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Desertec Industries - Enabling Desertec in EUMENA Siemens Sustainability Conference Paul van Son Desertec Industries Istanbul, 01. June 2010

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Page 1: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

Desertec Industries

- Enabling Desertec in EUMENA

Siemens Sustainability Conference

Paul van Son

Desertec Industries

Istanbul, 01. June 2010

Page 2: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 2

1912 first installed parabolic

trough collector by Shuman in

Meadi, Egypt (produced the

equivalent of 55 horsepower)

Shuman planned to install no

less than 20,250 square miles

of reflectors in the Sahara

World War I and the discovery

of new oil fields stopped his

plans

Frank Shuman (pioneer in applying parabolic trough technology in desert):

'One thing I am sure of and that is that the human race must finally

utilize direct sun power or revert to barbarism'

Plans to produce power in the desert

are not new

Solar history

Page 3: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 3

Page 4: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 4

Three major challenges

How to harness this potential in

an economically viable way?

How to integrate desert RE into

MENA and EU markets?

How to ensure that the MENA

countries will benefit

(e.g., industrialization,

knowledge transfer)?

Renewable potential will exceed the growing

energy demand in MENA and EU

Electricity

in TWh / a

630,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

Potential of

renewables

>630,000

Demand

2050

Demand

2010

GeothermalSolarMENA Europe Hydro Wind Biomass Wave / Tidal

Electricity demand EUMENA and potential of Renewable Energy

Page 5: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 5

Desertec concept makes use of renewable

energy resources from deserts

Broad reach

>90 % of the world‘s population living less

than 3,000 km away from deserts and

thus could be supplied with solar power

Holistic approach

Integration into interconnected power

markets

Alignment with EU and MENA government

initiatives on energy and climate protection

(such as MSP, TRANSGREEN, etc.)

Indirect benefits

Consideration of socio-economic

developments and spill over effects

Rollout potential

Future extensions to water supply,

growing biomass, etc.

A basic idea...

Make use of renewable (mainly solar and

wind) energy from deserts, the biggest

energy resource available on earth

... with compelling benefits

Source: DLR

Solar radiation EUMENA Wind potential EUMENA

Desertec concept in Europe, Middle East and North Africa (EUMENA)

Page 6: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 6

DESERTEC concept open for all field-proven

technologies

CSP

Concentration of

sunlight to generate

heat / steam

Steam drives turbine

and generates power2)

Conversion of wind to

electricity by wind

turbines

Applicable on- and

offshore

Power transmission

over large distances

Selected rein-

forcement of existing

transmission grids

Direct conversion of

sunlight into electric

energy

Can be applied with

tracking system

Wind powerPV HVDC

Descrip-

tion

Pros &

ConsIs dispatchable

with storage

High efficiencies

Requires large

amount of land

Needs direct solar

radiation (sunbelt)

Only ~3% trans-

mission loss per

1,000 km

Large investment

costs

Can operate in

diffuse light

Easy to maintain

Requires large amount

of land

No economical on-site

storage solutions

available yet

Low LCOE compared

to other renewables

Requires low amount

of land/sea

Offshore turbines

difficult to install and

connect to grid

Stochastic power

generation

1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirling dish

~680 MW1) ~158 GW~20 GW ~100 GW

XX = worldwide installed capacity (status 2009)

Relevant technologies to be applied for Desertec

Page 7: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 7

Desertec Industrial Initiative (Dii) was founded on

July 13, 2009 in Munich - Siemens among the founders

Page 8: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 8

Dii to create conditions for a gradual use of

energy from the MENA deserts

Pave the way for the Desertec

concept

Long-term target of the Desertec

concept: Cover a substantial part of

the MENA electricity demand and

15% of the European demand by 2050

Focus on MENA region

Timeline: Three years

Dii was founded in October 2009 as

private sector initiative by 12 industrial

companies and the Desertec

foundation

In March 2010, four additional

shareholders joined Dii

Broad and diverse international

expertise throughout EUMENA

MissionSetup

Setup, mission & objectives of Dii

Page 9: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 9

Dii has broad basis in international industry:

17 Shareholders and 16 Associated Partners

17 Shareholders 16 Associated Partners

Shareholders and Associated Partners of Dii

Page 10: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 10

Our aim is to close the "EUMENA ring" with

additional members – Who will be from Turkey?

