edison research american youth study radios future
TRANSCRIPT
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Radio's Future II:The 2010 American Youth Study
Sponsored by:
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Recommendations to Radio from the2000 "American Youth Study"
Send stations after these demos or watch
them fade awayCo-opt Internet audio or lose it
Just like Cable TV to Broadcast
Explore co-branded side channelsConsider industry advertising
a la "Got Milk"
Recruit young people -- we can't just dependon them showing up any longer
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How the 2010 Survey Was Conducted:
A sequel to Edison Research's survey from 2000,
"Radio's Future: Today's 12 to 24 year-olds"1533 interviews nationwide
875 interviews age 12-24 (demo)
888 interviews age 22-34 (cohort)Online survey of respondents ages 12 to 34
employing "KnowledgePanel" from Knowledge
NetworksInterviews conducted 9/8 - 9/13, 2010
Data matched to national age and sex demographics
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What you will see today:
The impact of an incredible decade ofmedia transformation
The extraordinary resilience of radio
And -- the challenges radio faces
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27%37%
27%
6%
3%
"Which best describes your spending over the past twelve months on
discretionary expenses, such as entertainment, recreation, or leisure items?"
Have significantly
cut back
Have cut back a little
Have not changed spending ondiscretionary expenses
Spending a little more
Spending significantly more
Base: Age 12-24
Remember the halcyon days of theInternet Bubble leading into 2000?
They aren't here anymore
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The Cell Phone:
The most influentialdriver of changed habits
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Yes
81%
No
19%
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Yes
29%
No
71%
"Do you have your own cell phone?"
The cell phone goes fromsomewhat rare device to must-have
among 12-24s in ten years time
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Yes
43%
No
52%
Don't know
5%
"Is your cell phone also a smart phone?
(It has advanced capabilities beyond a typical mobile phone such as the ability to send and receive
email, access the Internet, listen to audio and watch video, and download apps)"
Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone
More than four-in-ten 12-24swho carry cell phones say
theirs is a 'Smart Phone'
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"Do you ever (item) on your cell phone?"
92
51
50
45
40
37
18
16
0 20 40 60 80 100% ever doing each activity
Send or receive text messages
Browse the Internet
Play games
Use social networking sites such asFacebook or Twitter
Listen to music you havetransferred/downloaded onto the phone
Watch video
Listen to Internet-only radio
such as Pandora
Listen to the stream of any
FM or AM radio stations
Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone
12-24 year old cell users engage in abroad variety of behaviors on phones;'Radio' streams narrowly trail Pandora
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"Do you have your own...?"
81
56
46
35
7
3
2
0 20 40 60 80 100
% owning device
Laptop computer
Apple iPod
Portable MP3 player
other than Apple iPod
Apple iPhone
Apple iPad
Portable hand-held book readersuch as Amazon Kindle
Cell phone
Base: Age 12-24
Today's 12-24s own a broadvariety of devices -- most of
which did not even exist in 2000
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Radio:
Good News and Bad News
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hours:minutes
"In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?"
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
On the Internet
Watching television
Listening to the radio
Playing video games
Talking on the telephone
Reading magazines
Reading newspapers
2000: 12-24s
0:59
2:37
1:44
0:24
0:17
2:43
0:42
In 2000, 12-24s self-reported one hourper day on Internet; 2:43 on radio
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hours:minutes
"In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?"
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
On the Internet
Watching television
Listening to the radio
Playing video games
Talking on the telephone
Reading magazines
Reading newspapers
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
2:52
1:24
0:08
2:47
0:11
1:10
1:04
0:59
2:37
1:44
0:24
0:17
2:43
0:42
Ten years later, teens and youngadults report nearly three hours perday on Internet and much less radio
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"Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time...?"
2
2
7
16
4
22
27
40
12
14
35
22
30
23
23
17
17
28
36
44
43
35
45
45
46
33
40
48
18
27
19
28
10
10
9
20
On the Internet
Watching television
Listening to the radio
Playing video games
Talking on the telephone
Reading magazines
Reading newspapers
Going to concerts
Going to movies
0 20 40 60 80 100
LessMore SameDon't Know/
NA
Base: Age 12-24
Radio is one of only three options with a'net more' among 12-24s; along withInternet and surprisingly, telephone
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Almost every day
4%
Regularly, but not daily
10%
Sometimes28%
Almost never
58%
"How often do you read a printed newspaper?"
Base: Age 12-24
If 'Schadenfreude' helps:Hey, you could be working in
the Newspaper Industry!
