demography of fsu country study: georgia erin pappas 3 march 2010

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Demography of FSU Demography of FSU Country Study: Country Study: Georgia Georgia Erin Pappas Erin Pappas 3 March 2010 3 March 2010

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Page 1: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Demography of FSUDemography of FSUCountry Study: Country Study:

GeorgiaGeorgia

Erin PappasErin Pappas3 March 20103 March 2010

Page 2: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Historical BackgroundHistorical Background• Ancient kingdoms of Colchis and Kartli-Iberia. • Roman influence in the first centuries A.D. • Domination by Persians, Arabs, and Turks • Ottoman and Persian empires competed for influence in the region. • Georgian kingdom reached its height between the 10th and 13th centuries • Absorbed into the Russian Empire in the 19th century. Independent for three

years (1918-1921) following the Russian revolution, • In 1936 Georgia became a constituent (union) republic incorporated into the

USSR until the Soviet Union dissolved in 1991.• Georgia declared sovereignty on Nov. 19, 1989, and independence on April 9,

1991.• Coup d’etat and resulting civil war (1991-1995)• Rose Revolution (2003) • New elections in early 2004 swept Mikhail Saakashvili into power along with

his National Movement party. Progress has been complicated by Russian assistance and support to the breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

• Military action in South Ossetia led to a Russian military response that not only occupied the breakaway areas, but large portions of Georgia proper as well. Russian troops pulled back from most occupied Georgian territory, but in late August 2008 Russia unilaterally recognized the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

CIA World FactBook, NationMaster.com

Page 3: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Geographic PositionGeographic Position

• Middle East/ Southwestern Asia, bordering the Black Sea, between Turkey and Russia

• Shared borders with Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, Turkey

• Size 69,700 sq km (120th in the world), slightly smaller than South Carolina

• 310 km of coastline• Mediterranean-like climate on

Black Sea coast, mostly mountainous terrain.

• Resources include: forests, hydropower, manganese deposits, iron ore, copper, minor coal and oil deposits

• Strategically located east of the Black Sea; Georgia controls much of the Caucasus Mountains and the routes through them

• Oil and gas pipelines planned

CIA World FactBook

Page 4: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Contested RegionsContested Regions

Statistical Yearbook of Georgia

< 300,000 total population in Abkhasia and S. Ossetia

Page 5: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Ethnic CompositionEthnic Composition

Georgian, 83.8

Azeri, 6.5

Armenian, 5.7

Russian, 1.5

Other, 2.5

Georgian

Azeri

Armenian

Russian

Other

CIA World FactBook

Page 6: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population StructurePopulation StructurePopulation 4,615,807 (July 2009 est.)

Age Structure0-14 years: 16.1% (male 395,929/female 345,071)15-64 years: 67.6% (male 1,503,360/female

1,616,234)65 +: 16.4% (male 302,103/female 453,110) (2009

est.)

Median Age 38.6 (total)36.1 (male)41 (female)

CIA World FactBook

Page 7: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Total Midyear Population

4000000

4200000

4400000

4600000

4800000

5000000

5200000

5400000

5600000

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

Total Population, 1991-2010Total Population, 1991-2010

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 8: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population by Age and Sex (2000)

0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 400.0

-1

5 - 9

15 - 19

25 - 29

35 - 39

45 - 49

55 - 59

65 - 69

75 - 79

85 +

Ag

e

Thousands

Both Sexes

Males

Females

Georgian Department of Statistics

Page 9: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population by Age and Sex (2008)

0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 400.0

-1

5 - 9

15 - 19

25 - 29

35 - 39

45 - 49

55 - 59

65 - 69

75 - 79

85 +

Ag

e

Thouands

Both Sexes

Males

Females

Georgian Department of Statistics

Page 10: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Live births inside and outside marriage

Year Total live births Inside marriage Outside marriage

of witch:

Not statedAccording to the declaration of both

parents

According to the declaration of mother

2000 48,800 28,743 20,057 17,927 2,130 -

2001 47,589 26,459 21,130 18,933 2,197 -

2002 46,605 25,202 21,403 19,266 2,137 -

2003 46,194 25,610 19,723 16,947 2,776 861

2004 49,572 25,929 22,735 18,782 3,953 908

2005 46,512 23,410 22,720 19,864 2,856 382

2006 47,795 21,786 25,739 23,314 2,425 270

2007 49,287 27,661 21,626 19,261 2,365 -

2008 56,565 37,138 19,427 16,441 2,986 -

Georgian Department of Statistics

Page 11: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2015

Births per Woman

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 12: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Contraception and AbortionContraception and Abortion

Demography of Russia and the Former Soviet Union, Lecture 5.

