dr johannes-jÖrg riegler (ceo) and dr …...with multibank capability ›statement.next digital...
TRANSCRIPT
Annual Results Press Conference 2016 Consolidated Earnings BayernLB continues to perform well: profit before taxes of EUR 708m
DR JOHANNES-JÖRG RIEGLER (CEO) AND DR MARKUS WIEGELMANN (CFO)
16 March 2017
Agenda
› 2016
› Results of operations
› Outlook
› Appendix: detailed charts
Profit before taxes of EUR 708m
up 9.6% on the excellent year-
before figure of EUR 646m
Very good operating profit in all
customer segments; total lending
to corporate and real estate
customers rises, DKB gains some
400,000 new retail customers
High portfolio quality results
in low risk provisions of EUR -
87m; BayernLB’s NPL ratio of
1.6 percent one of the lowest
among German banks
Cost/income ratio remains in
the target range at 59.3%
Strong CET1 ratios: improved
once again to 14.7 percent
phase in and 13.2 percent fully
loaded from the Banks own
resources despite repayment
to the Free State of Bavaria
3
Position as one of the top German banks consolidated
Partnerships
New partnership
launched with
Standard Chartered,
partnership with
Berenberg enjoys
market success
Customers
Customer satisfaction
Excellent values
confirmed externally:
Greenwich Quality
Leader and Best Arranger
of Schuldscheine
Portfolio Rating Capital
Asset quality
improved further
Best NPL ratio among
German banks
New customers
In the Corporates &
Mittelstand segment
alone, the Bank has
gained a triple-digit
number of new
customers
Upgrades
Moody’s has
upgraded our long-
term issuer rating to
A2 and Fitch has
hiked the viability
rating to bbb
Low-cost funding
Rating upgrades bear
fruit immediately -
excellent funding
conditions
Capital adequacy
Capital ratios remain
strong:
phase in 14.7%, fully
loaded 13.2%
RWA
Further reduction thanks
to profitabilityfocused
management
5
Strong earnings contribution from all business segments
Corporates & Mittelstand
› Position as one of Germany’s top
corporate lenders consolidated
further: its customers now include
29 of the 30 Dax corporations and 42
of the 50 MDax companies
› Total lending up slightly
› Strong expertise on challenging
issues, such as takeovers, succession
planning and big-ticket investments
EUR 203m
Profit before taxes
Real estate & savings banks / association
› Business growing: new business
volume incl. renewals in real estate
EUR 6.8bn
› Business relationships with around
400 savings banks in GER; no. 1
partner of the Bavarian savings banks
› One of the market leaders in foreign
notes & coins / precious metals in
Germany
EUR 203m
Profit before taxes
Financial Markets
› BayernLB among top international
arrangers of Schuldschein note loans
› Interest rate, currency and liquidity
management for customers
expanded
› Earnings from customer business
with capital market products higher
year-on-year
EUR 29m
Profit before taxes
DKB
› Almost 400,000 new retail customers
gained in 2016, position as one of
the leaders in digital banking
consolidated
› Investing in the digital future:
additional successful partnerships
with FinTechs, such as Barzahlen.de,
Gini and FinTecSystems
› Leading position in renewable
energy segment
EUR 381m
Profit before taxes
Earnings increasingly
under pressure
Weak market growth
and low interest rates
weigh on earnings
Cost of meeting regulatory
Requirements
Wealth of regulations means
more requirements and
complexity
Need for
more flexibility /
Agility
Customers’ needs and the
external environment are
continuously shifting
Digitalisation driving
Changes
Capital spending needed to deal
with growth in standardisation
and digital transactions
The new normal poses challenges
11
How are banks reacting to the new normal?
Source: Ernst & Young’s “Bankenbarometer Deutschland / Europa” of April 2016
67%
47%
19%
15%
3%
3%
Optimise / further automate processes
Minimise expenses that are not entirely necessary
Restructure operating business
Optimise the balance sheet
Dispose of assets
Outsourcing
12
German banks are tackling tough competition and cost pressure primarily by optimising and automating / digitalising processes and cutting costs.
Everyone is talking about digitalisation. We give our customers solutions.
