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Detailed Survey Results — 3Q 2015
American Institute of CPAs
Survey Background
Conducted between August 4-24, 2015
Quarterly Survey
CPA decision makers (primarily CFOs, CEOs and Controllers)
AICPA members in Business & Industry only
1440 qualified responses
American Institute of CPAs
Survey Highlights
CPA Outlook Index eases a point overall, maintaining consistency across
most measures
• Overall index decreased from 72 to 71
• US economy optimism index component declined a point from 68 to 67 in Q3 after
falling 12 points in Q2 from a high of 80 in Q1 2015
• The organization optimism and expansion plan indices maintained their same level
as Q2 at 73 and 72, respectively
Revenue and profit indicators increase; spending plans mixed
• Revenue index increases a point from 75 to 76, and profit index increases two points
from 69 to 71
• Hiring component continues to be softest at 66, easing another point from 67 at Q2
• Spending continues to be strong, although training spending eased two points from
71 to 69
Optimism mixed across sectors; small company expansion plans improve
• Optimism in retail and wholesale trade fell back from Q2 highs; optimism in
manufacturing and construction remained consistent with Q2 levels
• In Q3 61% of companies with revenues < $10 million expect to expand their
business, recovering from a Q2 drop to only 47%
• Also consistent with Q2, only 3% of companies overall expect to ‘contract a lot’ over
the coming year, compared to 12% in Q1
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
CPA Outlook Index
The CPA Outlook Index is the composite of the following nine
indicators at equal weights:• U.S. Economy Optimism - Respondent optimism about the U.S. economy
• Organization Optimism - Respondent optimism about prospects for their own organization
• Expansion Plans - Respondent expectations of whether their business will expand over the
next 12 months
• Revenue - Expectations for increases or decreases in revenue over the next 12 months
• Profits - Expectations for increases or decreases in profits over the next 12 months
• Employment - Expectations for increases or decreases in headcount over the next 12 months
• IT Spending - Plans for IT spending over the next 12 months
• Other Capital Spending - Plans for capital spending over the next 12 months
• Training & Development - Plans for spending on employee training and development over the
next 12 months
A reading above 50 indicates a generally positive outlook with increasing activity.
A reading below 50 indicates a generally negative outlook with decreasing
activity.
The CPA Outlook Index is a robust measure of sentiment about the U.S. economy that is supported by the unique insight and knowledge that CEOs, CFOs, Controllers, and other CPA executives have about the prospects for their own organizations, their expectations for revenues and profits, and their plans for spending and employment.
American Institute of CPAs
CPA Outlook Index (CPAOI)
3Q104Q101Q112Q113Q114Q111Q122Q123Q124Q121Q132Q133Q134Q131Q142Q143Q144Q141Q152Q153Q15
CPA OutlookIndex
59 62 69 66 58 64 69 67 63 59 66 69 69 69 70 72 75 78 74 72 71
5962
6966
58
64
6967
6359
6669 69 69 70
7275
7874
72 71
CPA
Outlook
Index - 71
American Institute of CPAs
CPA Outlook Index Component Indicators
Component 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 ∆Q to Q ∆Y to Y
U.S. Economic Optimism 69 78 80 68 67 01 02
Organization Optimism 78 80 76 73 73 00 05
Expansion Plans 79 81 74 72 72 00 07
Revenue 82 85 78 75 76 01 06
Profits 74 79 72 69 71 02 03
Employment 70 73 68 67 66 01 04
IT Spending 79 80 76 77 77 00 02
Other Capital Spending 74 75 71 72 72 00 02
Training & Development 73 75 70 71 69 02 04
Total CPAOI 75 78 74 72 71 01 04
American Institute of CPAs
CPA Outlook Index (CPAOI) vs GDP
4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
CPA OutlookIndex
69 70 72 75 78 74 72 71
Changein GDP
2.40% -2.10% 4.60% 3.90% 2.20% 0.60% 3.70%
-10.00%
-8.00%
-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
GDP GrowthCPA Outlook Index
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Outlook for the U.S. and Organizations
Optimism for the U.S. Economy falls below 50% • The percentage of executives optimistic about the US Economy declined further from
52% in Q2 to 48%in Q3, down from highs of 64% in Q4, 2014, and 68% in Q1, 2015
• Construction, employment and lower oil prices were cited as reasons for optimism
• Lingering concerns about regulation/leadership/political gridlock and about global
economic turmoil were cited as the primary reasons for those with pessimistic views
Organizational optimism and expansion plans maintain levels• Optimism about own company prospects increased a point to 59%, after tapering off
