dtac fiscal year 2018dtac.listedcompany.com/misc/fs/2018/20190128-dtac-conferencecall-fy2018.pdf ·...
TRANSCRIPT
Sensitivity: Internal
28 January 2019
dtac fiscal year 2018
Investor RelationsE: [email protected] T: +662 202 8882
1
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FY18 Highlights
• 21.2m total subscribers
– all sub base
registered under DTN
• 78.2% smartphone
penetration
– 64.7% 4G-enabled
devices penetration
• THB63.0b service
revenues ex. IC
– declining 2.8% YoY
• THB28.4b EBITDA
– 37.9% EBITDA margin
• THB19.5b CAPEX
– 31.0% of service
revenues ex. IC
2
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• concession ended on 15 Sep 2018
• remedy period ended on 15 Dec 2018
• 900MHz and 1800MHz licenses granted on 16 Dec 2018
• transition out of remedy with minimum disruption
• resetting baseline for new cost structure
3
dtac completely out of remedy
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Operational Highlights
1
4
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Good foundation for future growth
5
10
10
30
60
850MHz
1800MHz
2100MHz
2300MHz
spectrum portfolio
1 x 60MHz
2 x 15MHz
2 x 5MHz
2 x 5MHz
partnership with TOT, end in 2025
license from NBTC, end in 2027 (2100MHz) and 2033 (1800MHz and 900MHz)
• strong and competitive spectrum portfolio
• long-term access to infrastructure under concession
• historic year for network investment
• first TD-LTE network in Thailand
• 12.7k 2300MHz base stations installed
– deployment of 64T64R Massive MIMO
• 7.9k additional 2100MHz base stations installed
• significant reduction in legal risks
• settlement of disputes related to concession agreement with CAT
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Improvement in sub development amid uncertainties during transition out of concession
6
• lowest level of negative quarterly net adds in nearly 3
years, mainly driven by
– constant communication on strong commitment to
improve network quality
– device and topping campaigns
• huge jump in subs on 2300MHz network
– approx. 80% of postpaid subs on 2300MHz network
– campaigns to increase 2300MHz-compatible device
penetration
• service revenue under pressure
– uncertainties during transition out of concession
– clean up of CPA services to improve customers’ experience
– lower arrival of tourists from China
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Empowering society with digital technology
Smart Farmer
Project
• Launched Farm Man Yum
Application and Precision
Farming IoT technology,
helping farmers to reduce
crop damages by 44%.
• 20,000 farmers were
trained on Online
Marketing and increased
income by 25%.
Net Arsa Project
• Reduced Digital Divide at
grassroots level to support
local economic and social
growth under Thailand 4.0
initiative.
• Reached over 7,600 local
authorities, communities
and schools.
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Financial Highlights
2
8
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Decline in service revenues due mainly to uncertainties from transition out of concession
9
service revenues ex. IC data usageTHB billion GB/sub/month
ARPUTHB/sub/month
• core service revenues* declined by 0.7% in FY18.
• lower IDD revenue and clean up of CPA services also contributed to the decline.
• data consumption growth remained strong.
• yearly ARPU grew strongly, while YoYgrowth of quarterly ARPU slowed down.
14.9 14.9 14.8 14.7 14.3
1.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0
59.1 58.7
5.7 4.316.2 16.0 16.0 15.7 15.3
64.8 63.0
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
core service revenue* others
7.2 7.78.4 8.8 9.1
5.8
8.5
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
* defined by voice + data service revenues
YoY
-2.8%QoQ YoY
-2.5% -5.9%
YoY
46.3%QoQ YoY
2.7% 26.0%
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18
250 249
258 256 253
237 240 248 247 243
242
254
230
244
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
ARPU incl. IC ARPU ex. IC
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18
QoQ YoY
w/ IC -1.2% 1.1%
w/o IC -1.3% 2.5%
YoY
w/ IC 4.8%
w/o IC 6.4%
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cost of services % cost of servicesTHB billion % to service revenues ex. IC
• regulatory cost in Q418 comprised:– recurring regulatory costs include 1.5%
license fee, 2.5% USO fee, and numbering fee of THB 2 per month per number; and
– cost of remedy and one-time adjustment after end of concession.
• network OPEX in Q418 increased from– THB 1.1b expenses for lease of
infrastructure and equipment from CAT and the amortization of one-time up-front payment, and
– cell site related expenses – electricity, repair & maintenance, rental, etc. – due to expansion of network.
