%11.8%

17.6%

64.7%

Pans and dams Boreholes Traditional rivers Rivers

Figure 6: Sources of Water

Page 15: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

11

Mixed

Farming

1.Rivers 5 5 12 12 60

2.Boreholes 13 8 6 8 70 Gachuriri

Gachoka,

Gikuyari,

Ikondigo,

Nganduri.

3.Dams/pan

s

12 10 4 6 80 Ciarugaga,

Muchonoke.

Marginal

Mixed

Farming

1.Rivers 4 4 6 12 60

2.Boreholes

37 27 3 6 60 Ngunguni,

Ciorindagwa,

Mutuobare,

Matharau,

Itira,Nthigini,

Kirie,Mbarwar

i

Gitaraka,Gate

gi

3.Dams/

Pans

26 19 3 4 60 Wango,

Makima,

Ikang’o,

Nguguni,

Kirie, Gitie,

Mugwanjogu.

The concentration of households was reported for particular water sources in both livelihood

zones. The concentration at water points was as a result of design deficits the breakdown of

boreholes and drying up of water sources (Table 13).

Table 13: Concentration in water sources

Most Concentrated Water Points

Ward/

Livelihood

zone

Actual Name of the Water

Point

Normal

No. Served

Current

No. Being

Served

Reason(s) for Variation

Kiambeere in

Mbeere South

(Marginal

Mixed

Farming)

1-Boreholes in Kariguri,

Gacabari,

Kiambeere new site,

Kabingori ,

Ntharawe/Ngambari

1000HH

1500HH

Technical breakdowns of the

following strategic boreholes

Mutuobare, Gwakarigu, Karura and

drying up of other water sources

2.Dams- Kwanguma,

Gwakigumba, Kirigara,

Mariari

800HH 1000HH Drying up of other water sources.

Makima

(Marginal

Mixed

Farming)

1-Boreholes Mbondoni,

Gatuanyaga, Kikulani,

Kwanzibo, Kwa Kitema and

Kathiani.

1200HH 1500HH Technical breakdowns of the

strategic boreholes and drying up of

other water sources

2. Dams/pans-Matilamu,

Makima, Mbondoni.

800HH 1000HH Sharing of water sources by

households and livestock

Mwea

(Marginal

Mixed

Farming)

1. Boreholes- Makutano,

Kamweli, Nganga,

Kithunguthia and Wango

1000HH 1200HH Technical breakdowns of the

following strategic boreholes,

Gitaraka, Gategi, Kilia.

2.Dams-Wango, Karunguru,

Kawango, Gitaraka

800HH 1000HH Sharing of dams by households and

livestock

Page 16: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

12

Mbeti

South Ward

(Mixed

Farming)

1.Boreholes-

Kaninawanthiga, Gachoka

400HH 600HH Technical breakdowns of the

following strategic boreholes,

Gachuriri, Nganduri, Kiamuringa.

2Water kiosks 80HH 100HH Drying up of other water sources

Mavuria ward

(Marginal

Mixed

Farming)

1.Water kiosks 100HH 150HH Drying up of other water sources

2. Boreholes: Iriamurai,

Gataka, Kabingori, Kabuguri

and Kwanduanyaga

800HH 1000HH Technical breakdowns of the

following strategic boreholes,

Nguguni, Kavondori, Karii and

Ikango.

Mixed

Farming

Nthawa,

Kanyuambora

which is part

of Evurori

Ward

1-Boreholes –Mathai, Thura,

Muchonoke and Ciakaragu

500HH 400HH Availability of water from nearer

alternative sources

2.Dams- Kune,

Kwanduambogo

300HH 300HH

Marginal

Mixed

Farming

Evurori,

Muminji

1-Borehole: Kiamugongo,

Cieria

200HH 200HH

3.Dams-Mugwanjogu,

Karambari, Muthanthara

300HH 300HH [TL1]

Distance to Water Sources

The distance to water sources in the Mixed Farming livelihood zone ranged between 1-3

kilometers, which was within the normal range of 0.5-3 kilometers at this time of the year. On the

other hand, in the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the distance ranged between 2-8

kilometers compared to the normal of less than five kilometers at this time of the year (Table 14).

The distances increased due to drying of some earth dams (such as Kwanguma, Gwakigumba,

Kirigara and Mariari), reduced discharge and mechanical breakdown of strategic boreholes. In

Lower Evurore, Muminji, Kiambeere, and Lower Mavuria households trekked an average of 20

kilometers.

Cost of Water

The cost of water in both livelihood zones remained the same across the livelihood zones. In the

Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the cost of water was Ksh. 2-5 per 20-litre Jerrycan, which was

normal at this time of the year (Table 14) while in the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone,

the cost of water was Ksh.5-10 per 20-litre Jerrycan, which was also normal at this time of the

year.