in Q2 from a high of 67% in Q4, 2014
• The percentage of companies expecting their business to expand decreased another
point from 61% in Q2 to 60% in Q2
• However, the percentage of companies expecting their businesses to contract
significantly remained constant with Q2, at 3%
Inflation concerns remain low • Only 25% are concerned about inflation, slightly higher than 23% at Q1 and Q2
• Concern about labor costs returned as the most pressing concern for 36% of
respondents after being displaced by raw materials costs (now 21%) in Q2
• Concern about energy costs (11%) declined by 5 points in Q3, while concern about
interest rates (24%) increased another 3 points
American Institute of CPAs
Optimism & Expansion
US, Organization, Expansion
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
US 21% 28% 48% 33% 9% 19% 43% 34% 22% 21% 32% 49% 44% 38% 49% 51% 52% 64% 68% 52% 48%
Organization 46% 51% 57% 54% 41% 45% 55% 54% 44% 41% 50% 57% 55% 57% 59% 61% 65% 67% 63% 58% 59%
Expansion 54% 58% 66% 61% 53% 59% 61% 61% 56% 50% 58% 62% 62% 62% 63% 64% 68% 71% 64% 61% 60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
American Institute of CPAs
For your business, are you more
concerned about inflation or deflation?
24%
34%
55%
61%
38%
43%
37%
33% 32% 31%36%
30%35%
31% 29%32%
38%
27%23% 23%
25%20%
14%
5% 4%
13% 11%
6%9% 10% 9%
6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 5%10%
12%10% 10%
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Inflation or Deflation?
Inflation Deflation
For your business, over the next 6
months, are you more concerned
about the possibility of …?
American Institute of CPAs
Food costsEnergycosts
Raw materialcosts
Labor costsInterest
ratesOther
3Q14 5% 11% 23% 30% 25% 6%
4Q14 4% 14% 23% 34% 21% 4%
1Q15 3% 11% 20% 36% 24% 6%
2Q15 3% 16% 28% 26% 21% 6%
3Q15 4% 11% 21% 36% 24% 5%
5%
11%
23%
30%
25%
6%4%
14%
23%
34%
21%
4%3%
11%
20%
36%
24%
6%
3%
16%
28% 26%
21%
6%4%
11%
21%
36%
24%
5%
Inflationary Factor Representing the Most Significant Risk to your Business
Inflationary Risks and Costs
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Key Performance Indicators
Outlooks for revenue and profit recover slightly in Q3
• Expected revenue increase improves from 3.2% to 3.3% ; expected profit increase
also improves from 2.4% to 2.6%
Headcount plans ease slightly; salary and benefit, and healthcare
costs remained essentially constant
• Headcounts are now expected to increase by 1.3% over the next twelve months,
easing another two tenths this quarter from the post-recession high projection of
2.1% projection at Q4, 2014
• Expected increases in salary and benefit costs eased a tenth to 2.0% in Q3
• Anticipated healthcare cost remains constant at 5.8%
• Expected “other input prices” increased another 2 tenths to 2.2%, but the expected
ability to increase “prices charged” also improved from 1.4% to 1.6% in Q3
Key spending plans mixed
• Increased spending for IT continues to be the strongest category and remained
relatively consistent with Q1 and Q2, easing only a tenth to 3.0%
• Other capital spending plans increased a tenth over Q1 and Q2 from 2.4% to 2.5%
• Expected increase in training spending fell off to 1.4% after recovering to 1.8% in Q2
Marketing spending plans returned to the Q1 level of 1.6%
• R&D spending increased a full half a point from 1.2% in Q2 to 1.7% in Q3, a new
post-recession high
American Institute of CPAs
Key Performance Indicators
Expected Growth in
Revenue and Profits
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Revenue 2.1% 2.4% 3.7% 3.4% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.1% 2.6% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 4.7% 3.6% 3.2% 3.3%
Profit 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 2.4% 2.6%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Thinking about the coming 12 months, please
comment on the probable change for your
organization for …
American Institute of CPAs
Employees, Salary & Benefits
and Healthcare Costs
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Employees 0.5% 0.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3%
Salary & Benefits 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0%
Healthcare 6.6% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Thinking about the coming 12 months, please
comment on the probable change for your
organization …
American Institute of CPAs
Pricing & Other Costs
Average Change Expected
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Prices Charged 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6%
Input Prices 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Thinking about the coming 12 months, please
comment on the probable change for your
organization …
American Institute of CPAs
Spending Plans
IT, Other Capital & Training
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
IT 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0%
Other Capital 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5%
Training 0.2% 0.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Thinking about the coming 12 months,
please comment on the probable
change for your organization for …
American Institute of CPAs
Spending Plans
Marketing & R&D
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Marketing 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6%
R&D 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Thinking about the coming 12 months, please
comment on the probable change for your
organization for …
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Hiring Plans
Hiring concerns return
• 52% of all companies say they have the appropriate number of
employees, which is down 3% from Q2, 2015 and roughly the levels at
Q2, Q3 and Q4, 2014
• The number of companies with too many employees dropped a point
from 9% to 8%
• Roughly a third (38%) have too few employees
- The percentage of companies reluctant to hire increased to 20% in
Q3, up from 14% in Q2
- The number of companies planning to hire new employees also
eased slightly from 21% in Q2 to 18% in Q3
American Institute of CPAs
Overall staff situation
relative to your needs
We have an excessnumber ofemployees
We haveapproximately the
appropriate numberof employees
We have too fewemployees, but arehesitating to hire
We have too fewemployees and are
planning to hireOther
3Q14 9% 51% 18% 20% 2%
4Q14 9% 51% 14% 23% 3%
1Q15 10% 52% 15% 21% 2%
2Q15 9% 55% 14% 21% 1%
3Q15 8% 52% 20% 18% 2%
9%
51%
18% 20%
2%
9%
51%
14%
23%
3%
10%
52%
15%
21%
2%
9%
55%
14%
21%
1%
8%
52%
20%18%
2%
Given current conditions, how would you
characterize your overall staffing situation
relative to your needs (i.e., do you have excess
capacity or are employees stretched)?
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Top Challenges Facing Organizations
Regulatory requirements/changes and employee and benefits costs
maintain the #1 and #2 slots
Availability of skilled personnel moved up another slot to #3, trading
places with domestic economic conditions, which fell from #3 to #4,
Domestic competition maintained its #5 ranking, while domestic
political leadership declined two slots from #7 to #9
Stagnant/declining markets, developing new products/services/
markets and changing customer preferences followed in the #6, #7,
and #8 slots
Materials, supplies and equipment costs fell out of the top ten in Q3
However, global economic conditions reappeared for the first time
since Q3 2014, at the #10 spot
American Institute of CPAs
Top Challenges for OrganizationsPlease indicate the top three
challenges for your organization
3Q 14 4Q 14 1Q 15 2Q 15 3Q 15
1Regulatory
requirements/changes
Regulatory
requirements/changes
Regulatory
requirements/changes
Regulatory
requirements/changes
Regulatory
requirements/changes
2Domestic economic
conditions
Availability of skilled
personnelDomestic competition
Employee and benefits
costs
Employee and benefits
costs
3Availability of skilled
personnel
Employee and benefits
costs
Employee and benefits
costs
Domestic economic
conditions
Availability of skilled
personnel
4Employee and benefits
costsDomestic competition
Availability of skilled
personnel
Availability of skilled
personnel
Domestic economic
conditions
5 Domestic competitionDomestic economic
conditions
Domestic economic
conditionsDomestic competition Domestic competition
6Domestic political
leadership
Developing new
products/services/markets
Domestic political
leadership
Developing new
products/services/marketsStagnant/declining markets
7Global economic
conditions
Domestic political
leadership
Developing new
products/services/markets
Domestic political
leadership
Developing new
products/services/markets
8Developing new
products/services/markets
Changing customer
preferences
Changing customer
preferences
Materials/supplies/
equipment costs
Changing customer
preferences
9 Stagnant/declining marketsMaterials/supplies/
equipment costsStagnant/declining markets
Financing (access/cost of
capital)
Domestic political
leadership
10Materials/supplies/
equipment costsStaff turnover
Materials/supplies/
equipment costs
Changing customer
preferences
Global economic
conditions
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Industry, Region and Business-size Outlook - 1 of 2
Optimism mixed across sectors
• Retail trade optimism fell to 65% in Q3, consistent with 2014 levels, after topping
the charts at 85% optimistic in Q2. Retail hiring also fell, but continues to be
relatively strong at 2.6%, ranking third among key sectors
• Wholesale trade also declined in Q3 from 65% optimistic in Q2, returning to the
Q1 level of 54%.
• Manufacturing eased another 2 points in Q3 from 55% optimistic in Q2 to 53% in
Q3
• Construction maintained the same level of optimism as Q2 at 64% optimistic.
However, the expected increase in headcount in construction for the coming 12
months fell back to only 1.2% in Q3 after rebounding to 3.2% in Q2, 2015
• Technology hiring also fell to only 1.1% in Q3, after improving to 2.6% in Q2, in
spite of a recovery in optimism from 60% to 67% in Q3
• Banking is also projecting a headcount decrease of .9%, a decline from a 1.5%
increase projected in Q2, 2015
American Institute of CPAs
Industry, Region and Business-size Outlook - 2 of 2
Other Sectors
• Professional Services optimism improved from 64% to 68%. However, the
expected headcount eased from 1.9% in Q2 to 1.5% in Q3.
• Mining and Natural Resources respondents are now projecting a .9% increase
in headcount for the coming 12 months after projecting a decrease in headcount
of 2.7% in Q2.
Optimism in West recovers; South continues to decline
• West recovers from 57% to 63%, now leading regional optimism
• Midwest and Northeast follow closely at 61% and 62%, respectively
• The South remains soft, declining 2 points from 56% in Q2 to 54% in Q3
Expansion plans recover strongly for smallest of companies
• The number of companies with revenues < $10 million having expansion plans
increased from 47% in Q2 to 61% in Q3
• The percentage of companies with revenues > $1 billion recovered 3 points in Q3,
improving from 53% to 56%
• The $10-$100 million range of companies eased from 66% to 62%, and the $100
billion to $1 billion range of companies also eased from 65% to 60% in Q3
• Consistent with Q2, only 3% of companies overall expect to ‘contract a lot’,
compared to 19% in Q1
American Institute of CPAs
Organization Optimism by Industry
62%52%
59% 62%67% 66% 69%
85%
65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Retail Trade
58% 56%48% 49%
61% 66%54%
65%54%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Wholesale Trade
56%66% 66% 62%
72% 71%63%
55% 53%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Manufacturing
56%
69%
80%72%
58%50%
80%
60%67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Technology
American Institute of CPAs
Organization Optimism by Industry
54% 53%62% 64%
76%68% 72%
64% 68%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Professional Service
61% 56%
71%64% 61%
71%66%
74%65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Finance & Insurance
56% 55%64%
69% 70%64% 68% 65%
69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Real Estate
59%67%
73% 69% 69%78%
83%
64% 64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Construction
American Institute of CPAs
Organization Optimism by Industry
52% 50%43%
55%
71% 75%
56%50%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Health Care Other
37% 37% 34%
48% 50%
65%
49% 47%
69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Health Care Provider
American Institute of CPAs
Expected Employment Change
by industry
Thinking about the coming 12 months, please
comment on the probable change for your
organization for Number of Employees
1.5%
-2.7%
2.6%
3.2%
1.9%
2.0%
2.8%
1.9%
2.4%
4.6%
2.0%
0.7%
-0.9%
0.9%
1.1%
1.2%
1.5%
1.8%
2.3%
2.4%
2.5%
2.6%
3.4%
3.8%
-4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0%
TECHNOLOGY
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE PROPERTY
HOSPITALITY AND FOOD
HEALTHCARE PROVIDER
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTHCARE OTHER
MANUFACTURING
Q3 Q2
MINING &
NATURAL RESOURCES BANKING
American Institute of CPAs
Organization Optimism
by Region
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Midwest 76% 65% 60% 61%
Northeast 66% 68% 59% 62%
South 63% 60% 56% 54%
West 66% 67% 57% 63%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Please select the rating that best describes your
view for the economic outlook for your own
organization for the next 12 months.
American Institute of CPAs
Expansion Plans by
Business Size
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
< $10 million 51% 54% 61% 53% 50% 54% 55% 58% 50% 44% 52% 53% 56% 56% 56% 59% 59% 65% 59% 47% 61%
$10 to <$100 million 50% 55% 65% 59% 53% 56% 60% 59% 58% 52% 58% 63% 61% 63% 62% 65% 69% 72% 63% 66% 62%
$100 million to <$1 billion 60% 61% 68% 69% 57% 62% 66% 66% 56% 53% 63% 63% 64% 62% 71% 65% 73% 72% 67% 65% 60%
> $1 billion 63% 70% 77% 72% 60% 69% 65% 62% 54% 53% 68% 68% 68% 64% 69% 66% 71% 75% 77% 53% 56%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
50% of all businesses expect to expand a little in the next twelve months 10% expect to expand a lot. 37% expect to contract a little or stay the same Only 3% expect to contract a lot compared to 19% in Q1
Please indicate whether you expect your
business to expand or contract over the
next 12 months
American Institute of CPAs
Large businesses are most likely
to have excess employees and
most hesitant to hire
We have an excessnumber ofemployees
We haveapproximately the
appropriate numberof employees
We have too fewemployees, but arehesitating to hire
We have too fewemployees and are
planning to hireOther
< $10 million 9% 65% 10% 15% 1%
$10 to <$100 million 7% 52% 13% 26% 2%
$100 million to <$1 billion 11% 53% 17% 19% 0%
> $1 billion 17% 53% 19% 8% 3%
9%
65%
10%
15%
1%
7%
52%
13%
26%
2%
11%
53%
17%19%
0%
17%
53%
19%
8%
3%
Given current conditions, how would you
characterize your overall staffing situation
relative to your needs (i.e., do you have excess
capacity or are employees stretched)?
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Recruiting CompetitionIn your recruiting efforts during the past
several months, what level of competition
are you seeing for candidates as
compared to the end of 2014?
4%
12%
16%
25%
43%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
EASING OF COMPETITION FOR GOOD CANDIDATES
NO CHANGE – HAVE NOT HAD DIFFICULTY HIRING GOOD CANDIDATES
N/A – WE HAVE NOT BEEN HIRING
NO CHANGE – STRONG COMPETITION CONTINUING
INCREASING COMPETITION FOR GOOD CANDIDATES
American Institute of CPAs
Employee TurnoverWhat has the experience of your
company been with employee turnover
in 2015?
10%
39%
51%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
TURNOVER HAS TAPERED OFF FROM 2014
TURNOVER HAS CONTINUED TO BE A CONCERN
TURNOVER HAS NOT BEEN AN ISSUE FOR US
American Institute of CPAs
Compensation/BenefitsWhat has the experience of your company
in 2014 been in terms of compensation and
benefit costs for hiring?
2%
11%
40%
47%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
WE HAVE BEEN ABLE TO REDUCE THE LEVELS COMPENSATION AND BENEFITS THAT WE HAD BEEN
OFFERING TO ATTRACT THE DESIRED CANDIDATES
N/A – WE HAVE NOT BEEN HIRING
WE HAVE FOUND IT NECESSARY TO INCREASE OUR COMPENSATION AND BENEFITS TO ATTRACT
DESIRED EMPLOYEES
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE SAME LEVEL OF COMPENSATION AND BENEFITS OFFERED TO OUR
NEW HIRES
American Institute of CPAs
Bonus PaymentsWhat is your current projection for your incentive
compensation and bonus payments for 2015?
11%
13%
18%
58%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
HIGHER THAN INITIALLY PROJECTED
N/A
LOWER THAN INITIAL PROJECTIONS
ON TARGET WITH INITIAL PROJECTIONS
American Institute of CPAs
American Institute of CPAs
Demographics
17%
29%
12%
10%
8%
4%
18%
Size of Organization
$0 to under $10 million
$10 million to under $50 million
$50 million to under $100 million
$100 million to under $250 million
$250 million to under $500 million
$500 million to under $1 billion
$1 billion or more
20%
61%
4%13%
Type of Organization
Publicly Listed Company
Privately Owned Entity
Government
Not for Profit
7%2%
7%
37%
1%
20%
10%
12%
2%
Position
CEO/President
COO
VP
CFO
CAO/CAE
CIO
Controller
Director
Accounting, Audit, Tax or Technology Manager
Other
For additional information contact:
Kenneth W. Witt, CPA, CGMA Lead Technical Manager, Management Accounting
Cary JonesAssociate Manager
Business, Industry & Government Team [email protected]