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38
45
42
39
46
45
40
27
51
46
31
23
18
17
16
14
88
90
72
62
65
62
56
42
0 20 40 60 80 100
% finding out about new music from (item)
Listening to the radio
Friends
YouTube
Music video channels
Music featured on television shows
Appearances by artists on television
Social networking Web sites
Internet radio stations like
Pandora, Last.fm or Yahoo Music
page 1
Base: Age 12-24
Frequently Sometimes"How often do you learnabout new music by...?"
Radio remains the leading sourcefor learning about new music
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22
26
34
27
32
23
18
11
11
10
9
8
8
3
34
36
43
36
40
31
20
0 20 40 60 80 100
% finding out about new music from (item)Base: Age 12-24
Frequently Sometimes
Looking through friends libraries
using Limewire or a similar service
Recommendations from online musicstores like iTunes or Amazon.com
Songs featured in video games
Streaming AM/FM radio stations online
Concerts or other live performances
Web sites/blogs thatdiscuss new music
Music magazines such as
Rolling Stone, Spin or Vibe
page 2
"How often do you learn
about new music by...?"
Radio streams are referencedby more than one-third of 12-24s
as a source for new music
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5
8
10
11
10
17
21
31
15
20
24
31
37
36
40
37
53
52
49
45
33
37
31
25
27
20
17
13
20
9
8
8
0 20 40 60 80 100
You listen to AM/FM radio in order tohear your favorite songs
You listen to AM/FM radio in order
to learn about new songs
You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find outwhat the popular songs are
You only ever listen to AM/FM radio in the car
You enjoy hearing personalities and
DJs along with the music
You regularly use AM/FM radio for news updates
Agree
Strongly
You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find outabout things going on in your community
You regularly listen to talk radio/sports talk
radio hosts on AM/FM radio
Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to AM/FM radio
Agree Disagree
Disagree
Strongly
"Do you agree or disagree...?"
Radio's strengths: Hits, New Music,to know what's popular; and a
majority do want personality
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None64%
One15%
Two9%
Three or more12%
"Approximately how many concerts have you attended in the last year?"
None43%
One
20%
Two13%
Three or more24%
Mean: 0.9 concerts attendedMean: 2.1 concerts attended
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Also the concert industry -- onceseen as the great hope of music --
has been whacked by the economy
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From friends, family or coworkers43%
Heard on AM/FM radio station
17%
Social network site
10%Music artist/group Web site
8%Ticket Web site
7%Email from the concert venue3%
AM/FM radio station Web site
1%
Other
4%
Don't know
7%
"Of those concerts you attended, where did you most often first hear about them?"
Base: Age 12-24 and have attended at least one concert in last year
Radio tops social media assource for concert information
2 2 l f h i l
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Average number of music CDs
purchased in last 12 months
"Approximately how many music CDs have you bought in the last 12 months --
that is, the physical or packaged disk?"
11.3
3.4
11.3
4.3
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
2000: 12-24s
2010: 22-34s
12-24s report vastly fewer physicalCDs purchased; even the 'cohort'
members have dropped by 62%
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785 770
680655 667
615 595
500
427380
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Digital album salesPhysical album sales
Album sales in millionsSource: Soundscan
Soundscan, tracking all ages, showsthe dramatic drops in album sales
With th d t f d i ' t '
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Yes
65%
No
35%
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Yes
31%
No
69%
"Have you ever downloaded MP3s or other digital music files from the Internet?"
With the advent of devices, 'stores'and broadband, way more
12-24s now download music
M f
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"How often do you obtain music by...?"
16
12
9
8
6
5
4
3
6
7
4
4
4
3
2
2
23
19
13
12
10
8
6
5
0 10 20 30
Purchasing digital music files
online from iTunes
Downloading for free from peer-to-peer or
BitTorrent apps like Limewire
Receiving digital music files from a friend viae-mail/IM/Internet/sharing a flash drive
Downloading music for free from an
artist/record label Web site
Downloading music for free
from an MP3 blog
Downloading files online fr. music sub. services
w/ monthly fee for unlimited downloads
Once per weekor more
Once per month or more(but less than once per week)
Purchasing through a direct link from an onlinemusic service such as Pandora or Shazam
Purchasing digital music files
online from Amazon.com
Base: Age 12-24
Many of our youngrespondents were happy to
report their 'illegal' downloads
I th l t d d R di h l t it
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% saying "yes"
"In the morning, do you regularly...?"