DKB acts as a digital lab
for the BayernLB Group,
and has thereby enabled
digitalisation to become
part of everyday life at the Bank
Since 1995, BayernLB
has had a strong Group
brand in the form of DKB,
one of the pioneers in
digital banking
We incorporate many of
the solutions developed
and tested at DKB into
our business with large
customers
14
digital.next: people are at the heart of our digital activities.
Digital access channels
› client.next central access to all digital customer solutions
› e.client.next software solution for secure payment transactions
› e.client.next app smartphone and tablet app with multibank capability
› statement.next digital account statements
Automation
› Target investments in our IT platform to further standardise and simplify processes
› Customers benefit from faster and more efficient processes
› In addition, customers enjoy cost benefits as a result of automation
Customer at the core
› Digitalisation and standardisation give us leeway to provide our customers with even more indepth, personal advice
› High level of continuity in the adviser-customer relationship; relationships with large corporates have been ongoing for an average of 17 years
› Relationship manager also provides advice on digital services
15
Everyone is talking about efficiency. We have been working successfully on this for a long time.
› Cost/income ratio very good compared to peers at 59.3 % – despite capital spending on
future growth areas and high regulatory costs
› Transformation from an “old Landesbank” to a new, efficient customer bank by focusing
on core competencies
› The task at hand now is to secure the high level of efficiency for the future
Total assets EUR bn
31 Dec 2008
RWA EUR bn
-49.7% -67.0%
82 6
Restructuring Unit (RU) gross credit volume in EUR bn
Launch of RU 2009
31 Dec 2016
-92.7%
260 718
Core business profit before taxes Profit in EUR m
31 Dec 2008 31 Dec 2016
+176.2%
16
31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2008 31 Dec 2016
421.5 212.1 197.7 65.2
New programme launched to strengthen long-term culture of efficiency in the Bank: Work 4.0, culture of innovation, short decision channels, agile project teams, etc.
› Encourage each individual to think in a customer-focused and entrepreneurial manner
› Play an active role in shaping Work 4.0
› Customers at the heart of all process optimisations
› Shorten decision paths further
› Partnerships: create added value for customers and BayernLB
› Flexible, forward-looking IT: transition the business model to the digital age
› Continuously develop our digital solutions focusing on customer needs
› Simplify IT: streamline and standardise the IT landscape
On the way to becoming a modern, agile customer bank
18
Agenda
› 2016
› Results of operations
› Outlook
› Appendix: detailed charts
Key figures
› Consolidated profit up more than 10% to EUR 545m (FY 2015: EUR 495m)
› Total assets slightly down year on year at EUR 212bn, RWA cut 6.3% to EUR 65bn
thanks to strict management
› Leverage ratio phase-in 4.2%, fully loaded 3.8%
646 708
Profit before taxes EUR m
2015 2016
Consolidated profit EUR m
+9.6%
CIR in %
495 545
2015 2016
+10.2%
53.6 59.3
2015 2016
+5.7 Pp
6.7 8.1
2015 2016
+1.4 Pp
Total assets EUR bn
31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016
RWA EUR bn -1.7%
69.6 65.2
-6.3%
10.5 9.6
15.1%
8.3 8.6
12.0% 13.2% 14.7%
20
RoE in %
CET 1 capital & ratio (phase in) EUR bn / %
CET 1 capital & ratio (fully loaded) EUR bn / %
31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016
215.7 212.1
Net interest and net commission income satisfactory
› Lower net interest income mainly due to persistently low interest rates and a decrease in assets
› Net interest income stabilised in second half of 2016
› Slight 2.2% rise year on year › Higher expenses for complying with regulatory requirements and expenses for pension provisions and litigation
› Launch of efficiency programme to soften the impact of additional regulatory cost increases
2015 2016
Net interest income EUR m
Net commission income EUR m
Administrative expenses EUR m
21
1,612 1,475 289 296
-1,168 -1,280
2015 2016 2015 2016
Low risk provisions and reduced NPL ratio
› Good gains of EUR 102m on interest-related transactions and EUR 27m on currency-related transactions
› Shares in Visa and Deutsche Factoring Bank sold for a total of EUR 172m
› Previous year reflected sales of securities
› Net additions to risk provisions were low resulting in particular from good portfolio quality and successful restructuring
› NPL ratio fell from 2.4% to 1.6%, primarily due to derecognition of the impaired portion of the HETA exposure
Gains or losses on fair value measurement EUR m
Gains or losses on financial investments EUR m
Risk provisions EUR m
22
286 274
-56
142
-264 -87
2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
Stable performance in business with customers
› Core business contributes EUR 718m to profit before taxes, non-core business contributes EUR -10m
› Earnings from customer business in the Corporates & Mittelstand, Real Estate & Savings Banks/Association and DKB segments remained largely unchanged; risk provisions and administrative expenses weighed on earnings more heavily than the previous year in all three segments
› Earnings in the DKB segment jumped to EUR 381m due in part to sale of stake in Visa Europe Ltd. to Visa Inc.