Page 13: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Reproductive health indicators in Reproductive health indicators in 1996-2001, FSU1996-2001, FSU

Lifetime Lifetime number of number of abortions per abortions per womanwoman

% Mothers % Mothers receiving receiving prenatal care prenatal care (1(1stst trimester) trimester)

Births Outside Births Outside Medical Medical

Facilities (%)Facilities (%)

RussiaRussia 2.32.3 8383 1.81.8

UkraineUkraine 1.61.6 6666 0.90.9

ArmeniaArmenia 2.62.6 5454 8.58.5

AzerbaijanAzerbaijan 3.23.2 4545 26.326.3

GeorgiaGeorgia 3.73.7 6363 7.87.8

KazakhstanKazakhstan 1.41.4 6060 1.61.6

KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan 1.51.5 7272 3.83.8

TurkmenistanTurkmenistan 0.80.8 7272 4.24.2

UzbekistanUzbekistan 0.60.6 7373 5.95.9Demography of Russia and the Former Soviet Union, Lecture 5.

Page 14: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Crude Birth and Death Crude Birth and Death RatesRates

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2015

CBR

CDR

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 15: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Life Expectancy in Years

60.00

62.00

64.00

66.00

68.00

70.00

72.00

74.00

76.00

78.00

80.00

82.00

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Both Sexes

Males

Females

Georgian Department of Statistics

Page 16: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population Pyramid, 1991Population Pyramid, 1991

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 17: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population Pyramid, 1995Population Pyramid, 1995

Page 18: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population Pyramid, 2000Population Pyramid, 2000

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 19: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population Pyramid, 2005Population Pyramid, 2005

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 20: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population Pyramid, 2010Population Pyramid, 2010

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 21: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Population Decreases Between Population Decreases Between 2000 and 2025 2000 and 2025

Page 22: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Proportion of Population Aged Proportion of Population Aged 65+ 65+

Page 23: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

№ Class*2000

Both sexes Males Females

I Certain infectious and parasitic diseases 481 337 144

II Neoplasms 5,366 2,809 2,557

IIIDiseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism

23 10 13

IV Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases 977 452 525

V Mental and behavioural disorders 36 31 5

VI Diseases of the nervous system 138 74 64

VII Diseases of the eye and adnexa - - -

VIII Diseases of the ear and mastoid process - - -

IX Diseases of the circulatory system 33,390 15,461 17,929

X Diseases of the respiratory system 1,362 765 597

XI Diseases of the digestive system 1,570 1,002 568

XII Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue 4 1 3

XIII Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue 11 5 6

XIV Diseases of the genito-urinary system 185 123 62

XV Pregnancy, childbirth and the puerperium 23 - 23

XVI Certain conditions originating in the perinatal period 768 465 303

XVII Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities 29 13 16

XVIIISymptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified

1,580 872 708

XIX Injury, poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes 1,467 1,144 323

XX External causes of morbidity and mortality 1,467 1,144 323

T o t a l 47,410 23,564 23,846Statistical Yearbook of Georgia

Page 24: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

№ Class*2008

Both sexes Males Females

I Certain infectious and parasitic diseases 368 269 99

II Neoplasms 4,661 2,591 2,070

IIIDiseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism

11 6 5

IV Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases 630 310 320

V Mental and behavioural disorders 40 25 15

VI Diseases of the nervous system 283 155 128

VII Diseases of the eye and adnexa - - -

VIII Diseases of the ear and mastoid process - - -

IX Diseases of the circulatory system 27,579 14,077 13,502

X Diseases of the respiratory system 1,237 657 580

XI Diseases of the digestive system 1,260 948 312

XII Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue - - -

XIII Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue 4 1 3

XIV Diseases of the genito-urinary system 322 192 130

XV Pregnancy, childbirth and the puerperium 1 - 1

XVI Certain conditions originating in the perinatal period 783 435 348

XVII Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities 125 75 50

XVIII Symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified 3,669 1,977 1,692

XIX Injury, poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes 2,038 1,602 436

XX External causes of morbidity and mortality 2,038 1,602 436

T o t a l 43,011 23,320 19,691

Statistical Yearbook of Georgia

Page 25: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Centenarians in the Centenarians in the Caucasus? Caucasus?

Garson. (1991). The Centenarian Question

Page 26: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

Net Migration Rate (per Net Migration Rate (per 1,000)1,000)

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

US Census Bureau, International Database

Page 27: Demography of FSU Country Study: Georgia Erin Pappas 3 March 2010

SourcesSourcesGeorgia. (2010). Encyclopædia Britannica Online: http://search.eb.com/eb/article-44307

Leonid Gavrilov, Natalia Gavrilova. (2010) Demography of Russia and the Former Soviet Union, Lecture 5.

National Statistics Office of Georgia . (2010)http://www.geostat.ge/index.php?lang=eng

US Census Bureau, International Data Base (IDB)http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/

NationMaster.com http://www.nationmaster.com/country/gg-georgia

Statistical Yearbook of Georgia (2009). Ministry of Economic Development of Georgia, Department of Statistics

World Bank. (2007). “From Red to Grey: The ‘Third Transition of Aging Populations in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union.” Mukesh Chawla, Gordon Betcherman, Arup Banerji , authors. , authors.

Lea Keil Garson. (1991). The Centenarian Question: Old-Age Mortality in the Soviet Union, 1897 to 1970. Population Studies, Vol. 45 (2): 265-278