drought predictions for the kabul river basin with surface ... · expert, afghanistan water...

December 3-5, 2018, Almaty, Kazakhstan

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Saiyed Momin Nori School of Engineering, Nazarbayev University, Astana

German – Kazakh University, Almaty [email protected] , WhatsApp + 93 0700244194

[email protected] , WhatsApp +7 775 244 00 65 [email protected] , WhatsApp +7 702 557 2038

Central Asia PEER Forum

“Satellite enhanced snowmelt flood and

drought predictions for the Kabul River

basin with surface and groundwater

modeling” Project

mailto:[email protected]





Outline

Afghanistan and Kazakhstan group of researchers:

deliverables and results generated

NASA technologies

• GNSS (GPS) Time-series data

• CORS

• Satellite Image ratification

• Water Vapor Monitoring

• Seismic Hazard Monitoring

• Tectonic Movement Monitoring

• GNSS (GPS) Time-series data

GNSS Geodetic Polygon


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• Ms. Samira Burhani

• Ms. Gaukhar Meldebekova

• Ms. Gulden Ormanova

• Dr. Mohammad Ibragim Najaf

• Dr. Masoud Ghulami

• Mr. Sayed Momin Nori

• Mr. Mohamad Daud Hamidi

• Dr. Qasem Mahdavy

• Mr. Abdulhalim Zaryab

• Mr. Mohammad Zia Jamal

• Mr. Mohammad Tayib Bromand

• Mr. Mohammad Salem Hossaini

• Mr. Mohammad Hussain Shahrullah

• Mr. Mohammad Najim Nasimi

• Mr. Dauren Zhumabayev

• Ms. Vadim Yapiyev

• Dr. Jay Sagin

Afghanistan and Kazakhstan group of researchers: deliverables and results generated

www.ckrb.org

http://www.ckrb.org/

Ms. Samira Burhani, BS, RS & GIS expert, Afghanistan

Water Resources Specialist

Email: [email protected]

Skype:

Deliverables and results generated:

Flood simulation using the US Army Corps of Engineering software HEC RAS on the Panjshir Sub River Basin, Kabul River Basin




Ms. Gaukhar Meldebekova, BS, MS, RS & GIS expert, Kazakhstan



Skype: gohalya


Kabul city area earth subsidence, caused by the intensive

Ground water extractions with applications of the differential

satellite radars interferometry (InSAR) generated using 79

Sentinel-1 SAR.

Two regions with the

highest rates of

subsidence in Dash-e-

Barchi and central

Kabul areas are

investigated


Ms. Gulden Ormanova, PhD student, RS & GIS expert, Kazakhstan



US Project cooperation expansion

https://www.baronweather.com/news/kazakhstan/


Applications of the US Baron hydro meteorological radars and the US global navigation satellites system (GNSS) for water management, flood – drought prediction analyses. The US NEXRAD technologies adaptation with research and training programs expansions.


https://www.baronweather.com/news/kazakhstan/

Mr. Masoud Ghulami, PhD, RS & GIS expert, Afghanistan

Water Resources Specialist Email: [email protected] Skype: masoud.ghulami LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/masoud-ghulami/


Historical and future climate indices - Calculating the climatic indices for the

basin and identifying the future changes of

climatic indices in order to study the

frequency of floods and droughts/producing

hazard maps for Kabul River Basin. Future

projections of precipitation and

temperature based on regional climate

models.


https://www.linkedin.com/in/masoud-ghulami/




Mr. Sayed Momin Nori, BS, MS student, RS & GIS expert, Afghanistan




The US NASA Global

Navigation Satellite

System (GNSS)

applications for

emergency events, floods

droughts prediction,

Water Vapor monitoring


M. Daud Hamidi, BS, MSc, Afghanistan,


Email: [email protected] https://nu.edu.kz/announcements/nazarbayev-university-holds-free-workshop-academics-policy-makers-regulators

Integrated surface and groundwater modeling in data scarce region,

as an example: Kabul city region

Study area

Geology

• Till now, separately the surface water simulation and the

groundwater level fluctuations were developed for the

KRB

• First time, the combined integrated surface and

groundwater modeling using MIKE SHE for Kabul City

region under development under consultation support by

the US Forest Service expert, Dr. Devendra Amatya

• The preliminary integrated modeling results show a

18% (over) difference in water balance and Run-off

analysis comparing to previous studies for which

currently the calibration and validation stage is in

progress.