Table 14: Water Access and Utilization

Livelihood zone

Return Distance to

Water for Domestic

Use (Km)

Cost of Water at

Source (Ksh. Per

20litres)

Waiting Time at

Water Source

(Minutes)

Average Water

Consumption

(Litres/person/day)

Current Normal Current Normal Current Normal Current Normal

Mixed Farming 1-3 0.5-3 2-5 2-5 5-10 0-10 50 60

Marginal Mixed

Farming

2-8 0.5-5 5-10 5-10 10-20 5-20 20 30

Waiting time at the Water Source

Page 17: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

13

The waiting time in Mixed Farming livelihood zone ranged between 5-10 minutes compared to

normal of less than 10 minutes. While in Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the waiting

time at the source was 10-20 minutes compared to the normal 5-20 minutes which was attributed

by congestion of people and livestock at the source as well as reduced yield of boreholes (Table

14).

Water Consumption

Water consumption in the Mixed Farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zones declined

by 17 percent and 33 percent respectively compared to the normal. In the Mixed Farming

livelihood zone, consumption of water declined from 60 litres per person per day to 50 litres per

person per day. In the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, water consumption declined from

30 litres per person per day to 20 litres per person per day (Table 14). The reduction in water

consumption was as due to poor access to water for household consumption as a result of the

increased distance to water sources, increased prices as well as the decrease in water levels.

3.2.5 Food Consumption

In January 2021, the proportions of households with borderline and acceptable food consumption

score was 20 and 80

percent respectively

compared to 15 and

69 percent

respectively in same

period in 2020. In the

Mixed Farming

livelihood zone,

households with

acceptable food

consumption

remained above 90

percent in the January

2021 and same period

in 2020 (Figure 7).

The proportion of

households in the

Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone with borderline food consumption score in January 2020

slightly increased from 35 percent to 37 percent in same period in 2021

3.2.6 Coping Strategy

In January 2021, coping strategy was 3.75 compared with 1.17 recorded in the same period in 2020

indicating some deterioration in the trend. The trend implied that households were engaging more

in frequency of consumption based coping strategies used to mitigate food deficits between current

year and similar time last year. In January 2021, the index in the mixed farming and Marginal

Mixed Farming livelihood zones, was 1.8 and 5.7 compared to 1.3 and one in same period in 2020.

3.3 Utilization

Morbidity declined in both the under-fives and the general population except for morbidity from

malaria mainly as a result of good hand washing practises that was mitigation against the spread

37% 35%

3% 0%

63% 65%

97% 100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jan,21 Jan,20 Jan,21 Jan,20

Marginal mixed farming Mixed farming

Pe

rce

nt

Ho

use

ho

lds

Poor Borderline Acceptable

Figure 7: Food Consumption Score

Page 18: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

14

of COVID-19. The proportion of children under-fives with Mid Upper Arm Circumference with

colour categories measurement was normal (green) across the livelihood zones. Water treatment

remained rarely done in the lower part of the Marginal Mixed livelihood zone.

3.3.1 Morbidity and Mortality Patterns

The most common diseases among the under-fives and general populations were Upper

Respiratory Tract Infections

(URTI), Diarrhoea and Malaria. In

July to December 2020, URTIs and

diarrhea cases among the under-

fives decline by 47 and six percent

respectively compared with the

same period in 2019 (Figure 8). In

the general population, URTIs

diarrhea and malaria declined by

47.3, four and eight percent

respectively compared to the same

period in 2019. The decrease in

both under-fives and general

population was associated with use

of facemasks and hand washing

practices and reduced health-

seeking behavior among the caregivers especially those with respiratory tract infections for fear of

being tested for COVID 19 and isolation. In July to December 2020, malaria cases in under-fives

increased by 217 percent compared to same period in 2019 due to enhanced testing and limited

vector control. The outbreak of COVID 19 pandemic changed the health seeking behavior of the

members of the communities where most of them have kept off from the static health facilities due

to fear of infections and the stigma associated with COVID 19. Households resulted to use of

herbal treatments at home, over the counter purchase of drugs and only visited health facilities as

a last result. Poor health care seeking behavior due to COVID 19 stigma affected the uptake of

services especially in public health facilities. However, lack of adequate personal protective

equipment (PPEs) for health care workers also affected the quality of care and services. In the

period July to December 2020, dysentery and diarrhea declined by 79 and five percent respectively

compared to same period in 2019 which was associated with increased hand washing. Malaria

cases in July to December 2020, increased by 37 percent compared to same period in 2019. During

the same period under review Cholera, measles and typhoid cases were not reported.