› Financial Markets’ earnings fell, mainly due to much lower net interest income because of the low interest rates and charges on the valuation of BayernLB’s own issues following the Bank’s rating upgrade
› Earnings in the Non-Core Unit improved considerably from the previous year thanks to very low charges overall for risk provisions; RWA in the Non-Core Unit have now been reduced to only EUR 2.6bn, just over half what they were at the end of 2015
Corporates & Mittelstand
Real Estate & Savings Banks/ Association
DKB Financial Markets
Central Areas & Others1)
Non-Core Unit Profit before taxes in
EUR m
1) Incl. consolidation 2) Of which the bank levy and deposit guarantee scheme accounted for EUR -60m
Core segments Profit before taxes in EUR m
23
282 212 336 145
19
-347
203 203 381 29
-10 -98 2)
2016 2015
Corporates & Mittelstand
› Operating earnings from net interest and net
commission income largely stable at a total of EUR
418m (FY 2015: EUR 432m) despite persistently low
interest rates and the competitive market
environment
› Earnings from the sale of Financial Markets
products to customers remain pleasing and were
up slightly year on year
› One-time gain of EUR 28m resulted from sale of
shares in Deutsche Factoring Bank
› Risk provisions contributed EUR 8 million to profit
before taxes (FY 2015: EUR 65m), but year-before
period was boosted by much higher recoveries on
written down receivables
› Administrative expenses rose to EUR -293m (FY
2015: EUR -258m) mainly due to higher costs for
major projects to implement and fulfil new
regulatory requirements
EUR million 2016 2015
Net interest income 304 317
Risk provisions in the credit business 8 65
Net commission income 114 115
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 44 48
Other earnings components 26 -6
Administrative expenses -293 -258
Profit/loss before taxes 203 282
Risk-weighted assets (RWA) 21,783 22,196
24
54.4 60
2015 2016
+10%
11.1 8
2015 2016
-28%
CIR in %
RoE in %
Real Estate & Savings Banks / Association
› Profit before taxes largely unchanged at EUR 203m
(FY 2015: EUR 212m)
› Solid operating earnings from net interest and net
commission income totalled EUR 324m (FY 2015:
EUR 325m) despite tough interest rate environment
› Measurement gains on derivatives transactions to
hedge against interest rate risk prompted a surge in
earnings to EUR 77m (FY 2015: EUR 47m) at
BayernLabo
› Earnings contribution from risk provisions
(particularly in the Real Estate division) was once
again positive, boosted by very good portfolio
quality at EUR 24m (FY 2015: EUR 38m)
› The increase in administrative expenses to EUR -
210m (FY 2015: EUR -191m) primarily weighed on
the earnings of the Real Estate and Savings Banks &
Association divisions; the main cause is higher
costs for major projects to implement and meet
new regulatory requirements
CIR in %
RoE in %
51.4 53.7
2015 2016
+5%
24 24.8
2015 2016
+3%
EUR million 2016 2015
Net interest income 235 244
Risk provisions in the credit business 24 38
Net commission income 89 81
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 65 50
Other earnings components 0 -10
Administrative expenses -210 -191
Profit/loss before taxes 203 212
Risk-weighted assets (RWA) 7,095 7,110
25
DKB
› Earnings rose from EUR 336m to EUR 381m, driven
mainly by EUR 132m from sale of stake in Visa
Europe Ltd.