49
42
42
41
8
62
38
16
74
29
Listen to music other than the radio
Watch TV
Use the Internet
Listen to the radio
Read a newspaper
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
In the last decade, Radio has lost itsedge as the most prevalent activity
in the morning for young people
Radio remains the top choice for
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% saying "yes"
"In the morning, do you regularly...?"
35
45
47
53
14
62
38
16
74
29
Listen to music other than the radio
Watch TV
Use the Internet
Listen to the radio
Read a newspaper
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 22-34s
Radio remains the top choice for22-34s, but Internet and TV have
nearly eliminated the gap
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Watch TV
24%
Listen to radio
22%
Read newspaper
2%
Music other than radio
18%
Use Internet21%None/Don't know
14%
"Which do you do most in the morning?"
2000: 12-24s
Watch TV
18%
Listen to radio
44%
Read newspaper
6%
Music other than radio
21%Use Internet
4%
None/Don't know
6%
2010: 12-24s
Television has passed Radio as the
'most used' in the morning among 12-24s
Over ten years this cohort still
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Watch TV
25%
Listen to radio
29%
Read newspaper
3%Music other than radio
9%
Use Internet
23%None/Don't know
11%
"Which do you do most in the morning?"
2010: 22-34s
Watch TV
18%
Listen to radio
44%
Read newspaper
6%
Music other than radio
21%Use Internet
4%
None/Don't know
6%
2000: 12-24s
Over ten years, this cohort stilluses Radio most in the mornings
but Internet and TV grow
Biggest reason they don't listen
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74
73
62
45
39
75
74
63
47
25
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
AM/FM radio stations play too many commercials
"Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?"
% saying "yes" this is a reason they
do not listen to AM/FM radio more
You would rather listen to your own music instead,such as on your iPod/mp3 player or CDs*
*2000 wording: "CDs and cassettes"
page 1
AM/FM radio stations have too much talk
You prefer to watch television instead
You prefer to play video games instead
Biggest reason they don t listenmore hasn't changed one bit:
Too Many Commercials
Interestingly today's 12 24s are less
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37
36
30
26
16
43
51
44
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
You dont hear the music you like on AM/FM radio
"Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?"
You just dont think to listen to
AM/FM radio more often
page 2
You dont have enough time to listen
You prefer Internet-only radio such as Pandora
DJs and personalities that you
like are no longer on the air
% saying "yes" this is a reason they
do not listen to AM/FM radio more
Interestingly, today s 12-24s are lesslikely to say that they aren't hearing
the music they like on the radio
In these job-challenged days --
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64
60
59
36
25
66
71
31
29
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
The radio stations in your local area
do a good job of playing all the
kinds of music you want to hear
Being a radio station DJ seems like
it would be a really cool job
% agreeing with statement
You would be very disappointed if the AM/FM radiostations you listen to no longer existed
In the future, no one your age will
listen to the radio because
everything will be on the Internet
In the future, no one your age
will watch television because
everything will be on the Internet
In these job-challenged days --why do so few young people think
Radio DJ sounds like a cool job?
They like us, theyreally ike us!
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Social Networking:
An Entire New Form
of Media Emerges
Three-quarters of 12-24s use
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8
4
16
28
17
61
17
2
2
18
3
8
18
19
8
12
55
4
MySpace
Facebook
Twitter
0 20 40 60 80 100
Unfamiliar
Actively
Use
Occasionally
Use
Haveacct./profile,
do not use
Hadacct./profile,
deleted it
Familiarwith, but
never used
Base: Age 12-24
Three-quarters of 12-24s useFacebook at least occasionally;
MySpace struggles
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"Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time using...?"
9
3
14
59
17
34
22
30
28
10
51
24
MySpace
Facebook
Twitter
0 20 40 60 80 100
LessMore SameDon'tKnow
Base: Age 12-24 and have ever used (social network)
Facebook appears unstoppable
Communication between listener
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22
8
8
7
2
Phone
Text message
Facebook
Email
Twitter
0 10 20 30 40
"Have you ever communicated with an AM/FM radio station or one of its DJs or personalities by...?
% saying "yes"
Communication between listenerand radio station via modern
means is still in development stage
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Music Trends:
Some things change;
One thing stays exactly
the same
Top 40 is ascendent in the
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"Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?"