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Nu

mb

er

of

case

s

URTI-2019 URTI- 2020 Diarrhoea-2019

Figure 8: Morbidity in Under Fives

Page 19: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

15

3.3.2 Immunization and Vitamin A Supplementation

The proportion of fully immunized

children in July to December 2020 was

94.75 percent compared to 90.75

percent in the same period in 2019

which was above the national target of

80 percent. There was a drop in

immunization by four percent

compared to the same period in 2019

as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic

and the health workers strike as well as

the non-attendance for immunization

services at static health facilities by

caregivers/mothers. Over the period

July to December 2020, the proportion

of Vitamin A supplementation in

children between 6-59 months

increased to 91.5 percent from 69.1 percent compared to the same period in 2019 though still above

the national target of 80 percent (Figure 9). However, for the children in the cohort 6-11 months,

the proportion of supplementation was 61 percent compared with 79 percent in the same period in

2019. For the children between 12 to 59 months, the proportion from July to December 2020 was

97 percent compared to 68 percent in the same period in 2019. The increased coverage was

associated with mother to child supplementation implemented through door-to-door campaigns by

community health volunteers (CHVs) during the Malezi Bora campaigns as a measure to address

COVID-19 pandemic since schools were closed. The coverage for children between 6-11 months

declined due to the health workers strike and also due to the reduced attendance for immunization

and Vitamin A supplementation at static facilities as well as no outreaches being conducted during

the period of the pandemic.

3.3.3 Nutritional Status and Dietary Diversity

According to NDMA in January

2021, the proportion of children

under-fives with Mid Upper Arm

Circumference with colour categories

measurement was green across the

livelihood zones (Figure 10). This

was attributed to improved meal

frequency at household level.

Moderate acute malnutrition in July to

December 2020, declined by 28

percent compared to the same period

in 2019, which was attributed to

caregivers / mothers failing to attend

health facilities for nutrition and growth monitoring services due to COVID 19 pandemic as well

as stock out of nutrition commodities. In the same period under review, severe acute malnutrition

69.1%79%

68%

91.5%

61%

97%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

6-59 Months 6-11 Months 12-59 Months

Pro

po

rtio

n o

f V

it. A

Co

vera

ge

July-Dec 2019 July-Dec 2020

Figure 9: Proportion of Vitamin A Supplementation

Figure 10: Proportion of MUAC

Page 20: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

16

cases increased by eight percent

compared to the same period in

2019 (Figure 11). Moderate

severe acute malnutrition cases

worsen due to high defaulter rate

in seeking health services, lack

of nutrition commodities to

manage moderate acute

malnutrition and health workers

strike. The pandemic affected

IMAM coverage as less cases

were screened due to lack of

growth monitoring services for

children less than five years in

most health facilities due the

stigma caused by COVID 19 pandemic among both the care givers and health workers coupled by

inadequate PPEs and the health workers industrial action leading to high defaulter late. The supply

of nutrition commodities was also affected leading to poor recovery and non-response hence longer

average length of stay in IMAM programs. The number of meals consumed in both livelihood

zones was 2-3 meals per day, however it was normal at this time of the year. The meal composition

for under-fives in marginal farming livelihood zone included ugali, porridge, diluted milk with

water and tea, while in mixed marginal farming livelihood zone, ugali, rice, green grams, porridge

and tomato soup and on rare occasions, vegetables were consumed. In the marginal mixed farming

zones, general population consumed two meals per day, while children are consumed three meals

a day. The meals are predominantly two food groups composed of grains and legumes. The rates

were below the normal threshold <0.5/10,000/day for crude mortality and alert 1/10,000

children/day for under-five mortality.

3.3.4 Health and Nutrition Sector in COVID -19 Pandemic

The COVID 19 pandemic affected health seeking behavior among members of the community.

Fewer people visited the static health facilities due to stigma associated with the pandemic

screening that took taking place at the entry points of the static facilities. At only critical cases or

conditions, led to clients visiting the health facilities, communities preferred staying at home and

use local herbs or purchase over the counter drugs. Fewer mothers visited health facilities

especially for growth monitoring and promotion, and vitamin A supplementation. The integrated

health and nutrition outreaches that provided for health services access in hard-to-reach areas were

put on hold due to the pandemic hence those areas have not been receiving the services. Household

service delivery by the CHVs was stopped from the month of April following the declaration of

the pandemic, however, their services are gradually resuming since the month of June 2020. The

clients that were due for revisits defaulted and hence returned with more severe forms of

malnutrition and therefore increasing the average length of stay. The county and other stakeholders

provided door to door vitamin A supplementation through the CHVs and provision of health

messages to communities. There has been inadequate supply of nutrition commodities and PPEs

by the government. Nutritional International (NI) a partner in health and nutrition provided the

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Cas

elo

ads

LTM (5-yr average) 2020 2019 2018 2017

Figure 11: Supplementary Feeding Trends

Page 21: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

17

CHVs with cloth masks. The CHVs and organized community groups have been sensitized on

COVID 19 pandemic and other health and nutrition service delivery. The pandemic has resulted

to stock outs of essential commodities especially the nutrition-based commodities of which most

of them were imported into the country due to travel restrictions. There has been severe shortage

of commodities required in the management of both severe and moderate acute malnutrition. There

has been inadequate PPEs to the CHVs due to none consistent supplies.