https://nu.edu.kz/announcements/nazarbayev-university-holds-free-workshop-academics-policy-makers-regulators

















M. Daud Hamidi, BS, MSc,



Daud participated on the workshop “Remediating Metal Mine Contaminated Water

Bodies with a focus on Asian impacted water” in Astana during 2-5 July 2018. The

UK experts, professors were impressed by his research works and Daud was offered

to study in UK, on the PhD program, Durham University. He will continue to work on

the Kabul River Basin project with emphasise more on water quality in his PhD

research work. https://nu.edu.kz/announcements/nazarbayev-university-holds-free-workshop-academics-policy-makers-regulators



















Mr. Dauren Zhumabayev, BS, MS, Kazakhstan

Hydro meteorology, IT Specialist

Email: [email protected]. e

skype: dukaya12

Deliverables and results generated: Completed Activities:

• Climate Data Processing and Visualization Tools over Afghanistan

(E-Tutorial)

• The US Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations over

Afghanistan

Planned Activities:

• Validation of WRF simulations over Afghanistan

• Preparation of temperature, precipitation and hydrological

parameters distribution maps based on WRF simulations over

Afghanistan


Mr. Mohammad Najim Nasimi, BS MS, GIS,Rs and Irrigation

Expert, Afghanistan



Deliverables and results generated: Impact of climate change on water Resource of Afghanistan and its

adaption options. Changing the temperature and Climate change

effect on precipitation, Glaciers, Streamflow over Afghanistan’s

Kabul river basin.


Mr. Mohammad Zia Jamal, BS, MS, RS & GIS expert, Afghanistan




The activities are completed - Collected hydro-chemical and physical data for groundwater of Kabul City. - Collected water samples from wells, located along the Kabul River in the area of Kabul City. - Conducted laboratory analysis (chemical, physical and bacterial) on each samples.

The activates which are doing - Analyzing collected data, lab results and making related maps using GIS for Kabul City.

Plan to do - Clarify the quality problems of Groundwater in Kabul City.

- Find the solutions for drinking water quality problems.


Mr. Mohammad Salem Hossaini, BS, MS, RS & GIS expert, Afghanistan



Deliverables and results generated: - Prepared several zonation maps for engineering geological

properties of soil at Kabul city area using GIS program.

- Participated in site observation from glaciers and glacier lakes in

Panjshir province located at Upper Kabul River Basin

- Prepared geology and geomorphology report for observed areas

which effected by the flood in Pishgur district at Panjshir province

- Expand cooperate with the UK experts on the adaptation the GloFAS

modeling platform for Afghanistan, http://www.globalfloods.eu


http://www.globalfloods.eu/

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Mr. Qasim Mahdawi BS, MS, RS & GMS expert, Afghanistan

Water Resources Specialist Email: [email protected]

Task: Groundwater modeling Completed Activities: • Set up the conceptual model (All data needed for model is imported to the

GMS module) Planned Activities: • Build numerical model by GMS software (MODFLOW in GMS will be run and

calibrate aquifer transmissivity, specific yield and recharge to the aquifer)

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The activities:

The activities are completed

- Collecting hydrological and hydrogeological about Kabul

City.

- Providing elevation map for Neogene deposits and Bedrock

in Kabul Basin ß

The activates which are doing

- Providing conceptual and numerical model for lower Kabul

City

Plan to do

- Providing conceptual and numerical model for lower Kabul

City

- Working on groundwater artificial recharge of Kabul City

Mr. Abudlhalim Zaryab MSc in Hydrogeology


Skype: abdulhalimzaryab2


Devastating Glacier lake Outburst Flooding in the Pishgur area

of Panjshir River Sub-Basin happened on July 12, 2018

Source: M. Tayib Bromand

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NASA GPS based technologies

NASA Natural Hazard

Warning Systems

RATINHA – ReAl-TIme

geodetic data for Natural

HAzard monitoring - JPL

(Jet Propulsion Laboratory)

GDGPS (The Global Differential GPS System)

18 CORS in Nazarbayev University GNSS Polygon

US GNSS (GPS) Applications

20 Source: NASA

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DEM-DSM-DTM

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US GNSS for the water vapor tracking

The United Nations (UN) and organizations such as the United

States Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)

recommend investing more into proactive rather than re-active

actions in dealing with different events: “1$ spent on risk reduction

saves between $5 and $10 in economic losses from disasters”.

