eee outbreak in connecticut: risk assessment and response ... · 3/9/2020  · andrew donnellycolt...

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______________________________________ EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response to a Rapidly Evolving Crisis _______________________________________________ Jocelyn Mullins State Public Health Veterinarian Epidemiology and Emerging Infections Program Connecticut Department of Public Health

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Page 1: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

______________________________________

EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and

Response to a Rapidly Evolving Crisis_______________________________________________

Jocelyn MullinsState Public Health Veterinarian

Epidemiology and Emerging Infections Program

Connecticut Department of Public Health

Page 2: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

Eastern Equine Encephalitis (EEE)

◼ First identified in 1938, Massachusetts

◼ Sporadic outbreaks

◼ Largest recorded outbreak occurred in New Jersey in 1959, with 32 lab-confirmed cases in 8 weeks

❑ 1959 serosurvey in NJ - 23 ‘inapparent’ infections to every 1 case

❑ 58 human cases that year in US

◼ ~5% of people infected develop severe disease

Page 3: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

EEE Illness in humans

◼ Onset of disease - 4 to 10 days after bite from infected mosquito

Case study of 36 patients:

❑ Short prodrome ~5 days

◼ Fever, headache, abdominal distress

❑ Neurologic onset

◼ Confusion, somnolence, focal weakness, seizures

◼ One neurologic symptoms begin, decline is rapid

◼ Stuperous, coma at admission or within 2 days

◼ Seizures in almost ½

❑ 30 - 40% mortality

Page 4: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

Source: ArboNET, Arboviral Diseases Branch, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; https://www.cdc.gov/easternequineencephalitis/tech/epi.html

~0.03 neuroinvasive cases /

million population

Page 5: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

EEE in US 2003-2016

Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus in the United States, 2003–2016Nicole P.

Lindsey,* J. Erin Staples, and Marc Fischer Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 98(5),

2018, pp. 1472–1477

Page 6: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

EEE in US 2003-2016

Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus in the United States, 2003–2016Nicole P.

Lindsey,* J. Erin Staples, and Marc Fischer Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 98(5),

2018, pp. 1472–1477

Page 7: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

EEE in US 1999 - 2007

Page 8: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

EEE in US 2003-2016

Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus in the United States, 2003–2016Nicole P. Lindsey,* J.

Erin Staples, and Marc Fischer Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 98(5), 2018, pp. 1472–1477

Page 9: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

Human and Veterinary Cases of EEE in the Northeastern US - 2019

CT MA ME NH NJ NY RI

Veterinary Cases = 42

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

CT MA ME NH NJ NY RI

Human Cases = 23

Fatalities = 8 (35%)

NY

NJ

MA

NH

VT

CT

RI

ME

EEE Activity = 30 Counties, 7 States

Human cases = 23 (8 fatalities, 35%)

Veterinary cases = 42

Page 10: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

• Established in response to EEE outbreak in

1996

• Mosquito trapping June-October

• 92 trapping stations • Two types of mosquito traps- light and gravid traps

• Mosquitoes sorted and identified to species

level• 50 mosquito species in CT

• Mosquitoes tested for virus infection in BSL-3

containment lab

• Information on virus-infected mosquitoes:• Early warning system

• Assess risk of human infection

• Guide mosquito control and disease prevention

efforts

CT Mosquito Monintoring Program

Page 11: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

N = 412

Eastern Equine Encephalitis Activity 1996-2018

Page 12: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

Exposure and Incubation

Hospitalization and Diagnostics

Sample Shipping

Acute Flu-like Illness

Testing and Results

Up to 1 week 1 – 2 weeks1 - 2 days

4 – 10 days 1 - 2 days

2 to 3 weeks From Exposure to Confirmation

EEE Illness Timeline

When Risk is Measured

When Case is Announced

Page 13: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio
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0