› Net interest income on a par with last year at EUR
786m (FY 2015: EUR 789m) despite persistently
tough interest rate environment
› Charge for risk provisions up year on year at EUR -
108m (FY 2015: EUR -64m); rise posted across all
sub-segments
› Implementing and meeting new regulatory
requirements weighed heavily on administrative
expenses of EUR -432m (FY 2015: EUR -398m)
› Expenses from the bank levy and deposit guarantee
scheme totalling EUR -27m (FY 2015: EUR -14m)
were almost double that in 2015
› Bayern Card-Services reports profit before taxes of
EUR 11m (FY 2015: EUR 4m), which also benefited
from the sale of an investment
49 45.6
2015 2016
-7%
11.6 13.6
2015 2016
+17%
EUR million 2016 2015
Net interest income 786 789
Risk provisions in the credit business -108 -64
Net commission income 23 22
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 51 15
Other earnings components 61 -28
Administrative expenses -432 -398
Profit/loss before taxes 381 336
Risk-weighted assets (RWA) 24,163 24,806
26
CIR in %
RoE in %
Financial Markets
› Profit before taxes: EUR 29m (FY 2015: EUR 145m)
› Earnings from Financial Markets products sold by
customer-serving segments slightly higher year on
year; earnings continue to be reported under the
respective segments
› Segment’s earnings hurt by sharp drop in net
interest income to EUR 41m (FY 2015: EUR 100m).
Low interest rates and the sale of securities in the
year-before period were the chief reasons for the
difference
› Due to an increase in BayernLB’s credit rating, the
valuation of the Bank’s own issues resulted in
charge of EUR -25m (FY 2015: EUR +61m); it also
made a measurement loss overall in relation to fair
value adjustments but this was less than the
previous year
› Profit before taxes of consolidated subsidiaries:
BayernInvest EUR 7m (FY 2015: EUR 8m), Real I.S.
EUR 6m (FY 2015: EUR 6m)
57.3 87.5
2015 2016
+53%
13.5 2.8
2015 2016
-79%
EUR million 2016 2015
Net interest income 41 100
Risk provisions in the credit business -1 0
Net commission income 71 67
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 41 56
Other earnings components 86 114
Administrative expenses -208 -193
Profit/loss before taxes 29 145
Risk-weighted assets (RWA) 8,070 8,543
27
CIR in %
RoE in %
Non-Core Unit (NCU)
› Systematic winding down of RWA continues: RWA
cut by another 45 percent from year-end 2015 to
EUR 2.6bn.
› A significant improvement in profit before taxes to
EUR -10m from EUR -347m in the year-before period
resulted predominantly from a much smaller
charge for risk provisions of EUR -9m
(FY 2015: EUR -304m)
› In addition, HETA-related impairments weighed
heavily on the year-before period
› Restructuring Unit: profit before taxes of EUR 70m
(FY 2015: EUR -94m) is a marked improvement on
the previous year; the decline in gross earnings due
to winding down the portfolio was more than
offset by the positive performance of risk provisions
› DKB Non-Core: the main cause of the loss before
taxes of EUR 28m (FY 2015: EUR -55m), as in the
previous year, was the creation of risk provisions
Risk-weighted assets (RWA) EUR m
4,769 2,616
31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016
-45%
EUR million 2016 2015
Net interest income 71 81
Risk provisions in the credit business -9 -304
Net commission income 4 11
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 0 -121
Other earnings components -16 104
Administrative expenses -60 -118
Profit/loss before taxes -10 -347
28
RU winddown mandate fulfilled; release of tied up capital and profits since 2009 contribute significantly to the repayment plan
› Winddown portfolio cut to below EUR 6bn as at 31 December 2016