3.3.5 Public Interventions, Risk Communication and Community Level Actions

The county government in collaboration with other multi-sectoral stakeholders endeavoured to

promote uptake of COVID-19 preventive measures among the members of the community. Varied

efforts were set including designated points for handwashing facilities at strategic points within

the communities. However, about 20 percent of these handwashing points are non-functional due

to the breakdown of taps and lack of water. The county continued with health promotion messaging

and educating communities on ways to avoid COVID-19 and what to do in the event of infection.

Despite the messaging, adherence to the directives on the pandemic prevention especially in public

spaces like markets is quite low while stigma on testing and infection and even cases of doubt of

the existence of COVID-19 still abound. There are no social safety net programs under the county

government to shield the communities from the negative economic impact as a result of the

pandemic. The national government launched the “Kazi Mtaani” safety net program targeting the

youths and the vulnerable but was not sensitive to hiring people from families with malnutrition

problems. The county also supported the sensitization of community organized groups including

CHVs on risk reduction.

3.3.6 Coordination and Leadership in COVID-19 Pandemic Preparedness and Response

The nutrition co-ordination forums were not functional (Table 15). However, the development of

key messages on maternal, infant and young child nutrition (MIYCN) in the context of COVID-

19 was undertaken at the national level and dissemination to the local communities done using

local vernacular radio stations. Development of response plan budgets, participation during

preparation of county food guidelines on COVID-19 and participation in various response

committees were also undertaken.

Table 15: COVID-19 Pandemic Steering Committee

Level Indicate name of forum e.g.

CNTF/ SCNTF (Indicate if active

or not)

Meeting

frequency

Indicate who funds coordination

forum e.g. GOK, partners etc. and add

notes as necessary

County County health stakeholder’s forum

County Nutrition Technical forum

County WSH Forum

Quarterly The partner funds while the department of

nutrition co-ordinates the forums

Sub

counties

Mbeere South and North None yet

Sanitation and Hygiene In July to December 2020, latrine coverage remained stable across both livelihood zones (Table

16). According to community interviews, water treatment was rarely done in the lower part of the

Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone. In Mbeere North, there was contamination of water

sources in Mwondu shallow well where households were advised to use alternative sources.

Samples of water were taken for analysis where results indicated high contamination with

Page 22: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

18

coliforms and E.coli. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in the suspension of all

community activities in community-led sanitation programs. However, hand washing practices

increased as safety measures related to the pandemic. Based on focused group discussions, the

majority of households in both livelihood zones stored water in Jerrycans and water tanks. Water

treatment was rarely done especially in the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone. Adoption of

handwashing in response to COVID-19 led to a reduction in diarrhoea and intestinal worm cases

in the period under review.

Table 16: Latrine Coverage

Sub County/ Livelihood

zone

Latrine Coverage

January to June 2020 %

coverage

July to December 2020 %

coverage

Nthawa 96.8 96.8

Evurore 96.1 99

Muminji 93 93.7

Kanyuambora 95 98

Kiritiri/ Kiambere

(Marginal Mixed Farming

livelihood zone)

88 88.1

Gachoka 90 90.2

Makima Marginal Mixed

Farming livelihood zone) 85 85.3

Mwea 87 87

3.4 Trends of Key Food Security Indicators

Table 17: Key Food Security Indicators

Indicator Long rains assessment, JULY 2020 Short Rains Assessment Feb. 2021

% of maize stocks held by

households

16 percent below LTA

19 percent below the long term average

Livestock body condition Shoats

Fair to good for shoats in both

MMF and MF

Cattle

Good to Fair in MF zone and fair

to poor in MMF zone

Marginal mixed farming

Cattle: Fair

Sheep: Fair

Goat: Good

Mixed farming

Cattle: Good to Fair

Sheep: Fair

Goat: Good

Water consumption (litres

per person per day)

40 in MF

20 in MMF

Mixed farming: 50

Marginal mixed farming: 20

Price of maize (per kg) 31 35

Price of Goat (Ksh.) MF: 4,500-6,000

MMF: 5,000-7,000

Average price of a goat was Ksh. 5,545 for

a medium sized goat

Distance to grazing MF: 2.5-7

MMF: 4 – 10

Marginal mixed farming: 4-10

Mixed farming: 1-2

Terms of trade (kg) 187 158

Coping strategy index Marginal mixed farming: 2.4

Mixed farming: 2.5

Marginal mixed farming: 5.7

Mixed farming: 1.8

Food consumption score

(NDMA)

Poor - 0 percent

Borderline – 19 percent

Acceptable - 81 percent

Poor - 0 percent

Borderline - 20 percent

Acceptable - 80 percent

Page 23: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

19

3.5 Education

3.5.1 Enrolment

On opening of schools in 2021, enrolment in ECDE declined by four percent compared to 2020.

