dod center for geosciences/atmospheric research at colorado state university corp symposium august...
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DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 1
Statistical Extrapolation of Vertically Resolved Cloud Statistical Extrapolation of Vertically Resolved Cloud Information from CloudSat/CALIPSO Observations to Information from CloudSat/CALIPSO Observations to
Regional SwathsRegional Swaths
John Forsythe, Steven D. Miller, Phil Partain and Tom Vonder HaarCooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)
Colorado State UniversityFort Collins, CO
with
Rich Bankert and Jeff HawkinsNaval Research Laboratory
Monterey, CA
CIRA
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 2
Research QuestionsResearch Questions• To what extent do limited (but detailed) observations of To what extent do limited (but detailed) observations of
cloud vertical structure (water content) and geometric cloud vertical structure (water content) and geometric boundaries (top/base) relate to surrounding clouds?boundaries (top/base) relate to surrounding clouds?
• Can this concept be applied to ‘vertical-slice’ Can this concept be applied to ‘vertical-slice’ observations from active sensors (radar/lidar) to observations from active sensors (radar/lidar) to augment the information provided from passive sensor 2-augment the information provided from passive sensor 2-D imagery? Can we use sparse cloud observations to D imagery? Can we use sparse cloud observations to create local 3-D cloud scenes?create local 3-D cloud scenes?
CIRAHypothesisHypothesis
• Certain kinds of clouds form under characteristic Certain kinds of clouds form under characteristic environmental conditions of temperature, moisture, environmental conditions of temperature, moisture, stability, etc., that occur over regional/synoptic scales.stability, etc., that occur over regional/synoptic scales.
• Local observations of clouds occurring within that Local observations of clouds occurring within that regional/synoptic-scale environment may provide useful regional/synoptic-scale environment may provide useful information about the surrounding cloud field.information about the surrounding cloud field.
CloudSat CloudSat (cloud (cloud radar) and radar) and CALIPSOCALIPSO (cloud (cloud lidar) have been lidar) have been providing vertical providing vertical cloud profiles at ~ cloud profiles at ~ 1.1 km horizontal 1.1 km horizontal and 240 m vertical and 240 m vertical resolution since resolution since 2006. 2006.
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 3
RelevanceRelevance• Cloud base estimation in data void regions• UAV operations (visibility / icing)• Model evaluation (e.g. scene contributions to the
NCAR Model Evaluation Tool)• Representativeness of data near taken
CloudSat/CALIPSO track (like in a field experiment)
CIRA
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 4
Opaque Ice Opaque Ice cloudcloud
Water cloudWater cloud
Target is under a Target is under a Cirrus cloud, use Cirrus cloud, use these observationsthese observations
30000’
3000’
10000’
Current Dilemma: Given sparse ceiling observations, how to determine the ceiling over a data-void region?
xx
xx
xx
1.1. Average the observations?Average the observations?
2.2. Be cautious and use the lowest value?Be cautious and use the lowest value?
3.3. Use the nearest observation?Use the nearest observation?
30000’
xx
100 km (notional)100 km (notional)
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 5
• GSIP (GOES Surface and Insolation Product) Cloud Classification (applied to MODIS channels used here):
A 5-channel (0.65, 3.9, 6.7, 11, 12-13 µm) physically-based pixel-level cloud classification with heritage from AVHRR and GOES (Pavolonis and Heidinger, 2005). These are the baseline channels for most contemporary geostationary meteorological satellites.
Additional published spectral tests using MODIS 1.38 and1.61 µm channels added.