› The remaining winddown portfolios will be reported under Central Areas & Others in the future
› Portfolio winddown clearly has a positive impact on the CET 1 ratio (fully loaded)
Gross loan volume/ Risk-weighted assets (RWA)in
EUR bn
Tied up capital (flat-rate recognition: 10% of RWA) EUR bn
28 6
31 Dec 2016
2
Winddown portfolio at start
of RU in 2009
82
RWA Gross credit volume (GEX)
BEX: -93%
RWA: -93%
31 Dec 2016 Total winddown portfolio
2009-2016
684
29
Profit/loss before taxes since RU was founded EUR m
-93%
0.2
2.8
SREP minimum ratios: well below BayernLB’s CET 1 fully loaded ratio of 13.2%
› BayernLB’s CET 1 ratio fully loaded of 13.2% on
31 Dec 2016 is well above the current SREP
minimum ratio of 8%
› The capital requirements are recalibrated as part of
the annual SREP
› The minimum CET 1 ratio set by CRR (Pillar 1
requirement) is 4.5%
› On top of that is an individual premium (Pillar 2
requirement) of 1.92%
› Additional mandatory capital buffers:
Capital conservation buffer for 2017: 1.25%
Countercyclical buffer for 2017: 0%
Buffer for nationally systemically important
banks 2017: 0.33%
National, system-relevant buffer
Countercyclical buffer
Capital conservation buffer
Pillar 2 Requirement
Pillar 1 Requirement
30
SREP minimum ratios in %
13.18
4.50 4.50
1.92 1.92
1.25 2.50
1.00
0.33
buffer 518 bp
31 Dec 2016 CET 1 ratio fully loaded
2017 CET 1 SREP
Requirement
8,00
Expected 2019 CET 1 SREP
Requirement
9.92
0.00
Phase in 0.00
Agenda
› 2016
› Results of operations
› Outlook
› Appendix: detailed charts
Viable business model:
develop profitable mix of wholesale and
digital retail business
High-performance platform:
streamline processes and successively modernise the IT
systems
Excellent asset quality:
non-core business almost completely wound down; legacy
issues resolved
Realignment
completed
Our roadmap for
sustainable success
Consolidate top position – despite new normal
Customers
Transition the business model into the digital age, expand
and consolidate the role as an advisory bank
Costs
Maintain strict cost discipline at all times; new efficiency
programme to stabilise the cost/income ratio at
under 60%
Culture
Firmly embed a culture of efficiency beyond cost
consciousness; modern, agile organisation that embraces
change
Capital
Safeguard the strong capital base
and risk/return-based capital allocation
– 2016 Strategic focus Future
32
Outlook
Tough competition
Profitable growth
with no change in
risk profile – forge
ahead with
digitalisation
Costly regulations
Continue to optimise
costs to soften the
impact of high
regulatory expenses
Low interest rates
Solid capital base as
foundation for
growth in the core
business
Economic risks
Profit before taxes
expected in the mid-
triple-digit million
range
33
Agenda
› 2016
› Results of operations
› Outlook
› Appendix: detailed charts
EU repayment well advanced
Repayment of approx. EUR 5bn in state aid to the Free State of Bavaria (EUR million)
Date Payments to
the Free State of Bavaria
of which silent partner contributions
of which clawback
Umbrella fee Remaining balance of
state aid
Target 3,000 1,960 4,960
2009 to 2012 446 – 240 206 4,720
2013 830 – 691 139 4,029
2014 1,809 700 1,029 80 2,300
April 2016 1,300 1,300 1,000
Total 4,385 2,000 1,960 425 1,000
› Nearly EUR 4.4bn paid so far – around EUR 4bn counts as a repayment
› Remaining amount of state aid EUR 1bn
35
Year-on-year earnings comparison
EUR million 2016 2015 Change in %
Net interest income 1,475 1,612 -8.5
Risk provisions in the credit business -87 -264 -67.2
Net interest income after risk provisions 1,389 1,348 3.0
Net commission income 296 289 2.2
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 142 -56 -
Gains or losses on hedge accounting -80 -24 >100.0