• higher other cost of services mainly driven by variable portion of TOT network roaming cost of THB 615m in Q418. (net
EBITDA impact of THB 25m after offsetting with network equipment rental and service revenues of THB 590m)
* excluding depreciation and amortization, and IC
*
10
Resetting baseline for cost of services after end of remedy period
1.7 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3
1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 3.0
0.7 0.6 1.4 1.8
2.4
8.76.3
6.98.5
3.0 6.2
4.4 4.4 4.8 5.1
6.718.5
21.0
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
regulatory network others
10.8%12.0%
9.8% 9.5%8.3%
13.4%
9.9%
12.0%11.7%11.4%11.3%
19.7%
10.6%
13.4%
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
regulatory costs network opex
QoQ YoY
32.0% 52.6%
YoY
13.4%
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18
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% SG&A expenses• decline in full year S&M expenses
from of ongoing efficiency improvement measures.
• gen admin expenses and provision for bad debt well under control.
• continued focus on improving operational efficiency.
SG&A expensesTHB billion % to total revenues
* excluding depreciation and amortization, and one-time CAT settlement in Q418.
*
SG&A declined in FY18
11
1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.50.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
2.22.0 2.0 1.9 1.9
4.9 4.8
1.5 1.4
8.0 7.83.93.4 3.4 3.4 3.8
14.4 14.0
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
S&M bad debt gen admin
11.0%10.4%10.7%10.6%10.1% 10.2%10.4%
6.4% 5.5% 5.7% 6.5%7.8%
6.2% 6.4%
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
gen admin S&M
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18
QoQ YoY
9.8% -4.8%
YoY
-2.9%
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18
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Decline in EBITDA reflected new cost structure after end of concession
12
EBITDA (before other item) EBITDA marginTHB billion
• QoQ decline in EBITDA in Q418 was mainly driven by– temporary cost of remedy of
THB 472m,– one-time adjustment of regulatory
costs after end of concession, – full quarter of CAT related expenses,
net of revenues, of THB 753m,– higher S&M expenses during festive
quarter, and– seasonal high device campaigns.– lower service revenue ex. IC
• full year device subsidies declined by 28%.
7.8 8.47.6 7.2
5.3
30.428.4
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
38.6%
43.8%
40.4%40.0%
27.4%
38.9%37.9%
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18
QoQ YoY
-26.7% -32.7%
YoY
-6.7%
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• one-time legal dispute settlement with CAT of THB 9.5b recorded in Q418.
• sharp QoQ drop in D&A charges after end of concession of approx. THB 5.6b, partly offset by amortization of 900MHz and 1800Mhz licenses and depreciation of additional investment in network and others of approx. THB 0.5b.
Net profit impacted by one-time CAT settlement
13
key financial ratios
* excluding other component of shareholders’ equity.
• full year operating cash flow stayed positive despite high network investment.
• strong and flexible financial position
operating cash flowTHB billion
net profitTHB billion
3.45.9 4.6
1.1-2.7
4.42.5
3.06.1 8.0 13.9
8.9
16.519.5
7.8 8.4 7.6 7.2 5.3
30.4 28.4
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18
operating CF (EBITDA - capex) capex
2.3 1.7 1.6 2.8
12.5
0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18
Net debt : Equity Net debt : EBITDA
0.51.3
0.2
-0.9
-4.9
2.1
-4.4
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 FY17 FY18Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 FY17 FY18 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
QoQ YoY
-436% -1011%
YoY
-307%
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Immediate Focus & Outlook
3
14
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Improve the network
and customer
experience
Rebuild
confidence in
dtac brand
Continued innovation
and improvements in
operational efficiency
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2019 outlook
16
• return to growth during 2019, with continued focus on operational efficiency
• more details outlook to be updated in the second quarter
capex
THB13 – 15 billion
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Disclaimer
• Certain forward looking
statements may be made in the
course of the presentation. These
forward-looking statements
generally can be identified by use
of statements that include words
or phrases such as dtac or its
management “believes”,
“expects”, “anticipates”,
“intends”, “plans”, “foresees”, or
other words or phrases of similar
import. Similarly, statements that
describe dtac’s objectives, plans
or goals also are forward-looking
statements.
• All such forward-looking
statements are subject to certain
risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ
materially from those
contemplated by the relevant
forward-looking statement. The
forward-looking statements
contained in the slides are not and
should not be constructed as
representations of the future
performance of dtac and that such
statements are an expression of
the Company’s reviews based on
its current view and certain
assumptions including, but not
limited to, prevailing economic
and market conditions and
currently available information.
17
Investor RelationsE: [email protected] T: +662 202 8882