Enrolment in ECDE for boys and girls declined by four and five percent as a result of migration

of parents from one area to another. In primary schools, enrolment decreased by one percent

compared to year 2020. However, in both boys and girls, enrolment declined by one percent for

each respectively compared to the previous year. The decline in enrolment for boys was associated

with indiscipline, child labor specifically in miraa farming, bodaboda and other casual labour. In

girls, it was mainly due to pregnancies and early marriage. In secondary schools, enrolment decline

by two percent compared to the same period in 2020 (Table 18). However for both and girls,

enrolment decline by one and three percent respectively compared to similar period in 2020. The

high enrolment decline in girls was associated with pregnancies, early marriages and some girls

elope. In boys it was as a result of indiscipline and truancy, joining the labour market (Miraa, boda

casual labour), and lack of school fees.

Table 18: Enrolment in Schools

Enrolment Term II 2021 (Current) Term I 2020 (Previous) Comments (reasons for

increase or decrease) №

Boys

Girls

Total №

Boys

Girls

Total

ECD 4,803 4,767 9,570 5,003 5,006 10,009 The decrease due to migration

Primary 31,967 32,022 63,989 32,318 32,254 64,572 The decrease is due to

pregnancies and early marriages

for the girls while the boys have

joined the labour market

Secondary 12,782 12,557 25,339 12,932 12,900 25,832 Decrease due to pregnancies,

early marriage and lack of

school fees for girls, while the

boys have joined the labour

market, lack of school fees,

drugs and indiscipline.

Total 49,552 49,346 98,898 50,253 50,160 100,413

3.5.2 Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Schools

No infrastructural damage was reported despite some schools being quarantine centres. However,

drop out in enrolment was reported but not related to the effect of COVID 19 pandemic. Prolong

closure of schools resulted to indiscipline among pupils, drug and substance abuse as well as girls

pregnancies. E-learning was not embrace during the closure of schools due to the pandemic (Table

19). This was due to lack of smart phones and IT expertise, lack of internet connectivity, lack of

television sets, lack of supervision and enforcement of learning at home, general lack of interest

in home-based learning. Head teachers were advised to provide enough hand wash facilities in

their schools as well as observing social distance of 1.5 m by arrange the desks. However, social

distancing in school remained a big challenge. Learners were supposed to have a face mask at all

times in schools. Procurement of desks for 66 (30 primary and 36 secondary) schools was done by

the MOE. Provision of faces masks and hand washing buckets to 10 schools was done by Kenya

Commercial Bank-Embu Branch, Free primary Education, Free Day Secondary Education fund

were disbursed by Ministry of Education that was used to purchase thermos guns to all schools.

Transition infrastructure was done to eight schools in Mbeere region.

Page 24: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

20

Table 19: COVID 19 in Schools

Livelih

ood

Zone

Effect on Enrolment Infrastr

ucture

damage

in

schools

used as

quaranti

ne

centres

Estimated% of Learning

continuity (e-learning by

KICD) during pro-longed

closure

Food

storage

during

prolong

ed

closure

Cases of child

abuse during

pro-longed

closure

ECD Prima

ry

Secondar

y

EC

D

Primar

y

Seconda

ry

Boys Girls

All

liveliho

od

zones

The

decre

ase

due

to

migr

ation

Decrea

se in

enrolm

ent due

to

pregna

ncies

and

early

marria

ges for

the

girls

while

the

boys

have

joined

the

labour

market

A

decrease

in

enrolment

due to

pregnanci

es, early

marriage

and lack

of school

fees for

girls,

while the

boys have

joined the

labour

market,

lack of

school

fees,

drugs and

indiscipli

ne.

None 0-

20

%

0-20% 0-20% Poor 77 285

3.5.3 Effects of Short Rains on Schools

Only 11 schools (8 primary and 3 secondary schools) suffered the effects of short rains resulting

in sunken toilets, the collapse of mud walls and blown off or leaking roofs (Table 20).

Table 20: Short Rains Effects in Schools

Name of

sub-county

Number

of ECD

centres

Number

of

Primary

schools

Number of

Secondary

schools

Total Number

of Schools

with damages.

Nature of damaged infrastructure

e.g. damaged walls, roof, reading

materials, toilets etc.

Mbeere

North

None 3 None 3 Sunken toilets

Mbeere

South

None 5 3 8 Collapse of mud walls damaged,

sunken toilets, blown off/leaking roofs

Total None 8 3 11

Page 25: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

21

Several mitigation measures were undertaken to intervene on the impact of short rains. The

interventions included reconstruction of toilets and improvement of the drainage systems in

affected schools in Mbeere region (Table 21).

Table 21: Interventions Required for Schools

Name of Sub-county Impact Intervention

Mbeere North Congestion in the existing

sanitary facilities

N.G-CDF has funded the reconstruction of

the toilets.

