dave simmonds obe centre for economic & social inclusion
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Dave Simmonds OBE Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion. Evolving London – June 2013. Creating jobs, incomes and employability. Dave Simmonds OBE Chief Executive Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion. We’re doing well but need to create jobs . - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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http://evolvinglondon.gva.co.ukEvolving London - June 2013
Dave Simmonds OBE
Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion
Evolving London – June 2013
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Creating jobs, incomes and employability
Dave Simmonds OBEChief Executive
Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion
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We’re doing well but need to create jobs ...
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Employment rateLondon behind but gap closing
Feb-Apr 2
007
Apr-Jun 2007
Jun-Aug 2007
Aug-Oct
2007
Oct-Dec 2
007
Dec-Feb 2008
Feb-Apr 2
008
Apr-Jun 2008
Jun-Aug 2008
Aug-Oct
2008
Oct-Dec 2
008
Dec-Feb 2009
Feb-Apr 2
009
Apr-Jun 2009
Jun-Aug 2009
Aug-Oct
2009
Oct-Dec 2
009
Dec-Feb 2010
Feb-Apr 2
010
Apr-Jun 2010
Jun-Aug 2010
Aug-Oct
2010
Oct-Dec 2
010
Dec-Feb 2011
Feb-Apr 2
011
Apr-Jun 2011
Jun-Aug 2011
Aug-Oct
2011
Oct-Dec 2
011
Dec-Feb 2012
Feb-Apr 2
012
Apr-Jun 2012
Jun-Aug 2012
Aug-Oct
2012
Oct-Dec 2
012
Dec-Feb 2013
64.0
65.0
66.0
67.0
68.0
69.0
70.0
71.0
72.0
73.0
74.0
LondonEngland
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Women’s employmentgrowing strongly
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Unemployment higherbut narrowed
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Youth unemployment higher ...Proportion of 16-24 years olds unemployed (excluding full-time students)
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A diverse workforceBetween 2004 to 2012 increased from 26% to 33% of working age
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London’s claimants
218,050
318,700
87,850
20,860Chart Title
job seeker
ESA and incapacity ben-efits
lone parent
others on income related benefit
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Employer demand is changing and growing...
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Growth in jobs
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
2028
2032
2036
000s
HistoricProjected
Source: GLA Economics Working Paper 52, Workforce J obs series (ONS), GLA Economics calculations
Vacanciesclimbing
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Jobs where you would expect ...
Number of people in employment per sq km, all sectors
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Changing employmentChange in London's sectors over past couple of decades
0
50
100
150
200
250
Manufacturing,Constructionand Utilities
Wholesale,Retail,Transport andStorage
Public admin,education andhealth
Professional,real estate andbusinessservices
Accomodation,Entertainment,Recreation andOther services
Information,Communication, Financial andInsurance
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… changing structure demands higher qualifications
8% have no qualifications
48% have degrees (32% in UK)
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Jobs to 2020 People servicesCreative Digital Science & Technology
Greater London Inner London East London Newham
Increase Increase Increase IncreaseCode 2nd Tier Description Total % Total % Total % Total %
1.2 Nursing & medical Subjects/Vocations 23,786 13% 8,968 14% 3,952 14% 618 13%
13.1 Teaching and Lecturing 21,481 12% 8,524 13% 3,577 13% 504 12%15.4 Marketing and Sales 5,247 12% 2,704 13% 679 11% 76 8%
1.3 Health and Social Care 11,116 11% 4,741 12% 1,702 10% 219 9%
1.5 Child Development and Well Being 32,098 11% 13,612 12% 5,297 11% 760 10%
5.3 Urban, Rural and Regional Planning 14,959 11% 8,267 13% 1,877 9% 188 6%11.2 Sociology and Social Policy 4,308 10% 1,934 12% 640 10% 83 8%
9.3 Media and Communication 13,556 10% 7,897 12% 1,916 9% 188 7%1.1 Medicine and Dentistry 5,153 9% 2,452 11% 806 9% 98 7%2.1 Science 5,038 8% 2,518 10% 688 7% 96 6%1.4 Public Services 3,296 8% 1,278 8% 478 7% 47 4%4.1 Engineering 4,699 8% 2,650 11% 560 6% 64 4%
14.1 Foundations for Learning and Life 1,006 7% 427 8% 155 7% 20 5%15.5 Law and Legal Services 2,182 6% 1,593 9% 270 6% 17 3%8.1 Sport, Leisure and Recreation 2,566 6% 1,529 8% 351 5% 3 0%
14.2 Preparation for Work 3,691 6% 1,940 7% 493 5% 61 3%15.1 Accounting and Finance 9,127 5% 6,478 9% 956 4% 43 1%9.1 Performing Arts 2,679 5% 1,778 8% 394 5% 20 2%9.2 Crafts, Creative Arts, and Design 8,298 5% 5,454 8% 1,162 4% 101 3%6.1 ICT Practitioners 5,663 5% 3,218 7% 594 3% 108 4%
15.3 Business Management 25,161 4% 16,540 7% 2,682 3% 215 2%7.1 Retailing and Wholesaling 9,059 4% 5,649 7% 1,257 4% 202 3%
12.2 Other Languages, Literature and Culture 1,831 4% 1,141 6% 292 4% 38 3%
7.4 Hospitality and Catering 2,377 3% 1,305 4% 265 2% 21 1%
4.2 Manufacturing Technologies 11,173 3% 6,736 6% 834 2% 121 1%8.2 Travel and Tourism 1,914 3% 1,133 5% 257 3% 35 2%
4.3 Transportation Operations/Maintenance 1,589 3% 1,077 5% 77 1% 5 0%
6.2 ICT for Users 1,469 2% 1,266 4% 79 1% -16 -1%3.2 Horticulture and Forestry 79 1% 84 2% 15 1% 5 4%
15.2 Administration 136 0% 704 3% -59 -1% -23 -2%5.2 Building and Construction -6,469 -4% -1,750 -4% -1,319 -4% -218 -4%
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Skill shortage areas
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Skills to improve
General IT user skills
IT professional skills
Oral communication skills
Written communication skills
Customer handling skills
Team working skills
Foreign language skills
Problem solving skills
Management skills
Numeracy skills
Literacy skills
Office admin skills
Technical, practical or job-specific skills
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
EnglandLondon
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The supply-side challenge ...