Gains or losses on financial investments 274 286 -4.0
Administrative expenses -1,280 -1,168 9.6
Expenses for bank levy and deposit guarantee scheme -88 -90 -2.0
Other income and expenses 51 71 -27.2
Gains or losses on restructuring 4 -10 -
Profit/loss before taxes 708 646 9.6
Income taxes -158 -150 5.2
Profit/loss after taxes 550 496 10.9
Profit/loss attributable to non-controlling interests -5 -1 >100.0
Consolidated profit/loss 545 495 10.2
36
Quarterly earnings comparison
EUR million Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016
Net interest income 385 362 356 372
Risk provisions in the credit business -43 -40 -19 15
Net interest income after risk provisions 343 322 337 387
Net commission income 115 62 61 58
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 67 62 35 -22
Gains or losses on hedge accounting -31 -21 -22 -6
Gains or losses on financial investments 6 52 172 44
Administrative expenses -391 -311 -277 -301
Expenses for the bank levy and deposit guarantee scheme
-3 8 -17 -76
Other income and expenses -2 9 36 8
Gains or losses on restructuring 15 -2 -8 -1
Profit/loss before taxes 119 180 318 91
37
EUR m 1 Jan – 31 Dec 2016
Co
rpo
rate
s &
M
itte
lsta
nd
Re
al E
sta
te &
Sa
vin
gs
Ba
nks
/Ass
oci
ati
on
DK
B
Fin
an
cia
l M
ark
ets
Ce
ntr
al A
rea
s &
O
the
rs (
incl
ud
ing
C
on
soli
dati
on
)
No
n-C
ore
Un
it
Gro
up
Net interest income 304 235 786 41 38 71 1,475
Risk provisions in the credit business 8 24 -108 -1 0 -9 -87
Net commission income 114 89 23 71 -6 4 296
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 44 65 51 41 -57 0 142
Gains or losses on hedge accounting 0 2 -86 6 -1 0 -80
Gains or losses on financial investments 29 0 156 64 12 13 274
Other income and expenses -2 -1 19 16 45 -26 51
Administrative expenses -293 -210 -432 -208 -77 -60 -1,280
Expenses for the bank levy and deposit guarantee scheme
0 0 -27 0 -60 0 -88
Gains or losses on restructuring 0 -1 0 0 8 -3 4
Profit/loss before taxes 203 203 381 29 -98 -10 708
Return on equity (RoE) (%) 8.0 24.8 13.6 2.8 - -2.7 8.1
Cost/income ratio (CIR) (%) 60.0 53.7 45.6 87.5 - 96.3 59.3
Segment overview
38
EUR m 1 Jan – 31 Dec 2015
Co
rpo
rate
s &
M
itte
lsta
nd
Re
al E
sta
te &
Sa
vin
gs
Ba
nks
/Ass
oci
ati
on
DK
B
Fin
an
cia
l M
ark
ets
Ce
ntr
al A
rea
s &
O
the
rs (
incl
ud
ing
C
on
soli
dati
on
)
No
n-C
ore
Un
it
Gro
up
Net interest income 317 244 789 100 79 81 1,612
Risk provisions in the credit business 65 38 -64 0 0 -304 -264
Net commission income 115 81 22 67 -6 11 289
Gains or losses on fair value measurement 48 50 15 56 -103 -121 -56
Gains or losses on hedge accounting 0 -2 -40 15 3 0 -24
Gains or losses on financial investments 0 0 11 107 94 74 286
Other income and expenses -6 -2 14 -8 37 35 71
Administrative expenses -258 -191 -398 -193 -10 -118 -1,168
Expenses for the bank levy and deposit guarantee scheme
0 -1 -14 0 -75 0 -90
Gains or losses on restructuring 0 -5 0 0 0 -5 -10
Profit/loss before taxes 282 212 336 145 19 -347 646
Return on equity (RoE) (%) 11.1 24.0 11.6 13.5 - -44.1 6.7
Cost/income ratio (CIR) (%) 54.4 51.4 49.0 57.3 - >100,0 53.6
Segment overview 2015
39
EUR bn 31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2015 Change in %
Loans and advances to banks 28.8 29.4 -2.1
Loans and advances to customers 134.8 135.8 -0.8
Assets held for trading 16.9 17.3 -2.3
Financial investments including interests in companies 26.7 28.9 -7.4
Total assets 212.1 215.7 -1.7
Liabilities to banks 54.2 60.4 -10.2
Liabilities to customers 86.8 86.0 0.9
Securitised liabilities 39.6 34.8 13.7
Liabilities held for trading 11.0 12.3 -10.7
Subordinated capital 3.1 4.7 -34.7
Equity 11.1 11.1 -0.1
Balance sheet overview
40
BayernLB. The Bavarian Bank.