Mbeere South Flooding in the

classrooms

Improvement of the drainage systems in

affected schools

Water, Sanitation and Hygiene

Most schools in Mbeere South had no access to safe drinking water. However, the schools were

provided with storage tanks after the end of the short rains to mitigate the effects of COVID-19

pandemic through handwashing. No schools had handwashing facilities in the region and 51

schools (21 ECDE, 21 primary and 9 secondary) had no access to safe drinking water within 100

metres (Table 22). The menstrual support or dignity kits for girls were distributed in primary

schools in March 2020 from the government support. The insufficiency of sanitary towels for

vulnerable girls continued to affect their attendance, retention and completion of schools resulting

in increased absenteeism, poor performance and low self-esteem.

Table 22: Water, Sanitation and Hygiene

Name of

sub-

county

№ schools with inadequate

functional latrine (i.e. Pupil

toilet Ratio- PtOR of above

1:60)

№ schools with no hand-

washing facilities

№ schools with no access to

safe water (functional source

within 100m)

ECD Primary Secondary ECD Primary Secondary ECD Primary Secondary

Mbeere

North and

South

0 0 0 0 0 0 21 21 9

Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 21 9

3.5.4 School Feeding

A total of 240 schools (99 in Mbeere North and 141 in Mbeere South) were not benefitting from

any school meal programme translating to a total of 62,987 pupils (31,965 boys and 31,022 girls)

(Table 23). Home Grown School Meal (HGSM) funds had not been disbursed to schools over the

last two years thereby affecting the delivery of the school meals feeding programme.

Table 23: School Meals Program

Name of

sub-

county

№ of

schools

with

school

feeding

in

March

2020

HGSM

CSMP Other types

of school

feeding

(Please

specify)

Total number of

beneficiaries

No. of pupils

not on any

school feeding

program in

March 2020

Boys

Girls

Boys

Girls

Boys

Girls

Boys

Girls

Boys

Girls

Mbeere

North

0 - - 0 0 - - 0 0 13,698 12,188

Page 26: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

22

Mbeere

South

0 - - 0 0 - - 0 0 18,267 18,834

Subtotal 0 - - 0 0 - - 0 0 31,965 31,022

Grand

Total

(boys +

girls)

- 0 0 62,987

4.0 FOOD SECURITY PROGNOSIS

4.1 Prognosis Assumptions

Food security in the Mbeere region will likely depend on the following assumptions:

According to international forecasts and the Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD),

La Niña conditions are likely to persist through April 2021 in the northern hemisphere. As

a result, the March-May 2021 long rains in Kenya are likely to be average in the marginal

agricultural areas.

Maize prices will likely remain below the long term averages as harvesting commences.

Despite the forage and water resources being fair, the forecasted average March-May long

rains will likely result to improvements in forage and water resources.

Livestock prices were driven by fair forage and water resources and they are likely to

follow seasonal trends and remain above average due to favourable body conditions and

limited supplies in the markets.

4.2 Food Security Outlook

4.2.1 Food Security Outlook (February – April 2021)

Through February, the short rains harvests continued to support households with food availability.

However, several households are expected to continue to depend on market for food purchases.

Near average livestock productivity will likely provide milk and income from sales through

February. Staple food prices will likely to remain high from reduced market supplies, negatively

affecting household purchasing power and food access. Sale of crop are expected to commence

after harvesting which will gradually provide households with food and income. The March to

May, long rains are likely to provide households with agricultural wage labour opportunities and

improve food access. Oher labour opportunities will likely come from miraa that will likely

improve household incomes. The forage and water resources are likely to improve thereby

affecting positively on livestock productivity. Households are likely to remain in Stressed (IPC

Phase 2).

4.2.2 Food Security Outlook (May - July)

Average agricultural wage labour opportunities are likely to be above average from May with short

cycle crop harvests that will likely improve the household food availability and consumption. Near

average livestock productivity is expected thereby provide milk and income to households. Above

average livestock body conditions are likely to influence above average livestock prices. Crop

harvest will likely bring down staple food prices, which in turn will increase food availability and

access at household level. Stocks at household level will likely be improve leading to improve

consumption. Households are likely to remain in Stressed Phase (IPC Phase 2).

Page 27: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

23

5.0 CONCLUSION AND INTERVENTIONS

5.1 Conclusion

Short rain season is the main season in the region contributing more of food and nutritional

security. However, with the below average short rains performance, food security is likely to

depend on spread of COVID 19 pandemic and related restrictions, livestock diseases especially

Foot and Mouth Diseases that may lead to closure of livestock markets thereby reducing the

purchasing power of households, high staple food prices and malnutrition levels.

5.1.1 Phase Classification

The livelihood zones in the county was classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2). The proportions of

households with borderline and acceptable food consumption score was 20 and 80 percent

respectively. Coping strategy index in the mixed farming and Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood

zones was 1.8 and 5.7 respectively. The proportion of children under-fives with Mid Upper Arm

Circumference with colour categories measurement was normal (green) across the livelihood

zones.