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1. Female employment: childcare and part-time jobs
Employment rate of women with dependent children
Note: Head of family or spouse only, includes full-time studentsSource: Labour Force Survey, Oct-Dec, 2007-2011
74.2 71.3
86.9
58.347.6
73.165.7
90.0
72.4
57.3
Not parents - Men Not parents -Women
Couple parents -Men
Couple parents -Women
Lone parents - All
London Rest of UK
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2. Continue to improve schools
London is ahead on % attaining 5 A-C GCSEs but varies by income
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3. Improve Further Education
Curriculum should focus on subject sector areas that offer quantity (the scale of jobs) and growth (net growth in jobs) opportunities:– Health and Social Care– Marketing and Sales– Building and Construction– Business Management– Accounting and Finance– Manufacturing Technologies; and– Child Development and Well Being
Employers, continue to cite various skills shortages – the most common being management and leadership skills; and ICT and communication skills.
Advice to a London FE College:
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4. Mobility: one and many labour markets
Greater London 3.7 million jobs
Inner London 1.5 million jobs
East London 0.6 million jobs
Newham 91 thousand jobs
Greater London 72,000 vacancies
Inner London 31,000 vacancies
East London 14,000 vacancies
Newham 5,000 vacancies
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5. Making Work Pay in London
impact of welfare reform
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Banking, finance & insuranceTransport & communication
ManufacturingPublic admin., education & health
ConstructionOther services
Distribution, hotels & restaurants
London UK
Percent of those in work earning below the living wage by industry (2012)
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6. Dynamic or insecure?
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%London UK
Movers between unemployment and low pay as a proportion of the workforce
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7. Improve programmes for workless
Work Programme for the long-term unemployed:
performance in November 2012
Coventry, Warwickshire, Staffordshire & the Marches
Surrey, Sussex & Kent
Greater Manchester, Cheshire & Warrington
South Yorkshire
West Yorkshire
East London
Gloucestershire, Wiltshire & Avon0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0%
4.2%
3.6%
3.1%
Map of long-term workless:880,000 Londoners due to join Work Programme, 2011-16
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8. Improve adviceInformed career paths, informed by
demandInformed customers:
– Young people and other learners– Employers– Providers
A London portal for London jobs and careers
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9. Self-employment city
Source: CESI
Jan 2004-Dec 2
004
Apr 2004-M
ar 2005
Jul 2004-Ju
n 2005
Oct 2004-Sep 2005
Jan 2005-Dec 2
005
Apr 2005-M
ar 2006
Jul 2005-Ju
n 2006
Oct 2005-Sep 2006
Jan 2006-Dec 2
006
Apr 2006-M
ar 2007
Jul 2006-Ju
n 2007
Oct 2006-Sep 2007
Jan 2007-Dec 2
007
Apr 2007-M
ar 2008
Jul 2007-Ju
n 2008
Oct 2007-Sep 2008
Jan 2008-Dec 2
008
Apr 2008-M
ar 2009
Jul 2008-Ju
n 2009
Oct 2008-Sep 2009
Jan 2009-Dec 2
009
Apr 2009-M
ar 2010
Jul 2009-Ju
n 2010
Oct 2009-Sep 2010
Jan 2010-Dec 2
010
Apr 2010-M
ar 2011
Jul 2010-Ju
n 2011
Oct 2010-Sep 2011
Jan 2011-Dec 2
011
Apr 2011-M
ar 2012
Jul 2011-Ju
n 2012
Oct 2010-Sep 2012
Jan 2012-Dec 2
0120.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
London rateUnited Kingdom rate
Self-employed as a percent of working age population
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10. More Apprentices and Trainees
Under 19 19-24 25+ All Ages10,670 13,740 22,820 47,230