distressed sales, august 2015

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The CALIFORNIA ASSOCATION OF REALTORS® reported that the share of equity sales edged up from August to post its highest level since the fall of 2007. Equity sales made up 93.8 percent of all home sales in August.

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  • DISTRESSEDSALESPRESS RELEASE

    September 22, 2015

  • SHARE OF EQUITY SALES REACHEDTHE HIGHEST LEVEL IN THE LAST SIXYEARS

    93.8%

    2.9%3.0%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Jan-

    09

    Apr

    -09

    Jul-0

    9

    Oct

    -09

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jul-1

    2

    Oct

    -12

    Jan-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jul-1

    3

    Oct

    -13

    Jan-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jul-1

    4

    Oct

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Apr

    -15

    Jul-1

    5

    Equity Sales Short Sale REO

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • OVER NINE OF TEN SALES WERE EQUITY SALES

    REOs, 3.0%

    Short Sales,2.9%

    OtherDistressed Sales(Not Specified),

    0.3%

    Equity Sales,93.8%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    California: August 2015

  • SHARE OF EQUITY SALES HAS REMAINED NEAR 90%SINCE THE MID OF 2014

    94%

    3% 3%

    93%

    3% 3%

    92%

    4% 4%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Type of Sale Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Equity Sales 93.8% 93.3% 91.6%

    Total Distressed Sales 6.2% 6.7% 8.5%

    REOs 3.0% 3.4% 3.9%

    Short Sales 2.9% 3.0% 4.3%

    Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

    All Sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES DIPPED TOTHE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE LATE 2007

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Bay Area: August 2015

    3%

    2%

    1%2% 2% 2% 2%

    8%

    3%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    Alameda ContraCosta

    Marin Napa SanFrancisco

    San Mateo Santa Clara Solano Sonoma

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: August 2015

    7%

    3%

    9% 10%

    4%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino San Diego

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: August 2015

    10%

    13%

    10%

    9%

    4%

    7%

    14%

    8% 8%

    10%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Rest of California: August 2015

    8% 8% 8%

    6% 6%

    11%

    13%

    11%

    6%

    8%7%

    3%

    1%

    10%

    3%

    9%

    17%

    4%

    12%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Alameda 3% 2% 3%

    Amador 8% 4% 10%

    Butte 8% 9% 11%

    Calaveras 8% 3% 7%

    Contra Costa 2% 3% 3%

    El Dorado 6% 9% 9%

    Fresno 10% 11% 15%

    Glenn 6% 15% 19%

    Humboldt 11% 12% 10%

    Kern NA NA 10%

    Kings 13% 13% 15%

    Lake 13% 10% 29%

    Los Angeles 7% 7% 8%

    Madera 10% 10% 17%Marin 1% 2% 2%

    SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Mariposa 11% 12% 20%Mendocino 6% 14% 11%

    Merced 9% 12% 14%Monterey 8% 6% 10%

    Napa 2% 8% 5%Orange 3% 4% 5%Placer 4% 4% 7%

    Plumas 7% 11% 6%Riverside 9% 9% 11%

    Sacramento 7% 9% 12%San Benito 14% 8% 7%

    San Bernardino 10% 11% 15%San Diego 4% 4% 6%

    San Francisco 2% 1% 2%San Joaquin 8% 9% 14%

  • SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    San Luis Obispo 3% 5% 8%San Mateo 2% 2% 1%Santa Clara 2% 3% 2%Santa Cruz 1% 4% 7%

    Shasta 10% 7% 14%Siskiyou 3% 17% 18%Solano 8% 9% 13%

    Sonoma 3% 3% 4%Stanislaus 8% 11% 12%

    Sutter 9% 6% 8%Tehama 17% 15% 7%Tulare 10% 13% 19%Yolo 4% 8% 6%Yuba 12% 13% 13%

    California 6% 7% 8%

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Bay Area: August 2015

    2%1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

    4%

    1%

    2%

    1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%

    3%

    2%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    Alameda ContraCosta

    Marin Napa SanFrancisco

    San Mateo Santa Clara Solano Sonoma

    REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: August2015

    2%

    1%

    4%

    6%

    1%

    4%

    2%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino San Diego

    REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: August 2015

    6%7%

    10%

    5%

    2%3%

    6%3%

    5%

    9%

    3%

    6% 0%

    3%

    2%

    4%

    9%

    5% 2%

    1%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16% REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Rest of California: August 2015

    6% 5% 6%3%

    6%

    10%12%

    6% 5% 4%7%

    2%0%

    8%

    3% 4%

    13%

    2%

    9%

    2% 3%3%

    3%0%

    2%

    1%

    6%

    2% 4%0%

    1%

    1%

    2%

    0%

    5%

    3%

    2%

    3%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    18%REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Alameda 2% 1% 1%

    Amador 6% 2% 5%

    Butte 5% 7% 9%

    Calaveras 6% 1% 6%

    Contra Costa 1% 2% 1%

    El Dorado 3% 4% 4%

    Fresno 6% 8% 8%

    Glenn 6% 10% 6%

    Humboldt 10% 11% 7%

    Kern NA NA 6%

    Kings 7% 8% 7%

    Lake 12% 8% 22%

    Los Angeles 2% 3% 2%

    Madera 10% 8% 15%Marin 1% 1% 1%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Mariposa 6% 6% 10%Mendocino 5% 9% 11%