5.1.2 Summary of Findings

The proportions of households with borderline and acceptable food consumption scores were 20

percent and 80 percent respectively. In the Mixed Farming livelihood zone, households with

acceptable food consumption were 96.7 percent in December 2020. However, the proportion of

households in the Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone with borderline food consumption

scores in the same period was 36.7 percent while acceptable was 63.3 percent. In the Marginal

Mixed Farming and Mixed Farming livelihood zones, reduced coping strategy index was 6.8 and

2.6 respectively. The proportion of children under-fives with Mid Upper Arm Circumference with

colour categories measurement was normal (green) across the livelihood zones.

5.1.3 Sub-County Ranking

Table 24: Sub-County Ranking

Sub County Food Security

Rank (Worst -

Best)

Main Food Security Threat

Mbeere South 1 Reduced crop production, waterlogging in the black cotton

soils

Limited access to opportunities, increased cases of morbidity

Increased distance to water sources, High proportion of

children at risk of malnutrition, Reduced cereal stocks,

declining water consumption, fair forage condition

Mbeere North 2 More opportunities for household income, Near average water

consumption, improve pipeline network and irrigation water

5.2 Ongoing Interventions

5.2.1 Food Interventions

There are no food interventions currently in the county.

Page 28: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

24

5.2.2 Non-Food Interventions

Table 25: Non-Food on going Interventions

Intervention Objective Specific

Location

Activity

target

Cost No. of

beneficiar

ies

Implemen

tation

Time

Frame

Implementati

on

stakeholders

Agriculture

Implementati

on of micro

livelihood

projects by

Common

Interest

Groups along

Green Grams,

poultry, dairy,

mangoes,

value chains

Increased

productivi

ty and

profitabili

ty

All wards 54M 4,500

direct

beneficiari

es

2020/2021 NARIGP/MO

A

Capacity

building of

NARIGP

funded groups

Increased

productivi

ty and

profitabili

ty

All wards 456,000 2,280

direct

beneficiari

es

2020/2021 NARIGP/MO

A

Provision of

post-harvest

equipment

Reduce

post-

harvest

losses

All wards 4M 0ver

800HH

Jan-March

2021

KCEP/CRAL

MOA

Livestock

Routine

animal

husbandry

Improved

Living

standards

Increased

income

Mbeere

South &

North

2M 2200 HH 2020/2021 Livestock

production

department

Pasture

conservation

Sustained

TLU’s

Increased

income

Mbeere

South &

North

3M 600HH 2020/2021 Livestock

production

department

Livestock

vaccination

Sustained

TLU’s

Increased

income

Mbeere

South &

North

5M 20 HH 2020/2021 Farmers

Health and Nutrition

Vitamin A

Supplementati

on

Improve

immunity

Health

facilities in

all divisions

400,000 23,933 2020/2021 DOH, NI

Page 29: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

25

Intervention Objective Specific

Location

Activity

target

Cost No. of

beneficiar

ies

Implemen

tation

Time

Frame

Implementati

on

stakeholders

Zinc

Supplementati

on

Improve

immunity

Only

therapeutic at

facilities

level

200,000 19,866 2020/2021 DOH, NI

Management

of Acute

Malnutrition

(IMAM)

Prevent

malnutriti

on level

All facilities

implementin

g feeding

programmes

8M 3,501 2020/2021 DOH,

KEMSA,USI

AD

IYCN

Interventions

(EBF and

Timely Intro

of

complementar

y Foods)

Prevent

malnutriti

on level

All facilities

implementin

g feeding

programmes

2M 24,357 2020/2021 DOH,NI

Water

Installation of

solar system

Improve

water

access

Kiambeere

(MMF)

Ntharawe/Ng

ambari

Borehole

1.2M 300HH 2020/2021 ECG

Electrification

of Borehole

Improve

water

access

Kiambeere

(MMF)

Gacavari

Borehole

2M 500HH 2020/2021 ECG

Extension of

pipeline

Improve

water

access

Kiambeere

(MMF)

Gitaru-

Mutuovare-

Karura line

20M 3000HH 2020/2021 ECG/KENGE

N

Education

Supply of

desks and

lockers

Improve

access to

education

All wards

66; 30

Primary

& 36,

Seconda

ry

5M 3900 2020/2021 MOE

Supply of face

masks

Control

spread of

COVID-

19

All wards

8

schools

2M 2314 2020/2021 KCB and

MOE

Provision of

water tanks

Enhanced

storage of

safe

Mbeere

North and

South

47

schools

5M 3000 2020/2021 MOE, NDMA

and Parents

Page 30: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

26

Intervention Objective Specific

Location

Activity

target

Cost No. of

beneficiar

ies

Implemen

tation

Time

Frame

Implementati

on

stakeholders

drinking

water

5.3 Recommended Interventions

5.3.1 Food Interventions

There were no food interventions in the county.