In cooperation with

associations and

other industrial

initiatives:

ENTSO-E

ESTELA

OME

TRANSGREEN

MEDRING

MSP

etc.

Shareholders of Dii and their headquarters

Page 11: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 11

Create a favorable

regulatory / legis-

lative environment

Markets for

Renewable Energy

from MENA

Framework for

electricity industry

Framework for

investments

Propose and specify

concrete reference

projects

Representative of

the Desertec

concept

Demonstrate

systematic feasibility

Develop a long term

rollout plan until 2050

Ramp up – 2020/

outlook 2050

High level 'Business

plan' for desert

power

Perform additional

studies as needed, e.g.

Demand

development.

Cost roadmap

Technology survey

Grid concept

etc.

Dii has four main objectives

'What has to be done to cover 15% of the European and substantially more of the MENA demand

with power from sun and wind in 2050?'

Objectives of Dii until 2012

Page 12: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 12

Bringing the concept to realization –

preplanning phase until 2012

Deliverables

Key players

Detailed description of

the concept

Technical feasibility

studies

Create a favorable regulatory

environment

Propose and specify concrete

reference projects (e.g. in

MOR, TUN)

Develop a long term rollout

plan until 2050

Perform additional studies

as needed (e.g. grid concept)

Project realization and

investments by partners

and parties in the market

NGOs and Research

Institutes (DLR, CoR,

DESERTEC Foundation)

Various German

ministries, e.g. BMU,

BMWi, etc.

External stakeholders

EC, EU/MENA governments,

other industrial initiatives

Shareholders and partners

Project developers

Technology providers

Investors

Concept phase Creating conditions Projects phase

2010 2012 2050

Dii roadmap

Page 13: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 13

Rising fuel price

Accelerated cost degression

of CSP, PV, wind and HVDC

systems

How to reach competitiveness of Renewable

Energy from the deserts?

Rising environ-

mental costs

Break-

even of desert

power compared

with conventional power:

between 2020-2030

Drivers for competitiveness of desert power

Page 14: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 14

Bridge the gap between costs of renewables and

market prices until competitiveness is achieved

Create broad acceptance in MENA countries and establish

favourable conditions for large scale investments

Power grids and markets to facilitate connection of

major power sources and demand areas in EUMENA

1. Stimulation

3. Investment conditions

2. Markets / Grids

Optimal split between local and

EU consumption to be

determined

Dii faces three major challenges

Major challenges for Dii in EUMENA

Page 15: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 15

Turkey can play a key role in linking EU

with MENA

Turkey can provide transmission

path for Renewable Energy

generated in MENA to Europe

Turkey to close the "EUMENA"

ring of countries involved in

Desertec project

EU

ME

NA

Possible power transmission way from MENA to EU

Page 16: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 16

Challenge of long-distance gas transfer across

countries mastered – why not also for electricity?

Planned Nabucco pipeline project

Facts and figures about Nabucco pipeline

Gas pipeline across several countries

Construction start planned for 2011

Distance of ~3,300 km

Investment costs of ~ 7.9 million EUR

Page 17: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 17

HVDC has only ~3% transmission losses per 1,000 km

>90% of the world‘s population living less than 3,000 km away from deserts

Connecting Desertec is not much different from

what has already been proven in China & Africa

HVDC transmission China HVDC transmission Congo

1,400 km 1,700 km

Connecting EUMENA

1,700 km

Technical feasibility of long-distance power transmission

Page 18: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 18

Turkish grid as part of "Anatolian Energy

highway"

Electricity grid Turkey

Page 19: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 19

Turkey can also act as contributor for Desertec in

terms of renewable energy generation

Significant wind potential especially in

North West and South Turkey

Installed wind capacity in MW and est.

potential:

Solar irradiation in South Turkey

comparable to Spain

Installed solar PV rooftop capacity

~2 MW in 2009

No large scale PV or CSP power plant

existed in 2009 yet

Renewable energy potential in Turkey

800

2009

48,000

Potential

Renewable Energy potential of Turkey

Wind

potential

[W/m²] >500 300-500 200-300 100-200 <100

Solar irradiation

Wind loads

Spain

Page 20: Desertec Industries -Enabling Desertec in EUMENA · 1) With around 2 GW currently in installation 2) No steam turbine use for Stirlingdish ~680 MW 1) ~20 GW ~158 GW ~100 GW XX = worldwide

© Dii GmbH June 2010 20

Thank you for your attention!

www.dii-eumena.com