10

20

30

40

506

/2-6

/8

6/9

-6/1

5

6/1

6-6

/22

6/2

3-6

/29

6/3

0-7

/6

7/7

-7/1

3

7/1

4-7

/20

7/2

1-7

/27

7/2

8-8

/3

8/4

-8/1

0

8/1

1-8

/17

8/1

8-8

/24

8/2

5-8

/31

9/1

-9/7

9/8

-9/1

4

9/1

5-9

/21

9/2

2-9

/28

9/2

9-1

0/5

10

/6-1

0/1

2

10

/13

-10

/19

10

/20

-10

/26

10

/28

-11

/3

EEE

Iso

late

s p

er

We

ek

2019 Eastern Equine Encephalitis Activity per WeekNon-mammalian biter (n=90)

Mammalian biter (n=32)= Human Case* (n=4) = Horse Case* (n=6) = Pheasant or Partridge* (n=2)

* = onset of illness symptoms

Page 26: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

Week Ending Aug. 31 Week Ending Sep. 14

Week Ending Nov. 2

Page 27: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

EEE

Iso

late

s p

er

We

ek

EEE Virus Detection in Mosquitoes per Week

2019 2003 2009 2013

JUNE JULY AUGUST SEPTEMBER OCTOBER

Late Peak = NO HUMAN CASES

Early Peak = HUMAN CASES

Page 28: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

3, CSF Negative Negative Positive 1:04Death

(22)

Death

(10)

5, CSF Negative Negative Positive 1:16 Death (8)

7, serum NegativePositive

1:16

Positive

(day 6)ND

10, CSF Negative Negative Positive NDSevere

sequelae22, CSF ND ND Positive 1:4096f

4 21-Aug

Negative Negative Positive 1:32

3 12-Sep

Negative ND ND

2 12-Sep 4, CSF

EEE IgM

(MIA)

EEE

PRNTc

1 29-Aug

3, serum Negative

Sample

Day,

Type

Commercial Lab CDCOutcome

(day)EEE IgM

(IFA)a

EEE IgG

(IFA)b

Case

Date

Illness

onset

Laboratory Findings of 4 Patients Hospitalized with EEE Infection

Page 29: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

1. Local health districts notified when EEE positive mosquitoes or when

human or equine cases are identified

2. Weekly conference calls with local health directors and elected officials

3. Website on surveillance findings

4. Press releases issued and interviews to update and inform the public and

municipal leaders.

5. Warning signs posted along interstate highways

EEE Response: Communication and Public Messaging

Page 30: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

1. Truck-mounted spraying at Pachaug State Forest in response to mosquito

findings

2. Shut down overnight camping in state parks in high risk areas

3. Local municipalities/schools rescheduled or cancelled outdoor events

during periods of peak risk (dusk-dawn)

4. Municipalities sprayed limited areas or for special events

5. Arial applications of insecticides considered if a confirmed human case and

high levels of EEE infection in mosquitoes

• First human case diagnosed in 16th September

• By then, mosquito populations were already in decline

6. Pre-season treatment with larvicides not considered

• Difficult to effectively target mosquito larvae in

forested swamp habitats

EEE Response: Interventions

Page 31: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

EEE Response: Communication Challenges

1. Cases identified after highest risk period

• First human case diagnosed in 16th September

• By then, mosquito populations were already in decline

2. Highway signs

3. Dusk and Dawn

4. First Frost

Page 32: EEE Outbreak in Connecticut: Risk Assessment and Response ... · 3/9/2020  · Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini Patrick Daly Mike Olson Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez Aiden Florio

The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station

Mosquito Collection and Identification

John Shepard

Tanya Petruff

Virus Isolation and Identification (BSL-3)Angela Bransfield

Michael Misencik

Station Director Dr. Theodore Andreadis

Local Health Departments

CT Department of Public Health

Dr. Matthew Cartter

Dr. Jocelyn Mullins

Brenda Esponda-Morrison

CT Dept. of Energy & Environmental Protection

Roger Wolfe

Steve Rosa

Acknowledgements

Seasonal StaffCatherine Cleary Noelle Khalil

Caroline Cullen Alyssa Marini

Will Cutrone Joey Miller

Andrew Donnellycolt Anthony Perugini

Patrick Daly Mike Olson

Ron Ferrucci Demi Rodriguez

Aiden Florio Bill Sennett

Joshua Stumpf

CT Department of Agriculture

Dr. Mary Jane Lis

U.S. Navy, Groton Sub Base

HM3 Ervin Jimenez

HM3 Hunter Baughman

HM1 James Limer