Visible / Infrared Cloud Typing to Visible / Infrared Cloud Typing to Provide Spatial ContextProvide Spatial Context CIRA
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 6
CIRACloudSat Track CloudSat Track
5 channel MODIS GSIP (“GOES 5 channel MODIS GSIP (“GOES Imager-like”) Imager-like”)
5 channel MODIS GSIP + 1.38 µm 5 channel MODIS GSIP + 1.38 µm and synthesized 1.61 and synthesized 1.61 µm µm
MODIS-derived cloud type provides spatial context. The MODIS-derived cloud type provides spatial context. The GSIP classifier (Pavolonis and Heidinger, 2005)) shown GSIP classifier (Pavolonis and Heidinger, 2005)) shown
for Typhoon Choi-wan case, September 15, 2009.for Typhoon Choi-wan case, September 15, 2009.
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 7
Typhoon Choi-wan MODIS Visible (view from east) with CloudSat / CALIPSO curtain overlaid in colors of MODIS cloud type.
10 km
10 km
0 km
0 km
September 15, 2009September 15, 2009
Question: What is the cloud vertical structure away from the curtain?
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 8
Brief Review of Method to Brief Review of Method to Gather Cloud Type Spatial Gather Cloud Type Spatial
StatisticsStatistics
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 2010 9
1) Form Geometric “Traces”1) Form Geometric “Traces”Cirrus
Top
Base
Cumulus
Top
Base
• Used Cloud Scenario Classification to compute departures in base/top height for contiguous cloud layers of a given cloud type, traced from a reference point.
Orbital sub-segment example
CIRA
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201010
2) Composite these Traces2) Composite these Traces
> 3 E+08 cloud layer samples
CIRA
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201011
3) Compute Statistics on the 3) Compute Statistics on the Composites of TracesComposites of Traces
Cloud TopCloud Base
Distance (km)
CIRA
Statistics also collected by Statistics also collected by region, season and surface typeregion, season and surface type
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201012
The Application ConceptThe Application Concept
CIRRUSCIRRUS
STRATOCUMULUSSTRATOCUMULUS
CUMULUS
Cloud Type & Top Height: Retrieved
Liquid Water Path (LWP): Retrieved
1) Estimate the cloud base height:
2) Distribute LWP between cloud Top and Base according to cloud type:
N
n nn
N
n nn
n
d
d
z
Z
12
12
)(1
CIRA
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201013
Taking the Next Steps Towards 3-D Taking the Next Steps Towards 3-D Cloud Fields – Behavior of the GSIP Cloud Fields – Behavior of the GSIP
Classifier Classifier
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201014
Good news, supposed to be multilayer
Deep clouds
From MODIS cloud mask
Where Modis Cloud Mask says cloudy, a cloud layer is almost always present (i.e. Number of Layers > 0)
# of cloud layers (GEOPROF_LIDAR) by GSIP MODIS class. January 20, 2009. Daylight granules equatorward of 50°
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201015
5 channel classification 5 channel classification
# of cloud layers (GEOPROF_LIDAR) by GSIP MODIS class. January 20, 2009. Daylight granules equatorward of 50°
5 channel + 1.38 and 1.61 5 channel + 1.38 and 1.61 µm testsµm tests
More Overlap GeneratedMore Overlap Generated
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201016
Aggregated cloud thickness (m) by GSIP MODIS class. January 20, 2009. Daylight granules equatorward of 50°
Missed clouds are thin
Almost always > 5 km thick
“true” cirrus
Lower cloud masked
Very similar to Glaciated class
Perhaps the most variable class
clearclear Partly CloudyPartly Cloudy LiquidLiquid SupercooledSupercooled
Opaque IceOpaque Ice CirrusCirrus OverlapOverlap
5-channel classification 5-channel classification
DoD Center for Geosciences/Atmospheric Research at Colorado State University CoRP Symposium August 10-11, 201017
SummarySummary
• A technique for providing vertically-resolved cloud information for the top-most layer(s) of passive imager swath data, based on cloud type dependent statistics from CloudSat/CALIPSO, has shown some skill.
• Early results show skill in prediction of cloud ceilings when applying the correlative approach and constraining cloud type.
• As the active datasets continue to grow, statistics for the stratified datasets will become increasingly robust.
CIRA