C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Keeping the Promise of Sustainable Growth,

Today and Tomorrow

Beijing, ChinaOctober 19, 2007

Ren Wang

Director, CGIAR

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Overview

• Global trends and implications

• Evidence of progress toward sustainable agriculture

• Rising to new challenges

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Cereal Demand: developing world to account for 2/3 by 2020

1974 1997 2020 Baseline0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000Million metric tons

Industrialized world

Developing world

664

560

822725

1,118

1,675

Source: IFPRI Impact Projection, 2001

Rising Food Demand in Response to Population Growth and Urbanization

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Biofuels Revolution – Competing Uses and Higher Prices for Crops

• Are win-win solutions possible?

• New pressures on agriculture and its resource base

• Opportunities and threats for the poor

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Integrated Food Chains – Opportunities and Risks for Farmers

• “Supermarketization” of agriculture presents both challenges and risks for farmers

•How can agricultural research help small farmers compete in markets?

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Agriculture and Human Health – Novel Approaches

• Crop biofortification: Improving the micronutrient content of basic staples

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Emerging Disease Epidemics – Threats to Food Security and

Livelihoods

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Intensification of Agricultural Production Versus Environmental Sustainability

Fertilizer-N consumption in the world increased by 7 times during 1961-2002 (FAO 2004),

Year1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005

N c

on

su

mp

tio

n (

Millio

n t

on

)

0

20

40

60

80

100

The societal costs associated with inefficient, excessive N use would increase tremendously.

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Climate Change – Can Agriculture Cope?

• Reduced crop productivity

• More frequent extreme weather events

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

CGIAR Around the GlobeIFPRIWash, DCUSA

CIMMYTMexico CityMexico

CIPLimaPeru CIAT

CaliColombia

Africa Rice Center-WARDACotonouBenin

ILRINairobiKenya

IITAIbadanNigeria

IWMIColomboSri Lanka

ICARDAAleppoSyrian Arab Rep. ICRISAT

PatancheruIndia IRRI

Los BañosPhilippines

WorldFishPenangMalaysia

CIFORBogorIndonesia

World AgroforestryNairobiKenya

BioversityInternational

RomeItaly

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

CGIAR’s Evolving Research Agenda

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Record of Achievement• For every dollar invested in CGIAR-supported

research since 1971, US$9 worth of additional food has been produced.

• More than 75,000 developing country researchers have received training at CGIAR Centers.

• Without CGIAR research, world food production would be 4 to 5 percent lower, and more than 13 million more children would be malnourished.

Source: R.E. Evenson and M. Rosegrant. 2003. The Economic Consequences of Crop Genetic Improvement Programmes. In R.E. Evenson and D. Gollin, eds. Crop Variety Improvement and its Effect on Productivity: The Impact of International Agricultural Research. CABI Publishing. Wallingford, UK.

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Documenting the Impact of Improved NRM

• “Zero-Till” Technology

• Rice-wheat research consortium in South Asia responds to a slowdown in productivity growth.

• Collaborative efforts to promote resource-conserving technology lead to wide adoption in India, Pakistan and other countries.

• Benefits include higher crop yields, lower production costs and savings in water and energy.

• Total economic gains for consumers and farmers estimated at US$94 million, compared to research costs of $3.5 million.

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

A case study in Vietnam

Accelerating poverty elimination through sustainable resource

management in coastal lands protected from

salinity intrusion

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Reducing Poverty through Better Resource Management

A Case Study in Vietnam’s Coastal Lands

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Not all effects are positive or desirable

Rice intensification expanded ...

… at the expense of shrimp farming

… but increasingly into acid sulfate soils

CGIAR research involving IRRI, Worldfish and IWMI in collaboration with local partners using GIS-modeling support to analyze & understand underlying constraints in productivity & sustainability issues, and designed win-win solution policy recommendations.

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Improved Smallholder Livestock Production in Kenya

• Strengthened capacity to market milk products

• Integration of crops and livestock to raise yields and improve soils

• New vaccines against East Coast fever and trypanosomiasis

• Participatory analysis of development trade-offs in wildlife-rich rangelands

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Positioning the CGIAR in Response to the Global Trends

• Heightened emphasis on development and sharing of international public goods

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Positioning the CGIAR in Response to the Global Trends

• Increased efforts to mobilize advanced science for solving intractable problems

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends

• Commitment to capacity building and development of next generation of agricultural scientists.

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends

• Importance of a matrix approach combining time-bound innovative programs with longer term investment in strengthening international and national institutions

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends

•Partnerships that provide a platform for engaging national institutions to solve local problems.

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends

Transparency Accountability

Efficiency

Efficacy

C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H

THANK YOU !