election night 2012 roanoke

7/31/2019 Election Night 2012 Roanoke

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Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney BushMcCain BushRomney



Indiana

Kentucky*

Alabama

Connecticut

Delaware

Dist. of Columbia

Illinois

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan*

Mississippi

Missouri

New Hampshire*

New Jersey

Oklahoma

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

Tennessee

Texas*

Wyoming

Arizona

Colorado

Kansas*

Louisiana

Minnesota

Nebraska

New Mexico

New York

South Dakota

Wisconsin

Idaho*

Iowa

Montana

Nevada

North Dakota*

Utah

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Tossup

Alaska

Arkansas

11

8

9

7

3

3

20

4

10

11

16

6

10

4

14

7

20

4

11

38

3

11

9

6

8

10

5

5

29

3

10

4

6

3

6

3

6

3

6

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TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP BushObama BushRomney



Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama KerryObama GoreObama








TOSSUP Obama Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Obama KerryObama GoreObama



TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP KerryObama BushTOSSUP



TOSSUP Obama Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Obama KerryObama GoreObama

Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama BushObama BushObama


TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP BushObama BushTOSSUP


Romney Romney Romney Romney TOSSUP Romney Romney BushMcCain BushRomney

TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP BushObama BushTOSSUP



Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama KerryObama GoreObama


Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama Obama BushObama GoreObama



TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama KerryObama GoreTOSSUP


TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama BushObama GoreTOSSUP


TOSSUP Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama BushObama BushObama





Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama KerryObama GoreObama

201 243 237 196 184 237 277261

206 206 206 206 195 206 205235

131 89 95 136 159 95 5642



Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney BushObama BushRomney


TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama BushObama BushObama

California

Hawaii

Oregon

Washington

55

4

7

12

Florida*

Georgia

South Carolina

Vermont

Virginia

29

16

9

3

13

North Carolina

Ohio

West Virginia

15

18

5

POLLS CL

OSE AT 6 P.M.

POLLS CLOSE AT 8 P.M.



POLLS CLOSE AT MIDNIGHT

POLLS CLOSE AT 8:30 P.M.

By this time, well have an

idea of how the night is going.Are networks calling states assoon as polls close? That

means voters are behaving asexpected.

Swing states like Ohio andFlorida are notorious forlast-minute drama, however.

Ohio wasnt settled untilWednesday morning in 2004.

And you remember whathappened in Florida in 2000.

The biggest question marks

at 8 p.m. are Michigan andPennsylvania. The latest polls

suggest President Obama willtake both. The outcome insolid-red Texas and solid-blue

Illinois have never been indoubt.

Obama will need a win in

either Colorado or Wisconsinif he hopes to hold off a late

challenge by Romney. Obamahas the slimmest of leads in

polls in Paul Ryans homestate of Wisconsin, butColorado traditionally a

red state is just too close

to call. Either state could goeither way.

Two more swing states close

at 10 p.m.: Iowa and Nevada.Obamas polling lead in both

is smaller than the margin oferror. These states might not

be called until the wee hoursof Wednesday.

By this time, polls have closedin all the swing states. Be on

the lookout to fill in the holesin this chart as the count

goes into the night.

Is Ohio critical? Whoever haswon the state in the past 12

elections won the election.

Look for Mitt Romney totake Florida and probablyVirginia, too. But dontexpect either state to be

called until much laterand perhaps well intoWednesday.

NOTES: Media predictions are as of 3 p.m. Thursday. Larry Sabato is the director ofthe University of Virginias Center for Politics and a noted Electoral College expert. FoxNews predictions are those of noted analyst Karl Rove.

SOURCES: TheGreenPapers.com, Federal Election Commission, National Archives andRecords Administration, University of Virginias Center for Politics, New York Times,

Washington Post, USA Today, Fox News, CNN, Associated Press, RealClearPolitics.com

ELECTORALVOTES WINNER

TOTAL ELECTORAL VOTES NEEDED TO WIN: 270

RealClearPolitics 2008 2004 2000The APUSA TodayN.Y. Times Wash. Post CNNFox News

LarrySabato

POLLS CL

OSE AT 7 P.M.RealClearPolitics 2008 2004 2000The APUSA TodayN.Y. Times Wash. Post CNNFox News

LarrySabato



LarrySabato



LarrySabato



LarrySabato



LarrySabato



LarrySabato



LarrySabato



LarrySabato


RealClearPolitics The APUSA TodayN.Y. Times Wash. Post CNNFox News

LarrySabato

POLLS CLOSE AT 7:30 P.M.