22
18
108 8 8
5 4
1 1
23
10
20
6
12
5
2
8
3
1
Hip-Ho
pan
dRa
p
Top40
HitM
usic
Alte
rnative
Rock
Country
R&B
ClassicR
ock
Cont
.Christia
n
H
ardRo
ck/Hea
vyMetal
SoftRo
ck
Classic
al0
10
20
30
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Top 40 is ascendent in thelast decade while both
Contemporary Rock formats are halved
Today's 22-34s have grown
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"Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?"
13
16
12 119
75
32 3
23
10
20
6
12
5
2
8
3
1
Hip-Ho
pan
dRa
p
Top40
HitMu
sic
Alte
rnativeR
ock
Country
R&B
Clas
sicR
ock
Cont
.Christia
n
HardRo
ck/Heavy
Metal
SoftRo
ck
Clas
sical
0
10
20
30
2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s
Today s 22 34s have grownaway from Rap and Rock; into
Top 40, Country and Christian
What are your five favorite
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2000 2010
1. Eminem 1. Eminem
2. 'N Sync 2. Lady Gaga
3. Limp Bizkit 3. Lil Wayne
4. Britney Spears 4. Taylor Swift5. Korn 5. Drake
6. Backstreet Boys 6. Rihanna
7. DMX 7. Beatles
8. Dr. Dre 8. Katy Perry
9. Metallica 9. T.I.
10. Blink-182 10. Green Day
at a e you e a o temusical artists or group?
(most mentions)
Base: Age 12-24
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The Big Threat:
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Yes
33%
No
67%
"Have you ever listened to the Internet-only radio station called Pandora?"
Base: Age 12-24
One-in-three 12-24s have tried Pandora
Pandora has a self-reported 13%
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8
5
20
1311
6
Last Month Last Week0
10
20
30
40
AM/FM online streams Pandora Other Internet-only streams (not Pandora)
% listening to each type of online radioBase: Age 12-24
pweekly cume, more than all other
Internet and AM/FM streams combined
Pandora's most 'non-radio' aspects
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55
52
46
46
42
39
29
8
0 20 40 60 80
You like the ability to create radio stationsbased on your favorite songs or artists
You like the ability to skip songs
Pandora is easy to use
Pandora seems to play a wider selection ofsongs than AM/FM radio stations
Pandora has fewer commercials
than AM/FM radio
Pandora learns about your personal music tastesand continues to adapt the music it selects
Pandora has no personalities or DJs
Pandora would be better if it had personalities orDJs who talk about the music
Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to Pandora
"Do you agree or disagree you
listen to Pandora because...?"
% agreeing "strongly"
p(create stations and skip songs)
are its most 'killer apps'
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Our Next Steps:
Radio Innovations
One-third of 12-24s say that putting
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Listen a lot more
11%
Listen a little more
23%
No effect35%
Do not have cell phone
19%
Don't know
12%
"If your cell phone had an FM radio tuner, would it lead you to listen to FM radio a lot more than you donow, a little more than you do now or would it have no effect on your radio listening?"
Base: Age 12-24
an FM tuner on their cell phones
would lead to more listening
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Very interested
28%
Somewhat interested
39%
Not very interested
23%Not at all interested
3%
Don't know
7%
"Suppose the vehicle you are in the most had a radio with the ability to pause, rewind
and fast forward live AM/FM broadcasts, similar to a television DVR.
It would also be able to record AM/FM shows on demand.
How interested would you be in your vehicle having a radio with these features?"
Base: Age 12-24
There is significant interest in a
Radio TiVo type of radio application
Today's 12-24s are only slightly morelik l h i i d R di S i i
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% saying "yes"
42
46
42
61
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
2000: 12-24s
2010: 22-34s
0 20 40 60 80 100
"Have you ever visited a radio station's Web site?"
likely to have visited a Radio Station site;
the 'cohort' does show increased usage
After all these years and all the radioi l l f i t 12 24
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Yes
42%
No
58%
"Have you ever heard of HD Radio?"
Base: Age 12-24
commercials, only four-in-ten 12-24s
have even heard of HD Radio
R d ti t R di f th
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Recommendations to Radio from the
2010 "American Youth Study"
Send morestations after these demos or
watch them fade away -- the consumer andthe advertisers stillsee radio as a youthmedium -- why don't the owners?
Claim Internet audio or lose itIt can't just be your over-the-air productMust be a font of innovation -- learn from what isdriving Pandora
Find ways to work together as an industryStandardization and co-ordination can createmultiplier effects
Recruit young people -- Radio's biggestchallenges are HR challenges
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