decision making
TRANSCRIPT
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DECISION MAKING
Manager is oriented towards decisions rather than towards performing the actions personally; the actions are carried out by
others
Decision can be defined as a course of action consciously chosen from available alternatives for the purpose of achieving
desired results
Decision involves:
Choice from alternatives Mental process at conscious level Purposive
Decision Making Process
Steps
1. Understanding the situation:
Be aware of the factors that set the state for the decision. If time
available allow facts to simmer for a while
2. Recognition/Identification of the right problem:
Do not jump for right answer without knowing the right problem
3. Search for and analysis of available alternatives and their
probable consequences: (creative thinking begins)
Mathematical models, theory of probability, economic concepts.
Use of logic is the key to this step
A premise is a statement of the relationship between a cause
and a consequence
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If we do A, then B will result, i.e. evaluate the consequences -
'desired' and 'undesired' consequences
First: Desirable to recognize the premise upon which approach is
based
Second: Test the validity of the premise
Third: Distinguish between value premise and factual premise
4. Evaluation/Analysis of alternatives
Time available vs. sophisticated analysis
5. Selection of the solution
Best solution vs. satisfactory one
Optimization: Decision must be accepted by the organization
6. Implementation: Design and Monitoring
Decision making by individuals
Decision making by groups
COMMITTEE
Cooperative decision making is a process by which a group attempts
to develop a composite mind
Committee: Critical factor in successful committees is the
explicit statement by the appointing authority as its
expected functions
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Purpose of Committee
1. Collecting information
2. Secure support
3. Make a decision
4. Negotiate
5. Stimulate
6. Distribute information (sharing)
7. Representation
8. Coordinate
9. Train juniors
Advantages of Committees
1. Opinion of specialists other opinions
2. Interaction of different departments
3. Feeling of participation
4. Training
5. Representations
6. Creative thinking (Brainstorming)
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Disadvantages of Committee
Costly considering value of time of each member
Normally require longer time; inadvisable if decision has to be taken promptly
Unwillingness of members to back down from publicly announced position
Personal antipathy to or excessive respect for the opinions of particular individuals
Skill in verbal debate
Bandwagon effects
Buck passing may result no one is held responsible for a decision
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Decision Making Process: Role of Creativity
In the decision making process, Creative thinking begins at the stage
of generation of alternatives and continues till the final decision is
made
1. Creativity is:
# The development of new methods of doing things
# Ability to be productive through imaginative skills
# Thinking process which solves problems that had remained
unsolved earlier
# Ability to generate ideas
# An essential element for effective planning
# Present in almost every individual but the extent to which such
capability is effectively used varies person to person
2. Who is a Creative thinker?
Who has:
# Ambition must have a dream
# Perseverance used to hard intellectual work
# Enthusiasm optimism
# Energy stamina
# Knowledge both depth and breadth
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# Desire to use imagination for productive purpose
3. Some Psychological Requirements of Creative Thinking:
# Detachment detach your mind from every day concern and try to look at the problem from a distance
# Involvement then put yourself into the problem and try to put yourself into other peoples shoes
# Deferment dont come to quick solution, it may be premature, discipline yourself and dont jump to conclusions
# Speculation try to think of alternative possibilities
# Objectivity detach yourself from the object as the solution to the problem emerges
4. Techniques of Creative Thinking
# Logical thinking
# Linking together different existing ideas or information
# Go through the decision making process
# Brainstorming
# Synectics or joins together different and apparently irrelevant elements
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5. Sub process of the Creative Process
# Saturation becoming thoroughly familiar with activities and ideas related to problem
# Deliberation analyzing from several view points
# Incubation letting inner self or the sub-conscious mind work
# Illumination hitting upon bright ideas
# Accommodation adapting and refining