WHO WILL TAKE THESTATE ACCORDING TO...

KEEPYOUROWNTALLY

CHARLES APPLE/Special to the Roanoke Times

WINNER IN...

All times are Eastern.

*Polls in some states close earlier orlater than shown. States are listedhere at the earliest times networksare likely to call a winner.

Q:How does this work?

A:We dont elect our

president directly. Instead,our votes empower electors

to vote on our behalf.This means the actual

nationwide vote total the popular vote

wont be such an importantnumber to watch Tuesday.

Whoever wins in each state

even if its by thesmallest of margins wins all that states

electoral votes.

Q:The Electoral College

seems complicated. Why

hasnt it been done away

with?

A:It would take aconstitutional amendment

to do that. Which wouldhave to be approved by

two-thirds of each house ofCongress and then ratified

by three-fourths of thestates.

Q:How many electoral

votes does it take to win?

A:The magic number is

270.

Q:Is it winner take all

for every state?

A:Maine and Nebraska

grant some electoral votesto the winners in their

congressional districts. So

its possible for candidatesto split electoral votes in

those states. Its onlyhappened once: Nebraska

cast four votes for JohnMcCain and one for

Barack Obama in 2008.

Q:Is it possible for a candi-

date to win the popular vote

but lose the electoral vote?

A:Its happened threetimes: 1876, 1888 and, of

course, in 2000.

Q:When does the Electoral

College meet?

A:Electors meet in theirrespective states to cast

their votes on Dec. 17. Theballots will then be counted

in a joint session of thenew Congress on Jan. 6,

2013.

Q:Can an elector vote for a

candidate other than the

one hes pledged to?

A:Its rare, but it happens.

Theyre called faithlesselectors.

In 2000, an elector fromthe District of Columbia

cast a blank ballot toprotest the fact that D.C.

has no voting member ofCongress. In 2004, an

elector for John Kerry casta presidential ballot for

John Edwards, although itis believed that was a

simple error. It counted,though.

Q:What happens if there is

an electoral tie vote?

A:In the event of a

269-269 tie, the newlyelected House of Represen-

tatives would then vote forpresident.

The House would vote asstate delegations, not as

individuals. Each state getsonly one vote.

The Senate votes for vicepresident but as

individuals, not as statedelegations.

Q:So, in theory, we could

wind up with, say, Mitt

Romney as president and

Joe Biden as vice president?

A:Its not likely. But in

theory: Yes.

An ElectoralCollege Q&A

Each state in thismap is shown inproportion to thenumber of thatstates electoralvotes. The colors

show who is expected towin in each state,according to an aggregate

of national media. It takes270 electoral votes to clinch avictory.

TEXAS38

LA.8

OKLA.7

ARK.6

COLO.9

IOWA6

ILL.20

IND.11

OHIO18

KY.8

TENN.11

MISS.6 ALA.9 GA.16S.C.

9

FLA.29

N.C.

15

VA.13

MD.10

D.C. 3

W.VA.5

DEL. 3

PENN.20

CONN.7

MASS.11

N.H.4

MAINE4VT. 3

R.I.4MINN.

10

WIS.10 MICH.

16

MO.10

KAN.6

NEB.5

S.D. 3N.D. 3

WYO. 3

MONT. 3

IDAHO4

UTAH6

ARIZ.11

NEV.6CALIF.

55

HAWAII

4 ALASKA

3

ORE.7

WASH.12

N.M.5

N.Y.29

N.J.14

Your guide toElection NightPresidential elections are not about the popular vote, so dont worry

about that number. Instead, keep an eye on how many winner-take-all

electoral votes the candidates capture as the night goes on. Because the

Electoral College vote is the only number that matters Tuesday.

Save this page and keep it h andyTuesday as the returns roll in. Well even

give you a place to keep your own score.

election night 2012 roanoke

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