The related proactive actions require development of the proper

methodologi es, real-time data collection and processing with

following modeling prediction analyses.

Kazakhstan, Central Asia, use mostly post-reactive actions and

proactive technologies and methodologies with modeling a

predictive analyses are important in the region. We are working on

the applications of the Continuous Operating Reference Stations

(CORS), which use the Global Navigation Satellite Systems

(GNSS) technology to provide precise spatial positioning, data

harmonization, and enables geodetic data integrity assurance with

real-time data streaming and management in a network mode

using specialized software packages to extend the data coverage

and enable real-time monitoring of the changing earth events.

Moreover, Kazakhstan, as other Central Asian countries, does

have the absolute gravity reference stations. We plan to link our

new gravimetric observations to existing gravity points in order to

perform the conversion from relative to absolute gravity values. It

is important to create a uniform geoid undulation model in the

region. The regional height system is based on normal heights

above the quasi-geoid (which is close to the mean sea level

surface). There are errors between +/-40 cm in most of the region.

Considering the fact that GNSS can achieve sub cm accuracy,

geoid errors are the limiting factor in establishing accurate

heights. To improve this situation, new relative gravimetric

observations need to be made in the entire region . This will

permit the direct use of the GNSS system to observe vertical

heights all over the region with few centimeter uncertainty in

order to monitor precisely any disaster events.

The GNSS geodetic test site allows us to carry out a complex of

scientific and technical tasks for specification of global geodetic and

geophysical parameters and to conduct practical training for

students, undergraduates and other interested persons on

modern GNSS geodetic devices.

The following measures are carried out at the geodetic site:

- contributing for the improvement of the GNSS orbits for real-time

and post-processing computati ons at a global scale;

- improving of the knowledg e of the secular motions due to tectonic

processes in Kazakhstan, Central Asia;

- conducting metrological certification and verification of geodetic

instruments;

- testing of new devices;

- research and improvement of geodetic technologies and methods;

- satellite geodetic measurements, surface topographic surveys,

digital geometric leveling;

- optimization of the creation of special geodetic systems;

- carrying out training activities for the training of personnel and the

development of new instruments and measurement technologies.

This test site is equipped with the following technologies:

- linear calibrated basis;

- stand for the calibration of theodolites and levels;

- Leica base station (GNSS antenna Leica AR-10);

- JAVAD base station (GNSS antenna ChokeRing Ant-Dm).

Contact: School on Engineering, NU:

zhanay.sagint [email protected]

[email protected] .kz

[email protected]

[email protected]

Acknowledgements: UK Royal Academy of Engineers, USAID PEER

for the project support

GNSS Geodesy Polygon location on NU campus







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GNSS Polygon Certificatations

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Currently the GNSS Polygon is used for research and

training purpose by the Afghan, Pakistan and Kazakhstan

researchers.

Other reseachers from Central South Asia and worldwide are

welcome to cooperate and use our GNSS facilities

Presentation about role of GNSS applications at German-Kazakh University

NASA technologies were very helpful for the group of

researchers from Afghanistan, Pakistan and Kazakhstan.

Capacity building in GNSS GPS technologies are still the big

problem.

These technologies are very sophisticated and dedicated

train-of trainers programs are required in Linux platform and

GIPSY-OASIS GNSS Positioning System and Orbit

Analysis Simulation Software


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Saiyed Momin Nori School of Engineering, Nazarbayev University, Astana

German – Kazakh University, Almaty [email protected] , WhatsApp + 93 0700244194

[email protected] , WhatsApp +7 775 244 00 65 [email protected] , WhatsApp +7 702 557 2038

Thank You!

Manana!

Questions?

“Satellite enhanced snowmelt flood and drought predictions for the Kabul

River basin with surface and groundwater modeling” Project






drought predictions for the kabul river basin with surface ... · expert, afghanistan water...

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