    Merced 5% 6% 5%Monterey 4% 2% 3%

    Napa 1% 4% 2%Orange 1% 1% 1%Placer 2% 1% 3%

    Plumas 7% 11% 0%Riverside 4% 4% 6%

    Sacramento 3% 4% 5%San Benito 6% 5% 2%

    San Bernardino 6% 7% 9%San Diego 1% 1% 2%

    San Francisco 1% 1% 1%San Joaquin 3% 5% 6%

  • REO SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    San Luis Obispo 2% 2% 5%

    San Mateo 1% 0% 0%

    Santa Clara 1% 2% 1%

    Santa Cruz 0% 4% 3%

    Shasta 8% 6% 12%

    Siskiyou 3% 17% 16%

    Solano 4% 5% 7%

    Sonoma 1% 1% 2%

    Stanislaus 5% 5% 5%

    Sutter 4% 6% 3%

    Tehama 13% 10% 7%

    Tulare 9% 10% 11%

    Yolo 2% 4% 4%Yuba 9% 8% 7%

    California 3% 3% 4%

  • SHORT SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Alameda 2% 1% 1%

    Amador 2% 2% 5%

    Butte 3% 2% 1%

    Calaveras 3% 0% 1%

    Contra Costa 1% 1% 2%

    El Dorado 3% 5% 5%

    Fresno 3% 4% 7%

    Glenn 0% 5% 13%

    Humboldt 2% 2% 3%

    Kern NA NA 5%

    Kings 6% 4% 8%

    Lake 1% 1% 6%

    Los Angeles 4% 4% 6%

    Madera 0% 3% 2%Marin 0% 1% 1%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHORT SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    Mariposa 6% 0% 10%Mendocino 2% 5% 0%

    Merced 3% 6% 10%Monterey 4% 4% 7%

    Napa 1% 4% 2%Orange 2% 3% 3%Placer 2% 2% 3%

    Plumas 0% 0% 6%Riverside 4% 4% 5%

    Sacramento 4% 4% 6%San Benito 9% 3% 5%

    San Bernardino 3% 4% 5%San Diego 2% 2% 3%

    San Francisco 1% 0% 1%San Joaquin 5% 4% 7%

  • SHORT SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    County Aug-15 Jul-15 Aug-14

    San Luis Obispo 1% 3% 3%San Mateo 1% 1% 1%Santa Clara 1% 1% 1%Santa Cruz 1% 1% 4%

    Shasta 2% 1% 3%Siskiyou 0% 0% 2%Solano 3% 4% 7%

    Sonoma 2% 2% 2%Stanislaus 2% 5% 6%

    Sutter 5% 0% 5%Tehama 3% 5% 0%Tulare 1% 4% 7%Yolo 2% 3% 2%Yuba 3% 5% 6%

    California 3% 3% 4%

  • MEDIAN PRICE OF EQUITY SALES IN AUGUSTDIPPED FROM JUNE

    $0

    $50,000

    $100,000

    $150,000

    $200,000

    $250,000

    $300,000

    $350,000

    $400,000

    $450,000

    $500,000Ja

    n-09

    Apr

    -09

    Jul-0

    9

    Oct

    -09

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jul-1

    2

    Oct

    -12

    Jan-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jul-1

    3

    Oct

    -13

    Jan-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jul-1

    4

    Oct

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Apr

    -15

    Jul-1

    5

    Equity Sales Short Sale REO

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • THE MEDIAN PRICE OF EQUITY SALESDIPPED FOR THE 1ST TIME SINCE JUNE 2014

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jul-1

    2

    Oct

    -12

    Jan-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jul-1

    3

    Oct

    -13

    Jan-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jul-1

    4

    Oct

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Apr

    -15

    Jul-1

    5

    Equity Sales Short Sale REO

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    yty% chg. in Price

  • UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    3.6

    5.5

    2.8

    SERIES: Distressed Unsold Inventory Index, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)

    California: August 2015

  • UNSOLD INVENTORY FOR EQUITY SALES REMAINEDNEAR THE LOWEST LEVEL IN LAST 18 MONTHS

    3.6

    5.5

    2.8

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    Aug

    -11

    Oct

    -11

    Dec

    -11

    Feb-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jun-

    12

    Aug

    -12

    Oct

    -12

    Dec

    -12

    Feb-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jun-

    13

    Aug

    -13

    Oct

    -13

    Dec

    -13

    Feb-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Aug

    -14

    Oct

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Feb-

    15

    Apr

    -15

    Jun-

    15

    Aug

    -15

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO

    SERIES: Distressed Months Supply of Inventory, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)

  • -30%

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    13%

    -26%

    -14%

    DISTRESSED SALES CONTINUED TO DECLINE,ESPECIALLY FOR SHORT SALES

    (% Change in Sales Year toYear)

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES CONTINUED TO DECLINE,ESPECIALLY FOR SHORT SALES

    12.9%

    -26.3%

    -14.2%

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60% Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    yty% chg in sales

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales: August 2015

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Aug-15 Jan-09

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: August2015

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    CA Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino

    6.2% 7.1%3.3%

    8.9% 9.5%

    69.5%62.4% 60.3%

    79.4% 81.9%

    Aug-15 Jan-09

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: August 2015

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    6.2% 9.6% 4.3% 7.1%14.3%

    7.9% 7.8% 10.2%

    69.5%

    84.2%

    68.1%

    85.6% 89.5%93.0% 93.6%

    45.8%

    Aug-15 Jan-09

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS