3q 2009 results presentation - listed...
TRANSCRIPT
November 2009
Singapore’s First Indonesia Retail REIT
3Q 2009 Results Presentation
Disclaimer
2
Certain statements in this presentation concerning our future growth prospects are forward‐lookingstatements, which involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differmaterially from those in such forward‐looking statements. These forward‐looking statements include,without limitation, statements relating to our profit forecast for our financial year ending 31 December2009, and reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are subjectto certain risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical resultsor those anticipated. The risks and uncertainties relating to these statements include, but are not limited to,risks and uncertainties regarding fluctuations in earnings, our ability to manage growth, intense competitionin the Indonesian retail industry including those factors which may affect our ability to attract and retainsuitable tenants, our ability to manage our operations, reduced demand for retail spaces, our ability tosuccessfully complete and integrate potential acquisitions, liability for damages on our property portfolios,the success of the retail malls and retail spaces we currently own, withdrawal of tax incentives, politicalinstability, and legal restrictions on raising capital or acquiring real property in Indonesia. In addition to theforegoing factors, a description of certain other risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results todiffer materially can be found in the section captioned "Risk Factors" in our preliminary prospectus lodgedwith the Monetary Authority of Singapore on 19 October 2007. Although we believe the expectationsreflected in such forward‐looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, we can give noassurance that our expectations will be attained. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on theseforward‐looking statements, which are based on the current view of management on future events. Weundertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result ofnew information, future events or otherwise.
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Contents
1. Overview of LMIR Trust & Key Highlights ………………………..………………..…………..……. 4‐6
2. Financial Results ………………………………………………………….……….…………….……......…. 7‐12
3. Portfolio Performance ………………………………………………….……….…………….…….…... 13‐20
4. LMIR Trust Growth Strategies ............................................................................ 21‐22
5. Acquisitions ………………………………………………………………….……………….…………..…...….. 23
6. Asset Enhancements …………………………………………………………..……….……….…….…. 24‐28
7. Sponsor …………………………………………………………………………………………..……….…….. 29‐32
8. Summary …………………………………………………………………………………………..…………... 33‐34
9. Appendix ……………………………………………………..…………………………………..……………. 35‐42
CONTENTS
Overview of LMIR Trust
4
First Indonesia Retail REIT in Singapore
5
Key statistics
Initial portfolio of 8 quality Retail Malls and 7 Retail Spaces.
Total NLA: 403,393 sqm1
Total valuation: S$ 931 million2
Weighted average occupancy rate of the Retail Malls1 : 93.0%
Retail Spaces are master leased to Mataharifor 10+10 years with stepped annual rental increments for 2007‐2011 and variable rent increments for 2012‐2016.
Strategically located with large population catchment areas
Conveniently accessible by public transportation and well connected by highways
5 of the Retail Malls are located in greater Jakarta, 2 in Bandung, and 1 in Medan
Quality and diverse tenant base
Target segment: Urban middle – high income local community
Portfolio characteristics
Strategy to invest in Indonesian retail properties. Indonesia has a population of over 245 million people. In addition it has 60 different districts with a population of greater
than 1 million people.
Retail portfolio comprises established and seasoned malls and spaces, with strong shopper traffic .
Notes:1 As at 30 September 20092 Adopted valuation from Knight Frank as at 30 November 2008 in IDR, converted to SGD at the latest exchange rate
Medan
Palembang
SemarangSurabaya
BaliJava
Sumatra
Sumbawa
Makassar
Sarmi
Jakarta
Bandung
Istana Plaza
Bandung Indah Plaza
Junction Ekalokasari Plaza
Mall Lippo Cikarang
The Plaza Semanggi
Gajah Mada Plaza Metropolis Town Square
DepokTown Square
Plaza Madiun
Grand Palladium
Malang Town SquareJava Supermal
Retail MallsRetail Spaces
Sulawesi
Kalimantan
Irian Jaya
Medan
Palembang
SemarangSurabaya
BaliJava
Sumatra
Sumbawa
Sarmi
Jakarta
Bandung
Mall WTC Matahari
Plaz Retail MallsRetail Spaces
Sulawesi
Kalimantan
Sun Plaza
Grand Palladium
Cibubur
6
Key Highlights
Recent asset enhancements successfully completed
Acquisition pipeline of quality assets available
Strategies for organic growth being pursued
Occupancy of 93.0% as at 30 September 2009 versus industry average of 80.8%2
Well diversified portfolio with no particular trade sector accounting for more than 17% of LMIR Trust’s total NLA and no single property accounting for more than 18% of LMIR Trust’s total net property income
Financial Results
Portfolio Update
Strategic Issues
Q3 2009 DPU of 1.22 cents equates to an annualised yield of 10.4% at price of 47 cents1
NAV = S$0.74 with low gearing 11.8%
Note:1. Closing price of $0.47 on 30 October 20092. Source: Cushman Wakefield Indonesia Q3 2009 Retail Report
Economic Outlook
Indonesian economy stands out in ASEAN with GDP growth of 4.3%
Following a successful election process, the momentum should build towards a stronger growth of 5.5% next year
With improving economic fundamentals, we expect the retail sales environment to benefit
Financial Results
7
Q3 2009 Financial Results – P&L
8
Notes:1. Based on 1.07 3 billion units in issue as at 30 September 2009 2. Based on the closing price of $.0.47 as at 30 October2009
Actual3Q09
Actual 3Q08
Variance(%)
Remarks (S$'000) (S$'000)
Gross Revenue 20,570 26,550 ‐22.5
Mainly due to :
i) Depreciation of IDR against SGD when compared to 3Q 2008
ii) Reduction in casual leasing income as well as lower carpark and miscellaneous income
Property Expenses 1,172 1,498 21.8 Mainly due to lower property management fees arising from the lower gross rental and net property income
Net Property income 19,398 25,052 ‐22.6 The lower gross revenue offset by lower property operating expenses resulted in lower net property income
Distribution income 13,083 17,007 ‐23.1Due to lower revenue and higher loss on the cross currency swap, offset by lower income tax, lower withholding tax and higher interest income
Distribution per unit (cents) 1 1.22 1.60 ‐23.8
Annualised DPU (cents) 4.88
Annualised distribution yield2 10.4%
9
Q3 2009 Financial Results – Balance Sheet
Notes:1. Adopted valuation from Knight Frank as at 30 November 2008 in IDR, converted to SGD at the latest exchange rate 2. DB loan expires 24 March 2012. Interest cost is fixed at 2.03% until 31 May 2011 plus margin and costs.
30‐Sep‐09
(S$ million)
Non Current Assets 931.41
Current Assets 129.2
Total Debt 125.02
Other Liabilities 136.8
Net Assets 798.8
Net Asset Value S$0.74
Average Cost of Debt 7.7% p a
Total Units in Issue 1.073 billion
10
Distribution Details
Total DPU
Tax‐Exempt
Capital
Books Closure Date
1.22 c
0.74 c
0.48 c
19 November 2009
Since listing in Nov 2007, LMIR Trust has maintained a payout policy of 100% of distributable incomeFOR FY 2009, LMIR TRUST WILL MAINTAIN A 100% DISTRIBUTION PAYOUT
Distribution Payment Date 1 December 2009
1 July 2009 – 30 September 2009
Unit Price Performance
11
LMIR Trust Share Price Performance & Trading Liquidity
Notes:
LMIR Trust unit price hasperformed in line with STI over thepast year
JCI stock market has rallied 88% inlocal currency terms year‐to‐dateand 120% in dollar terms andcontinues its performance as one ofthe world’s best performing stockmarkets in 2009
Market cap is S$504.4 million1
Notes:1. Based on the closing price of $0.47 as at 30 October 2009
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
30‐Oct‐08 8‐Jan‐09 19‐Mar‐09 28‐May‐09 6‐Aug‐09 15‐Oct‐09
LMRT Vol LMRT JCI
10.4%
2.5%
1.4%
2.5%
0.5%
3.3%
8.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
LMIR Trust annualised yield
(3Q09)
10 Year S'pore Govt Bond
5 Year S'pore Govt Bond
CPF Ordinary Account
Average SGD 12‐mth Fixed Deposit
Rate
STI Yield FTSE ST REIT Index Yield
Higher yield compared to other local investment products
12
Notes:1. Based on LMIR Trust’ closing price of 47 cents per unit as at 30 October 09 and distribution of 1.22 cents per unit for 3Q 20092. Singapore Government 10‐Year bond yield as at 30 September 20093. Singapore Government 5‐Year bond yield as at 30 September 20094. Prevailing CPD‐Ordinary Account savings rate (Source: CPF website)5. Based on 12‐month SGD fixed deposit savings rate as at 30 September 20096. Based in 12‐month gross dividend yield of Straits Times Real Estate Index as at 30 September 20097. Based on 12‐month gross dividend yield of stocks in the FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust index as at 30 September 2009
1
2 3 4
5
67
Portfolio Performance
13
14
Portfolio Update: Occupancy
Portfolio Occupancy Profile
Notwithstanding the global
recession, LMIR Trust’s mall
portfolio occupancy is 93%,
which is higher than the
industry average of 80.8%1
Occupancy is generally higher
than average due to good
locations of the malls, good
customer targeting and strong
mall operator in Lippo Karawaci
Occupancy in Gajah Mada Plaza
(“GMP”) and Istana Plaza (“IP”)
temporarily affected by the loss
of RIMO dept store. Expect
both GMP and IP occupancy to
be approx 99% by Dec 09
following the new leases to
Matahari Department Store.
No. MallsNLA (sqm)
Actual 2008 (%)
Actual Jun 09 (%)
As at Sep 09 (%)
1 Bandung Indah Plaza 30,057 97.9 99.7 99.3
2 Cibubur Junction 34,139 96.7 96.8 97.4
3 Ekalokasari Plaza 25,889 93.7 95.3 97.4
4 Gajah Mada Plaza 35,030 96.1 98.3 89.8
5 Istana Plaza 27,670 99.5 95.5 80.1
6 Mal Lippo Cikarang 28,711 93.6 86.5 86.7
7 The Plaza Semanggi 64,566 93.6 92.2 92.2
8 Sun Plaza 63,262 96.2 96.4 96.8
A Mall Portfolio 309,323 95.7 95.0 93.0
B Retail Spaces 94,070 100 100 100
A+B Total Portfolio 403,393 97.3 96.2 94.6
Industry Average 80.8
Source : Cushman & Wakefield Indonesia Q3 2009 Retail Report
4.8%
4.1%
1.3%
1.3%
1.0%
0.9%
0.8%
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0%
Hypermart
Matahari Dept Store
SOGO Dept. Store
Centro
Gramedia
Giant Super Store
Ace Hardware
Solaria
Millenium
McDonalds
15
Top 10 Mall Tenants by Gross Income
Total 16.1% of
portfolio’s
gross income
Portfolio Update: Diversification
Note: As at 30 September 2009
13.0%
17.7%
12.9%
13.3%
13.7%
16.6%
12.9%
Retail Spaces Income Breakdown
Java Supermall
Plaza Madiun
Grand Palladium Medan
Depok Town Square
Malang Town Square
Metropolis Town Square
Mall WTC Matahari
16
11.7%
8.6%
15.6%
5.8%
4.8%
8.0%
9.1%18.2%
18.2%
Portfolio Net Income BreakdownBandung Indah Plaza Cibubur Junction The Plaza Semanggi
Mal Lippo Cikarang Ekalokasari Plaza Gajah Mada Plaza
Istana Plaza Sun Plaza Retail Spaces
17
Portfolio NLA Breakdown By Trade Sector
17%
9%
3%1%0%
14%
9%
4%0%12%3%
1%1%
14%
5%
6%1%
NLA by Trade Sector MallAs at 30 September 2009
Department StoreFashionBooks & StationaryHobbiesEducation / SchoolSupermarket / HypermarketCasual & OthersSports & FitnessToysLeisure & EntertainmentElectronic / ITGifts & SpecialtyJewelryF & B / Food CourtHome FurnishingServicesOptic
Stable Lease Expiry Profile
18
Weighted average lease term to expiry for portfolio is approx 5 years
Long lease expiry profile underpins portfolio stability
Mixture of long‐term and short term leases, provides growing & stable distributions
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 and Beyond
Expired NLA (%)
19
Average Rental Rates as of September 2009
Retail MallsARR
Anchor Specialty shops
Bandung Indah Plaza 62,000 260,000
Cibubur Junction 54,000 212,000
Ekalokasari 48,000 150,000
Gajah Mada Plaza 49,000 160,000
Istana Plaza 56,000 198,000
Mal Lippo Cikarang 57,000 171,000
Plaza Semanggi 56,000 161,000
Sun Plaza 38,000 165,000
ARR Retail Malls 51,000 183,000
20
Traffic Flow of LMIR Trust Malls
Q2 Q3 Total YTD
2008 2009Variance
2008 2009Variance
2008 2009Variance
(Million) (Million) (Million) (Million) (Million) (Million)
Car 1.91 2.17 13.87% 2.20 2.23 1.12% 6.21 6.52 5.06%
Motorcycle 1.34 1.54 15.37% 1.58 1.63 2.95% 4.29 4.67 8.78%
Visitor 15.42 20.10 30.32% 20.22 23.41 15.79% 51.88 63.31 20.10%
LMIR Trust Growth Strategies
21
Improving macroeconomic fundamentals
Growing & affluent urban middle income class
Active portfolio management and tenant re‐mixing / re‐positioningstrategies
Organic growth
Targeted Growth Strategies
22
8 asset enhancements completed since IPO
1 asset enhancement in progress
Acquisition pipeline
Assetenhancements
Large pipeline from both Sponsor and third parties.
A fragmented and diverse retail market provides further acquisition growth opportunities
Organic growth
Acquisition pipeline
KALIMANTAN
JAVA
SULAWESI
IRIAN JAYA
MALUKU
MALLS IN GREATER JAKARTA
N
PACIFIC OCEAN
INDIAN OCEAN
BANTENPROVINCE
WEST JAKARTA
SOUTH JAKARTA
WEST JAVAPROVINCE
EAST JAKARTA
CENTER OFJAKARTA
JAVA SEA
NORTH JAKARTA
Grand Palladium Medan
GTC Makassar
Malang Town Square City of Tomorrow Mall
Metropolis Town Square
WTC Matahari
Lippo Cikarang Mall
Gajah Mada Plaza
Pejaten Village
Depok Town Square Bellanova Country Mall
Tamini SquareBekasi Trade Mall
The Plaza Semanggi
Pluit Village
24 malls throughout in Indonesia
Eka Lokasari Mall
Palembang Square
Kramat Jati Indah Plaza
- Istana Plaza- Bandung Indah Plaza
Cibubur Junction
Lippo Karawaci owns and/or manages24 malls throughout Indonesia
± 930,000 sq m lettable area± 15,660 total units80% average occupancy rate
Plaza Medan FairBinjai Supermall
Sun Plaza
Strata-titled Malls (8 of 10 malls are owned by LK)LMIRT Malls LK MallsThird Party Malls
St. Moritz
Kemang Village
Access to acquisitions through Sponsor and third parties
23
Asset Enhancement – Bandung Indah Plaza
24
650 sq m new NLA will be created from the ex‐management office
Total area leased out is 794 sq m with an average rental of IDR 80,000/sqm/month for 3 years
100% in full operation
Estimated additional income IDR 585 million/year
Cost IDR 550 million and estimated ROI above 100% (net of lost income)
Conversion of 4 existing specialty units and management office into fitness center
The completed cafe area Interior of the new fitness centre Exterior facade of the new fitness centre Transfer of equipment in progress
Asset Enhancement – Plaza Semanggi
25
975 sq m will be created from the existing 1,300 sqm Projected cost of IDR 1.1 bio & projected annual rental of IDR 1.2 bio
Proposed rents IDR 104,000/sqm/month compared to IDR 76,000/sqm/month
440 sqm of new space is in full operation and 172 sqm already committed, the remaining 37% (363 sqm) is still under offer
Target opening: December 2009
Conversion of ex‐anchor space at 3A floor into 5 specialty units
The old anchor space Enhancement work underway The opening of new seafood restaurant New space for lease
Asset Enhancement – Cibubur Junction (Works in Progress)
26
•1,467 sqm will be created from the existing 1,035 sqm Projected cost of IDR 1.8 bio & projected ROI 52%
•Projected annual rental IDR 1.6 bio vs. IDR 635 mil existing
•75% (1,100 sqm) of new space already committed, the remaining 25% (367 sqm) is still under offer
•Target opening: December 2009
Re‐configuration of the existing 2nd floor layout to become single corridor area
The old layout Enhancement work underway Fitting out work in progress Single corridor area almost completed
New Tenant Fit‐Out
27
•Matahari Department Store (“MDS”) is in the process of fitting out in relation to its new leases at Istana
Plaza and Gajah Mada Plaza for the space formerly occupied by RIMO Department Store
•Occupancy expected to be approx 99% by Dec 09 following the new lease to MDS.
•Target opening: December 2009
Matahari Dept Store (Istana Plaza) ‐ Fitting out work in progress
First floor of the new Matahari space at Istana Plaza Second floor of the new Matahari space at Istana Plaza Installation of the new floorings
New Tenant Fit‐Out
28
•Matahari Department Store (“MDS”) is in the process of fitting out in relation to its new leases at Istana
Plaza and Gajah Mada Plaza for the space formerly occupied by RIMO Department Store
•Occupancy expected to be approx 99% by Dec 09 following the new lease to MDS.
•Target opening: December 2009
Matahari Dept Store (Gajah Mada Plaza) ‐ Fitting out work in progress
Renovation work in progress Partition built for MDS’ office is almost completed Finishes being applied to the column
Sponsor
29
Manager of LMIR Trust: LMIR Trust Management Ltd
30
60% 40%
REIT Manager:
Singapore’s leading real estate company
Indonesia’s premier real estate company
Partnership between two leading real estate forces
S$ 212 million units (19.7%) in LMIR Trust
127 million units (12%) in LMIR Trust
• Leading real estate company in Singapore with Asian focus.
• Owns and manages over S$11.8 billion of real estate assets pan Asia.
• 8 offices across Asia to support regional business.
• FY08 Profit After Tax of S$210 million
• Lippo is one of Indonesia’s largest conglomerates
• Lippo Karawaci (“LK”) is the largest listed property company in Indonesia by mkt cap, assets, revenue, net profit, and land bank.
• LK has the most integrated business model of all property companies in Indonesia.
• LK rated by 3 rating agencies
• B by S&P, B1 by Moody’s and B+ by Fitch.
Lippo is One of Indonesia’s Largest Conglomerates
31
Matahari & Hypermart First Media
Urban Development
Large Scale Integrated
DevelopmentRetail Malls Healthcare
Hotels & Hospitality
Property & Portfolio
Management
Indonesia
OthersPropertyRetail OthersProperty & Hospitality
Retail
Regional presence in China, Macau, Hong Kong, Philippines, Korea, Singapore
PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk
Property & Portfolio Management – Unique for Property Company
32
Urban Development
Large Scale Integrated
DevelopmentRetail Malls Healthcare Hotels &
Hospitality
Property & Portfolio
Management
PT. Consulting & Management
Services Division
REIT Management
Shopping Centre Directors
PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk
REIT REIT
Shopping Centre Directors
Dedicated team of experienced
retail mall staff LARGE TEAM RESPONSIBLE FOR SUCCESS OF LMIR
TRUST
Summary
33
34
Conclusion
Based on announced annualised DPU, attractive yield of 10.4%
Share price trading at a substantial discount to NAV
Well‐balanced property diversification with no single property accounting for more than 18% of Net Property Income
Portfolio occupancy rate remains higher than industry average, and projected to remain so for the rest of the year
Conservative gearing provides capacity for further yield accretive acquisitions
Access to future acquisitions in a fragmented and diverse retail market.
Indonesian economy is one of Asia’s best performing in 2009
Indonesia retail market is likely to benefit from the improved macro‐economy
LMIRT is committed to deliver stable results to our unit holders.
Appendix
35
36
Quality and strategically located Retail Malls
The Plaza Semanggi
Cibubur JunctionGajah Mada Plaza
Mal Lippo Cikarang
Ekalokasari Plaza Bandung Indah Plaza
Istana Plaza
High Quality Retail Malls…
Largest retailer and department store in
Indonesia
30 hypermarkets across Indonesia
4 department stores across Indonesia
14 Giant Hypermarkets across Indonesia
Anchored by premier local retailers..Well complimented by Int’l & local
specialty retailers
Sun Plaza
6 department stores across Indonesia
Indonesia’s largest Cinema Network
Retail Spaces Master‐leased to Matahari
37
Mall WTC Matahari UnitsMetropolis Town Square Units
Depok Town Square Units Java Supermall Units
Malang Town Square Units Plaza Madiun Grand Palladium Unit
LMIR Trust’s portfolio includes 7 Retail Spaces with total NLA of 94,070 sqm, master‐leased to Matahari for a period of 10+10 years, with fixed rental growth of 8% p.a. for the first 4 years and
a revenue sharing formula thereafter
NLA : 11,184 sqm NLA : 15,248 sqm NLA : 13,045 sqm NLA : 11,082 sqm
NLA : 11,065 sqm NLA : 13,417 sqmNLA : 19,029 sqm
5 of the 7 Retail Spaces reside in strata‐titled malls built by the Sponsor
Organic growth examples – Late Night Shopping at Plaza Semanggi
38
Feedback from our tenants :
Centro: “Surpassed the sales target for the LNS 2009”
Accent: “Open 24 Hour and achieved 86% increased in one day, compare to previous period”
Burger King: “the longest operational hour and the highest sales achievement in Plaza Semanggi within 1 a day”
A&W: “Fully supportive of the LNS initiated by the management and wish to have more.”
Nathan Coffee: “Sales has increased almost 50% compared normal days”
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2008 2009
Traffic Flows at Plaza Semanggiduring the LNS
Visitor
Car
Motor
Organic growth examples – Late Night Shopping at Ekalokasari Plaza
39
The Crowd at one of the casual leasing area at Late Night Shopping
‐
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
CUSTOMER TRAFFIC 13 September 2008 vs 12 September 2009
13‐Sep‐08 12‐Sep‐09
Organic growth examples – Late Night Shopping at Bandung Indah Plaza
40
+101%
+67%
Traffic flows of cars coming to BIP at mid‐night
Recent Awards & Accolades
41
42
Lippo‐Mapletree Indonesia Retail Trust Management Ltd78 Shenton Way
#05‐01,Singapore 079120Tel: 6410 9138Fax: 6220 6557
www.lmir‐trust.com
For enquiries, please contact:Mr. Shane Hagan
Chief Financial OfficerDirect: (65) 6410 9139
Email: shane.hagan@lmir‐trust.com