5.3.2 Non-Food Interventions

Table 26: Non-Food Recommended Interventions

Intervention Objective Specific Location Activit

y

target

Cost No. of

benef

iciari

es

Implem

entation

Time

Frame

Implementati

on

stakeholders

Agriculture

Training on

post-harvesting

management

Reduced

postharves

t losses

Sub countywide 5M 2020/20

21

Department of

Agriculture

Provision of

farm inputs

such as

certified seeds

and fertilizer

Improve

productivit

y

Sub countywide 6M 600

HH

2020/20

21

ECG and Other

stakeholders

Health and Nutrition

Conduct mass

screening and

referral at the

hotspot

Identificati

on of

malnutriti

on cases in

the county

Mutuovare,

Riachina Gitaraka,

Riakanau, Mutitu,

Iriaitune,

Muthanthara and

Kamarandi

1.2M 23933 2020/20

21

DOH,NDMA,

NI

Procurement

and

distribution of

nutrition

supplementary

and therapeutic

feeds

Control

malnutriti

on cases in

children

Mutuovare,

Riachina Gitaraka,

Riakanau, Mutitu,

Iriaitune,

Muthanthara and

Kamarandi

12M 2714 2020/20

21

DOH,NDMA,

USAID,KEMS

A

Conduct

integrated

health and

nutrition

outreaches in

hot spots

Improve

immunity

Kiambere , Mwea,

Mavuria Evurore

Muminji

Nthawa

500,00

0

7200 2020/20

21

MOH (Embu

County)

NDMA

Page 31: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

27

Intervention Objective Specific Location Activit

y

target

Cost No. of

benef

iciari

es

Implem

entation

Time

Frame

Implementati

on

stakeholders

Nutrition

survey

Identificati

on of

malnouris

hed

children

All locations in

Mbeere South

3.3M 157,4

13

2020/20

21

County

government

NDMA

UNICEF

Livestock

Pasture

establishment

and

conservation

Improve

livestock

productivit

y

Mbeere North &

South

0.8M 2500 2020/20

21

Embu County

Govt-

Livestock and

Veterinary

Services

Construction of

community hay

stores

Improve

livestock

productivit

y

Mbeere North &

South

2M 50

group

s

2020/20

21

Embu County

Govt-

Livestock and

Veterinary

Services

Livestock

water

development

Improve

water for

livestock

productivit

y

Mbeere North &

South

14M 1000 2020/20

21

Embu County

Govt-

Livestock and

Veterinary

Services

Disease

surveillance

along the stock

routes

Prevention

of

livestock

to improve

productivit

y

Mbeere North &

South

0.4M 29000 2020/20

21

Embu County

Govt-

Livestock and

Veterinary

Services

Vaccination of

livestock

Prevention

of

livestock

to improve

productivit

y

Mbeere North &

South

3M 3000 2020/20

21

Embu County

Govt-

Livestock and

Veterinary

Services

Water

Rehabilitation

of

Mugwanjogu

earth dam

Improve

water

access to

household

s

Mbeere North

(Evurore)

4.0 M 500H

Hs

2020/20

21

NDMA, ECG

other partners

Improvement

of ENA

Siakago Main

pipeline (5km)

Improve

water

access to

household

s

Nthawa 6M 1500

HHs

2020/20

21

NDMA, ECG,

other partners

Page 32: EMBU COUNTY (MBEERE) 2020 SHORT RAINS FOOD AND …

28

Intervention Objective Specific Location Activit

y

target

Cost No. of

benef

iciari

es

Implem

entation

Time

Frame

Implementati

on

stakeholders

Fencing of

Karimari and

Muchonoke

water pans to

enhance

protection

Improve

water

access to

household

s

Nthawa and

Muminji wards

1M 600

HHs

2020/20

21

NDMA, ECG,

other partners

Rehabilitation

of sanitation

facilities and

fencing of

Karambari

Earth dam

Improve

water

access to

household

s

Muminji ward 800,00

0

500

HHs

2020/20

21

NDMA, ECG,

other partners

Education

Release

HGSMP funds

Enhance

retention

All Wards 150M 63,99

7

2020/20

21

CDF, MOE and

Parents

Provide

permanent

classrooms

& toilets

Improve

access to

education

Mavuria, Makima

Karaba

8.5M 2,100 2020/20

21

CDF, MOE and

Parents

Provision of

extra water

tanks

Improve

water

access for

pupils

Kamarandi,

Kiambere,

makima,

5.6M 14,00

0

2020/20

21

CDF, MOE

and Parents

Supply at least

2 face masks to

each of the

learners

Prevent

transmissi

on of

COVID 19

All Wards 4M 63,99

7

2020/20

21

MOE/County

Government,

Parents

Provide extra

learning spaces

and more desks

to all schools

Improve

access to

education

All wards

2.2M 29851 2020/20

21

MOE, County

Govt. parents